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Analyst Briefing 1Q13 performance results 15 May 2013

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Page 1: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

Analyst Briefing1Q13 performance results

15 May 2013

Page 2: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

2

The views expressed here contain information derived from publicly available sources that have not been independentlyverified. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information. Anyforward looking information in this presentation has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions which mayprove to be incorrect. This presentation should not be relied upon as a recommendation or forecast by PT. IndoTambangraya Megah Tbk. Nothing in this release should be construed as either an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation ofan offer to buy or sell shares in any jurisdiction

Page 3: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

3

AppendicesFinancial reviewCommercial reviewOperational reviewIntroduction

34

21

Page 4: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

DisclaimerAgenda

(a) Highlights of 1Q13 results

(b) ITM new Board Member

(c) 2013 operation summary

1. Introduction

4

Page 5: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

5

Highlights of 1Q13 results

* Included bonus /penalty

Unit: USD Million

Total Revenue

Gross Profit Margin

EBIT

Net Income

ASP* (USD/ton)

Q-Q

-15%

-1%

-19%

+10%

-1%

1Q13

563

23%

85

72

$80.0

y-y

-3%

-13%

-50%

-42%

-21%

Coal Sales: 7.1 MtDown 1.1 Mt

-13% Q-QUp 1.4 Mt

+24% y-y

1Q12

578

36%

169

124

$101.1

4Q12

658

24%

105

65

$80.6

Page 6: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

6

Edward Manurung SE, MBA

Director

Leksono Poeranto

Director

Pongsak Thongampai

President Director

Hartono Widjaja

Director

Board of Directors

Sean Trehane Pellow

Director

A.H Bramantya Putra

Director (New Member)

Page 7: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

7

Brief resume of A.H Bramantya Putra

Date of birth : 10 November 1964

Education :

Master Degree majoring in International Management, Prasetiya Mulya Business School, Jakarta Bachelor Degree majoring in Geology UPN Veteran, Yogyakarta

Experiences :2012 – Present Vice President - Corporate Service PT Indo Tambangraya Megah, Tbk. 2010 – 2012 Mine Head PT Indominco Mandiri2006 – 2012 Kepala Teknik Tambang PT Indominco Mandiri2005 – 2010 Administration Mine Manager - PT Indominco Mandiri Bontang2002 – 2005 Corporate Human Resources Manager - Banpu Coal Operation Indonesia2001 – 2002 Human Resources Manager - PT Kitadin1997 – 2001 Operation Support Dept. Head - PT Indominco Mandiri1994 – 1997 Technical Specialist - PT Indominco Mandiri1992 – 1994 Sr. Geologist - PT Indominco Mandiri1991 – 1992 Geologist - PT Indominco Mandiri (Project Site)

Page 8: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

2013 operation summary

8

East Kalimantan

Bunyut Port

Balikpapan

Palangkaraya

Banjarmasin

Central Kalimantan

South Kalimantan

KITADIN-EMBALUT

1.0 Mt

INDOMINCO 14.8 Mt

TRUBAINDO 7.7 Mt

BHARINTO1.9 Mt

JORONG 1.2 Mt

Samarinda

Jorong Port

Bontang Coal Terminal

2013 Target: 29mt

2013 OUTPUT TARGET

KITADIN-TD.MAYANG

2.4 Mt

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13

Units: Mt

5.7

Indominco

Trubaindo

Bharinto

KitadinJorong

INDICATIVE OUTPUT TARGETS*

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12

2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017e

Indominco

Trubaindo

Bharinto

KitadinJorong

* Not including inorganic growth.Note: These output targets are indicative only and are subject to change

6.8 7.08.0

1Q13

7.1

QUARTERLY OUTPUT

29.031.0 32.0

33.5

2Q13e

7.3

33.0

Page 9: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

9

AppendicesFinancial reviewCommercial reviewOperational reviewIntroduction

34

21

Page 10: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

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1Q13 production achieved higher than plan.IPCC trial stage: crushing equipment is on site and waiting for transporting the conveying and stacking system.Port expansion: evaluation of the bidding tender for construction contractors.

