it’s a good idea to have a quick reference guide cl · it’s a good idea to have a quick...

Please send your comments and ideas to [email protected] Join the GA Community! www.easa.europa.eu/community/ga #21 (2020) FOR THE AERODROME, THE MOST LIKELY CLOUD BETWEEN 0900 UTC AND 1800 UTC WILL BE SCT*AT 1 200 FT, AND BKN* AT 3 000 FT’ THE SOUTHAMPTON TAF GIVES SCT012 AND BKN030. THE CLOUD IS NOT GREAT, BUT IT’S OK FOR ME AT AN AERODROME METEOROLOGICAL OFFICE, A METEOROLOGIST IS PREPARING TAFS (AERODROME FORECASTS) A LITTLE LATER, TWO PILOTS… TAF EGHI 220800Z 2209/2218 20005KT 9999 SCT012 BKN030= WHAT ARE YOUR PERSONAL MINIMA? >2 000 FT CEILING, > 10 KM VISIBILITY, < 10 KT CROSSWIND * FEW=1-2 OKTAS (EIGHTHS), SCT=3-4 OKTAS, BKN=5-7 OKTAS, OVC=8 OKTAS THAT’S RIGHT. IT WOULD BRING YOU BELOW YOUR MINIMUM. IT’S A GOOD IDEA TO HAVE A QUICK REFERENCE GUIDE CLOSE TO HAND – CONSULT THE AIP AND TABULATE THE TAF CHANGE CRITERIA** SO THE CLOUD BASE FORECAST MAY HAVE DESCENDED FROM 3 000 FT TO 1 500 FT, WITHOUT THE TAF BEING AMENDED HAVE YOU THOUGHT ABOUT HOW THE CLOUD OR WIND SPEED MIGHT CHANGE? THERE ARE RULES FOR INDICATING CHANGES IN TAFS I’VE NEVER REALLY BEEN SURE ABOUT HOW THEY WORK FOR EXAMPLE, SEE THIS ROW ABOUT THE CLOUD BASE, FROM THE TAF AMENDMENT THRESHOLDS TABLE ** *SEE LINKS TO TAF AMENDMENT THRESHOLDS IN THE RELATED CONTENTS SECTION ALSO, TAFS ONLY INCLUDE CHANGES IF THE PROBABILITY OF THE CHANGES IS 30 % OR MORE READ THE TAF IN COMBINATION WITH THE AREA FORECASTS FOR LOW-LEVEL FLIGHTS AND THE METAR. IF THEY SUGGEST WORSE WEATHER CONDITIONS THAN THE TAF, YOU CAN ALWAYS CONTACT THE METEOROLOGIST You can find links to -Weather references -Regulations in the “related content” section BY ELENA GARCIA & MONICA MESTRE @ EASA WELL, THERE ARE SOME KEY POINTS. TAFS ARE PRIMARILY FOR IFR FLIGHTS, AND THEY FORECAST THE MOST LIKELY CONDITIONS. ANY CHANGES OR AMENDMENTS ARE BASED ON THRESHOLDS FOR WIND, VISIBILITY, CLOUDS AND WEATHER. CHECK YOUR AIP. OR ASK THE MET SERVICE PROVIDER FOR DETAILS …SO IF THE PROBABILITY OF THE CLOUD BASE BECOMING BKN014 OR LOWER WERE LESS THAN 30 %, THERE WOULD BE NO CHANGE TO THE TAF? CORRECT, 30 % IS A PROBABILITY. SO THINK OF 30 % AS MEANING THAT ON 3 OUT OF 10 OCCASIONS, THE CHANGE WILL OCCUR HOW SHOULD I PLAN FOR UNCERTAINTIES IN THE WEATHER FORECAST? BE AWARE OF THEM, AND ANTICIPATE POSSIBLE CHANGES. KEEP A MARGIN ON YOUR PERSONAL MINIMA, AND PREPARE A PLAN B IN CASE THINGS GET TIGHT EN-ROUTE. BE STRICT AND READY TO CANCEL OR REPROGRAM BEFORE COMPROMISING YOUR MINIMA. REMEMBER THE SERA REGULATION FOR VISUAL METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS AND THE COUNTRY-SPECIFIC VMC IN THE AIPS.

