joindre capital services ltd. sebi regn no. … · hi-tech, process industry and medical devices....

JOINDRE CAPITAL SERVICES LTD. SEBI REGN NO. INH000002061 / INZ000174034

RESEARCH REPORT 15th April 2019

L&T TECHNOLOGY SERVICES LTD BSE : LTTS Sector: ENGINEERING RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT SERVICES BSE: 540115

View - BUY CMP : Rs. 1649 Target Price: Rs 2200 (In next 12 to 18 mths) BUSINESS BACKGROUND KEY DATA

INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS

SHAREHOLDING PATTERN

KEY FUNDAMENTALS

vScore: vScore (Value Score) is our proprietary company rating system f

Precise Advice

Assured…

Long term Drivers for DHFL look good in view of the follow18

L&T Technology Services (LTTS) was established through a group restructuring exercise by the L&T Group, wherein, integrated engineering services of L&T and product engineering services business of L&T Infotech were transferred to LTTS. As a result, LTTS has emerged as one of the leading global pure-play ER&D services, providing services to manufacturing, technology and process engineering companies, LTTS has active presence in 10 verticals: consumer electronics, semiconductor, aerospace, medical devices, telecom, energy, construction & heavy machinery, automotive, transport, industrial Products. LTTS captures data from IoT devices on ER&D products platform, aggregates at the gateway, stores in the cloud

and retrieves by applications with a global presence in over 30 countries.

PROMOTERS - 80%

BANKS, MFs & DIIs - 4%

FIIs - 5%

PUBLIC - 11%

Strong Financial Performance in Q3 and 9 months of FY19 –

LTTS reported a steady set of FY18 numbers with net sales at Rs 3747

crs as compared to a revenue of Rs 3248 crs last year, with EBIDTA

placed at Rs 575 crs with the PAT placed at Rs 506 crs from Rs 424

crs last year. LTTS has declared a dividend of 800% for FY18.

For LTTS in Q3 of FY19 Sales are up by 34% at Rs 1214 crs with

EBIDTA up by 62% at Rs 228.7 crs with PAT at Rs 318 crs from a PAT

of RS 160 crs last year in Q3.EBIDTA margins in Q3FY19 stood at

18.80% from 15.5% in Q3 last year.

Pure-play on ER&D services with strong heritage –

L&T Technology Services (LTS) is a focused player in the growing ER&D space. Furthermore, LTS have been also recognised by Zinnov in the “leadership zone”, its highest ranking category in eight industry verticals. With the leadership position, the company is likely to be a key beneficiary of the growing ER&D market.

Strong capabilities in niche domain – industrial products – LTTS is the leader in the industrial products segment (31% of revenue) mainly due to its rich heritage (parent L&T). In this segment, it is associated with large clients such as Caterpillar, John Deere, Rockwell Automation, Danaher, and Eaton. It has technological alliances with Microsoft, Microchip, Texas Instruments, Renesas, National Instruments, OPC Foundation, Siemens PLM, and Dassault Systems. With its roots in engineering, LTTS possesses strong capabilities to service larger players in the industrials segment

YE FY19 FY20 FY21

Rev Gr% 27 18 15

EBIDTA Gr% 48 19 16

PAT Gr% 38 16 19

EPS Gr% 38 16 19

EPS (Rs) 68.97 80.00 95.00

ROE % 32 30 29

ROCE % 34 34 32

P/E(x) 21 17

FACE VALUE Rs 2.00

DIVD YIELD % 0.97

52 WK HI/LOW 1852/1150

NSE CODE LTTS

BSE CODE LTTS

MARKET CAP RS 17159 CRS


LTTS operates across well diversified verticals with focus on growth – LTTS has diversified very well across five verticals viz. transportation,industrial products, telecom and hi-tech, process industry and medical devices. Furthermore, the company has long-standing relationships with customers, including more than 50 leading Fortune 500 companies. Also, 50 of LTTS’ customers are among the top 100 global ER&D spenders. Top 20 customers contribute 54% to revenues while 95% business was from repeat customers. Going ahead, the company will focus on driving growth through its “T30:A3” model, whereby LTTS is looking to prioritise T30 accounts that are in the range of $5-$30 million and which are scalable to $50 million over the next few years.

