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  • Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365

    Corporate capital structure and the characteristics ofsuppliers and customers$

    Jayant R. Kalea, Husayn Shahrurb,

    r 2006 Published by Elsevier B.V.

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    www.elsevier.com/locate/jfec

    ParisUniversite Paris (Sorbonne), Laval University, the Lebanese American University, and University of

    Pittsburgh. We appreciate the research assistance of Lin Hai and Jian Wen. We thank Joseph Fan and Larry Lang

    for providing the conversion table for the IO-SIC codes.0304-405X/$ - see front matter r 2006 Published by Elsevier B.V.

    doi:10.1016/j.jneco.2005.12.007

    Corresponding author.

    E-mail address: [email protected] (H. Shahrur).JEL classifications: G32; G33; L13; L14; L22; L24

    Keywords: Capital structure; Relationship-specic investments; Implicit contracts; Market power; Buyer power

    $We have beneted from discussions with Vikas Agarwal, Anwar Boumosleh, Sudip Datta, Gerry Gay, Marty

    Grace, Atul Gupta, Srini Krishnamurthy, Kartik Raman, Stefan Ruenzi, Chip Ryan, Ajay Subramanian, Anand

    Venkateswaran, Lingling Wang, Chip Wiggins, an anonymous referee, and seminar participants at the 2004

    Financial Management Association meetings, the 2005 European Financial Management Association meetings,

    Bentley College, the Indian Institute of ManagementBangalore, Institut dAdministration des Entreprises deaJ. Mack Robinson College of Business, Georgia State University, Atlanta, GA 30303, USAbDepartment of Finance, Bentley College, Waltham, MA 02452, USA

    Received 2 June 2005; received in revised form 29 November 2005; accepted 19 December 2005

    Available online 20 November 2006

    Abstract

    We investigate the link between a rms leverage and the characteristics of its suppliers and

    customers. Specically, we examine whether rms use decreased leverage as a commitment

    mechanism to induce suppliers/customers to undertake relationship-specic investments. We nd

    that the rms leverage is negatively related to the R&D intensities of its suppliers and customers. We

    also nd lower debt levels for rms operating in industries in which strategic alliances and joint

    ventures with rms in supplier and customer industries are more prevalent. Consistent with a

    bargaining role for debt, we nd a positive relation between rm debt level and the degree of

    concentration in supplier/customer industries.

  • ARTICLE IN PRESS1. Introduction

    Since Modigliani and Millers (1958) capital structure irrelevance result, researchershave searched for capital structure explanations primarily within the context of rmboundaries that are determined by explicit contracts among stakeholders includingshareholders, debtholders, managers, and the government. The research in this stream ofliterature provides important insights into the effects of taxes, bankruptcy costs,information asymmetries, agency issues, and other frictions on corporate leveragedecisions. Building on this work, another body of research (see, e.g., Titman, 1984;Maksimovic and Titman, 1991) analyzes a rms capital structure decision in a setting inwhich the rms boundaries include implicit as well as explicit contracts. We contribute tothis latter stream by investigating how the inclusion of suppliers and customers asstakeholders affects a rms leverage choice.We focus on two aspects of the relation between a rms debt level and its dealings in the

    input and output markets. First, we hypothesize that a rm can use a lower level of debt inits capital structure to induce its suppliers and customers to undertake relationship-specic(RS) investments. Our hypothesis is based on the work by Titman (1984) andMaksimovic and Titman (1991). Titman (1984) suggests that a rm with a unique productmay require its customers to undertake investments that lose value if the rm goes intoliquidation. In this setting, lower leverage commits the rm to a liquidation policy thattakes into account the effects on its customers. Further, customers may not be willing todeal with a highly levered rm, which is less likely to worry about its reputation(Maksimovic and Titman, 1991). We apply this intuition to RS investments by suppliersand customers and hypothesize that rms that expect their suppliers/customers toundertake R-S investments will carry lower levels of debt.Our second hypothesis considers the relation between a rms choice of debt level and its

    bargaining position relative to its suppliers/customers. The intuition for our hypothesisfollows from the extant literature on the role of debt in managementlabor unionbargaining (see, e.g., Bronars and Deere, 1991), which suggests that raising the debt levelincreases the managements bargaining power vis-a`-vis a labor union by reducing theamount of rm surplus available for sharing with labor. Specically, we hypothesize that arm may choose a higher debt level when it faces suppliers/customers who have relativelyhigher bargaining power. The empirical implication of this hypothesis is a positive relationbetween a rms debt level and measures of supplier/customer negotiation power.In order to test our hypotheses, we construct two separate data sets. The rst data set

    identies suppliers and customers at the industry level and the second consists of keycustomer and supplier rms. The industry-level data offer three distinct benets relative tothe rm-level data. First, the sample of rms in the industry-level data set is much larger.Second, endogeneity issues that are endemic to corporate nance research are likely to besignicantly less severe in tests that relate a rms capital structure to variables measuredfor supplier and customer industries than to variables measured for supplier and customerfirms. Third, industry-level data allow us to relate rm nancing decisions to importantvariables such as the levels of buyer and supplier power that need to be measured at theindustry level. The main advantage of the rm-level data set, on the other hand, is that itidenties supplier and customer rms more precisely and thus the inferences based on thendings from this data are cleaner. Further, it allows us to examine the effect of a rms

    J.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365322leverage on the RS investments of its key suppliers and customers.

  • ARTICLE IN PRESSIn order to test our rst hypothesis, we measure RS investment by two sets of variables.Allen and Phillips (2000) suggest that R&D-intensive industries are more likely to createrelationship-specic assets. Accordingly, we base our rst set of variables for RSinvestments on supplier and customer R&D investments. Next, as in Fee, Hadlock, andThomas (2005), we conjecture that rms are more likely to establish strategic alliances(SAs) and joint ventures (JVs) with suppliers/customers when there is a greater need forRS investments. Thus, the intensity of SAs and JVs that are established between thesample rms and suppliers/customers forms our second set of RS investments variables.We document signicant support for the negative relation between rm debt levels and

    the above measures of RS investments by suppliers/customers. We nd that a rmsleverage is decreasing in the R&D intensities of its supplier and customer industries. Wealso nd that rms operating in industries characterized by high intensities of SAs and JVswith rms in supplier and customer industries tend to have lower debt levels. We show thatthe economic signicance of these relations is comparable to that of traditionaldeterminants of capital structure. Next, we nd that the negative relations betweenleverage and the supplier and customer R&D variables are weaker for vertically integratedrms, which provides additional support for the RS investments hypothesis. Further, weshow that the negative relation between customer R&D investments and rm leverage ismore pronounced for rms that belong to a concentrated industry and for rms with highmarket share. This nding implies that the effect of customer RS investments on rmleverage is stronger when the rm produces an input for which there are few alternatesuppliers.The analysis using rm-level data further supports our hypothesis that rms lower debt

    levels to induce RS investments. We nd that rm leverage is negatively related to theR&D intensity of its key suppliers and customers and that leverage is lower for rms thathave established SAs or JVs with their key suppliers and customers.We then estimate simultaneous equation models that treat the rms leverage and the

    R&D of key suppliers and customers as endogenous variables. In addition to addressingendogeneity concerns, this specication also tests whether the rms leverage and the R&Dinvestment decisions of its suppliers and customers are simultaneously determined. We ndthat the negative relation between rm leverage and the R&D intensities of its suppliersand customers is robust to the simultaneous equation specication. In the R&Dregressions, we nd negative relations between the supplier and customer R&D andexpected leverage. Our ndings therefore add to the literature that studies the effect ofleverage on the rms dealings in the product markets (see, e.g., Opler and Titman, 1994;Phillips, 1995).Our second set of hypotheses relates to the use of debt in improving a rms bargaining

    position vis-a`-vis its suppliers/customers, where we use industry concentration to measurethe negotiation power of suppliers/customers. Consistent with a bargaining role for debt,we nd that rms that face concentrated supplier and customer industries tend to havehigher levels of debt. Further, the positive relation between leverage and the concentrationof supplier/customer industries is weaker for rms with high market shares in their ownindustry. The latter nding implies that when a rm has a higher market share in its ownindustry, its bargaining power vis-a`-vis its suppliers/customers is greater and, hence, it hasa lower incentive to use debt as a bargaining mechanism.The rest of the paper proceeds as follows. In Section 2, we review the literature and

    J.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365 323develop the empirical hypotheses. In Section 3, we provide details of the sample and the

  • ARTICLE IN PRESSmethodology we use to identify suppliers and corporate customers. We present the resultsin Section 4. Section 5 concludes the paper.

    2. Related literature and testable hypotheses

    Our work is part of a growing body of research that links capital structure and productmarket strategy; see Maksimovic (1995) for a review of this literature. Theoretical studiessuggest that leverage can affect the intensity of product market competition (see, e.g.,Brander and Lewis, 1986; Maksimovic, 1988; Chevalier and Scharfstein, 1996; Dasguptaand Titman, 1998). Empirical studies such as Opler and Titman (1994), Chevalier (1995a,b), Phillips (1995), Kovenock and Phillips (1997), Zingales (1998), Khanna and Tice (2000,2005), and Campello (2003, 2005) nd evidence consistent with leverage affecting productmarket strategy. Our study contributes to this literature by examining the relation betweenthe rms capital structure and the characteristics of its key suppliers and customers.Understanding this link is important since the ability of a rm to compete in the productmarket depends on its relations with its suppliers and customers.

