investor presentation 3q18 · thai wah market share source : the company and the thai tapioca trade...
TRANSCRIPT
“TO BE A REGIONAL LEADER IN STARCH & STARCH-RELATED FOOD PRODUCTS”
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 3Q18
Private for Investor Forum 1
DISCLAIMERS
This information is given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. Information is this presentation, including forecast financial information, should
not be considered as advice or a recommendation to investors or potential investors in relation to holding, purchasing or selling securities or other financial
products or instruments and does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs.
Before acting on any information you should consider the appropriateness of the information having regard to these matters, any relevant offer document and in
particular, you should seek independent financial advice. All securities and financial product or instrument transactions involve risks, which include (among others)
the risk of adverse or unanticipated market, financial or political developments and, in international transaction, currency risk.
This presentation may contain forward looking statements including statements regarding our intent, belief or current expectations with respect to TWPC’s
businesses and operations, market conditions, results of operation and financial condition, capital adequacy, specific provisions and risk management practices.
Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, TWPC does not undertake any obligation to publicly release the result of
any revisions to these forward looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
While due care has been used in the preparation of forecast information, actual results may vary in a materially positive or negative manner. Forecasts and
hypothetical examples are subject to uncertainty and contingencies outside TWPC’s control. Past performance is not a reliable of future performance.
This Presentation is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly to any other
person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. No part of this presentation may be reproduced or taken or transmitted. The distribution of this
presentation in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and persons into whose possession this presentation comes should inform themselves about, and such
restrictions. By accepting this presentation you agree to be bound by the foregoing restrictions.
“ DISCLAIMERS : THIS REPORT HAS BEEN PREPARED BY THAI WAH PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (TWPC) PRELIMINARILY
AS A PROPOSAL FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY ”
Private for Investor Forum
Company Overview
2
AGENDA
Business Highlights
Starch Business & Food Business
Financial Performance
Appendix
Going Forward & Opportunities
Business Highlight
Private for Investor Forum 4
BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS IN 9M18
• Strong Revenue Growth for “Food Business”, +7% YoY, Rice noodle +36% YoY
• Commenced 1st Thai Wah Bio Power Plant at Udonthani
• Commenced Tapioca Chip trading at Thai Wah Cambodia & Vermicelli Noodle at Thai Wah Vietnam
• Challenging Raw Material Supply in 9M18
Private for Investor Forum 5
COMMITTED TO EXCELLENCE: OUR 2018 ACHIEVEMENT
Business Overview
Private for Investor Forum 7
SYMBOL
SECTOR / INDUSTRY
TWPC
Agribusiness / Agro & Food Industry
NAME Thai Wah Public Company Limited
MARKET Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET)
COMMON STOCK
LISTED DATE
880,420,930 shares (Par THB 1.00)
5th October 2015
PAID-UP CAPITAL THB 880.42 million
DIVIDEND POLICY Increase in absolute dividend payout
Institution - Thai7.5% Institution -
Foreigner8.9%
Retail - Thai19.8%
Retail -Foreigner
6.7%
Ho Family40.4%
LRH10.1%
Thai NVDR6.7%
Shareholder structure**
** Data as of 30 Sep 2018
Free float 46%**Market Cap : around 7,440 MB**
