investor & analyst update - banpu · ... in the 2010 revenues figures for coal, usd exchange...
TRANSCRIPT
FY 2010 results and comments
INVESTOR & ANALYST UPDATE
3rd March 2011
1
The views expressed here contain information derived from publicly available sources that have not been independently
verified. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information. Any forward
looking information in this presentation has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions which may prove to be
incorrect. This presentation should not be relied upon as a recommendation or forecast by Banpu plc. Nothing in this release
should be construed as either an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell shares in any jurisdiction.
Disclaimer
2
1. Introduction
2. Financial summary
3. Focus: reserves update
4. Coal market
5. Coal divisions
6. Power division
Appendices
3
1. Introduction
4
Key events
Queensland
flooding
10 Nov
3Q10
Results
11 Nov
3Q10 Analyst
Meeting: CEY
focus
18 Nov
Divestment
14.9% stake
in Ratch
22 Dec
Announcement
of Special
Dividend Bt. 5
12 Oct
Closed
Offer of
CEY
China
coal cap
Indonesia
flooding
Capital
inflow to
Asia
Capital flow
back to US
EX
TE
RN
AL
EV
EN
TS
CO
RP
OR
AT
E E
VE
NT
S
October December JanuaryNovember February
Instability in the
Middle East
23 Feb
Banpu
FY10 results,
dividend and
Reserves &
Resources
update
4 Jan
Announcement
of license expiry
at Daning
5
6
Map of Banpu operations and projects
Hebi (40%)1.5 Mtpa
Gaohe (45%)(COD2013)
Daning (56%)4 Mtpa
Kitadin-Embalut (65%)1.2 Mtpa
Indominco (65%)
14.3 Mtpa
BLCP (50%)
1,434MW
Luannan (100%) 100 MW, 128 tph
Zhengding (100%) 48 MW, 180 tph
Zouping (70%)100 MW, 430 tph
Bharinto (64%) (COD 2H11)
Truebaindo (65%)
5.5 Mtpa
Jorong (65%)0.9 Mtpa
Hong Sa (40%)(COD 2015)
AUSTRALIA
Centennial (100%)14.3 Mtpa
Coal mine
Coal mine project
Coal-fired power
Coal-fired power project
INDONESIA
THAILAND
CHINA
Ivanhoe (100%)
(mine under
rehabilitation)
Charbon* (95%)
Airly (100%)
0.1 Mtpa
Neubecks (50%) Angus Place (50%)
1.7 Mtpa
Clarence* (85%)
Springvale (100%)
1.6 Mtpa
Mandalong(100%)
5.3 Mtpa
Mannering (100%)
Myuna(100%)
Newstan
Lochiel(100%)
Awaba(100%)
0.9 Mtpa
NORTHERN OPERATIONS
Inglenook (95%)
WESTERN OPERATIONS
Note: All figures are for 2010 output or capacity, figures for Centennial are equity basis
2.1Mtpa
*Charbon and Clarence 2.4Mtpa
Kitadin–Tandung Mayang (65%)(COD 2H11)
Banpu in 2010
20,115
3,1941,106
1,392
-933,818
60,420
15,014 17,794
4,865
3,561
6,934
21,507
3,1014,923*
65,285
18,575
24,728*
4Q10 FY 2010
Revenue EBIT Net
income
Revenue EBIT Net
income
COAL SALES
Up 4.3 Mt
85% Q-Q
COAL SALES
Up 4.8 Mt
23% Y-Y
ITM
Bt. million
Y-Y 23%
Q-Q 57%
Y-Y -1%
Q-Q -35%
Y-Y 200%
Q-Q -63% Y-Y 13% Y-Y -14% Y-Y 74%
Coal Power
CEY
ITM
CEY
9.34 Mt 25.9 Mt
3.57
5.77
3.57
22.3
* Includes gains from divestment of Ratch • Includes gains from divestment of 8.72% shares in ITM and Ratch
Bt. million
Coal
Power
Coal
Power
7
Note: Revenue from others is included in coal
Only Q4 figures for Centennial are consolidated in the 2010 revenues figures for coal
2. Financial summary
8
Sales revenues
46,070
53,077
60,420
4,460
4,788
4,865
2008 2009 2010
Bt. million
23%
increase in
sales volume
8%
appreciation of Thai Baht
+13% Y - Y
Coal
Power
+2% Y - Y
+14% Y - Y
50,530
57,865
65,285
+15% Y - Y
USD
1,685 m
USD
2,058 m
USD
1,515 m
Coal Power
Coal
Power
9Note: Only Q4 figures for Centennial are consolidated in the 2010 revenues figures for coal, USD exchange rate is the average exchange rate of the
corresponding period, Revenue from other is included in Coal.
