intu properties plc...intu derby 466 17 4 intu eldon square, newcastle 314 9 3 intu potteries 169...
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intu properties plc Interim results 2016 intu properties plc Winter 2016
About intu
Our centres
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~ intu Bromley was sold in October 2016
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Our centres
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~ intu Bromley was sold in October 2016
~
UK’s top ranked shopping centres
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Source: PMA – top shopping centres on basis of PMA Retail Score (December 2015). intu shopping centres highlighted ~ adjoined to intu Milton Keynes
Rank Centre Location Rank Centre Location
1 Westfield London London - Shepherds Bush 22 The Oracle Reading
2 Bluewater Greenhithe 23 intu Watford Watford
3 Westfield Stratford City London - Stratford 24 intu Bromley Bromley
4 Meadowhall Sheffield 25 Union Square Aberdeen
5 intu Trafford Centre Manchester 26 Festival Place Basingstoke
6 St David's Cardiff 27 Cabot Place/Canada Place London
7 intu Lakeside Thurrock 28 Victoria Square Belfast
8 Liverpool One Liverpool 29 Trinity Leeds Leeds
9 intu Metrocentre Gateshead 30 Princesshay Exeter
10 Bullring Birmingham 31 intu Eldon Square Newcastle
11 Manchester Arndale Manchester 32 Touchwood Solihull
12 Cabot Circus Bristol 33 Golden Square Warrington
13 Brent Cross London 34 White Rose Shopping Centre Leeds
14 The Mall at Cribbs Causeway Bristol 35 Churchill Square Brighton
15 Highcross Leicester
16 the centre: mk~ Milton Keynes 41 intu Chapelfield Norwich
17 intu Merry Hill Brierley Hill 44 intu Victoria Centre Nottingham
18 West Quay Southampton 45 intu Potteries Stoke-on-Trent
19 intu Derby Derby 60 intu Milton Keynes Milton Keynes
20 intu Braehead Glasgow 64 intu Uxbridge Uxbridge
21 Silverburn Glasgow 169 intu Broadmarsh Nottingham
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Our priorities in 2016
Update titles – H1 2016 overview H1 2016 overview
Highlights A strong first half
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+7.5% like-for-like net rental income growth
7.5p underlying EPS, 10% growth
+0.6% like-for-like valuation growth
405p adjusted, diluted NAVPS
+3% total financial return including dividend
£564m cash and available facilities
Note: all figures include Group’s share of joint ventures
UK market background Many positive factors in first half
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Investment market Occupier market Consumer market
Prime centres remain attractive
Strong demand in prime high footfall locations
Unemployment at record lows
Less volatile than Central London market
New international retailers
Increasing disposable income
Limited supply of new quality retail space
Aspirational and lifestyle brands expanding
Established retailers upsizing
Optimising asset performance Like-for-like net rental income +7.5 per cent
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2016 full year guidance
raised by 1% to
+3% to +4%
Note: all figures include Group’s share of joint ventures
Optimising asset performance Continuing outperformance versus IPD
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Capital growth
Note: all figures include Group’s share of joint ventures
UK development momentum Substantial organic growth potential (2016-2019)
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£49m active asset management committed
£23m active asset management investment in H1 2016
CGI - leisure extension, intu Lakeside
CGI – Charter Place, intu Watford Qube extension, intu Metrocentre
CGI - Halle Place, Manchester Arndale
£178m intu Watford extension committed
£128m extensions and redevelopments
£189m active asset management pipeline
CGI – Barton Square, intu Trafford Centre
Making the brand count A key differentiating factor driving outperformance
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26m website visits
+23% increase in year-on-year website visits
440 affiliate retailers - December 2015: 350
2.3m active marketing database
74 net promoter score, an increase of 9 points
£20m intu Experiences gross income per annum1
1. Excludes £17m car park net income
Heat map of users of intu.co.uk
Seizing the growth opportunity in Spain Development plans backed by operational performance
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5% valuation growth
2% growth in footfall and retailer sales
16 new lettings in period
£187m capex to end of 2019
£23m active asset management pipeline
€600m intu Costa del Sol development
Operational performance Development pipeline
Puerto Venecia, Zaragoza CGI – intu Costa del Sol
Financial performance Matthew Roberts, Chief Financial Officer