LTTS has strong presence across the Transportation, Industrial Products and Process Oriented sectors where it has a strong competitive advantage –

Transportation is LTTS biggest revenue segment, and generates 31% of its total revenue. Under the transportation vertical, it provides services to the following sectors/segments Automotive ERD mechanical, embedded, and software engineering services – including areas of body control modules, automated driver assistance systems, telematics, and infotainment

Off-highway equipment New product development, value engineering, and M2M connectivity for excavators, harvesters, combines, and headers, planters, balers, backhoe loaders, and all-terrain vehicles

Aerospace Structural design, electrical and avionics systems

CV manufacturers Body design and product localisation. It offers its solutions through alliances with different partners.

LTTS is associated with some marquee clients such as BMW, Calsonic Kansei, Scania, Harley Davidson, Honda, Boeing, Airbus, Thales, and Daimler

Within the Automotive LTTS works with three of the world’s top-10 auto manufacturers. Key trends shaping the auto industry include – Stricter Regulations –

Emission and fuel economy regulations are getting tougher. As per PwC, in the US and Europe, by 2025, cars will need to have a fuel economy of 60 miles/gallon. Meeting these standards would entail significant improvements in internal combustion engine and powertrain.

Safety First – The advent of autonomous vehicles has raised questions of safety. Countries in the US, Europe, and Japan have now made it mandatory for OEMs to deliver safer vehicles – equipped with advanced driver assistance systems like camera, radar, and Lidar that help keep the driver alert.


The LTTS management sees tremendous traction in this segment. The way Tesla has focused on fuel-efficient energy cars has changed the dynamics of the automotive industry. The core business of auto electronics, which was earlier handled by OEMs’ in-house, has now become non-core for them resulting in outsourcing

Aerospace -

LTTS offers comprehensive engineering services (mechanical and avionic) to the aerospace industry, and defence OEMs and their suppliers. Its service offerings span the entire product life cycle from concept design to reverse engineering, modelling and analysis, virtual testing, flight-control testing systems, prototyping, physical testing certification, support, and manufacturing.

As per WSJ, commercial aircraft orders are likely to see a CAGR of 5% over the next 20 years. However, aerospace being a cyclical business, revenue growth profile remains lumpy, and is expected to remain the same.

Railways -

LTTS also partners with global rail industry leaders, providing them with a wide range of end-to-end highly customised engineering solutions to meet requirements for innovations, reduced time-to-market, and cost-effective product development

Apart from the Transport vertical LTTS also is a big player in the Industrial products business which is its core domain expertise – Industrial products is the second biggest revenue segment for LTTS at 22% of its total revenue. LTTS is the leader in this domain, mainly due to the rich heritage it has gained from its parent L&T. It has a presence in segments like Power, electrical, drive, and utilities

Focus areas include conventional and non-conventional power generation, transmission, distribution equipment, and utilities equipment.

Building automation

Includes Building Energy Management Systems (iBEMS), lighting and accessories, heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), safety, security and access control solutions, and elevators and escalators.


Home and office products

Includes white goods such as kitchen appliances and office equipment.

Machinery Includes machines and equipment manufacturers in precision, processing, packaging, and power and tool machines

LTTS is associated with some big clients such as Caterpillar, John Deere, Rockwell Automation, Danaher, and Eaton. It has technological alliances with Microsoft, Microchip, Texas Instruments, Renesas, National Instruments, OPC Foundation, Siemens PLM and Dassault Systems.

With its roots in engineering, it possesses capabilities to service larger players in industrials. This segment has historically performed well and is likely to grow faster than the company average due to its strong relationships with its existing clients

The other important segment for LTTS is the Process industry generates 13% of its total revenue. In this segment, LTTS has a presence in the following sectors – FMCG

LTTS works with the world’s biggest FMCG/CPG companies in process design, basic and detailed design, development, refurbishment and support services, smart factory solutions, capex cost engineering, mechanical, civil, electrical engineering services for brownfield and greenfield manufacturing plants.

Speciality chemicals

LTTS provides services such as process design and development services, and basic and detailed design services – mainly for brownfield projects.

Oil and gas LTTS works in asset optimisation, performance management, and sustenance services

Another important business vertical for LTTS is the Telecom vertical –

Telecom generates 28% of the total revenue.to the total revenues. LTTS has a presence in Telecom

LTTS works with network equipment manufacturers across the product-development lifecycle, including development of protocol stacks and network management systems along with maintenance and support.