Coal gross margin 43% (2009 : 51%)
2008 2009 2010
Indominco
25,817
34,268
49%
2008 2009 2010
Trubaindo
16,361
63%
14,838
57%
2008 2009 2010
Jorong
3,982
3,095
41%
1,488
41%
Coal sales
40%
2009
Kitadin
1,150
2010
2,735
45%
31,978
42%
51%
15,489
33%37%
Average Indonesia coal
business gross margin: 44%
(2009: 51%)
Centennial
4Q2010
6,498
32%
Gross
Margin
(%)
Bt. million
10
Bt. million
EBITDA and NPAT
14,720
18,955 18,004
4,052
4,830
3,962
2008 2009 2010
Coal
Power
-18% Y-Y
-5% Y-Y
-8%
Y on Y
18,772
23,785
21,966+27%
Y on Y
6,410
10,444
21,879
2,817
3,785
2,848
2008 2009 2010
9,228
14,229
+74%
Y on Y
24,728
Coal
Power
-23% Y-Y
+108% Y-Y
+54%
Y on Y
Net Profit after TaxEBITDA
Bt. million Bt. million
Coal Power 11
Coal
Power
12
Debt structureNet D/E (X)
Net gearing (%)
As at end of December 2010
Fixed 11%
* Net gearing = ND / (ND+E)
Balance sheet
0.34
0.66
0.14
0.36
0.16
1.06
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
25%
40%
12%
26%
14%
51%
THB Fixed9%
USD Float 59%
AUD Float12%
THB Float20%
Dividend payments
5.57.5 7.5 8.5
12
1616
5
5
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Dividend per share (Bt)
(Special)
(Special)
13
3. Focus: reserves update
14
Growth in Banpu’s coal reserves (equity basis)
Organic increase in reserves*
Study
and LT price1 :
Indominco (+24)
Geotech impact :
Jorong (-11)
Kintadin (-1)
Lampang (-1)
Exploration, study and
LT price 2 :
Indominco(+14)
Kitadin (+7)
Bharinto (+13)
+11
Mt
Exploration, study
and LT price2 :
Indominco (+49)
Trubaindo (+20)
2006 2007 2008
-61 Mt** +97 Mt
ITM IPO
(Dec 07)
Daning (+29)
Gaohe (+68)
Acquisition increase (and decrease) in reserves
2009 2010
+308 Mt
Exploration, study and
LT price2 :
Indominco (+30)
Trubaindo (+26)
Termination UG project :
Indominco UG (-9)
+47 Mt
Centennial
Study2 :
Trubaindo (+3)
Daning (+17)
-30 Mt
ITM 9%
sell down
15
+34 Mt +69 Mt +20 Mt
*This does not include the effect of sales depletion **Excludes divestment of Barasentosa Note1: ITM 100% Note2: ITM 74%
217248
149
146
146
End 2009 Sales depletion Termination of underground
project
Exploration &coal price
Pre-transaction basis
ITM 9% sell down
Acquisition of CEY
End 2010
16
Banpu changes in reserves 2010 vs. 2009 (equity basis)
16
Mt
China
Coal
+56
394
-19366
+308
672
Indonesia
Coal
(ITM)
308
-30
-9China
Coal
Indonesia
Coal
Australia
Coal
218
Banpu coal resources and reserves by country (equity basis)
CHINAINDONESIAAUSTRALIA
Note: All figures are as at December 31st, 2010
Reserves
308
Resources
1,813
Reserves
218
Resources
1,064
146
298
Mt
Resources
Reserves
Total reserves: 672 Mt
Total resources: 3,175 Mt
17
End 2009 Coal sales End 2010
End 2009 Coal sales Exploration & …End 2010
End 2009 End 2010End 2009 Coal sales Exploration &
coal priceEnd 2010
End 2009 Coal sales Exploration& coal price
End 2010
ITM focus: changes in reserves 2010 vs. 2009 (100% basis)
Indominco*
West Block
East Block
25 Mt
+20 Mt 35Mt
98 Mt
+20 Mt 114Mt
Trubaindo
Bharinto (project)
Kitadin
78 Mt
+36 Mt 109Mt
46 Mt 46 Mt
26 Mt 25 Mt
-10 Mt
-4 Mt
-5 Mt
- 1 MtEmbalut
TDMY 10 10
End 2009 Coal sales End 2010
Jorong
8 Mt-1 Mt 7 Mt
Note: All figures are as at December 31st, 2010, Resources are Measured & Indicated, Reserves are Proved & Probable
*This excludes the termination of Indominco underground project 18
4. Coal market
19
Main 2011 coal market driver
Weather
• Impact on Indonesia is
most significant:
• Indonesia domestic demand
will be more than S. Africa,
Russia or Colombian exports
• Indonesia export expected
to be over 4x S. Africa, 4x
Russia, 4x Colombia and 2x
Australia
• China hot summer? Early
2011/12 winter?