QUARTERLY UPDATES

Indominco MandiriSCHEMATIC

EAST BLOCK

Santan RiverPort stock

yard

Bontang City

Asphalt haul road

2.5Km

35Km

Sea conveyor

Mine stockyard

Inland conveyor 4km

0 106 82 km4

WEST BLOCK

Operations

Stockpile

Ports

Hauling

Crusher

ROM stockpile

Post Panamax

95,000DWT

2013 target: 14.8mt

E B

LOC

KW

BLO

CK

E B

LOC

KW

BLO

CK

1.6 2.1 2.0 2.5 2.4 2.5

1.41.4 1.8

2.01.1 1.23.0

3.5 3.84.5

3.5 3.7Units: Mt

Units: Bcm/t

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13e

11.6

15.1 15.2

11.6

13.2

9.2

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13e

13.9

9.0

19.1

9.3

QUARTERLY OUTPUT

18.5

9.1

Avg.SR: 13.1 13.0 11.1 10.2 12.4 11.9

Page 11: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

11

Trubaindo: 1Q13 production was higher than plan despite higher rainfall.Bunyut port expansion: Already completed the feasibility study and continue with EPC bidding process.

Bharinto: 1Q13 production achieved higher than plan despite higher rainfall.

QUARTERLY UPDATES

Trubaindo and BharintoSCHEMATIC

QUARTERLY OUTPUT

Mahakam River

South Block 1(Dayak Besar)

North Block

40kmMine to port

KedangpahuRiver

ROM stockpile

BunyutPort

0 10 2515 205 km

Product coal conveyor, stacking,

stockpile

EAST KALIMANTAN

Bharinto 60km south west of

Trubaindo North Block

South Block 2(Biangan)

PT. BHARINTO

PT. TRUBAINDO

Operations

Stockpile

Hauling

Barge Port

2013 Target: TCM : 7.7mt BEK : 1.9mt

1.7 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.0 1.8

1.7 2.0 2.02.4 2.3 2.3

TRUBAINDO 13.4 13.5

TRUBAINDO

BHARINTO

13.4

Units: Mt

Units: Bcm/t

12.7

BHARINTO 7.4 7.8

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13e

0.3

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13e10.9

7.6

0.5

10.9

7.5

Page 12: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

12

Kitadin Embalut:

1Q13 production slightly lower than plan.

Kitadin Tandung Mayang:

1Q13 production was slightly higher than plan.

Starting 2013, TDM will work at its own concession area only.

QUARTERLY UPDATES

Kitadin Embalut and Tandung MayangSCHEMATIC

QUARTERLY OUTPUT

0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3

0.5 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.8 0.70.8 1.0 0.9 0.7

1.0 1.0

Balikpapan

MahakamRiver Samarinda to Muara Berau

Bontang city

EMBALUT

Embalut Port

to Muara Jawa

ROM stockpile

Operations

Stockpile

Ports

Hauling

Crusher0 106 82 km4

5km Mine to port

TD. MAYANG

EAST KALIMANTAN

IMM EBIMM WB

BontangPort

TDM : 2.4mt

12.0 11.8

TDM

EM

BE

MB

TDM 15.1 15.1

11.4

15.1

Units: Mt

Units: Bcm/t

6.0

15.1

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13e

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13e

11.5

15.1

2013 Target: EMB : 1.0mt

11.3

15.1

Page 13: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

Coal terminal

Jorong

Pelaihari

Pacific Ocean

Haul road

0 10 2515 205 km

20km

Operations

Stockpile

Hauling

Barge Port

FY13 target: 1.2mt

MAJOR QUARTERLY UPDATES

13

Jorong

• 1Q13 production as according to plan.

• Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around mid 2013.

