is birth weight associated with childhood lymphoma? a meta-analysis
TRANSCRIPT
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Is birth weight associated with childhood lymphoma?A meta-analysis
C. Papadopoulou, C.N. Antonopoulos, T.N. Sergentanis, P. Panagopoulou, M. Belechri and E.T. Petridou
Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Athens University Medical School, Athens, Greece
Several risk factors have been identified for childhood lymphomas. The purpose of this meta-analysis was to synthesize
current evidence regarding the association between birth weight with primarily the risk for non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL),
given its similarity to acute lymphoblastic leukemia, Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) and any category of lymphoma. Two cohort
(278,751 children) and seven case–control studies (2,660 cases and 69,274 controls) were included. Effects estimates
regarding NHL, HL and any lymphoma were appropriately pooled using fixed or random effects model in two separate
analyses: specifically, high was compared to normal or any birth weight. Similarly, low was compared to normal or any birth
weight. No statistically significant association was found between high birth weight, as compared to normal birth weight, and
risk for NHL plus Burkitt lymphoma (OR 5 1.17, 95% CI 5 0.76–1.80, random effects), HL (OR 5 0.94, 95% CI 5 0.64–1.38,
fixed effects) or any plus Burkitt lymphoma (OR 5 1.09, 95% CI 5 0.76–1.56, fixed effects). A null association emerged when
low was compared with normal birth weight for NHL plus Burkitt lymphoma (OR 5 1.07, 95% CI 5 0.71–1.62, random
effects), HL (OR 5 0.94, 95% CI 5 0.54–1.65, fixed effects) or any plus Burkitt lymphoma (OR 5 1.02, 95% CI 5 0.79–1.33,
fixed effects). Accordingly, no association was found when high or low birth weight was compared to any birth weight.
Although current evidence suggests no association, birth weight might be a too crude indicator to reveal a genuine
association of fetal growth with specific lymphoma categories; hence, there is an emerging need for use of more elaborate
proxies, at least those accounting for gestational week.
Hematological malignancies are the most common form ofchildhood cancer, accounting for almost 50% of all cancerdiagnoses.1 Genetic aberrations promoting proliferation, dif-ferentiation and apoptosis,2 Epstein-Barr virus infection,3–5
socioeconomic status,6 environmental stimuli,7,8 genetic pre-disposition9 and immunodeficiency disorders10,11 have beenrecognized as potential risk factors. Interestingly, our recentmeta-analysis has also pointed to maternal smoking as ameaningful risk factor for childhood lymphoma.12 To this
end, special interest has been devoted towards the identifica-tion of readily available markers of prenatal, intrauterineexposures that can identify infants at risk of childhoodmalignancies.13,14
Birth weight has been used as an easily applicable, directmeasure of intrauterine growth and has been linked toseveral childhood hematological malignancies.1,15–17 In partic-ular, the association of birth weight with childhood leukemiarisk has been extensively investigated during the last twodecades. In a recent meta-analysis, comprising 32 studies and16,501 cases of all leukemia types, a positive associationbetween high birth weight and acute lymphoblastic leukemia(ALL) has been reported as well as between low birth weightand acute myeloid leukemia (AML).18 Biologically plausiblemechanisms may include growth-promoting effects of insu-lin-like growth factors (IGFs) and the failure of apoptosis ofpreleukemic cells.19
Epidemiological studies focusing on the association ofbirth weight with childhood lymphomas have so far yieldedconflicting results.1,8,20–28 Small study sample size might bea reason for this discrepancy or the results might vary bycategory of lymphoma.
The aim of this meta-analysis was to synthesize currentevidence derived from case–control and cohort studiesregarding the association of birth weight with the risk ofchildhood lymphoma overall as well as by major category,i.e., primarily with non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL), whichshare similar characteristics with ALL, and Hodgkin lym-phoma (HL).
Key words: birth weight, childhood, lymphoma, malignancy, meta-
analysis
Abbreviations: ALL: acute lymphoblastic leukemia; AML: acute
myeloid leukemia; CI: confidence interval; HL: Hodgkin lymphoma;
IGF: insulin-like growth factor; IRR: incidence rate ratio;
NARECHEM: Nationwide Registry of Childhood Hematological
Malignancies; NHL: non-Hodgkin lymphoma; OR: odds ratio;
PRISMA: preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-
analyses; UKCCS: United Kingdom Childhood Cancer Study
Grant sponsor: National and Kapodistrian University of Athens
DOI: 10.1002/ijc.26001
History: Received 28 Nov 2010; Accepted 1 Feb 2011; Online 23
Feb 2011
Correspondence to: E.T. Petridou, Department of Hygiene,
Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Athens University Medical
School, 75 M. Asias Str. Goudi, Athens 11527, Greece,
Tel.: þ30-210-7462187, Fax: þ30-210-7462105, E-mail: epetrid@
med.uoa.gr
Epidemiology
Int. J. Cancer: 130, 179–189 (2012) VC 2011 UICC
International Journal of Cancer
IJC
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Material and MethodsData collection
The present meta-analysis was conducted in accordance withthe preferred reporting items for systematic reviews andmeta-analyses (PRISMA) guidelines.29 Following a combinedcomputerized and manual systematic database search of med-ical literature, the respective publications were retrieved fromelectronic search engines (Medline, Embase, Scopus, GoogleScholar, Ovid and the Cochrane Library). Reference lists werethereafter systematically searched for relevant articles.
