july 19, 2019 strong earnings improvement …...kemira’s mid- to long-term financial targets july...
TRANSCRIPT
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Strong earnings improvement continued in Q2
JULY 19, 2019
SEGMENT SPLIT PRODUCTS
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 2
GEOGRAPHIES
Kemira in briefLAST 12 MONTHS: REVENUE EUR 2,643 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR 375 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN 14.2%, OPERATIVE ROCE 10.8%
◼ 25% Bleaching
and pulping
◼ 20%
Polymers
◼ 20% Other:
e.g. defoamers,
dispersants,
and biocides
◼ 20%
Coagulants
◼ 15%
Sizing
and
strength
39%
AMERICAS
1.USA
2.Canada
3.Brazil
52%
EMEA
1.Finland
2.Sweden
3.Germany
9%
APAC
1.China
2.South
Korea
3.Thailand
◼ 58%Pulp & Paper
◼ 42%Industry & Water
CUSTOMERS
Several thousand customers
TOP 10 customers are ~25% of revenue
TOP 50 customers are ~50% of revenue
EXAMPLES OF
LARGEST CUSTOMERS
Municipalities, e.g.
Frankfurt, London, New York,
Paris, Shanghai, Singapore
#1 in
water
treatment
in NA and
Europe
#2 in friction reduction in North
American shale oil & gas
#2 globally
Revenue by geographies and product category represent FY 2018.
Why invest in Kemira
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 3
Profitable growthOperative EBITDA improved by +35% and
operative EBIT +40% in H1 20191
2
3
Attractive dividendStable dividend and competitive yield
(avg. close to 5%)
Sustainable investmentExcellent sustainability performance
(EcoVadis rating: Gold)
HOW KEMIRA CREATES VALUE
Strategy and Equity Story in summary
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 4
FINANCIAL TARGETS (mid- to long-term)
Above the market revenue growth • Operative EBITDA 15-17% • Gearing below 75%
OUR MARKET
FOCUS
Chemicals for Pulp & Paper,
Oil & Gas and Water Treatment
#1 or #2 in our core markets
Market growth estimated to be 2-3% p.a.
supported by higher use of fiber-based
products, resource efficiency and regulation
BUILDING A GREAT
CHEMICALS COMPANY
Great products:
4 core areas are polymers, coagulants,
sizing and bleaching chemicals which meet
our customers’ needs incl. resource efficiency
Great operations:
Deliver reliably with consistent quality
Great people:
Deep application expertise
and innovation capability
EXECUTION – VALUE
OVER VOLUME
Improving product and market mix
Focusing on capital efficiency
Investing selectively in core
product areas with higher return
on capital employed
Global megatrends favor Kemira
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 5
REGULATION
Safe drinking
water
More stringent
discharge limits
GROWING MIDDLE
CLASS &
URBANIZATION
E-commerce /
online shopping
Higher use of
water, energy,
tissue and board
SCARCITY
OF RESOURCES
Material and
resource
efficiency
Alternative
materials for
single-use plastic
products
REVENUE EUR million
2 137
2 373 2 363
2 486
2 593
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
OPERATIVE EBITDAOPERATIVE EBITDA MARGINEUR million
253
287
303311
323
11.8%12.1%
12.8%12.5% 12,5%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 6
Delivering profitable growth
JULY 2019
PRE IFRS 16
1,170
1,417 1,457 1,477 1,520
137
171195 198 192
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
REVENUE BYPRODUCT CATEGORY
INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 7
REVENUE BY CUSTOMERTYPE AND MARKET GROWTH
Pulp & Paper – strong business with solid track record
MARKET ENVIRONMENT REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHIES AND
MARKET GROWTH BY REGION
CUSTOMER EXAMPLES
◼ 55%
EMEA
◼ 30%
Americas
◼ 15%
APAC
◼ 40%
Bleaching
& pulping
◼ 25%
Sizing &
strength
◼ 20%Defoamers,
dispersants,
biocides and
other process
chemicals
◼ 10%
Polymers
◼ 5% Other◼ 40%
Pulp
◼ 20%
Printing &
writing papers
◼ 40%
Board &
tissue
-1-2%2-3%1-2%Market
growth
2-3%0-1%1%Market
growth
Nouryon (pulp) #3
Solenis (paper)* #1
Kemira (pulp and paper) m.s. ~16% #2
Ecolab (paper) #4
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
JULY 2019
* Solenis-BASF combined entity
Kurita (paper) #5
REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDAEUR million
REVENUE BYPRODUCT CATEGORY
INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 8
REVENUE BY APPLICATIONTYPE AND MARKET GROWTH
Industry & Water – strong positions in chosen categories
REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHIES AND
MARKET GROWTH BY REGION
◼ 40%
Coagulants
◼ 40%
Polymers
◼ 20%
Other
products
such as
defoamers
and biocides
2-3%5-6%2-3%
◼ 50%
EMEA
◼ 45%
Americas
◼ 5%
APAC
◼ 65%
Water treatment
◼ 10%
Other
◼ 25%
Oil & Gas
5-6%3-4%3-4%
WATER TREATMENT
Amsterdam
Barcelona
Frankfurt
London
Oslo
Paris
Stockholm
Los Angeles
Montreal
New York City
Toronto
Melbourne
Shanghai
Singapore
OIL & GAS
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
Market
growth
Market
growth
CUSTOMER EXAMPLES
JULY 2019
REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDAEUR million
MARKET ENVIRONMENT
Market share
~30% in coagulants and
~20% in polymers
Main competitors in
coagulants:
• Feralco (Europe)
• Kronos (Europe)
• Chemtrade (NA)
• USAlco (NA)
Market share ~25% in
polymers used in shale
oil & gas
Main peers in polymers
(also in water treatment):
• SNF
• Solenis
• Solvay (only O&G)
MUNICIPAL (40%),
customer examples
INDUSTRIAL (60%),
customer examples
Municipal Industrial
947 956906
1,0091,073
116 116107
114
131
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
2014-2016 figures are pro forma; combination of Municipal & Industrial