• Good weather estimates?
Chinese Demand
• GDP growth forecast 8.5%
but on coast 10%?
• Coal demand up to 10-12%
and on coast c. 12-14%
• Will international price vs.
domestic demand
determine volume?
• Exchange rates may swing
to support higher imports
World Growth
• Latest world growth
forecast 3.1%
• Asian growth forecast
5.1%
• If unemployment concern
defers interest rate rises,
there is potential for
demand lift in 2H 2011
• But oil, food and raw
material cost will have a
gradual impact
Sources: Country Forecast February and March 2011 from The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2011 20
21
Banpu average selling prices in 3Q10Thermal coal benchmark prices
Coal price benchmarksUpswing due largely to :
– Supply shortfall due rain in Colombia,
Australia and particularly Indonesia
– Northern seasonal winter demand in
Europe but not in Asia
– Some improved general sentiment
Indonesian indices drag behind Australian
and S. African due to:
– Being forward estimates without
recourse rather than actual deals –
and they include traders
– Less tight supply/demand balance
(usually)
Forecasts: depend on weather and China60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11
US
$ / T
on
FOB Richards Bay 6000 kcal/kg, NAR
FOB Newcastle 6300 kcal/kg, GAR
FOB Kalimantan 5900 kcal/kg, GAR
FOB Kalimantan 5000 kcal/kg, GAR
Newcastle, RB, Indonesian
Coal prices flatten
22
USA
Thermal supply
remains very low, some
LCV to Korea / China
INDIA
Under recovery,
Buyers hoping
prices ease
EAST ASIA
Japan minor recovery, but
steel mills strong still; Korea
andTaiwan strong recovery
SOUTH AFRICA
Continuing problems in
rail eases short term.
Diverted shipments
to N.Asia from China
distort expectation
AUSTRALIA
Floods hamper
Queensland output, loss
approx. 4 - 5 Mt thermal
COLOMBIA
Rains lower production.