    2.1. Relationship-specific investments and capital structure

    Our work closely relates to research that studies the relation between nancial structureand implicit contracting. Titman (1984) demonstrates that the rm can commit to aliquidation policy that takes into consideration the effect of rm liquidation on customersby choosing a lower debt level. Developing this idea further, Maksimovic and Titman(1991) show that customers may be unwilling to conduct business with a highly leveredrm because higher debt reduces the rms willingness to invest in its reputation andproduce high-quality products.We build on the insights from the implicit contracting studies to formulate our

    hypothesis regarding the relation between a rms debt level and RS investments by itssuppliers and customers. Suppose that a rms operations depend on its ability to induceits suppliers or customers to undertake RS investments, and further, that theseinvestments lose value if the rm goes into liquidation. Then the rms capital structurewill affect the incentives of suppliers and customers to make RS investments as long asthe rms liquidation decision is causally linked to its bankruptcy status (Titman, 1984). Inaddition, because high debt can reduce the rms incentives to invest in its reputation(Maksimovic and Titman, 1991), and hence reduces the willingness of suppliers andcustomers to undertake RS investments, a rm that expects its customers/suppliers toundertake RS investments should choose lower debt levels. On the other hand, if somerms are expected to remain highly levered due to exogenous factors, one would expect thesuppliers and customers of such rms to undertake less RS investments.Further, the effect of RS investments by customers on the rms leverage can be more

    pronounced if the rm produces an input for which there are few alternative suppliers. Forinstance, if a customer rm has many potential suppliers, it may decide to diversify its RSinvestments and deal with many suppliers that produce the same input, thereby reducingits exposure to a loss given the liquidation of any particular supplier. In addition, the lossin the value of RS investments undertaken with any given supplier may be lower if thereare similar rms in the supplier industry that can salvage some of these investments in the

    J.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365324case of liquidation. Using the concentration of the rms industry and the rms market

  • share as proxies for the importance of the rm to its customer, the above argumentssuggest that the effect of RS investments on leverage will be weaker for rms in a dispersesupplier industry and for rms with lower market shares.The above discussions relate to the use of debt as a mechanism to induce RS

    investments. We recognize that debt is not the only tool available to a rm for this

    The intensity of R&D expenditure of suppliers and customers is our rst proxy for the

    ARTICLE IN PRESSJ.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365 325intensive industries tend to involve specialized inputs that require transaction-specicinvestments by suppliers. In addition, vertical chains that are R&D intensive are likely tohave complex interstage interdependencies (Armour and Teece, 1980). Allen and Phillips(2000) suggest that R&D-intensive industries are more likely to create relationship-specicassets. In addition to the R&D-based measures, we construct variables from data on SAsand JVs as alternative measures of RS investments between a rm and its suppliers/customers. Fee, Hadlock, and Thomas (2005) nd that a rm is more likely to establishSAs with trading partners that are expected to undertake RS investments. As a result,RS investments are likely to be higher if the rm and its suppliers/customers haveestablished such alliances.1

    To summarize, the central hypothesis described in this section is:

    Hypothesis 1:. Firms that deal with R&D-intensive suppliers/customers and rms withhigh intensities of SAs and JVs with suppliers/customers choose lower leverage.

    We also test several related subhypotheses, namely: (i) the negative relations between therms leverage and the proxies for RS investments by customers (customer R&D, and theintensity of SAs and JVs with customers) are weaker for rms in disperse industries and forthose with low market shares; (ii) the negative relations between debt levels and the proxiesfor RS investments by supplier/customers are weaker for vertically integrated rms; and(iii) suppliers and customers of a highly levered rm undertake lower levels of R&Dinvestments.

    1An alternative proxy is one that only includes SAs. An argument for excluding JVs is that, once a JV is formed,

    partners in the JV may be less concerned with nancial distress in the parent companies. On the other hand, if

    establishing a JV indicates that the partners are likely to cooperate in the future, then nancial distress at the

    parent level becomes more important. To address this issue, we repeat our analysis by excluding JVs from ourextent of RS investments. The use of R&D intensity as a proxy for asset specicity isprevalent in the empirical literature on transactions cost economics; see Boerner andMacher (2001) for a recent review of this literature. Levy (1985) argues that research-purpose, that is, that a rm can induce the desired behavior from its trading partnersthrough other mechanisms. For example, Williamson (1985) argues that rms contemplatevertical integration when incentive problems with suppliers/customers are severe. Thisobservation leads to an interesting test of our hypothesis. If vertical integration is asolution to the incentive problem, then debt is less likely to be used as the incentivemechanism for vertically integrated rms. We therefore expect that the negative relationsbetween the debt level and the proxies for RS investments will be weaker when rmsintegrate vertically.measures. The results of this analysis are qualitatively similar to those reported here.

  • 2.2. Debt and bargaining

    Bronars and Deere (1991) investigate the use of debt as a negotiating tool by rms in

    surplus from workers and/or other input suppliers.2 Bronars and Deere (1991) present

    ARTICLE IN PRESSJ.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365326suppliers/customers. Specically, we conjecture that a rm will choose a higher debt levelwhen it faces suppliers/customers who enjoy greater bargaining power. In our empiricaltests we proxy supplier/customer bargaining power by the degree of concentration in thesupplier/customer industry, where greater concentration indicates greater bargainingpower. The use of industry concentration as a proxy for bargaining power has signicantsupport in the literature. In the case of suppliers, researchers argue that more concentratedsuppliers have greater seller power over their customers (see Stigler, 1964; Scherer andRoss, 1990 for a review of this literature). Thus, a rm that faces a concentrated supplierindustry is at a bargaining disadvantage, whereas the presence of numerous alternativesuppliers empowers the rm because it can make a credible threat to withhold futurebusiness from its existing suppliers (see, e.g., Holmstrom and Roberts, 1998). Similararguments apply to the degree of concentration in the rms customer industry. Inparticular, Maskin and Riley (1984), Stole and Zwiebel (1996), and Snyder (1996) proposemodels that suggest that more concentrated customers enjoy greater buyer power overtheir suppliers. The buyer power theory predicts that a rms bargaining power vis-a`-vis itscustomers should be decreasing in the concentration of the downstream industry.To summarize, our second central hypothesis described in this section is:

    Hypothesis 2:. A rms leverage is positively related to the concentration levels in itssupplier and customer industries.

    Since bargaining power is increasing in industry concentration, a rm with a dominantposition in its industry should enjoy a bargaining advantage vis-a`-vis its trading partners.Therefore, a rm with a high market share should have less incentive to use debt as abargaining tool. The ensuing subhypothesis, therefore, is that the positive relation betweena rms debt level and supplier/customer industry concentration is weaker for rms withhigher market shares.

    2The business press recognizes the ability of a rms suppliers and customers to expropriate some of the rms

    prots. For example, Fitzgerald (1996) suggests that suppliers of US automakers resist opening their books toempirical evidence that rms facing greater threats of unionization have higher leverageratios (see also Hanka, 1998).We propose that debt can play a similar bargaining role in a rms dealings with itsreducing the rm surplus that workers can extract through union formation. Since a rm iscommitted to pay a portion of its future surplus to debtholders, debt obligations reduce thepart of the surplus that a union can extract without driving the rm into bankruptcy.Bronars and Deere show that an optimal capital structure obtains when the marginalwealth gain from the reduction in the union wage is equal to the marginal increase inbankruptcy costs. Dasgupta and Sengupta (1993), Perotti and Spier (1993), andSubramanian (1996) show that a rm can use debt to shield a portion of its futuretheir customers because of their fear that the customers would signicantly chip away at their prot margins.

  • ARTICLE IN PRESS3. Data, sample construction, and variable descriptions

    To construct our sample, we identify all rms covered by Compustat during the period19842003. As is common in cross-sectional studies of capital structure determinants (see,e.g., Berger, Ofek, and Yermack, 1997), we exclude nancial rms (SIC codes between6000 and 6999) and utilities (SIC codes between 4900 and 4999). We also exclude all rmsthat are headquartered in a foreign country (Compustats state variable equals 99) sincethe supplier and customer characteristics we capture reect the US market. From thismaster sample, we construct different subsamples to examine supplier and customer effectsat both the industry and rm levels. In Section 3.1, we discuss the supplier and customervariables and the restrictions we employ to create the subsamples used in our industry-levelanalysis. In Section 3.2, we describe the variables and the subsamples used in our analysisof key suppliers and customers. Section 3.3 discusses our leverage measures and controlvariables.

    3.1. Samples and variable construction at supplier- and customer-industry levels

    As we mention earlier, we rst relate a rms debt level to the characteristics of the rmssupplier and customer industries. The advantages of the industry-level data, relative to therm-level data, are: signicantly larger sample size, less severe endogeneity problems, andgreater suitability for constructing the concentration measures.

    3.1.1. Supplier- and customer-industry R&D intensities

    Since most rms use a large number of inputs, we measure supplier R&D intensity as theweighted average of the R&D intensities of all supplier industries, where the weightrepresents the importance of the input bought from each supplier industry in theproduction of the rms output. Specically, the supplier R&D intensity for a rm in theith industry is given by

    Supplier Industries R&D Xn

    j1;jai

    Supplier Industry R&Dj Industry Input Coefficientji; (1)

    where n is the number of supplier industries, Supplier Industry R&Dj is the jth supplierindustrys R&D expenditures divided by its total assets, and Industry Input Coefficientji isthe dollar amount of the jth supplier industrys output used as an input to produce onedollar of the output of the ith industry. Note that the supplier R&D intensity measure willbe high if the rm outsources a signicant part of its inputs from R&D-intensive supplierindustries.Analogously, the R&D intensity of customer industries, Customer Industries R&D, is

    given by

    Customer Industries R&D Xn

    j1jai

    Customer Industry R&Dj Industry Percentage Soldji; (2)

    where n is the number of customer industries, Customer Industry R&Dj is the R&Dintensity of the jth customer industry measured by the ratio of the industrys total R&Dexpenditures to its total assets, and Industry Percentage Soldji is the percentage of the ith

    J.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365 327industrys output that is sold to the jth customer industry. Intuitively, Industry Percentage

  • Soldji measures the importance of the jth customer industry as a buyer of the output of therms industry. Thus, Customer Industries R&D is a weighted average of the R&D intensityof all customer industries, where the weight is the percentage of the output of the rmsindustry that is sold to each customer industry.

    where n is the number of customer industries, Herfindahl Indexj is the Herndahl index of

    ARTICLE IN PRESSJ.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 3213653283Our measures are more in line with the variables used in Bartelsman, Caballero, and Lyons (1994). Shea (1993)

    uses a measure that is similar to Customer Change in Sales as an instrument for demand shock. However, Shea

    imposes restrictions on the downstream industries that are included in his measure to ensure both the absence of

    correlation between the variable and industry supply (exogeneity), and the presence of correlation between the

    variable and industry output (relevance). While these restrictions are crucial to Sheas objective of estimating thethe jth customer industry, and Industry Percentage Soldji is as dened above.

