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KEY FINDINGS—WEEK OF MAY 4 TH , 2020

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Page 1: KEY FINDINGS WEEK OF MAY 4TH, 2020 - One Breckenridge€¦ · 05/05/2020  · 8.3 8.08.2 8.1 8.1 8.1 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 March 13-15 March 20-22 March 27-29 April 3-5 April 10-12

KEY FINDINGS—WEEK OF MAY 4TH, 2020

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Destination Analysts is a market research company that offers businesses a breadth of insights, from the comprehensive understanding of target audiences and customer profile development, to ROI analysis and economic forecasts.

Clients seek us out for unique and more deeply thoughtful analysis, our actionable storytellingof data, high quality and defensible findings, and progressive and open approach to research methodologies.

In addition to this report, Destination Analysts conducts The State of the American Traveler and The State of the International Traveler—the travel industry’s premier studies for tracking traveler sentiment and global destination brand performance—as well as The CVB and the Future of the Meetings Industry annual study helping destination marketing organizations transform their meetings sales and services strategies.

About Destination Analysts

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IMPORTANTThe data and findings presented here are from our independent research, which is unique in that it is not sponsored, conducted nor influenced by any advertising or marketing agency. This means that you can trust that it is not serving any agenda other than to provide you reliable information upon which to base decisions for your organization’s or tourism community’s future.

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Please consider purchasing, subscribing or donating to support this researchhttps://destination-analysts-coronavirus-travel-sentiment-index-report.square.site/

THANK YOU IN ADVANCE

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Key Findings for the Week of May 4th

Please cite Destination Analysts when using or distributing this data

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6.2 6.9 7.0 6.9 7.0 6.9

6.7 6.6

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

March 13-15 March 20-22 March 27-29 April 3-5 April 10-12 April 17-19 April 24-26 May 1-3

Average Level of Concern About Personally Contracting Coronavirus (on an 10-point scale from “Not at all concerned” to “Extremely concerned”)

Personal Health Concerns

Concern about personally

(6.6/10) contracting the

virus is at the lowest level it

has been since March 15th.

(Base: All respondents, 1,201, 1,200, 1,201, 1,216, 1,263, 1,238, 1,208 and 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected March 13-15, 20-22, 27-29, April 3-5, 10-12, 17-19, 24-26 and May 1-3, 2020)

Question: Thinking about the current coronavirus situation, in general, HOW CONCERNED ARE YOU PERSONALLY about contracting the virus? (Please answer using the scale below)

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6.8 7.5 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.4 7.4 7.2

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

March 13-15 March 20-22 March 27-29 April 3-5 April 10-12 April 17-19 April 24-26 May 1-3

Average Level of Concern About Family & Friends Contracting Coronavirus (on an 10-point scale from “Not at all concerned” to “Extremely concerned”)

Health Concerns About Family & Friends

Similarly, concern about

friends & family (7.2/10)

contracting the virus is at a

7-week low.

(Base: All respondents, 1,201, 1,200, 1,201, 1,216, 1,263, 1,238, 1,208 and 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected March 13-15, 20-22, 27-29, April 3-5, 10-12, 17-19, 24-26 and May 1-3, 2020)

Question: Thinking about the current coronavirus situation, in general, how concerned are you about your FRIENDS OR FAMILY contracting the virus? (Please answer using the scale below)

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16.6% 15.8% 15.9% 12.8%

26.7% 29.8% 28.8% 30.4%

5.2%2.4% 2.9%

2.6%

2.7%

4.3%4.4%

3.5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

March 13-15 March 20-22 March 27-29 April 3-5 April 10-12 April 17-19 April 24-26 May 1-3

Americans Who Expect the Coronavirus Situation

Will Get Better in the Next Month

Get better Get much better

Expectations for Coronavirus Outbreak

Now, 33.9% of American

travelers feels the coronavirus

situation in the US will get

better in the next month.

Question: In the NEXT MONTH, how (if at all) do you expect the severity of the coronavirus situation in the United States to change? (Select one)In the next month the coronavirus situation will ________

(Base: All respondents, 1,201, 1,200, 1,201, 1,216, 1,263, 1,238, 1,208 and 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected March 13-15, 20-22, 27-29, April 3-5, 10-12, 17-19, 24-26 and May 1-3, 2020)

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Page 9

Comfort Enjoying Home Community

Comfort going out in their

own communities to

undertake local activities is

slowly returning–30.6% now

feel comfortable from a low of

19.7% April 5th.

