isb affordable rental report - 2012 - indian school of business

22
Manufacturing Housing: Creating Rental Housing for Industrial Labour CEMS Working Paper AH01 January 2012 Authors: Dhaval Monani Nikhilesh Sinha TM Bhargavi Shahen Dastur Swapnil Lodha Working Papers Series

Upload: others

Post on 13-Mar-2022

2 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Manufacturing  Housing:  Creating  Rental  Housing  for  Industrial  Labour        

 CEMS  Working  Paper  AH-­‐01  

January  2012                        

Authors:    

Dhaval  Monani  Nikhilesh  Sinha  TM  Bhargavi  Shahen  Dastur  Swapnil  Lodha  

 

           Working  Papers  Series  

       

 

 

Table  of  Contents  

EXECUTIVE  SUMMARY   3  

CONTEXT  OF  AFFORDABLE  HOUSING  IN  INDIA   4  

MIGRATION  CREATES  A  DEMAND  FOR  RENTAL  HOUSING   6  MOST  MIGRANT  JOB-­‐SEEKERS  WORK  IN  MANUFACTURING  OR  CONSTRUCTION   6  HOUSEHOLDS  EARNING  LESS  THAN  INR  7000  CANNOT  AFFORD  OWNERSHIP   8  PROBLEMS  WITH  THE  EXISTING  RENTAL  MARKET   9  

PROPOSED  RENTAL  MODEL  FOR  INDUSTRIAL  WORKER  HOUSEHOLDS   10  

THE  OPTIMAL  MODEL   10  EFFECTS  OF  CHANGING  CONSTRUCTION  COSTS   13  REASONS  WHY  THE  GROUND+1  WORKS   14  CAVEAT  1:  THE  RELATIONSHIP  BETWEEN  LAND  COST  AND  THE  OPTIMALITY  OF  THE  MODEL   15  CAVEAT  2:  INVESTOR  INTEREST   15  

A  PROPOSED  DORMITORY  MODEL  FOR  INDIVIDUALS   16  

POLICY  ISSUES   18  

LAND  AVAILABILITY   18  INFRASTRUCTURE  FACILITIES   19  A  NOTE  ON  RENT  CONTROL   20  

CONCLUSION:   22  

     

Executive  Summary    

In  the  past  five  years,  the  shortage  of  housing  in  Indian  cities  has  widened  from  24.7  million  to  

26  million.  Over  90  per  cent  of  this  shortage  consists  of  housing  for  families  living  on  less  than  

INR   3,300   per  month.   The   public   sector   has   failed   to   provide   for   this   section   of   society   and  

private   sector   involvement  has  been   seen  as  unviable.   There  are  however   segments,   such  as  

industrial  worker  housing  where  the  private  sector  can  play  a  primary  role.    

 

Our  analysis  of  housing  prices  and  affordability  for  different  income  groups  reveals  that  families  

earning   less   than   INR  7,000   cannot   currently   afford  home  ownership   and  are   thus   reliant  on  

rental  housing  provision.  This   report  presents  a  commercially  viable  model   for   rental  housing  

which   is   affordable   to   families   earning   as   little   as   INR   2,700   per   month   in   Industrial   zones  

outside   large   cities.   The  model   potentially   offers   investors   a   6   per   cent   annual   yield   and   an  

overall  return  of  over  20  per  cent.    

 

A   targeted   set   of   policy   interventions   can   lower   the   cost   of   rental   housing   and   extend   its  

accessibility   to   a   larger   group   of   beneficiaries.   In   areas   exhibiting   high   industrial   growth,  

restrictive  norms  on  the  use  and  sale  of  agricultural  land  present  a  serious  obstacle  to  housing  

initiatives.  We   have   put   forward   concrete   suggestions   to   address   this   issue.   The   report   also  

contains   policy   recommendations   on   trunk   infrastructure   provision   and   optimal   land   use  

through  town  planning  schemes.  

     

Context  of  Affordable  Housing  in  India    

In   the   space   of   seven   years,   India’s   urban   population   has   increased   from   290  million   to   380  

million.   By   2030,   this   number   is   expected   to   reach   590   million.   This   growth   raises   serious  

questions   about   the   adequacy   of   urban   housing   supply.   In   2007,   the   urban   housing   shortfall  

was   24.7   million   units;   in   2012,   it   is   closer   to   26   million.   Of   that,   about   22.8   million   or  

approximately   90   per   cent   of   the   shortfall   is   housing   for   the   Economically   Weaker   Section  

(EWS)1,  households  living  on  less  than  INR  3,300  a  month  or  less  than  INR  40,000  annually    

 

 Data  source:  Report  of  the  11th  Five  Year  Plan  (2007  –  2012)  working  group  on  urban  housing  with  focus  on  slums,  GOI  

 

  Table  1:  Classification  Of  Households  By  Income  Group  

Income  Groups   Monthly  Household  Income  (INR)  EWS  (Economically  Weaker  Section)   Less  than  3,300  LIG  (Lower  Income  Group)   3,300-­‐7,500  MIG  (Middle  Income  Group)   7,500-­‐14,000  HIG  (Higher  Income  Group)   More  than  14,000  Data  source:  MHUPA  –  Working  Group  on  Urban  Housing  2007-­‐2012  

  1Planning  Commission,  Government  of  India,  Report  of  the  11th  Five  Year  Plan  (2007  –  2012)  working  group  on  urban  housing  with  focus  on  slums,  available  at  http://planningcommission.nic.in/aboutus/committee/wrkgrp11/wg11_housing.pdf  (last  visited  on  December  14,  2011)    

21.78  

2.89  0.04  

24.71  

0  

5  

10  

15  

20  

25  

30  

EWS   LIG   MIG  &  HIG   Total  

Figure  1:  Urban  Housing  Shortage  in  Mn.  (2007)  

This   shortfall   is  unevenly  distributed  amongst   the  different   Indian  states.  While  Maharashtra,  

the   state  with   the   highest   urban   population,   has   the   highest   shortfall   -­‐   roughly   3.72  million  

houses  -­‐  Tamil  Nadu  has  the  next  highest  (2.82  million)  followed  by  Uttar  Pradesh,  West  Bengal  

and   Andhra   Pradesh.  With   a   combined   deficit   of   almost   13  million   houses,   these   five   states  

account  for  more  than  50  per  cent  of  the  shortfall.              

