investor day 2019...eating into our pie due to their agility and advancements in technology and...
TRANSCRIPT
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0www.maybank.com
Humanising Financial Services
Investor Day 2019
Risk Management4 July 2019
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• Need to make faster, timely
and actionable decisions
NIMBLE & AGILE
Imperative to Change – the “WHY” for MAYBANK
Changing operating environment at an increasing rate, beyond our comprehension
Rise of non-traditional players and Fintechseating into our pie due to their agility and advancements in technology and analytics
More demanding and ever-increasing customer expectations for seamless, quick
and personalised banking experiences
Continuous growth of our business beyond Malaysia and across Asia
WHY CHANGE?
While the risk
types may be the
same, our
operating
environment is no
longer the same
• Move from historical
reporting to predictive
analytics
DIGITALLY ORIENTED
• Institutionalise customer-
centricity as part of our risk
culture and processes
ADAPTABLE & ACCOUNTABLE
• More direct connectivity to
the business and geographies
to understand issues and
clear obstacles
EXTRACT SYNERGIES
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Strategic Risk Imperatives
Enabling a Balanced, Predictable and Sustainable Business Model
Enabling early identification of
non-financial risks and the
effective establishment of the
appropriate risk management
mechanisms
Digitising of risk management
processes to enable quick and
profitable risk informed business
decisions & model development
Developing thought leadership,
risk culture and technical skill
enhancement
Building Capabilities
Technology & Apps
Integrated Assurance
Agile reshaping of portfolios based on
proactive data driven decision making
Building a sustainable financial
ecosystem
Streamlining governance structures to
facilitate enhanced effectiveness and
efficiency of risk governance
Governance Agility
Sustainability & ESG
Active Portfolio
Management Strategy
R E T U R N S
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3 3
Active Portfolio Management Strategy
People Transformation Journey – building technical, analytical & leadership capabilities.
Quality Assets
Profitable risk
informed business
decisions
Accurate Risk
Sensitive Pricing
Outcome
Central Economic
Scenario
Industry Lifecycle
Macro-perspectiveBalance Sheet
Optimisation
Model
Development
Transformation
Asset Quality
Management
Business Strategy
Risk Appetite
Profitability Through the Economic Cycle
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4 4
Examples of Central Economic Scenario
Our earlier concerns of further tightening of global monetary conditions
has somewhat been neutralised following the dovish communications
from major central banks. This together with a positive outcome from
the US-China trade negotiations will likely provide greater stability.
Upper Case
Global economic growth is likely to moderate with signals from major
central banks suggesting a more dovish stance going forward. The
uncertainty surrounding the US-China trade talks continues to weigh on
the central scenario with no significant change since March 2019.
BaseCase
The probability of a deeper than expected slowdown in China
continues to grow given the prolonged US-China trade negotiations.
A “No Deal” Brexit seems to be slowly priced in.
LowerCase
In the region…
The sudden reversal of monetary policy stance of various major central
banks over the last month has raised the likelihood of further policy
easing in some ASEAN markets.
GDP(%) Policy rate (%)
2019f 2020f Current 2019f
Malaysia 4.4% 4.4% 3.00% 2.75% -
3.00%
Singapore 1.8% 2.1% Tightening bias
Indonesia 5.1% 5.3% 6.00% 5.50%
Philippines 6.0% 6.5% 4.50% 4.00%
Thailand 3.8% 3.6% 1.75% 1.75%
A holistic view of what could potentially impact our strategic objectives
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• The O&G sector has bottomed and now
entering upcycle stage amidst higher oil
prices and gradual increase in capex level.
• Global oil demand is expected to be in
excess of supply while oil prices would
remain volatile amidst fluctuating supplies
and fear of low demand growth.
• Higher Petronas capex bodes well for
upstream segment but outlook for Oil and
Gas Services and Equipment (OGSE) players
remain uncertain as charter rates seemed
to lag.
• Tight refining margin to persist but recovery
is in the horizon as the new IMO 2020 rule
on cleaner shipping fuel takes effect early
2020.
5
Examples of Sector Outlook
• Unsold residential property units remain at
record high levels at 153k units with the main
contributor being Johor.
• Some modest sales improvement is expected for
2019 on various government policies and
initiatives
• A rate cut by Bank Negara would be a positive
catalyst for the sector.
• We believe 2019-2021 will be very challenging
for both the Shopping Complex and Office
subsector on high incoming supply amid existing
oversaturated market conditions.