Question: How much do you agree with the following statement? Statement: I still feel comfortable going out in my community to restaurants, local attractions and undertaking local activities.

33.5%

19.0%14.3% 12.6% 13.4%

19.5% 18.4%21.7%

17.3%

9.7%

7.9%7.1%

8.3%

8.9% 9.8%8.9%

0%

20%

40%

60%

March 13-15 March 20-22 March 27-29 April 3-5 April 10-12 April 17-19 April 24-26 May 1-3

Americans Who Feel Comfortable Enjoying their Community

Agree Strongly agree

(Base: All respondents, 1,201, 1,200, 1,201, 1,216, 1,263, 1,238, 1,208 and 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected March 13-15, 20-22, 27-29, April 3-5, 10-12, 17-19, 24-26 and May 1-3, 2020)

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Won’t Travel Without Vaccine

The percent agreeing they won’t

travel until there is a vaccine

continues to decline (29.8%

down from 36.5% April 19th).

Question: How much do you agree with the following statement? Statement: I'm not traveling until there is a vaccine.

19.5% 21.2% 18.7%

17.0% 13.9%11.1%

0%

20%

40%

60%

April 17-19 April 24-26 May 1-3

Americans Who Won’t Travel Until There is a Vaccine

Agree Strongly agree

(Base: Waves 6-8. All respondents, 1,238, 1,208 and 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected April 17-19, 24-26 and May 1-3, 2020)

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6.37.0 6.8 7.0 7.0 6.6 6.8 6.6

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

March 13-15 March 20-22 March 27-29 April 3-5 April 10-12 April 17-19 April 24-26 May 1-3

Average Level of Concern About Personal Finances (on an 10-point scale from “Not at all concerned” to “Extremely concerned”)

Concerns About Personal Finances

Concern about the personal

financial impact of the

coronavirus is at a lower

level (6.6/10) relative to

previous weeks.

(Base: All respondents, 1,201, 1,200, 1,201, 1,216, 1,263, 1,238, 1,208 and 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected March 13-15, 20-22, 27-29, April 3-5, 10-12, 17-19, 24-26 and May 1-3, 2020)

Question: Thinking about the current coronavirus situation, how concerned are you about the impact it may have on your PERSONAL FINANCES? (Please answer using the scale below)

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7.68.3 8.0 8.2 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

March 13-15 March 20-22 March 27-29 April 3-5 April 10-12 April 17-19 April 24-26 May 1-3

Average Level of Concern About National Economy(on an 10-point scale from “Not at all concerned” to “Extremely concerned”)

Concerns About National Economy

However, concerns for the

national economy remain

high (8.0/10).

(Base: All respondents, 1,201, 1,200, 1,201, 1,216, 1,263, 1,238, 1,208 and 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected March 13-15, 20-22, 27-29, April 3-5, 10-12, 17-19, 24-26 and May 1-3, 2020)

Question: Thinking about the current coronavirus situation, how concerned are you about the impact it may have on the NATIONAL ECONOMY?(Please answer using the scale below)

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Impact of the Coronavirus on Travel

In looking forward for travel, the coronavirus’ impact on American travel remains at 75.7%, with 69.4% canceling a trip and 54.8%

postponing.

Question: Has the current coronavirus situation affected your travel in any way? (Please consider all your travel--leisure, business, group meeting, etc.)

Question: How has the coronavirus situation affected your travel? (Select all that apply)Due to the coronavirus situation, I have_____________.

11.4%

44.3%

64.3% 66.1%

72.8% 72.8%75.3% 75.9% 75.7%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

February

19-21

March 13-

15

March 20-

22

March 27-

29

April 3-5 April 10-12 April 17-19 April 24-26 May 1-3

Americans Who Have Had Travel Plans Affected

by the Coronavirus Situation

(Base: All respondents, 1,201, 1,200, 1,201, 1,216, 1,263, 1,238, 1,208 and 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected March 13-15, 20-22, 27-29, April 3-5, 10-12, 17-19, 24-26 and May 1-3, 2020)

