janalent microsoft economic forum presentation
DESCRIPTION
Slide deck from March Economic Forum event hosted by Janalent & Microsoft.TRANSCRIPT
Dr. Bernard Malamud, Department of Economics, UNLV
Anne Chahal, President & CEO, Janalent
Rocky Griggs, Marketing Manager-Southwest, Microsoft
Joe Honan, Vice President-Solutions, Janalent
Joe Honan, Janalent
Dr. Bernard Malamud, UNLV
Rocky Griggs, Microsoft
Anne Chahal, Janalent
Where we are & how we got here
Southern Nevada & SW US Outlook
What every company needs to consider
What our customers are doing
Dr. Bernard MalamudProfessor of Economics
Easy
Money
Policy
Capital Inflows
Eager Home
Buyers
Innovative
Banks
Rating
Agencies
Ambitious
Mortgage Brokers
Securitization
MBSs
Escalating
House Prices
Gov’t Sponsored
Enterprises
Developer Clout
Bank Regulators
The best
of times
A “Global Saving Glut”
The Boom Years: High Real GDP Growth Declining
Unemployment
1997 – 2000
2003/4 - 2006
Growth > ~ 2.5 % Unemployment
Easy
Money
Policy
Capital
Inflows
Eager Home
Buyers
Innovative
Banks
Rating
Agencies
Ambitious
Mortgage Brokers
Securitization
MBSs
Escalating
House Prices
Gov’t Sponsored
Enterprises
Developer Clout
Bank Regulators
The best
of times
The Downturn: Slowing GDP Growth Rising Unemployment
Growth < ~ 2.5% Unemployment
Employment in Las Vegas Metro AreaJanuary 2009 vs. January 2008
Total All Industries
January
2009
January
2008 % Change
880.9 919.5 -4.2%Basic Industries
Accommodation 164.7 176.7 -6.8%
Casino Hotels and Gaming 158.9 171.2 -7.2%
Construction 82.6 95.0 -13.1%
Manufacturing 24.3 25.9 -6.2%
Other Industries
Financial Activities (FIRE) 45.9 48.0 -4.4%
Retail & Wholesale Trade 120.8 125.6 -3.8%
Trans, Warehousing & Utilities 37.2 37.6 -1.1%
Professional & Business Services 106.9 115.9 -7.8%
Employment Services 10.7 15.7 -31.8%
Education and Health Services 67.1 64.6 +3.9%
Government 100.9 98.6 +2.3%
Federal 11.5 11.3 +1.2%
State 15.4 14.9 +3.4%
Local 74.0 72.4 +2.2%
Unemployment Rate 10.0% 5.6%
Financial System Meltdown
At home
Gov’t Supported Takeovers
•Countrywide BofA
•Bear Stearns JPMorgan Chase
•Silver State Bank Nevada State
•Merrill Lynch BofA
•Washington Mutual JPM Chase
•Wachovia Wells Fargo
•Security Saving Bank of Nevada
Interventions/
Nationalizations/
Pre-privatizations
•IndyMac
•Fannie Mae/
Freddie Mac
•AIG
Bankruptcies
•New Century Financial
•Lehman Brothers•Washington Mutual Inc.
Abroad
•HBOS Lloyds Bank
•Fortis PNB Paribus
•Northern Rock
•Royal Bank of Scotland
•Dexia
•Glitnir/Kaupthing/
Landsbanki
Baa-AAA Interest Differential The Good News: 1932 was worseThe Bad News: This downturn isn’t over until 2010
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00May 32
5.64%
Apr 38
3.17%
Sep 82
2.69%
Dec 08
3.38
Responses Lender of Last Resort / Spender of Last Resort
• Tax Rebate $124 bil.• Fed Fund Rate Cuts• Fannie/Freddie $200 bil.• Bear-Stearns $29 bil.• AIG $174 bil.