and Oil & Mining segments
Kemira’s mid- to long-term financial targets
JULY 2019 9
Targets 2017 2018 IFRS 16 impact H1 2019 Mid- to long-term
target
Revenue MEUR 2,486
Change +5%
MEUR 2,593
Change +4%
- MEUR 1,311
Change +4%
Above-the-market
growth
Operative
EBITDA*
12.5% 12.5% Around +1 %-point 15.4% 15-17%
Gearing* 59% 62% Around +10 %-points 79% Below 75%
Factors H1 2019 comments
Organic growth through volume and sales price increases Group’s organic growth +1%
Oil & Gas becoming larger share of Group (incl. shale, CEOR and oil sands) Revenue from EUR 126m in 2016 to around 300m run-rate
Sales price vs raw material price development Focus on value over volume visible in profitability; higher
sales prices and better product mix
Growth investments – Polymer capacity expansion in Netherlands, AKD
sizing Joint Venture in China, Polymer capacity expansion in the US
Backward integration and growth benefits 2020-21
FINANCIAL TARGETS AND HISTORICAL FIGURES
KEY FACTORS TO WATCH FOR PROFITABILITY IMPROVEMENT
* Targets updated in February 2019 due to IFRS 16 accounting change. 2017-2018 figures are PRE IFRS 16.
INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION
Healthy market growth for Kemira’s relevant markets
2018 2023
Americas EMEA APAC
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 10
Source: Management estimation based on various sources
KEMIRA RELEVANT MARKETEUR billion
PULP & PAPER RELEVANT MARKET EUR billion
INDUSTRY & WATER RELEVANT MARKETEUR billion
2018 2023
Pulp Printing & writing Board & tissue
2018 2023
Water treatment Oil & Gas Other
CAGR:2-3%
CAGR:1-2%
CAGR:3-4%
22
27
109
1713
Kemira pays stable and competitive dividend• Kemira’s dividend policy is to pay a stable
and competitive dividend
• Kemira has paid dividend every year since listing of shares in 1994
• Attractive dividend yield
0,53 0,53 0,53 0,53 0,53 0,53 0,53 0.53
5.8% 4.5% 4.4% 5.4% 4.9% 4.4% 4.6% 5.4%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 11
◼ Dividend per share Dividend yield
JULY 2019
Kemira’s dividend yield calculated using the share price at year-end
Our three sustainability priorities
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 12
Sustainable products
and solutions
People and integrity
Responsible operations & supply chain
Ensuring responsible operations
to protect our assets, our
environment, employees,
contractors, customers and
communities
Ensuring compliance with
responsible business practices
in our supply chain
Incorporating sustainability into
our products and solutions
Proactive product stewardship
throughout the products’ lifecycle
Culture and commitment to people
Ensuring compliance with
Kemira Code of Conduct
KPI’S AND TARGETS
• Employee engagement index above industry benchmark
• Leadership development activities 2 per people manager position, cumulative target 1500 by 2020 (2015=0)
• Integrity index continuously increasing
KPI’S AND TARGETS
• Carbon Index 80 by 2020 (Baseline 100 in 2012)
• People safety TRIF 2.0 by 2020
Supplier Sustainability Evaluation
• 90% of direct key suppliers screened through sustainability evaluation through assessments and audits (Baseline 60% in 2017)
KPI’S AND TARGETS
At least 50% of our revenue is generated through products improving customers’ resource efficiency
Investing in core product categories with higher return• Top 4 product categories represent 80% of
Group’s revenue, above EUR 2 billion
• Our investments have focused on:
– Bleaching chemicals
– Polymers
– Sizing* chemicals
• Current investments projects
– Netherlands – Expansion of Oil & Gas polymers
– US – Expansion of Oil & Gas polymers
– China – Completion of new Pulp & Paper AKD site
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 13
PRODUCTS
◼ 25% Bleaching
and pulping
◼ 20%
Polymers
◼ 20% Other:
e.g. defoamers,
dispersants,
and biocides
◼ 20%
Coagulants
◼ 15%
Sizing*
and
strength
Revenue
EUR 2,642
million
(LTM)
*Sizing = Resistance against water absorption
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 14
Latest news andfinancials
Key points in Q2 2019
• Focus on value over volume continued
• Strong profitability improvement despite some softness in the market
• Growth investment projects in China and the Netherlands expected to be ramped-up by year-end
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 15
Key financial highlights
Focus on value over volume
• Intention to drive profitability resulted in some lost volumes
• Oil & Gas organic growth +30%
Operative EBITDA +32% to margin of 16.0%
• Improved product mix
• Effective price and cost management combined with favorable raw material price development
• IFRS 16 impact EUR +8.3 million in Q2
• Favorable currency development
Operative EBIT +34% to margin of 9.1%
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 16
EUR million
(except ratios)
Q2
2019
Q2
2018
Δ% FY
2018
Revenue 663.6 647.6 +2 2,592.8
Operative EBITDA 106.1 80.2 +32 323.1
of which margin 16.0% 12.4% 12.5%
Operative EBIT 60.3 45.1 +34 173.8
of which margin 9.1% 7.0% 6.7%
Net profit 35.2 23.5 +50 95.2
EPS, EUR 0.22 0.14 +54 0.58
Pulp & Paper – profitability improving
Market environment
• Some short-term softness in the market
Organic growth -3%
• Intentional focus on improving product mix
• Exit of ECOX business impacted sales volumes
Operative EBITDA margin 14.4%
• Value over volume visible also in EBITDA and EBIT leading to improved profitability
• Cost savings initiated – related one-time costs recognized in Q2