SCHEMATIC

QUARTERLY OUTPUT

8.68.68.6 8.6 8.6 8.6

Units: Mt

Units: Bcm/t

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13e

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13e

0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3

Page 14: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

14

AppendicesFinancial reviewCommercial reviewOperational reviewIntroduction

34

21

Page 15: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

DisclaimerAgenda

(a) Coal market update

(b) Long-term coal market analysis

3. Commercial Review

15

Page 16: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

16

OTHER DRIVERSWEATHER CHINESE DEMAND

• Indonesia wet season started after 3 months of relatively good weather

• Chinese heating season ended at the end of March, good hydropower generation into April

• Australian normal weather pattern

• USA/Europe normal weather pattern

• Mixed sentiment, resulting from mixed data from China and USA, prevails throughout 1Q

• But underlying trends are positive

• Gas prices continues to support coal demand in Europe, while USA continues adjusting

• In 2013, political and social factors may impact supply, but extent still unpredictable

• World growth forecast of 2.3%* (Prev. 2.4%); Asian growth forecast of 6.3%* (Prev. 6.4%) in 2013

• Economic activity still healthy although GDP disappointed and electricity generation slowed

• Coal production flattening, but stocks remain

• Imports in 1Q 2013 was 80 Mt, up by 30% Y-0-Y or 19 Mt

• China Electricity Council (CEC) expects power consumption to increase by 4–6% Y-o-Y in 2013

• Hydropower and wind power generation likely to increase and impact coal power mix, although coal imports expected to increase in April

Seaborne thermal coal market drivers: 1Q update

* Economist Intelligence Unit, Global Outlook, February 2013

Page 17: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

17

ITM ASPs vs thermal coal benchmark pricesITM ASP VS BENCHMARK PRICES

* Barlow Jonker Index: benchmark NSW FOB thermal coal index

ASP 1Q13 $80.0

ASP 1Q12 $101.1

NEX* May 9, 2013 $87.5

Unit: $/t

COMMENTS

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Feb-

07M

ay-0

7A

ug-0

7N

ov-0

7Fe

b-08

May

-08

Aug

-08

Nov

-08

Feb-

09M

ay-0

9A

ug-0

9N

ov-0

9Fe

b-10

May

-10

Aug

-10

Nov

-10

Feb-

11M

ay-1

1A

ug-1

1N

ov-1

1Fe

b-12

May

-12

Aug

-12

Nov

-12

Feb-

13

Monthly BJIQuarterly Banpu Indonesia ASP

• ASP declined marginally in 1Q and this reflects the general market sentiment and quality mix

• Despite healthy demand, continuing pressure from the well-supplied market impacts ASP

• JPU benchmark was agreed and set at $95.00/ton, lower than originally expected

• Concluded sales of 7.1 Mt in 1Q at ASP of $80.0/ton, down 1% QoQ

Monthly NEXITM quarterly ASP

Page 18: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

18

93

103

147

147 5 5

2010 2011 2012 2013

Import Export

Net importc.170 Mt ?

ANNUALIZED ACTUAL IMPORT 3Q11 - 4Q12 & 1Q13

CHINA DOMESTIC COAL PRICES

CHINA THERMAL COAL IMPORTS/EXPORTS

China thermal coal market review

Source: www.sxcoal.com/cn 30 April 2013

Unit: RMB/t

Sources: China Coal Report Jan 2013, Banpu MS&L Estimates

Unit: Mt Unit: Mt

Net import142 Mt

c.175?