Consumer Electronics

LTTS works with mobile device and tablet manufacturers, set-top box, and gateway manufacturers, and smart home and wearable-device manufacturers.

Semiconductors LTTS works areas of application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC) design and verification, embedded software for chip and related validation services, reference board design, and radio-frequency (RF) design.

Industry Dynamics look bright for LTTS going ahead – Given IoT is gaining momentum, regulatory and growing customer demand for innovation to increase energy efficiency & lower emission, personalised product experience, engineering R&D is witnessing strong momentum in spending. According to Zinnov, $1007 billion was spent by corporations on ER&D activities in FY15 According to Nasscom, global ER&D spend grew at a CAGR of over 7% since 2009. Out of $1007 billion, the addressable engineering outsourcing market is $365 billion. However, only $67 billion outsourcing market has been addressed so far. Even out of $67 billion, the ER&D market addressed by India was only $20 billion indicating huge opportunities to be tapped in future.

According to Zinnov, revenue from the India addressed market may grow at a CAGR of 13.7% to $38 billion in FY15-20E. Out of this, while in-house ER&D centres are expected to grow at a CAGR of 13.3% to $22.9 billion, revenues from third-party ER&D service are anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 14% to $14.9 in FY15-20E. In 2015, in-house & third party ER&D market size was $12.2 billion & $7.8 billion, respectively

ER&D industry poised for healthy growth –

Engineering, research and development (ER&D) services are defined as a set of services provided to product and process companies to help them develop, test, upgrade, maintain and deliver their products and services to end-customers. The ER&D services market comprises product engineering services and process engineering services which includes – Product engineering services typically address the product development life cycle for companies that produce discrete products through services in areas such as mechanical engineering, embedded systems and software product engineering. Process engineering services assist process companies in the production of facilities and processes that produce value-added outputs and components through plant design engineering, manufacturing engineering, industrial engineering and process control systems


Drivers for global ER&D spending and outsourcing ahead –

Changes in technological trends augur well for global ER&D spending – We expect advancements in technology have lowered the barriers to entry for new companies in many industries, resulting in increased competition. On the other hand, with advanced technology at their fingertips and the launch of products/services that are easy to use by born-digital companies, customers in many industries are becoming more knowledgeable and demanding, in our view. As such, corporates are asking for more customized products/services for particular customer segments and/or markets. Hence, enterprises are under pressure to design products, services and processes that suit particular client segments and/or markets at a faster pace than their competitors.

IoT is another potential trigger for higher global ER&D spending – After the fourth industrial revolution, most things (products, devices, machines, people, etc.) are becoming connected through IoT, such as machine to machine, person to person and products with other products. This is leading to new business models for enterprises (for example, offering products as a service, with a usage-based pricing model). For these business models, we believe that enterprises need to strengthen product engineering which requires investment in design capabilities, either in-house or through global sourcing/outsourcing. We believe the increased need for improved product engineering can be met by infusing new technology into existing products as clients do not want to let go of their rich engineering legacy for different products/services and hope to revitalise it with newer technology.

According to Nasscom, prior to 2010, the India-based ER&D service industry was primarily geared towards providing services at a lower cost than other countries that provide global outsourcing. Since then, however, it has moved up the value chain of ER&D outsourcing. We believe India has the required ingredients to scale up ER&D capabilities, including: i) a sufficient number of English-speaking engineers, ii) diversification across markets/industries, iii) high customer satisfaction and iv) proactive investments by vendors. With global outsourcing increasing and India’s wallet share improving, Nasscom projects robust CAGR of 12% in ER&D export revenues from India over FY18-26F to reach US$50bn in FY26F

Given that engineering, research and development (ER&D) outsourcing services is a niche segment and differs from enterprise IT services, a strong parentage for LTTS gives it an added advantage

L&T’s operates in several business segments, including construction, hydrocarbon engineering, power, metallurgical and material handling, heavy engineering, defence, ship building, electrical and automation, construction and mining machinery, valves, infrastructure, railways, realty besides parent company’s business units operating in finance and technology industries. This provides LTTS with a strong engineering and design heritage,


Given the increasing demand for digital technologies and digital engineering, LTTS has also developed various solutions within these realms. LTTS offers solutions in many segments which should help it to further improve its positioning in cutting-edge technologies, in our view. IP-based platforms/solutions are likely to form less than 1% of sales currently and LTTS is targeting to increase this to 1% of sales by FY21F. Here LTTS believes that follow-up sales for IP-related solutions could be 4-5x pure IP-based sales. LTTS’s digital and cutting-edge technologies contributed 34% of revenues in 3QFY19 and have grown at a faster pace versus other services.

