key commodity report · trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. now known as...

30
346.30 338.88 349.13 441.30 2.19% -21.53% 895.7 884.3 873.7 892.1 1.29% 0.40% 293.24 288.25 293.79 309.22 1.73% -5.17% 28.39 27.94 28.59 27.98 1.59% 1.47% 16.16 16.53 14.77 11.95 -2.24% 35.24% 512.25 491.06 532.87 519.50 4.32% -1.40% 2.376 2.404 1.644 1.761 -1.16% 34.92% 2.779 2.644 1.865 1.825 5.09% 52.25% 23.75 21.93 16.44 17.35 8.27% 36.83% 1.710 1.754 1.661 2.404 -2.56% -28.87% 0.953 0.954 1.120 1.117 -0.16% -14.73% 1.830 1.899 2.630 1.863 -3.62% -1.76% 0.6460 0.6534 0.7362 0.7221 -1.13% -10.54% 1.2088 1.1166 1.1555 1.3820 8.26% -12.53% 1.1220 1.1600 1.0441 1.1280 -3.28% -0.53% 90.00 90.00 78.50 74.00 0.00% 21.62% 33.20 32.88 34.01 27.85 0.97% 19.21% 0.968 0.948 1.263 0.680 2.16% 42.35% 40.46 39.860 38.11 59.28 1.52% -31.75% 118.90 117.000 137.05 191.86 1.62% -38.03% 243.70 243.000 266.28 305.50 0.29% -20.23% 217.70 217.400 218.32 274.30 0.14% -20.63% 1.823 1.716 1.736 2.428 6.24% -24.92% 1.13161 1.12479 1.1039 1.1234 0.61% 0.73% 1.2579 1.238 1.2612 1.2514 1.61% 0.52% 0.69648 0.6892 0.6607 0.6968 1.06% -0.04% 1.3560 1.3629 1.3631 1.3076 -0.51% 3.70% 7.007 7.070 7.031 6.877 -0.90% 1.88% 0.940 0.947 0.964 0.990 -0.75% -5.06% 26.25 26.03 26.25 25.55 0.85% 2.74% 128.95 123.75 110.22 104.10 4.20% 23.87% 0.9615 1.0225 1.0726 1.0585 -5.97% -9.16% * Used as the indexing unit of measure for this exchange rate CME Group Corn Soybean Soy Meal vs. Last Year 6/29/2020 July 13, 2020 7/6/2020 This Week Last Week YTD Avg Last Year vs. Last Week Commodity Activity - Weekly Average Soybean Oil Market Commentary *Euro Canadian Dollar Chinese Yuan Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York ICE Futures Sugar 16 Coffee Source: Intercontinental Exchange Swiss Frank *British Pound Orange Juice Wheat Rough Rice Heating Oil No.2 Spot Cheddar Barrel Cheddar Block Milk Class III Source: CME Group USDA Weekly Prices Palm Oil Butter AA On Highway Diesel Live Cattle Pork Bellies *Australian Dollar Eggs Large MW Course Ground Beef USDA Pork Carcass Cutout Federal Reserve Chicken Breast Jumbo MW On Highway Gasoline Natural Gas Source: New York Mercantile Exchange Crude Oil Crude Peanut Oil Source: USDA NYMEX Futures & Retail Key Commodity Report Weekly Commodity Information: Commodity information found in this report is publicly available. It can be found from numerous sources, all of which are noted. This report is for general informational purposes only. You should not rely upon the material or information in this report as a basis to make any hedging or buying decisions. Sysco makes no representations or warranties of any kind, express or implied, about the completeness, reliability, suitability, accuracy, or availability of the information contained in this report for any purpose and any reliance placed upon this information is done strictly at your own risk. Please note that rounding can affect the percent of change values.* U.S. Currency Index compares the U.S. Dollar 2.26 2.28 2.3 2.32 2.34 2.36 2.38 U.S. Currency Index 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 15 25 35 45 55 65 75 January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December Soybean Oil & Crude Oil Relationship Crude Oil Soybean Oil 15 25 35 45 55 65 75 85 January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December Crude Oil - Average Weekly Price - NYMEX 0 100 200 300 400 500 This Week Last Week YTD Avg Last Year Corn 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 This Week Last Week YTD Avg Last Year Cheddar Block 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 1.10 This Week Last Week YTD Avg Last Year Coffee Commentary: With the exception of rice, all traded agricultural grain based products moved higher last week. We are still trading on the news about fewer planted acres for corn and beans, which had the affect of pushing these markets higher, but weather is now becoming extremely important. July is the most important weather month for corn and August for beans. There were some dry areas, which were guiding traders' activities. The evidence is in the Commitment of Trader's report from The CBOT, which is showing increase in long contracts, many of which are large fund traders. It is also reported that the short position for soybean meal is shrinking. There is some good news, as we move into this week, that needed rain has moved across the growing regions where dryness was a concern. Trading will likely start this week a little lower. Weather for Canola has been good with mild temperatures and plenty of rain. Crop estimates are creeping higher as a result. Palm oil moved higher last week as a result of real demand mixed with large fund activity.