Types of studies, search terms, eligibility
and exclusion criteria
Eligible studies included cohort and case–control studiesexamining the association between childhood lymphoma andbirth weight. MeSH terminology used for search purposeswere [‘‘childhood’’ (all fields) or ‘‘child’’ (all fields)] and[‘‘lymphoma’’ (all fields) or ‘‘cancer’’ (all fields) or ‘‘malig-nancy’’ (all fields)] and [‘‘birth’’ (all fields) or ‘‘perinatal’’ (allfields) or ‘‘weight’’ (all fields)]. All scientific papers publishedup to November 20, 2010 were examined and no restrictionof publication language was applied.
Excluded were studies that did not refer to childhood lym-phomas or studies that did not include exploration of theassociation between childhood lymphoma and birth weight.When multiple publications on the same study populationwere identified or study populations overlapped, only thestudy of larger size was included, unless the reported out-comes were mutually exclusive. Three reviewers (C.N.A.,T.N.S. and C.D.P.) independently extracted and analyzeddata; final decision was reached by consensus. Given thatadditional data were available from the Greek NationwideRegistry of Childhood Hematological Malignancies (NARE-CHEM) database, an ad hoc analysis was undertaken com-prising incident cases of childhood lymphoma diagnoseduntil December 2008 along with their age and gendermatched controls. The corresponding results were includedin the meta-analysis; information on the recruitment processof cases and controls as well as on the collection of informa-tion by NARECHEM have been described elsewhere.8 Fur-thermore, additional, unpublished data regarding USA onnormal and high birth weight have contributed22 and werealso taken into account in the current meta-analysis.
Data extraction
Data extracted from eligible articles included first author’sname, study year, region of origin, study design, follow-upperiod, age of participants, matching factors for controls andfactors taken into account during adjustment at the multivar-iate analysis, source of information for birth weight, defini-tion and categorization of birth weight, as well as category oflymphoma and comparison group with corresponding num-ber of cases and controls (NHL, HL and any). The corre-sponding authors were contacted if the required data were
not readily available in the published article and two out ofthem responded positively.22,30
Statistical analyses
Data synthesis and treatment effects. To assess the possibilityof an underlying U-shaped curve18 describing the associationbetween birth weight and risk for childhood lymphoma twodistinct sets of analyses were performed. First, low birthweight (defined as <2.5 kg) was compared to (i) normalbirth weight (2.5–4.0 kg or 2.5–3.5 kg depending on thestudy) and (ii) any birth weight (>2.5 kg). Similarly, highbirth weight (defined as �4 kg or �3.5 kg depending on thestudy) was compared to (i) normal birth weight and (ii) anybirth weight (<4 kg or <3.5 kg, depending on the study).
Three separate subanalyses were performed, according to theoutcome measures under investigation. In particular, the associ-ation between birth weight and risk for (i) NHL, (ii) HL and(iii) any category of lymphoma was tested. Concerning the sub-analyses on NHL and HL, data synthesis was rather straightfor-ward as it was based on the relevant data from the individualstudies. Regarding any category of lymphoma, however, weopted to maximize the number of individuals included, under-taking the following scenarios: (i) when the study reported onlyany category of lymphoma data, it was evidently included onlyat the ‘‘any category’’ analysis, (ii) when the study reporteddata as any category, NHL and HL, the any category analysisevidently encompassed only the any category data.
Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and incidence rate ratios(IRRs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs)were extracted as appropriate from each study for anycategory of lymphoma, NHL and HL. When the above infor-mation was not available, crude ORs and 95% CIs werecalculated on the basis of the respective 2 � 2 tables.
The fixed effects model or the random effects model wasused for pooling nonheterogeneous or heterogeneous data, asappropriate. An effect estimate >1 denoted increased risk forchildhood lymphoma. The Z test was applied for the overalleffect and the statistical significance level was set at p < 0.05.Data were graphically presented as forest plots.