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 3Q18
Unit
s
Unsold Residential Property
Pulau Pinang
Johor
Kuala Lumpur
Selangor
Others
Source: Group Risk Research, NAPIC
+86k unsold
Note: i) Includes Service Apartments
P R O P E R T Y
8.3%
2.6%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
%
Construction GDP Growth
YoY GDP Growth (RHS)Source: Maybank, DOSM Note: At 2010 Constant Prices
• Infrastructure projects have been cut with
negotiated terms less favourable for
contractors (PDP to Turnkey) therefore
increasing risks.
• Sarawak and Penang are key growth states
amid overall sector downturn. Klang Valley
maintains large job value despite substantial
infrastructure contraction.
• Contractor PBT margins are expected to
contract 2 to 4 percentage points for
infrastructure jobs.
• There is some increase in construction sector
loan gross impairment loan ratios.
C O N S T R U C T I O N O I L & G A S
Identifying Industry Lifecycles and Priorities
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GROWTH
Financial and Insurance Activities
Wholesale and Retail
Real Estate Activities
SELECTIVE
Mining & Quarrying
Agriculture
Electricity & Utilities Supply
DEFENSIVE
Construction
Manufacturing
Transportation & Storage
Professional, Scientific and
Technical Activities
6
Examples of Portfolio Allocation Permutation
GROWTH
Financial and Insurance
Activities
Wholesale and Retail
SELECTIVE
Construction
Transportation & Storage
Professional, Scientific and
Technical Activities
DEFENSIVE
Agriculture
Electricity & Utilities Supply
Manufacturing
Mining & Quarrying
Real Estate Activities
POINT A – Reduce Risk of Return*maintain level of return
POINT B – Optimal Allocation*by Sharpe Ratio
GROWTH
Financial and Insurance
Activities
Wholesale and Retail
SELECTIVE
Electricity & Utilities Supply
Transportation & Storage
Professional, Scientific and
Technical Activities
DEFENSIVE
Agriculture
Construction
Manufacturing
Mining & Quarrying
Real Estate Activities
POINT C – Increase Return*maintain risk of return level
Identification of Optimal Portfolio Mix for risk adjusted returns
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7
Product Stewardship
Lead the way in constructive
engagements with customers by
educating & influencing them on
sustainable practices to meet our
Environmental, Social and Governance
(ESG) commitments.
7
Maybank’s 2020 Sustainability Plan
OUR COMMUNITY
Investing for Impact
Through the Group and Maybank
Foundation, we invest in sustainable
programmes to unlock social value and
to realise long-term tangible results in
the following areas:
• Education
• Community Empowerment
• Arts and Culture
• Healthy Living
• Environmental Diversity
• Disaster Relief
OUR PEOPLE
Employee Engagement Platforms
Build an engaged regional workforce
with employee engagement platforms.
Learning & Development
Invest in long-term development and
capabilities improvement across the
organisation.
Talent & Leadership
Nurture talent by providing appropriate
support for growth and the opportunity
to excel.
Diverse & Inclusive Workspace
Maintain an inclusive workforce that
embraces racial and gender diversity.
Safety, Health and Well-being
Build a happier and healthier workforce
by promoting work-life integration, as
well as physical and emotional well-
being.
OUR PRODUCTS & SERVICES
Commitment to the Environment
Manage our ecological footprint by
considering direct and indirect impacts
on the environment as we grow
regionally.
Focus on Customers
Building relationships with customers
by providing convenient access to
financing, fair terms and pricing, and
customised advise based on customers’
needs.
Digitisation
Leverage on life-improving digitisation
to expand our reach in order to bring
our financial services closer to our
customers.
Embedding Sustainability in All We Do
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8
Maybank Group’s Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) Policy
Key Components Scope & Applicability ESG Risk Categories We Collaborate With
Environment• Climate change• Land usage• Water usage• Energy usage• Emissions and Waste• Natural Resource Conservation /
Sustainability
Social• Human rights• Employees rights & benefits• Workforce diversity• Products and services responsibility• Community relations• Supply chain management• Corporate social responsibility• Consumer protection• Animal welfare
Governance• Corporate governance• Transparency and reporting• Financial sustainability• Stakeholders management
Business Activities
• Direct lending/financing
• Direct debt, equity and
advisory services
Lines of Business
• Corporate Banking
• Transaction Banking
• Global Markets
• Investment Banking (excluding
stock brokerage & margin
financing)
• Business Banking
• Retail SME
• Insurance & Takaful for non-
individuals
Black List Activities
Activities deemed not in line with our core
values and international best practicesHigh ESG Risk Sectors
Includes:• Oil palm• Forestry and logging• Oil and gas• Mining and quarrying
An ESG Risk Acceptance Criteria has been
included as part of the application of
accommodation for these industries.