COMPANY FACTSHEET
Private for Investor Forum
“Double Dragon” “Double Kilin”“Phoenix” “New Grade”“Alpha Brand”“Native Starch”
Starch and Related Business Food Products Business
Native Starch High-Value Added Vermicelli Rice Noodle
Dry & fresh mung bean vermicelli
Native tapioca starchfor:-
Glucose/Sweetener
Modified tapioca starch
Coarse Flour
Sago (Pearl)
Alpha starch
Food Industry / MSG
Paper Industry
Pharmaceutical
Textile Industry
Adhesive Industry
Dry & fresh rice noodles
Production Base : 5 factories in TH, 2 factories in VN & 1 factory in CBD
Customer Base : ~78% Export and ~22% Domestic (TH only)
Production Base : 1 factory in TH & 1 factory in VN
Customer Base : ~91% Domestic and ~9% Export
Capacity : 450,000 tons for Tapioca Starch and 50,000 tons for Glucose Capacity : 22,000 tons for Vermicelli and 4,000 tons for Noodles
THAI WAH BUSINESS OVERVIEW
Others
Bean Sheet (Shanghai noodle)
Tapioca starch
Pearl / Sago
“Glucose” “Pearl / Sago”
8
Starch Business
Private for Investor Forum
Starch
Pearl
Modified Starch
Industrial BIO Application
Animal Feed
Paper
Carton
Fabric SweetenerPharmaceutical
Carton
Cosmetic
Beverage
Sauces
Glue & AdhesiveInstant Meal
Syrup & Dessert
MSG
Metal Industry
Biodegradable Products
Thai Dessert
Cassava Root
STARCH APPLICATION
10
PREMIUM FOOD GRADE
Private for Investor Forum 11
TAPIOCA PRODUCTION
Country 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 *2018 *2019
Thai 22.006 21.912 26.601 30.228 30.022 32.358 30.558 30.936 25.000 29.000
Vietnam 8.596 9.875 9.746 9.757 10.210 10.453 10.578 10.653 8.000 N/A
Cambodia4.249 8.214 7.614 7.541 7.933 11.943 13.222 13.387 9.100 N/A
Laos 0.500 0.362 1.061 1.254 1.630 2.382 2.410 1.558 2.300 N/A
Total 35.351 40.363 45.022 48.780 49.795 57.136 56.768 56.534 44.400
Source : ASEAN Food Security Information System (AFSIS)
Note : *2018 & 2019 was forecast data from TTTA
Unit : Million Tons
The Lowest in seven year
Private for Investor Forum
315 320329 328 328 328 328 328
338
365
408425
445
473
524
548553
520
485 488496
504
470 470
280
320
360
400
440
480
520
560
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
2017
12
NATIVE STARCH EXPORT PRICE MARKET
Year 2015 2016 2017 2018
AVG FOB / tons 421 350 345 504
Source : The Thai Tapioca Trade Association
USD/Ton
2015
2016
2018
Private for Investor Forum 13
NATIVE STARCH MARGIN GAP
Source : The Thai Tapioca Trade Association
Baht/Kg. Raw material costs decreased less than ASP decreased & Thai Baht appreciated in Sep 18
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Mar/16 Jun/16 Sep/16 Dec/16 Mar/17 Jun/17 Sep/17 Dec/17 Mar/18 Jun/18 Sep/18
Selling price (Month-1) Selling price (Month) Raw Material
Spread is likely to “Stable”
Private for Investor Forum 14
GROWTH IN EXPORT OF THAI TAPIOCA STARCH
Source : The Thai Tapioca Trade AssociationNote Tapioca Starch is including Native & Modified Starch
1.99
2.50 2.432.68
3.083.34
3.963.83
4.22 4.14
2.84
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 9M18
Unit : M. Tons
Private for Investor Forum
FROM FARM TO SHELFTo be globally competitive and innovative
15
ASIA’S FOOD SITUATION
In 2050, there will be 9.7 billion people in the world, more than
50% in Asia
Smallholderfarmers produce
30% to 80%of global
food supply
Consumer patterns change from buying staple commodities towards
HVA & Quality Foodclean, gluten free, non GMO carbohydrates
Long term trend of Growing Food Demand in ASEAN
ASEAN’s urbanization will
X2 to 163 million households
by 2030 (from 2015)
Private for Investor Forum 16
THAI WAH MARKET SHARE
Source : The Company and The Thai Tapioca Trade Association
Note : Data was by Volume
Taiwan, 9%
Other, 11%
Malaysia, 8%
Indonesia, 13%
China, 51%
USA, 4%
Japan, 4%
• The largest importer of Tapioca Starch in the world
• Thai Wah market share was 6.5% in 9M18
CHINA
TAIWAN
• The 3rd largest importer of Tapioca Starch in the world