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Page 1: IT’S A GOOD IDEA TO HAVE A QUICK REFERENCE GUIDE CL · it’s a good idea to have a quick reference guide cl how should i plan for #21 (2020 ) for the aerodrome, t he most likely

Please send your comments and ideas to [email protected] Join the GA Community! www.easa.europa.eu/community/ga

#21 (2020) FOR THE AERODROME, THE MOST LIKELY CLOUD BETWEEN 0900 UTC AND 1800 UTC WILL BE SCT*AT 1 200 FT, AND BKN* AT 3 000 FT’ THE SOUTHAMPTON TAF GIVES SCT012 AND BKN030. THE CLOUD IS NOT GREAT, BUT IT’S OK FOR ME

AT AN AERODROME METEOROLOGICAL OFFICE, A METEOROLOGIST IS PREPARING TAFS (AERODROME FORECASTS) A LITTLE LATER, TWO PILOTS… TAF EGHI 220800Z 2209/2218 20005KT 9999 SCT012 BKN030= WHAT ARE YOUR PERSONAL MINIMA? >2 000 FT CEILING, > 10 KM VISIBILITY, < 10 KT CROSSWIND * FEW=1-2 OKTAS (EIGHTHS), SCT=3-4 OKTAS, BKN=5-7 OKTAS, OVC=8 OKTAS THAT’S RIGHT. IT WOULD BRING YOU BELOW YOUR MINIMUM. IT’S A GOOD IDEA TO HAVE A QUICK REFERENCE GUIDE CLOSE TO HAND – CONSULT THE AIP AND TABULATE THE TAF CHANGE CRITERIA** SO THE CLOUD BASE FORECAST MAY HAVE DESCENDED FROM 3 000 FT TO 1 500 FT, WITHOUT THE TAF BEING AMENDED HAVE YOU THOUGHT ABOUT HOW THE CLOUD OR WIND SPEED MIGHT CHANGE? THERE ARE RULES FOR INDICATING CHANGES IN TAFS I’VE NEVER REALLY BEEN SURE ABOUT HOW THEY WORK FOR EXAMPLE, SEE THIS ROW ABOUT THE CLOUD BASE, FROM THE TAF AMENDMENT THRESHOLDS TABLE ** *SEE LINKS TO TAF AMENDMENT THRESHOLDS IN THE RELATED CONTENTS SECTION

ALSO, TAFS ONLY INCLUDE CHANGES IF THE PROBABILITY OF THE CHANGES IS 30 % OR MORE READ THE TAF IN COMBINATION WITH THE AREA FORECASTS FOR LOW-LEVEL FLIGHTS AND THE METAR. IF THEY SUGGEST WORSE WEATHER CONDITIONS THAN THE TAF, YOU CAN ALWAYS CONTACT THE METEOROLOGIST You can find links to -Weather references -Regulations in the “related content” section BY ELENA GARCIA & MONICA MESTRE @ EASA

WELL, THERE ARE SOME KEY POINTS. TAFS ARE PRIMARILY FOR IFR FLIGHTS, AND THEY FORECAST THE MOST LIKELY CONDITIONS. ANY CHANGES OR AMENDMENTS ARE BASED ON THRESHOLDS FOR WIND, VISIBILITY, CLOUDS AND WEATHER. CHECK YOUR AIP. OR ASK THE MET SERVICE PROVIDER FOR DETAILS …SO IF THE PROBABILITY OF THE CLOUD BASE BECOMING BKN014 OR LOWER WERE LESS THAN 30 %, THERE WOULD BE NO CHANGE TO THE TAF? CORRECT, 30 % IS A PROBABILITY. SO THINK OF 30 % AS MEANING THAT ON 3 OUT OF 10 OCCASIONS, THE CHANGE WILL OCCUR HOW SHOULD I PLAN FOR UNCERTAINTIES IN THE WEATHER FORECAST? BE AWARE OF THEM, AND ANTICIPATE POSSIBLE CHANGES. KEEP A MARGIN ON YOUR PERSONAL MINIMA, AND PREPARE A PLAN B IN CASE THINGS GET TIGHT EN-ROUTE. BE STRICT AND READY TO CANCEL OR REPROGRAM BEFORE COMPROMISING YOUR MINIMA. REMEMBER THE SERA REGULATION FOR VISUAL METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS AND THE COUNTRY-SPECIFIC VMC IN THE AIPS.

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