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Page 1: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

346.30 338.88 349.13 441.30 2.19% -21.53%

895.7 884.3 873.7 892.1 1.29% 0.40%

293.24 288.25 293.79 309.22 1.73% -5.17%

28.39 27.94 28.59 27.98 1.59% 1.47%

16.16 16.53 14.77 11.95 -2.24% 35.24%

512.25 491.06 532.87 519.50 4.32% -1.40%

2.376 2.404 1.644 1.761 -1.16% 34.92%

2.779 2.644 1.865 1.825 5.09% 52.25%

23.75 21.93 16.44 17.35 8.27% 36.83%

1.710 1.754 1.661 2.404 -2.56% -28.87%

0.953 0.954 1.120 1.117 -0.16% -14.73%

1.830 1.899 2.630 1.863 -3.62% -1.76%

0.6460 0.6534 0.7362 0.7221 -1.13% -10.54%

1.2088 1.1166 1.1555 1.3820 8.26% -12.53%

1.1220 1.1600 1.0441 1.1280 -3.28% -0.53%

90.00 90.00 78.50 74.00 0.00% 21.62%

33.20 32.88 34.01 27.85 0.97% 19.21%

0.968 0.948 1.263 0.680 2.16% 42.35%

40.46 39.860 38.11 59.28 1.52% -31.75%

118.90 117.000 137.05 191.86 1.62% -38.03%

243.70 243.000 266.28 305.50 0.29% -20.23%

217.70 217.400 218.32 274.30 0.14% -20.63%

1.823 1.716 1.736 2.428 6.24% -24.92%

1.13161 1.12479 1.1039 1.1234 0.61% 0.73%

1.2579 1.238 1.2612 1.2514 1.61% 0.52%

0.69648 0.6892 0.6607 0.6968 1.06% -0.04%

1.3560 1.3629 1.3631 1.3076 -0.51% 3.70%

7.007 7.070 7.031 6.877 -0.90% 1.88%

0.940 0.947 0.964 0.990 -0.75% -5.06%

26.25 26.03 26.25 25.55 0.85% 2.74%

128.95 123.75 110.22 104.10 4.20% 23.87%

0.9615 1.0225 1.0726 1.0585 -5.97% -9.16%

* Used as the indexing unit of measure for this exchange rate

CME Group

Corn

Soybean

Soy Meal

vs. Last Year6/29/2020

July 13, 2020

7/6/2020

This Week Last Week YTD Avg Last Yearvs. Last Week

Commodity Activity - Weekly Average

Soybean Oil

Market Commentary

*Euro

Canadian Dollar

Chinese Yuan

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York

ICE Futures

Sugar 16

CoffeeSource: Intercontinental Exchange

Swiss Frank

*British Pound

Orange Juice

Wheat

Rough Rice

Heating Oil No.2 Spot

Cheddar Barrel

Cheddar Block

Milk Class III

Source: CME Group

USDA Weekly Prices

Palm Oil

Butter AA

On Highway Diesel

Live Cattle

Pork Bellies

*Australian Dollar

Eggs Large MW

Course Ground Beef

USDA Pork Carcass Cutout

Federal Reserve

Chicken Breast Jumbo MW

On Highway Gasoline

Natural GasSource: New York Mercantile Exchange

Crude Oil

Crude Peanut Oil

Source: USDA

NYMEX Futures & Retail

Key Commodity Report Weekly

Commodity Information: Commodity information found in this report is publicly available. It can be found from numerous sources, all of which are noted. This report is for general informational purposes only. You should not rely upon the material or information in this report as a basis to make any hedging or buying decisions. Sysco makes no representations or warranties of any kind, express or implied, about the completeness, reliability, suitability, accuracy, or availability of the information contained in this report for any purpose and any reliance placed upon this information is done strictly at your own risk. Please note that rounding can affect the percent of change values.* U.S. Currency Index compares the U.S. Dollar