    3.1.3. Growth in supplier/customer industries

    It is possible that the supplier and customer R&D variables can capture someaspects of the rms own growth that is related to growth in its upstream and down-stream industries. In addition to rm-specic control variables that we use to controlfor the rms growth opportunities (see Section 3.4), we construct variables that controlfor the effect of growth in supplier and customer industries on the rms leverage.Following the literature (see, e.g., Shea, 1993; Bartelsman, Caballero and Lyons, 1994), wedene the two variables Supplier Change in Sales and Customer Change in Sales asfollows:3

    Supplier Change in Sales Xn

    j1jai

    Change in Salesj Industry Input Coefficientji; (5)

    Customer Change in Sales Xn

    j1jai

    Change in Salesj Industry Percentage Soldji; (6)3.1.2. Supplier/customer industry concentration

    To capture the concentration of supplier (customer) industries, we follow the literatureand use a weighted average of the concentrations of all supplier (customer) industries (see,e.g., Ravenscraft, 1983; Scherer and Ross, 1990). For each rm in the ith industry, thesupplier concentration measure is dened as:

    Supplier Concentration Xn

    j1iaj

    Herfindahl Indexj Industry Input Coefficientji, (3)

    where n is the number of supplier industries,Herfindahl Indexj is the sales-based Herndahlindex of the jth supplier industry, and Industry Input Coefficientji is as dened above.Similarly, for each rm in the ith industry, the concentration of customers is:

    Customer Concentration Xn

    j1jai

    Herfindahl Indexj Industry Percentage Soldji; (4)elasticity of supply, they are less relevant to our study.

  • where n is the number of supplier (customer) industries, Change in Salesj is the one-yearchange in sales for the median rm in the jth supplier (customer) industry, and IndustryInput Coefficientji (Industry Percentage Soldji) is as dened above.

    4

    ARTICLE IN PRESSJ.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365 3293.1.4. Construction of supplier/customer R&D, concentration, and change in sales variables

    We rely on two data sources, the Use table of the benchmark input-output (IO) accountsfor the US economy and the Compustat database, to construct the supplier and customerindustry variables described above (see Fan and Lang, 2000; Shahrur, 2005 for recentpapers that use this data set). For any pair of supplier and customer industries, the Usetable reports estimates of the dollar value of the supplier industrys output that is used asan input in the production of the customer industrys output. The Use table enables us toidentify the rms customer and supplier industries and the importance of each supplier/customer industry to the rm. We use the 1987, 1992, and 1997 Use tables for the periods19841989, 19901994, and 19952003, respectively. We compute the R&D intensities,industry concentrations, and change in sales of supplier/customer industries fromCompustat. Appendix A describes the variable construction process in greater detail.

    3.1.5. Labor as an input

    In addition to the inputs bought from suppliers, labor is also a major input to the rmsproduction process. The supplier R&D variable described above does not take intoconsideration differences across rms with respect to their reliance on labor. To control forthis factor, we construct the variable Compensation of Employees as the dollar amountspent on employee compensation in the rms industry divided by the industrys totaloutput. This variable is computed using data from the input-output accounts. Further,since some rms may require that their employees undertake rm-specic investments, weuse the product of Compensation of Employees and the rms own R&D intensity as aproxy for the importance of rm-specic investments by employees.

    3.1.6. Industry-level strategic alliances and joint venture variables

    We conjecture that industries with higher levels of RS investments between the industryrms and suppliers/customers are also likely to have a higher intensity of SAs and JVs withtheir suppliers/customers (see, e.g., Fee, Hadlock, and Thomas, 2005). For each rm in oursamples, we identify all the SAs and JVs announced over the sample period (19842003) inwhich the sample rm is a participant from the Securities Data Company (SDC) strategicalliance and joint venture database. Using the input-output tables and the rms four-digitSIC code, we then identify whether at least one of the other participants in the SA/JVarrangement operates in a supplier or a customer industry. For the purposes of thisselection, we include only those supplier industries that sell more than 1% of their totaloutput to the rms industry. We also include a customer industry if the total dollaramount spent on the input bought from the rms industry represents more than 1% of theindustrys total output. For each four-digit SIC code industry, we dene Supplier(Customer) Alliance and JV Intensity as the number of SAs and JVs formed by rms in

    4Using a three-year change in sales (t3 to t) in the construction of Supplier and Customer Change in Sales yieldssimilar results. As an alternative measure for growth in supplier (customer) markets, we use a weighted average of

    the market-to-book ratios of the median rms in supplier (customer) industries. The results from this specicationare similar to those reported below.

  • that industry with rms in a supplier (customer) industry divided by the number of rms inthe industry.

    3.1.7. Vertical integration variables

    Firms can also resort to vertical integration to address contracting problems that arisewith their suppliers and customers. As a result, the effect of supplier- and customer-relatedvariables on leverage should be less pronounced for vertically integrated rms. FromCompustats segment tapes, we determine whether a rm in our sample has a segment in asupplier/customer industry SIC code. In order to capture the extent of vertical integrationfor rms in our sample, we construct a Backward (Forward) Integration Dummy, whichequals one if the rm has at least one segment in a supplier (customer) industry, and zerootherwise. In the construction of these variables, we include only those supplier industries

    ARTICLE IN PRESSJ.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365330that sell at least 1% of their total output to the rms industry, and those customerindustries whose total dollar amount spent on the input bought from the rms industryrepresents at least 1% of their total outputs.

    3.1.8. Samples used in the analyses

    Not every rm has identiable suppliers and customers whose characteristics can affectits leverage. In order to test our hypotheses on the largest number of rms possible, weexamine upstream and downstream effects separately on different data subsamples. Wealso discuss in Section 4.2.4 an alternative approach whereby we use the same sample toexamine supplier and customer effects.To construct the two subsamples, we impose the following restrictions. First, since the

    inputs bought by rms in retail and wholesale industries (SIC codes between 5000 and5999) are sold to other customers without any signicant processing, that is, they are notused as intermediate inputs, we analyze supplier effects on a subsample that excludes rmsin these industries. This subsample consists of a panel of 76,290 rm-year observations for10,310 rms for which we can construct the industry-level supplier variables.5

    We also impose restrictions to obtain a sample for examining customer effects. Somerms sell to nal users and have no identiable customer rms. Because customercharacteristics are not observable for these rms, in our analysis of customer effects a rmis included in the subsample if no more than 25% of its output is sold to nal users.6 Basedon the Use table, we dene sales to nal users as uses classied under the IO system as:

    5We verify whether the inclusion of rms that mainly use raw materials, such as steel producers, adds noise to

    our analysis. Noise may result, for instance, from including rms that buy raw materials from R&D-intensive

    suppliers, whose R&D investments are not likely to be RS investments (in this case, the supplier R&D variable

    will be a noisy measure of RS investments by suppliers). We nd that most rms in the agriculture and mining

    industries do not undertake any R&D investments, and thus their R&D intensity is not a noisy measure of their

    limited RS investments. Nonetheless, we repeat the analysis of supplier effects excluding all rms that buy at least

    50% of their input from rms in the agriculture and mining industries; the results are qualitatively similar to those

    reported here.6The Use table shows the ow of commodities as if they move directly to nal users, that is, even if they reach

    nal users by means of wholesalers or retailers (which are treated as service industries whose primary service is the

    distribution of goods). If trade were shown as buying and reselling commodities, then many industries would have

    wholesalers and retailers as their suppliers and customers. This method of treating trade is crucial to our study

    since we are able to capture the actual consuming industries or nal users even if a commodity is sold through

    retailers and wholesalers. However, this leads to a downward bias in the customer concentration for industriesselling consumer products, since they sell some of their goods through concentrated wholesale and retail

  • Personal Consumption Expenditures, Gross Private Fixed Investments, and GovernmentConsumption Expenditures and Gross Investment.7 Appendix A contains the assumptionsmade in the construction of the customer variables regarding the characteristics of nalusers for rms included in the sample. Appendix B presents a list of selected industriesalong with the percentage of the industry output sold to nal users, which rangesfrom 100% to 0%. For example, the industry Motor Homes (SIC code 3716) sellsall its output to nal users (mainly individuals), and thus rms in this industry are notincluded in the customer subsample. On the other hand, a rm in the industry PrimaryProduction of Aluminum (SIC code 3334) is included in the subsample since all its output isused as intermediate input in the production of other products. The restrictions im-posed on the customer subsample result in an unbalanced panel of 26,300 rm-year

    ARTICLE IN PRESSJ.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365 331observations for 4,065 rms for which we can construct the industry-level customervariables. The median industry included in this subsample sells approximately 6.5% of itsoutput to nal users.