Mandatory RAC Criteria:• National/International certifications for
sustainable practices• Regulatory approvals/licences by the
relevant government agencies for the
specified business operations• No adverse news which may result in
harm to the environment, or legal
claims, disputes, or product boycotts
affecting communities
• World Wide Fund for Nature
• International Finance
Corporation
• Association of Banks in
Singapore
• Malaysian Palm Oil Board
• Asia Pacific Loan Market
Association
• Lead players in specific
relevant sectors.
A Responsible Lending Guideline was initially established in 2015 to manage ESG risks.
This was expanded into an ESG Risk Management Framework and then endorsed as an ESG Policy in 2018, following the Board’s approval.
The Policy was then operationalised throughout the Group, with ESG risk assessments integrated into our day-to-day decisions in relation to financing practices.
The ESG Policy was formulated in alignment with global standards and practices, such as the United Nations’ Human Rights Policy, International Finance Corporation standards and global environmental standards.
Responsible Financing, Promoting Financial Inclusion and helping customers Build Financial Capabilities
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9 9
Building Capabilities
Developing Future-Ready Risk professionals to ensure that Maybank has the best in class Risk personnel
S t r a t e g i c O b j e c t i v e s
Talent Management of Risk
Professionals
To enable our people to realise
their maximum potential and
ensure that they are the best fit
for the job at hand as well as to
equip staff with the proper tools to
position them as the most sought
after personnel, not just within
Maybank but across the industry.
Right Capabilities and Skills
To ensure that the organisation
and the staff are future-ready,
agile risk professionals with
capabilities to address risks and
uncertainties in the most up-to-
date, effective manner possible.
Employer of Choice
To ensure that Maybank has the
best in class risk personnel across
the industry, not just domestically
but regionally.
To equip our people with Adaptive
Tools to ensure Agility in the fast
Changing Risk Landscape.
Learning & Development Framework
RecogniseProfessional
Accreditation
StructureTraining
Programmes
Continuing Professional Development
Define current & future skillset
requirements
Identify Pool for
Succession Plan
R i s k P r o f e s s i o n a l s o f
t h e F u t u r e
Able to create value via
collaboration and partnership with
business.
Agile and forward looking to
anticipate and predict emerging
risks thereby harnessing business
potential.
Adept at applying Artificial
Intelligence and Machine Learning
in Risk Modelling and Advanced
Portfolio Analytics.
Applies advanced analytics to
spearhead data driven and
independent decision making.
Anticipates and responds to
regional and global uncertainties
via advanced risk modelling.
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10 10
Cyber Security
Focus Areas for Cyber & IT Risk Management
Cyber Risk Assessment
Cloud Risk Assessment
Cyber Defense Capabilities
• Enhancement to cyber risk
guidelines
• Establish risk assessment for
Cloud services adoption
• Enhancing third party risk
management capabilities
• Development of Cyber Defense
Capabilities Programme
CYBER SECURITY
PayNet-Cyber resilience,
BNM-Risk Management in IT (RMiT),
eBanking, Cloud outsourcing
• Drive IT operations compliance
with Regulatory guidelines
• Drive continuous adoption,
assessment and gaps closure
• Drive awareness within Group
Technology
COMPLIANCE &
RESILIENCE
• Enhancement/ Revision on
Technology Risk Management
Guideline (TRMG)
• Managing overall technology
operations risk – PICASO (Project
& Resource management,
Incident, Capacity, Availability,
Security & Operations)
• Addressing point of failures and
adopting enhance technology
capabilities
Risk Control Assessment
IT operation resilience
AVAILABILITY
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Artificial Intelligence & Machine Learning Initiatives
To enhance the Early
Warning System, with
recommended solutions,
through accurate and timely
predictive analysis.
Orbuculum
Standardisation of risk
assessment irrespective of
loan products, hence
eliminating the possibility of
a customer being approved
for one product but
declined for another
product.
Single Customer
Credit Scoring
To enhance Non-Financial
Risk (NFR) Management
from reactive to predictive
by developing machine
learning capabilities (or NFR
Risk Modelling process) for
proactive management of
external fraud attempts.
Development of Predictive Non-Financial
Risk Capabilities
Utilising advanced machine
learning and deep learning
to develop Collections &
Recovery Scorecards (C&R-
Score). This will lead to
improved bank profitability
and capital optimisation, as
well as enhance customer
satisfaction.
Risk-based Collection &
Recover Scorecards
Utilisation of machine
learning algorithms to
analyse customer deposit
behavior patterns across
various dimensions to
enable improved liquidity
management and liquidity
cost reduction.
