Prof. Dr. Mir Shabbar Ali

Karachi Bus Rapid Transit Progress

Courtesy:Mirza Anwar Baig

ConsultantKarachi Mass Transit Cell, KMC

Presentation on BRTS in Karachi

Population Projection for Karachi

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 20350

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

15.1

18.9

23.1

27.6

29.7

31.6

Year

Popu

latio

n (M

illio

ns)

Current Population

Projection in KSDP 2020

Projection in KTIP

Source : KTIP 2030

An increase of almost 9 million

people

An increase of another 4 million

people

Population in 20051,000,000500,000100,000

Population in 20201,000,000500,000100,000

Expected Population Growth Trend by Town upto 2030

Gadap Town

Bin Qasim Town

Kemari Town

New Karachi Town

Most of the population growth is expected to take place in the out skirts of the existing city i.e. Gadap Town, Bin Qasim Town, Keamari Town, New Karachi Town as the centre is already densely populated.

World Metropolitan Population

All Metropolises of the world have Mass Transit Systems EXCEPT KARACHI

Toky

o

Guang

zhou

Seou

l

Delhi

Mum

bai

Mex

ico

City

New Y

ork

Sao

Paul

o

Man

ila

Jaka

rta0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

34.3

25.1 24.6 24.1 23.5 22.922

20.8 20.218.8

Pop

ula

tion

(M

illio

ns)

Karachi Now

Karachi in 2030

6

Status of Existing Public Transport [Vehicle Count VS Occupancy Comparison]

• 4.5% composition of Public Transport Vehicles carry 42% of Total Persons Traveling in the City.

• Private Cars which is 36.5% of Total Vehicular Traffic carries only 21% of Persons. Showing Lesser Average Vehicle Occupancy.

• The above leads to the conclusion that there is still deficiency of Public Transport availability on all Major Routes in the city.

In order to improve the transport situation in Karachi city

KARACHI TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT STUDY PROJECT 2010 – 12 was conducted by

Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) in association with

Karachi Mass Transit Cell (KMTC), Karachi Metropolitan Corporation (KMC)

including preparation of Transport Master Plan with 2030 vision

Karachi Transport Improvement Plan 2030

The JICA Study Team has reviewed the corridors and the systems in previous plans and analyzed alternatives corridors and systems.

The master plan network consists of • Karachi Circular Railway (KCR), • Two Mass Rapid Transits (MRTs) named as Blue Line and Brown

Line and • 6 Bus Rapid Transits (BRTs) along major corridors.

Karachi Transport Improvement Plan 2030

BRT-1Length: 21.1 Km

BRT-2Length: 24.4 Km

BRT-3Length: 26.0 KmBRT-6

Length: 11.8 Km

BRT-5Length: 9.7 Km

BRT-4Length: 3.9 Km

Total length of Mass Transit Network: 189.8 kmMRT Network: 98.5 km; BRT Network: 91.3

Karachi Transport Improvement Plan 2030

• JICA identified Red, Green and Yellow Line as priority corridors and completed technical feasibility study for Red and Green Line.

• No resettlement and Land procurement issues in the BRT Corridors/Lines.

• The Project Development of BRT Yellow Line was approved in the 9th PPP Policy Board held in November 2012.

• Accordingly KMTC, KMC has engaged a consortium of consultancy firms consisting of financial, legal and technical, expertise to act as Transaction Advisors for the Project in April 2013.

• The Advisory Consortium consists of

Karachi Transport Improvement Plan 2030

(Project Brief)BRT “Yellow” Line

Dawood Chowrangi

Murtaza Chowrang

i

Singer Chowrangi

Bilal Chowrangi

Vita Chowrangi

Chamra Chowrangi

Brooks Chowrang

i

KPT Interchang

e

Kh -e- Itteha

d

Sunset Boulevar

d

DHA More

Kala Pull

Shah Ahmad Noorani

FTC Interchang

e

Nursery

Allah Wali Chowrangi

Mansehra Colony

Jam Sadiq Bridge

Khalid Bin Waleed Road

People’s Roundabout

CDGK Parking Plaza

Empress Market

Regal Chowk

Numaish

Khudadad Colony

Yellow Line

Proposed Bridge Widening

Proposed Elevated Structure

At-Grade StationProposed Grade Separated Station

Proposed Elevated Structure (For Mix Traffic)

BRT (In Mix Traffic)

BRT Yellow Line - Route

Average speed of system30 km/hr

Estimated BRT

Ridership 2013125,000 Pax per day

Bridge wideningone (1km)

Proposed stations24

Proposed flyoversThree

Overhead pedestrian bridges 24

Corridor .

length 26 km (Dedicated: 16km,

Elevated 4km,Mixed Traffic 4km)

Estimated project costPKR 8-10 bn

Salient Features after Initial Study

Progress of the Transaction Advisors on Yellow Line is as follows:– Have submitted the Inception Report of the Assignment– Have conducted major traffic, topographic and other related surveys– Initial cost estimate has been determined– Other technical studies are in progress– Broad Project/Transaction structure has been determined– Work on the Financial Model has been initiated– Preliminary meeting for Legal Review has been conducted– Preliminary meeting for Regulatory Authority / Company has been completed – RFQ, EOI and Project Brief Submitted and approved by TFEC