    3.2. Customer and supplier variables using firm-level data

    The supplier and customer variables described above are at the industry level. We alsoinvestigate the relation between corporate debt levels and supplier/customer characteristicsthat are measured at the rm level. We compute these rm-level characteristics from thesubsamples of rms for which we can identify the key suppliers and customers. Inaccordance with the Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) no. 14 and 131,public rms have to disclose the identity of any customer that contributes at least 10% tothe rms revenues, although some rms choose to report customers that contribute lessthan 10%. While these data are available on Compustats industry segment les, thedatabase reports only the name of the customer (not CUSIP or other identiers) and,further adding to the difculty, sometimes it reports only the abbreviated versions of thenames. As a result, we use a combination of automated and manual procedures to identifythe customer rms for our sample rms.8 We impose the same restrictions used toconstruct the industry-level subsamples. We exclude nancial rms and utilities, rms inthe retail and wholesale industries, and rms headquartered in a foreign country.9 Further,we exclude rms whose main supplier (main customer) is a retailer or a wholesaler from thesample used to examine supplier (customer) effects. Appendix C shows a list of selectedsupplier-customer industry pairs along with an example from each pair.

    (footnote continued)

    industries. Since such industries are not included in the sample used to examine customer effects, the effect of this

    bias on the relation between customer concentration and leverage is greatly mitigated.7Personal Consumption Expenditures represent purchases by individual consumers. Gross Private Fixed

    Investments consist of purchases of residential and nonresidential structures and of equipment and software by

    private businesses. Government Consumption Expenditures and Gross Investment consist of consumption

    expenditures and investments by federal, state, and local governments.8The procedure we follow to identify the customer rms is similar to that used in Fee and Thomas (2004) (see

    pp. 436437 of their study for more details).9Recall that in the industry-level analysis, a rm is included in the sample if at most 25% of the outputs of the

    rms industry are sales to nal users. We do not impose this restriction in this part of the analysis since we have

    detailed data about actual customers. Thus, a rm that sells its output to other rm is include in the sample even if

    the rms industry sells most of its output to nal users. Imposing the 25% restriction does signicantly affect ourresults.

  • Since some rms report many customers for any given year, we construct a weightedaverage of the R&D intensities of the rms key customers as follows:

    Key Customers R&D Xn

    j1Key Customer R&Dj Key Customer Percentage Soldj ; (7)

    ARTICLE IN PRESSJ.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365332sample is a panel of 9,452 supplier-year observations for which we are able to compute Keycustomers R&D and the other control variables.A signicant number of the customers in our sample are also the key customers to more

    than one supplier rms. Thus, for each customer rm in the sample, we compute the R&Dintensity of its suppliers as follows:

    Key Suppliers R&D Xn

    j1Key Supplier R&Dj Key Customer Input Coefficientj ; (8)

    where n is the number of suppliers, Key Supplier R&Dj is equal to the ratio of the R&Dexpense of the jth supplier to its total assets, and Key Customer Input Coefficientj is theratio of the customers purchases from the jth supplier to the customer total sales.10 Forthe period 19842002, this procedure results in a panel of 4,122 customer-yearobservations for which Key Suppliers R&D and the other control variables are available.Finally, using the data from the SDC database, we construct a dummy variable for SAs

    and JVs between a rm and its suppliers/customers. This dummy variable, Customer(Supplier) SA and JV Dummy, equals one if the rm has at least one SA or JV establishedwith one of its key customers (key suppliers), and zero otherwise.

    3.3. Leverage measures and control variables

    We use two measures of nancial leverage, Market Leverage and Book Leverage, whereMarket Leverage is equal to the sum of the book values of long-term debt and debt incurrent liabilities (Compustat items 9 and 34) divided by the sum of the book value of debtand the market value of common equity (item 25item 199), and Book Leverage is the sumof the book values of long-term debt and debt in current liabilities divided by the bookvalue of assets (item 6). Following the literature (see, e.g., Kale, Noe, and Ramirez, 1991;Berger, Ofek, and Yermack, 1997; Mackay and Phillips, 2006), we use the followingcontrol variables:

    1. Firm Size is the log of total assets (item 6).2. Return on Assets is operating income (item 13) divided by total assets.

    10Note that unlike the respective variables that are constructed using industry-level supplier and customer data,

    the Key Customer Percentage Sold and Key Customer Input Coefficientj variables do not sum to one for each rm

    since not all customer and supplier rms are reported. Thus, by construction, the key supplier and customer R&D

    variables are biased downward. To ensure that our results are not affected by this bias, we repeat our analysis of

    supplier (customer) effects after using the R&D intensity of the main supplier (customer). The results of this

    specication are qualitatively similar to those reported below. Section 4.3 show estimates of simultaneousof tpercequahe jth customer divided by its total assets, and Key Customer Percentage Soldj is theentage of the rms sales to the jth customer. For the period 19842002, the resultingwhere n is the number of customer rms, Key Customer R&Dj is equal to the R&D expensetion models that use this specication.

  • 3. Asset Collateral Value is net property, plant, and equipment (item 8) divided by totalassets.

    4. Volatility is the standard deviation of operating income divided by total assets. Werequire at least three consecutive observations to construct this variable.

    5. Nondebt Tax Shields is equal to investment tax credits (item 51) divided by total assets.6. R&D Intensity is equal to total research and development expenditures (item 46)

    divided by total assets (item 12).

    4. E

    ARTICLE IN PRESSJ.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365 33314O

    winsovalut retailers had missing values for this variable.

    ur results are not especially sensitive to winsorization. We nd qualitatively similar results without

    rizing the variables, although some of the results pertaining to the control variables that have extreme outlierbiote

    mosWe discuss the effect of including rm xed effects on our results in Section 4.5.

    We follow Loughran and Ritter (1997) and verify the validity of this assumption by checking the R&D of

    ch rms and retailers. We nd that almost all biotech rms had a nonzero value for the R&D variable whileLyan12

    13dres (2006) also nds that leverage is negatively related to the number of rivals in the industry.11Mackay and Phillips (2006) nd that rms in concentrated industries tend to rely more on debt nancing.the m

    pare the debt levels of above-median rms with the debt levels of rms that are belowedian and present the ndings in Table 2. The average values ofMarket Leverage andtwocomn the univariate analysis, for each variable of interest we divide our sample of rms intogroupsthose with variable values greater than the median and those below. We thenIUnivariate analysis4.1.mpirical ndings7. SE Intensity is equal to selling, general, and administrative expenses (SE) (item 189)divided by total assets.

    8. Tobins q is equal to the book value of assets plus the market value of common equityminus the book value of common equity (item 60) divided by the book value of assets.

    9. Industry Concentration is the sales-based Herndahl Index of the rms primaryindustry.11

    10. Industry and year dummy variables. The industry dummy variables are based on therms two-digit historical SIC code.12

    In the construction of our variables, we assume that the rm spends zero dollarson R&D (SE) if the R&D (SE) expense for a rm is missing.13 We nd that for mostof the control variables, some rms have extremely high values. For example, while themedian value of the selling expense variable is 0.23, its maximum value is 2,343. Wewinsorize all the dependent and independent variables (including the supplier andcustomer variables) at the 1st and 99th percentiles in order to reduce the effect of outlierson our results.14

    We present descriptive statistics for the dependent and independent variables in Table 1.The mean and median values for Market Leverage are 0.187 and 0.132, respectively. Themean and median values for Book Leverage are 0.268 and 0.210, respectively. Thedescriptive statistics of the independent variables presented in the table show wide rangesof values for all these variables, suggesting that the rms in our sample differ considerablywith regard to the characteristics of their suppliers and customers.es (such as R&D Intensity and SE Intensity) become statistically insignicant.

  • ARTICLE IN PRESS

    Table 1

    Descriptive statistics

    This table reports descriptive statistics for the dependent and independent variables. The sample period is from

    1984 to 2003. Market Leverage is the book value of long-term debt and debt in current liabilities divided by the

    sum of the the book value of debt and the market value of common equity. Book Leverage is the book value of

    long-term debt and debt in current liabilities divided by the book value of assets. Supplier Industries R&D

    (Customer Industries R&D) is the weighted average of the R&D intensities of all supplier (customer) industries.

    Supplier (Customer) SA and JV Intensity is the number of SAs and JVs established between industry rms and

    rms in supplier (customer) industries, divided by the number of rms in the industry. Compensation of Employees

    is total compensation paid to employees divided by total output, constructed at the industry level. Supplier

    Concentration (Customer Concentration) is the weighted average of the Herndahl indices of all supplier

    (customer) industries. Supplier (Customer) Change in Sales is a weighted average of the change in sales for

    supplier (customer) industries. Key Suppliers R&D (Key Customers R&D) is the weighted average of the R&D

    intensities of key suppliers (key customers). Suppliers(Customer) SA and JV Dummy is a dummy variable that

    equals one if the rm has at least one alliance or a SA established with one of its suppliers (customers), and zero

    otherwise. Industry concentration is the sales-based Herndahl index of the rms industry. Firm Size is the log of

    total assets. Asset Collateral Value is net property, plant, and equipment divided by total assets. Volatility is the

    standard deviation of operation income divided by total assets. Nondebt Tax Shields is investment tax credits

    divided by total assets. Return on Assets is operation income divided by total assets. Tobins q is book value of

    assets minus book value of common equity plus market value of common equity divided by book value of assets.

    R&D Intensity is R&D expenditures divided by total assets. SE Intensity is selling, general, and administrative

    expenses divided by total assets. All variables are winsorized at the 1st and 99th percentiles.

    Variable Mean Median Maximum Minimum Std dev.

    Market Leverage (overall sample) 0.187 0.132 0.750 0.000 0.189

    Book Leverage (overall sample) 0.268 0.210 1.882 0.000 0.290

    Supplier Industry-Level Variables (76,290 obs.)