 

In   the   initial  years  of  post   independence   India,   the  emphasis  was  on  a  planned  economy  and  

the  state  saw   itself  as   the  primary  housing  supplier2.  By   the  1980s  however,   the  housing  and  

urban  development  task  force  set  up  by  the  Planning  Commission  recognised  that  government  

schemes   had  made   only   a  marginal   contribution   to   the   overall   housing   environment.   By   the  

Eighth  Plan  (1992-­‐1997),  housing  provision  was  regarded  as  essentially  private  sector  activity3.  

 

Since   most   of   the   housing   shortfall   involves   households   living   below   or   barely   above   the  

poverty  line,  it  is  unrealistic  to  expect  the  private  sector  will  solve  the  housing  problem  without  

considerable   government   support.   The   basic   costs   -­‐   land,   finance,   construction   and   labour   –  

place  housing  beyond  the  reach  of  many  households,  even  without  factoring  in  an  acceptable  

return  for  the  developer.    

 

There  are  however  sub-­‐markets  where  the  private  sector  can  play  a  significant  role  in  housing  

provision,   like   for   instance   industrial   worker   housing.   Industrial   labour   consists   typically   of  

migrants   from   villages   who  move   to   industrial   areas   outside   cities   in   search   of   work.  While  

some  big   firms,  notably   those   in   the   iron  and  steel   sector,  provide  housing   for   their  workers,  

the  60  million  employees  of  the  Micro  Small  and  Medium  Enterprise  sector  which  produces  45  

per  cent  of  India’s  manufactured  output,  are  mostly  expected  to  fend  for  themselves.    

 

In   September   2010,   ISB   became   a   knowledge   partner   in   a   pilot   affordable   housing   project  

situated  in  an  industrial  cluster  outside  the  city  of  Rajkot  in  Gujarat.  The  proposed  single  storey  

housing  model,  focusing  on  peri-­‐urban  areas  and  industrial  zones,  was  a  radical  departure  from   2UNCHS,  2006.National  Trends  in  Housing-­‐Production  Practices,  Vol  1:  India,  Nairobi,  UNCHS  (Habitat)  HS/310/93  3ibid  

the  low  rise  models  under  development.  The  land  required  for  the  pilot  project  was  acquired  at  

market  prices  without  state  intervention  and  the  project  built  housing  units  affordable  even  to  

LIG   households   on   an   ownership   basis.   While   this   is   the   most   affordable   formal   housing  

available  on  the  market,  it  is  still  not  accessible  to  a  large  section  of  LIG  and  EWS  households.  

We   make   the   case   for   private   industrial   housing   rental   provision,   with   best   practices   and  

learning  that  have  been  culled  from  the  Rajkot  Pilot  Project.    

 

Migration  Creates  a  Demand  for  Rental  Housing  While  natural  population  growth   in  urban  areas  accounts   for  between  50  and  60  per   cent  of  

urban  growth,  about  21  per  cent  of  population  growth  in  cities  can  be  attributed  to  rural-­‐urban  

migration4.    In  other  words  migration  accounts  for  a  fifth  of  urban  growth.  This  figure  does  not  

however  account  for  short-­‐term  migration,  which  consists  mainly  of   individuals  who  move  for  

periods  of  between  30  days  to  six  months.        

 

Migrants  typically  opt  for  rental  housing  when  they  first  move  to  a  new  location,  as   it   is  both  

flexible   and   affordable   while   they   search   for   jobs   and   gather   information   about   available  

housing  options.  While  rental  housing  is  a  sensible  option  even  for  migrants  who  have  made  a  

permanent  move  to  a  new   location,   it   is  a  necessity   for  short-­‐term  migrants,  which  creates  a  

specific  demand  for  rental  housing.    

 

Most  Migrant  Job-­‐Seekers  Work  in  Manufacturing  or  Construction    According  to  the  National  Sample  Survey  Organization  Report  2007-­‐08,  about  14  million  people  

from   rural   India   migrate   for   short   periods.   The   majority   moved   in   search   of   employment.  

(Figure  3)5  About  3.3  million  short-­‐term  migrants  were  engaged  in  manufacturing  and  about  4.2  

million  in  construction.    

4  National  Sample  Survey  Office,  Government  of  India,  Migration  in  India,  2007-­‐2007,  NSS  64th  Round,  available  at  http://mospi.nic.in/Mospi_New/Admin/publication.aspx  (last  visited  December  15,  2011)  5  ibid  

 

Data  Source:  Ministry  of  Labour&  Employment,  Government  of  India    

Both  sectors   require  short-­‐term   labour,  often  hired  on  an  ad-­‐hoc  basis.  Rental  housing  offers  

them  flexibility  and  mobility,  so  they  can  move  quickly  to  jobs  in  other  locations  if  need  be.      

