japanese cable industry - copper council 8 - takahashi.pdf · japanese cable industry...
TRANSCRIPT
Japanese Cable Industry
13,May.2013,Tokyo
Hideaki Takahashi Chairman
Japanese Electric Wire & Cable Makers’ Association (JCMA)
1
The purpose of this presentation is to guide programs benefiting the copper industry and to provide attendees with information to make independent business decisions.
Agenda
1. Outline of Japanese Wire & Cable industry
2. JCMA Activities (Japanese Wire & Cable Makers’ Association)
3. Current Topics
(a) Optimization of conductor size
(b) High Temperature(HT) Superconducting
Cable
4. Conclusion 2
Outline of Wire & Cable Industry in Japan
Japanese Wire & Cable Industry in 2011
3
(Source:JCMA)
Number of companies about 400 (JCMA Members : 127)
Number of workers 20,800 (Incl. optical fiber cable)
Production volume
copper cable 685,000 tons
aluminum cable 24,000 tons
optical fiber cable 38,487,000 fiber-km
Production amount
metal cable 1,254,000 million yen
optical fiber cable 258,000 million yen
total 1,512,000 million yen
(18,700 million $:80.8yen/$)
:
:
:
:
:
:
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '16
(
Production Volume of Wire & Cable in Japan
4
688
IT Bubble Burst
Lehman Shock
(Source : JCMA)
(Forecast)
702
Telecommunication
Construction & Wholesaler
Electric Machine & Appliance
Power Automobile Others
701
(thousand tons)
50
150
250
350
450
550
650
'93 '95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07 '09 '11
(billion yen)
5
Export and Import of Wire & Cable in Japan
Excess of Imports over Exports from 1997
Import
Export
(Source : MOF)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
'85 '95 '00 '05 '10'12
6
Number of Overseas Plants
Overseas plants increased rapidly from 1985 to 2005.
303
Asia
(73%)
Other North America Europe Other Asia Vietnam Thailand China
Major Trading Partners for Japan (2011)
7
Import : 474 billion yen
(Asia 95%)
Export : 182 billion yen
(Asia 77%)
(Source : MOF)
China 37%
Philippine 7%
Thailand 7%
Vietnam 5%
Korea 4%
Other Asia 17%
America North
12%
Europe 8%
Other 3%
China 48%
Vietnam 18%
Philippine 12%
Indonesia 8%
Other Asia 9%
North America
3%
Europe 2%
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11
Production Volume in Major Countries
8 China is the biggest market and still growing.
China
U.S.A
Japan Italy
Brazil
thousand tons (Conductor weight) (Source : ICF)
9
JCMA’s Mission and Role
JCMA:Japanese Wire & Cable Makers’ Association
JCMA’s social contribution comes through
fostering the development of wire & cable
industry on which our society depends.
(1)formulates all types of standards for safe use
of wire & cable.
(2)helps protect the global environment
(3)drives globalization
Role
Mission
General Assembly
Board of Directors
Management Council
Expert Committee
JCMA’s Organization
Technical Committee
Planning and
Coordination Council
Technical Council
Studies on
technical
subjects Standardization
Industry Research 10
11
Main Activities of JCMA
(1) Standardization International standardization for superconducting cable
and conductor size in low-voltage power cable for optimal
environmental performance
(2) Technical studies
・Maintaining and improving quality of specified electrical
appliances and materials
・Compliance with chemical substances regulations
・Environmentally friendly design
(3) Industry research
・Demand forecasting
・Preparation and publication of statistical data
12
JCMA’s Activities
Standard-ization
Studies on technical subjects
Industry Research
Globalization New Technology
Environment IEC/TC20 Tokyo
Meeting
Technical Exchange
IEC Standard
Biochemical materials
Compact VVF
PV Cable
EV Cable
Ecology Cable
Fire resistant Cable
Fire simulation
Smart Grid
Chemical Substance
HTSC Cable
Conductor Up-sizing
Recycling
others
Visualize Data base
11kV CV standard
Optimization of Conductor size
HT Superconducting
Cable
IEC/TC20 Plenary meeting IEC:International Electrotechnical Commission
13
Superconducting Cable
Mr.Sato
Conductor size optimization
Mr.Ooi
Welcome speech Mr.Takahashi
Presentation
14
Double size of conductor
→ Half of conductor
resistance
→ Half of heat loss at
conductor
→ Half of electricity cost
& CO2 emission
(running cost)
Effects of bigger size of conductor (1)
15
Buildings and
factories
Generated Power Machines, etc
Users’ premises
Various loads Power Plant
Distribution
loss
40 billion kWh
(4%)
Transmission
loss
One trillion kWh
(100%)
Effects of bigger size of conductor (2)
about one-third of CO2
emissions in Japan.