Fed “Facilities”• Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF) $58 bil.• Treasury Security Loan Facility (TSLF) $133 bil.• Term Auction Facility (TAF) $416 bil.• Asset- Backed Commercial Paper Funding Facility (CPFF) $1,777 bil.• Money Market Investor Funding Facility (MMIFF) $540 bil.• More Fed Fund Rate Cuts … Hold At ~0%• Fed Purchases of Long-Term Securities: GSEs & MBSs $600 bil.• Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) $200 bil.• Emergency Economic Stabilization Act/TARP $700 bil.
Government LoansGovernment Equity
• Stimulus Package $787 bil.aka The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act
• TARP II• Stress Tests
• Total funds to State of Nevada ~$ 1,710 mil.• Education Stabilization & Construction 610 mil.
• Medicaid Assistance 419 mil.
• General Budget & Other 249 mil.
• Highways & Bridges 218 mil.
• State energy & Weatherization 80 mil.
• Clean Water Programs 48 mil.
• Transit capital 45 mil.
• Unemployment & Worker Training 22 mil.
• Child Care/ Foster Care/adoption 19 mil.
Anne ChahalCEO & President
• “Las Vegas 1st Place” in Bizjournal’s analysis of the nation’s current growth centers. Metros with most momentum entering the recession– Nov 2008
• “Nevada Ranked Number Two” in the Small Business & Entrepreneurship Council's "Small Business Survival Index 2008" – Dec 2008
• US LEI (leading economic indicators) have trended positive in the last two months. – Feb 2009
• US New Housing Starts up 22% in February 2009 according to the Commerce Department– March 17, 2009
• Fastest growing region over the next 25 years
• 5 of the top 10 fastest growing states (Nevada, Arizona, Utah in top 5)
• Predicted to be the hub for renewable energy and “green collar” research, jobs, & industry
• ~Possibly $7.35 B in energy investments or borrowing authority for Nevada -Feb 2009 estimates
• 70% of all goods from pacific rim will go through SouthWest
• Well positioned as leader for solar, geo-thermal, wind, and other green collar industries
• Hoover Dam bypass bridge evolving “western-slope” Hwy 93 NAFTA trade route
• High-speed rail between SoCal & Las Vegas becoming a reality and partially funded
• Affordable and available commercial & residential property
• Business friendly regulatory and tax climate
• Unmatched ability to transform
• Well established base community & industries
• Fantastic retirement community
• Technology and infrastructure (i.e. supernap datacenter)
• World’s center for hospitality and entertainment• Film production industries
• Gaming/resort industry administration
• Increased funding for education, healthcare & energy
• Possibly $3.25 B in borrowing authority for upgrading NV regional power grid
• $15 B in Small Business assistance
• $250 M in local NV transportation projects
• Ability to write down 5 years of losses
• Reduction of estimated tax payments by 10%
• Accelerated asset depreciation
• Increased SBA loan guarantees (from 50 to 95%)
+ Climate & Weather
+ Positioning as renewable resource hub
+ Leadership in national “clean energy”
+ Business friendly
+ Supply & demand
+ Population migration trends
+ Increased industry expansion / diversification
+ Stability & ease of access
+World class hospitality and tourism
• Don’t just sit and watch it happen or watch other companies make money off of it.
• Change happens. Technology happens. Embrace it!
• No one plans to fail, but too many companies fail to plan or make necessary adjustments
• If small businesses do some effective planning, manage their cash flow, keep on selling and acceptchange, they will be well-positioned in the SW marketplace as we move into the future.
Rocky GriggsPartner Marketing Manager
• It’s not that bad, you got a free meal
• Words of wisdom
• Industry Insights from Microsoft customers large and small
• 50 million = 38/13/5
• Who was Federal Expresses largest customer?
• We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next 2 years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next 10. Don't let yourself be lulled into inaction.
• If GM had kept up with technology like the computer industry has, we would all be driving $25 cars that got 1000 MPG.