• Thai Wah market share was 18.7% in 9M18
7% of Total Native
Starch Export
in 9M18
Private for Investor Forum
Established new subsidiary
Thai Wah Vietnam Company Limited February 7, 2017 Manufacturing and distributing of
food products VND 22,462 million (Baht 35 million) 100% Holding
17
Myanmar
OpportunitiesPioneer new small holder farmmodel (2X Yield in 2015) Tapioca plantation & ChipsExpansion into consumer foods,noodles, sauces, sweetener to tapon growing middle-class
Cambodia
OpportunitiesTapioca plantation and productivityimprovementInvestments in Tapioca given strongavailability of rootsStrong border links with Thailand andVietnam
Laos
OpportunitiesTapioca plantation and productivityimprovementTapioca chips, starch, export
Vietnam
Opportunities Enhancement of sweetener businessPho, Bun, Noodle, Rice Flour businessWill be market leader in 2018, 3X
Growth in 2015 for Vermicelli and Noodles
Established new subsidiary
TWPC Investment (Cambodia) Company Limited
January 24, 2017 Manufacturing and distributing of
starch products KHR 4,000 million (Baht 35 million) 100% Holding
DEVELOP A FOOTPRINT ACROSS ASEAN
Source : The Company
Private for Investor Forum 18
CASSAVA ROOTS SOURCING STRATEGIES
NEW AREA
THAILAND
- Lease / OEM Model
EXISTING
THAILAND
- Guarantee Price with Farmer Networks- Strategic Sourcing in Potential Areas
NEW AREA
CAMBODIA/LAOS
- Organic Cassava - Contact Farming for Cambodia/Laos
Source : The Company
Private for Investor Forum 19
CASSAVA ROOT STATIONS
Cassava Roots Station
Sustainable Raw Material
Get Fresh Root at Source
Convenient in Cash Card
Payment
Create a Good Relationship
with Farmers
Source : The Company
Food Business
Private for Investor Forum
Fresh Vermicelli Bean Sheet
Fresh Rice NoodleDry Rice Noodle
FOODS
Noodle Kit
Dry Vermicelli
New Grade Sago / Pearl
OUR FOOD PRODUCT
21
High product quality
No chemical preservatives &
gluten-free contents
Product & Food Hygiene
certification processes
1
2
3
Source : The Company
Private for Investor Forum
FOOD DISTRIBUTION AND GO-TO MARKET STRATEGY
22
Phitsanulok
Udon Thani
Roi Et
Chonburi
Bangkok
Banglan
Surat Thani
Korat
Key long term driverLeveraging a Technology - Enabled platform
to build through Thailand and ASEAN
34%
growth YoY
for 9M18
Chiang Mai
Nationwide Distribution Coverage
Strong Growth for Chiang Mai / BKK
/ Chonburi / Korat / Roi Et / Banglen
/ Surat Thani
Targeting double-digit growth with
10% Contributions for 2018
• Increase more SKUs
• Expand more customer base
Source : The Company
Private for Investor Forum
MARKETING ACTIVITIES – Q4’18
23
รอรูปอัพเดทคะ
Private for Investor Forum
MODERN TRADE CHANNEL
24
Visibility & DemonstrationOverview
9M18 Performance
• 36% growth YoY
Strategies
• Enhance Visibility / Activate online• Expand new Customer / Channel• Increase more SKUs • Targeting double-digit growth in 2018
Where can find us ?
Private for Investor Forum
FOOD EXPORT OPPORTUNITY
25
Targeting double-digit growth with 9 – 10% contributions for 2018
48%
growth YoY
for 9M18
Expansion more “Volume” especially in EU and USA / Exploring “New Customers” especially in CLMV & China
Private for Investor Forum
FOOD EXPORT NEW POTENTIAL AREAS IN 2018
26
USA
• Increasing volume from existing customers
• Economic Recovery• OEM & New SKUs
CHINA
• Chinese behavior shift to “Thai Food grade”
• Offer higher quality & consistency
CLMV
VIETNAM
• Offer higher quality & consistency
LAOS
• Existed in wet market
CAMBODIA
• Existed in all supermarket
EUROPE
• Increasing volume from existing customers
• Economic Recovery• OEM & New SKUs
Source : The Company
Financial Performance
Private for Investor Forum
669
493
109 8
348 110
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
2016 2017 9M18 Q3'17 Q3'18
10.9%7.9% 7.4%
0.5%
8.0%
2.2%
-2.0%
3.0%
8.0%
13.0%
18.0%
23.0%
28.0%
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
NP Margin
1,563 1,383
337 241 1,067 816