intu Chapelfield
Key highlights Strong operating performance
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0.6% valuation uplift IPD: -1.1%
7.5% like-for-like net rental income growth
7.5p underlying EPS 2015: 6.8p
4.6p interim dividend 2015: 4.6p
405p adjusted, diluted NAVPS
£500m debt raised on intu Merry Hill
£96m debt raised on intu Bromley
4.5% weighted average cost of gross debt1
44% debt to assets ratio
7.2 years weighted average debt maturity
Note: all figures include Group’s share of joint ventures. 1. Excludes RCF
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Underlying earnings 12 per cent growth
Note: all figures include Group’s share of joint ventures
First half 2016
£m
First half 2015
£m
Net rental income 219.4 207.6
Administration expenses (18.3) (16.3)
Net finance costs (underlying) (103.6) (107.5)
Dividend from US investment - 3.4
Other 2.0 1.5
Underlying earnings 99.5 88.7
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Financial metrics Improving ratios
1. The EPRA cost ratio (excluding direct vacancy costs) is calculated in accordance with EPRA guidelines
First half 2016
First half 2015
Interest cover 1.99 x 1.85 x
EPRA cost ratio1 14.1 % 16.3 %
Earnings per share 7.5 p 6.8 p
Weighted average shares in issue 1,332 m 1,308 m
Dividend per share 4.6 p 4.6 p
Net rental income Growth from acquisition and like-for-like
19
Note: all figures include Group’s share of joint ventures
First half 2016
£m
6 months to June 2015 208
Like-for-like (+7.5%) 15
Disposals and Charter Place (4)
Total net rental income 219
Net rental income Drivers of like-for-like growth
20
Note: all figures include Group’s share of joint ventures
First half 2016
Capital investment +0.9%
Reduced vacancy +1.9%
Rent reviews, improved lettings and turnover income +2.3%
Other letting activity (e.g. reduced bad debt; surrender premiums) +2.4%
Total net rental income LFL +7.5%
2016 like-for-like net rental income growth guidance of 3 to 4% (assuming no material tenant failures)
Items excluded from underlying profit 2015 benefited from greater valuation gains
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Note: all figures include Group’s share of joint ventures
First half 2016
£m
First half 2015
£m
Underlying earnings 99.5 88.7
Property revaluation 5.2 162.2
Change in fair value of financial instruments (130.6) 32.2
Gain on acquisition of businesses 34.8 0.8 Gain on sale of other investments 74.1 0.9
Exceptional finance costs (12.5) (16.4)
Exceptional administration expenses (1.3) (0.7)
Other (e.g. deferred tax) (21.1) (5.4)
Profit for the year 48.1 262.3
Net asset value per share 405 pence 3 per cent total financial return including dividend
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Note: all figures include Group’s share of joint ventures
£368m change in net external debt
Currently 79 per cent hedged1
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Note: all figures include Group’s share of joint ventures. 1. Excluding forward starting swaps and including RCF
Debt maturity as at 30 June 2016 Minimal near term refinancing
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7.2yrs weighted average
debt maturity
4.5% weighted average cost
of gross debt1
£564m cash and committed
facilities Note: all figures include Group’s share of joint ventures. 1. Excludes RCF
In October 2016 intu secured
£375m of Convertible Bonds (due 2022)
Capital structure Robust and gives intu flexibility
Secured debt, asset by asset
Flexible structure
Refinancing activity has rebased covenants
No covenants on intu Trafford Centre debt
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LTV covenants Substantial headroom
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Equity cure required for 25% fall in values and
10% fall in income £84m
* intu Bromley was sold in October 2016
*
Capital expenditure £716m to be spent by 2019; £216m committed
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Funded through
Available facilities Development finance Capital recycling
and partners
Financial flexibility
Debt to assets 44 per cent
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Note: all figures include Group’s share of joint ventures.. 1. Excludes RCF
30 June 2016 31 December 2015
£m £m
Total properties 10,147 9,602
Net external debt (4,507) (4,139)
Net debt to assets 44% 43%
Cash 266 301
Undrawn committed corporate facitities 298 287
Net assets attributable to shareholders 4,869 4,976
Adjusted net asset per share 405p 404p
Weighted average cost of gross debt1 4.5% 4.6%
Weighted average debt maturity 7.2 years 7.8 years
intu Lakeside
New title page
Optimising asset performance H1 2016
Optimising asset performance Strong operating metrics
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82* new long term lettings