Heterogeneity, publication bias and sensitivity analy-
sis. Heterogeneity among studies was estimated by chi-square test and Cochran Q score (reported as I2) with corre-sponding p-values and the level of significance was set at p ¼0.10. Publication bias was assessed by Egger’s regression(Egger’s intercept),31 Kendall’s rank correlation coefficient(Kendall’s tau),31 Harbord test for small-study effects appliedonly to binary outcome data32 and visual inspection of thefunnel plots. Sensitivity analysis was performed excludingstudies or study subgroups on Burkitt lymphoma, as their ep-idemiological profiles may vary.33 Pooling of individual stud-ies through fixed or random effects models, assessment ofheterogeneity, publication bias and sensitivity analyseswere performed using the comprehensive meta-analysis v2.2(Biostat, Englewood, NJ), whereas the Harbord test was
Epidemiology
180 Is birth weight associated with childhood lymphoma?
Int. J. Cancer: 130, 179–189 (2012) VC 2011 UICC
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performed using STATA v11.1 (StataCorp LP, College Sta-tion, TX).
ResultsAs shown in the flow diagram (Fig. 1), after extraction andreview of the abstracts, 15 articles1,8,16,20–28,30,34,35 were even-tually deemed relevant out of a total of 2,930 potentially
articles of interest; out of these, in the subsequent detailedevaluation, six articles were excluded.16,24–26,34,35 Specifically,the article by Schuz et al.35 had been conducted on an popu-lation overlapping with that of the larger earlier investigationconducted by the same research team21; similarly, one articleby Roman et al.16 was excluded due to its overlapping popu-lation with the larger eligible United Kingdom Childhood
Figure 1. Flow chart presenting the selection of eligible studies.
Epidemiology
Papadopoulou et al. 181
Int. J. Cancer: 130, 179–189 (2012) VC 2011 UICC
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Table
1.Includedstudiesch
aracteristics
First
author
(reference)
Year
Country
Study
design
Follow-up
period
Age
range
(years)
Matching
factors
Adjusting
factors
Sourceof
inform
ation
forbirth
weight
Birth
weight(g),
definition
Typeof
lymphoma
Cases
(n)
Control
(n)
Compariso
n
groups
Effect
estim
ate,
(OR,IRR)
with95%
CI
Petridou
etal.8
Updated
Greece
Case–
control
1996–
2008
0–14
Age,sex
Maternaleducation,
smokingduring
pregnancy,birth
order,
crowdingindex,
maternal
ageatbirth
Interview
withthe
guardians
ofch
ildren
Low
<2,500,
2,500�
norm
al<
4,000,
high�
4,000
NHL
166
166
Low
vs.norm
al
OR¼
0.77(0.33–1.78)
Low
vs.any
OR¼
0.75(0.32–1.74)
Highvs.norm
al
OR¼
2.73(1.10–6.80)
Highvs.any
OR¼
2.75(1.11–6.84)
HL
111
111
Low
vs.norm
al
OR¼
0.83(0.24–2.81)
Low
vs.any
OR¼
0.82(0.24–2.76)
Highvs.norm
al
OR¼
1.05(0.37–3.04)
Highvs.any
OR¼
1.08(0.38–3.07)
Any
277
277
Low
vs.norm
al
OR¼
0.82(0.42–1.60)
Low
vs.any
OR¼
0.79(0.41–1.54)
Highvs.norm
al
OR¼
1.94(1.01–3.75)
Highvs.any
OR¼
1.96(1.02–3.78)
Rangel
etal.20
2010
Brazil
Case–
control
1984–
2008
1–17
Age,
sex
None
Medical
records,
interview
with
themother,
validated
withbirth
certificate
Low
�2,500,
2,500<
norm
al<
4,000,
high�
4,000
NHL
131
1,575
Low
vs.norm
al
OR¼
0.73(0.38–1.38)*
Low
vs.any
OR¼
0.66(0.35–1.25)*
Highvs.norm
al
OR¼
1.68(0.91–3.10)*
Highvs.any
OR¼
1.99(1.08–3.69)*
Spector
etal.22
2009
USA
Case–
control
1980–
2004
0–14
Birth
year,
sex
Birth
order,
plurality,
maternalage,
maternalrace,
state,
gestationalage
Birth
records
Low
�2,500,
2,500<
norm
al<
4,000,
high�
4,000
NHL(plusBurkitt)
824
57,610
Low
vs.norm
al
OR¼
1.25(0.80–1.94)
Low
vs.any
OR¼
1.26(0.81–1.95)
Highvs.norm
al
OR¼