    Supplier Industries R&D 0.009 0.006 0.040 0.000 0.007

    Supplier SA and JV Intensity 0.486 0.218 5.166 0.000 0.795

    Compensation of Employees 0.303 0.299 0.818 0.022 0.116

    Supplier Concentration 0.090 0.085 0.250 0.029 0.039

    Supplier Change in Sales 0.098 0.096 0.308 0.050 0.066Customer Industry-Level Variables (26,300 obs)

    Customer Industries R&D 0.017 0.009 0.081 0.000 0.017

    Customer SA and JV Intensity 0.493 0.176 6.469 0.000 0.910

    Customer Concentration 0.167 0.167 0.321 0.068 0.058

    Customer Change in Sales 0.081 0.082 0.217 0.030 0.047

    Supplier Firm-Level Variables(4,122 obs.)

    Key Suppliers R&D 0.002 0.000 0.059 0.000 0.008

    Supplier SA and JV Dummy 0.283 0.000 1.000 0.000 0.450

    Customer Firm-Level Variables(9,452 obs)

    Key Customers R&D 0.015 0.007 0.104 0.000 0.021

    Customer SA and JV Dummy 0.162 0.000 1.000 0.000 0.368

    Control Variables(overall sample)

    Industry Concentration 0.223 0.179 0.865 0.043 0.163

    Firm Size (log of total assets) 4.280 4.146 10.115 1.139 2.188Asset Collateral Value 0.294 0.235 0.917 0.001 0.226

    Volatility 0.201 0.091 2.963 0.010 0.381

    Nondebt Tax Shield 0.001 0.000 0.017 0.000 0.002

    Return on Assets 0.015 0.104 0.439 2.284 0.344Tobins q 2.283 1.459 18.561 0.528 2.558

    R&D Intensity 0.058 0.005 0.732 0.000 0.115

    SE Intensity 0.332 0.250 2.374 0.000 0.354

    J.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365334

  • Book Leverage for rms with above median values for Supplier and Customer Industries

    ARTICLE IN PRESSJ.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365 335R&D, Key Suppliers and Customers R&D, Supplier and Customer SA and JV Intensities,and Supplier and Customer SA and JV Dummies are lower than those for rms with below-median values. All these ndings offer preliminary evidence consistent with the RSinvestments hypotheses (Hypothesis 1). For example, the averageMarket (Book) Leveragefor rms with above-median values for Supplier Industries R&D is 0.143 (0.226) and forthose with values below the median, the averageMarket Leverage is 0.231 (0.311). Further,both Market and Book Leverage appear to be lower for rms in the sample with above-median Compensation of Employees than for rms with below-median values for thisvariable. Consistent with Hypothesis 2, the mean Market Leverage for rms with above-median Supplier (Customer) Concentration is greater than the mean leverage for rmswhose suppliers (customers) are less concentrated. Overall, the results of the univariateanalysis support our hypotheses that relate the rms leverage to the characteristics ofsuppliers and customers.

    4.2. Multivariate analysis with industry-level supplier and customer variables

    4.2.1. Analysis of supplier effects

    Table 3 shows the results of three ordinary least squares (OLS) regressions of MarketLeverage for the subsample with industry-level supplier variables. In regression Models 1 and2, we test Hypothesis 1 by examining the relation between debt level and supplier R-Sinvestment by Supplier Industry R&D and Supplier SA and JV Intensity, respectively. In Model3, we include both the RS variables as well as interaction variables. Consistent withHypothesis 1, the coefcients on Supplier Industries R&D and Supplier SA and JV Intensityreported in Models 1 and 2 are both negative and statistically signicant. For example, thecoefcient on Supplier SA and JV Intensity is equal to 0.011, signicant at the 1% level. Inthe all-inclusive specication in Model 3, the coefcients on both the RS investment variablescontinue to be negative. Further, the coefcient on Backward Integration DummySupplierIndustries R&D is positive and signicant, which suggests that the negative relation betweensupplier R&D and leverage is weaker for rms with some level of backward integration.15

    The coefcient on Compensation of Employees in each reported model is negative andsignicant. Further, in Model 3, the interaction variable Compensation of EmployeesR&DIntensity is also negative and signicant. It appears that R&D-intensive rms with highemployee compensation are likely to require signicant rm-specic investments by theiremployees, and thus they have lower debt levels. The coefcients of Supplier Concentrationare positive and signicant in Models 1 and 3, while the coefcients of SupplierConcentrationMarket Share is negative and signicant in Model 3. These ndings areconsistent with Hypothesis 2 and indicate that leverage is greater when rms face supplierswho are at a bargaining advantage, and this relation is weaker if the rm is a dominantplayer in its own industry.The coefcient on Suppliers Change in Sales is negative and signicant at the 1% level.

    As mentioned earlier, we include this variable to capture aspects of rm growth that arerelated to its input markets but are not captured by the rm-specic variables that measuregrowth opportunities such as Tobins q. Among the other control variables, the coefcients

    15In unreported results, we include Backward Integration DummySupplier SA and JV Intensity and nd a

    positive but statistically insignicant coefcient on this variable.

  • ARTICLE IN PRESSTable2

    Univariateanalysis

    Thistablereportsunivariate

    analysisforthedifference

    inmeansoftheleveragevariablesfordifferentsubsamplesform

    edbasedonthemedianvalues

    ofthe

    supplierandcustomervariables.Thesampleperiodisfrom1984to

    2003.MarketLeverageissumofthebookvaluesoflong-termdebtanddebtincurrentliabilities

    divided

    bythesumofthebookvalueofdebtandthemarketvalueofcommonequity.BookLeverageisthebookvalueoflong-termdebtanddebtincurrentliabilities

    divided

    bythebookvalueofassets.Supplier

    Industries

    R&D(Customer

    Industries

    R&D)istheweightedaverageoftheR&D

    intensities

    ofallsupplier

    (customer)

    industries.Key

    SuppliersR&D(K

    eyCustomersR&D)istheweightedaverageoftheR&Dintensitiesofkey

    suppliers(key

    customers).Supplier(Customer)SAandJV

    IntensityisthenumberofSAsandJV

    sestablished

    betweenindustry

    rm

    sandrm

    sinsupplier(customer)industries,divided

    bythenumberofrm

    sintheindustry.

    Suppliers(Customer)SA

    andJV

    Dummyisadummyvariablethatequalsoneiftherm

    hasatleastonealliance

    oraSA

    established

    withoneofitssuppliers

    (customers),andzero

    otherwise.

    CompensationofEmployeesistotalcompensationpaid

    toem

    ployeesdivided

    bytotaloutput.Supplier

    Concentration(Customer

    Concentration)istheweightedaverageoftheHerndahlindicesofallsupplier(customer)industries.Thesymbol***indicatesstatisticalsignicance

    atthe1%

    level.

    Variables

    MeanMarketLeverage

    MeanBookLeverage

    N

    Abovemedian

    Belowmedian

    Difference

    (t-value)

    Abovemedian

    Belowmedian

    Difference

    (t-value)

    Supplier

    Industries

    R&D

    0.143

    0.231

    0.089***

    0.226

    0.311

    0.085***

    76,290

    (66.42)

    (40.92)

    Customer

    Industries

    R&D

    0.211

    0.219

    0.009***

    0.284

    0.289

    0.005

    26,300

    (3.77)

    (1.36)

    Key

    SuppliersR&D

    0.141

    0.207

    0.065***

    0.222

    0.282

    0.06***

    4,122

    (14.10)

    (9.66)

    Key

    CustomersR&D

    0.196

    0.236

    0.04***

    0.262

    0.298

    0.036***

    9,452

    (7.09)

    (7.09)

    Supplier

    SAandJV

    Intensity

    0.157

    0.217

    0.06***

    0.246

    0.290

    0.045***

    76,290

    (43.97)

    (21.21)

    Customer

    SAandJV

    Intensity

    0.183

    0.244

    0.061***

    0.265

    0.306

    0.042***

    26,300

    (25.99)

    (12.25)

    Supplier

    SAandJV

    Dummy

    0.135

    0.189

    0.054***

    0.211

    0.268

    0.057***

    4,122

    (10.46)

    (8.23)

    Customer

    SAandJV

    Dummy

    0.093

    0.172

    0.079***

    0.168

    0.238

    0.070***

    9,452

    (16.28)

    (9.82)

    CompensationofEmployees

    0.176

    0.198

    0.021***

    0.253

    0.283

    0.03***

    76,290

    (15.38)

    (14.37)

    Supplier

    Concentration

    0.196

    0.178

    0.019***

    0.265

    0.271

    0.006***

    76,290

    (13.80)

    (2.77)

    Customer

    Concentration

    0.221

    0.209

    0.011***

    0.288

    0.286

    0.002

    26,300

    (4.99)

    (0.67)

    J.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365336

  • ARTICLE IN PRESS

    Table3

    Ordinary

    leastsquaresregressionsofmarketleverageonsupplier

    industry-levelvariables

    Thesampleperiodisfrom1984to

    2003.ThedependentvariableisMarket

    Leverage,whichisthesumofthebookvalues

    oflong-termdebtanddebtin

    current

    liabilitiesdivided

    bythesum

    ofthebookvalueofdebtandthemarket

    valueofcommonequity.Supplier

    Industries

    R&D

    istheweightedaverageoftheR&D

    intensitiesofallsupplierindustries.Backward

    IntegrationDummyisadummyvariablethatequalsoneiftherm

    hasasegmentinasupplierindustry.SupplierSAand

    JV

    Intensity

    isthenumber

    ofSAsandJV

    sestablished

    betweenindustry

    rm

    sandrm

    sin

    supplier

    industries,divided

    bythenumber

    ofrm

    sin

    theindustry.