 

 

 

23.6%  

1.3%  

16.8%  

0.2%  

41.6%  

7.3%   5.7%   3.7%  

12.6%  

0.6%  

26.0%  

0.4%  

25.2%  

18.1%  

4.9%  

12.2%  

0.0%  5.0%  10.0%  15.0%  20.0%  25.0%  30.0%  35.0%  40.0%  45.0%  

Figure  2:  Sector-­‐wise  Short-­‐term  Migracon  for  Employment  from  Rural  Areas  

To  Rural  

To  Urban  

 -­‐          2,000      4,000      6,000      8,000      10,000      12,000    

Figure  3:  Monthly  Wages  of  Manufacturing  Industries  in  2008  (INR)  

Data  Source:  Ministry  of  Labour&  Employment,  Government  of  India

Households  Earning  Less  than  INR  7000  Cannot  Afford  Ownership  Rental   housing   is   not   only   the   best   solution   for   short-­‐term   migrant   workers,   but   also   for  

households   that   cannot   afford   to   buy   a   home.   The   Centre   for   Emerging   Markets   Solutions  

(CEMS)  at  ISB  conducted  a  survey  of  39  affordable  housing  projects  across  the  country  in  2010,  

which  revealed  that  none  of  these  are  affordable  to  the  EWS  and  bar  two,  none  cater  to  the  LIG  

either.    

   

Given  that  the  cheapest  available  house  at  the  time  of  writing  cost  INR  311,0006  and  that  the  

average   family   cannot   contribute   more   than   40   per   cent   of   income   towards   housing   (in  

addition,   they   must   also   be   eligible   for   a   home   loan   and   provide   the   20   per   cent   down  

payment),  it  is  evident  from  the  table  above  that  households  earning  less  than  INR  7000  cannot  

afford  home  ownership.    

 

6  The  most  affordable  private  formal  housing  available  for  purchase  at  the  time  of  writing  was  the  Type  2  unit  in  the  Rajkot  Pilot  Project.  

Table  2:  Home  Affordability  Based  On  Monthly  Income

Calculation of Home Affordability • We  assume  40%  of  the  household  income  is  set  aside  for  buying  a  house.  • For  example,  if  the  household  income  is  INR  10,000;  the  amount  of  money  set  aside  

for  payment  towards  the  house  will  be  INR  4,000  (40%  of  INR  10,000)  

Problems  with  the  Existing  Rental  Market  According  to  the  National  Sample  Survey  report  on  Housing  Conditions  and  Amenities7,  only  5  

per  cent  of  housing  in  urban  India  falls  under  the  category  of  formal  rental.  While  about  30  per  

cent  of  urban  India  lives  in  rental  housing,  of  that,  84  per  cent  of  them  live  in  informal  rentals,  

where  there   is  no  written  contract,   in  structures  often   illegally  constructed,  badly  maintained  

and  without   access   to  basic   amenities   such   as  water,   electricity   and  proper   sanitation.  More  

than  40  per  cent  of  informal  rental  accommodation  in  cities  has  open  drains,  while  about  16  per  

cent  has  no  drainage  facilities8      

 

One   of   the  main   reasons   for   the   low   participation   of   the   formal   sector   in   residential   rental  

markets   is   that   rental   yields   are   typically   between   2-­‐3   per   cent.   Most   landlords   see   rental  

income  as  an  additional  benefit  to  capital  gains  from  real  estate  investment,  where  houses  are  

rented  out  while  the  owners  wait  for  the  value  of  the  property  to  appreciate.  This  means  that  

rental   supply   does   not   respond   directly   to   shifts   in   rental   demand   and   that   an   increase   in  

available  rents  does  not  necessarily  translate  into  an  increase  in  the  supply  of  houses  available  

for  rent.  

  7  National  Sample  Survey  Office,  Government  of  India,  Housing  Conditions  and  Amenities  in  India  2008-­‐09,  NSS  65th  Round,  available  at  http://mospi.nic.in/Mospi_New/Admin/publication.aspx  (last  visited  December  15,  2011)  8  ibid  

61.50%  

4.70%  

5.00%  

25.40%  

3.30%  

Owned  dwelling  

Employer’s  Quarter  

Hired  Dwelling  -­‐  Formal  

Hired  Dwelling  -­‐  Informal  

Others  

Data  source:  NSS  65th  Round  (2008-­‐09)  –  Report  on  Housing  Condi[ons  and  Ameni[es  in  India    

Figure  4:  Tenurial  Status  for  Urban  India  

Proposed  Rental  Model  for  Industrial  Worker  Households  Our   rental   model   offers   households   accommodation   in   a   171   square   foot   home   with   an  

attached  toilet  and  kitchenette.  If  monthly  rent  is  calculated  at  INR  800,  it  will  be  accessible  to  

households  earning  as  little  as  INR  2700,  while  ensuring  investors  earn  an  annual  yield  of  over  6  

per  cent.  The  business  model  includes  a  provision  for  exit  after  a  period  of  ten  years.  The  return  

for  investors  is  estimated  at  over  20  per  cent  when  project  value  appreciation  is  considered  in  

addition  to  the  rental  yield.    

 

The  proposed  rental  model  is  based  on  an  extension  of  an  existing  218-­‐unit  affordable  housing  

project  located  in  an  industrial  cluster  (Shapar  GIDC*).  built  on  five  acres  (approximately  20,234  

sq.  meters).  The  project  offers   two  standard  sizes  of  housing  units,  both  ground-­‐level,   single-­‐

storey   structures   with   front   and   back   yards.   Type   1   is   a   two-­‐room   house   with   a   kitchen,  

attached  toilet  and  bath  and  a  built-­‐up  area  of  430  sq.  ft.  Type  2  is  smaller,  at  272  sq.  ft.  unit  

with  one  room,  a  kitchenette  and  an  attached  toilet-­‐cum-­‐bath.  The  units  were  sold  at  between    

INR  311,000  and  INR  480,000  making  these  the  cheapest  private  sector  housing  in  the  country.    

