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Introduction to the Agreement Introduction to the Agreement on Agriculture and to the on Agriculture and to the Negotiating Process Negotiating Process

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  • Introduction to the Agreement Introduction to the Agreement

    on Agriculture and to the on Agriculture and to the

    Negotiating ProcessNegotiating Process

  • 2

    Agriculture Subsidies and TradeAgriculture Subsidies and TradeAgriculture Subsidies and TradeAgriculture Subsidies and TradeAgriculture Subsidies and TradeAgriculture Subsidies and TradeAgriculture Subsidies and TradeAgriculture Subsidies and Trade

    210

    378

    166

    21

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    Total subsidies Total exports

    US

    $ B

    illio

    n

    Developed countries Developing countries

  • 3

    Average TariffsAverage TariffsAverage TariffsAverage TariffsAverage TariffsAverage TariffsAverage TariffsAverage Tariffs

    62

    17

    9

    29

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    MFN Bound MFN Applied

    Agriculture Industrial

    %

  • 4

    Why the Agreement on Agriculture?Why the Agreement on Agriculture?Why the Agreement on Agriculture?Why the Agreement on Agriculture?Why the Agreement on Agriculture?Why the Agreement on Agriculture?Why the Agreement on Agriculture?Why the Agreement on Agriculture?

    Agriculture in GATT but...

    exemptions for agricultural products (import restrictions,

    domestic support, export subsidies allowed)

    market access difficult

    Research - inefficiency of policiesTrade tensions and disputes

    Punta del Este

    Declaration

    (1986)

    Uruguay Round

    Negotiations

    (7.5 years)

    Agreement on

    Agriculture

  • 5

    Legal FrameworkLegal FrameworkLegal FrameworkLegal FrameworkLegal FrameworkLegal FrameworkLegal FrameworkLegal Framework

    Agreement on Agriculture

    Modalities+

    Supporting Tables

    Schedules of Commitments

    Other WTO Agreements Protocol of Accession

    Legally Binding Commitments

    ACC/4

  • 6

    Structure of the AgreementStructure of the AgreementStructure of the AgreementStructure of the AgreementStructure of the AgreementStructure of the AgreementStructure of the AgreementStructure of the Agreement

    Tariffs

    Tariff Quotas

    Special Safeguard

    Green Box

    Blue Box

    Article 6.2 Development Programmes

    Amber Box

    Export subsidies

    Anti-circumvention

    Export prohibitions and restrictions

    Market access Domestic support Export competition

    Other rules: S&D, Peace Clause, commitment to reform, NFIDC DecisionAgreement on the Application of Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures

  • 7

    Uruguay Round Reduction Uruguay Round Reduction Uruguay Round Reduction Uruguay Round Reduction Uruguay Round Reduction Uruguay Round Reduction Uruguay Round Reduction Uruguay Round Reduction

    CommitmentsCommitmentsCommitmentsCommitmentsCommitmentsCommitmentsCommitmentsCommitments

    24% value, 14% volume

    Article 9.4 (transport and marketing subsidies)

    36% value, 21% volume

    Export competition

    Export subsidy reduction

    S&D exemption

    13.3%

    10%

    Article 6.2 (investment, input and diversification subsidies)

    20%

    5%

    Domestic support

    Total AMS reduction

    De minimis

    S&D exemption

    24% average, 10% minimum36% average, 15% minimum

    Market access

    Tariff reduction

    10 years6 yearsTime period

    DevelopingDeveloped

    No reduction commitments for least-developed countries

  • 8

    LongLongLongLongLongLongLongLong--------term Objectiveterm Objectiveterm Objectiveterm Objectiveterm Objectiveterm Objectiveterm Objectiveterm Objective

    Uruguay Round reform programme

    Major achievements but also some unfinished business

    Mandate for further reform - Article 20

    ... establish a fair and market-oriented agricultural trading system ...

    Committee on Agriculture

    role to monitor implementation of UR commitments

    - matters raised under Article 18.6

    - review of notifications

    preparatory work analysis/exchange of information

    mandated negotiations - Special Sessions (since 2000)

  • 9

    The Doha Ministerial DeclarationThe Doha Ministerial DeclarationThe Doha Ministerial DeclarationThe Doha Ministerial DeclarationThe Doha Ministerial DeclarationThe Doha Ministerial DeclarationThe Doha Ministerial DeclarationThe Doha Ministerial Declaration

    Comprehensive negotiations aimed at:

    substantial improvements in market access

    reductions of, with a view to phasing out, all forms of export subsidies

    substantial reductions in trade-distorting domestic support

    S&D - integral to negotiations and outcome

    Non-trade concerns to be taken into account

    Deadlines

    March 2003 modalities

    5th Ministerial Conference - draft Schedules

    1 January 2005 - conclusion

    Framework modalities -July 2004

  • 10

    Market accessMarket accessMarket accessMarket accessMarket accessMarket accessMarket accessMarket access

    substantial improvements in

    market access

    ObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjective

  • 11

    Sample MFN tariffs (%)Sample MFN tariffs (%)Sample MFN tariffs (%)Sample MFN tariffs (%)Sample MFN tariffs (%)Sample MFN tariffs (%)Sample MFN tariffs (%)Sample MFN tariffs (%)

    Source: World Trade Report 2004, WTO

    0.671.019.20.065.015.8China

    0.640.08.50.6550.0102.8Myanmar

    0.045.014.80.0250.0114.6Saint Lucia

    4.930.02.127.4168.012.2Malaysia

    0.7170.08.20.4210.047.0Indonesia

    8.5243.033.00.0223.0111.2Barbados

    0.1100.020.10.0100.0100.0Kenya

    0.055.011.70.055.035.5Brazil

    20.1238.03.126.0238.03.5Canada

    22.650.07.322.762.06.9Japan

    1.4350.05.149.6350.06.9United States

    39.975.05.940.875.05.8European Communities

    Share of non-ad valoremtariff lines

    Maximum ad valorem

    Simple average applied

    tariff

    Share of non-ad valorem tariff

    linesMaximum

    ad valorem

    Simple average boundtariff

  • 12

    Export competitionExport competitionExport competitionExport competitionExport competitionExport competitionExport competitionExport competition

    reductions of, with a view to

    phasing out, all forms of export

    subsidies

    ObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjective

  • 13

    Export Subsidy ExpendituresExport Subsidy ExpendituresExport Subsidy ExpendituresExport Subsidy ExpendituresExport Subsidy ExpendituresExport Subsidy ExpendituresExport Subsidy ExpendituresExport Subsidy Expenditures

    20002000200020002000200020002000

    2,509

    550 17

    189

    45 00

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    EC US Japan Korea Switz-Liech. Norway Brazil

    US

    $ M

    illion

  • 14

    Domestic supportDomestic supportDomestic supportDomestic supportDomestic supportDomestic supportDomestic supportDomestic support

    substantial reductions in

    trade-distorting domestic

    support

    ObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjective

  • 15

    0

    70

    140

    210

    280

    NOR, CAN, CHE, BRA 17.7 12.1

    Korea 8.3 6.5

    Japan 69.6 26.7

    United States 60.9 72.1

    EC 116.5 75.6

    1995 2001

    Globally

    Bil

    lio

    n U

    S$

    Data for Korea are for the year 2000.