• *IFRS 16 impact EUR +3.2 million in Q2 and EUR +6.5 million in H1
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 17
OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA-%
EUR million
REVENUE AND ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH (Y-ON-Y)
EUR million
372 369 363373 369 376 385 390 381 373
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2017 2018 2019
0% +1% +2% +5% +5% +6% +7% +4% -3%
46.0 47.8 48.555.4
42.7 45.452.3 51.2 50.7 53.7
12.4% 13.0% 13.4%14.9%
11.6% 12.1%13.6% 13.1% 13.3%
14.4%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1* Q2*
2017 2018 2019
+0%
Industry & Water – exceptional profitability
Market environment
• Water treatment market solid
• Oil & gas shale market growth rate slowing in the short-term
Organic growth +4%
• Our Oil & Gas business had strong organic growth, +30% to EUR 77 million, partly driven by oil sands tailings treatment business
• Focus on key customers
Operative EBITDA margin exceptionally high 18.1%
• Favorable product mix and polymer raw material price development
• *IFRS 16 impact EUR +5.0 million in Q2 and EUR +9.4 million in H1
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 18
22.929.3
36.0
25.3 26.634.8 36.7 33.3
45.052.4
9.6%11.8%
13.9%
9.6%10.9%
12.8% 12.9% 12.3%
16.8%18.1%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1* Q2*
2017 2018 2019
OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA-%
EUR million
238 248 259 264245
272 284 271 267290
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2017 2018 2019
+9% +15% +20% +14%
REVENUE AND ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH (Y-ON-Y)
EUR million
+11% +11% +2% +4%+6% +5%
Clear improvement in safety
• We have 5,067 employees and annually 1,000-1,200 contractors working with us
• We produce some 5.3 Mton of products at 64 manufacturing sites in 28 countries every year
• We deliver nearly 1,000 shipments daily by road, rail and sea
• Our TRIF is 2.5, including own employees and contractors
• Our LTIF of 1.5 is among the best of the global chemical companies*
Total Recordable Injuries Frequency
# of injuries per 1 million hours
(Kemira Employees and Contractors in our facilities)
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 19
Safety record on the right track –target has to be zero injuries
5.8
7.2
3.43.9 3.5
2.5
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 YTD
*Based on the ICCA (the International Council of Chemical Associations)
database and the latest reported company data
2.7 2.7
1.5
2.2 2.01.5
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 YTD
Lost Time Injuries Frequency
# of injuries per 1 million hours
(Kemira Employees and Contractors in our facilities)
Key operative focus areas in H2 2019
1. Active price management
2. Modify product & service offering to cater better profitable growth
3. Improve operational excellence
4. Ramp-up CEOR* polymer capacity addition in the Netherlands
5. Start-up new AKD sizing manufacturing site in China
6. Construction of emulsion polymer capacity in the US on time and in budget, start-up expected beginning of 2021
7. Prudent cost-control in all areas
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 20
*CEOR, chemical enhanced oil recovery
PETRI CASTRÉN, CFO JULY 19, 2019
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 21
Financials Q2 2019
Successful pricing drives improvement
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 22
80.2
Q22018
Sales volumes Sales prices Variable costs Fixed costs Currencyimpact
Other Q22019
Adoption ofIFRS 16standard
"Pre IFRS 16comparison"
-6.6+23.4
+4.8 -0.5 +5.7 -0.8
OPERATIVE EBITDA BRIDGE
EUR million
648 -4% +2% 0% 664
Q2 2018 Salesvolumes
Salesprices
Currencyimpact
Acquisitions Q2 2019
+4%
REVENUE AND ORGANIC GROWTH (Y-ON-Y)
EUR millionOperative EBITDA margin 16.0%
• Focus on value over volume is bearing fruit
• Due to the adoption of IFRS 16 -standard, fixed costs do not include operating lease expenses in 2019, corresponding to a positive EBITDA impact of EUR +8.3 million in Q2 and EUR +16.0 million in H1
97.8-8.3106.1
SALES PRICE VS VARIABLE COST TREND(ROLLING 12-MONTH CHANGE Y-O-Y)
-180
-120
-60
0
60
120
180
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Brent oil, USD Sales prices* Variable costs*
SALES PRICES AND VARIABLE COSTS(CHANGE Y-O-Y)
95
-3 -10
-16-20
-10
-2 -2
114
8
24
28
-9
-18
-26-23
-16
-4
3
11
23
4742
3734
23
-18-23
-23 -13
0
1613
13
2636
38
29
11
-5
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2016 2017 2018 2019
Net impact on EBITDA (sales prices-variable costs)
Sales prices
Variable costs
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 23
Net impact of sales price & variable costs positive
* 12-month rolling change vs previous year in EUR million
EUR millionEUR million
Cash flow has improved clearly
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 24
ALL KEY FIGURES IN EUR MILLION
271
205 210
58
122
2016 2017 2018 H1 2018 H1 2019
118 124 106
41 34
95 66
44
22 34
2016 2017 2018 H1 2018 H1 2019
213
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE EXCL. ACQUISITIONS
◼ Growth capex190
150
• Cash flow supported by improved profitability
• Kemira’s Pension Fund Neliapila returned excess capital of EUR 15 million to Group in Q1
• IFRS 16 impact EUR +14 million on cash flow from operations in H1
• Typically cash flow is H2-weighted, especially due to changes in net working capital
• In H1 the largest capital expenditures were related to polymer expansion in the Netherlands and new AKD manufacturing site in China