0.90(0.66–1.22)
Highvs.any
OR¼
0.89(0.66–1.21)
NHL(exclBurkitt)
592
Low
vs.norm
al
OR¼
1.67(1.03–2.70)
Low
vs.any
OR¼
1.68(1.04–2.73)
Highvs.norm
al
OR¼
0.88(0.61–1.27)
Highvs.any
OR¼
0.86(0.60–1.24)
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Table
1.Includedstudiesch
aracteristics(Continued)
First
author
(reference)
Year
Country
Study
design
Follow-up
period
Age
range
(years)
Matching
factors
Adjusting
factors
Sourceof
inform
ation
forbirth
weight
Birth
weight(g),
definition
Typeof
lymphoma
Cases
(n)
Control
(n)
Compariso
n
groups
Effect
estim
ate,
(OR,IRR)
with95%
CI
HL
474
Low
vs.norm
al
OR¼
1.23(0.58–2.60)
Low
vs.any
OR¼
1.24(0.58–2.62)
Highvs.norm
al
OR¼
0.92(0.56–1.52)
Highvs.any
OR¼
0.91(0.55–1.50)
Any(plusBurkitt)
1,298
Low
vs.norm
al
OR¼
1.20(0.85–1.70)
Low
vs.any
OR¼
1.22(0.86–1.71)
Highvs.norm
al
OR¼
0.88(0.69–1.12)
Highvs.any
OR¼
0.87(0.69–1.10)
Any(exclBurkitt)
1,066
Low
vs.norm
al
OR¼
1.39(0.97–2.00)
Low
vs.any
OR¼
1.41(0.98–2.03)
Highvs.norm
al
OR¼
0.87(0.66–1.13)
Highvs.any
OR¼
0.86(0.65–1.12)
Smithetal.1
2009
England,
Wales
Case–
control
1991–1996
<15
Sex,
month,
yearofbirth,
residence
Studyregion,
sexandage
atdiagnosis
Office
for
National
Statistics
Low
<2,500,
2,500�
norm
al�
4,000,
high>
4,000
NHL
220
6,337
Low
vs.norm
al
OR¼
0.77(0.41–1.44)
Low
vs.any
OR¼
0.78(0.42–1.44)*
Highvs.norm
al
OR¼
0.64(0.38–1.06)
Highvs.any
OR¼
0.71(0.43–1.17)*
HL
84
Low
vs.norm
al
OR¼
0.56(0.18–1.81)
Low
vs.any
OR¼
0.55(0.17–1.74)*
Highvs.norm
al
OR¼
0.94(0.46–1.91)
Highvs.any
OR¼
1.02(0.51–2.04)*
Any
315
Low
vs.norm
al
OR¼
0.75(0.44–1.28)
Low
vs.any
OR¼
0.74(0.44–1.25)*
Highvs.norm
al
OR¼
0.84(0.57–1.24)
Highvs.any
OR¼
0.93(0.63–1.35)*
Johnso
netal.30
2007
USA
Cohort
1959–1966
0–8
None
None
Collaborative
Perinatal
Project
Low
�2,500,
2,500<
norm
al�
4,000,
high>
4,000
Any
549,503
Low
vs.norm
al
OR¼
0.74(0.04–13.35)*
Low
vs.any
OR¼
0.78(0.04–14.16)*
Highvs.norm
al
OR¼
1.50(0.08–27.11)*
Highvs.any
OR¼
1.68(0.09–30.45)*
Leeetal.28
2004
Singapore
Cohort
1992–1998
0–5
None
Gender,
gestational
age,
birth
order,
maternalage
Singapore
National
Registryof
Birthsand
Deaths
Low
<2,500,
2,500�
norm
al�
3,500,
high>
3,500
NHL(Burkittonly)
NA
229,248
Highvs.norm
al
IRR¼
10.5
(1.1–102.6)
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Table
1.Includedstudiesch
aracteristics(Continued)
First
author
(reference)
Year
Country
Study
design
Follow-up
period
Age
range
(years)
Matching
factors
Adjusting
factors
Sourceof
inform
ation
forbirth
weight
Birth
weight(g),
definition
Typeof
lymphoma
Cases
(n)
Control
(n)
Compariso
n
groups
Effect
estim
ate,
(OR,IRR)
with95%
CI
McKinneyetal.27
1999
Scotland
Case–
control
1991–1994
0–14
Age,sex,
residence
None
Medical
neonatal
records
recordedby
twotrained
abstractors
Low
<2,500,
2,500�
norm
al<
3,500,
high�
3,500
Any
44
82
Low
vs.norm
al
OR¼
2.03(0.42–9.75)
Low
vs.any
OR¼
1.95(0.46–8.21)*
Highvs.norm
al
OR¼
0.99(0.43–2.28)
Highvs.any
OR¼
0.88(0.42–1.84)*
Sch
uzetal.21
1999
Germ
any
Case–
control
1992–1997
<15
Age,sex,
district
Socioeconomic
status
Mailed
questionnaires
andtelephone
interview
Low
<2,500,
2,500�
norm
al�
4,000,
high>
4,000
NHL
230
2577
Low
vs.norm
al
OR¼
2.30(1.20–4.30)
Low
vs.any
OR¼
1.90(1.06–3.40)*
Highvs.norm
al
OR¼
0.90(0.50–1.40)
Highvs.any
OR¼
0.90(0.58–1.42)*
Yeazeletal.23
1997
USA,
Canada,
Australia
Case–
control
1982–1989
<18
Age,sex,
residence
Maternalage
atbirth,birth
order,
gestationalage
Mailed
questionnaires
High>
4,000
NHL
190
816
Highvs.any
OR¼
1.50(1.00–2.40)
Any�
4,000
HL
175
Highvs.any
OR¼
0.80(0.50–1.50)
Effect
estim
atesmarkedwithasterisk
(*)representcrudeoddsratios.
