ipaa │2009 private capital conference

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ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference Surviving and Prospering In Uncertain Times January 14, 2009

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ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference. Surviving and Prospering In Uncertain Times January 14, 2009. Overview of ESS Funds Group. Energy Special Situations Funds est. late 2005 Two institutional funds - $340+ million Pursue middle-market, energy opportunities 13 investments since inception - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

Surviving and ProsperingIn Uncertain Times

January 14, 2009

Page 2: ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

Overview of ESS Funds Group

• Energy Special Situations Funds est. late 2005• Two institutional funds - $340+ million• Pursue middle-market, energy opportunities• 13 investments since inception• $150+ million uncommitted capital• Fund managers:

Jon Linker, Jeff Hewitt, Tim Sullivant

Page 3: ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

ESSF Strategy

• Invest in companies/projects - all energy sectors – Seek growth and value creation

• Sole manage small investments ($5 - $40 mm)• Partner large deals ($30 - $150 mm); 5 co’s.• Management track record and co-invest are key• Structure, incentives create common objectives• Equity-oriented - all financial structures possible

Page 4: ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

Our E&P Portfolio• 10 entities with 8 management groups• Highly-focused niche strategies

Page 5: ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

What Will 2009 Bring?

“Every new beginning starts from some other beginning’s end …”

Dan Wilson, Semisonic

Page 6: ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

Past 3 Cycles Lasted 4-6 YearsNormalized OSX Index with Peak = 100

• Peak-to-Trough value increase: 3x–4x

• Trough-to-Trough value increase +35-70%

• Peaks occurred at different points in cycle

• Public / Private values not always correlated

Note: SLB stock price used for OSX proxy prior to March 97.

Page 7: ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

History Indicates Bottom May Be Near• Past bottoms formed after 6 months of rationalization

Page 8: ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

Key E&P Challenges This Year

• Low commodity prices = uneconomic projects• Live within internal cash flow (up to 75% less)

– Banks cautious about new lending, for now– Equity availability limited

• Pressure to reduce balance sheet leverage• Questions to consider

– What projects do we pursue?– When will demand and prices rebound?– How do we plan for the future?

Page 9: ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

Where is Oil’s New Price Level?

Page 10: ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

What Will Establish the Gas Price?

Page 11: ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

Volatility is the Only Certainty

Page 12: ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

Looking to the Future

Focus on Long-Term Value Creation

Accumulate low-risk producing assets

Build portfolio of future growth opportunities

Prudently use leverage (leverage kills)

Create sustainable corporate entity

BackTo

Basics

Page 13: ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

Looking to the Future

Minimize Operating Costs

Diligently pursue cost reductions in all areas

Ensure short-term viability Retain long-term upside

Position company for future margin expansion

Valuation multiplier benefits

BackTo

Basics

Focus on Long-Term

Value Creation

Page 14: ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

Impact of Pricing, Fixed Costs• Small price moves enormously impact cash flow

                     

          2008     2009    

  Gas                  

  Price                  

  $ 9           33% Decline    

      PUD 2P &       In Gas Price    

  $ 8   Cash 3P       Provides    

      Flow CF   Total   ~65% Decline    

  $ 7 Proved     Cash Flow   In Cash Flow Gas  

    Producing             Price  

  $ 6 Cash             $ 6  

    Flow   All       Proved    

  $ 5     Costs       Producing $ 5  

                Cash Flow    

  $ 4   Capital           $ 4  

      and     Total Capital and        

  $ 3   Operating     Operating Costs     $ 3  

    Operating Costs              

  $ 2 Costs           Operating $ 2  

                Costs    

  $ 1               $ 1  

                     

                     

Page 15: ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

Looking to the Future

Adjust to Higher Capital Costs

Private equity targeting 25%+ return opportunities

Mezzanine funds availability shrinkingcapital cost rising

Fewer bank credit options higher spreadstighter terms

Maximize available capital

BackTo

Basics

Focus on Long-Term

Value Creation

MinimizeOperating

Costs

Page 16: ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

Looking to the Future

Eliminate Downside Risk

Entering a new risk-reward paradigm

Avoid high risk activities exploration blanket leasing

Use conservative financial structures, hedging

BackTo

Basics

Focus on Long-Term

Value Creation

MinimizeOperating

Costs

Adjust toHigherCapital Costs

Page 17: ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

Our Keys to Success

BackTo

Basics

Focus on Long-Term

Value Creation

MinimizeOperating

Costs

Adjust to HigherCapital Costs

EliminateDownside

Risk

We may be returning to conditions similar to those experienced in the 1990’s

Page 18: ipaa │2009 Private Capital Conference

www.essfunds.com