2.26

2.28

2.3

2.32

2.34

2.36

2.38

U.S. Currency Index

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

15

25

35

45

55

65

75

JanuaryFebruaryM

archAprilM

ayJuneJulyAugustSeptem

berO

ctoberNovem

berDecem

berJanuaryFebruaryM

archAprilM

ayJuneJulyAugustSeptem

berO

ctoberNovem

berDecem

berJanuaryFebruaryM

archAprilM

ayJuneJulyAugustSeptem

berO

ctoberNovem

berDecem

ber

Soybean Oil & Crude Oil Relationship

Crude Oil Soybean Oil

15

25

35

45

55

65

75

85

JanuaryFebruaryM

archAprilM

ayJuneJulyAugustSeptem

berO

ctoberNovem

berDecem

berJanuaryFebruaryM

archAprilM

ayJuneJulyAugustSeptem

berO

ctoberNovem

berDecem

berJanuaryFebruaryM

archAprilM

ayJuneJulyAugustSeptem

berO

ctoberNovem

berDecem

ber

Crude Oil - Average Weekly Price - NYMEX

0 100 200 300 400 500

This Week

Last Week

YTD Avg

Last Year

Corn

0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00

This Week

Last Week

YTD Avg

Last Year

Cheddar Block

0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 1.10

This Week

Last Week

YTD Avg

Last Year

Coffee

Commentary: With the exception of rice, all traded agricultural grain based products moved higher last week. We are still trading on the news about fewer planted acres for corn and beans, which had the affect of pushing these markets higher, but weather is now becoming extremely important. July is the most important weather month for corn and August for beans. There were some dry areas, which were guiding traders' activities. The evidence is in the Commitment of Trader's report from The CBOT, which is showing increase in long contracts, many of which are large fund traders. It is also reported that the short position for soybean meal is shrinking. There is some good news, as we move into this week, that needed rain has moved across the growing regions where dryness was a concern. Trading will likely start this week a little lower. Weather for Canola has been good with mild temperatures and plenty of rain. Crop estimates are creeping higher as a result. Palm oil moved higher last week as a result of real demand mixed with large fund activity.

Page 2: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Term DefinitionUSDA United States Department of Agriculture

Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT)Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group.

CME Group

Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME Group. The largest trading platform globally.

Basis A premium or discount to the futures marketBoard Current futures price.Bull A trader who thinks the market will trend higherBear A trader who thinks the market will trend lowerShort A term used to identify selling a commodity or derivativeLong A term used to identify buyin a commodity or derivativeFront Month Current futures trading monthBack months Any trading month beyond the front month

Futures Contract

A legally binding agreement to buy or sell a commodity or financial instrument at a later date pursuant to the Rules of the Exchange

Forward Contract

A private, cash-market agreement between a buyer and seller for the future delivery of a commodity at an agreed price. In contrast to futures contracts, forward contracts are not standardized and not transferable.

Carryover Last year's ending stocks of a storable commodity

CorrectionWhen the market makes a full about face moving by 10% or greater

RetracementWhen the market makes an about face, but not as strong as a correction

CWT Centum Weight or 100 weight

Backwardation

A term used mostly in energy trading referring to inverted futures where prices currently are higher than in deffered months.

Long Refers to buyingShort Refers to selling

WASDE ReportRefers to the USDA World Agricutural Supply & Demand Estimates

Metric Tonne 2,204 pounds

Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS)

Congress created the renewable fuel standard (RFS) program to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and expand the nation’s renewable fuels sector while reducing reliance on imported oil. This program was authorized under the Energy Policy Act of 2005 and expanded under the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007. https://www.epa.gov/renewable-fuel-standard-program

bpa bushels per acre

Page 3: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Corn - CBOT Weekly Futures Price

300.00

320.00

340.00

360.00

380.00

400.00

420.00

440.00

460.00Ja

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Corn - CBOT Average WeeklyPrice - Dollars / Bushel

Average 2018 2019 2020

[email protected] 3

Page 4: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Soybeans - CBOT Weekly Average Price - Dollars / Bushel

750

850

950

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1150

1250

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June July

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Soybeans - CBOT Average WeeklyPrice Dollars / Bushel

2020 2019 2018 Average

[email protected] 4

Page 5: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Soybean Meal - CBOT Weekly Average Price - Dollars / US Ton

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450

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Soybean Meal - CBOT Average WeeklyPrice Dollars / U.S. (short ton)

2020 2019 2018 Average

[email protected] 5

Page 6: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Soybean Oil - CBOT Weekly Average Price - Cents / Pound

25.00

27.00

29.00

31.00

33.00

35.00

37.00

39.00

Soybean Oil - CBOT Average WeeklyPrice - Cents / Pound

2020 2019 2018 Average

[email protected] 6

Page 7: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Wheat - CBOT Weekly Average Price - Dollars / Bushel

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

Janu

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June July

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Wheat - CBOT Average WeeklyPrice - Dollars / Bushel

2020 2019 2018 Average

[email protected] 7

Page 8: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Barrel Cheddar - CME Average Weekly Price / Pound

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2

2.2

2.4

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Barrel Cheddar - CME Average Weekly Dollars per Pound

2020 2019 2018 Average

[email protected] 8

Page 9: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

40 LB Block Cheddar - CME Average Weekly Price / Pound

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2

2.2

2.4

2.6

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Block Cheddar 40 #- CME Average Weekly Dollars per Pound