Abbreviations:
NHL:
non-Hodgkin
Lymphoma;HL:
Hodgkin
lymphoma;OR:oddsratio;IRR:incidence
rate
ratio;CI:confidence
interval.
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Table
2.Resu
ltsofmeta-analyses:
Pooledeffect
estim
ates,
assessmentofheterogeneityandpublicationbiasforNHL,
HLandanylymphomaamongcompariso
ngroupsofbirth
weight
Publicationbias
Compariso
ngroups
Numberof
studies
Pooledeffect
estim
ate,
OR(95%
CIs),analysismethod
Heterogeneity
I2,pvalue
Egger’sregression
interceptb,pvalue
Kendal’stau,
pvalue
Low
vs.any
NHL(plusBurkitt)
5OR¼
1.03(0.70–1.51),random
effects
I2¼
51.27,p¼
0.08
b¼
�3.21,p¼
0.38
tau¼
�0.30,p¼
0.46
NHL(exclBurkitt)
5OR¼
1.09(0.70–1.70),random
effects
I2¼
62.63,p¼
0.03
b¼
�5.74,p¼
0.21
tau¼
�0.30,p¼
0.46
HL
3OR¼
0.94(0.54–1.64),fixedeffects
I2¼
0.00%,p¼
0.49
b¼
�2.72,p¼
0.32
tau¼
0.00,p¼
0.99
Anylymphoma(plusBurkitt)
5OR¼
1.03(0.79–1.33),fixedeffects
I2¼
0.00%,p¼
0.43
b¼
�0.21,p¼
0.84
tau¼
0.00,p¼
0.99
Anylymphoma(exclBurkitt)
5OR¼
1.10(0.84–1.43),fixedeffects
I2¼
28.09%,p¼
0.23
b¼
�0.38,p¼
0.77
tau¼
0.00,p¼
0.99
Low
vs.norm
al
NHL(plusBurkitt)
5OR¼
1.07(0.71–1.62),random
effects
I2¼
55.56,p¼
0.06
b¼
�2.02,p¼
0.61
tau¼
�0.10,p¼
0.81
NHL(exclBurkitt)
5OR¼
1.14(0.71–1.83),random
effects
I2¼
64.13%,p¼
0.03
b¼
�4.40,p¼
0.38
tau¼
�0.10,p¼
0.81
HL
3OR¼
0.94(0.54–1.65),fixedeffects
I2¼
0.00%,p¼
0.52
b¼
�2.56,p¼
0.33
tau¼
0.00,p¼
0.99
Anylymphoma(plusBurkitt)
5OR¼
1.02(0.79–1.33),fixedeffects
I2¼
0.00%,p¼
0.51
b¼
�0.17,p¼
0.86
tau¼
0.00,p¼
0.99
Anylymphoma(exclBurkitt)
5OR¼
1.10(0.84–1.44),fixedeffects
I2¼
19.69%,p¼
0.29
b¼
�0.36,p¼
0.76
tau¼
0.00,p¼
0.99
Highvs.any
NHL(plusBurkitt)
6OR¼
1.18(0.84–1.67),random
effects
I2¼
66.35,p¼
0.01
b¼
3.42,p¼
0.15
tau¼
0.40,p¼
0.26
NHL(exclBurkitt)
6OR¼
1.18(0.83–1.69),random
effects
I2¼
66.23%,p¼
0.01
b¼
4.18,p¼
0.14
tau¼
0.40,p¼
0.26
HL
4OR¼
0.92(0.66–1.24),fixedeffects
I2¼
0.00%,p¼
0.94
b¼
0.88,p¼
0.31
tau¼
0.17,p¼
0.73
Anylymphoma(plusBurkitt)
5OR¼
0.95(0.79–1.14),fixedeffects
I2¼
25.75%,p¼
0.25
b¼
1.05,p¼
0.33
tau¼
0.30,p¼
0.46
Anylymphoma(exclBurkitt)
5OR¼
0.95(0.78–1.17),fixedeffects
I2¼
25.60%,p¼
0.25
b¼
1.08,p¼
0.35
tau¼
0.30,p¼
0.46
Highvs.norm
al
NHL(plusBurkitt)
6OR¼
1.17(0.76–1.80),random
effects
I2¼
66.74%,p¼
0.01
b¼
2.66,p¼
0.08
tau¼
0.67,p¼
0.06
NHL(exclBurkitt)
5OR¼
1.07(0.72–1.60),random
effects
I2¼
63.22,p¼
0.03
b¼
3.96,p¼
0.16
tau¼
0.70,p¼
0.09
HL
3OR¼
0.94(0.64–1.38),fixedeffects
I2¼
0.00%,p¼
0.97
b¼
0.44,p¼
0.19
tau¼
0.67,p¼
0.30
Anylymphoma(plusBurkitt)
6OR¼
1.09(0.76–1.56),fixedeffects
I2¼
48.51%,p¼
0.08
b¼
1.47,p¼
0.12
tau¼
0.40,p¼
0.26
Anylymphoma(exclBurkitt)
5OR¼
0.94(0.77–1.15),fixedeffects
I2¼
26.14%,p¼
0.25
b¼