+7% aggregate lettings ahead of previous rent
96% occupancy June 2015 95%
+1.3% footfall growth Experian: -1.7%
+0.2% retailer sales growth
27 leases exchanged since EU referendum
79 further new lettings in solicitor’s hands
Lettings in line with valuers’ assumptions
Pull & Bear, intu Trafford Centre * September 2016: 165 new long term leases
Optimising asset performance Retailer trends
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Upsizing International
Portfolio of brands Aspirational
Optimising asset performance Improving occupancy
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Effect of improved occupancy
Reduced void costs
New rental income
Increased commercial tension
100%
99%
99%
98%
June 2015
95% June 2016
96%
Optimising asset performance Increasing our strong, stable income streams
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7.5% like-for-like net rental income growth
+10% total rent reviews ahead of previous rent
92% of top 40 tenants below average risk (Experian Delphi scores)
7.7years weighted average unexpired lease term
Optimising asset performance Increased market values
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Note: stamp duty increased from 4 per cent to 5 per cent in the period. All figures include Group’s share of joint ventures
Market value 30 June 2016
£mSurplus/
deficit £m
Like-for-like surplus/ deficit % Yield Income
Develop- ment
intu Chapelfield 295 23 8 ● ●intu Lakeside 1,358 21 2 ●intu Derby 466 17 4 ●intu Eldon Square, Newcastle 314 9 3 ● ●intu Potteries 169 (8) (4) ● ●intu Braehead 574 (13) (2) ●Other like-for-like 6,396 6 -
Like-for-like 9,572 55 1
intu Merry Hill acquisition 445 -
Developments 130 (50)
10,147 5
UK development momentum Martin Breeden, Development Director
intu Potteries
New title page
UK development momentum H1 2016
Fully let catering projects opened Improving catchment, footfall and dwell times
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Number of restaurants 9 5
Total cost (intu share) £10m £5m
Stabilised initial yield 8.3% 7.4%
Qube extension, intu Metrocentre – opened Easter 2016
Queen’s Garden, intu Bromley – opened July 2016
Committed active asset management £49m capital expenditure
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Project Redevelopment (20 restaurants)
Hotel Redevelopment (10 restaurants)
Opening Autumn 2016 Summer 2017 Summer 2018
Total cost (intu share) £15m £9m
Stabilised initial yield 7.7% 6.2%
Near term active asset management £189m active asset management pipeline
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£189m potential project costs 2016-2019
6-10% stabilised initial yield
CGI – Barton Square, intu Trafford Centre
CGI – Soar at intu Braehead
CGI – intu Merry Hill repositioning
Repositioning intu Watford 400,000 sq ft extension on site, opening 2018
CGI – intu Watford extension
Top 20 in UK retail ranking 1
2015: 42nd
60% pre-let
£178m total project cost
6-7%2 stabilised initial yield
1. Estimate post completion as per CACI residential comparison goods market potential for Watford. 2. Includes 1-2% generated through the existing centre
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New lettings in period:
Near term development Two major projects
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CGI – intu Lakeside
Project Leisure extension Redevelopment
Potential start date 2017 2017
Total cost (intu share) £70m £75m
Stabilised initial yield 6% 6-8%
CGI – intu Broadmarsh
Future potential Optionality on future developments
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Planning approved Retail extension
Planning approved Retail extension
Planning approved Retail and leisure extension
Called in Retail extension
Application submitted Retail and leisure extension
Seizing the growth opportunity in Spain
intu Asturias
New title page
Seizing the growth in Spain H1 2016
Our Spanish strategy
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Create a business of scale
Focus on top 10 markets
Acquire, develop and manage market leading retail and leisure resorts
Two top 10 Spanish centres Operating metrics
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Market value (100%) €261m (+8%)1 €468m (+4%)1
Occupancy 99% 95% Footfall +2% Retailer sales +2% New lettings 16
1. Valuation uplift percentage for H1 2016
intu Costa del Sol Flagship shopping resort for the region
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Consider data 175,000 sq m
€600m total cost1
7% stabilised initial yield
3m residents (10m annual tourists)
2017 potential start date
1. Includes €70m already incurred by intu
CGI – intu Costa del Sol
New title page
Concluding remarks H1 2016
Concluding remarks Significant momentum from strong first half