 

The  Optimal  Model  A  two-­‐storey  or  Ground+1  stack  is  the  most  cost  effective  design,  allowing  maximum  utilisation  

of  Floor  Space   Index  (FSI)  and  minimisation  of   land  cost  per  unit.   It  optimises   land  value.  The  

land  cost  for  the  Ground+1  model  is  approximately  12  per  cent  of  the  total  cost  of  the  unit.  This  

is  significantly  lower  than  a  ground-­‐only  model,  and  slightly  lower  than  a  ground+2  structure.  

 

The  construction  costs   for  ground+1   is  marginally   lower   than  ground-­‐only   structures  because  

the  cost  of  the  foundation  work  is  split  between  the  two  units.  Adding  a  third  storey,  however,  

requires  additional   reinforcements   for   the  structure   to  meet  safety  norms.  This  drives  up  the  

construction  costs  for  each  unit.  In  addition,  while  an  external  metal  staircase  is  acceptable  for  

the   ground+1  model,   the   ground+2  model  would   require   an   internal   concrete   staircase.   This  

increases  the  super  built-­‐up  area,  requiring  additional  FSI  apart  from  the  increased  cost  of  the  

staircase  itself.    

 

 

 Rental  Housing  Can  Cater  to  Households  Earning  INR  2700  Based  on  the  results  of  the  simulation  of  a  rental  model,  it  may  be  possible  to  provide  housing  

to  households  earning  as  little  as  INR  2700  a  month.    

   

*G.I.D.C – Gujarat Industrial Development Corporation • GIDC  is  a  government  owned  corporation  that  sets  up  industrial  estates  all  

over  Gujarat,  India  after  assessing  the  location’s  industrial  viability  • There  are  currently  over  182  GIDC  estates  across  Gujarat  • GIDC  offers  industries  allotted  industrial  land  with  infrastructure  facilities  • The  size  of  these  estates  varies  from  50  hectares  to  500  hectares.  

Jargon Buster FSI – Floor Space Index is a ratio used mainly when building multi storey building. It is the ratio of the total area covered by construction to the area of the land on which the structure is developed. FSI= (Total area of all floor of a building on the plot)/(Area of the plot) For example is the FSI for a certain plot is 2, the developer can construct a structure whose total area can be 2 times the size of the plot. Carpet Area – Is the area that is the net usable area. It is calculated from by measuring the inner wall-to-wall area of a house. Built-Up Area – Built-up area is the carpet area plus the area of the walls. I.e. the total area of a unit Super Built-up Area – This is the built-up area of the unit plus the common amenities such as lifts, corridors, and staircases.

Table  3:  Rental  Affordability  Based  on  Monthly  (INR)

Assumptions  in  the  Model  

 • Land  cost  per  unit  is  taken  as  INR  30,000.  This  cost  is  derived  from  the  ‘Ashray  Housing’  

model  • Over   the   past   few   years   land   appreciation   has   been   higher   than   the   rate   of   inflation  

consistently.   Hence,   we   are   pegging   rent   and   land   value   appreciation   to   inflation.   By  doing   so  we  are  assuming   that  we  are  not   losing  value  of   land  over  a  period  of   time.  However,   if   we   do   decide   to   keep   the   land   and   rent   appreciation   value   higher   than  inflation  rate  we  will  observe  higher  rental  yields  and  IRRs  from  the  project.  

• The  IRRs  are  calculated  assuming  the  owner/stakeholder  decides  the  give  the  developed  project  out   for   rent   for  a  period  of  10  years.  Following   this   the  developer   sells  all   the  units.  Hence  the  IRRs  are  calculated  taking  into  consideration  the  rental  yields  as  well  as  the  sale  price  of  the  units  after  10  years.  

• The  yearly  rental  yield  is  calculated  by  summing  up  the  rent  collected  for  one  unit  in  a  year  divided  by  the  cost  of  one  unit  to  the  stakeholder.  

 In   order   to   arrive   at   optimal   model   we   considered   how   different   types   of   structures   could  minimise   construction   costs   and   maximise   rental   yields   For   this   purpose   considered   the  following  three  types  of  structures  and  did  a  sensitivity  analysis  of  how  a  change  in  construction  cost  might  impact  yields  for  each.    

• Ground  Only  Structure  • Ground+1  Structure  (with  an  external  staircase)  • Ground+2  Structure  (with  an  internal  staircase)  

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effects  of  changing  construction  costs      

Sqft  Cost  (INR  650)     Ground  Only     Ground+1     Ground+2    

Total  Cost  (INR)   3,24,394   2,37,699   4,94,859  

Rental  Yield  (%)   7.4   10.1   4.14  

IRR  Exit  (%)   19.2   18.8   12.93  

       

Sqft  Cost  (INR  750)     Ground  Only     Ground+1     Ground+2    

Total  Cost  (INR)   3,54,882   2,52,440   5,42,754  

Rental  Yield  (%)   6.78   9.51   4.02  

IRR  Exit  (%)   17.98   17.83   12.62  

       

Sqft  Cost  (INR  850)     Ground  Only     Ground+1     Ground+2    

Total  Cost  (INR)   3,83,425   2,67,213   5,90,649  

Rental  Yield  (%)   6.26   8.98   3.69  

IRR  Exit  (%)   16.88   16.94   12.36      

Ø The  rent  for  all  the  above  calculations  is  kept  at  constant  of  INR  2,000  Ø All  the  above  models  use  a  similar  housing  unit  size  and  design  Ø The  ground+1  and  ground+2  models  do  not  include  a  lift  

   From  the  above  table  it  is  evident  that  the  Ground+1  model  offers  the  highest  yields,  regardless  of  construction  cost.   It   is   interesting   to  note  however,   that   the  ground  only  model  offers   the  best  IRRs  when  constructions  costs  are  low.  The  cost  breakdown  given  in  the  chart  below  gives  clear  indication  of  why  the  Ground+1  model  trumps  the  others.      