  • 16

    The Doha Round negotiationsThe Doha Round negotiationsThe Doha Round negotiationsThe Doha Round negotiationsThe Doha Round negotiationsThe Doha Round negotiationsThe Doha Round negotiationsThe Doha Round negotiations Many proposals but deadline for modalities missed in March 2003 Alliances (G-20, G-90, G-33, G-10, C-4) Framework approach explored but Cancn Ministerial ends in deadlock Signs of flexibility & momentum for a framework text in mid-2004 General Council Decision adopted on 1 August 2004 to guide progress in the negotiations and the work programme WT/L/579 Work towards first approximation by July 2005 but no result New proposals to move negotiations forward in fall of 2005 Hong Kong Ministerial Declaration puts the Round back on trackbut a new deadline to establish modalities in April 2006 is missed Despite intensive efforts to narrow the differences, negotiations suspended at the end of July 2006 February 2007 back to full negotiating modeJuly 2007 circulation of possible draft modalities by the Chair Job(07)/128; 17 July 2007; later revised as TN/AG/W/4; 1 August 2007, TN/AG/W/4/Rev.1; 8 February 2008, TN/AG/W/4/Rev.2; 19 May 2008 February

  • Market AccessMarket Access

  • 18

    Market Access Market Access Market Access Market Access Market Access Market Access Market Access Market Access -------- OutlineOutlineOutlineOutlineOutlineOutlineOutlineOutline

    Current disciplines

    Tariffs and tariffication

    Tariff quotas

    Special safeguard

    The Framework and the negotiations

  • 19

    Tariffs and TarifficationTariffs and TarifficationTariffs and TarifficationTariffs and TarifficationTariffs and TarifficationTariffs and TarifficationTariffs and TarifficationTariffs and Tariffication

    Tariffs bindings, reduction

    Non-tariff measures converted to tariffs

    Tariff only regimes

  • 20

    TariffsTariffsTariffsTariffsTariffsTariffsTariffsTariffs

    DEVELOPED DEVELOPING

    Implementation period

    6 years 1995-2000

    10 years 1995-2004

    Average cut -36% -24%

    Minimum cut -15% -10%

    No reduction commitments for LDCs

  • 21

    Tariffication FormulaTariffication FormulaTariffication FormulaTariffication FormulaTariffication FormulaTariffication FormulaTariffication FormulaTariffication Formula

    E = Tariff equivalent

    Pi = Internal price (representative wholesale)

    Pe = External price (c.i.f. unit values)

    Base period average: 1986-88

    Ceiling bindings for developing country Members

    E = (Pi - Pe) / Pe * 100

  • 22

    Tariff Only Regimes

    Quantitative restrictions

    Variable levies

    Minimum import prices

    Discretionary import licensing

    NTMs maintained through STEs

    Voluntary export restraints

    Similar border measures [...]

    Prohibition to maintain, resort or revert to:

    BUT ... Special Treatment (Annex 5) for Japan, Korea, BUT ... Special Treatment (Annex 5) for Japan, Korea, Philippines, Israel and Chinese TaipeiPhilippines, Israel and Chinese Taipei

  • 23

    Tariffs only but ...Tariffs only but ...Tariffs only but ...Tariffs only but ...Tariffs only but ...Tariffs only but ...Tariffs only but ...Tariffs only but ...

    Peaks

    Morocco: Minimum tariff 0% Maximum tariff 289%

    Canada: Minimum tariff 0% Maximum tariff 238%

    Escalation

    Chinese Taipei: Tomatoes, fresh 10% Tomato juice 30%

    EC: Cocoa beans 0% Cocoa paste 9.6% Chocolate 18.7%+

    Various Forms

    Ad valorem (15%)

    Non-ad valorem: Specific (2$ per kg), Compound (10% plus 2$ per kg), Mixed (10% or 2$ per kg, whichever is higher),

    Technical (9% plus EA MAX 18.7% plus ADS/Z)

  • 24

    Tariffs only butTariffs only butTariffs only butTariffs only butTariffs only butTariffs only butTariffs only butTariffs only but

    Source: World Trade Report 2004, WTO

    MFN Tariffs (%)

    0.020.014.50.0100.061.8Benin

    0.3182.036.90.3300.0114.5India

    0.025.018.80.0125.0123.3Zambia

    0.3150.053.90.0150.0150.0Nigeria

    0.0100.020.10.0100.0100.0Guyana

    0.175.015.90.3100.097.4Jamaica

    43.650.023.50.020.019.9Suriname

    3.365.029.045.5226.035.5Thailand

    3.0897.042.14.8887.052.9Korea, Republic of

    20.1238.03.126.0238.03.5Canada

    22.650.07.322.762.06.9Japan

    1.4350.05.149.6350.06.9United States

    39.975.05.940.875.05.8European Communities

    Share of non-ad valorem

    tariff linesMaximum

    ad valorem

    Simple average applied

    tariff

    Share of non-ad valorem tariff

    linesMaximum

    ad valorem

    Simple average boundtariff

  • 25

    Tariff QuotasTariff QuotasTariff QuotasTariff QuotasTariff QuotasTariff QuotasTariff QuotasTariff Quotas

    Current and Minimum Access Opportunities3% - 5% of domestic consumption

    Low tariff for limited volumes

    20%20%

    60%60%

    Quota volumeQuota volume Imports (MT)Imports (MT)

    OutOut--ofof--quota dutyquota duty

    InIn--quota dutyquota duty

    Tariff rateTariff rate

  • 26

    Tariff Quotas but ...Tariff Quotas but ...Tariff Quotas but ...Tariff Quotas but ...Tariff Quotas but ...Tariff Quotas but ...Tariff Quotas but ...Tariff Quotas but ...

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    Domestic

    consumption

    Tariff quota TQ fill

    %

    Minimum / CurrentAccess Fill rate - 60%

  • 27

    TQ AdministrationTQ AdministrationTQ AdministrationTQ AdministrationTQ AdministrationTQ AdministrationTQ AdministrationTQ Administration

    The rules

    The methods Applied tariffs

    First-come, first-served

    Licence on demand

    Historical importers

    Producer groups

    Imports by STEs

    Auctioning

    Other

    Possible causes for TQ underfill?

  • 28

    Special SafeguardSpecial SafeguardSpecial SafeguardSpecial SafeguardSpecial SafeguardSpecial SafeguardSpecial SafeguardSpecial Safeguard

    Volume-based SSG

    Trigger: import surges

    Extra duty: 1/3 of applied rate

    Price-based SSG

    Trigger: price falls

    Extra duty depends on price

    Additional import duty on over-quota imports, temporarily, if:

    Tariffication

    SSG in Schedule

    Volume or price triggers (notification)

  • 29

    NegotiationsNegotiationsNegotiationsNegotiationsNegotiationsNegotiationsNegotiationsNegotiations

    substantial improvements in market access

    ObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjective

    Tariffs

    Tariff quotas

    TQ administration

    Importing STEs

    Other market access issues

    Technical elaboration of modalities for further commitments

  • 30

    Tariff reductions Average and minimum cut UR formula

    Harmonizing formula Swiss formula a*t/(a+t)

    Tariff band approach

    Other methods: request and offer, zero-for-zero

    Tariff peaks and escalation, forms of tariffs

    S&D: Special Products (objective criteria or self-designation;

    tariff reductions)

    Trade preferences Preference erosion

    Tropical and diversification products Fullest liberalization of trade

    Tariffs Tariffs Tariffs Tariffs Tariffs Tariffs Tariffs Tariffs Main issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issues

  • 31

    UR Formula vs. Swiss FormulaUR Formula vs. Swiss FormulaUR Formula vs. Swiss FormulaUR Formula vs. Swiss FormulaUR Formula vs. Swiss FormulaUR Formula vs. Swiss FormulaUR Formula vs. Swiss FormulaUR Formula vs. Swiss Formula