Strong & Steady Dollar will increase foreign exchange gain –

LTTS earns more than 90% of its revenue from overseas operation. The strong & steady US Dollar against Indian Rupee will stretch company’s foreign exchange gain.

New Govt. policy may trigger growth – India contributes only 1.9% of global export while India has 1/5th of the global population. Govt. of India in its recent policy is emphasizing export promotion with special emphasize to the manufacturing. Any Govt. stimulus to the manufacturing sector and export would create opportunity in the ER&D space & will be a trigger for the growth of the company.

Delivering solutions-oriented engineering applicable across verticals – Digitisation would increasingly become systematically critical in near future, for which LTS plans to focus on key technology areas as digital engineering, mobile internet, internet-of-things (IoT), advanced robotics, automation of knowledge, autonomous and near-autonomous vehicles,energy efficiency and imaging and video. To bring business process efficiency to clients, company is building cross-domain solutions that can be applied to the businesses of existing and prospective customers across verticals. Company is also building and strengthening alliances with technology companies.

Increased investment in emerging technology & innovation labs – Currently, the company has 31 labs in India. The company will continue to drive growth by focusing towards digital transformation and have invested significantly in smart manufacturing infrastructure to align its existing areas of expertise with new business trends


Key Deals Wins Post Q3 FY19 Results – LTTS closed several multimillion dollar projects from global customers across various verticals. The major wins are listed below LTTS is the engineering partner for the autonomous vehicle program of an European carmaker with an objective to improve the accuracy and precision of machine vision and scene recognition algorithms. LTTS has secured a deal with a global pharmaceutical company for developing a mobile platform for Diabetic therapy. This will facilitate better collaboration between patients and doctors though efficient data collection and sharing. LTTS has been selected as the ER&D partner for optimising product design and manufacturing processes of a European aerospace major. The scope of work by LTTS involves 3D digitization, mesh generation in computational field simulation and manufacturing blueprints. A leading North American OEM has selected LTTS as a partner to help implement a supply chain rationalization program to reduce its overall cost. LTTS will be responsible for engineering, sourcing, testing and process validation. LTTS is the Technical Design Partner in enabling the Digital Transformation of a major technology corporate campus to create the most connected, accessible and sustainable campus in the world. LTTS has secured a multi-year contract to develop the active safety management platform for a US based Auto OEM major. LTTS was awarded a network deployment automation project for a leading telecom customer. A global beverage company has awarded LTTS a cyber security remediation project which entails design data protection of its plants around the globe.


LTTS enjoys a strong balance sheet and both Topline and Bottomline growth is

likely to remain strong going ahead –

LTTS has maintained a strong balance sheet over the years with virtually no debt on

the balance sheet as n March 2018. The company has also enjoyed healthy operating

cashflows. Operating cashflows in the last two years have grown at a average growth

of 12-14%, with the company generating free cash flow of Rs 362 crs in March 2018

and generating Rs 430 crs in free cash flow in first 9 months of FY19.

LTTS has also reported average RoE of 27% during the last 2 years, and looking at the

improvement in both operating and net profitability going ahead we expect that over

the next 2-3 years this is likely to cross 29% by FY21 with Roce expected at around

32% Hence going ahead we expect that LTTS has the capability to sustain the robust

financials performance given its strong business performance and significant cash

generation expected ahead.

We expect that going ahead overall bottomline growth in the next 3 years starting FY19

onwards should increase at a CAGR of 23-25% and going ahead also we believe that

net cash flows generated will remain healthy going ahead.


Business Outlook & Stock Valuation –

On a rough cut basis, in FY19, Topline will see a steady rise wherein Topline is

expected to touch Rs 4770 crs in FY19E.