           Data  Source:  CEMS  Research  

 

Reasons  why  the  Ground+1  works    Optimizes  Land  Value  The  land  cost  for  the  ground+1  model  is  approximately  12%  of  the  total  cost  of  the  unit.  This  is  significantly   lower   in   proportion   as   compared   to   the   other   models.   This   would   benefit   the  developer/investor  as  land  prices  in  India  have  appreciated  at  a  high  rate  over  the  past  decade.  As  the  percentage  of  the  total  cost  of  a  unit  has  a  lower  percentage  of  land  cost,  the  total  cost  of  the  unit  is  not  highly  volatile  even  if  the  land  cost  varies.    The  Ground+1   also   has   lower   land   cost   per   unit   as   compared   to  Ground  Only   as   the   land   is  optimized  better  to  accommodate  more  units  hence,  reducing  the  land  cost  per  unit.      Optimizes  Construction  Costs  As   the   construction   of   any   structure   starts   to   go   vertical,   the   construction   costs  will   start   to  increase.   This   is   because   of   the   need   for   reinforcement/   increase   in   reinforcement   for   the  structure  to  be  safe.  Hence,  for  the  Ground+2  structure  reinforcements  will  need  to  be  added  for  the  structure  to  be  safe.  This  will  drive  up  the  construction  costs  for  each  unit.  Where  as  in  the   case   for   Ground+1   the   construction   costs   will   not   increase,   as   the   reinforcement   of   the  ground   structure   is   suitable   for   adding   one   extra   floor   to   make   it   a   ground+1   without   any  additional  reinforcement  to  the  existing  structure  (Ground  Only).    

3,40,000  

2,45,000  

5,90,000  

 -­‐        

 1,00,000    

 2,00,000    

 3,00,000    

 4,00,000    

 5,00,000    

 6,00,000    

 7,00,000    

Ground  Only   Ground+1   Ground+2  

Construccon  

Infrastructure  

Land  

Figure  5:  Cost  break  down  for  Type  1  unit  (INR)  

The  ground+1  model  uses  and  external  staircase  made  of  metal  to  gain  access  to  the  first  floor.  This  would  not  be  very  expensive.  However,  for  the  Ground+2  model  and  internal  staircase  will  need  to  be  constructed.  This  will  in  return  increase  the  super  built-­‐up  area  per  unit  and  the  cost  of   the  staircase  will  be  significantly  higher  than  an  external  staircase.  Due  to  these  factor  the  Ground+2  model  has  a  higher  construction  cost  as  compared  to  the  other  models.    

CAVEAT  1:  The  Relationship  Between  Land  Cost  and  the  Optimality  of  the  Model    The   price   of   land   around   industrial   clusters   is   significantly   lower   than  within   city   limits.   The  

economics  of  this  model  only  works  in  locations  where  proximity  to  workplace  creates  demand  

for  housing  and  the  relatively  low  cost  of  land  allows  private  providers  to  offer  affordable  rental  

housing.  

 

CAVEAT  2:  Investor  Interest    While   this  model  has   yet   to  be  piloted,   conversations  with   investors  have  been  promising.  A  

rental  yield  of  6-­‐8  per  cent  in  the  first  year  is  considered  excellent  in  the  Indian  context  where  

residential  rental  yields  fall  within  the  2-­‐3  per  cent  range.  Investors  perceive  our  model  to  be  a  

hybrid  in  which  they  will  make  their  exit  through  a  sale  in  Year  10  or  Year  15  and  cost  of  capital  

will  be  offset  through  rental  yields.    

 

   

A  Proposed  Dormitory  Model  for  Individuals  The  model  discussed  above  is  designed  for  migrant  households.  However,  there  is  also  a  need  

for   worker   hostels   that   cater   to   individuals   without   families,   who   require   cheap,   shared  

accommodation.  The  dormitory  model  is  a  variation  designed  to  cater  to  this  segment.  

 

The   proposed  model   is   a   three   storey  Ground   +   2   structure.9   It   consists   of   5   buildings.   Each  

building   has   93   units;   31   units   per   floor.   The   465   units,   in   total,   can   accommodate   between  

930-­‐1,860  individuals,  depending  on  the  number  of  persons  residing  in  a  room  (2  –  4  occupants  

per   room).     The   rooms   have   a   carpet   area   of   144   square   feet   and   do   not   include   attached  

bathrooms.   Instead,   the   design   provides   for   two   communal   washrooms   per   floor.   It   also  

provides  for  approximately  3,000  square  feet  of  communal  area  that  could  be  used  as  a  dining  

hall  for  the  residents.10  

 

Assuming  that  there  are  3  occupants  per  room  and  that  each  occupant  pays  a  rent  of  INR  500  

per  month,  the  investor  can  expect  a  rental  yield  of  approximately  8  per  cent.  The  model  also  

assumes  that  the  rent  charged  will  be  increased  at  the  rate  of  10  per  cent  per  annum,  and  that  

1  per  cent  of  the  total  revenue  will  be  allocated  towards  maintenance  of  the  property.  Due  to  

the  annual  increase  in  rent,  the  developer  can  expect  a  rental  yield  of  nearly  11  per  cent  in  year  

Five  and  approximately  17  per  cent  at  the  end  of  year  Ten.  