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2016 2017 9M18 Q3'17 Q3'18
25.4%22.1% 22.8%
14.0%
24.6%
16.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
GP Margin
28
PERFORMANCE IN 9M18
Revenue from Sales EBITDA
Gross Profit Net Profit (After MI)
6,163 6,265
1,476 1,722 4,344 5,100
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2016 2017 9M18 Q3'17 Q3'18
1,009
716
204 81
624 354
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2016 2017 9M18 Q3'17 Q3'18
Source : The Company
Private for Investor Forum
Export 55%
Local45%
China & Asia83%
Europe7%
US & Canada5%
Middle East & Others
3%
Thailand74%
Vietnam15%
China11%
Native, 43%
HVA*, 36%
Food, 21%
29
*HVA products – Glucose, Coarse flour, Pearl, Alpha starch
SALES BREAKDOWN 9M18
Thai Wah Group Sales Breakdown
Sales Breakdown by Base Operation
Thailand Sales Breakdown
Export Breakdown
Note : Thai Wah International Trade (Shanghai) started operation in Q3’16
Sales Breakdown by Business Thailand Sales Breakdown by Geographic
Source : The Company
5,100 MB
5,100 MB
3,785 MB
Private for Investor Forum 30
-
500
1,000
1,500
Cash & Financial investment, 1,397
Financial Debt, 266
Unit : MB
Non-CA 3,727
CA, 3,148
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Equity,5,741
Non-CL, 410CL 724
BV = 6.52 BAHT/share
Unit : MB
599671 655
143
0
400
800
2015 2016 2017 9M18
2016 – 0.30 BAHT/share2017 – 0.32 BAHT/share, dividend payment on 25 May 2018
232238
264
282
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
200
220
240
260
280
2014 2015 2016 2017
STRONG CASH POSITION 9M18
Strong Cash with Debt-free position Balance sheet Composition
Operating Cash flow Increase in absolute dividend payout
Unit : MB Unit : MB
D/E (Debt - Interest bearing ) = 0.05
Source : The Company
Going Forward
Private for Investor Forum 32
INVESTING 2B FOR GROWTH IN NEXT 2 YEARS
20%
CAPEX 2019E
40%
Annual Maintainance /Efficiency Improvement
Energy Saving Project
TWCBD Capacity Expansion
Total ~1,000 MB
40%
CAPACITY EXPANSION
GREENFIELD PROJECT
M&A
HVA Products in Thailand (Pearl / Coarse Flour / High Grade Starch / Rice flour)
Food in Vietnam
Thai Wah Starch in Cambodia Phase II
Biogas Power Plant (2 plants) Solar Roof Project
Starch & Starch-Related Food Products focus on Thailand & CLMV
PROJECT 2018E - 2020E
Source : The Company
Private for Investor Forum 33
SUSTAINABLE GROWTH 2019 - 2020
Source : The Company
5 - 10% 10 - 20% FOCUS
Native• China Direct• TH Direct• CRM Improvement
SCALE
HVA• Organic• Modified / CF / Pearl• NPD
INNOVATE
Food – TH• MT Channel• Van Sales Channel• New format / NPD
PENETRATE
Food – High Growth • Rice Noodle• Export• Thai Wah Vietnam
DOUBLE
High-Single Digit Growth
1
2
3
4
Private for Investor Forum 34
GOING FORWARD
• To be A leading Small Cap in ASEAN, recognized for consistency and strong financial discipline
• Core long term strategy to pursue High-single digit Growth and Sustainability
• Consistently improve YoY on company operating margins, increasing mix of HVA products
and improving returns on capital to shareholders
• Aggressive regional growth expansion, over the next 2 years with ~2B Baht investment
• Embracing technology of our value chain to a long term competitive advantage
Source : The Company
Q&A
Contact: [email protected]
APPENDIX
Private for Investor Forum
TWS to go under rehabilitation process
Expansion of the starch business to drive export volume and enter into Vietnam market
Market leadership of vermicelli in Double Dragon, Double Kilin brands
Automated vermicelli production line
Founding of Thai Wah in
Rangoon, subsequently
moved to Bangkok
Leader in Thailand in Tungsten and Tin Ore Mining
1952, started to produce and export tapioca starch in Chonburi Province
1953, started to produce mung bean vermicelli in Bangkok
“Thai Wah No.1” first tapioca business
and export out, leader and pioneer in
Thailand
Expansion of starch mill business in
Thailand
Move to BanglaneDistrict and