2020 2019 2018 average

[email protected] 9

Page 10: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Milk Class III - CME Average Weekly Price CWT

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21Ja

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Milk Class III- CME Average Weekly Price cwt

2020 2019 2018 Average

[email protected] 10

Page 11: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Butter AA - CME Average Weekly Price lb

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2

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2.4Ja

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Butter AA- CME Average Weekly Price lb

2020 2019 2018 AVerage

[email protected] 11

Page 12: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Live Cattle - Average Weekly Price USDA - 6 State Average

0.95

1.05

1.15

1.25

1.35

1.45

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Live Cattle - Average Weekly Price

2020 2019 2018 Average

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Page 13: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

USDA Coarse ground 81% Steer & Heifer Source

1.4

1.9

2.4

2.9

3.4

3.9

4.4

4.9

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USDA Coarse ground 81% Steer & Heifer Source

2020 2019 2018 Average

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Page 14: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

USDA Carcass Cutout Value - Average Weekly Price

0.52

0.62

0.72

0.82

0.92

1.02

1.12

USDA Pork Carcass Cutout Value - FOB Plant

2020 2019 2018 Average

[email protected] 14

Page 15: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

USDA PM Belly, Derind 9-13# FOB Plant

0.45

0.95

1.45

1.95

2.45Ja

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USDA PM Belly, Derind 9-13# FOB Plant

2020 2019 2018 Average

[email protected] 15

Page 16: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Chicken - Midwest Jumbo Boneless/Skinless Tender Out

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Midwest Jumbo Boneless/Skinless Breasts Tender Out

2020 2019 2018 Average

[email protected] 16

Page 17: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Shell Eggs - White Large, Midwest

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Shell Eggs - White Large, Midwest

2020 2019 2018 Average

[email protected] 17

Page 18: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

USDA Weekly Price - Crude Peanut Oil

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USDA Weekly Price - Crude Peanut Oil

2020 2019 2018 Average

[email protected] 18

Page 19: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Weekly Price - Cash Palm Oil

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Weekly Price - Cash Palm Oil

2020 2019 2018 Average

[email protected] 19

Page 20: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Crude Oil - Average Weekly Price - NYMEX

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Crude Oil - Average Weekly Price - NYMEX

2020 2019 2018 Average

[email protected] 20

Page 21: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Heating Oil - Average Weekly Spot Price - NY Harbour

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Heating Oil - Average Weekly Spot Price - NY Harbour

2020 2019 2018 Average

[email protected] 21

Page 22: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Diesel - Average Weekly Highway Price

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Diesel - Average Weekly Highway Price

2020 2019 2018 Average

[email protected] 22

Page 23: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Gasoline Unleaded - Average Weekly Highway Price

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Gasoline - Average Weekly Highway Price

2020 2019 2018 Average

[email protected] 23

Page 24: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Natural Gas Futures - New York Mercantile Exchange

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Natural Gas Futures - New York Mercantile Exchange

2020 2019 2018 Average

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Page 25: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Sugar #16 - New York Board of Trade (ICE)

22

24

26

28

30

32Ja

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Sugar #16 - New York Board of Trade (ICE)

2020 2018 2019 Average

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Page 26: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Orange Juice - (OJ) NYBOT ICE Weekly Price - Dollars per CWT

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180Ja

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y

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Orange Juice - (OJ) ICE Average Weekly Price

2020 2019 2018 Average

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Page 27: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Coffee - (KC) NYBOT Average Weekly Price - Dollars per Pound

0.8

0.9

1

1.1

1.2

1.3

1.4

1.5

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ary

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Coffee - (KC) NYBOT Average Weekly PriceDollars / Pound

2020 2019 2018 Average

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Page 28: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Foreign Exchange Rate - Euro, EMU Members

1.04

1.09

1.14

1.19

1.24

Janu

ary

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Foreign Exchange Rate - Euro, EMU MembersFederal Reserve Bank of New York

2020 2019 2018 Average

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Page 29: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Foreign Exchange Rate - Canadian Dollar

1.2

1.25

1.3

1.35

1.4

1.45

1.5

1.55

1.6Ja

nuar

y

Febr

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Foreign Exchange Rate - Canadian DollarFederal Reserve Bank of New York

2020 2019 2018 Average

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Page 30: Key Commodity Report · Trading platform where many commodities are bought & sold. Now known as the CME Group. CME Group Chicago Mercantile Exchange and CBOT mergedto create the CME

Foreign Exchange Rate - Australian Dollar

0.55

0.6

0.65

0.7

0.75

0.8

0.85Ja

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Foreign Exchange Rate - Australian DollarFederal Reserve Bank of New York

2020 2019 2018 Average

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