9  As  the  dormitory  design  allows  for  the  construction  of  a  greater  number  of  rental  units  on  a  given  piece  of  land  than   a   model   consisting   of   individual   housing   units;   the   rental   revenue   offsets   the   additional   costs   of   the  construction  of  a  Ground  +2  structure.    10  The  developer  may   lower  costs   significantly  by  not  providing  attached  bathrooms  and   individual  dining  areas;  the  requirement  of  laying  utilities  such  as  piping,  toilet  facilities  for  each  unit  is  eliminated.  It  also  results  in  more  effective  utilization  of  floor  space  and  a  consequent  increase  in  the  number  of  rooms  that  may  be  built.  

 

*  Assumptions  –  No.  of  rooms  –  500,  People  per  room  –  3,  Rent  per  person  –  INR  500,  Rent  appreciation  –  10%  per  

annum,  Maintenance  cost–  1%  of  total  revenue  

 

A   comparison   of   the   rental   yields   at   varying   levels   of   rent   per  month   as   well   as   number   of  

occupants  per   room  has  been   tabulated  below.  The   rental  yields   for   the  model   range   from  5  

per  cent  for  two  occupants  per  room  paying  a  rent  of  INR  500  per  month,  to  21  per  cent  in  the  

case  of  four  occupants  paying  a  rent  of  INR  1,000  each.  

 

 

The   last   three   sections   have   dealt   with   the   possibility   of   private   sector   involvement   in   the  

provision   of   affordable   housing,   and   the   use   of   for-­‐profit   models   to   address   the   growing  

shortfall.  Two  of  the  key  challenges  in  this  sector  have  been  identified  as  the  availability  of  land,  

and   in   the   case   of   peri-­‐urban   housing,   the   absence   of   trunk   infrastructure   such   as   roads,  

electricity,  drinking  water  and  sanitation.  The  last  section  of  this  report  deals  with  specific  state  

initiatives   that   could   address   these   concerns   and   facilitate   private   sector   entry   into   the  

affordable  housing  sector  in  peri-­‐urban  areas.    

0%  

5%  

10%  

15%  

20%  

1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  

Rental  Yield  

Year  

Figure  6:  Rental  Yields  for  Dormitory  Model*  

Table 4: Rental Yields for Dormitory Model

Rent%(INR)% Number%of%Occupants%

%2% 3% 4%

500% 5%# 8%# 11%#600% 6%# 10%# 13%#700% 8%# 11%# 15%#800% 9%# 13%# 17%#900% 10%# 14%# 19%#1000% 11%# 16%# 21%#

Policy  Issues    

Land  Availability  In   India,   land   laws   have   been   used   extensively   as   a   tool   to   increase   access   for   the   poor.   An  

elaborate  structure  of  welfare  legislation  governs  transactions  involving  agricultural  land,  which  

determines   the   extent   of   land   that   is   available   for   non-­‐agricultural   application   in   peri-­‐urban  

areas.   Several   States,   including   rapidly   industrializing   ones   like  Maharashtra11,   Gujarat12   and  

Karnataka13  restrict  the  sale  of  agricultural  land  to  persons  who  are  not  agriculturists.    

 

These   regulations   are   not   uniform   across   States.   In   fact,   in   certain   cases,   there   is   lack   of  

uniformity   even   within   a   State.   For   instance,   while   the   Saurashtra   Gharkhed,   Tenancy  

Settlement  and  Agricultural  Lands  Ordinance,  1949  is  applicable  to  a  part  of  Gujarat,  the  rest  of  

the   State   is   governed   by   the   Gujarat   Tenancy   and   Agricultural   Lands   Act,   1948.   The   norms  

prescribed  by  these  two  legislations  are  not  entirely  analogous.  

 

In  an  attempt  to  balance  competing  needs,  a  few  States  have  carved  out  an  exception  to  this  

rule  of  restricted  sale.  Where  the  purchaser  intends  to  convert  the  land  to  ‘bona  fide  industrial  

use’  (as  defined  in  the  relevant  legislations),  such  a  purchaser,  being  a  non-­‐agriculturist,  may  be  

permitted  to  acquire  agricultural  land.  Housing  for  workers  is  covered  by  it,  if  it  is  an  extension  

of  a  manufacturing  or  processing  unit  for  which  such  agricultural  land  has  been  purchased.    

 

Stand-­‐alone   housing   projects   for   industrial   workers   do   not   come   under   its   ambit14.   Land   is  

available  only  to  the  extent  that  the  industrial  unit  sees  merit  in  providing  housing  to  workers.  

There   is   little   scope   for   a   housing   market   to   develop   outside   of   the   largesse   of   the  

employer/owner  and  little  scope  for  private  participation  in  the  housing  mission  in  such  areas.    

11  Sec.  63,  Bombay  Tenancy  and  Agricultural  Lands  Act,  1948.  12   Sec.   54,   Saurashtra   Gharkhed,   Tenancy   Settlement   and   Agricultural   Lands   Ordinance,   1949;   Sec.   63,   Gujarat  Tenancy  and  Agricultural  Lands  Act,  1948.  13Sec.  80,  Karnataka  Land  Reforms  Act,  1961.  14   Sec.   63-­‐1A,   Bombay   Tenancy   and   Agricultural   Lands   Act,   1948;   Sec.   63AA,   Gujarat   Tenancy   and   Agricultural  Lands  Act,  1948.  