• CAPEX excl. acquisitions estimated to be around EUR 180-220 million in 2019
63 68
ROCE improving, adoption of IFRS 16 increased reported net debt
9.9% 9.7% 9.8% 9.7%
10.8%
2016 2017 2018 Q2 2018LTM
Q2 2019LTM
634694 741 773
921
Dec 31 2016
Dec 312017
Dec 312018
Jun 302018
Jun 302019
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 25
NET DEBT (EUR million) AND LEVERAGE RATIO*
OPERATIVE RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED
2.32.22.1
• ROCE improvement driven by Industry & Water
• Ongoing investment projects are expected to improve Group’s ROCE once up and running
• Increase in net debt resulted mainly from the adoption of IFRS 16 as operating leases (EUR 135 million) are part of debt
– Excluding IFRS 16 impact, net debt would have been EUR 786 million and leverage ratio 2.2
• Average cost of net debt excluding leases is 1.9% and duration is 27 months
2.52.5
* Leverage ratio = Net debt / last 12 months operative EBITDA
Outlook for 2019
“Kemira expects its operative EBITDA (2018: EUR 323.1 million) to increase from the prior year on a comparable basis, excluding the impact of IFRS 16 accounting change.”
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 26
EUR
million
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
outlook
Operative
EBITDA
253 287 303 311 323 Increase
Operative EBITDA figures for 2014-2018 are ”pre IFRS-16”.
Majority of contracts with fixed annual pricingPulp & Paper – Contract types and pricing terms on high level
• Length – Around 95% of contracts are 1-year or longer / only 5% are spot deals
• Pricing – Around 70% fixed / 30% formula or spot pricing
Industry & Water – Contract types and pricing terms
• Length – Around 60% of contracts are 1-yr or longer / 40% spot deals
• Pricing – Around 60% fixed / 40% formula or spot pricing, incl. Oil & Gas where contracts are either formula or spot based
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 27
VARIABLE COST SPLIT 2018EUR 1.6 billion
TOP 10 RAW MATERIALSBY SPEND
1. Sodium hydroxide (caustic soda)*
2. Acrylonitrile (OD)
3. Aluminium hydrate
4. Colloidal silica dispersion*
5. Amines (OD)
6. Petroleum solvents (OD)
7. Acrylic acid (OD)
8. Alpha olefin (OD)
9. Acrylic ester (OD)
10. Fatty acid
Top 10 account for 50%of Kemira’s raw material spend
OD = Oil & gas derivative
* Mainly trading materials
INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 28
EXPOSURE TO OIL RELATEDRAW MATERIALS
Kemira’s variable cost split and top raw materials
◼ 30%Oil & gas
related
◼ 70%Not oil
related
◼ 70%Raw materials
◼ 15%Electricity & energy
◼ 15%Logistics
JULY 2019
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 29
Mid- to long-term financial targets were updated due to IFRS 16 in February 2019
Targets until
end of 2018
Revenue
Operative EBITDA-% 14-16%
IFRS 16
impact
-
Gearing
Around +1%-point
Approx. +10%-pointsBelow 60%
2017
EUR 2.5 billion
2018
EUR 2.6 billion
12.5% 12.5%
59% 62%
Above-the-market
growth
Financial
targets (mid- to long-term)
Above-the-market
growth
15-17%
Below 75%
• IFRS 16 will affect primarily the accounting for Kemira Group’s operating leases
• Operating lease expenses are replaced by the depreciation of the right-of-use assets and interest cost associated with lease liability
• The impact on EBIT is small positive and on net profit immaterial
• No restatement of previous year figures, instead we will provide enough data for analysis
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 30
IFRS 16 impact on financials
EUR million
(except ratio)
FY
2018
Impact on
H1 2019
Estimated impact
on FY 2019, around
Operative EBITDA 323.1 +16.0 +30
of which margin 12.5% +1.2 %-point +1 %-point
Impact on balance sheet
EUR million
(except ratio) Dec 31, 2018
Impact on
June 30, 2019
Net debt 741 +135
Gearing 62% +12%-points
EUR million Q2 2019 Q1 2019 Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 2018 2017
Revenue 663.6 647.8 661.8 669.6 647.6 2,592.8 2,486.0
Operative EBITDA 106.1 95.6 84.5 89.0 80.2 323.1 311.3
margin 16.0% 14.8% 12.8% 13.3% 12.4% 12.5% 12.5%
Operative EBIT 60.3 50.1 44.8 50.0 45.1 173.8 170.3
margin 9.1% 7.7% 6.8% 7.5% 7.0% 6.7% 6.9%
Net profit 35.2 29.3 26.5 22.1 23.5 95.2 85.2
Earnings per share, EUR 0.22 0.18 0.17 0.14 0.14 0.58 0.52
Cash flow from operations 57.2 65.2 88.2 64.2 23.4 210.2 205.1
Capex excl. acquisitions 39.9 28.3 53.2 34.3 39.8 150.4 190.1
Net debt 921 842 741 744 773 741 694
NWC ratio (rolling 12 m) 10.9% 10.6% 10.2% 9.8% 9.6% 10.2% 9.4%
Operative ROCE (rolling 12 m) 10.8% 10.3% 9.8% 9.8% 9.7% 9.8% 9.7%
Personnel at period-end 5,067 4,973 4,915 4,798 4,858 4,915 4,732
PLEASE NOTE FINANCIAL IMPACT OF IFRS 16 ADOPTION FROM THE PREVIOUS SLIDE
Key figures
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 31
EUR million Q2 2019 Q2 2018 2018 2017
Net profit for the period 35 24 95 85
Total adjustments 69 53 220 204
Change in net working capital -22 -32 -51 -34
Finance expenses -17 -11 -30 -25
Income taxes paid -8 -10 -24 -25
Net cash generated from operating activities 57 23 210 205
Purchases of subsidiaries, acquisitions and assoc. comp. -2 2 -43 0
Capital expenditure -40 -40 -150 -190
Proceeds from sale of assets 1 1 7 3
Change in long-term loan receivables 0 0 5 -5
Cash flow after investing activities 17 -13 29 13
Cash flow
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 32
Currencies
Currency exchange rates had around EUR +31 million impact on revenue andEUR +12 million impact on the operative EBITDA in H1 2019 compared to H1 2018.