• You don’t have to be great to start, but you have to start to be great
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
10-200 200-500 500+
15%35%
68%
75%
46%
11%
10%19% 21%
Increase
Decrease
No Change
11%
23%
57%
64%
25%37% 35%
44%
85%
64%
32%
16%
10-200
200-500
500+
• Help our customers identify ways to take unnecessary cost out of doing IT
• Enable customers to focus on their core business
• Raise the stacks in Research and Development by increasing investment from $8 to $9 billion this year
• Continue focus on key strategic partnerships that have a ripple effect in the economy
Joe HonanVice President-Solutions
Key Ways to Get Fit, Get Strong
Reassess strategic plan often, control spending, drive costs out of IT, strengthen core systems, operations, and processes.
“Leading regional healthcare provider is on track to save over $500,000 annually in facilities and maintenance cost by virtualizing and moving off of legacy platform to a Microsoft infrastructure. (Novell to Microsoft)”
Analyze current burn
Identify & eliminate duplicated expenses
Rationalize & renegotiate maintenance contracts
Virtualize as a strategy, not a project
Consider on-line services where appropriate
Key Ways to Spend more… Wisely
Smart companies are increasing their bets and investments in strategic areas while their competitors “re-trench”
“By focusing on business intelligence (CRM) and increased marketing budget, regional services firm has been able to drive over $300,000 in new revenue and 10 net-new customers so far in Q1”
Spend to Save!
Analyze & provide business case to support plans
Identify & rank spending opportunities / priorities
Use the opportunity to spend on value to customer
Take advantage of stimulus & incentives
Key Ways to Increase Focus & Take Advantage
Increased focus rather than “shot-gun” diversification is a key differentiator between leaders & laggards in turbulent times…
“By replacing legacy systems, regional photography organization has been able to spend more time on generating revenue & enhancing online presence, rather than managing ailing systems ”
“Double down” on strengths, cull non-performers
Identify & dump non-profitable relationships
Create 5 new ways to increase value-proposition
Invest in business analytics & customer mgmt.
Find ways to save your customers money
Key Ways to Expand Base & Embrace Technology
Expanding customer base by thinking and acting in new ways is the what is separating the up-starts from the start-ups…
“By implementing our business intelligence system and enabling community site links, we now have 10 times more visibility into the contacts and details of our prospects with 10 times less expense”
It’s not your father’s internet…it’s your kids…
Viral marketing has had a HUGE impact
Get your “out there message” out there
Build a community of customers for customers
PROVE technology is strategic to your organization
Key Ways to Deepen / Strengthen Relationships
Rely upon key vendors, deepen relationships with key partners, strengthen networks of friendly competitors
“By focusing on how we can help customers better exercise their existing Enterprise Agreements, we have become THE trusted advisor for several organizations by proactively finding ways to save by working with us”
Open up to key vendors, they’ll find ways to save
Focus partnerships and execute on a plan
Build bridges rather than moats w/ competitors
Collaborate & Communicate… with everyone
Develop an organizational “Elephant Memory”
Expand Base & Embrace Technology
Find new customers through using new methods of reaching them (e.g. Twitter, Social Networks)
Steps to Survive & Thrive in this recession
Get in Shape
Control spending, shed excess expenses, Virtualize, strengthen core systems & processes
Spend more…Wisely
Increase investments in strategic areas, take advantage of competitors “retrenching”
Increase focus & Take Advantage
Increase focus rather than diversification, leverage business intelligence to better understand customers
Deepen / Strengthen Relationships
Rely upon key vendors, invest into key partnerships, find ways to work with competitors
Virtualize as a strategy, not a project
Continually assess &
Move email & collaboration on-line
Increase investments in getting your message out
Replace bad with good (e.g. legacy systems, storage)
Track & evaluate your spend (eg CRM)
Hyper-focus your message, utilize CRM
Only 2 things - Support revenue generation or save $$
Create new value, everyone is listening
Embrace and leverage the power of communities
Build communities for your customers
Prove the value of technology to your organization
Ask key vendors to find way to save you money
Use technology to prevent “slipping through the cracks”
Use trusted advisors to exercise existing agreements