0.05,p¼
0.35
tau¼
0.50,p¼
0.22
Abbreviations:
NHL:
non-Hodgkin
lymphoma;HL:
Hodgkin
lymphoma;OR:oddsratio;CI:confidence
interval.
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Cancer Study (UKCCS) by Smith et al.1; lastly, the earlierNARECHEM article26 was excluded due to overlap with thelatest data presented herein. Three articles were thereafterexcluded for reporting reasons, namely, the article by Milneet al.,25 because the proportion of optimal birth weight wastreated as a continuous variable; the article by McKinney etal.,24 because it provided only mean birth weight values forcases and controls; a second article by Roman et al.,34 as itdid not make the distinction between children and youngadults when reporting the results. Results from one of the eli-gible article8 were also appropriately replaced by the updatedNARECHEM data of the same investigating group. Eventu-ally, the 9 published articles corresponded to 13 individualstudies, as more than one studies (NHL, HL or any lym-phoma) have been presented per article. More specifically,among the eligible studies, data were abstracted for NHLfrom seven studies1,8,20–23,28 for HL from four studies,1,8,22,23
whereas two studies27,30 did not make the distinction betweenNHL and HL, presenting only the any category of lymphomadata.
Characteristics of eligible studies
Among the nine eligible articles, eight were published as orig-inal articles1,8,20–23,27,30 whereas one was published as a Letterto the Editor.28 Seven articles used a case–control design(2,660 cases and 69,274 controls)1,8,20–23,27 and two a cohortdesign (278,751 children).28,30 The follow-up period, regionof origin, age range, matching and adjusting factors, sourceof information for birth weight, definition of birth weightcategories and numbers of cases and controls, as well aseffect estimates are shown in Table 1.
Meta-analyses
Low birth weight and risk of childhood lymphoma. The asso-ciation between low birth weight and the risk for childhood
lymphoma was not statistically significant, as shown in theanalysis pertaining to the <2.5 kg vs. �2.5 kg comparison(low vs. any) (Table 2), which allowed inclusion of the maxi-mum number of studies.1,8,20–22,27,30 In particular, the pooledORs were as follows: at the analysis on NHL (plus Burkittlymphoma), OR ¼ 1.03, 95% CI ¼ 0.70–1.51, random effectsmodel, I2 ¼ 51.27%, p for heterogeneity ¼ 0.08; in the analy-sis on HL, OR ¼ 0.94, 95% CI ¼ 0.54–1.64, fixed effectsmodel, I2 ¼ 0.0%, p for heterogeneity ¼ 0.49 and in the‘‘any’’ plus Burkitt lymphoma analysis, OR ¼ 1.03, 95% CI ¼0.79–1.33, fixed effects model, I2 ¼ 0.0%, p for heterogeneity¼ 0.43.