Guidance: 10% change in our main foreign currencies would approximately haveEUR 15 million impact on operative EBITDA on an annualized basis.
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 33
◼ 42% EUR
◼ 7% Others
KEMIRA REVENUE DISTRIBUTION H1 2019 KEMIRA COST DISTRIBUTION H1 2019
◼ 2% SEK
◼ 4% CNY
◼ 4% CAD
◼ 37% USD
◼ 6% Others
◼ 5% CNY
◼ 5% CAD
◼ 6% SEK
◼ 30% USD
◼ 43% EUR◼ 2% BRL
◼ 2% GBP
◼ 3% GBP
◼ 2% PLN
KEY FINANCIALS
Pulp & Paper
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 34
*12-month rolling average
EUR million Q2 2019 Q1 2019 Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 2018 2017
Revenue 373.4 380.8 390.4 385.2 376.0 1,520.2 1,476.9
Operative EBITDA 53.7 50.7 51.2 52.3 45.4 191.7 197.7
margin 14.4% 13.3% 13.1% 13.6% 12.1 12.6% 13.4%
Operative EBIT 24.0 20.6 24.1 26.6 22.0 91.6 104.8
margin 6.4% 5.4% 6.2% 6.9% 5.9% 6.0% 7.1%
Operative ROCE*, % 7.6% 7.7% 7.8% 8.5% 8.3% 7.8% 9.0%
Capital expenditure (excl. M&A) 23.3 17.3 28.8 20.7 21.4 85.1 138.3
Cash flow after investing
activities
36.2 25.1 -13.5 20.6 2.3 29.9 15.7
KEY FINANCIALS
Industry & Water
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 35
*12-month rolling average
EUR million Q2 2019 Q1 2019 Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 2018 2017
Revenue 290.2 267.0 271.5 284.4 271.7 1,072.6 1,009.1
Operative EBITDA 52.4 45.0 33.3 36.7 34.8 131.5 113.6
margin 18.1% 16.8% 12.3% 12.9% 12.8% 12.3% 11.3%
Operative EBIT 36.3 29.5 20.8 23.4 23.0 82.2 65.5
margin 12.5% 11.0% 7.7% 8.2% 8.5% 7.7% 6.5%
Operative ROCE*, % 16.9% 15.4% 13.6% 12.5% 12.6% 13.6% 11.0%
Capital expenditure (excl. M&A) 16.5 11.0 24.4 13.6 18.4 65.3 51.7
Cash flow after investing
activities
5.7 27.8 23.8 26.8 6.1 52.5 46.9
FY 2018
Revenue split by country
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 36
USA 27%
Canada 6%
Brazil 3%
Uruguay 2%
Other Americas 1%
Finland 16%Sweden 5%
Germany 5%
Poland 3%
UK 3%
Spain 2%
Other APAC 4%
South Korea 1%
China 4%
Russia 2%
Netherlands 2%
France 2%
Italy 2%
Other EMEA 9%
Norway 1%
Key figures and ratios – 5-year summary
EUR million (except ratios) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Revenue 2,136.7 2,373.1 2,363.3 2,486.0 2,592.8
Operative EBITDA 252.9 287.3 302.5 311.3 323.1
of which margin 11.8% 12.1% 12.8% 12.5% 12.5%
Operative EBIT 158.3 163.1 170.1 170.3 173.8
of which margin 7.4% 6.9% 7.2% 6.9% 6.7%
Cash flow from operations 74.2 247.6 270.6 205.1 210.2
Capital expenditure, excluding acq. 140.6 181.7 212.6 190.1 150.4
Gearing at period-end 42 54 54 59 62
Inventories 197 207 217 224 284
Personnel at period-end 4,248 4,685 4,818 4,732 4,915
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 37
Per share figures – 5-year summary2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Earnings per share, EUR 0.59 0.47 0.60 0.52 0.58
Cash flow from operating activities per
share, EUR
0.49 1.63 1.78 1.35 1.38
Equity per share, EUR 7.57 7.76 7.68 7.61 7.80
Dividend per share, EUR 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53
Share price, EUR, end of period 9.89 10.88 12.13 11.50 9.85
Market capitalization, EUR million
(excl. treasury shares)
1,504 1,654 1,848 1,752 1,502
Number of shares, million
(excl. treasury shares)
152.1 152.1 152.4 152.4 152.4
P/E ratio 16.7 23.3 20.1 22.3 17.0
P/CF ratio 20.2 6.7 6.8 8.5 7.1
P/B ratio 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.3
Dividend yield, % 5.4 4.9 4.4 4.6 5.4
INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 38JULY 2019
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Pulp & Paper –driving growth as market leader
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 39
Pulp & Paper chemicals market estimated to grow 1-2%
• Pulp & Paper chemicals market drivers
– Hardwood and softwood pulp demand increasing driven by growth of packaging needs (e-commerce, non-plastic solutions), growing tissue demand and lack of recycled fiber
– Demand increase continues for packaging, driven by online shopping, last-mile delivery, product safety and non-plastic solutions
– Growth in tissue demand driven by increasing wealth in emerging countries
– Ongoing digitalization of media drives decline of graphic paper demand
• Growth areas, pulp and board & tissue, represent over 80% of our Pulp & Paper revenue
– Ongoing capacity additions suit well for the need of growing demand
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 40
REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDAEUR million
1,170
1,417 1,457 1,477 1 520
137
171195 198 192
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
◼ 40%
Pulp
◼ 20%
Printing &
writing papers◼ 40%
Board & tissue
-1-2%2-3%1-2%Market
growth
REVENUE BY CUSTOMER TYPE
Strong demand in pulp market creating growth opportunitiesNew pulp mill projects are driven byincreasing demand for board and tissue