128

143

116

151 146

175

148

3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13

Import Export

655615

525

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Feb-

11

May

-11

Aug

-11

Nov

-11

Feb-

12

May

-12

Aug

-12

Nov

-12

Feb-

13

> 5,800 kcal/kg

> 5,500 kcal/kg

> 5,000 kcal/kg

Page 19: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

COAL SALES 1Q13

19

ITM coal sales 1Q13COAL SALES BREAKDOWN BY DESTINATION

JAPAN1.3 Mt

PHILIPPINES0.5 Mt

THAILAND0.5 Mt

INDIA0.4 Mt

HK0.1 Mt

S KOREA0.9 MtCHINA

2.2 Mt

TAIWAN0.2 Mt

ITALY0.2 Mt

1.5

INDONESIA0.6 Mt

MALAYSIA0.1 Mt

31%

18%12%

8%

8%

7%

6%3%2%2%1%

Total Coal Sales: 7.1 Mt

Japan

China

Taiwan

S Korea

Italy

Thailand

Philippines

Hong Kong

India

Indonesia

Malaysia

1%

USA

USA0.1 Mt

Page 20: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

66%17%

6%

11%

20

Indicative coal sales 2013COAL SALES CONTRACT AND PRICING STAUTS

Contract Status Price Status

FixedIndex

Unpriced

Unsold

TARGET SALES 2013: 29.0 Mt

89%

11%

Contracted

Uncontracted

Page 21: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

DisclaimerAgenda

(a) Coal market update

(b) Long-term coal market analysis

3. Commercial Review

21

Page 22: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

22

2013 - Short term outlook: continuing imbalance

Import and export figures based on 2013 forecast (average of IHS McCloskey and Wood Mackenzie,* including lignite and anthracites Source: IHS McCloskey, Wood Mackenzie , IEA, Banpu, AWR Lloyd

Indonesia

Australia

S. Africa

Colombia

USA N. Asia

SE Asia

China

India

Russia

225 Mt*

116 Mt

299 Mt

55 Mt

Europe187 Mt

Other demand

50 Mt

Othersupply

Likely to surpassJapan as second largest thermal coal importers

• Excess capacity at ports• Take or pays support

marginal costing• Significant

rationalization

• Domestic coal output down by 5Mt (2%) yoy

• More cuts expected• Imports higher

382 Mt

186 Mt

45Mt

87Mt78Mt

65Mt

89 Mt

• Coal export hedging contracts progressively maturing to 2H13

• Exports dropping

• Imports still high• May ease back in 2H13

• Logistics constraints

• Socio-political questions rising

Net imports

Net exports

2013 estimates

Page 23: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

90th percentile cost (seaborne FOB)

Spot coal price (Newcastle)

COMMENT

23

Historical perspective: cost curve and prices

● In the past when prices have fallen close to or below 90th cost percentile, it has been sign of an imminent recovery

● A spike historically has resulted from coincidence: 1) demand recovery 2) supply reduction

● Coal prices in mid 2012 to early 2013 have dropped below 90th percentile

HISTORICAL MARGINAL COST CURVE AND NET PRICE RELATIONSHIP

Source: Bloomberg, AWR Lloyd, Research reports

US$/t

Page 24: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

24

China: imports competitive at current price

Source: Banpu, AWR Lloyd

Newcastle

Kalimantan

QHD

COMMENT

● Key factors: FOB cost, freight, and exchange rates

● Imported coal is competitive at current prices

● Chinese mines closing today at QHD of RMB 600-610/t ($98-$100) FOB on Bohai-rim Price Index

● In the longer term:

US$ appreciation against A$ will make Australian coal producers more competitive

Indonesian coal has competitive freight

Competitiveness of Chinese supply should decline: mine cost increase, lower quality, RMB appreciation

ILLUSTRATION: CHINESE SUPPLY VERSUS IMPORTS

Main product that Australia sells to China

Import duty

Illustration benchmark: 6,322

kcal/kg GAR @ U$85/t FOB

S China

Import duty

$73

5,500 NAR H Ash

$72

5,500 NAR H Sul

$92/t

5,500 NAR

[RMB 560/t]

927 2

14

7 3

1113

Kalimantan

986

NEWC

98

7

QHD

92

CIF Southern China 5,500 NAR products ($/t)

$6

Unit: US$ per tonne

$13

$7

$14

$11Freight

Freight

INDICATIVE ONLY

11

Page 25: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

Avg. domestic FOBQHD cash cost

CV adjustment C0nverting to U$/t

NAR RMB/t NAR RMB/t@ RMB 6.1/U$

@ RMB 5.5/U$

4,800 4506,000 560 92 102

5,500 515 84 94

0

CHALLENGING TRENDS ?