46.0%

55.1%

63.0%59.7%

65.3% 66.9% 70.3%

63.7%69.4%

17.6%

51.0% 46.7%

53.0%48.5% 47.2% 45.2%

51.9%54.8%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

February

19 - 21

March 13 -

15

March 20 -

22

March 27 -

29

April 3 - 5 April 10 -

12

April 17 -

19

April 24 -

26

May 1 - 3

Cancelled a trip Postponed a trip

(Base: All respondents, 1,201, 1,200, 1,201, 1,216, 1,263, 1,238, 1,208 and 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected March 13-15, 20-22, 27-29, April 3-5, 10-12, 17-19, 24-26 and May 1-3, 2020)

How the Coronavirus has Impacted Travel

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Months Americans Currently Have Plans to Take a Leisure Trip

September now has the

highest number of

American travelers having

at least tentative trip plans

(23.5%), with increases

reported in November

(15.5%) and December

(14.5%), as well.

(Base: Wave 8. 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected May 1-3, 2020)

Question: Even if only tentatively scheduled, in which months of this year do you currently plan to take any leisure trips? (Select all that apply)

5.4%

12.7%

20.7% 20.8%

23.5%

19.7%

15.5% 14.5%

21.8%

8.0%

0%

10%

20%

30%

May June July August September October November December I have no

plans to

travel in

2020

Sometime

in 2021

Months Americans Currently Have Plans to Take a Leisure Trip(as of May 3rd, 2020)

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Distance of Next Leisure Trip

The average distance of American travelers’ next leisure trip is 686 miles overall, with Baby Boomers and travelers in the West and

South reporting trip averages over 700 miles, and affluent travelers reporting nearly 800 miles.

Question: On your next leisure trip, how far away from home will be likely you travel?

654 642

745

0

200

400

600

800

Millennial or younger Gen X Baby Boomer or older

Average Distance of Next Leisure Trip—by Generation

(Base: Wave 8. 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected May 1-3, 2020)

Question: On your next leisure trip, how far away from home will be likely you travel?

(Base: Wave 8. 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected May 1-3, 2020)

709

604

699 708

0

200

400

600

800

West Midwest Northeast South

Average Distance of Next Leisure Trip—by U.S. Region

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American Travelers’ Next Flight on a Commercial Airline

Half of American travelers feel it

is too risky to travel on an

airplane right now, with 42.8%

saying their next trip by air will

not be until 2021 or later.

Millennial and GenZ travelers are

somewhat less uncomfortable,

with more saying their next trip by

air will be this year compared to

older generations. Although most

have some concerns about the

safety of flying on commercial

airlines, business travelers are the

relatively most comfortable

traveling by air right now.

(Base: Wave 8. 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected May 1-3, 2020)

Question: In what month do you expect you will take your NEXT TRIP on a commercial airline?

American Travelers’ Next Flight on a Commercial Airline(as of May 3rd, 2020)

1.3%

3.6% 4.7%

6.9% 10.0%

11.0%

7.5%

4.4%

34.1%

8.7% 7.9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

May June July August September October November December Sometime in

2021

Sometime in

2022 or

later

Never - I

don't or

won't travel

by air

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Desired Operational Practices on Commercial Airlines

The practices that will make travelers feel most

confident an airline is looking out for their health are

high-tech cleaning of planes’ interiors between flights

(44.4%) and requiring passenger health screenings

(44.2%).

Question: If traveling on a COMMERCIAL AIRLINE in the future, which operational practices do you think should be used? (Select all that apply)

(Base: Wave 8. 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected May 1-3, 2020)

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Desired Operational Practices in Hotels

At hotels, guests will feel most confident a property is

looking out for their health and safety if guests are

provided with hand sanitizer, face masks, disinfectant

wipes, etc. (36.8%) and the property’s

cleaning/sanitizing procedures are well-explained

(32.0%).

Question: When staying in a hotel in the future, which operational practices do you think should be used?

(Base: Wave 8. 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected May 1-3, 2020)

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Desired Operational Practices on Commercial Airlines—by Generation

Younger travelers show less

agreement that these new

operational practices for airlines

and hotels should go into effect.

Interestingly, however, what would

inspire the most confidence in

them about airlines is passenger

health screening. Millennial and

GenZ travelers are also a little

more likely than older travelers to

want sneeze guards between seats

and social distancing enforced at

boarding area.