Export to Asia stop
RUSSIA
Minor recovery due
weakened Ruble but rising
domestic demand and rail
limits
CHINA
Q1 Import rate eased due to
slow return of industry, warm
winter in the south and import
price relatively high
Thermal coal market analysis – 4Q 2010 update
= Demand/Supply
= Demand
REST OF ASIA
Continued growth
INDONESIA
Rain in 1Q , but
not excessive
ATLANTIC
Increased demand due to
cold winter. Gas competes
= Supply
Thermal coal market analysis – 1Q 2011 update
14
58
93
85-120
36
18 14 7 - 14
2008 2009 2010 2011 Outlook
Import Export
23
China thermal coal market reviewChina thermal coal market review
648
734
1025
762
605 602608
714787 771 770
845
598
698
952
678
571 567577
676741 733
727
788
425
453
635
427361 358 381
458474 457 440495
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q101Q11e
Net
import
c. 92 Mt
End Dec’10 21 Feb’11
(RMB) (RMB)
Datong 840 837
Shanxi 785 775
Common 493 493
Source: www.sxcoal.com/cn 21 February 2011
Datong super mixed coal (6,000 kcal/kg)
Shanxi super mixed coal (5,500 kcal/kg)
Common mixed coal (4,000 kcal/kg)
RMB
China domestic coal prices China thermal coal imports and exports
Mt
Sources: China Coal Report February 2011, MS&L Estimates
Net
import
79 Mt
5. Coal divisions
24
5. Coal divisions
(a) Indonesia coal
(b) Australia coal
(c) China coal
25
Coal output :
4Q10 : 5.8 Mt
2010 : 22 Mt
Project updates:
Trubaindo: hauling road construction to
connect Bharinto area continued
Bharinto: installing crusher plant, to be
finished 1Q11
Tandung Mayang: first output by 2H11
with target of 0.8 Mt for 2011
H11
Indonesian coal operations in 2010
East Kalimantan
Bunyut Port
Balikpapan
Palangkaraya
Banjarmasin
Central Kalimantan
South Kalimantan
KITADIN-
EMBALUT
1.2 Mt
INDOMINCO
14.3 Mt
TRUBAINDO
5.5 Mt
BHARINTO
(Commissioning in
2H2011)
JORONG
0.9 Mt
ITM OPERATIONS & PROJECTS
(2010 saleable output)
Samarinda
Jorong Port
Operation
Project
Operation
Project
POWER
COAL
Bontang Coal Terminal
Captive coal-
fired power project
KITADIN-TANDUNG MAYANG
(Commissioning in 2H2011)
26
Note: output figures are saleable coal
Indominco-Bontang
CV: 6050 - 6500 kcal/kg
Higher SR due to mining in
alternate area
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11e
3.5Mt
STRIP RATIO (bcm/t)
COAL OUTPUT (Mt)
Trubaindo
CV: 6250 - 7200 kcal/kg
Additional contractor was
added to support 2011
production
1.4Mt
STRIP RATIO (bcm/t)
COAL OUTPUT (Mt)
Jorong
CV: 5300 kcal/kg
Expect flat production
due to limited reserves
STRIP RATIO (bcm/t)
COAL OUTPUT (Mt)
11.0 11.4 6.9
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10
6.9
Kitadin - Embalut
CV: 5750 kcal/kg
Start mining in difficult
area so variation in SR is
expected
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11e1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11e
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11e
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10
0.3Mt
STRIP RATIO (bcm/t)
COAL OUTPUT (Mt)
10.4
W Block
E Block
East blockWest block
3.6Mt
2.7
0.9
1.1Mt
0.3Mt
10.6
11.3
16.2
Indonesian quarterly output and SR analysis
1.6Mt
0.4Mt 0.4Mt
10.7
3.6Mt
2.5
1.1
11.3
16.4
11.4
0.3Mt0.3Mt
10.8
0.0Mt
3.6Mt
2.5
1.0
1.3Mt
11.3
16.2
6.9
0.1Mt 0.2Mt
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10
1.4
2.12.3
1.3
3.5Mt
11.3
16.5
1.5Mt
10.5
0.4Mt
27
28
Banpu average selling prices in 3Q10Banpu average selling prices in 4Q10
30507090
110130150170190
Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10
Monthly BJI Monthly ASP
USD/tonne
Quarterly
BJI
Quarterly
ASP
BJI* Feb 24, 2011
$127.05ASP 4Q10 $77.25t (-1% QoQ)
ASP 2010 $74.65t (+4% YoY)
Product mixes with some
lower CV impacted 2010
prices
ASP 4Q10 vs. 3Q10 down
1% due to product mix
Historical lags continue
Indicative 2011 coal sales
40%
37%
23%
Coal sales contract and pricing status Comment
Historically low fixed price
as of February at 40%
Historically high
committed share at 89%
as of February
Remaining unsold mostly
lower grade product
Coal sales contract and pricing status
TARGET SALES 2011: c.25.0 Mt
Contract Status Price Status
Contracted Fixed
100%
11%
89%
Uncontracted Unpriced
Index
As of 22Feb’11
29
30
Coal sales by geographic destination (ITM and Thai) Indonesia coal sales by destination 2010 (22.3 Mt)
2008 2009 2010
2008 2009 2010
2008 2009 2010
2008 2009 2010
2008 2009 20102008 2009 20102008 2009 2010
2008 2009 2010
2008 2009 2010
2008 2009 2010
JAPAN
Mid-to-High CV
Low-to-Mid CV
2008 2009 2010
1.2Mt
0Mt
2.2Mt
INDIA
INDONESIA
0.7Mt
PHILIPPINES
HONG KONG
TAIWAN
2.5Mt
1.9Mt
S.KOREA
1.8Mt
2.3Mt
1.1Mt
1.6Mt
THAILAND
1.6Mt
0.6Mt
1.8Mt
2.1Mt
2011 trend expectation
2.6Mt
1.3Mt
2.7Mt
0.2Mt
1.3 Mt
2011
2011 20112011
1.2Mt
*Includes small, non-regular purchasers
OTHERS*
1.4Mt
0.9Mt
ITALY
1.3 Mt 1.4Mt
2011
1.1Mt
CHINA
1.7Mt
2011
4.5Mt
4.2Mt
4.0Mt
5.1Mt1.8Mt
2.6Mt
0.9Mt
2011 2011 2011
2011
5. Coal divisions
(a) Indonesia coal
(b) Australia coal
(c) China coal
31
Australia coal
Ivanhoe
North
Wollongong
Port Kembla (PKCT)
Charbon
Airly
NeubecksAngus
Place
Clarence
Springvale
Mandalong Mannering
Myuna
Newstan Lochiel(development project)
Awaba
Sydney
Newcastle
(NCIG)
Port Waratah
Newcastle
Inglenook
Open-cut mine
Project
Underground mine
Port
Power station
Road
Rail
Note: Centennial equity ownership 100% unless shown
in brackets
WESTERN
OPERATIONS
NORTHERN
OPERATIONSROM output (equity basis) :
4Q10 : 3.96 Mt
Operation and project updates:
Mandalong: achieved highest
quarterly output in 4Q10 (1.6Mt)
following longwall changeover in
previous quarter
Springvale: commenced longwall
changeover in late 4Q10 with
extraction resuming in Feb 2011
Newstan Lochiel: pre-feasibility
study completed, progressing into
feasibility phase
H11
32
2.4
9.1
1.2
4.7
Western
Operations
Airly (100%)
Angus Place (50%)
Charbon (95%)
Clarence (85%)
Springvale (50%)
Australia coal in 4Q10 (equity basis)
Northern
Operations
Awaba (100%)
Newstan (100%)
Mandalong (100%)
Mannering (100%)
Myuna (100%)
ROM Output (Mt)CENTENNIAL Revenue (AUD m) Export / Domestic (Mt)
4Q10 2010
Sales (Mt)
13.8
3.6
Export
Domestic
1.6
6.0
1.5
5.9
4Q10 2010
4Q10 2010
4Q10 2010 4Q10 2010
2.4
8.3
2.1
7.9
4Q10 2010
219
849
33
5. Coal divisions
(a) Indonesia coal
(b) Australia coal
(c) China coal
34
BANPU CHINA 2010 COAL PRODUCTION TARGETS*
Operation
Project
Operation
Project
POWER
COAL
BEIJING
* ROM production
Hebi (40%),
Henan
1.5 Mt
Daning (56%),
Shanxi
4 Mt
Gaohe (45%),
Shanxi
6 Mt
China coal operations
Daning
CV: 6800-7300 Kcal/kg
Banpu 56%
Ordered mine closure on Dec 31
due to license expiry. An extension
of the license with local authority is
under process .
4Q09 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11e
0.88Mt
0.53Mt
N.A.
0.61Mt
Hebi Zhong Tai Mining
CV: 5300-6800 Kcal/kg
Banpu 40%
High ASP due to higher sales
and prices of fine coal (PCI coal)
to the steel industry.