 

A   further   set   of   restrictions   on   sale   are   applicable   in   some   states   when   the   owner   of   the  

agricultural  land  is  a  landlord,   i.e.,  he  is  not  cultivating  the  land  himself  and  has  let  it  out  to  a  

tenant15.   As   a   process   it   is   complex,   time   consuming   and   could   adversely   impact   land  

availability  for  housing  projects.  

 

To  augment  land  availability,  incremental  changes  to  the  existing  regulatory  framework  may  be  

in  order.  It  may  be  prudent  for  all  States  that  place  fetters  on  sale  of  agricultural  land  to  non-­‐

agriculturists,  to  adopt  a  more  expansive  version  of  the  ‘bona  fide  industrial  use’  exception  for  

such  areas  –  a  version  which   includes  affordable  housing  projects   for   industrial  workers  on  a  

stand-­‐alone   basis.   There   is   also   a   need   to   study   the   impact   of   the   restriction   on   sale   of  

agricultural   land   by   landlords   in   industrialising   areas,   in   order   to   ensure   that   the   benefits   of  

such  restriction  are  not  offset  by  the  ill  effects  on  land  availability  for  other  needs.    

 

Infrastructure  Facilities    

Rajiv   Awas   Yojana   (RAY)   is   a   program   instituted   by   the   Government   of   India   aimed   at   the  

creation  of  slum-­‐free  cities  and  States.  This  programme  includes  within   its  scope  not  only  the  

upgradation  of  existing  slums  but  also  the  prevention  of   the  growth  of  new  ones.   In  order  to  

achieve   this   objective,   RAY   recognises   the   need   to   engage   the   private   sector   in   creating  

affordable   housing   stock,   on   ownership   as   well   as   rental   basis,   with   the   provision   of   civic  

infrastructure  and  services16.  

 

The  Affordable  Housing  in  Partnership  program  (AHP),  a  pre-­‐existing  scheme  and  a  part  of  the  

Jawaharlal   Nehru   National   Urban   Renewal   Mission   initiative,   will   dovetail   into   this   RAY  

framework.   Under   AHP,   eligible   housing   projects   are   entitled   to   assistance   from   the  

15  Sec.  64,  Gujarat  Tenancy  and  Agricultural  Lands  Act,  1948.  16  Ministry  of  Housing  and  Urban  Poverty  Alleviation,  Rajiv  Awas  Yojana  –  Guidelines  for  Slum-­‐free  City  Planning,  available   at   http://mhupa.gov.in/w_new/RAYpercentper   cent20Guidelines-­‐percentper   cent20English.pdf   (Last  Visited  on  September  30,  2011).  

Government  of  India  to  the  extent  of  INR  50,000  per  dwelling  unit,  or  25  per  cent  of  the  cost  of  

all   civic   services   proposed   in   the   project,   whichever   amount   is   less.   This   assistance   covers   a  

range  of   civic   services   including  water   supply,   solid  waste  management,   sewerage   treatment  

facilities,  rain-­‐water  harvesting  and  electricity  lines17.  The  government  could  provide  impetus  to  

the   involvement   of   the   private   sector   in   slum   containment   and   redevelopment   by   extending  

this  subsidy  to  the  proposed  industrial  worker  housing  model.    

 

As  the  affordable  housing  projects  are  to  be  situated  in  proximity  to  industrial  complexes,  the  

likelihood  of  the  dwelling  units  being  used  by  the  intended  beneficiaries  is  significantly  higher.  

It   would,   therefore,   be   possible   for   the   government   to   better   target   its   funding   and   reduce  

leakages  of  the  subsidy  amount.    

 

A  Note  on  Rent  Control  In  addition  to  low  rental  yields,  archaic  rent  control  legislations  have  been  identified  as  a  cause  

for  inhibiting  the  growth  of  the  rental  market.  Over  the  years,  loosening  the  grip  of  regulation  

on   this   field  has  been   the   subject  matter  of   study  of   a  number  of   committees   set  up  by   the  

central  and  state  governments.18  

 

In   July  1992,   the  Government  of   India  proposed  a  Model  Rent  Control   Legislation   to  address  

some   of   the   lacunae   of   the   then   existing   rent   control   regime.   In   an   attempt   to   boost   rental  

stock   and   to   reverse   the   freeze  on   rents   that  had  occurred   in   a   few   states,   it   provided   for   a  

formula   for   regular  enhancement  of   rents.   It,  however,   continued   to  provide   limited  grounds  

for  eviction  of   tenants  and  continued   to   regulate   the   rent   that  could  be  charged   (Ministry  of  

Urban  Development,  1992).  

 

17   JNNURM   Mission   Directorate,   Guidelines   for   Affordable   Housing   in   Partnership,   available  athttp://mhupa.gov.in/w_new/AffordableHousing.pdf  (Last  Visited  on  September  30,  2011).  18   The   Report   of   the   Rent   Acts   Enquiry   Committee   published   by   the   Government   of  Maharashtra   in   1976,   the  Twelfth   Report   of   the   Maharashtra   State   Law   commission   published   in   1979,   the   Report   of   a   Study   by   the  Economic  Administration  Reforms  Commission  published  by  the  Government  of  India  in  1982  and  the  Sixth  Report  of  the  Uttar  Pradesh  State  Law  Commission,  2010  are  a  few  examples  of  such  efforts.  