• Food and liquid packaging board isgrowing particularly fast in Asia
• Pulp is produced close to fiber sources andthen shipped to board, paper, and tissue mills or used captively in an integrated mill
• Growth in board = 1 new pulp mill per year
Multiple pulp mill projects realised and expected in Northern Europe creating opportunities for Kemira to grow withthe market
In addition, a few large scale pulp millprojects expected in South America
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 41
Confirmed new capacity /
debottlenecking 2016-2020
Possible new mills 2020-2022
Äänekoski
Kuusankoski
Kuopio
Paltamo
Kemi
Östrand
Värobacka
Svetlogorsk
Steti
Viljandi/Tartto
Vologda
Bratsk ->
Uts-Ilimsk ->
Sveza
Bleaching investment – case Joutseno
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 42
• In Joutseno we doubled our chlorate capacity in Q4 2017
– Excellent timing, pulp production grew simultaneously in Finland
• Multiple pulp mills are located nearby with annual production of over 2Mt
• Part of chlorate production can be also exported in dry format to APAC
EUR 50 MILLION INVESTMENT IN 2017
Acquisition via JV in China
• Agreed to form joint venture with Tiancheng
• NewCo will produce mainly AKD wax and its key raw material fatty acid chloride (FACL)
– AKD is sizing chemical used in board and paper to createresistance against liquid absorption
– NewCo also plans to produce coagulants for water treatment
• Kemira strengthens its position and secures supply of key raw material for AKD wax
• Kemira has 80% of NewCo
– Investment for 80% around EUR 55 million
• Ramp-up after completion investments
– Good contribution to P&L after ramp-up
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 43
AKD WAX SUPPLIED FROM YANZHOU, CHINA TO KEMIRA SITES GLOBALLY
We leverage acquisition synergieswith our global production
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 44
Telêmaco
Borba
Washougal
St. CatharinesHelsingborg
Joutseno
Nanjing
Hallam
Gunsan
Pasuruan
Wellgrow
Krems
TarragonaYanzhou
NewCo
Acquisition in China is excellentstrategic fitAcquired asset fulfills our key criteria for acquisitions
GROWTH – End-products in growing markets
APAC – Enables profitable growth in APAC
SUPPLY – Backward integr. & self-sufficiency (FACL)
SUSTAINABILITY – FACL from renewable raw material
LOCATION – Close to our existing production
PROFITABILITY – Accretive after ramp-up
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 45
END-PRODUCTSWHERE AKD WAXIS USED
Pulp & Paper
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 46
TECHNOLOGY AND MARKET LEADER
Value chain part covered by Kemira
RAW
MATERIALSINTERMEDIATES PRODUCTS APPLICATIONS
CUSTOMER
INDUSTRIESCUSTOMERS
Electricity
Sodium chloride(salt)
Crude tall oil
Cationic monomer
Acrylonitrile
Acrylic acid
Olefins
Fatty acids
Maleic anhydride
Sulfur
Tall oil rosin
AKD Wax
Isomerized olefinsAcrylamide
Sodium chlorate
Hydrogen peroxide
Polymers
Defoamers
Coagulants
Biocides
Sizing
Strength Additives
Surface additives
Colorants
Sulfuric acid
Pulping
Bleaching
Retention
Wet-end processcontrol
WQQM
Sizing
Strength
Surface treatment
Coloring
Pulp
Packagingand board
Printingand writing
Tissue
All the major global paper and pulp producers
MAIN COMPETITORS: Solenis, Nouryon, Ecolab, Kurita, SNF
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 47
Industry & Water -stronger platformfor profitable growth
Industry & Water relevant chemicals market estimated to grow 3-4%
• Demand for water treatment chemicals expected to increase due to
– Higher demand for water driven by industrial growth and population growth
– More stringent discharge limits for waste water
– Better dewatering of sludge
– Phosphorus recovery
– Water reuse
• Higher demand for Oil & Gas solutions expected
– Shale friction reducer market expected to grow due to higher energy demand and increasing number of wells fracked
– Oil sands operators face regulatory requirements for their tailings treatment
– Chemical Enhanced Oil Recovery lucrative in certain fields due to better yield from existing reservoirs
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 48
947 956906
1,009 1,073
116 116 107 114131
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDAEUR million
◼ 65%
Water treatment
◼ 10%
Other◼ 25%
Oil & Gas
2-3%5-6%2-3%Market
growth
REVENUE BY APPLICATION
2014-2016 figures are pro forma; combination of Municipal & Industrial and
Oil & Mining segments
Kemira is a market leader in water treatment chemistry
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 49
Serving most European cities
Drinking water plants and wastewater plants
• No of ship-to countries ~ 80
• No of ship-to points ~ 9 000
• No of ship-from points ~ 30-40
I&W EMEA customer locations. Dot size
correlates with ship-to volumes.