  • 32

    Tariff quota expansion Expand by x% (e.g. 20%)

    Current TQ = 100 t

    New TQ = 120 t

    Expand by y% (e.g. 6%) of domestic consumption

    Current TQ = 100 t, Domestic consumption = 2000 t

    New TQ = 100 t + 120 t

    Expand to z% (e.g. 15%) of domestic consumption

    Current TQ = 100 t, Domestic consumption = 2000 t

    New TQ = 2000*15% = 300 t

    In-quota tariff reduction

    S&D: Duty-free access for key products; Special Products no TQ expansion

    TQ administration

    Tariff Quotas Tariff Quotas Tariff Quotas Tariff Quotas Tariff Quotas Tariff Quotas Tariff Quotas Tariff Quotas Main issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issues

  • 33

    Special Safeguard Special Safeguard Special Safeguard Special Safeguard Special Safeguard Special Safeguard Special Safeguard Special Safeguard

    Main issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issues

    Current SSG Retain

    Abolish and when

    Special Safeguard for developing country Members:

    What products

    What measures (price-based, volume-based)

    What about other developing country Members

  • 34

    Principles

    Tariff reductions from bound rates

    All Members, except LDCs, to contribute

    Deeper cuts for higher tariffs; flexibilities for sensitive

    products; substantial improvements in market access for all

    products

    Framework modalitiesFramework modalitiesFramework modalitiesFramework modalitiesFramework modalitiesFramework modalitiesFramework modalitiesFramework modalities

    Tariff reduction Tariff reduction Tariff reduction Tariff reduction ---- Tiered formulaTiered formulaTiered formulaTiered formula

    3

    Thresholds and type of tariff reductions to be negotiated

    1

    2

    Tariff cap? 4 bands for tariff cuts -agreed at Hong Kong

  • 35

    Average reduction: 54%.

    Flexibilities in the band A of between 20-45%

    More flexibility in each band: some tariff could be cut more deeply to allow others to be reduced less in the same band

    Average reduction: 36%

    Other

    85-90%60+75%75+60%90+45%70+42%80+D

    75-85%40-6065%50-7550%60-9037%50-7035%50-80C

    65-75%20-4055%20-5045%30-6031%20-5030%20-50B

    55-65%0-2045%0-2035%0-3027%0-2023%0-20A

    cutsLevelscutsLevelscutsLevelscutsLevelscutsLevels

    USG-20ECG-10ACPBands

    Tariff Reductions Proposals:Tariff Reductions Proposals:

    Developed Country MembersDeveloped Country Members

  • 36

    Maximum average cut: 36%.

    Maximum average cut: 24%

    Low ceiling bindings

    Other

    60+40%130+40%130+100+30%150+4

    40-6035%80-13035%80-13070-10025%100-1503

    20-4030%30-8030%30-8030-7020%50-1002

    slightly less than cuts for developed countries

    0-2025%0-3025%0-300-3015%0-501

    cutsLevelscutsLevelscutsLevelscutsLevelscutsLevels

    USG-20ECG-10ACPBands

    Tariff Reductions Proposals:Tariff Reductions Proposals:

    Developing Country MembersDeveloping Country Members

  • 37

    Sensitive productsSensitive productsSensitive productsSensitive productsSensitive productsSensitive productsSensitive productsSensitive products

    Number of sensitive tariff lines - to be negotiated

    Substantial improvement will apply to each

    product

    1

    2

    3

    Base for tariff quota expansion criteria to be

    developed4

    Tariff quota commitment + tariff reduction

  • 38

    Tariff Quota Fill Tariff Quota Fill Tariff Quota Fill Tariff Quota Fill Tariff Quota Fill Tariff Quota Fill Tariff Quota Fill Tariff Quota Fill -------- 20022002200220022002200220022002

    Data for Barbados are for 2000.

    0102030405060708090

    100

    EC US

    Japa

    n

    Thail

    and

    Barb

    ados

    Mor

    occo

    Colo

    mbi

    a

    91 54 20 23 36 67 67

    Numer of tariff quotas

    Av

    era

    ge

    fill ra

    te (

    %)

  • 39

    Special Products and SSMSpecial Products and SSMSpecial Products and SSMSpecial Products and SSMSpecial Products and SSMSpecial Products and SSMSpecial Products and SSMSpecial Products and SSM

    Special Products

    Selection: appropriate number

    Treatment: more flexible treatment

    Special Safeguard Mechanism

    Selection

    Trigger

    Remedy

    Duration

  • 40

    LDCs:

    Access to all S&D provisions

    No reduction commitments

    Developed Members, and developing country Members in a position to do

    so, should provide duty-free and quota-free access for LDCs

    Concerns of recently acceded Members - to be addressed

    Other flexibilitiesOther flexibilitiesOther flexibilitiesOther flexibilitiesOther flexibilitiesOther flexibilitiesOther flexibilitiesOther flexibilities

    Duty-free quota-free access for at least 97% of products

    from LDCs - agreed at Hong Kong

  • 41

    Preferential Schemes Preferential Schemes Preferential Schemes Preferential Schemes Preferential Schemes Preferential Schemes Preferential Schemes Preferential Schemes

    Para. 16 of TN/AG/W/1/Rev.1Para. 16 of TN/AG/W/1/Rev.1Para. 16 of TN/AG/W/1/Rev.1Para. 16 of TN/AG/W/1/Rev.1Para. 16 of TN/AG/W/1/Rev.1Para. 16 of TN/AG/W/1/Rev.1Para. 16 of TN/AG/W/1/Rev.1Para. 16 of TN/AG/W/1/Rev.1

    Maintain, to the maximum extent technically feasible, the nominal margins of tariff preferences

    Exception to the tariff reduction modality:

    - Longer implementation (by the preference-granting Members) of tariff reductions affecting long-standing preferences in respect of products which are of vital export importance for developing country beneficiaries

    - First instalment of the reduction deferred to year [3] of implementation

    Products concerned - to account for at least [20] per cent of the total merchandise exports of any beneficiary

    Interested beneficiaries to notify the Committee on Agriculture, Special Session and submit relevant statistics

    In-quota duties for these products - to be eliminated

    Preference-providing Members to undertake targeted technical assistance to support preference-receiving countries in efforts to diversify their economies and exports

  • 42

    Other elementsOther elementsOther elementsOther elementsOther elementsOther elementsOther elementsOther elements

    Reduction/elimination of in-quota tariffs

    Improvements in TQ administration

    Tariff escalation to be addressed

    Tariff simplification, special agricultural safeguard

    (SSG) remain under negotiation

  • 43

    S&DS&DS&DS&DS&DS&DS&DS&D

    Lesser tariff reduction or TQ expansion commitments

    Flexibility to designate Special Products to address food security, livelihood security & rural development needs

    Special Products eligible for more flexible treatment

    1

    2

    3

    Special Safeguard Mechanism (SSM)4

    5Fullest liberalization of trade in tropical and diversification

    products to be addressed

    Erosion of trade preferences - to be addressed (reference -paragraph 16 of TN/AG/W/1/Rev.1)

    6

  • 44

    44-48.7%130+66-73%75+4

    42.7%80-13064%50-753

    38%30-8057%20-502

    33.3%0-3050%0-201

    cutsLevelscutsLevels

    Developing cuts in 8 instalments

    (Average cut 36%)

    Developed cuts in 5 instalments (Average cut - 54%)

    Bands

    Tariff Reduction Proposal: Chairman Crawford Tariff Reduction Proposal: Chairman Crawford

    TN/AG/W/4/Rev.2; 19 May 2008TN/AG/W/4/Rev.2; 19 May 2008

  • 45

    Other Market Access Issues Other Market Access Issues

    ChairChairs Draft Modalitiess Draft Modalities

    Sensitive Products

    Number: [4] [6] per cent of [dutiable] tariff lines or [6]

    [8] per cent where over 30 per cent of the developed-

    country tariff lines are in the top band or where tariff

    concessions have been scheduled at the 6 digit level

    Developing countries can designate one-third more of

    tariff lines as sensitive

    Treatment: , or deviation from envisaged normal

    cuts. Thus if developed countries have to reduce their

    tariffs by 66%, the resulting cuts would be 44%, 33%

    and 22%, respectively.