Over   the   next   two   decades,   the   position   of   the   government   moved   towards   greater   de-­‐

regulation.  As  a  result,  the  Model  Residential  Tenancy  Act  proposed  by  the  Ministry  of  Housing  

and  Urban  Poverty  Alleviation  in  2011,  placed  great  emphasis  on  the  agreement  between  the  

landlord  and  tenant  in  order  to  determine  the  terms  of  the  lease.  It  dispensed  with  notions  of  

formulas  based  on  construction  costs  for  determination  of  the  appropriate  rent.  It  provided  for  

tenancies  of  fixed  term  which  would  give  landlords  more  control  over  their  property.  Further,  it  

provided   for   de-­‐requisitioning   of   rental   properties   commandeered   or   allotted   by   the  

government  under  previous  rent  control  laws  (MHUPA,  2011b).19  

 

While  there  has  been  a  move  from  ideas  of  strict  regulation  to  a  more  market  based  approach  

to  pricing  and  tenure,  rental  legislations  are  yet  to  catch  up  with  this  development.  According  

to  the  Jawaharlal  Nehru  National  Urban  Renewal  Mission  Monitoring  Formats,  produced  by  the  

Ministry  of  Urban  Development,  a  large  number  of  states  have  not  met  their  commitments  with  

respect  to  rental  reform,  as  of  31st  December,  2011  (Ministry  of  Urban  Development,  Web-­‐site  

Last   Visited   on   February   28,   2012).   Once   these   commitments   are  met,   there  will   be   greater  

scope  for  the  development  of  a  thriving  rental  market.  

   

19  While  the  Model  Residential  Tenancy  Act,  2011  makes  a  decisive  move  towards  de-­‐regulation,  it  does  contain  a  few  ambiguous  provisions.  For  instance,  Section  11  suggests  that  the  landlord  or  the  tenant  may  apply  to  the  rent  tribunal  for  fixation  or  revision  of  rent.  However,  it  is  not  clear  under  what  circumstances  such  an  application  may  be  made,  as  the  Act  also  states  that  the  rent  is  to  be  determined  by  agreement  between  the  parties.    Further,  the  Act  makes  it  compulsory  for  the  rental  agreement  to  be  in  writing  and  registered  or  notarized.  In  most  states,  a  written  agreement   is  not  mandated  for   leases  of   less  than  a  year.  Considering  that  an  attempt   is  being  made  to  cover  the  EWS/LIG  section,  such  a  requirement  may  place  the  poor  in  a  more  detrimental  situation  than  before.  Their  position  could  be  reduced  to  that  of  a  trespasser,  at  the  worst,  or  a  licensee  (instead  of  a  lessee),  as  their  oral  agreement  with  the  landlord  may  not  be  legally  valid.  

Conclusion:    

It  has  been  established  that  the  private  sector  cannot  provide  home-­‐ownership  to  households  

earning   less  than  INR  7,000.   If  one  leaves  aside  government  subsidy20,  the  private  sector  may  

only   be   able   to   play   housing   provider   to   households   in   the   EWS   category   through   a   rental  

model.  Rental  housing  would  also  provide   for   the  needs  of  migrants,  who  account   for  20  per  

cent   of   the   growth   of   Indian   cities.   The   dearth   of   affordable   formal   rental   and   poor   living  

conditions  associated  with  informal  rental  housing  present  a  huge  challenge  and  an  opportunity  

for   the   private   sector   to   offer   innovative   solutions.   We   have   proposed   two   private   rental  

models,   one  aimed  at   EWS  and   LIG  households,   and  a  dormitory  model,   both  of  which  offer  

attractive   returns   to   investors.   The   next   step   is   to   pilot   these   rental  models   in   order   to   test  

whether  they  are  operationally  viable.  This  will  be  done  using  ten  units  at  the  Rajkot  Pilot  Site.  

There  is  a  proposal  to  carry  on  a  pilot  rental  study  on  a  larger  scale  at  Vapi  in  Gujarat.  

 

 

While  the  model  is  viable  in  itself,  a  targeted  set  of  policy  interventions  could  further  lower  the  

cost   of   rental   housing   and   extend   its   accessibility   to   a   larger   group  of   beneficiaries.   In   areas  

witnessing   industrial   growth,  especially   those  areas  which  are  on   the  cusp  of   the  urban-­‐rural  

classification  divide,  restrictive  norms  on  the  use  and  sale  of  agricultural  land  present  a  serious  

obstacle  to  housing  initiatives.  Incremental  changes  to  the  existing  regulatory  framework  have  

been   proposed   in   this   report   in   order   to   address   this   issue.   In   addition   to   enhancing   land  

availability,   provisioning   for   infrastructural   facilities   in   peri-­‐urban   areas   is   also   a   significant  

challenge.   Innovative  programs  under  the  Rajiv  Awas  Yojana  and  the  strategic  use  of   land  re-­‐

adjustment  mechanisms,  through  town  planning  initiatives,  could  go  a  long  way  to  address  this  

concern.  

 

  20  Some  form  of  government  subsidy  may  indeed  be  necessary  if  one  is  to  address  the  entire  housing  shortfall  of  24.7  million.  However  given  the  potential   for  misappropriation  and  subsidy   induced  market  distortions,  we  have  steered   clear   of   solutions   involving   direct   subsidy,   except   in   the   case   of   infrastructure   provision.   The   argument  there  is  that  infrastructure  may  be  considered  a  public  good  given  its  non-­‐rival  and  non-­‐excludable  characteristics.