Not representative for Eastern Europe due to
roll-out of Kemira ERP system.
1. The requirements of the Urban Wastewater Treatment Directive (UWWTD) must be implemented fully and equally in all member states.
2. Emission limit values (especially phosphorus) in water discharges should be tightened.
3. Digitalization can improve both the quality of monitoring and the cost efficiency of water treatment.
4. Emerging pollutants need to be included in the legislation.
5. Pollution from storm-water overflows must be limited and discharges safely disinfected.
6. Clearer guidance is needed on applying innovation and sustainability criteria in public procurement for water treatment.
Kemira’ssix actions for cleaner waters
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 50
Implementation of wastewater treatment directive varies in EU• There are significant
implementation gaps of the Urban Wastewater Treatment Directive, even though the first collection and treatment requirements of the Directive already entered into force in 2001
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 51
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Austr
ia
Belg
ium
Bulg
aria
Cro
atia
Cypru
s
Cze
ch R
ep
ub
lic
Denm
ark
Esto
nia
Fin
land
Fra
nce
Germ
any
Gre
ece
Hung
ary
Ire
land
Italy
Latv
ia
Lithu
ania
Luxe
mb
ou
rg
Ma
lta
Neth
erla
nds
Pola
nd
Port
ug
al
Rom
ania
Slo
vakia
Slo
ven
ia
Spa
in
Sw
ede
n
United
Kin
gd
om
2010 2012 2014
Degree of compliance in water discharges*
% of subjected load
* Degree of compliance with Article 5 of the Directive, which sets the requirements for water discharges to sensitive areas.
Source: European Commission, 9th report on the implementation status concerning urban waste water treatment.
Oil & Gas growing fast
Growing market demand with our selective market diversification assuring growth
Kemira’s offering
• Process efficiencies: polymers that reduce energy consumption by 60% in shale oil fields
• Cost reduction: higher concentrated liquids that make offshore oil recovery more cost effective (CEOR)
• Addressing environmental regulations: tailing treatment in oil sands
New innovative technologies driving expansion
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 52
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
REVENUE IN OIL & GASEUR million
REVENUE SPLIT
◼ 10%Other
◼ 60%Shale fracking
◼ 30%Oil sands and
Chemical Enhanced
Oil Recovery Figures rounded to closest 5%
Oil
price
Organic growth
>30%
CEOR-polymer deal with Chevron
• Strategically important multi-year Chemical Enhanced Oil Recovery deal with Chevron
• EUR 30 million polymer capacity addition, announced in October 2017, progressing well
• CEOR market size approximately EUR 1 billion of which EUR 500 million accessible to Kemira
• Market growth estimated to be 5% driven by enhanced production from existing fields
• Kemira is committed to provide enhanced solutions for challenging water intensive environments and technologies that can enable CEOR
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 53
Industry & Water
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 54
TECHNOLOGY AND MARKET LEADER IN WATER TREATMENT AS WELLAS IN NICHE APPLICATIONS IN OIL & GAS
MAIN COMPETITORS
Coagulants: mainly local small companies, Feralco, USALCO, Kronos, PVS,
Polymers: SNF, Solvay, Ecolab, SolenisValue chain part covered by Kemira
INTERMEDIATES PRODUCTS APPLICATIONS SALES CHANNELS CUSTOMERS
Acrylonitrile
Acrylic acid
Sulfuric acid
Hydrochloric acid
Aluminium hydrate
Iron ore
Pickling liquor
Copperas
Various monomers
Acrylamide
Cationic monomer
Polymers (EPAM, DPAM)
Al Coagulants
Fe Coagulants
Dispersants &antiscalants
Biocides
Emulsifiers
Defoamers
Formulations
Raw water & waste water treatment
Sludge treatment
Friction reduction
Enhanced oil recovery
Tailings treatment
Mining processes
Direct sales
Distributor/reseller
Service companies
RAW
MATERIALS
Municipalities
Private operators
Industrial customers
Pumpers
Oil & Gas operators
Service companies
Mine operators
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Appendix
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 55
SHAREHOLDERS ON JUNE 30, 2019
% OF SHARES
1. Oras Invest 18.2%
2. Solidium (owned by State of Finland) 14.0%
3. Varma Mutual Pension Insurance Company 3.4%
4. Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Comp. 2.6%
5. Kemira Oyj 1.7%
Total number of shares 155,342,557
Foreign ownership of shares 30.0%
Total number of shareholders 32,919
KEMIRA BOARD OF DIRECTORS
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 56
Kemira – largest shareholders andBoard of Directors
JARI PAASIKIVI
Chairman
Member since 2012
Oras Invest Oy, CEO
KERTTU
TUOMAS
Vice Chairman
Member
since 2010
WOLFGANG
BÜCHELE
Member in
2009-2012 and
since 2014
KAISA
HIETALA
Member
since 2016
TIMO
LAPPALAINEN
Member since
2014
SHIRLEY
CUNNINGHAM
Member
since 2017
Kemira’s Management Board
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 57
Jukka Hakkila, Chief Legal Officer, (with Kemira since 2005) acts as secretary of Management Board and Board of Directors.
