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Page 1: K-12 Enrollment · 2016-10-03 · K. Grade 1. Grade 2. Grade 3. Grade 4. Grade 5. Grade 6. Grade 7. Grade 8. Grade 9. Grade 10. Grade 11. Grade 12. Santa Maria Total. 2881. 2540
Page 2: K-12 Enrollment · 2016-10-03 · K. Grade 1. Grade 2. Grade 3. Grade 4. Grade 5. Grade 6. Grade 7. Grade 8. Grade 9. Grade 10. Grade 11. Grade 12. Santa Maria Total. 2881. 2540

K Grade1

Grade2

Grade3

Grade4

Grade5

Grade6

Grade7

Grade8

Grade9

Grade10

Grade11

Grade12

Santa Maria Total 2881 2540 2476 2541 2521 2487 2281 2139 2117 2143 2101 2110 2022Lompoc Unified 1,026 782 786 806 785 747 737 745 716 805 735 768 638SY Valley 210 175 167 182 167 163 199 176 169 291 289 323 334

2881

2540 2476 2541 2521 24872281

2139 2117 2143 2101 21102022

1,026

782 786 806 785 747 737 745 716805 735 768

638

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

Santa Maria Total

Lompoc Unified

SY Valley

K-12 Enrollment

Page 3: K-12 Enrollment · 2016-10-03 · K. Grade 1. Grade 2. Grade 3. Grade 4. Grade 5. Grade 6. Grade 7. Grade 8. Grade 9. Grade 10. Grade 11. Grade 12. Santa Maria Total. 2881. 2540

Current SituationCredit Enrollment

F 2014 F 2015Headcount 10,893 10,924Enrollment 26,283 26,106 (-1%)Sections 1,095 1,192 (+9%)FTES (census) 3,474 3,425 (-1%)

Enrollment 12,203 10,448 (-14%)(Positive Att credit and noncredit*)

Page 4: K-12 Enrollment · 2016-10-03 · K. Grade 1. Grade 2. Grade 3. Grade 4. Grade 5. Grade 6. Grade 7. Grade 8. Grade 9. Grade 10. Grade 11. Grade 12. Santa Maria Total. 2881. 2540

Current Situation: CreditF 2014 F 2015 % chg

ARROYO GRANDE 385 398 3.4%GROVER BEACH 184 195 6.0%GUADALUPE 277 251 -9.4%LOMPOC 1944 2175 11.9%NIPOMO 654 713 9.0%SANTA MARIA 5449 5371 -1.4%SANTA YNEZ 100 115 15.0%SOLVANG 152 165 8.6%Total Largest Service Area 9145 9383 2.6%Total Credit 10893 10924 0.3%Other 1,748 1,541 -11.8%

Credit EnrollmentFall

2014 Fall 2015 % ChangeLVC 3,122 3,105 -0.5%

Off Campus 354 298 -15.8%Online 5,460 5,403 -1.0%

Santa Maria 19,161 18,973 -1.0%

Santa Ynez 178 199 11.8%

Vandenberg 50 59 18.0%

Page 5: K-12 Enrollment · 2016-10-03 · K. Grade 1. Grade 2. Grade 3. Grade 4. Grade 5. Grade 6. Grade 7. Grade 8. Grade 9. Grade 10. Grade 11. Grade 12. Santa Maria Total. 2881. 2540

Current Situation: Credit

Student Type Fall 2014 Fall 2015 % Change

College Now 260 498 91.5%

Continuing 6,208 6,287 1.3%

First-Time 2,103 1,955 -7.0%

First-Time Xfer 913 891 -2.4%

Returning 1,399 1,289 -7.9%

Unknown 10 4 -60.0%

Grand Total 10893 10924 0.3%

Fall 2014 Fall 2015 % Change

Asian 312 319 2.2%

Black 408 458 12.3%

Filipino 309 332 7.4%

Hispanic 5,710 5,790 1.4%

Native Am 179 166 -7.3%

Other 3 -100.0%

Pacific Islander 77 60 -22.1%

White 3,891 3,798 -2.4%

Unknown 3 1 -66.7%

Grand Total 10,892 10,924 0.3%

Page 6: K-12 Enrollment · 2016-10-03 · K. Grade 1. Grade 2. Grade 3. Grade 4. Grade 5. Grade 6. Grade 7. Grade 8. Grade 9. Grade 10. Grade 11. Grade 12. Santa Maria Total. 2881. 2540