  • 46

    Other Market Access Issues Other Market Access Issues

    ChairChairs Draft Modalitiess Draft Modalities

    Tariff Quota Expansion

    Where deviation is used, the TQ shall result in new access

    opportunities equivalent to no less than [4] [6] per cent of domestic

    consumption

    Where or deviation is used, the TQ shall result in new access

    opportunities equivalent to no less than [3.5][5.5] and [3][5] per cent

    of domestic consumption, respectively

    Members can choose to designate more sensitive products (by 2

    percentage points 6% or 8%). In that event, additional access of

    0.5% of domestic consumption has to be granted

    Where a Member has more than 4% of its tariff lines in excess of

    100%, it shall, for all its sensitive products, apply a further expansion

    of [0.5%] of domestic consumption

    Tariff Simplification Bound in-quota tariffs and TQ administration

    strengthened disciplines

  • 47

    Other Market Access Issues Other Market Access Issues

    ChairChairs Draft Modalitiess Draft Modalities

    Special Products

    Minimum entitlement of 8 per cent of tariff lines / a maximum

    entitlement of 20 per cent

    If maximum entitlement is 20%, then 8% would be minimum

    and not subjected to the agreed indicators food security,

    livelihood security and rural development

    Eligibility for no cuts two options 40% of the designated

    products (8% out of the maximum 20%) or no exemption at all

    Treatment for remaining tariff lines

    A minimum cut of 12% and a maximum cut of 20% of each

    tariff line

    Overall average cut should be 15%

    SVEs and RAMs Flexible treatment

  • 48

    Other Market Access Issues Other Market Access Issues

    ChairChairs Draft Modalitiess Draft Modalities

    Special Agricultural Safeguard (SSG)

    Developed-country Members not to have the right to use

    SSG

    Reduction to 1.5% of scheduled tariff lines the number

    of tariff lines eligible for SSG

    Developing countries - to be reduced to no more than 3

    per cent

    Terms and conditions of the SSG to remain unchanged

    from the URAA terms and conditions. However, tariff

    rates to be updated to reflect Doha outcome

  • 49

    Other Market Access Issues Other Market Access Issues

    ChairChairs Draft Modalitiess Draft Modalities

    Special Safeguard Mechanism (SSM): To be available

    for all products in principle. However, not to be invoked

    for more than [3][8] products in any given 12-month period

    TRIGGERS: Both price and volume-based SSM will be

    available. The two may not be imposed at the same time.

    Neither can any one of them be imposed in respect of a

    product which is the subject of a safeguard measure,

    including under Art 5 of the AoA, an anti-dumping or

    countervailing measure

    Detailed rules on volume and price triggers and their

    remedies

  • 50

    TROPICAL PRODUCTS TROPICAL PRODUCTS Annex GAnnex G

    Deeper tariff cuts

    [Where the scheduled tariff is less or equal to 25% ad valorem, it

    shall be reduced to zero

    [Where the scheduled tariff is greater than 25% ad valorem, the applicable tariff cut shall be 85%]

    [Where the scheduled tariff is greater than or equal to 10%, theapplicable tariff cut shall be [66][73]%], except for tariffs in the top band, which shall be reduced by the tariff escalation tariff cut for that band increased by 2%

    [Where the scheduled tariff is less than 10%, it shall be reduced to zero]

    [Tropical products shall not be designated as sensitive]

    [Implementation by developed-country members in 4 equal

    instalments]

    Developing countries in a position to do encouraged to do more

  • 51

    PREFERENCE EROSION PREFERENCE EROSION Annex HAnnex H

    [No tariff cuts on the items listed in Annex for 10 years

    Tariff cuts to be implemented thereafter over 5 years in equal

    instalments]

    [Where a product is listed in the Annex and the ff conditions are

    met, the implementation period will be 10 years (8+2)

    [the pre-Doha MFN tariff is greater than 10% ad valorem]

    [the total value of trade over a 3 year representative period is

    greater than $50,000 or constitutes [3]% of the long standing

    preference-receiving countrys total agricultural trade to the market

    concerned]

    [there is unlimited long-standing preference eligibility in the market concerned]

    Provisions to prevail where there is overlap with provisions on

    tariff escalation / tropical products

    Targeted technical assistance

  • 52

    TARIFF ESCALATIONTARIFF ESCALATION

    [Tariffs on processed products to be reduced more steeply. Instead of

    taking the cut that would otherwise apply to final bound tariffs in the band

    to which the processed product belongs (with the exception of the top

    band), the processed product shall take the cut applicable to tariffs that

    fall in the next highest band

    [Products falling in the top band to be reduced by a cut that would

    otherwise have been applicable according to the tiered formula

    increased by 6 ad valorem points]

    Supplementary cuts to be moderated in two situations: First, where the

    absolute difference between the processed and primary product after the

    application of the normal tariff formula would be 5 ad valorem

    percentage points or less in any given tier except the bottom tier no

    additional tariff escalation adjustment to be required

    Second, the application of adjustment formula should not lead to a

    higher tariff on the primary product than the processed product

  • 53

    COMMODITIESCOMMODITIES

    Where problems persist after the application of the formula,

    including the tariff escalation adjustment formula, Members

    are to engage with commodity-dependent producing

    countries to ensure satisfactory solutions

    Identification of products for the purpose of applying the tariff

    escalation formula specific targets; non-ad valorem duties

    to be converted and bound

    Elimination of NTBs

    Joint action intergovernmental commodity agreements etc

  • 54

    LDCSLDCS

    LDCs: No reduction commitments

    DFQF 100% : By 2008 or the start of the

    implementation period; where there are

    difficulties, 97% at the beginning to be

    increased gradually to 100%

    Developing countries in a position to do so

    encouraged to grant DFQF phase in of

    commitments

    Cotton Market Access: DFQF for LDCs

  • 55

    SVEsSVEs

    The term SVEs to apply to Members with economies that, in the period 1999 to 2004, had an average share of: World merchandise trade of no more than 0.16% or less

    World trade in non-agricultural products of no more than 0.1%

    World trade in agricultural products of no more than 0.4%

    SVEs could moderate the two-thirds cut by developing countries by a further 10 ad-valorem points in each band

    Flexibility in the designation of special products SVEscan deviate from the tiered formula cut for as many tariff lines as they choose to designate as SPs provided they meet the overall average cut of 24%

    Products designated as SPs need not be subject to a minimum tariff cut nor designation be guided by the indicators

  • 56

    RAMsRAMs

    Entitled to moderate tariff cuts in the top 2 bands by 10 ad-valorempercentage points and by 5 ad valorem percentage points in the bottom two bands

    Saudi Arabia, Macedonia, Vietnam and Tonga exempted from undertaking cuts

    For other RAMs, where there is an overlap between accession commitments and commitments associated with modalities, the start of the IP shall be one year after the end of the accessioncommitment

    Implementation period shall be 10 years (8+2)

    Flexibility in the designation of special products one tenth greater than the amount to be designated by developing countries. Relevant cust for the designated tariff lines may be further reduced by 2 ad-valorem points

  • Domestic Domestic

    SupportSupport

  • 58

    Domestic Support Domestic Support Domestic Support Domestic Support Domestic Support Domestic Support Domestic Support Domestic Support -------- OutlineOutlineOutlineOutlineOutlineOutlineOutlineOutline

    Current disciplines

    Green Box

    Blue Box

    Article 6.2 Development Programmes

    Amber Box

    The Framework and the negotiations

  • 59

    The BoxesThe BoxesThe BoxesThe BoxesThe BoxesThe BoxesThe BoxesThe Boxes

    Green Box Annex 2

    No more than minimally trade or production distorting

    Blue Box Article 6.5

    Production-limiting programmes

    Article 6.2 Measures

    Development programmes: investment, input, diversification

    Amber Box

    Subject to reduction commitments

    De minimis allowance

  • 60

    How much domestic support?How much domestic support?How much domestic support?How much domestic support?How much domestic support?How much domestic support?How much domestic support?How much domestic support?