    CompensationofEmployeesistotalcompensationpaidto

    employeesdivided

    bytotaloutput.Supplier

    ConcentrationistheweightedaverageoftheHerndahlindices

    ofallsupplierindustries.Supplier

    ChangeinSalesisaweightedaverageofthechangeinsalesforsupplierindustries.MarketShareistheratiooftherm

    ssalesto

    totalsalesofitsprimary

    industry.Industry

    concentrationisthesales-basedHerndahlindex

    oftherm

    sindustry.FirmSizeisthelogoftotalassets.AssetCollateral

    Valueisnetproperty,plant,andequipmentdivided

    bytotalassets.Volatility

    isthestandard

    deviationofoperationincomedivided

    bytotalassets.NondebtTax

    Shieldsisinvestm

    enttaxcreditsdivided

    bytotalassets.Return

    onAssetsisoperationincomedivided

    bytotalassets.Tobinsqisbookvalueofassetsminusbookvalue

    ofcommonequityplusmarketvalueofcommonequitydivided

    bybookvalueofassets.R&DIntensityisR&Dexpendituresdivided

    bytotalassets.SEIntensityis

    selling,general,andadministrativeexpensesdivided

    bytotalassets.Allvariablesarewinsorizedatthe1stand99th

    percentiles.Lagged

    valuesofrm

    -speciccontrol

    variablesare

    used.Thereported

    t-values

    reectWhitesheteroskedasticitycorrection.Thesymbols**and***indicatestatisticalsignicance

    atthe5%,and1%

    levels,respectively.

    Model1

    Model2

    Model3

    Coeff.

    t-value

    Coeff.

    t-value

    Coeff.

    t-value

    Intercept

    0.183***

    25.66

    0.184***

    25.59

    0.181***

    24.86

    Supplier

    Industries

    R&D

    1.472***

    13.99

    1.208***

    10.48

    Supplier

    Industries

    R&DB

    ackward

    Integration

    Dummy

    0.786***

    3.90

    Supplier

    SAandJV

    Intensity

    0.011***

    12.09

    0.009***

    9.03

    CompensationofEmployees

    0.024***

    2.70

    0.025***

    2.79

    0.031***

    3.41

    Comp.OfEmployees R&D

    Intensity

    0.161***

    6.85

    Supplier

    Concentration

    0.074***

    3.00

    0.035

    1.42

    0.085***

    3.14

    Supplier

    ConcentrationM

    arketShare

    0.354***

    3.66

    SuppliersChangein

    Sales

    0.102***

    6.40

    0.105***

    6.58

    0.098***

    6.14

    J.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365 337

  • ARTICLE IN PRESSTable3(continued)

    Model1

    Model2

    Model3

    Coeff.

    t-value

    Coeff.

    t-value

    Coeff.

    t-value

    Backward

    IntegrationDummy

    0.002

    0.66

    MarketShare

    0.026**

    2.07

    Other

    ControlVariables

    Industry

    Concentration

    0.009**

    2.24

    0.011***

    2.69

    0.020***

    4.62

    Firm

    Size

    0.004***

    12.71

    0.005***

    14.25

    0.007***

    15.73

    AssetCollateralValue

    0.193***

    47.31

    0.196***

    48.61

    0.191***

    46.80

    Volatility

    0.008***

    4.06

    0.008***

    4.00

    0.006***

    2.71

    NondebtTaxShield

    4.435***

    18.83

    4.451***

    18.86

    4.364***

    18.54

    Return

    onAssets

    0.110***

    37.96

    0.111***

    38.48

    0.109***

    37.71

    Tobinsq

    0.015***

    56.08

    0.015***

    56.20

    0.015***

    55.61

    R&D

    Intensity

    0.232***

    34.63

    0.244***

    36.95

    0.188***

    21.33

    SEIntensity

    0.032***

    15.14

    0.031***

    14.76

    0.029***

    13.69

    YearandIndustry

    Dummies

    Yes

    Yes

    Yes

    Number

    ofobservations

    76,290

    76,290

    76,290

    Adjusted

    R-squared

    25.57%

    25.54%

    26.01%

    J.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365338

  • on Size, Asset Collateral Value, and Industry Concentration are signicantly positive. The

    ARTICLE IN PRESSJ.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365 339positive coefcient on Industry Concentration is in keeping with the evidence in Mackayand Phillips (2006) and the predictions in Brander and Lewis (1986) and Maksimovic(1988). The signicantly negative coefcients on the remaining control variables areconsistent with the literature on the determinants of capital structure. Finally, the negativeand signicant coefcients on the rms R&D and SE Intensity measures are similar tothose documented in Titman and Wessels (1988) and are consistent with the predictions inTitman (1984) and Maksimovic and Titman (1991).Armour and Teece (1980) suggest that vertical chains that are R&D intensive are likely

    to have complex interstage interdependencies (see also Williamson, 1975). Therefore, it ismore likely that the R&D intensity of suppliers will capture RS investments by supplierswhen the rm itself is R&D intensive. To investigate this possibility, we estimate ourregressions separately on the subsample of rms with positive R&D expense and thesubsample for which it is zero. Table 4 presents the ndings. Consistent with ourexpectation, we nd that the negative relation between Supplier Industries R&D and arms debt level is signicant only for rms with positive R&D intensity. Further, thecoefcient on the supplier concentration variable is positive and signicant only for thesubsample of rms with positive R&D. This result suggests that the effect of bargaining onleverage is only pronounced when there are relationship-specic investments between therm and its suppliers.

    4.2.2. Analysis of customer effects

    Table 5 presents the results of the regression analysis for Market Leverage for thesubsample with industry-level customer variables. Consistent with the RS investmentshypothesis (Hypothesis 1), in Models 1 and 2, the coefcients on the variables CustomerIndustries R&D and Customer SA and JV Intensity, respectively, are both negative andsignicant. Further, the coefcients on Customer Industries R&DMarket Share andCustomer SA and JV IntensityMarket Share are negative and signicant. These ndingsare consistent with the hypothesis that the effect of RS investments by customers onleverage is stronger for rms that are important to their customers. In unreportedregressions, we nd insignicant coefcients on Customer Industries R&DIndustryConcentration and Customer SA and JV IntensityIndustry Concentration. While thecoefcient on Customer Industries R&DForward Integration Dummy is insignicant inModel 1, the coefcient on Customer SA and JV IntensityForward Integration Dummy ispositive and signicant in Model 2. Thus, the effect of RS investments on leverageappears to be less pronounced for vertically integrated rms.In Models 1 and 3, the coefcients on Customer Concentration are positive and

    signicant, consistent with the bargaining role of debt (Hypothesis 2). However, we ndthat the coefcient on Customer ConcentrationMarket Share, while negative, is notstatistically signicant at conventional levels. Next, we nd a negative relation betweenleverage and Customer Change in Sales, the variable that measures growth in downstreamindustries. Finally, except for the volatility measure, the results pertaining to the controlvariables are in keeping with our results in the supplier regressions and with the extantliterature on capital structure.16

    16Unlike the specication for investigating supplier effects, we do not include R&D and SA/JV variablestogether in Model 3 in our analysis of customer effects because these two variables are highly positively correlated

  • ARTICLE IN PRESS

    Table 4

    Ordinary least squares regressions of market leverage on supplier industry-level variables: R&D-based subsamples

    The sample period is from 1984 to 2003. The dependent variable is Market Leverage, which is the sum of the

    J.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365340book values of long-term debt and debt in current liabilities divided by the sum of the book value of debt and the

    market value of common equity. Column 1 (2) shows OLS regression results for rms with positive (zero) R&D

    Intensity, which is the rms R&D expenditures divided by its total assets. Supplier Industries R&D is the weighted

    average of the R&D intensities of all supplier industries. Compensation of Employees is total compensation paid to

    employees divided by total output. Supplier Concentration is the weighted average of the Herndahl indices of all

    supplier industries. Supplier Change in Sales is a weighted average of the change in sales for supplier industries.

    Industry concentration is the sales-based Herndahl index of the rms industry. Firm Size is the log of total assets.

    Asset Collateral Value is net property, plant, and equipment divided by total assets. Volatility is the standardIn Table 6, we show the results of regression analysis that examines the relation betweenleverage and the R&D of customers for different subsamples of rms. In the rst columnof the table, we report results for rms in the Agriculture & Mining (SIC codes between0100 and 1499) industries. For these rms we nd an insignicant relation betweenCustomer Industries R&D and market leverage. This result is expected given that many ofthese rms sell raw materials and are unlikely to engage in RS investments with their

    deviation of operation income divided by total assets. Nondebt Tax Shields is investment tax credits divided by

    total assets. Return on Assets is operation income divided by total assets. Tobins q is book value of assets minus

    book value of common equity plus market value of common equity divided by book value of assets. R&D

    Intensity is R&D expenditures divided by total assets. SE Intensity is selling, general, and administrative expenses

    divided by total assets. All variables are winsorized at the 1st and 99th percentiles. Lagged values of rm-specic

    control variables are used. The reported t-values reect Whites heteroskedasticity correction. The symbols *, **,

    and *** indicate statistical signicance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively.

    Firms with Positive R&D

    intensity

    Firms with Zero R&D intensity

    Coeff. t-value Coeff. t-value

    Intercept 0.179*** 18.30 0.146*** 13.62

    Supplier Industries R&D 1.395*** 12.11 0.08 0.26Compensation of Employees 0.047*** 3.42 0.021* 1.83Supplier Concentration 0.083** 2.56 0.001 0.04Suppliers Change in Sales 0.099*** 4.60 0.117*** 5.17Other control variables

    Industry Concentration 0.007 1.46 0.016** 2.48

    Firm Size 0.003*** 6.94 0.009*** 15.52

    Asset Collateral Value 0.192*** 32.08 0.185*** 33.77

    Volatility 0.001 0.58 0.016*** 4.21Nondebt Tax Shield 3.768*** 16.21 4.660*** 8.76Return on Assets 0.086*** 27.21 0.140*** 25.05Tobins q 0.011*** 43.41 0.023*** 33.55R&D Intensity 0.199*** 27.22 SE Intensity 0.012*** 5.12 0.050*** 12.67Year and Industry Dummies Yes Yes

    Number of observations 40,685 35,605

    Adjusted R-squared 22.12% 20.42%

    (footnote continued)

    in this sub-sample (correlation equals 0.5). Including both variables does not signicantly affect our results,

    although it reduces the statistical signicance of both variables.