China: average domestic FOB QHD cash cost

CHINA COASTAL SUPPLY COST CURVE

25

● RMB appreciates slowly against US$ (affects FOB + freight)

● US$ appreciates against A$

● RMB domestic inflation may follow pattern seen in United States (i.e. 2-3%)

● RMB mining industry and transportation is expected to inflate faster against CPI

● Chinese producer cost reduction harder, with >80% underground mines

● Mining costs in Australia and Indonesia falling/rationalizing

700

600

500

400

300

200

100

0100 200 300 400 500

RMB/t

Source: Wood Mackenzie, Banpu analysis

Page 26: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

26

Long term thermal demand and supply outlook

Forecast figures are average of IHS McCloskey and Wood MackenzieSource: IHS McCloskey, Wood Mackenzie, AWR Lloyd

Europe

China

N Asia

SE Asia

India

Indonesia

AustraliaS. Africa

Colombia

Russia

USA

Other supply

Other demand

2012 - 2020 2012 - 2030

Total change (Mt) +276 +736

China, India, SE Asia +242 +686

88% 93%

374

2020 2030

132

67

2020 2030

+ 191

3929

2020 2030

43121

20302020

-21 -45

2020 203015

20302020

144

37 56

20302020

1 8 1 8

2020 2030

88

2020 2030

197

99

2020 2030

255

4 20

20302020

26 56

12-Jul 2030

15 46

20302020++

+ +

+

+

++

++

++

+

+++

+ +

+ +++

ILLUSTRATIVE ONLY

Net imports

Net exports

+

Page 27: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

COMMENT

Cost of meeting long term incremental coal demand?2013 FOB COST CURVE (CV ADJUSTED)

● Growing demand requires higher cost supply

● Higher stripping ratio, lower quality, depleting reserves for current capacity

● Lower quality, higher-cost production for future capacity

● Current price environment does not support marginal producers and does not incentivize new capacity

27

CUMULATIVE SUPPLY (Mt)

0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,600

50

100

150

200

2013

2020DEMAND

2030DEMAND

Source: Wood Mackenzie, Banpu

$/t FOB Vessel

?

?

Page 28: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

66

10

14

8827

117

2432

10

17

35 12

9

76

195

10

417

15

20

29

14

444

17

16

4

4

3

28

Seaborne coal will remain competitive versus gasWORLD GAS TRADE AND OUTLOOK TREND

Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2012; Waterborne Energy, Inc., Banpu

Natural Gas (bcm)

LNG (bcm)

Note: Trade data as of 2011, gas price as of September 2012

Africa• Shale gas

possible• Negligible

LNG

Africa• Shale gas

possible• Negligible

LNG

India• LNG

(some shale gaspossible)

India• LNG

(some shale gaspossible)

Europe• LNG limited• Piped natural gas (Russia,

Algeria)• Shale gas ? Environmental?

Europe• LNG limited• Piped natural gas (Russia,

Algeria)• Shale gas ? Environmental?

Japan• LNGJapan• LNG

S. Korea• LNGS. Korea• LNG

Indo China• LNG?Indo China• LNG?

Taiwan• LNGTaiwan• LNG

Piped natural gas● Increasingly competing with oil

rather than coal● Negligible replacement of coal

on coast for seaborne markets● Where it can replace seaborne

imports – it already has● USA effect in 2012 - an anomaly

for medium term, probably long term too

LNG● Cannot compete with coal nor

natural gas (where available)● Too expensive for lesser

developed countries● Long lead times – if gas is found,

then must negotiate committed off take, plan long delivery system and develop LNG trains

● Sufficiently higher cost than coal in which lower cost LNG projects would replace higher cost LNG projects before impacting coal

Australia• LNG projects are at the

high end of the cost curve• Environmental challenges

(i.e. water resource issue)• Currently pushing up

domestic coal prices

Australia• LNG projects are at the

high end of the cost curve• Environmental challenges

(i.e. water resource issue)• Currently pushing up

domestic coal prices

China• Shale gas likely in long term• Shale gas uncertainties: geological

difficulties, water availability, infrastructure, economics

China• Shale gas likely in long term• Shale gas uncertainties: geological

difficulties, water availability, infrastructure, economics

S. America• LNG unlikelyS. America• LNG unlikely

COMMENT

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29

AppendicesFinancial reviewCommercial reviewOperational reviewIntroduction

34

21

Page 30: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

30

SALES VOLUME

Sales revenueREVENUE* GROWTH

ASP

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13

Units: US$M

Indominco

Trubaindo

JorongKitadin

Bharinto

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13

Units: Mt

Indominco

Trubaindo

JorongKitadinBharinto

Units: US$/t

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13* excluding port revenue

575622

572

653

101.1 94.687.5 80.6

5.76.6 6.6

8.2

-21% YoY-1% QoQ

+24% YoY-13% QoQ-3% YoY

-14% QoQ

559

7.1

80.0

Page 31: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

31

Average gross margin

Revenue

GPM* (%)