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Like-for-like net rental income growth
Positive impact from active asset management projects
Differentiated by brand and digital initiatives
Cash and available facilities over £500 million
Organic growth potential enhanced by capital expenditure plans
Appendices Questions
Appendices
Development pipeline As at 30 June 2016
50
£m Description
UK planning approval
New space
000 sq ftCost to
completion
Committed 2016-2019 2020+intu Watford Charter Place extension 380 163 163intu Lakeside Hotel 40 8 8Manchester Arndale Halle Square redevelopment 7 7intu Eldon Square Restaurant development 4 4intu Broadmarsh Pre-development 4 4Other committed projects Various initiatives 26 26
212 212 -
Active asset management pipelineintu Trafford Centre Barton Square courtyard enclosure 112 45 45intu Merry Hill Various initiatives 98 83 15Manchester Arndale Various initiatives 54 12 42intu Metrocentre Various initiatives 18 18Other projects Various initiatives 274 31 243
489 189 300
Major extensionsintu Lakeside Leisure extension 225 95 70 25intu Broadmarsh Redevelopment 50 75 45 30intu Milton Keynes 70 10 60intu Victoria Centre Retail and leisure extension 500 225 3 222intu Braehead Retail and leisure extension 475 200 200intu Lakeside Retail extension 440 180 180Cribbs Causeway Retail and leisure extension 380 105 105Sprucefield 40 - 40
990 128 862Total UK 1,691 529 1,162
SpainCommitted and pipeline* Various initiatives 33 23 10intu Costa del Sol Shopping resort 220 154 66Valencia Shopping resort 276 10 266Palma or Vigo Shopping resort 107 107Total Spain 636 187 449Total 2,327 716 1,611* includes asset management initiatives at intu Asturias (£15m) and Puerto Venecia (£18m)
Indicative timing
First Second First half half half 2016 2015 2015 Group1 revaluation surplus (like-for-like) +0.6% +2.1% +1.9%
IPD2 capital growth -1.1% +1.6% +1.2% Group1 weighted average nominal equivalent yield
5.01% 5.14% 5.25%
Change in Group nominal equivalent yield -13bp -11bp -7bp IPD2 equivalent yield shift +4bp -10bp -13bp Group1 ‘topped-up’ initial yield (EPRA) 4.49% 4.52% 4.55% Group1 change in like-for-like ERV -0.1% +1.0% +0.6%
IPD2 change in rental value index +0.5% +0.6% +0.1%
Property table metrics
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1. Including Group’s share of joint ventures 2. IPD monthly index, retail
Yield comparisons Wide spread relative to corporate bonds
52
Net rental income margin
53
Six months ended 30
June 2015
Total£m
Partners' share
£mIntu share
£mIntu share
£m
Gross rental income 258 (16) 242 239
Head rent payable (13) 13 - -
245 (3) 242 239
Net service charge expense and void rates (11) 1 (10) (11)
Bad debt and lease incentive write off (1) - (1) (5)
Property operating expenses (see below) (14) 2 (12) (15)
(26) 3 (23) (31)
Net rental income 219 - 219 208
Net rental income margin 90% 87%
Six months ended 30 June 2016
Property operating expenses include £4 million of car park operating costs and £5 million contribution to shopping centre marketing.
Lease expiry profile Weighted average expiry 7.7 years
54
Expressed as a percentage of rent roll * Excludes five per cent in respect of leases which have expired and are mainly holding over and in negotiations
Rent review profile
55
Expressed as a percentage of rent roll * 2015 includes rent reviews prior to 31 December 2015 yet to be settled
Retailer affordability
56
Estimated occupancy cost trends1 2 3
30 June 2016
31 December 2015
30 June 2015
Excluding anchor stores 11.6% 11.5% 11.6%
Excluding anchors and MSUs4 12.5% 12.5% 12.3%
Current rent per square foot5 6
30 June 2016
31 December 2015
30 June 2015
Anchors £12 £12 £11MSUs £30 £30 £31Standard units £48 £48 £52
Note: December 2015 included intu Merry Hill and intu Derby for the first time
1. Compares rent to retailers turnover2. Actual sales of around two-thirds of sales, estimates of sales for one-third. Extent of data varies between centres
4. MSU: major space user >10,000 sq ft.5. Based on net internal area. Generally 10 per cent to 40 per cent higher than retail area6. Anchors and MSUs are generally let on on a rent per square foot basis; standard shop unit rents are generally determined on a zoned basis
12 months ended
As at
3. Not comparable with continental Europe and US shopping centre statistics, differences include measurement of retail area (see 5) and treatment of property taxes
Aggregate ERV
57
* Total reversion of +8% includes one per cent realisable on lease expiry with over 10 years remaining
** ‘Topped up’ net rent comprises passing rent of £436m, plus other net income of £39m (net car park income, turnover rent and commercialisation income ) and contracted rent subject to rent free periods of £20m, less non-recoverable costs and running voids of £21m