Current Situation

Credit Noncredit

Age % chg % chg

19 and under 5.4% 1.1%

20 to 24 -1.3% -15.1%

25 to 34 7.0% -20.0%

35 to 54 2.4% -17.8%

55+ -2.4% -10.6%

3 year % change

F12-F13-F14 S13-S14-S15Sections 13% 11%Enrollment 4% 3%Max Enrollment 11% 7%Fill Rate -6% -3%Day 1 Waitlist -5% -4%Demand Ratio -1% -3%FTES 4% 6%FTEF 14% 12%FTES/FTEF -9% -5%retention % -2% -6%success % 0% -4%

Page 7: K-12 Enrollment · 2016-10-03 · K. Grade 1. Grade 2. Grade 3. Grade 4. Grade 5. Grade 6. Grade 7. Grade 8. Grade 9. Grade 10. Grade 11. Grade 12. Santa Maria Total. 2881. 2540

Headcount by Term

AHC

6,093

12,96513,631

5,900

13,210 13,646

6,457

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

StudentCount

StudentCount

StudentCount

StudentCount

StudentCount

StudentCount

StudentCount

Summer2013

Fall 2013 Spring2014

Summer2014

Fall 2014 Spring2015

Summer2015

CCCO

596,343

1,582,4571,563,709

642,727

1,577,2591,555,497

646,384

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

StudentCount

StudentCount

StudentCount

StudentCount

StudentCount

StudentCount

StudentCount

Summer2013

Fall2013

Spring2014

Summer2014

Fall2014

Spring2015

Summer2015

Page 8: K-12 Enrollment · 2016-10-03 · K. Grade 1. Grade 2. Grade 3. Grade 4. Grade 5. Grade 6. Grade 7. Grade 8. Grade 9. Grade 10. Grade 11. Grade 12. Santa Maria Total. 2881. 2540

-15.0%

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14

CCC AHC

Year over year % change in credit headcountStatewide (CCC) and AHC• The past six years of

statewide credit headcount have seen a slight increase, a steady decrease and a couple years of no change.

• AHC had a large spike in headcount in fall 2010 and then a huge decrease in fall 2011 due to contracted course offerings.

• The past two years have seen the % growth in AHC credit headcount slightly outpace the % growth for the state

Page 9: K-12 Enrollment · 2016-10-03 · K. Grade 1. Grade 2. Grade 3. Grade 4. Grade 5. Grade 6. Grade 7. Grade 8. Grade 9. Grade 10. Grade 11. Grade 12. Santa Maria Total. 2881. 2540

Credit Ethnic ProfileAHC Fall 2010 Credit Student

EthnicityAHC Fall 2014 Credit Student

Ethnicity

Asian, 6%

Afr Amer, 3%

Hispanic, 53%

Nat Am, 2%

Other, 0.04%

Pacific Isl, 0.7%

White, 36%

Unknown, 0.03%

Asian, 4.8%

Black, 2.6%

Nat American,

1.3% Other, 1.9%

Pac Islander,

0.6%N/A or

Decline, 4.2%

Hispanic, 40.2%

White, 44.4%

Page 10: K-12 Enrollment · 2016-10-03 · K. Grade 1. Grade 2. Grade 3. Grade 4. Grade 5. Grade 6. Grade 7. Grade 8. Grade 9. Grade 10. Grade 11. Grade 12. Santa Maria Total. 2881. 2540

Gender by Age in Credit Courses

Age Categories

Total

Female Male

# % # %

Under 20 1656 26.9% 1452 27.0%

20 to 24 1907 30.9% 1625 30.3%

25 to 34 1198 19.4% 1108 20.6%

35 to 54 1167 18.9% 947 17.6%55 and Over 237 3.8% 231 4.3%

Total 6166 100.0% 5368 100.0%

Age CategoriesTotal

Female Male# % # %

Under 20 1541 28.6% 1477 28.8%

20 to 24 1967 36.5% 1798 35.0%

25 to 34 1069 19.8% 1110 21.6%

35 to 54 663 12.3% 624 12.2%

55 and Over 148 2.7% 125 2.4%

Total 5388 100.0% 5134 100.0%

Fall 2008 Fall 2014

• 6 year trend shows that while overall headcount is down for both genders, females have decreased at a faster rate than males (females -13% / males -4%).