JARI ROSENDAL
President and CEO
With Kemira since 2014
KIM POULSEN
President
Pulp & Paper
With Kemira since 2015
ANTTI SALMINEN
President
Industry & Water
With Kemira since 2011
PETRI CASTRÉN
CFO
With Kemira since 2013
MATTHEW PIXTON
CTO
With Kemira since 2016
ESA-MATTI PUPUTTI
EVP, Operational
Excellence
With Kemira since 2015
EEVA SALONEN
EVP, Human Resources
With Kemira since 2008
Priority KPI+Target Performance Comments Progress
Sustainable products
and solutions
Product sustainability
Share of revenue from products used for
use-phase resource efficiency. At least
50% of Kemira’s revenue generated
through products improving customers’
resource efficiency.
In Q2 2019 four R&D projects and two joint R&D projects
were started to improve customer resource efficiency. Other
R&D projects are targeted to improve product quality or
safety. In Q2 one R&D project to improve customer phase
resource efficiency was commercialized.
Responsible
operations and supply
chain
Workplace safety
Achieve zero injuries on long term;
TRIF* 2.0 by end of 2020.
YTD 2019 TRIF was 2.5. The preventive work with
Behaviour Based Safety and using leading indicators like
hazardous conditions and activities on a daily basis are
beginning to show results via lower number of people
incidents as well as severity. EMEA completed face-to-
face EHSQ training in June.
Climate change
Kemira Carbon Index ≤ 80 by end of
2020 (2012 = 100). This KPI is reported
once a year.
Efforts to decrease carbon footprint continue mainly by
sourcing a higher share of electricity from low carbon
sources. During Q2, started E3 Energy Reviews in six of
our manufacturing plants. Work to develop a longer-term
climate change target started in Q2.
Supplier Management
% of direct key suppliers screened
through sustainability assessments and
audits (cumulative %). The target
includes 5 sustainability audits for
highest risk** suppliers every year, and
cumulatively 25 by 2020.
Sustainability screening of key suppliers continues as
planned. During Q2 two ethical audits and 8 new
assessments were conducted. Total 29 suppliers are
currently in progress to be evaluated during the second
half of the year.
Corporate responsibility performance Q2/2019
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION
49%
51%
Baseline average2016-2017
2018
10088 91 93
86 85 83 80
12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Target2020
69% 72%
90%
11 13
25
0
10
20
30
40
50
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Baseline 2018 YTD2019
Target 2020
% of key suppliers # of audits (cumul.)
* TRIF = Number of Total Recordable Injury Frequency per million hours, Kemira + contractor, year-to-date
** Suppliers with lowest sustainability assessment score
7,2
3,43,9 3,5
2,52,0
15 16 17 18 YTD2019
Target2020
58
Priority KPI+target Performance CommentsProgress
People and
integrity
Employee engagement index based on
Voices@Kemira biennial survey
The index at or above the external
industry norm. The participation rate
target in Voices@Kemira is 75% or
above.
Engagement currently 2% above external industry norm.
Company wide strategy communication and engagement is
ongoing across staff and stakeholders.
Leadership development activities
provided, average
Two leadership development activities
per person in manager position during
2016-2020, the cumulative target is 1,500
by 2020.
123 leadership activities in Q2. Leadership activities overall
1671 vs target 1500 by year 2020.
Integrity index
KPI to measure compliance with the
Kemira Code of Conduct. The target is to
maintain the Integrity Index level above
the external industry norm.
Currently at 10% above external industry norm. Mandatory
training on the Kemira Code of Conduct and general
awareness-building on GDPR was continued for Kemira
employees.
Corporate responsibility performance Q2/2019
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION
58%67% 71%75%
85% 84%
2013 2015 2017 2018
Engagement Participation
494
1 036
1 533 1 500
2016 2017 2018 Target 2020
87%
84%
2018
Integrity Index Participation
Read more about Corporate
Responsibility in Kemira
59
Important information about financial figuresKemira provides certain financial performance measures (alternative performance measures) on non-GAAP basis. Kemira believes that alternative performance measures, such as organic growth*, EBITDA, operative EBITDA, cash flow after investing activities, and gearing followed by capital markets and Kemira management, provide useful information of its comparable business performance and financial position. Selected alternative performance measures are also used as performance criteria in remuneration.
Kemira’s alternative performance measures should not be viewed in isolation to the equivalent IFRS measures and alternative performance measures should be read in conjunction with the most directly comparable IFRS measures. Definitions of the alternative performance measures can be found in the Definitions of the key figures in this report, as well as at www.kemira.com > Investors > Financial information.
All the figures in this interim report have been individually rounded and consequently the sum of individual figures may deviate slightly from the sum figure presented.
* Revenue growth in local currencies, excluding acquisitions and divestments
JULY 2019 INV E S T OR P RE S E NT A T ION 60