Top 20 tenants
58
Rank Tenant groupNumber of
units% secured
rent Note
1 Arcadia 39 4% Includes Topshop, Topman, Burton, Dorothy Perkins, Miss Selfridge, Wallis and Evans
2 Next 20 3%
3 Boots 23 3%
4 Debenhams 11 3%
5 Dixons Carphone 33 2%
6 H&M 18 2%
7 New Look 19 2%
8 River Island 17 2%
9 Primark 9 2%
10 A S Watson 43 2% Superdrug and The Perfume Shop
11 JD Sports 21 2% Includes Blacks and Size?
12 Signet Group 39 2% H Samuel and Ernest Jones
13 Inditex 11 1%
14 Sportsdirect 20 1% Includes USC and Van Mildert
15 Marks & Spencer 18 1%
16 Monsoon 23 1%
17 Superdry 16 1%
18 House of Fraser 4 1%
19 Clarks 14 1%
20 Goldsmiths 21 1%
419 37%
Optimising asset performance Top 40 tenants covenant strength
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Arcadia Next Boots Debenhams H&M New Look Primark River Island Signet M&S Dixon’s Carphone JD
Monsoon Superdry House of Fraser Inditex
Superdrug Sportsdirect.com Clarks Aurum EE Apple Clintons HMV W H Smith Vodafone Schuh Argos O2 Sainsbury’s Hollister
John Lewis Waterstone’s Vision Express Disney
3 Store Game Selfridges Holland & Barrett
Based on Experian Delphi bands at 12 July 2016. Top 40 tenants represent 51% of intu’s rent roll
Corporate responsibility highlights
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39% reduction in CO2 emissions since 2011
99.7% waste diverted from landfill across all directly managed centres
2,000 people directly reached by our community projects
121,000 jobs directly supported by intu and its retailers
EPRA non-GAAP measures Net asset value (diluted, adjusted)
61
Net assets£m
NAV per sharepence
Reported net assets, basic net assets per share 4,869 366
Dilutive convertible bonds and share options/awards 11 -
Diluted NAV 4,880 364
Adjustments:
Financial instrument-related valuation adjustments 467 35
Share of joint ventures' adjusting items 10 1
Non-controlling interest 71 5
NAV (diluted, adjusted) 5,428 405
EPRA NNNAV (diluted, adjusted) 4,593 343
The EPRA vacancy rate at 30 June 2016 was 2% (31 December 2015: 3%)
EPRA cost ratio £mEPRA costs - including direct vacancy costs 42EPRA costs - excluding direct vacancy costs 34Gross rental income 243EPRA cost ratio - including direct vacancy costs 17%EPRA cost ratio - excluding direct vacancy costs 14%
EPRA NNNAV is arrived at by adjusting NAV for the fair value of financial instruments (-35p), the difference between the fair value and book value of debt (-28p), share of joint ventures' adjusting items (-1p) and the non-controlling interest in respect of financial instruments (+2p).
EPRA costs include all operating costs of the business included in underlying earnings. Gross rental income is stated after deducting head rent and service charge costs recorded directly through rents.
Proportionally consolidated income statement and balance sheet
62
Summarised income statement (£m)
Group as reportedShare of joint
ventures
Group including share of joint
ventures
Attributable to non-controlling
interests
Group proportionally
consolidated
Net rental income 194 25 219 (9) 210
Other income - - - - -
Administration expenses (18) - (18) 1 (17)
Net finance costs (underlying) (91) (13) (104) 10 (94)
Other underlying items 15 (12) 3 - 3
Underlying earnings 100 - 100 2 102
Valuation and exceptional items 21 9 30 1 31
Other non-underlying items (73) (9) (82) - (82)
Net profit for the period 48 - 48 3 51
Summarised balance sheet (£m)
Group as reportedShare of joint
ventures
Group including share of joint
ventures
Attributable to non-controlling
interests
Group proportionally
consolidated
Investment property 9,403 719 10,122 (375) 9,747
Net external debt (4,372) (135) (4,507) 165 (4,342)
Derivative financial instruments (467) (5) (472) - (472)
Other net assets 380 (579) (199) 135 (64)
Net assets 4,944 - 4,944 (75) 4,869
Top properties
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