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300U

    S$

    Bil

    lio

    n

    Canada 3.0 3.0

    Norway 3.3 2.5

    Brazil 5.5 2.8

    Switzerland-Liecht. 5.9 3.8

    Korea 8.3 6.5

    Japan 69.6 26.7

    US 60.8 72.1

    EC 116.9 75.6

    1995 2001

    Data for Korea are for the year 2000.

  • 61

    0

    15,000

    30,000

    45,000

    60,000

    75,000

    90,000

    Current Total AMS 35,151 14,413 5,328 1,495 1,632 0 1,187 1,791

    De minimis 773 7,045 257 463 - 976 - 164

    Blue Box 21,231 - 728 - - - 813 -

    Article 6.2 - - - 45 - 332 - -

    Green Box 18,489 50,672 20,355 4,469 2,190 1,462 480 1,088

    EC US JPN KOR CHE BRA NOR CAN

    Categories of support - 2001M

    illio

    n U

    S$

    Data for Korea are for the year 2000.

  • 62

    Green BoxGreen BoxGreen BoxGreen BoxGreen BoxGreen BoxGreen BoxGreen Box

    No, or at most minimal, trade-distorting effects or effects on production

    Assistance:

    - Provided through publicly funded government programme

    - Not involving transfers from consumers

    - Not resulting in price support to producers

    Basic criteria

  • 63

    Green Box Green Box Green Box Green Box Green Box Green Box Green Box Green Box ScopeScopeScopeScopeScopeScopeScopeScope

    General services, including:

    research

    pest and disease control

    training

    extension/advisory services

    inspection

    marketing and promotion

    infrastructural services

    Public stockholding for food security purposes

    Domestic food aid

    Direct payments, including:

    decoupled income support

    income insurance and income safety-net

    relief from natural disasters

    structural adjustment assistance

    producer retirement

    resource retirement

    investment aids

    environmental programmes

    regional assistance programmes

  • 64

    Policy-specific decoupling

    Amount of payments

    X

    X

    Type of production

    Volume of production

    Domestic prices

    International prices

    Factors of production

    In any year after the

    base period

  • 65

    Blue BoxBlue BoxBlue BoxBlue BoxBlue BoxBlue BoxBlue BoxBlue Box

    based on fixed area and yields; or

    made on 85% of base level of production; or

    livestock payments are made on a fixed number of head

    Direct payments under

    production-limiting programmes exempt from reduction if:

  • 66

    Article 6.2Article 6.2Article 6.2Article 6.2Article 6.2Article 6.2Article 6.2Article 6.2

    Development programmes exempt from reduction:

    investment subsidies generally available to agriculture

    input subsidies generally available to low-income or resource poor producers

    support to encourage diversification from growing illicit narcotic crops

  • 67

    Amber BoxAmber BoxAmber BoxAmber BoxAmber BoxAmber BoxAmber BoxAmber BoxSample Scheduled Reduction Commitment

    Schedule LXXIX - THAILAND

    PART IV - AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS: COMMITMENTS LIMITING SUBSIDIZATION

    (Article 3 of the Agreement on Agriculture)

    SECTION I - Domestic Support: Total AMS Commitments

    BASE TOTAL AMS Years of implementation Annual and final bound Relevant Supporting Tables and

    (million Baht) 1995 - 2004 commitment levels document reference

    (million Baht)

    1 2 3

    22,126.18 1 21,816.41 AGST/THA

    2 21,506.64 Supporting Tables 4, 5, 8 and 9

    3 21,196.87

    4 20,887.10

    5 20,577.33

    6 20,267.56

    7 19,957.79

    8 19,648.02

    9 19,338.25

    10 19,028.48

    What if there is no commitment? - Article 7

  • 68

    AMS Reduction CommitmentAMS Reduction CommitmentAMS Reduction CommitmentAMS Reduction CommitmentAMS Reduction CommitmentAMS Reduction CommitmentAMS Reduction CommitmentAMS Reduction Commitment

    DEVELOPED DEVELOPING

    Implementation period

    6 years 1995-2000

    10 years 1995-2004

    Cut in Total AMS -20% -13.3%

    De minimis allowance

    5% 10%

    % cut in aggregate terms

    No reduction commitments for LDCs

  • 69

    EC and the CAP ReformEC and the CAP ReformEC and the CAP ReformEC and the CAP ReformEC and the CAP ReformEC and the CAP ReformEC and the CAP ReformEC and the CAP Reform

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    Green 18.8 22.1 18.2 19.2 21.9 21.8 20.7 20.4 22.1

    Blue 20.8 21.5 20.4 20.5 19.8 22.2 23.7 24.7 24.8

    Amber 50.0 51.0 50.2 46.7 47.9 43.7 39.3 28.5 30.9

    WTO limit 78.7 76.4 74.1 71.8 69.5 67.2 67.2 67.2 67.2

    1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003*

    Eu

    ros

    Bil

    lio

    n

    * This notification covers support to the European Union after enlargement on 1 May 2004. Price gap calculations are performed on EU25 production levels for a 12 month period and include direct payments to 25 member States. Total AMS commitment level for 2003 (67,159 million) is without prejudice to the EC25 commitment to be presented in the new EC25 schedule after enlargement.

  • 70

    US and the Farm BillUS and the Farm BillUS and the Farm BillUS and the Farm BillUS and the Farm BillUS and the Farm BillUS and the Farm BillUS and the Farm Bill

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    Green 46 51.8 51.3 49.8 49.7 50 50.1

    Blue 7 0 0 0 0 0 0

    De minimis 1.6 1.2 0.8 4.8 7.4 7.3 7

    Amber 6.2 5.9 6.2 10.4 16.9 16.8 14.4

    WTO limit 23.1 22.3 21.5 20.7 19.9 19.1 19.1

    1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

    US

    $ B

    illi

    on

  • 71

    Calculating the Current Total AMSCalculating the Current Total AMSCalculating the Current Total AMSCalculating the Current Total AMSCalculating the Current Total AMSCalculating the Current Total AMSCalculating the Current Total AMSCalculating the Current Total AMS

    Non-product-specific support

    Market price supportNon-exempt direct payments(e.g. loan deficiency payments, grants, compensatory payments)Other non-exempt measuresAll product-specific EMS

    Water subsidiesFertilizer subsidiesCrop insuranceSubsidized credits

    Product-specific support

    +

    Current Total AMSCurrent Total AMS

    De minimis

    allowance

  • 72

    NegotiationsNegotiationsNegotiationsNegotiationsNegotiationsNegotiationsNegotiationsNegotiations

    substantial reductions in trade-distorting domestic support

    ObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjective

    Technical elaboration of modalities for further commitments

    The Boxes

    S&D elements

  • 73

    Green Box

    Cap/reduce or maintain without limits

    Tighten or relax criteria

    Expand scope to address: NTCs, developing country concerns

    Blue Box should it stay or should it go?

