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Policy 2.0 : a reality check David Osimo, IPP2014

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Page 1: Ipp2014

Policy 2.0 : a reality check

David Osimo, IPP2014

Page 2: Ipp2014

Today’s talk

• Theory of policy 2.0• Examples I took part in• Lessons learnt from experience• Open questions and on-going work: policy 2.0

evaluation

Page 3: Ipp2014

The emergence of policy 2.020082005 2011+

Web 2.0

• Data is the intel inside

• User as a producer• Many to many• Usability• Permanent beta

Gov 2.0

• Politics (e.g. Obama, mySociety)

• Public services (e.g. Fixmystreet, Appsfordemocracy)

Policy 2.0

• Policy-making:• US “Policy

Informatics Network”

• EU“ICT for governance” funding

• Open Policy work by UK cabinet

• CROSSOVER roadmap

E-rulemaking

E-democracy

E-deliberation

Page 4: Ipp2014

What is Policy 2.0

TOOLS• Open data• Social networks and

crowdsourcing• Visualisation• Big data simulation• Serious gaming

VALUES• Open up to external contributions

earlier in the process• Enable peer-to-peer collaboration

between participants• Design for unexpected

questions/contributions (Raw data, open questions)

• Be very clear and usable when you ask for help

• Account for real humans not simplified abstract entities

Page 5: Ipp2014

Design

Implement

Evaluate

Set agenda

Brainstorming solutions

Drafting proposals Revising

proposals

Induce behavioural change

Collaborative action

Ensure Buy-in

Monitor executionCollect

feedback

Identify problems

Collect evidence

Set priorities

Analyze data

Uservoice, ideascale

EtherpadCo-ment.com

Social networks

Persuasive technologies

Challenge.gov

Open data

Participatry sensing

Open Data visualization

Evidencechallenge.com

Collaborative

visualization

Open discussion

Policy cycle

Simulate impact of options

Model and simulation

DECISION

Source: CROSSOVER roadmap

Page 6: Ipp2014

Design

Implement

Evaluate

Set agenda

Brainstorming solutions

Drafting proposals Revising

proposals

Induce behavioural change

Collaborative action

Ensure Buy-in

Monitor executionCollect

feedback

Identify problems

Collect evidence

Set priorities

Analyze data

Ideamocracy.itOpenIdeo

CommentNeelie.eu

INCA awards

Daeimplementation.eu

Digital Agenda

Mid Term review

Open Declaration on

EU public services

Policy cycle

Simulate impact of options

DECISION

Kublai evaluation

Linkedpolicies.eu

Pledge Tracker

Page 7: Ipp2014

Lessons learnt

Source: UNDP – Open Evidence

Page 8: Ipp2014

It’s not about “total citizens”• DAE Mid Term Review: More insightful than

representative

Page 9: Ipp2014

It’s doesn’t have to be totally open to the crowd

Open Declaration on European Public Services

Open to all

Digital Agenda Mid Term review Open to all, 2000 comments received, 1500 participants

Pledge Tracker Only to those organisations committing to the Grand Coalition for Digital Jobs

OpenIdeo Members of the OpenIdeo communityDaeimplementation Collaborative platform for EU MS

representativeYoung Advisors to VP Neelie Kroes Appointed Young Advisors

Need for restricted online spaces

Page 10: Ipp2014

Not all the time open

Fuente: http://ebiinterfaces.wordpress.com/2010/11/29/ux-people-autumn-2010-talks/

Open brainstorming

Small groups drafting

Open commenting

Small group re-drafting

Open endorsement

EU Open Declaration:

Page 11: Ipp2014

A reality check: policy-making 2.0 still more promising than impactful

• 2050 PATHWAYS : high usage (16K pathways created, 200 stakeholders involved in the building phase). Higher awareness by citizens. Output used by govt to back up the Carbon Strategy.

• GLEAM: adopted by mainstream gov’t agency to anticipate disease spread through transportation. Adopted also for educational purposes

• OPINION SPACE 3.0: significant participation (5K individuals) , endorsement at top level (Secretary of State Clinton)

• URBANSIM: High usage by US local gov’tLack of systematic robust evaluation of different policy-methods.

Initial evidence points to the potential impact, but very far from counterfactual / RCT approach available to date.

Page 12: Ipp2014

Open questions

– Does Policy 2.0 favour the participation of people beyond the “usual suspects”? Is it only for the elite?

– Does it bring new relevant ideas useful for policy-making?

– Does it actually lead to better policies?

Page 13: Ipp2014

Ongoing work: an evaluation framework

Source: UNDP – Open Evidence

Page 14: Ipp2014

Value for money

Cost per comment (EUR)

Page 15: Ipp2014

15

There’s elite and elite: who benefits?

Usual suspects No problem

Not interested/interesting

Missed opportunity

Low quality of ideas High quality of ideas

Don’t participate in policy debate

Participate in policy debate

Source: adapted from Kublai evaluation

Page 16: Ipp2014

Application of logical framework to EU Community project

Before joining Kublai... Significant correlation between experience and benefit received

ExperienceY N

Bene

fit

Page 17: Ipp2014

Remember the debate on universal right to vote

• Perversity: it will reinforce the power of the elites• Futility: people won’t participate anyway• Jeopardy: it will lead to a rise in populism

• BUT: participation has educational effects, as the worker through political discussion opens his mind beyond the limitations of the factory, understands the relation between personal interests and faraway events, and becomes member of the community

Hirschmann, The Rethorics of Reaction

Locke quoted in Bobbio, The Future of Democracy

Page 18: Ipp2014

Summing up

• Policy 2.0 (or whatever we call it) is richer and more complex than crowdsourcing

• It is a growing and promising trend in research and practice

• There are open questions regarding its impact that deserve thorough scrutiny

• Yet we should always remember that public involvement in policy-making is a goal in itself and it should not be justified by evidence, but by values

Page 19: Ipp2014

Thanks

[email protected]• Egov20.wordpress.com • @osimod