Question: If traveling on a COMMERCIAL AIRLINE in the future, which operational practices would MAKE YOU FEEL MOST CONFIDENT that the airline is looking out for your health? (Please select the 3 that would be most important to you)

32.8%

42.2%

32.5%

35.3%

19.8%

24.4%

20.6%

13.1%15.7%

7.2%

45.9%

43.2%

34.4%

44.6%

24.5%

19.4%16.4% 16.0%

11.2%

6.7%

54.8%

46.7%

42.0%

38.4%

21.6% 21.3%18.6%

14.4%12.8%

6.4%

0%

20%

40%

60%

High-tech

cleaning of

plane's interior

between flights

Passenger

health

screenings

required

Empty middle

seat policy

Passengers

provided with

hand sanitizer,

face masks,

etc.

Flight crew

required to

wear masks

and gloves

Health

screening

required for

flight crew

Social

distancing

enforced at

boarding area

Plane

bathroom

cleaned after

each use

Sneeze guard

barriers

between seats

None of these

Millennial or younger Gen X Baby Boomer or older

(Base: Wave 8. 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected May 1-3, 2020)

Operational Practices on Commercial Airlines—by Generation

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Likelihood to Withhold Future Purchases from Businesses

We should expect shaming to occur.

63.8% of American travelers say they

would be likely to withhold business

from a company if it was operating in

a way that did not make them feel

confident the company was looking

out for their health. 68.8% say they

would share that experience with

others.

Question: In the coming months, suppose a business (a restaurant, retail store, airline, hotel, etc.) operates in a way that DOES NOT MAKE YOU FEEL CONFIDENT that they are looking out for your health. How likely would you be to withhold future purchases from that business?

34.2%

29.6%

23.0%

4.9% 4.5% 3.8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Very likely Likely Neutral (neither

likely nor unlikely)

Unlikely Very unlikely I don't know

Likelihood Americans Would Withhold Future Purchases from

Businesses That Aren’t Looking Out for Customer Health

(Base: Wave 8. 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected May 1-3, 2020)

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Page 21

Comfort with Home State Re-Opening

Americans appear largely uncertain

about the reopening.

Overall, 35.3% of American travelers

say they are comfortable with their

home state re-opening its economy

right now. While there appears little

difference by generation, as expected,

there are significant differences by

region of residence—only 26.1% of

travelers in the Northeast are

comfortable with this, while 39.8% of

those in the South are.

36.9%35.4%

26.1%

39.8%

0%

20%

40%

60%

West Midwest Northeast South

Americans Comfortable with Their Home State Re-Opening—by Region(% of respondents in each region who “agree” or “strongly agree” with the statement

“I am comfortable with my home state re-opening its economy right now.”)

(Base: Wave 8. 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected May 1-3, 2020)

Question: How much do you agree with the following statement? Statement: I am comfortable with my home state re-opening its economy right now.

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The percent of American travelers

agreeing they don’t want travelers

in their community right now is still

notable at 60.4%, but down from

67.6% April 19th.

Travelers in Community

Question: How much do you agree with the following statement? Statement: I do not want travelers coming to visit my community right now.

(Base: Waves 6-8. All respondents, 1,238, 1,208 and 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected April 17-19, 24-26 and May 1-3, 2020)

32.5% 34.5% 33.6%

35.1% 29.0% 26.8%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

April 17-19 April 24-26 May 1-3

Americans Who Don’t Want Travelers

Coming to their Community Right Now

Agree Strongly agree

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Page 23

Travelers continue to be split on

whether they would be happy

seeing an ad right now promoting

their community as a place to visit

when it’s safe. 36.4% say they would

be unhappy, 32.8% are neutral, and

30.8% would be happy.

Question: How would you feel if you saw an advertisement today promoting your community as a place for tourists to come visit when it is safe?

(Base: Waves 7--8. All respondents, 1,208 and 1,204 completed surveys. Data collected April 24-26 and May 1-3, 2020)

On Seeing Advertisements for Their Home Communities

16.9% 19.3%

30.8%

18.3% 14.8%

17.7% 18.7%

32.8%

18.5%

12.3%

0%

20%

40%

60%

Very unhappy Unhappy Neutral Happy Very happy

April 24-26 May 1-3

Feeling About Seeing Ads that Promote Home Community

for Tourists to Visit

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Page 24

33.0% 34.0% 34.5% 38.6%

32.3% 34.2%

30.1%35.1% 34.8%

31.6%33.6%

36.4%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

March 27-29 April 3-5 April 10-12 April 17-19 April 24-26 May 1-3

Americans Who Miss Traveling and

Can’t Wait to Get Out and Travel Again

Agree Strongly agree

Excitement to Get Back to Travel

Travel is still missed.