The analysis on the subset of studies1,8,20,21,27,30 allowingthe direct comparison between low and normal birth weight(low vs. normal) (Table 2) confirmed the findings presentedabove. In particular, the pooled ORs were as follows: in theanalysis on NHL (plus Burkitt lymphoma), OR ¼ 1.07, 95%CI ¼ 0.71–1.62, random effects model, I2 ¼ 55.56%, p forheterogeneity ¼ 0.06, Figure 2; in the analysis on HL, OR ¼0.94, 95% CI ¼ 0.54–1.65, fixed effects model, I2 ¼ 0.0%, pfor heterogeneity ¼ 0.52, Figure 3 and in the ‘‘any’’ plus Bur-kitt lymphoma analysis, OR ¼ 1.02, 95% CI ¼ 0.79–1.33,fixed effects model, I2 ¼ 0.0%, p for heterogeneity ¼ 0.51.
The results remained practically unchanged in the sensi-tivity analysis of both low vs. any and low vs. normal birthweight excluding the study arm encompassing Burkitt lym-phoma.22 Publication bias was not significant in the NHL,HL or ‘‘any lymphoma’’ analysis.
High birth weight and risk of childhood lymphoma. Theassociation between high birth weight and the risk for child-hood lymphoma was also not statistically significant, asshown in the analysis based on the �4 kg versus <4 kg com-parison (high vs. any) (Table 2), which allowed inclusion of
Figure 2. Forest plot presenting the meta-analysis based on ORs for the association between low vs. normal birth weight and risk for
childhood NHL. ORs in the individual studies are presented as squares with 95% CIs presented as extending lines. The pooled OR with its
95% CI is depicted as a diamond.
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the maximum number of studies.1,8,20–23,27,30 In particular,the pooled ORs were as follows: in the analysis on NHL(plus Burkitt lymphoma), OR ¼ 1.18, 95% CI ¼ 0.84–1.67,random effects model, I2 ¼ 66.35%, p for heterogeneity ¼0.01; in the analysis on HL, OR ¼ 0.92, 95% CI ¼ 0.66–1.24,fixed effects model, I2 ¼ 0.0%, p for heterogeneity ¼ 0.94and in the ‘‘any’’ plus Burkitt lymphoma analysis, OR ¼0.95, 95% CI ¼ 0.79–1.14, fixed effects model, I2 ¼ 25.75%, pfor heterogeneity ¼ 0.25.
The analysis on the subset of studies1,8,20–23,27 allowingthe direct comparison between high and normal birth weight(high vs. normal) (Table 2) confirmed the findings presentedabove. In particular, the pooled ORs were as follows: in the
analysis on NHL (plus Burkitt lymphoma), OR ¼ 1.17, 95%CI ¼ 0.76–1.80, random effects model, I2 ¼ 66.74%, pfor heterogeneity ¼ 0.01, Figure 4; in the analysis on HL,OR ¼ 0.94, 95% CI ¼ 0.64–1.38, fixed effects model, I2 ¼0.0%, p for heterogeneity ¼ 0.97 and in the ‘‘any’’ plusBurkitt lymphoma analysis, OR ¼ 1.09, 95% CI ¼ 0.76–1.56, fixed effects model, I2 ¼ 48.51%, p for heterogeneity ¼0.08.
The results remained practically unchanged in the sensi-tivity analysis of both high vs. any and high vs. normal birthweight excluding the study arm encompassing Burkitt lym-phoma.28 Once more, publication bias was not significant inthe NHL, HL or any lymphoma analysis.
Figure 3. Forest plot presenting the meta-analysis based on ORs for the association between low vs. normal birth weight and risk for
childhood HL. ORs in the individual studies are presented as squares with 95% CIs presented as extending lines. The pooled OR with its
95% CI is depicted as a diamond.
Figure 4. Forest plot presenting the meta-analysis based on ORs for the association between high vs. normal birth weight and risk for
childhood NHL. ORs in the individual studies are presented as squares with 95% CIs presented as extending lines. The pooled OR with its
95% CI is depicted as a diamond.