COAL OUTPUT (Mt ROM)
PRODUCTION
COST
AVERAGE
COAL
PRICE
PRICE vs. COST (RMB/ t)
4Q09 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11e
0.38Mt0.32Mt
512
764
4Q09 3Q10 4Q10
505
622
487
718
0.37Mt0.36Mt
PRICE vs. COST (RMB/ t)
PRODUCTION
COST
AVERAGE
COAL
PRICE
466
692
4Q09 3Q10 4Q10
286
499
712
382
COAL OUTPUT (Mt ROM)
35
China coal project: Gaohe
6.0 Mtpa underground coal mine located in
Shanxi Province, PRC utilizing Longwall
mining technique
Joint venture between Banpu (AACI) (45%)
and Lu’an Mining Group (55%)
Joint venture established in 2005
Obtained mining license in 2010
All key equipment and facilities (mine
monitoring, production, hoisting, coal
preparation) are international standard
Trial production in 2011
Full production in 2013
36
6. Power division
37
Bt. million
* Based on Banpu’s 50% interest
Q-Q: -91%
Y-Y: -11%
Q-Q: -47%
Y-Y: -16%
Q-Q: -44%
Y-Y: - 3%
Q-Q: -43%
Y-Y: -9%
Q-Q: -82%
Y-Y: -20%
Q-Q: -66%
Y-Y: -16%
Power Thailand : BLCP in 2010 (100% basis)
96% 96% 95%
2,456
3Q10 4Q10 2009
Equity income*
3Q10 4Q10 2009
3Q10 4Q10 2009
Energy Payment (EP)
3Q10 4Q10 2009
Dispatch (%)
3Q10 4Q10 2009
Total revenue
3Q10 4Q10 2009
EBIT
3Q10 4Q10 2009
EBITDA
1,305
10,535
2,3071,281
8,393
5,026
2,843
19,697
1,960
344
7,834
2,468843
9,807
Availability Payment (AP)
1,128
103
3,412
96%
2010
2010
2010
8,829
8,151
2010
3,035
2010
2010
2010
17,979
6,271
8,278
2,502
531
3,116
296
311
51
52817
FX
gain
FX
gain
38
Note: * Unaudited figures, ** Including transportation
LuannanHebei Province
Power 100MW;
Steam 128tph
(Banpu 100% )
Power China in 2010 (100% basis)
ZhengdingHebei Province
Power 48MW;
Steam 180tph
(100%)
ZoupingShandong Province
Power 100MW;
Steam 430tph
(70%)
Sales*
(USD m)
EBITDA
(USD m)
Utilization
(hours)
Power tariff
(RMB/kwh)
Coal price**
(RMB/t)
1,524
2,224
0.38 0.386.5
11.7
1.33.4
675676
18.323.9
3.23.5
1,762
2,159
776
849
0.410.42
645
696
908
1,512
5.8
11.1
0.62.2
0.36 0.36
BPIC
36.3
77.5
41.5
11.110.5
3.2 3.5
14.2
8.6
6,370
7,165
7,2547,389
6,000
5,823
0.37 0.38
0.450.42
0.36 0.36
535651
648
798
550643
3Q10 4Q10 2009 2010
31.9
66.4
40.3
39
Power Thailand : Hongsa project
1,800 MW mine-mouth lignite-
fired power plant project
COD targeted at 2015
Partnership between Banpu
(40%), Ratch (40%) and Lao
government (20%)
EPC agreed
PPA execution in April 2010
Loan first drawdown completed
in October 2010
HONGSA POWER PLANT
ARTIST’S IMPRESSION
40
Appendices
41
Reserves and resources: definitions
ILLUSTRATIVE ONLY
Higher coal price increases the average strip ratio and
allows more coal to be extracted
1 Economic assumptions
2 Technical feasibility
New study could prove that additional coal can be mined
and increases reserves base
-150
-100
-50
0
Pit
depth
(m)
-200
Original
depth
cut-off at
150m
New depth
cut-off at
200m
Additional
reserves
Additional
reserves
12
2
Original
reserves
Original mine plan
Mineplan with higher
stripping ratioMineplan with feasibility
study at 200m depth
MEASURED
COAL RESOURCES
INFERRED
COAL RESERVES
INDICATED
Reasonable
MODIFYING FACTORS
(e.g. regulatory, environmental, social, etc.)