70.6% of Americans say they miss

traveling, especially the most

frequent travelers. Many travelers

expressed an excitement to return

to travel when they feel it is safe,

which will include the travel

industry’s participation in adopting

health/safety protocols.

Question: How much do you agree with the following statement? Statement: I miss traveling. I can't wait to get out and travel again.

(Base: Waves 3-8. All respondents, 1,201, 1,216, 1,263, 1,238, 1,208 and 1.204 completed surveys. Data collected March 27-29, April 3-5, 10-12, 17-19, 24-26 and May 1-3, 2020)

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Coronavirus Travel Sentiment IndexMeasuring the Potential Influence of Travel Marketing

Highlights from the Week of May 4th

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What is a Predictive Index?

Indexing is the practice of compiling data into one single metric.

A predictive index is a statistical measure of change in a representative group of data points. The predictive index is then compared to a standard base value in order to make data-driven predictions.

The goals are to identify:

• WHO are the traveler segments that appear receptive to travel marketing and

• WHEN will they be ready to travel

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Predictive Index Formula

Concern for Personal Health

Concern for Personal Finances

Openness to Messaging

Excitement to Travel Now

*Normalized to a 100pt scale

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0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

0 1 - 25 26 - 50 51 - 75 76 - 100

High Travel

Not Ready to Travel Ready to TravelWaiting to

Travel

Neutral

Healthy Travel Outlook

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0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

0 1 - 25 26 - 50 51 - 75 76 - 100

March 13-15 March 20-22 March 27-29 April 3-5 April 10-12 April 17-19 April 24-26 May 1-3

Waiting to Travel

Neutral

Not Ready to Travel Ready to Travel

Travel Outlook: Week of May 4th

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0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

March 13-15

March 20-22

March 27-29

April 3-5 April 10-12 April 17-19 April 24-26 May 1-3

Total

Millennials or younger

Gen X

Boomer or older

WEST

MIDWEST

NORTHEAST

SOUTH

Commercial Lodging Travelers

International Travelers

Air Travelers

Cruise Travelers

Leisure Travelers

VFR Travelers

Business Travelers

Convention Travelers

Female

Male

Affluent

City Travelers

Beach Travelers

US National Parks Travelers

Suburban area

Large city (urban area)

Rural area

Luxury hotel

Non-luxury Hotel

Peer-to-peer lodging

Wa

itin

g t

o

Tra

vel

No

t R

ea

dy

to

Tra

vel

Re

ad

y to

Tra

vel

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Generation

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

March 13-15

March 20-22

March 27-29

April 3-5 April 10-12 April 17-19 April 24-26 May 1-3

Millennials or younger

Gen X

Boomer or older

Points of Interest Impacting Index Scores:• All generations this week showed similar levels of concern for

personally contracting the virus, a significant shift from the differences seen in previous weeks.

• Boomers this week continued to show the most concern for the national economy.

• Millennials are the first to show a decrease in travel affected by the virus week over week.

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Gender

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

March 13-15

March 20-22

March 27-29

April 3-5 April 10-12 April 17-19 April 24-26 May 1-3

Female

Male

Points of Interest Impacting Index Scores:• Men and Women continued to report similar levels of both safety and

financial concerns this week (previously women showing more concern)• Men however continue to show more excitement to travel now and more

openness to travel messaging• Men more likely to say they are comfortable with their home state re-

opening its economy right now (40.6% vs 30.9% for women)

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US Region

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

March 13-15

March 20-22

March 27-29

April 3-5 April 10-12 April 17-19 April 24-26 May 1-3

WEST

MIDWEST

NORTHEAST

SOUTH

Points of Interest Impacting Index Scores:• Northeast continued to report the highest levels of personal concern for

contracting the virus this week, consistently higher than other regions• South showed highest expectation to being traveling again by Fall 2020 and

continued to show the most openness for travel messaging this week• Although Midwest continued to be the least optimistic, all regions showed

an increase in optimism this week being more likely to say the Coronavirus situation will get better or much better in the next month

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Questions? Need More Information?

• We’re here for you. Please email us at [email protected].

• Our full hub of insights is available at

https://www.destinationanalysts.com/covid-19-insights/