Project Status

(Project Brief)BRT “Red” Line

BRT Red Line - Route

Average speed of system25 km/hr

Estimated BRT

Ridership 2013355,000Pax per day

Bridge widening0

Proposed stations20

Proposed flyovers0

Overhead pedestrian bridges 20

Corridor .

length –22.2 km (Dedicated: 22.2 km,

Elevated 0 km,Mixed Traffic 0 km)

Estimated project costPKR 10-11 bn

Salient Features after Initial Study

• Technical Feasibility Study of the Project completed by JICA• EOI, RFQ and Project Brief completed and can be finalized in

weeks’ time. • Bidding Documents (RFP & Concession Agreement) to be prepared

for BRT Yellow Line shall be used for the Project. Resultantly Cost saving for Government.

• Note for Chief Secretary for formation of Technical and Financial Evaluation Committee (a requirement of SPPRA) for Green Line is in process.

Project Status

(Project Brief)BRT “Green” Line

BRT Green Line - Route

Average speed of system25 km/hr

Estimated BRT

Ridership 2013432,000 Pax per day

Bridge widening0

Proposed stations28(24 at grade,4 elevated)

Proposed flyovers2

Overhead pedestrian bridges 24

Corridor .

length 22.1 km (Dedicated: 22.1 km,

Elevated 3.2 km,Mixed Traffic-0 km)

Estimated project costPKR 14-15 bn

Salient Features after Initial Study

• Technical Feasibility Study of the Project completed by JICA• EOI, RFQ and Project Brief completed and can be finalized in

weeks’ time. • Bidding Documents (RFP & Concession Agreement) to be prepared

for BRT Yellow Line shall be used for the Project. Resultantly Cost saving for Government.

• Note for Chief Secretary for formation of Technical and Financial Evaluation Committee (a requirement of SPPRA) for Green Line is in process.

Project Status

Project Structure

Share pledge

Shareholdersagreement

Sponsors Procuring Authority/ Public Sector SPV

Insurance company End users

Party A:Infrastructure

& maintenance

Party B: Operator

Party C:Fare collector

Direct agreement/support guarantees

Insurance agreement Fare

Disbursement of funds

LendersIncome from fare collection

Private Parties

Services

Debt repayment

ROI guaranteed/ support

Project Structure for Yellow Line

■ Infrastructure design, ■ Construction of bus

way and bus depots) ■ Maintenance of

infrastructure

Party A:Infrastructure &

maintenance

Party B: Operator

Party C:Fare collector

■ Procurement of busses ■ Operation of the same■ Maintenance of bus

fleet

■ Collection of fare and non-fare revenue

■ ITS systems and related infrastructure

■ Compensation in form of annuity payments over predetermined period of time

■ Payment on per km basis with various elements of inflation and pass through items built into formula

■ Fixed payment by Party to Authority with incentive to pocket upside

■ Or % payment surcharge

Incentive structure Incentive structure Incentive structure

ResponsibilitiesMajor responsibilities of private parties

Proposed Project Structure

Implementation Structure

• Proposed “Sindh BRT Company” • Basic obligations shall include:

– Policy / Regulation Formation, Administration and Management

– Planning and Design – Contracting and Concessions, Project Award and

Implementation – Engineering and Construction – Liaising with Government Authorities– Operational Management and Enforcement and Rights to

Penalize– Marketing and Customer Care

Implementation Structure

• Dedicated Company required because :– Specialized professional/technical expertise required for the

Project– Implementation of Project requires authority/powers from

various agencies, who shall surrender powers for BRT Corridor in favor of BRTC

– Regulation Monitoring a specialized task considering best practice and sophisticated technology

– In accordance with Global Practice (Transmilano SA, Transport for London etc), Same model followed by Punjab whereby an authority has been formed by act of parliament

– Representation of all Stakeholders

Implementation Structure

• To be incorporated under Companies Ordinance 1984• Proposed board representation after initial

assessment, as follows:• Secretary Transport and Mass Transit Chairman• Director General, Mass Transit• Special Secretary Finance (B & E)• Administrator (Co-opt Member) of City where the Project is being

implemented• DIG Traffic• P & D Chief Transport• Pakistan Engineering Council Representative• ICAP Representative• Acedmia Representative

Salient Features

• Formal approval by Honorable Chief Minister, Sindh for formation of “Sindh BRT Company”.

• After detailed legal review, a formal Summary to be moved by Transport Department, GoS with the necessary particulars for approval of Honorable Chief Minister.

• Approval of PPP Policy Board is required for launch of Yellow Line under PPP Mode. RFQ, EoI and Project Brief have been completed and can be finalized in a week’s time.

• Launch of Red and Green Line shall be made after launch/progress of Yellow Line considering the considering the investment climte.

Decisions Solicited

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