Units: US$M

Indominco Trubaindo Kitadin Jorong

39%

28%

Bharinto

19%

427

19%

4Q12

242

19%

72

31%

24

19%

24

0

ITM Consolidated

1Q13

563

23%

4Q12

658

24%

4Q12 4Q12 4Q12 1Q12 4Q1223%

1Q12

578

36%

341

27%

1Q12

228

35%

1Q12

83

42%

1Q12

23

18%

1Q12

354

17%

200

17%

73

28%

24

17%

34

31%

1Q13 1Q13 1Q13 1Q13 1Q13

* COGS included royalty

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32

Cash cost

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13

Units: US$/t

* Cash production cost + royalty + SG&A1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13

Units: US$/Ltr

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13

Units: Bcm/t

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13

Units: US$/t

WEIGHTED AVERAGE STRIP RATIO CASH PRODUCTION COST

TOTAL CASH COST *FUEL PRICE

51.913.2

1.07 71.0

13.1

1.07

51.6

70.01.02

12.0 49.8

67.2

10.8

1.03

47.7

65.0

11.7

1.04

46.3

62.8

Avg.2011: 11.9Avg.2012: 12.3

Avg.2011: $46.4/tAvg.2012: $50.1/t

Avg.2011: $66.0/tAvg.2012: $68.0/t

Avg.2011: $1.02/ltrAvg.2012: $1.04/ltr

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33

EBITDACONSOLIDATED

*COGS = Prod cost + Transport cost + Inv. movement

Units: US$M

Revenue4Q121Q12 1Q13

120.6

COGS SellingRoyalty Admin

98.9

183.8

MINE BY MINE

Units: US$M88.0

64.5

34.8

71.6

23.1 28.1

51.0

17.8 18.4

2.3 (0.0) 3.5

Indominco Trubaindo1Q12

Kitadin Jorong4Q12 1Q13

Bharinto

3.2 0.89.3

1Q12 4Q12 1Q13 1Q12 4Q12 1Q13 1Q12 4Q12 1Q13 1Q12 4Q12 1Q13

+44.2

(95.6)

+19.4 +8.8 +1.5-46% YoY-18% QoQ

Lower sales volume by 13%and ASP by 1%

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61.4

23.3

42.5

10.7 6.61.6

39.2

12.2 12.5

1.0

33.6

0.6 2.05.3

(0.1)

34

Net incomeCONSOLIDATED

124.5

71.965.4

Units: US$M

MINE BY MINE

Units: US$M

4Q12 1Q13OthersEBIT IncomeTax

DerivativeTransactions

Net Fin.Charges

1Q12

Indominco Trubaindo Kitadin Jorong Bharinto1Q12 4Q12 1Q13 1Q12 4Q12 1Q13 1Q12 4Q12 1Q13 1Q12 4Q12 1Q13 1Q12 4Q12 1Q13

(19.9) (2.0)

+11.9+6.5

+10.0-42% YoY+10% QoQ

Lower sales volume by 13%and ASP by 1%

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35

CASH POSITION

Net Market Gearing (%)

Net D/E (times)

(0.47)

(44%)

(0.57)

(57%)

(0.41)

(41%)

2009 20112010 2012

(0.46)

(46%)

Balance sheetKEY RATIOS

DEBT POSITION

Units: US$M

2009

429

2011

612

295

2010 2012

461

Units: US$M

55

2009

0

2011

0

2010

0

2012 1Q13

0

1Q13

496

1Q13

(0.55)

(55%)

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36

2013 capital expenditure plan

Note: Total capex plan including Jakarta office

Units: USD million

Indominco

Trubaindo

Bharinto

Kitadin

Jorong

ITM Consolidated

19

Realized up to Mar’13

2013 Capex plan

70

64

6

150

1

6

23

2

0.3

0.4

2

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37

Appendices

Page 38: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

ITM structure

38

ITMG

65.00%

Indominco Trubaindo Jorong

PT Indominco Mandiri

(CCOW Gen.I)

PT Trubaindo Coal Mining

(CCOW Gen II)

PT Kitadin-Embalut

(KP)

PT Jorong Barutama Greston

(CCOW Gen II)

50.00%

PT Indo TambangrayaMegah Tbk.