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DiscussionThe present meta-analysis demonstrated no evidence of astatistically significantly increased risk for NHL among chil-dren born with high vs. normal birth weight (OR ¼ 1.17),despite our prior hypothesis. The associations of NHL werepractically null regarding children with low vs. normal birthweight (OR ¼ 1.07) and likewise of HL for either high orlow birth weights (OR ¼ 0.94, for both high vs. normal andlow vs. normal birth weight comparisons) and subsequentlyany lymphoma (OR ¼ 1.09 and OR ¼ 1.02, for high and lowvs. normal birth weight, respectively). Among the articlesincluded in the meta-analysis, three studies reported statisti-cally significant positive associations between NHL and highbirth weight,20,23,28 while one supported a link between NHLand low birth weight.21 This was in stark contrast with theobserved associations of birth weight with HL, as no statisti-cal association had emerged with this lymphoma category inany individual study.1,8,23
Inconsistencies were also noted among studies reportingon birth weight in relation to childhood leukemia until arecent meta-analysis demonstrated a positive and statisti-cally significant association.18 Childhood lymphoma andleukemia share common morphological and immunopheno-typical characteristics. In particular, because mature cell leu-kemia is very rare in children, most similarities have beenreported between precursor-cell ALL and precursor-cell(lymphoblastic) NHL, which represents up to 30% of allchildhood lymphomas. The lymphoblasts in T-ALL/lympho-blastic lymphoma (LBL) are similar to precursor B lympho-blasts, of medium size with a high nuclear cytoplasmic ra-tio, TdT positive and variably express of CD1a, CD2, CD3,CD4, CD5, CD7 and CD8. The clinical presentation andcytogenetic characteristics are largely similar for T-ALL andT-LBL supporting the concept that both may represent aspectrum of one single disease. Despite commonalities inmorphological and immunophenotypical characteristics2,36
of the two disease entities, reasons for the discrepancybetween the findings of the respective meta-analyses mayencompass a physiological component, which remains elu-sive for the time being. Alternatively, it might be that birthweight is inherently too crude a proxy of intrauterinegrowth to also reveal an association with NHL, whichmight be of less size compared to that with ALL. Addition-ally, leukemia is by far more prevalent than childhood lym-phoma and the studies to be meta-analyzed were lessnumerous. Therefore, there was less statistical power in thepresent meta-analysis compared to the respective for leuke-mia, the latter including nearly an eightfold larger poolthan ours. Issues related to the validity of lymphoma cate-gorization implemented in this meta-analysis are also aconcern, as the well-established categories of NHL andHL37 include a spectrum of diverse histological subtypeswith variable for example epidemiological profiles in chil-dren compared to adults. Worthy of note, due to lack of
data in the constituent articles, we were unable to proceedwith subtype-specific summary estimates.
Birth weight is actually a multicomponent mixture model,depending on the gestational age and fetal growth velocity;hence, examination of each constituent is necessary to yieldmore elaborate information regarding its association withlymphomas and NHL, in particular. To this direction, Milneet al.25 used three neonatal and anthropometrical indices asproxy measures of intrauterine growth; proportion of optimalbirth weight, birth length and weight for length. The resultswere promising, suggesting that accelerated intrauterinegrowth may be more important than birth weight per se.Interestingly, the risk of HL was found higher—among girlsonly—primarily with greater skeletal growth but also withsomewhat more soft tissue at birth than expected, while therisk of HL was associated with higher than expected birthweight, birth length, and birth weight for length, particularlyin boys.
This meta-analysis succinctly combined several categoricalbirth weight variables such as 3.5 kg27,28 or 4.0 kg1,8,20,21,23,30
for all lymphomas categories (NHL, HL and any). Despitethe apparently heterogeneous categorization in the individualstudies, statistically significant heterogeneity did not seem tomaterially impact on the validity of the analysis, which wasobserved only in the NHL subanalysis and thereafter appro-priately treated. Noticeably, not all studies have been adjustedfor a potential confounders. Five studies1,8,21,23,28 adjusted forsocioeconomic status, birth order and maternal age, but onlythree studies22,23,28 gestational age, another two20,21 formaternal smoking, an established risk factor for low birthweight and none for genetic confounders. Publication biasseemed minimal, whereas it is unlikely that recall bias playeda significant role, as the individual studies included werebased on registries or medical records, except for three whichwere based on interviews.8,21,23 On the contrary, the smallnumber of studies (three to five) in each lymphoma subcate-gory, is among the inherent limitations of the meta-analysis,as it depends on individual studies currently available.
In conclusion, this meta-analysis points to a non statisti-cally significant positive association of high birth weightwith childhood NHL and null associations in the otherbirth weight groups and disease categories examined. Giventhe rarity of the disease, the paucity of publications andthe inherent limitations of birth weight in assessing fetalgrowth and velocity, there is an emerging need for use ofmore elaborate proxies, at least those accounting for gesta-tional week.
AcknowledgementsThe authors acknowledge the contributions of Drs. Logan G. Spector, SusanA. Carozza, Colleen McLaughlin, Beth A. Mueller and Peggy Reynolds forcontributing crude and adjusted odds ratios included in the meta-analysis,as derived from their data and Dr. Kara J. Johnson for providing additionaldata.
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