CO2 emission 0.7%decrease
( 1/3 2% ) Distribution loss in users’ premises
20 billion kWh (2%)
Conductor size optimized
16
Conductor size
Co
st
Minimization of Total Cost
for Conductor Size selection
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
50 100 150 200 250 300
Initial cost
Total cost
Running cost
Minimization of total cost
for conductor size selection
Minimization of total cost for conductor size is “cross point “ of two curves.
600800
2100
340
Conventional
Cable
Troughing
Tunnel
Conventional cables
Tunnel image
275kV, 700MVA/3cct
HT Superconducting cables Duct installation image
66kV, 700MVA/3cct
[size: mm] 150
230
HT Superconducting cable
150
key technology for next-generation grid “Large capacity” “Compact size” “Low loss”
Merit of HT Superconducting Cable in Grid
17
340
2100
600 800 Tunnel
Conventional Cable
“3-in-One” Type
HT Superconducting Cable
18
Copper Stranded Former
Electrical Insulation
(PPLP+LN2)
LN2 flow channel
Superconducting Shield
(BSCCO tapes in 2 layers)
Superconducting conductor
(BSCCO tapes in 4 layers)
Thermal insulation pipe
(Cryostat)
Cable structure
66kV, 1.75kArms, 200 MVA
HT Superconducting Cable in operation in Japan
19
location AC/ DC
Operation contents
Chubu Univ. Kasugai city, Aichi pref.
DC 2005 Basic research at Univ.
Railway Technical Research Institute
Kokubunji city, Tokyo
DC 2011 Power distribution for
rolling stock
TEPCO, Sumitomo, Maekawa
Yokohama AC 2012/10 Actual operation at
substation
Sumitomo Osaka AC 2013/01 Actual operation at HTSC
factory site
Chubu Univ. Sakura Internet
Ishikari, Hokkaido
DC 2013 Distribution from Mega
solar to Data center
NTT Facilities Watari -cho Miyagi pref.
DC planning Distribution from Mega
solar to farm field
Leading Japanese Cable Technology
Discovery of HT superconductivity
Discovery of YBCO
Discovery of BSCCO
Hiroshi Maeda
Bi2Sr2Ca2Cu3O10 YBa2Cu3O7 year
Development of HT Superconducting Cable
Sumitomo
(2009) Fujikura
(2011.02)
Fujikura (2008.06)
Showa
(2008.05)
20
(Source : ISTC)
Global Market for Superconductivity
2011 2012 2014 2016
Market Amount of HT Superconducting Cable
30 30 70 130
21
(M€)
0
40
80
120
160
1 2 3 4 5 62011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 year
Am
ou
nt in
M€
(Source :Conectus)
22
Next Activities (a) Continue globalization : Asia market
(b) Protect environment : Optimization of conductor size
(c) Develop new products : HT Superconducting Cable
(1) Having influence of the Great East Japan
Earthquake, Japan market has not yet
recovered completely after the Lehman shock.
(2) Japanese manufacturers shifted their
production bases abroad ( = “Globalization” )
Conclusion