• Percentage increase in Under 20 and 20-24 age groups at the expense of the 25-34 and 35-54 age groups

• Average student age in fall 2008 = 27.7 and in fall 2014 = 24.2

Page 11: K-12 Enrollment · 2016-10-03 · K. Grade 1. Grade 2. Grade 3. Grade 4. Grade 5. Grade 6. Grade 7. Grade 8. Grade 9. Grade 10. Grade 11. Grade 12. Santa Maria Total. 2881. 2540

Ed Goals – Credit CoursesEducational Goals

Fall 2008

# % of total

AA/AS + Transfer 3278 28.2%Transfer, No AA/AS 725 6.2%AA/AS, No Transfer 715 6.2%Voc Degree, No Transfer 263 2.3%Voc Cert, No Transfer 389 3.4%Career Interests/Goals 372 3.2%Acquire Job Skills 665 5.7%Update Job Skills 674 5.8%Maintain Certificate/License 245 2.1%Educational Development 468 4.0%Improve Basic Skills 170 1.5%HS Diploma/GED 120 1.0%Undecided 3162 27.2%Unknown 364 3.1%Total 11610 100.0%

Educational Goals Fall 2014# % of total

AA/AS + Transfer 4535 43.1%Transfer, No AA/AS 1499 14.2%AA/AS, No Transfer 1743 16.6%Voc Degree, No Transfer 8 0.1%Voc Cert, No Transfer 468 4.4%Career Interests/Goals 133 1.3%Acquire Job Skills 296 2.8%Update Job Skills 368 3.5%Maintain Certificate/License 150 1.4%Educational Development 162 1.5%Improve Basic Skills 108 1.0%HS Diploma/GED 70 0.7%Move NC to CR 4 0.0%4yr student taking courses 153 1.5%Undecided 816 7.8%Unknown 9 0.1%Total 10522 100.0%• Huge increase in degree seeking and transfer seeking students!

• The three highlighted cells made up about 40% of the students in fall 2008 and about 75% of the students in fall 2014

Page 12: K-12 Enrollment · 2016-10-03 · K. Grade 1. Grade 2. Grade 3. Grade 4. Grade 5. Grade 6. Grade 7. Grade 8. Grade 9. Grade 10. Grade 11. Grade 12. Santa Maria Total. 2881. 2540

Unit Load – Credit Courses

Unit LoadFall 2008

# % of total0.1 - 2.9 1588 13.7%3.0 - 5.9 2889 24.9%6.0 - 8.9 2221 19.1%9.0 - 11.9 1420 12.2%

12.0 - 14.9 2612 22.5%

15.0 and Over 880 7.6%Total 11610 100%

Average # Units Taken 7.6

Unit Load Fall 2014# % of total

0.1 - 2.9 841 8.0%3.0 - 5.9 2449 23.3%6.0 - 8.9 2177 20.7%9.0 - 11.9 1698 16.1%

12.0 - 14.9 2409 22.9%

15.0 and Over 948 9.0%Total 10522 100%

Average # Units Taken 8.3

• Higher percentage of 9-12 and 15+ unit students. Even though headcount is down the students we have are taking more units than six years ago.

Page 13: K-12 Enrollment · 2016-10-03 · K. Grade 1. Grade 2. Grade 3. Grade 4. Grade 5. Grade 6. Grade 7. Grade 8. Grade 9. Grade 10. Grade 11. Grade 12. Santa Maria Total. 2881. 2540

Declared Majors – Credit Courses

Fall 2008Major N %

No Major 2653 22.9%Business 498 4.3%

Nursing, R.N. 474 4.1%

Admin. Of Justice 462 4.0%

Fire Control Technology 582 5.0%

Liberal Arts & Sciences 312 2.7%

Psychology 344 3.0%Education, General 248 2.1%

Business Management 272 2.3%

Early Childhood Studies 77 0.7%

Fall 2014Major N %

Registered Nursing 744 8.4%

Undeclared 607 6.8%

Psychology 529 6.0%

General 517 5.8%

Admin Of Justice 467 5.3%

Biology 458 5.2%Fire Technology 425 4.8%

Management 380 4.3%

Business Administration 377 4.2%

Engineering 353 4.0%

• Very similar top 10 majors. Some majors from fall 2008 doubled in percentage for fall 2014.