On the bottomline level we expect the company to record a PAT of Rs 700 crs in FY19E. Thus on a conservative basis, LTTS should record a EPS of Rs 69 for FY19E. For FY20E and FY21E our expectation is that earnings traction for LTTS would continue to be strong wherein we expect a EPS of Rs 80 and Rs 95 respectively. LTTS is a pure play in ER&D space having strong management, large order books globally with many multi million dollar deals, diversified presence across different verticals, & strong clientele The management is confident of growing in double digits in FY18E, and we believe it will be able to achieve this because of acceleration in top clients, strong growth across its target verticals – industrial products, automotive and hi-tech. LTTS has diversified very well across five verticals viz. transportation,industrial products, telecom and hi-tech, process industry and medical devices. Furthermore, the company has long-standing relationships with customers, including more than 50 leading Fortune 500 companies. Also, 50 of LTTS’ customers are among the top 100 global ER&D spenders In conclusion we believe that LTTS is supported by a competent management team and promoters, wherein LTTS enjoys a strong execution track record and its positioning in key markets which are all poised to grow fast which will significantly ramp up the company’s operating profitability and hence we believe that LTTS is well positioned for long term sustainable growth. LTTS trades at a PE of 17x on FY21E which looks attractive considering its leadership in ERD and future growth potential and hence we believe that the LTTS stock should be purchased at the current price for a price target of around Rs 2200 over the next 18 months.


FINANCIALS

For the Year Ended March Rs Crs FY17A FY18A FY19E FY20E FY21E

Net Sales 3248.3 3747.1 4770.00 5606 6446.9

EBIDTA 586.3 574.8 850.00 1014.69 1179.783

EBIDTA % 18.05 15.34 17.8 18.1 18.3

Interest 2.8 2.4 1.6 1.5 1.6

Depreciation 62.5 88.8 89.00 90.00 95.00

Non Operational Other Income 58.2 193.4 160.00 165.00 165.00

Profit Before Tax 579.2 677.8 919.40 1088.19 1248.18

Profit After Tax 424.8 506.00 700.00 812.00 964.00

Diluted EPS (Rs) FV Rs 2 41.85 49.85 68.97 80.00 94.98

Equity Capital 20.3 20.3 20.3 20.3 20.3

Reserves 1466.30 1916.00 2377.00 2948.00 3671.00

Borrowings 101.90 70.20 70.20 70.20 70.20

GrossBlock 175.00 205.00 255.00 290.00 330.00

Investments 194.60 220.70 320.70 370.70 400.00 Source Company our Estimates

KEY CONCERNS

Reduction in ER&D spends Intense competition in ER&D services Loss of key customers Adverse exchange rate fluctuations


DISCLAIMERS AND DISCLOSURES This document has been prepared by Joindre Capital Services Limited SEBI REGN NO. INH000002061 / INZ000174034 and is meant for the recipient only for use as intended and not for circulation. This document should not be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Recipients may not receive this report at the same time as other recipients. The information contained herein is from the public domain or sources believed to be reliable. While reasonable care has been taken to ensure that information given is at the time believed to be fair and correct and opinions based thereupon are reasonable, due to the very nature of research it cannot be warranted or represented that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. In so far as this report includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable, although its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Opinions expressed are current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis, the information discussed in this material, Joindre Capital Services Limited,its directors, employees are under no obligation to update or keep the information current. Further there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Joindre Capital Services Limited, its directors and employees and any person connected with it, will not in any way be responsible for the contents of this report or for any losses, costs, expenses, charges, including notional losses/lost opportunities incurred by a recipient as a result of acting or non-acting on any information/material contained in the report. This is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities or an attempt to influence the opinion or behaviour of investors or recipients or provide any investment/tax advice. This report is for information only and has not been prepared based on specific investment objectives. The securities discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Investors must make their own investment decision based on their own investment objectives, goals and financial position and based on their own analysis. Trading in stocks, stock derivatives, and other securities is inherently risky and the recipient agrees to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that the recipient makes, including but not limited to loss of capital. Opinions, projections and estimates in this report solely constitute the current judgment of the author of this report as of the date of this report and do not in any way reflect the views of Joindre Capital Services Limited, its directors, officers, or employees. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and to observe such restriction.

CONTACT DETAILS

Mr. Avinash Gorakshakar (Research Head) Tel.: 4033 4766, Email: [email protected]

Mr. Vikas Khandelwal (Research Sr. Executive) Tel.: 4033 4900 Email: [email protected]

COMPLIANCE TEAM

Mr. A. P. Shukla (President & COF) Tel.: 4033 4723 Email: [email protected]

Mrs. Sujata Poojary (Sr. Executive ) Tel. : 4033 4567 Email: [email protected]

Mrs. Nikita Shah (Sr. Executive) Tel. : 4033 4567 Email: [email protected]

mailto:[email protected]





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