  • ARTICLE IN PRESS

    Table5

    Ordinary

    leastsquaresregressionsofmarketleverageoncustomer

    industry-levelvariables

    Thesampleperiodisfrom1984to

    2003.ThedependentvariableisMarket

    Leverage,whichisthesumofthebookvalues

    oflong-termdebtanddebtin

    current

    liabilitiesdivided

    bythesum

    ofthebookvalueofdebtandthemarket

    valueofcommonequity.Customer

    Industries

    R&D

    istheweightedaverageoftheR&D

    intensitiesofallcustomerindustries.Customer

    SAandJVIntensityisthenumberofSAsandJV

    sestablished

    betweenindustryrm

    sandrm

    sincustomerindustries,

    divided

    bythenumberofrm

    sin

    theindustry.Forward

    IntegrationDummyisadummyvariablethatequalsoneiftherm

    hasasegmentin

    acustomer

    industry.

    Customer

    ConcentrationistheweightedaverageoftheHerndahlindicesofallcustomerindustries.Customer

    ChangeinSalesisaweightedaverageofthechangein

    salesforcustomer

    industries.Market

    Shareistheratiooftherm

    ssalesto

    totalsalesofitsprimary

    industry.Industry

    concentrationisthesales-basedHerndahl

    index

    oftherm

    sindustry.Firm

    Sizeisthelogoftotalassets.Asset

    CollateralValueisnetproperty,plant,andequipmentdivided

    bytotalassets.Volatilityisthe

    standard

    deviationofoperationincomedivided

    bytotalassets.NondebtTaxShieldsisinvestm

    enttaxcreditsdivided

    bytotalassets.Return

    onAssetsisoperation

    incomedivided

    bytotalassets.Tobinsqisbookvalueofassetsminusbookvalueofcommonequityplusmarketvalueofcommonequitydivided

    bybookvalueof

    assets.R&DIntensityisR&Dexpendituresdivided

    bytotalassets.SEIntensityisselling,general,andadministrativeexpensesdivided

    bytotalassets.Allvariablesare

    winsorizedatthe1stand99thpercentiles.Lagged

    valuesofrm

    -speciccontrolvariablesareused.Thereported

    t-valuesreectWhitesheteroskedasticitycorrection.

    Thesymbols**and***indicatestatisticalsignicance

    atthe5%

    and1%

    levels,respectively.

    Model1

    Model2

    Model3

    Coeff.

    t-value

    Coeff.

    t-value

    Coeff.

    t-value

    Intercept

    0.119***

    13.13

    0.123***

    13.62

    0.118***

    12.79

    Customer

    Industries

    R&D

    0.832***

    5.97

    0.875***

    6.38

    Customer

    Industries

    R&DM

    arketShare

    1.442***

    3.39

    Customer

    Industries

    R&DF

    orward

    IntegrationDummy

    0.043

    0.30

    Customer

    SAandJV

    Intensity

    0.015***

    9.18

    Cust.SAandJV

    IntensityM

    arketShare

    0.070***

    7.43

    Customer

    SAandJV

    IntensityF

    orward

    IntegrationDummy

    0.012***

    5.69

    Customer

    Concentration

    0.101***

    3.92

    0.033

    1.24

    0.114***

    4.01

    Customer

    ConcentrationM

    arketShare

    0.198

    1.59

    Customer

    Changein

    Sales

    0.171***

    8.45

    0.168***

    8.33

    0.171***

    8.48

    Forward

    IntegrationDummy

    0.008**

    2.26

    0.004

    1.51

    MarketShare

    0.047***

    4.10

    0.048***

    4.62

    0.026

    1.03

    J.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365 341

  • ARTICLE IN PRESSTable5(continued)

    Model1

    Model2

    Model3

    Coeff.

    t-value

    Coeff.

    t-value

    Coeff.

    t-value

    Other

    controlvariables

    Industry

    Concentration

    0.044***

    5.47

    0.050***

    6.22

    0.044***

    5.43

    Firm

    Size

    0.006***

    8.39

    0.007***

    9.69

    0.006***

    8.98

    AssetCollateralValue

    0.187***

    28.72

    0.183***

    28.29

    0.187***

    28.70

    Volatility

    0.006

    1.31

    0.006

    1.18

    0.006

    1.33

    NondebtTaxShield

    3.663***

    8.29

    3.432***

    7.80

    3.661***

    8.30

    Return

    onAssets

    0.134***

    21.89

    0.133***

    21.69

    0.135***

    21.98

    Tobinsq

    0.019***

    29.68

    0.018***

    29.37

    0.019***

    29.69

    R&D

    Intensity

    0.264***

    15.76

    0.251***

    14.92

    0.265***

    15.85

    SEIntensity

    0.044***

    9.25

    0.043***

    9.08

    0.044***

    9.18

    YearandIndustry

    Dummies

    Yes

    Yes

    Yes

    Number

    ofobservations

    26,300

    26,300

    26,300

    Adjusted

    R-squared

    21.21%

    21.40%

    21.17%

    J.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365342

  • customers. On the other hand, we nd (column two) that for rms producingdurable manufacturing products, the relation between leverage and customer R&D is

    Supplier Industries R&D, Supplier SA and JV Intensity, and Supplier Concentration, we nd

    ARTICLE IN PRESSJ.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365 343that moves from the 5th to 95th percentile change leverage by 0.026, 0.016, and 0.008(14.05%, 8.23%, 4.17%), respectively. For changes in the customer variables,Customer Industries R&D, Customer SA and JV Intensity, and Customer Concentration,leverage changes by 0.054, 0.056, and 0.023 (23.59%, 25.31%, and 11.44%),respectively. For the positive-R&D supplier (customer) subsample, the change in leveragefor similar moves in Supplier and Customer Industries R&D are 0.042 and 0.083(27.87% and 41.31%), respectively. The levels of economic signicance of the supplierand customer effects are even greater when we consider the effect of the interactedvariables. For example, among the reported results, the largest change in leverage of0.138 (or 67.73%) results from a move from the 5th to 95th percentile of CustomerIndustries R&D for a rm in the 95th percentile of market share in the positive R&Dsubsample.Are these changes in a rms leverage from changes in the supplier and customer

    variables economically signicant? It turns out that an increase in rm size from the 5th tothe 95th percentile value is associated with a change in leverage of 0.051 (or 30.83%).Overall, it appears from the results reported in Table 7 that the levels of economic

    17We follow the US Census Bureau and classify manufacturing industries into durable and nondurable good

    industries. Durable (Nondurable) good industries are those with the following two-digit SIC codes:negative.17 In unreported results, we nd that this relation is statistically insignicant forrms producing nondurable manufacturing products. This result is consistent with theconjecture that there are more RS investments between rms in durable good industriesand their customers.The last three columns of the table report results on the subsample of rms that have

    positive R&D expenses. In all three specications, we nd that the relation betweenleverage and customer R&D is negative and signicant. In untabulated results, we nd thatfor zero-R&D rms this relation is not signicant. Thus, as in the case of suppliers, we ndsupport for the conjecture that the R&D of customers is more likely to capture RSinvestments when the rm itself is R&D intensive. Results in columns four and ve alsooffer support for the hypothesis that the effect of RS investments by customers on a rmsdebt level is more pronounced if the rm produces output for which there are fewalternative suppliers. In column 4, the coefcient on the interaction variable CustomerIndustries R&DIndustry Concentration is negative and signicant. Further, in columnve, we nd that the coefcient on Customer Industries R&DMarket Share is alsonegative and signicant.

    4.2.3. Economic significance

    In order to determine the economic signicance of the effects of the supplier andcustomer variables, we use the estimated coefcients reported in Tables 36 to compute thechange in leverage if a rm moves from the 5th percentile value to the 95th percentile valueof a specic independent variable, holding all the other independent variables at theirsample means. In Table 7, we report the levels of economic signicance for selectedspecications and variables, owing to space constraints. For the supplier variables,24,25,32,33,34,35,36,37,38, and 39 (20,21,22,23,26,27, 28,29,30, and 31).

  • ARTICLE IN PRESS

    Table6

    Ordinary

    leastsquaresregressionsofmarketleverageoncustomer

    industry-levelvariables:varioussubsamples

    Thesampleperiodisfrom1984to

    2003.ThedependentvariableisMarketLeverage.Column1showOLSregressionresultsforrm

    swithhistoricalprimary

    SIC

    codebetween0100and1499,whileColumn2showOLSregressionresultsforrm

    sproducingdurablegoods.Thelastthreecolumnsshowregressionresultsforrm

    s

    withpositiveR&DIntensity,whichistherm

    sR&Dexpendituresdivided

    byitstotalassets.Customer

    IndustriesR&DistheweightedaverageoftheR&Dintensities

    ofallcustomerindustries.CustomerConcentrationistheweightedaverageoftheHerndahlindicesofallcustomerindustries.CustomerChangeinSalesisaweighted

    averageofthechangeinsalesforcustomerindustries.MarketShareistheratiooftherm

    ssalesto

    totalsalesofitsprimary

    industry.Industry

    concentrationisthe

    sales-basedHerndahlindex

    oftherm

    sindustry.FirmSizeisthelogoftotalassets.AssetCollateralValueisnetproperty,plant,andequipmentdivided

    bytotal

    assets.Volatilityisthestandard

    deviationofoperationincomedivided

    bytotalassets.NondebtTaxShieldsisinvestm

    enttaxcreditsdivided

    bytotalassets.Return

    on

    Assetsisoperationincomedivided

    bytotalassets.Tobinsqisbookvalueofassetsminusbookvalueofcommonequityplusmarketvalueofcommonequitydivided

    bybookvalueofassets.R&D

    Intensity

    isR&D

    expendituresdivided

    bytotalassets.SEIntensity

    isselling,general,andadministrativeexpensesdivided

    bytotal

    assets.Allvariablesarewinsorizedatthe1stand99thpercentiles.Lagged

    valuesofrm

    -speciccontrolvariablesareused.Thet-valuesreported

    inparenthesesreect

    Whitesheteroskedasticitycorrection.Thesymbols**and***indicatestatisticalsignicance

    atthe5%,and1%

    levels,respectively.