Modelling Deposit
Run-off for Non-Maturing
Deposits
Enabling Future Risk Decision Making Through Artificial Intelligence & Machine Learning
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Capital Adequacy & Risk Management
Building trust as the Digital Bank of Choice
CARisMa is a suite of applications
and processes that provide the
group strategic advantage in the
areas of ensuring (1)capital
adequacy and (2)risk management.
CARisMa is part of the Group’s
Digital Framework to realise
Maybank’s vision of becoming the
Digital Bank of Choice by 2020.
CARisMa is the first Group-wide
project to run on agile principles
and scrum best practices.
Layer 3
Optimisation Analytics
Layer 2
Risk & Return Measurements & Analytics
Layer 1
Data Architecture & Infrastructure
Strategic Decision Making & High Value Actions!
• Allowing for better utilisation of capital
• Ability to identify fee income opportunities outside the lending
business
• Allow improved liquidity management through balance sheet
optimisation
• Accurately price exposures based on risk return measures
• Utilise capital for most profitable business opportunities
Speed, Highly Scalable & Timely
Hub & Spoke concept – central functional specialist to serve
LOB/Geographies can qualify for:
• Cost reduction via automation of data extraction & analysis
• Future cost avoidance
• Increase digitalisation benefits - speed to decisions
Unlimited benefit for future data driven
decision making
• It can house agile elements
• Focus on future accessibility
• Improves Data Architecture
• Improves Data Accuracy & Standardisation
CARisMa 3 Layer Framework& Value Propositions
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13 13
C-Insight
Driving a strong risk culture: Risk Control Dashboard
Identify uncertainties
impacting profitability
and reputation.
Enable sustainable risk
taking.
Risk Control Dashboard
Provide a
combined assurance
perspective for
Management.
RISK
R i s k & O p p o r t u n i t i e s
AUDIT
I n t e r n a l C o n t r o l s
COMPLI
-ANCE
R e g u l a t o r y
Assurance functions such as Risk
Management, Compliance and
Internal Audit play a vital role in
managing risk and strengthening
controls and culture within the
Group.
The Group’s Risk Control
Dashboard is envisioned to
allow Senior Management and
the Board to obtain a
comprehensive, holistic view of
the effectiveness of governance,
risk management and controls.
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Dynamic Regulatory Environment Drivers
Regulatory requirements governing the financial industry have significantly intensified, driven by a few key factors, with a focus on strengthening the resilience of the overall financial industry
Geopolitical Undercurrents
Economical Volatility
Heightened Globalisation
Shifting Customer
Behaviour & Expectations
Technology Advancement,
Increasing Digitalisation
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Managing Regulatory Change
Managing Regulatory Change
Continuous and proactive
benchmarking of internal practices
and standards against proposed
requirements
Fortification of our risk policies,
supporting processes and systems.
Proactive engagement with
regulators on proposed changes and
business impact to allow for a
compliant and collaborative
regulator-regulatee environment
Transparent and agile
communication strategy in place to
provide countries and subsidiaries a
view of the Group standards and
specific local regulatory
requirements for implementation
consideration
Recent Regulatory
Developments
Basel IV
BNM Outsourcing
Policy
Preparedness for transition from LIBOR to
Risk Free Rates (RFRs)
MFRS 9 and ECL
Requirements
Domestic Systemically Important
Banks Framework
(BNM)
Pillar 3 Disclosure
Requirements
Proactive engagement and a forward looking view are essential in shaping regulatory compliant business models
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Navigating Economic and Regulatory Change Through Governance Agility
Agile governance enables organisations to make the right decisions at the right time with the right information
Identify critical management decisions and
optimise the key processes for timely and
effective decision making.
Create decision-making bodies and allocate
clear accountabilities (to individuals, teams
or committees) to reach and execute
decisions.
Facilitate ongoing quality decision making
through timely information and decision
support tools.
P R I O R I T I E S & P R O C E S S E S
S T R U C T U R E & R O L E S
I N F O R M AT I O N & TO O L S
AG ILE
GOVERNANCE
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17
MALAYAN BANKING BERHAD
14th Floor, Menara Maybank
100, Jalan Tun Perak
50050 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Tel : (6)03-2070 8833
www.maybank.com
Disclaimer. This presentation has been prepared by Malayan Banking Berhad (the “Company”) for information purposes only and does not purport to contain all the
information that may be required to evaluate the Company or its financial position. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by or on behalf of the
Company as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation.
The presentation does not constitute or form part of an offer, solicitation or invitation of any offer, to buy or subscribe for any securities, nor should it or any part of
it form the basis of, or be relied in any connection with, any contract, investment decision or commitment whatsoever.
The Company does not accept any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or their contents or otherwise arising in
connection therewith.
Humanising Financial Services