SU
FF
ICIE
NC
Y O
F G
EO
LO
GIC
AL D
AT
A F
OR
MIN
E P
LA
NN
ING
Extensive
PROBABLE PROVED
CONFIDENCE High
Coal in the ground for
which there are reasonable
prospects for eventual
economic extraction
Economically mineable
part of a measured and
indicated coal resources
Insufficient
Adequate
Resources and reserves concepts Conversion of resources to reserves
42
Operating profit
Units: Bt. million
Sales revenues – Power (BIC) 4,865
Cost of sales (38,640)
Gross profit* 26,645 -4%
GPM 41%
2010 YoY %
65,285 13%
Note: * Including other business
Sales revenues – Coal
Total sales revenues*
59,901 14%
Gross profit - Coal 25,788 -3%
Gross profit – Power (BIC) 796
GPM – Power (BIC) 16%
GPM - Coal 43%
2%
-33%
4,788
(29,992)
27,874
48%
2009
57,865
52,704
26,629
1,182
25%
51%
43
Operating profit
Units: Bt. million
Gross profit 26,645 -4%GPM 41%
SG&A (7,441)
Royalty (6,925)
Dividend income – Coal & Power 489Other income 1,017
EBIT 18,575 -14%
EBITDA 21,966 -8%
2010 YoY %
EBIT - Coal 15,014 -13%
EBIT - Power 3,561
Income from associates 6,117
-19%
EBITDA - Coal 18,004 -5%EBITDA - Power 3,962 -18%
Other expenses - Operations (1,327)
27,874
48%
(5,390)
(6,467)
478
351
21,667
23,785
2009
17,253
4,414
7,447
18,955
4,830
(2,626)
44
Operating profit
Units: Bt. million
EBIT
Interest expenses (1,682)
Financial expenses (299)
Income tax (core business) (3,301)
Minorities (1,987)
Net profit before extra items 11,306
Non-recurring items* 13,235
Net profit before FX 24,541 66%
FX translations 187
Net profit 24,728 74%
EPS (Bt/share) 91.00Note: * Income from non-core assets and other non-operating expenses
YoY %2010
-6%
18,575 -14%
(1,282)
(181)
(4,611)
(3,574)
12,020
2,730
14,751
(521)
14,229
52.36
2009
21,667
45
Operating profit
Units: Bt. million
Sales revenues – Power (BIC) 1,391
Cost of sales (14,277)
Gross profit* 7,230 18% -2%
GPM 34%
4Q10 QoQ% YoY%
21,507 57% 23%
Note: * Including other business
Sales revenues – Coal
Total sales revenues*
20,026 59% 27%
Gross profit - Coal 7,066 18% 1%
Gross profit – Power (BIC) 203
GPM – Power (BIC) 15%
GPM - Coal 35%
44% -6%
102% -45%
970
(7,550)
6,137
45%
3Q10
13,688
12,607
5,985
100
10%
47%
1,477
(10,051)
7,376
42%
4Q09
17,428
15,713
6,979
367
25%
44%
46
Units: Bt. million
Gross profit 7,230 18% -2%
GPM 34%
SG&A (2,770)
Royalty (2,066)
Dividend income – Coal & Power -
Other income 374
EBIT 3,101 -35% -1%
EBITDA 4,914 -7% 32%
4Q10 QoQ% YoY%
EBIT - Coal 3,194 -6% 18%
EBIT - Power (93)
Income from associates 522
na. na.
EBITDA - Coal 4,888 27% 51%
EBITDA - Power 26 -98% -95%
Other expenses - Operations (190)
7,376
42%
(1,820)
(1,881)
239
72
3,121
3,715
4Q09
2,697
424
1,676
3,240
475
(498)
Operating profit
6,137
45%
(1,534)
(1,542)
239
309
4,754
5,292
3Q10
3,407
1,347
1,254
3,854
1,438
(110)
47
Net profit
Units: Bt. million
EBIT
Interest expenses (719)
Financial expenses (126)
Income tax (core business) (754)
Minorities (467)
Net profit before extra items 1,034
Non-recurring items* 3,586
Net profit before FX 4,620 167%
FX translations 303
Net profit 4,923 200%
EPS (Bt/share) 18.12
Note: * Income from non-core assets and other non-operating expenses
YoY%4Q10
11%
-65%
-63%
QoQ%
-67%
3,101 -35% -1%
(289)
(55)
(927)
(914)
935
1,731