    Article 6.2 further flexibilities to pursue targeted development needs

    Amber Box

    Reduce or eliminate AMS

    Maintain, reduce or increase de minimis

    Establish specific flexibilities (S&D, economies in transition, recently acceded Members)

    The Boxes The Boxes The Boxes The Boxes The Boxes The Boxes The Boxes The Boxes Main issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issues

    Key issue - Size of cuts

  • 74

    Framework modalities Framework modalities Framework modalities Framework modalities Framework modalities Framework modalities Framework modalities Framework modalities --------

    Overall tradeOverall tradeOverall tradeOverall tradeOverall tradeOverall tradeOverall tradeOverall trade--------distorting domestic supportdistorting domestic supportdistorting domestic supportdistorting domestic supportdistorting domestic supportdistorting domestic supportdistorting domestic supportdistorting domestic support

    Final Bound Total AMS

    +

    Permitted de minimis (half product specific and other half non-product specific)

    +

    Agreed Blue Box level

    Tiered formula, withTiered formula, with 20% 20% downpaymentdownpayment

    inin the the firstfirst year of year of implementationimplementation

    Overall reduction Base level

    Deeper cuts for higher levels of support

  • 75

    OTDS OTDS OTDS OTDS OTDS OTDS OTDS OTDS -------- Proposals and main issuesProposals and main issuesProposals and main issuesProposals and main issuesProposals and main issuesProposals and main issuesProposals and main issuesProposals and main issues

    45%65%75%G10

    70%75%80%G20

    31%53%75%US

    50%60%70%EC

    Tier 3 (Other Members with

    Total AMS)

    Tier 2 (Japan and US)

    Tier 1 (EC)Membersproposals

    Main issue - Size of cuts

    Developing country Members (all in tier 3) to make lesser reductions over a longer implementation period.

  • 76

    Framework modalities Framework modalities Framework modalities Framework modalities Framework modalities Framework modalities Framework modalities Framework modalities

    TradeTradeTradeTradeTradeTradeTradeTrade--------distorting domestic supportdistorting domestic supportdistorting domestic supportdistorting domestic supportdistorting domestic supportdistorting domestic supportdistorting domestic supportdistorting domestic support

    Final Bound Total AMS tiered formula

    Product-specific AMS caps

    - average level to be agreed

    - base period to be agreed

    Reduction in de minimis

    Capping of the Blue Box

    Individual elements

  • 77

    Final Bound Total AMS Final Bound Total AMS Final Bound Total AMS Final Bound Total AMS Final Bound Total AMS Final Bound Total AMS Final Bound Total AMS Final Bound Total AMS

    Proposals and main issuesProposals and main issuesProposals and main issuesProposals and main issuesProposals and main issuesProposals and main issuesProposals and main issuesProposals and main issues

    40%60%70%G10

    60%70%80%G20

    37%60%83%US

    50%60%70%EC

    Tier 3 (Other Members)

    Tier 2 (Japan and US)

    Tier 1 (EC)Membersproposals

    Main issues:- Size of cuts in Final Bound Total AMS- Base period for product-specific AMS caps (1999-2001 or 1995-2000)

    Developing country Members (all in tier 3) to make lesser reductions over a longer implementation period.

  • 78

    Hong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial Declaration

    TradeTradeTradeTradeTradeTradeTradeTrade--------distorting domestic supportdistorting domestic supportdistorting domestic supportdistorting domestic supportdistorting domestic supportdistorting domestic supportdistorting domestic supportdistorting domestic support

    Developed country Members in lower bands with high relative level of

    Final Bound Total AMS to make an additional effort

    Developing country Members with no AMS commitments exempt from

    reductions in de minimis and the overall cut

    Bands for reductionsMember withhighest level ofsupport

    Members with2nd and 3rdhighest levels ofsupport

    Other Members

    Higher linear cuts in higher bands

  • 79

    De minimisDe minimisDe minimisDe minimisDe minimisDe minimisDe minimisDe minimis

    Reduction in de minimis (by 50% or 80% or such reduction as to adjust

    to the rate of cut in OTDS)

    S&D: Developing countries that allocate almost all de minimis support

    for subsistence and resource-poor farmers will be exempt from reduction

    Data for Korea are for the year 2000.

    Use of de minimis - 2001

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    EC US JPN KOR CHE BRA NOR

    % o

    f valu

    e o

    f agricultura

    l

    pro

    duction

    Product-specific Non-product-specific

  • 80

    Blue BoxBlue BoxBlue BoxBlue BoxBlue BoxBlue BoxBlue BoxBlue Box

    Direct payments under:

    - production-limiting programmes or

    - no requirement to produce

    - additional criteria to be negotiated

    Blue Box not to exceed 5% of a Members average total value of agricultural

    production during an historical period

    21,231 mln $

    813 mln $

    728 mln $

    Blue Box - 2001

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    EC US JPN NOR

    % o

    f valu

    e o

    f ag

    ricu

    ltu

    ral

    pro

    du

    cti

    on

    0 mln $5% cap

  • 81

    Blue BoxBlue BoxBlue BoxBlue BoxBlue BoxBlue BoxBlue BoxBlue Box -------- PPPPPPPProposals and main issuesroposals and main issuesroposals and main issuesroposals and main issuesroposals and main issuesroposals and main issuesroposals and main issuesroposals and main issues

    Main issues:- how to ensure less trade-distortion- how to design effective disciplines on old and new Blue Box

    Lower the Blue Box cap 2.5% of VOP (or less)

    Develop additional criteria:

    - non-concentration via double trigger

    - offsetting mechanism

    - other?

  • 82

    Green BoxGreen BoxGreen BoxGreen BoxGreen BoxGreen BoxGreen BoxGreen Box

    Review and clarify criteria

    Ensure basic concepts, principles and effectiveness remain; take

    due account of non-trade concerns

    Strengthen monitoring and surveillance

    Data for Korea for the year 2000.

    Green Box expenditure - 2001

    0

    10,000

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    50,000

    60,000

    EC US JPN KOR CHE BRA NOR CAN

    US$ m

    illion

    Main issue: what amendments should be made, if any

  • 83

    Hong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial Declaration

    CottonCottonCottonCottonCottonCottonCottonCotton

    All forms of export subsidies to be eliminated by developed countries in 2006

    Developed countries to give duty and quota free access for cotton exports from LDCs

    from the start of implementation period

    Trade-distorting domestic subsidies to be reduced more ambitiously and implemented

    over a shorter period of time than generally applicable

    Development assistance aspects:

    - Consultative Framework process (bilateral donors, multilateral and regional institutions)

    - explore a possibility of establishing a mechanism to address income declines in the

    cotton sector

    - Director General to furnish a third Period Report at the next Ministerial Conference

    Follow-up and monitoring Director General to set up an appropriate mechanism

    High-Level Session of the Director-Generals Consultative Framework

    Mechanism on Cotton to take place on 15-16 March 2007 in Geneva

  • 84

    S&DS&DS&DS&DS&DS&DS&DS&D

    1

    Lower reduction coefficients for all types of trade-distorting support

    Longer implementation period

    Access to Article 6.2 Development programmes

    2

    3

    4De minimis support for subsistence and resource-poor farmers exempt from reduction

