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    Alarm Detection Methods for Physiological Variables

    Sandra Ramos, Isabel Silva 1,

    M. Eduarda Silva Teresa Mendon a

    ICSE 2003

    Departamento de Matemtica Aplicada,

    Faculdade de Cincias da Universidade do Porto

    1 Departamento de Engenharia Civil,

    Faculdade de Engenharia da Universidade do Porto

    This research is part of the Ph.D. work of Isabel Silva, financially supported by PRODEP III

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    Summary

    Motivation

    Purpose

    Designing an adaptive reference trajectory

    ICSE 2003

    Alarm system for neuromuscular blockade

    Walsh-Fourier spectral analysis

    Simulations results

    Final remarks

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    Motivation

    Design of automatic control systems for neuromuscular blockade

    Nonlinear dynamical relationship between the muscle relaxant dose and theinduced muscle paralysis

    Lar e variabilit of the individual res onses to the infusion of muscle relaxant

    ICSE 2003

    Individual tuning of

    the controller

    according to the

    characteristics of the

    patient

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    time (minutes)

    r(t)%

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    Motivation

    Reference profile

    induce total muscle relaxation in a very short period of time ( < 5)Initial bolus

    control action starts 10 after bolusadministration

    ICSE 2003

    variability of theresponse

    expected noiselevel

    clinicalrequirements

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    Motivation

    ( ) :tr level of muscle relaxation, normalized between 0 (full paralysis) and 100 (fullmuscular activity)

    Longer effect of100

    ICSE 2003

    the initial bolus

    0 50 100 1500

    50end of infusion%

    r(t)

    t (minutes)

    initial overshoot

    and oscillatory

    behaviour

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    Purpose

    Propose and evaluate an adaptive controller incorporating

    a varying beginning for automatic control action

    an individual reference profile

    ICSE 2003

    Alarm system for the control of the neuromuscular blockade

    Forecasting techniques

    Walsh-Fourier spectral analysis (WFA)

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    Alarm systems for neuromuscular blockade

    Predict the neuromuscular blockade upcrossing of a specified critical level, %

    Estimate of the recovery time, P, at an critical neuromuscular blockade level, . P

    100

    ICSE 2003

    0 30 600

    20

    40

    60

    80

    %

    P

    t(minutes)

    r

    (t+5)%

    ^

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    Linear prediction of the neuromuscular blockade response, r( t)

    ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )[ ]ts;su,sr|mtrEmtr+=+

    Alarm systems for neuromuscular blockade

    r( t) is modelled using an ARX( 4, 4)

    ICSE 2003

    On-line identification of the ARX model parameters Kalman Filter

    4141 3041 +++++= tubtubtratratr LL

    ( ) 5alarm""5 +=>+

    tPtr

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    Walsh Function: complete, ordered and orthonormed set of rectangular

    wavestaking the values -1 and 1.

    Sequential or Walsh order

    t: time

    ( ) [ [ K,,,n,,t,t,nW 21010 =

    Walsh-Fourier Spectral Analysis

    ICSE 2003

    Walsh periodogram: x0, x1, ..., xN-1 observations

    where =j / N, 0 < j < N, is the sequency.

    n: sequency num er o sw c es s gns

    ( ) ( ) ( )2

    1

    0

    1

    =

    =

    N

    n

    jjW ,nWnx

    N

    I

    j

    One can plot versus to inspect the peaks, that indicate a switch

    each time points. The average periodsare defined byj

    j

    j/

    1

    (jW

    I

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    Walsh-Fourier Spectral Analysis

    is highly correlated with r(14.0)

    Relaxation level at the WFA average periods

    High predictive power for the parameters of the controller

    Robustness of the parameters prediction in the presence of noiseP

    ICSE 2003

    r(14.0) 0.87 0.75 0.63 0.72 0.67 0.53

    r(28.0) 0.85 0.88 0.87 0.76 0.84 0.84r(1.6)+r(3.0)+r(7.0)+r(12.0)+r(14.0) 0.89 0.83 0.77 0.77 0.72 0.60

    r(1.6)+r(3.0)+r(7.0)+r(12.0)+r(14.0)+r(28.0) 0.92 0.91 0.89 0.83 0.86 0.84

    Without noise With noise

    5P 10P52.P 52.P5P 10P

    : near regress on us ng as pre c ors e re axa on eve s o average per o s

    Correlation coefficient

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    Choosing P

    = PPe

    ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ){ }02801401207036128

    .r,.r,.r,.r,.r,.rW =

    Comparision of ARX and WFA predictors of by calculatingP

    P

    P

    True value for 5%, 10%

    ARX( 4, 4) process

    linear regression with

    =

    Estimated value

    ICSE 2003

    ARX WFA-10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    e10 Boxplots of e10 for simulated

    responses with P10 > 28.0 minutes

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    Final Remarks

    Design of an adaptive controller for neuromuscular blockade incorporating an

    alarm system

    Robust on-line prediction of the beginning of the patients recovery from the

    initial bolusby

    ICSE 2003

    WFA methodology

    Improvement of the reference pursuit

    Adaptation of the automatic control system to individual requirements

    The alarm system can easily be adapted to deal with other related situations,

    namely the detection of eventual changes in the dynamics of the system.