    Agriculture

    andmining

    Durable

    manufacturing

    Positive

    R&D

    rm

    s

    Positive

    R&D

    rm

    s

    Positive

    R&D

    rm

    s

    Intercept

    0.141***

    0.288***

    0.179***

    0.168***

    0.169***

    (3.56)

    (9.00)

    (13.46)

    (12.15)

    (12.42)

    Customer

    Industries

    R&D

    0.982

    0.841***

    1.122***

    0.807***

    1.012***

    (0.95)

    (5.29)

    (6.94)

    (4.24)

    (6.11)

    Customer

    Industries

    R&DIndustry

    Concentration

    1.723***

    (3.21)

    Customer

    Industries

    R&DM

    arketShare

    2.362***

    (5.36)

    Customer

    Concentration

    0.219***

    0.184***

    0.137***

    0.160***

    0.164***

    (2.66)

    (5.19)

    (3.62)

    (4.11)

    (4.23)

    Customer

    Changein

    Sales

    0.315***

    0.041

    0.118***

    0.114***

    0.117***

    (5.43)

    (1.24)

    (3.70)

    (3.58)

    (3.67)

    Industry

    Concentration

    0.007

    0.015

    0.048***

    0.025**

    (0.28)

    (1.36)

    (3.03)

    (2.08)

    MarketShare

    0.014

    0.005

    (0.87)

    J.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365344

  • ARTICLE IN PRESSOther

    ControlVariables

    (0.42)

    Firm

    Size

    0.020***

    0.00

    0.001

    0.001

    0.000

    (4.27)

    (1.57)

    (0.93)

    (0.91)

    (0.30)

    AssetCollateralValue

    0.199***

    0.09***

    0.193***

    0.195***

    0.194***

    (14.25)

    (7.22)

    (18.26)

    (18.36)

    (18.27)

    Volatility

    0.018

    0.03***

    0.005

    0.005

    0.004

    (1.43)

    (3.27)

    (0.87)

    (0.94)

    (0.79)

    NondebtTaxShield

    8.079***

    2.15***

    3.555***

    3.616***

    3.634***

    (4.33)

    (3.40)

    (7.50)

    (7.63)

    (7.67)

    Return

    onAssets

    0.087***

    0.19***

    0.120***

    0.120***

    0.120***

    (5.41)

    (15.83)

    (15.38)

    (15.39)

    (15.47)

    Tobinsq

    0.015***

    0.02***

    0.015***

    0.015***

    0.015***

    (8.44)

    (15.35)

    (21.28)

    (21.29)

    (21.19)

    R&D

    Intensity

    0.117

    0.35***

    0.249***

    0.248***

    0.250***

    (1.53)

    (9.80)

    (12.77)

    (12.72)

    (12.82)

    SEIntensity

    0.073***

    0.04***

    0.033***

    0.033***

    0.033***

    (3.50)

    (2.78)

    (5.34)

    (5.29)

    (5.20)

    YearandIndustry

    Dummies

    Yes

    Yes

    Yes

    Yes

    Yes

    Number

    ofobservations

    4,593

    9,046

    10,883

    10,883

    10,883

    Adjusted

    R-squared

    18.71%

    20.06%

    23.27%

    22.54%

    23.27%

    J.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365 345

  • ARTICLE IN PRESS

    Table7

    Economicsignicance

    ofregressionresults

    Thetablereportsthepredictedvalues

    ofMarket

    Leverageatthe5th

    and95th

    percentilesofeach

    oftheindependentvariables,holdingallother

    independent

    variablesattheirsamplemeans.Formodelswithinteractionvariables,theoveralleffectforeach

    variablebyitself(theInteractionEffectscolumnissetto

    None)is

    computedbyusingthemeanoftheinteracted

    variable(s).Forvariableswithinteractioneffects,thepredictedvaluesofleveragearealsocomputedatthe5thand95th

    percentilesoftheinteracted

    variable.Changeisthedifference

    betweenthepredictedvalueatthe95th

    percentileandthatatthe5th

    percentile.Thelasttwocolumns

    showthenumberofthetablethatcontainsthemodelusedto

    computethepredictedvaluesandthenumberofthemodelintherespectivetable.Thesampleperiodis

    from1984to

    2003.Supplier

    (Customer)Industries

    R&DistheweightedaverageoftheR&Dintensitiesofallsupplier(customer)industries.Supplier

    (Customer)SA

    andJVIntensityisthenumberofSAsandJV

    sestablished

    betweenindustry

    rm

    sandrm

    sinsupplier(customer)industries,divided

    bythenumberofrm

    sinthe

    industry.CompensationofEmployeesistotalcompensationpaidto

    employeesdivided

    bytotaloutput.Supplier

    (Customer)Concentrationistheweightedaverageof

    theHerndahlindicesofallsupplier(customer)industries.Supplier

    (Customer)ChangeinSalesisaweightedaverageofthechangeinsalesforsupplier(customer)

    industries.Market

    Shareistheratiooftherm

    ssalesto

    totalsalesofitsprimary

    industry.Industry

    concentrationisthesales-basedHerndahlindex

    oftherm

    s

    industry.FirmSizeisthelogoftotalassets.AssetCollateralValueisnetproperty,plant,andequipmentdivided

    bytotalassets.Volatilityisthestandard

    deviationof

    operationincomedivided

    bytotalassets.NondebtTaxShieldsisinvestm

    enttaxcreditsdivided

    bytotalassets.Return

    onAssetsisoperationincomedivided

    bytotal

    assets.Tobinsqisbookvalueofassetsminusbookvalueofcommonequityplusmarketvalueofcommonequitydivided

    bybookvalueofassets.R&DIntensityis

    R&D

    expendituresdivided

    bytotalassets.SEIntensity

    isselling,general,andadministrativeexpensesdivided

    bytotalassets.

    PredictedLeverageatthe5th

    and95th

    PercentilesofIndependentVariable

    Independentvariable

    Interactioneffects

    5th

    perc.

    95th

    perc.

    Change

    %Change

    Table

    Model

    Supplier

    variables

    Supplier

    Industries

    R&D

    None

    0.197

    0.169

    0.028

    14.05

    33

    Supplier

    Industries

    R&D

    VerticallyIntegratedFirms

    0.191

    0.181

    0.010

    5.07

    33

    Supplier

    SAandJV

    Int.

    None

    0.192

    0.171

    0.016

    8.23

    33

    Supplier

    Concentration

    None

    0.184

    0.192

    0.008

    4.17

    33

    Supplier

    Concentration

    5th

    perc.ofMarketShare

    0.187

    0.197

    0.010

    5.39

    33

    Supplier

    Concentration

    95th

    perc.ofMarketShare

    0.174

    0.171

    0.003

    1.73

    33

    Comp.ofEmployees

    None

    0.194

    0.181

    0.013

    6.70

    33

    Comp.ofEmployees

    5th

    perc.ofR&D

    Intensity

    0.209

    0.199

    0.010

    4.77

    33

    Comp.ofEmployees

    95th

    perc.ofR&D

    Intensity

    0.140

    0.116

    0.024

    17.20

    33

    Sup.Changein

    Sales

    None

    0.199

    0.177

    0.022

    11.27

    33

    J.R. Kale, H. Shahrur / Journal of Financial Economics 83 (2007) 321365346

  • ARTICLE IN PRESSCustomer

    variables

    Customer

    Industries

    R&D

    None

    0.229

    0.175

    0.054

    23.59

    51

    Customer

    Industries

    R&D

    5th

    perc.ofMarketShare

    0.232

    0.184

    0.049

    20.95

    51

    Customer

    Industries

    R&D

    95th

    perc.ofMarketShare

    0.215

    0.138

    0.078

    36.18

    51

    Customer

    SAandJV

    Int.

    None

    0.223

    0.167

    0.056

    25.31

    52

    Customer

    SAandJV

    Int.

    VerticallyIntegratedFirms

    0.226

    0.201

    0.025

    11.04

    52

    Customer

    SAandJV

    Int.

    5th

    perc.ofMarketShare

    0.225

    0.184

    0.041

    18.36

    52

    Customer

    SAandJV

    Int.

    95th

    perc.ofMarketShare

    0.210

    0.087

    0.123

    58.49

    52

    Customer

    Concentration

    None

    0.205

    0.228

    0.023

    11.44

    51

    Positive-R&D

    samples

    Supplier

    Industries

    R&D

    None

    0.151

    0.109

    0.042

    27.87

    41

    Customer

    Industries

    R&D

    None

    0.201

    0.118

    0.083

    41.31

    64

    Customer

    Industries

    R&D

    5th

    perc.ofIndustry

    Conc.

    0.194

    0.131

    0.063

    32.68

    64

    Customer

    Industries

    R&D

    95th

    perc.ofIndustry

    Conc.

    0.216

    0.093

    0.123

    56.87

    64

    Customer

    Industries

    R&D

    5th

    perc.ofMarketShare

    0.201

    0.130

    0.071

    35.22

    65

    Customer

    Industries

    R&D

    95th

    perc.ofMarketShare

    0.204

    0.066

    0.138

    67.73

    65

    Controlvariables

    Mark