  • 85

    ChairmanChairmans Draft Modalitiess Draft Modalities--

    TN/AG/W/4/Rev.2TN/AG/W/4/Rev.2

    Base overall trade-distorting domestic support (OTDS) shall be the sum of:

    (i) final bound total AMS;

    (ii) 10% of value of production in the 1995-2000 base period representing 5% for product-specific support and 5% for non-product specific support; for developing countries 10% each: base period either 1995-2000 or

    1995-2004

    (iii) the higher of average Blue Box payments or 5% of the average total value of production (1995-2000)

    Thus for some developed countries, the base level would be Amber box commitment plus 15% of production

  • 86

    ChairChairs Proposed Draft s Proposed Draft

    Modalities Modalities -- OTDSOTDS

    [50] [60] % $10 billion3 Others Developed and Developing

    [66] [73] %$10 billion and 60 billion

    2 US and Japan

    [75] [85] % $60 billion1 - EC

    Proposed CutsRangeBands

  • 87

    DOMESTIC SUPPORTDOMESTIC SUPPORTChairChairs Draft Modalitiess Draft Modalities

    Under the Chairmans proposal, US OTDS will be reduced from $48.2 billion to between $13 and $16.4 billion. Under its own proposal, it will be reduced to $22.5 billion

    According to the recent notification by the US, its payments on OTDS amounted to $ 16.3 billion in 2002, $10.2 billion in 2003, $18.1 billion in 2004 and $18.9 billion in 2005

    Estimated that because of high commodity prices last year, the US payments on OTDS amounted to $11 billion. Figure not confirmed by the US

  • 88

    DOMESTIC SUPPORTDOMESTIC SUPPORTChairChairs Draft Modalitiess Draft Modalities

    The ECs current ceiling is estimated at 110.3 billion ($152 billion). Cut will bring the ceiling down to 27.6 billion or 16.5 billion

    Japan expected to do more, as its overall support is more than 40 per cent of the total value of its agricultural production a cut halfway between the cuts of the top and the second tiers

  • 89

    DOMESTIC SUPPORTDOMESTIC SUPPORTChairChairs Draft Modalitiess Draft Modalities

    Implementation period and staging: Developed countries: six steps over 5 years. For the EC, US and

    Japan, the base OTDS will be reduced by one-third on the first day of implementation and the remainder to be reduced in five equal instalments

    For developed Members in the third tier, the base OTDS will be reduced by 25 per cent on the first day of implementation and the remainder to be reduced in five equal instalments

    Developing countries with no Final Bound Total AMS commitments exempted from undertaking reduction commitments with respect to their base OTDS. Those with AMS commitments will undertake two-thirds of the reduction made by developed countries

    Reductions by developing countries shall be implemented in nine steps over 8 years. The base OTDS shall be reduced by 20 per cent on the first day of implementation and the remainder in eight equal instalments

    RAMs which recently acceded exempted, so also are small low-income RAMs with economies-in-transition. For other RAMs, treatment comparable to that of other developing countries two-thirds cut and a transitional period of 8 years

  • 90

    ChairChairs Proposed Draft s Proposed Draft

    Modalities Modalities -- AMSAMS

    [45] %$15 billion3

    [60] %$15 billion and 40 billion

    2

    [70] % $40 billion1

    Proposed CutsRangeBands

  • 91

    Domestic SupportDomestic SupportChairmanChairmans proposalss proposals

    Under the Chairmans proposal, the amber box limit of the EC will be reduced from 67.1 billion ($92.5 billion) to 20.1 billion

    The amber box limit of the US will be reduced from $19.1 billion to $7.6 billion

    Developed countries whose Amber Box support is more than 40% of the value of their agricultural production to make a bigger cut, i.e. a cut halfway between the cut of their tier and the tier above

    According to figures provided by the US, AMS payments for 2002, 2003, 2004 and 2005 were $9.6 billion, $6.9 billion, $11.6 billion and 12.9 billion, respectively.

    Brazil and Canada are alleging in the dispute settlement proceedings that the US exceeded its WTO limits for most of these years, a claim the US denies.

  • 92

    Domestic SupportDomestic SupportChairmanChairmans proposalss proposals

    Implementation period and staging:

    The EC, US and Japan to cut 25% from the start. All other cuts to be made over 5 years in 5 equal instalments

    For other developed countries, reductions to be implemented in six equal instalments over 5 years, commencing on the 1st day of implementation

    Developing countries expected to reduce their support by two-thirds of the formula cut. Implementation in nine equal instalments over 8 years, commencing on the 1st

    day of implementation

    RAMs which recently acceded exempted from cuts, so also are small low-income RAMs with economies-in-transition. Some allowed to exclude investment subsidies from Amber Box calculations. Other RAMs to make two-thirds of the normal cut

  • 93

    Domestic SupportDomestic Support

    PRODUCT-SPECIFIC AMS CAPS average applied during the UR implementation period (1995-2000)

    For the US average between 1995-2004 and 1995-2000

    S&D for developing countries base period (1995-2000 or

    1995-2004)

    DE MINIMIS: to be reduced by [50] [60] per cent by developed

    countries i.e. cap at 2.5 or 2 per cent of the value of

    production

    S&D for developing countries: some exempted, others to make

    two-thirds of the cuts of developed countries

    BLUE BOX: maximum permitted value not to exceed 2.5 per

    cent of the average total value of agricultural production

    Lesser cut if over 40% of Members support placed in the blue

    box

    Deeper cut in AMS support for cotton

  • Export Competition and Export Competition and

    the Marrakesh NFIDC the Marrakesh NFIDC

    DecisionDecision

  • 95

    Export Competition Export Competition Export Competition Export Competition Export Competition Export Competition Export Competition Export Competition -------- OutlineOutlineOutlineOutlineOutlineOutlineOutlineOutline

    Current disciplines

    Export subsidies

    Anti-circumvention

    Export prohibitions and restrictions

    The Framework and the negotiations

    The Marrakesh NFIDC Decision

  • 96

    Export SubsidiesExport SubsidiesExport SubsidiesExport SubsidiesExport SubsidiesExport SubsidiesExport SubsidiesExport Subsidies

    Article 1(e): Subsidies contingent upon export performance, including

    the export subsidies listed in Article 9

    Definition

    Legal Framework

    Export subsidies allowed only if listed in the Schedule and subject to

    reduction commitments (volume and budgetary outlays)

    Roll-over provisions (now expired)

    S&D: subsidies for marketing and internal transport (during the

    implementation period)

    Anti-circumvention provisions

  • 97

    Policy Coverage Policy Coverage Policy Coverage Policy Coverage Policy Coverage Policy Coverage Policy Coverage Policy Coverage -------- Article 9.1Article 9.1Article 9.1Article 9.1Article 9.1Article 9.1Article 9.1Article 9.1

    Direct subsidies contingent on export performance

    Sale or disposal for export by governments or their agencies of non-commercial stocks at prices below domestic market price

    Payments on exports financed by government action (including producer financed subsidies)

    Subsidies to reduce cost of marketing, including handling, upgrading, international transport and freight

    Favourable internal transport and freight charges on export shipments

    Subsidies on agricultural products contingent on their incorporation in exported products

  • 98

    Export SubsidiesExport SubsidiesExport SubsidiesExport SubsidiesExport SubsidiesExport SubsidiesExport SubsidiesExport Subsidies

    No reduction commitments for LDCs

    DEVELOPED DEVELOPING

    Implementation period

    6 years 1995-2000

    10 years 1995-2004

    Cut in budgetary outlays

    -36% -24%

    Cut in subsidized quantities

    -21% -14%

  • 99

    Members with Scheduled Reduction Members with Scheduled Reduction Members with Scheduled Reduction Members with Scheduled Reduction Members with Scheduled Reduction Members with Scheduled Reduction Members with Scheduled Reduction Members with Scheduled Reduction