Banpu Minerals (Singapore) Pte Ltd

99.99% 99.99% 99.99% 99.99%

Banpu Minerals Co.Ltd

Reserves 383* Mt

Resources 1,595* Mt

BMS

99.99%

BMC

Banpu PCLBanpu

Public35.00%

Kitadin

PT Kitadin-Td.Mayang

(KP)

BCI50.00%

100.00%Banpu Coal Investment

Co.Ltd

East Kalimantan East Kalimantan South KalimantanEast Kalimantan

INDONESIAN STOCK EXCHANGEIPO 18th Dec 2007

6,500-7,300 kcal/kg6,000-6,300 kcal/kg 5,800 kcal/kg 6,700 kcal/kg 5,300 kcal/kg

Output FY12: 14.8 Mt Output FY12: 7.7 Mt Output FY12 : 3.5 Mt Output FY12 : 1.2 Mt

Bharinto

PT Bharinto Ekatama

(CCOW Gen III)

99.00%

East / Central Kalimantan

6,400-6,800 kcal/kg

Output FY12 : 0.3 Mt

East Kalimantan

156 Mt

679 MtResources

Reserves92 Mt

318 MtResources

Reserves12 Mt

149 MtResources

Reserves112 Mt

298 MtResources

Reserves4 Mt

142 MtResources

Reserves

6 Mt10 Mt

Resources

Reserves

Note: * Updated Coal Resources and Reserves as of 31 Mar 2013

ITMI

PT ITM Indonesia

Coal Trading

99.99%

Jakarta Office

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39

Income statement

Unit: US$ thousand 1Q13 4Q12 1Q12 QoQ% YoY%

Net Sales 562,67 5 658,316 57 7 ,955 -15% -3%Gross Profit 128,422 158,638 209,207 -19% -39%GPM 23% 24% 36%SG&A (43,67 1) (53,980) (40,025) EBIT 84,7 51 104,658 169,182 -19% -50%EBIT Margin 15% 16% 29%EBIT DA 98,860 120,607 183,851 -18% -46%EBIT DA Margin 18% 18% 32%Net Interest Income / (Expenses) 2,07 0 4,107 3,028 Derivative Gain / (Loss) 2,846 (9,032) 26,916 Others 4,660 (5,410) (23,630) Profit Before T ax 94,327 94,323 17 5,496 0% -46%Income Tax (22,429) (28,912) (50,999) Net Incom e 7 1,898 65,411 124,497 10% -42%Net Incom e Margin 13% 10% 22%

Page 40: ITM Analyst Presentation 1Q13 final version · • 1Q13 production as according to plan. • Construction of river diversion project is ongoing and expected to be finished by around

COMMENTS

40

Operating costs

● Managed to lower operating costs further by another 3% q-o-q (12% on y-o-y basis).

● Average strip ratio of 11.7x in 1Q13 down from 13.1x in 1Q12.

● Despite higher strip ratio at Indominco West Block, average operation cost in 1Q13 continues to show q-o-q decline.

● ITM will continue to reduce average stripping ratios in 2013 to cope with lower coal price trend.

● Continue to focus on cost reductions including cut in overhead costs.

1Q13 AVERAGE OPERATING COSTS

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Mining and contractor cost

* Coal transportations, repair and maintenance, salaries and allowance, etc.

$74 $72$69

$65

$/t

$67

Other production costs*

Dep. & AmortisationSG&A expenses

Royalty

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Full year 1Q

$70

Full year2012 2012 2013 2013E

$63