create Thailand’s single largest
vermicelli factory
1989TWFP listed on the SET
1985TWS listed on the SET
TWS resumed trading on the SET
in 2013
Shareholders’ meeting of the two company approved the business combination between TWS and TWFP, by amalgamation process in Oct’15
Operate Thai Wah International Trade (Shanghai) in Q3’16
Successfully increased 33.33% shares of TDC in Oct 2017, currently hold 66.67% shares
1947 1950s – 1960s 1970s – 1980s 1985 201819631963 1990s – 2000s 2001-2007
HISTORICAL OF THAI WAH GROUP
37
2015 - 2017
2018Operate TWBP,
TWVN and TVCBD
Source : The Company
Private for Investor Forum 38
TAPIOCA STARCH EXPORTED FROM THAILAND
Source : Thai Customs Department
TAPIOCA STARCH EXPORTED FROM THAILAND
CountrySep. 1 - 30, 18 Sep. 1 - 30, 17 Jan. 1 - Sep. 30, 18 Jan. 1 - Sep. 30, 17
Native Modified Native Modified Native Modified Native Modified
Bangladesh 661 993 3,454 686 14,156 7,350 20,844 5,785
China 143,709 18,907 110,213 20,598 1,070,106 157,519 1,082,554 148,563
India 39 3,032 297 3,224 295 23,806 7,610 29,172
Indonesia 43,619 7,415 18,428 8,091 268,808 74,693 309,361 70,894
Japan 3,863 30,492 12,050 37,482 83,883 250,454 111,808 255,878
Malaysia 18,684 2,379 16,929 2,707 171,101 21,242 215,512 20,138
Netherlands 481 426 974 380 11,678 5,574 11,604 6,346
Philippines 6,061 1,357 7,316 1,514 61,275 11,951 53,614 10,914
S. Korea 1,046 7,861 4,085 6,017 7,613 51,946 14,598 43,923
Singapore 3,968 89 5,191 130 39,973 3,164 45,471 1,436
Taiwan 21,323 2,272 28,367 2,606 184,243 21,642 232,074 26,039
U.S.A. 4,899 1,586 5,648 4,982 76,919 32,951 64,850 35,538
Vietnam 1,278 1,703 132 1,899 6,608 17,250 3,123 14,593
Other 8,212 12,084 13,487 7,380 83,673 80,540 124,571 76,518
Total
Quantity257,841 90,597 226,570 97,695 2,080,333 760,083 2,297,594 745,737
Value 3,932 2,170 2,423 1,896 31,307 17,753 25,308 15,464
Quantity: Metric TonsValue: Million Baht
Private for Investor Forum 39
STARCH PRICE (DOMESTIC VS EXPORT)
5,000
9,000
13,000
17,000
Starch Price Starch Export Price
THB/Ton
Source : The Thai Tapioca Trade AssociationNote: Used FX Rate as a period-average (BOT)
Start to recovery since Sep 2017
Private for Investor Forum 40
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
100
200
300
400
500
600
Mar
-08
Jun
-08
Sep
-08
De
c-0
8
Mar
-09
Jun
-09
Sep
-09
De
c-0
9
Mar
-10
Jun
-10
Sep
-10
De
c-1
0
Mar
-11
Jun
-11
Sep
-11
De
c-1
1
Mar
-12
Jun
-12
Sep
-12
De
c-1
2
Mar
-13
Jun
-13
Sep
-13
De
c-1
3
Mar
-14
Jun
-14
Sep
-14
De
c-1
4
Mar
-15
Jun
-15
Sep
-15
De
c-1
5
Mar
-16
Jun
-16
Sep
-16
De
c-1
6
Mar
-17
Jun
-17
Sep
-17
De
c-1
7
Mar
-18
Jun
-18
Sep
-18
Starch Export Price Root Price
USD/Ton
Source : The Thai Tapioca Trade Association
China stop to subsidy Corn that
drag tapioca price dropGovernment
guarantee price to farmer at price at
1.7 Baht/Kg
The ‘Mealy bug’ disease spread out in Thailand &
neighborhoodCorn starch price also
increase
The ‘Srilanka Mosaic virus’ disease spread
out in VN & Cambodia & low productivity of
cassava root
Baht/Kg.Government
intervene root price 2.5 Baht/Kg for this
crop
ROOT PRICE AND STARCH EXPORT PRICE
Move in the same trend
Private for Investor Forum 41
STOCK PRICE
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
4-J
ul-
16
22
-Ju
l-1
6
9-A
ug-
16
26
-Au
g-1
6
13
-Se
p-1
6
29
-Se
p-1
6
17
-Oct
-16
3-N
ov-
16
21
-No
v-1
6
8-D
ec-1
6
27
-De
c-1
6
16
-Jan
-17
1-F
eb
-17
20
-Fe
b-1
7
8-M
ar-1
7
24
-Mar
-17
12
-Ap
r-1
7
3-M
ay-1
7
22
-May
-17
7-J
un
-17
23
-Ju
n-1
7
12
-Ju
l-1
7
31
-Ju
l-1
7
17
-Au
g-1
7
4-S
ep
-17
20
-Se
p-1
7
6-O
ct-1
7
27
-Oct
-17
14
-No
v-1
7
30
-No
v-1
7
20
-De
c-1
7
9-J
an-1
8
25
-Jan
-18
12
-Fe
b-1
8
28
-Fe
b-1
8
19
-Mar
-18
4-A
pr-
18
25
-Ap
r-1
8
14
-May
-18
31
-May
-18
18
-Ju
n-1
8
4-J
ul-
18
20
-Ju
l-1
8
9-A
ug-
18
28
-Au
g-1
8
13
-Se
p-1
8
1-O
ct-1
8
18
-Oct
-18
Stock Price
THB
Source : SET
XD on 8 May 2018 0.32 Baht / Share
The lowest price on12 Oct 2016 @ 7.25