    CommitmentsCommitmentsCommitmentsCommitmentsCommitmentsCommitmentsCommitmentsCommitments

    Number of products

    Australia (5)

    Bolivarian Republic

    of Venezuela (72)

    Brazil (16)

    Bulgaria (44)

    Canada (11)

    Colombia (18)

    Cyprus (9)

    Czech Rep. (16)

    EC (20)

    Hungary (16)

    Iceland (2)

    Indonesia (1)

    Israel (6)

    Mexico (5)

    New Zealand (1)

    Norway (11)

    Panama (1)

    Poland (17)

    Romania (13)

    Slovak Rep. (17)

    South Africa (62)

    Switzerl-Liecht. (5)

    Turkey (44)

    United States (13)

    Uruguay (3)

  • 100

    Export Subsidy ExpendituresExport Subsidy ExpendituresExport Subsidy ExpendituresExport Subsidy ExpendituresExport Subsidy ExpendituresExport Subsidy ExpendituresExport Subsidy ExpendituresExport Subsidy Expenditures

    20002000200020002000200020002000

    But what about the Panels?

    2,509

    550 17

    189

    45 00

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    EC US Japan Korea Switz-Liech. Norway Brazil

    US

    $ M

    illion

  • 101

    Export Subsidies

    Other forms of export subsidies

    Export credits, insurance and guarantees

    Develop internationally agreed disciplines

    But ... negotiations with no result - OECD Arrangement on Officially Supported Export Credits does not cover agriculture

    Food aid Specific criteria, Food Aid Convention, FAO

    But ... is it always genuine aid or dumping?

    Other ways to evade commitments?- Taxes, production quotas- Domestic support

    - Other

    Article 10 to prevent circumvention of export

    subsidy commitments

  • 102

    Export Prohibitions and RestrictionsExport Prohibitions and RestrictionsExport Prohibitions and RestrictionsExport Prohibitions and RestrictionsExport Prohibitions and RestrictionsExport Prohibitions and RestrictionsExport Prohibitions and RestrictionsExport Prohibitions and Restrictions

    Article XI.1(a) of GATT provision for the temporary application of an export prohibition or restriction

    Article 12 of the AoA when applying GATT Article XI.2(a):

    Give due consideration to impacts on importing Members food security

    Advance written notice, consultations on request

    Not applicable to developing countries which are not net exporters of the specific foodstuff concerned

  • 103

    NegotiationsNegotiationsNegotiationsNegotiationsNegotiationsNegotiationsNegotiationsNegotiations

    reductions of, with a view to phasing out, all forms of export subsidies

    ObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjectiveObjective

    Technical elaboration of modalities for further commitments

    Export subsidies

    Export credits, insurance and guarantees

    Food aid

    Exporting STEs

    Export restrictions and taxes

  • 104

    Reduce/eliminate export subsidies

    Parallel elimination of all forms of export subsidies:

    Export credits, insurance and guarantees- Reduction commitments vs. rules-based approach; Disciplines in favour

    of LDCs and NFIDCs

    Food aid- Genuine aid vs. surplus dumping; Need declaration vs. response to an

    appeal; Concessional vs. grant form

    State trading enterprises- Tackle the enterprises or specific measures

    Export restrictions and taxes- Reduce/eliminate export restrictions; Export taxes not for negotiation?

    Key issue End export subsidies at a date certain

    Main issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issuesMain issues

  • 105

    Export subsidies

    Credible eCredible eCredible eCredible eCredible eCredible eCredible eCredible end date nd date nd date nd date nd date nd date nd date nd date

    Parallel elimination of:Parallel elimination of:Parallel elimination of:Parallel elimination of:Parallel elimination of:Parallel elimination of:Parallel elimination of:Parallel elimination of:

    Export credits, guarantees & insurance with repayment periods > 180 days

    Export credits, guarantees & insurance with repayment periods 180 days which are not in accordance with disciplines to be agreed

    Trade-distorting elements of export STEs Food aid that is not in conformity with operationally

    effective disciplines to be agreed

    Framework modalitiesFramework modalitiesFramework modalitiesFramework modalitiesFramework modalitiesFramework modalitiesFramework modalitiesFramework modalities

    Implementation - Annual instalments

  • 106

    S&DS&DS&DS&DS&DS&DS&DS&D

    1

    Access to Article 9.4 (marketing & transportation subsidies)

    Longer implementation periods

    Disciplines on export credits, guarantees or insurance programmes - provision for differential treatment in favour of LDCs and NFIDCs

    2

    3

    4STEs - Special consideration for maintaining monopoly status

  • 107

    Parallel elimination of all forms of export subsidies 2013

    Substantial part to be eliminated by the end of the first half of the implementation period

    Disciplines:

    Export credits, insurance and guarantees 180 days- Should be self-financing, reflecting market consistency and of sufficiently

    short duration so as not to effectively circumvent real commercially-oriented discipline

    Food aid- Safe box for bona fide food aid in emergency situations

    - Eliminate commercial displacement via effective disciplines on in-kind food aid, monetization and re-exports

    State trading enterprises- Disciplines to also cover future use of monopoly power

    Access to Article 9.4 for developing country Members for five years after the end-date for elimination of all forms of export subsidies

    Hong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial DeclarationHong Kong Ministerial Declaration

  • 108

    Elimination of all forms of export subsidies by 2013.

    Budgetary outlays- 50% reduction by 2010 and the

    rest in equal instalments

    Reduction commitments also on quantity of exported

    products

    S&D for developing countries - 2016

    Developing countries to benefit from the provisions of

    Article 9.4 until 5 yrs after the end of the

    implementation period

    Proposed strengthened disciplines on agricultural

    exporting STEs and international food aid

    Elimination of all forms of export subsidies for cotton

    ...

    Export Competition Chairs Draft ModalitiesTN/AG/W/4/rev1

  • 109

    The Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC Decision

    Recognize possible negative effects of reform programme:

    availability of adequate food supplies from external sources, on reasonable terms

    short-term difficulties in financing normal levels of commercial imports

    WTO list of NFIDCs:

    Least-developed countries (UN list) plus

    Barbados, Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, Botswana, Cte d'Ivoire, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, Egypt, Gabon, Honduras, Jamaica, Jordan, Kenya, Mauritius, Mongolia, Morocco, Namibia, Pakistan, Peru, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Senegal, Sri Lanka, Trinidad and Tobago, Tunisia

  • 110

    The Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC Decision

    Food aid:

    review by the Committee on Agriculture

    new Food Aid Convention 1999 extended to 30 June 2007

    notifications (quantity and concessionality)

    Consideration given to requests for assistance to improve agricultural productivity and infrastructure

    Export credits (negotiations ongoing)

    Short-term difficulties in financing commercial imports of basic foodstuffs - access to resources of international financial institutions, e.g. IMF and the World Bank

  • 111

    The Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC DecisionThe Marrakesh NFIDC Decision

    Inter-agency Panel of finance and commodity experts from IMF, World Bank, FAO, IGC, WTO

    explore ways for improving access to multilateral programs and facilities to assist with short-term difficulties in financing normal levels of commercial imports of basic foodstuffs

    Discussions in the Committee on Agriculture

    concept and feasibility of proposal to establish an ex-ante financing mechanism

    May 2003 - Round-table of experts to:

    explore the need for a safety net

    identify appropriate mechanisms

    Recommendations for the IFIs and the Committee on Agriculture