• Large decrease in no major/undeclared – more directed students!

Page 14: K-12 Enrollment · 2016-10-03 · K. Grade 1. Grade 2. Grade 3. Grade 4. Grade 5. Grade 6. Grade 7. Grade 8. Grade 9. Grade 10. Grade 11. Grade 12. Santa Maria Total. 2881. 2540

Conclusion• Student population has changed dramatically from fall 2008 to fall

2014– Younger students– Larger percentage of students taking higher unit loads with an

overall higher average unit load– Almost double the percentage of students who are degree

and/or transfer seeking– Much lower percentage of students with no declared major

• AHC has done a great job focusing and directing students!

• What can be done in the future to attract and keep more of these students?– HS outreach, technology integration into courses, expanded

support services, more transfer events/information, …

Page 15: K-12 Enrollment · 2016-10-03 · K. Grade 1. Grade 2. Grade 3. Grade 4. Grade 5. Grade 6. Grade 7. Grade 8. Grade 9. Grade 10. Grade 11. Grade 12. Santa Maria Total. 2881. 2540

Fall 2008 to Fall 2014 Credit StudentsPercentage change in location

Arroyo Grande -1.2%

Vandenberg -0.9%

Orcutt -0.9%

San Luis Obispo -0.8%

Northern SLO County -0.8%

Santa Maria 4.5%

Solvang/Buellton 0.3%

Goleta 0.2%

Guadalupe/Casmalia 0.2%

Santa Ynez/Los Olivos 0.1%

Five largest decreases Five largest increases

Page 16: K-12 Enrollment · 2016-10-03 · K. Grade 1. Grade 2. Grade 3. Grade 4. Grade 5. Grade 6. Grade 7. Grade 8. Grade 9. Grade 10. Grade 11. Grade 12. Santa Maria Total. 2881. 2540

Degrees earned – 5 year trend

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015

AAT/AST

AA/AS

Headcount

020406080

100120140160

AAT/AST

AAT/AST

Both duplicated degrees earned and the headcount of students earning them has increased the past few years.

Very large increase seen in the number of AAT and AST degrees awarded the past 5 years!

Page 17: K-12 Enrollment · 2016-10-03 · K. Grade 1. Grade 2. Grade 3. Grade 4. Grade 5. Grade 6. Grade 7. Grade 8. Grade 9. Grade 10. Grade 11. Grade 12. Santa Maria Total. 2881. 2540

Percentage of Course OfferingsRetention & Success Gap

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

Fall 2008 Fall 2009 Fall 2010 Fall 2011 Fall 2012 Fall 2013 Fall 2014

Rete

ntio

n/Su

cces

s G

ap

Perc

enta

ge o

f Cre

dit C

ours

e O

fferin

gs

Face to Face Course Online Course retention gap success gap

• Historically online courses have a retention gap of 5-10% pts less and a success gap of 15-20% pts less than face to face courses.

• Online course offerings went from about 12% of offerings in fall 2008 to about 17% offerings in fall 2014.

Page 18: K-12 Enrollment · 2016-10-03 · K. Grade 1. Grade 2. Grade 3. Grade 4. Grade 5. Grade 6. Grade 7. Grade 8. Grade 9. Grade 10. Grade 11. Grade 12. Santa Maria Total. 2881. 2540

-60%-40%-20%0%

Life & PhysicalSciencesLanguages andCommunicationFine Arts

Counseling

English

MathematicalSciencesPublic Safety

Business

Kinesiology, Rec &AthleticsSocial & BehavioralSciencesIndustrialTechnologyApplied SocialSciences

% Decrease in Day 1 waitlist fall 2013 to 2015

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Fall 2013 Fall 2014 Fall 2015

AHC Day 1 waitlist - total

• Most areas saw a decrease in the day 1 waitlist of about 40% across the three years.

• Was this due to students getting into the classes they wanted or did they just leave the college and not come back?

• Overall AHC enrollments would have increased by 15-20% a term if all demand on waitlists had been met