(90)
1,641
6.04
4Q09
3,121
796
(383)
(77)
(827)
(332)
3,136
9,926
13,062
231
13,293
48.92
3Q10
4,754
48
Banpu’s resources & reserves statement (100% basis)
Mine operation and project
Interest(%)
End December 2010 Jan - Dec 2010 End December 2009
Measured Resources
Indicated Resources
Total Resources
Proved Reserves
Probable Reserves
Total Reserves Coal Sales Total
ResourcesTotal
Reserves
INDONESIA
Jorong 64.79 133.0 12.4 145.4 7.2 - 7.2 1.0 146.6 8.2
Indominco 64.99 592.6 104.7 697.2 135.6 14.0 149.6 14.5 743.1 135.5
Kitadin 64.99 113.1 51.5 164.6 6.9 18.0 24.9 1.3 166.1 26.1
Trubaindo 64.99 193.6 141.1 334.7 67.1 41.4 108.5 5.4 296.5 78.3
Bharinto 64.35 183.5 114.5 298.0 41.3 4.1 45.4 - 298.0 46.3
CHINA
Daning 56.00 144.4 45.7 190.1 41.9 47.3 89.2 3.5 194.1 92.7
Hebi* 40.00 60.1 - 60.1 27.4 - 27.4 1.5 61.8 28.8
Gaohe 45.00 254.8 116.9 371.7 70.7 119.1 189.8 0.8 372.6 190.6
AUSTRALIA
Airly 100.00 0.0 97.7 97.7 0.0 32.2 34.2 0.1 n.a n.a
Angus Place 50.00 77.6 176.9 245.5 23.0 2.2 25.2 3.3 n.a n.a
Awaba 100.00 3.6 0.0 3.6 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.9 n.a n.a
Charbon 95.00 9.9 7.2 17.1 2.5 4.6 7.0 0.7 n.a n.a
Clarence 85.00 35.2 191.9 227.1 7.0 39.8 46.7 1.7 n.a n.a
Ivanhoe 100.00 2.8 4.2 7.0 1.5 0.2 1.7 0.2 n.a n.a
Mandalong 100.00 89.9 185.2 275.1 31.5 56.5 88.0 5.0 n.a n.a
Mannering 100.00 8.1 292.4 300.5 1.5 7.6 9.1 0.7 n.a n.a
Myuna 100.00 2.7 340.8 343.5 0.0 17.2 17.2 1.4 n.a n.a
Springvale 50.00 105.7 60.5 166.2 33.6 29.3 62.9 2.7 n.a n.a
Inglenook 95.00 0.0 54.4 54.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 - n.a n.a
Neubacks 50.00 31.0 1.9 32.9 16.4 1.7 18.1 - n.a n.a
Newstan 100.00 26.7 74.0 100.7 2.4 8.9 11.3 - n.a n.a
NewstanLochiel
100.00 59.3 137.6 196.9 0.0 45.7 45.7 - n.a n.a
Total 2,127.6 2,211.5 4,330.0 518.4 491.7 1010.1 44.7 2,278.8 606.5
Note: All reserves and resources in Mt. Figures have been estimated in accordance to JORC Code unless otherwise stated
* Figures have been estimated in accordance to Chinese reporting standard
49
Wollongong
Port Kembla (PKCT)
15 Mtpa (16.66%)
0 5025
Kilometers
Sydney
Newcastle(NCIG)
30 Mtpa(8.79%)
NORTHERN
OPERATIONS
Newcastle
WESTERN
OPERATIONS
Disclaimer: This document contains information relating to Centennial Coal Company Limited, which has been derived from publicly available sources
and has not been independently verified. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of such information.
Key Centennial assets
Open-cut mine
Project
Underground mine
Port
Power station
Road
Rail
Note: Centennial equity ownership 100% unless shown
in brackets
50
*Charbon and Clarence 2.4Mtpa
Ivanhoe (100%)
(mine under
rehabilitation)
Charbon* (95%)
Airly (100%)
0.1 Mtpa
Neubecks (50%)Angus Place (50%)
1.7 Mtpa
Clarence* (85%)
Springvale (100%)
1.6 Mtpa
Inglenook (95%)
(exploration area)
Mannering* (100%)
Myuna* (100%)
Mandalong(100%)
5.3 Mtpa
Awaba (100%)
0.9 Mtpa
Newstan
Lochiel(100%)
* Total of 2.1Mtpa
Coal specificationsAsian
benchmark
Centennial(avg. of all coal output)
Gross
Calorific
Value(air dried basis)
Total
Sulphur(air dried basis)
Ash (air dried basis)
Total
Moisture (as received)
0.65% 0.70%
4000
6700
0%
2%
0%
20% 16%
7%
0%
30%
12%
6700 6700
9%