introduction to structural equation modeling

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Page 1: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling
Page 2: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

What is SEM?

Page 3: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

What is SEM?• SEM is not one statistical ‘technique’

Page 4: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

What is SEM?• SEM is not one statistical ‘technique’• It integrates a number of different

multivariate techniques into one model fitting framework

Page 5: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

What is SEM?• SEM is not one statistical ‘technique’• It integrates a number of different

multivariate techniques into one model fitting framework

• It is an integration of:– Measurement theory– Factor (latent variable) analysis– Path analysis– Regression– Simultaneous equations

Page 6: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Useful for ResearchQuestions that..

Page 7: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Useful for ResearchQuestions that..

• Involve complex, multi-faceted constructs that are measured with error

Page 8: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Useful for ResearchQuestions that..

• Involve complex, multi-faceted constructs that are measured with error

• That specify ‘systems’ of relationships rather than a dependent variable and a set of predictors

Page 9: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Useful for ResearchQuestions that..

• Involve complex, multi-faceted constructs that are measured with error

• That specify ‘systems’ of relationships rather than a dependent variable and a set of predictors

• Focus on indirect (mediated) as well as direct effects of variables on other variables

Page 10: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Also Known as

Page 11: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Also Known as• Covariance Structure Analysis

Page 12: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Also Known as• Covariance Structure Analysis• Analysis of Moment Structures

Page 13: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Also Known as• Covariance Structure Analysis• Analysis of Moment Structures• Analysis of Linear Structural Relationships

(LISREL)

Page 14: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Also Known as• Covariance Structure Analysis• Analysis of Moment Structures• Analysis of Linear Structural Relationships

(LISREL)• Causal Modeling

Page 15: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Software for SEM• There are a lot of software packages that

can fit SEMs

Page 16: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Software for SEM• There are a lot of software packages that

can fit SEMs• The original and best known is Lisrel,

developed by Joreskog and Sorbom

Page 17: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Software for SEM• There are a lot of software packages that

can fit SEMs• The original and best known is Lisrel,

developed by Joreskog and Sorbom• Mplus, EQS, Amos, Calis, Mx, SEPATH,

Tetrad, R, stata

Page 18: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Software for SEM• There are a lot of software packages that

can fit SEMs• The original and best known is Lisrel,

developed by Joreskog and Sorbom• Mplus, EQS, Amos, Calis, Mx, SEPATH,

Tetrad, R, stata• Some have downloadable student

versions

Page 19: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

SEM can be thought of asPath Analysis

using Latent Variables

Page 20: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

What are Latent Variables?

Page 21: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

What are Latent Variables?• Most social scientific concepts are not

directly observable, e.g. intelligence, social capital

Page 22: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

What are Latent Variables?• Most social scientific concepts are not

directly observable, e.g. intelligence, social capital

• This makes them hypothetical or ‘latent’ constructs

Page 23: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

What are Latent Variables?• Most social scientific concepts are not

directly observable, e.g. intelligence, social capital

• This makes them hypothetical or ‘latent’ constructs

• We can measure latent variables using observable indicators

Page 24: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

What are Latent Variables?• Most social scientific concepts are not

directly observable, e.g. intelligence, social capital

• This makes them hypothetical or ‘latent’ constructs

• We can measure latent variables using observable indicators

• We can think of the variance of a questionnaire item as being caused by:– The latent construct we want to measure– Other factors (error/unique variance)

Page 25: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

x = t + e

MeasuredTrue Score

Error

RandomError

SystematicError

True score and measurement error

Mean of Errors =0

Mean of Errors ≠0

True value on construct

Page 26: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling
Page 27: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

X = t + e

Page 28: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

X = t + e

Observed item

Page 29: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

X = t + e

Observed item

True score

Page 30: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

X = t + e

Observed item

True score

error

Page 31: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

X = t + e

Observed item

True score

error

Page 32: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

X = t + e

Observed item

True score

error

Page 33: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

X = t + e

Observed item

True score

error

Page 34: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

X = t + e

Observed item

True score

error

Page 35: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

X = t + e

Observed item

True score

error

Problem – with one indicator, the equation is unidentified

Page 36: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

X = t + e

Observed item

True score

error

Problem – with one indicator, the equation is unidentifiedWe can’t separate true score and error

Page 37: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Multiple Indicator Latent Variables

Page 38: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Multiple Indicator Latent Variables

• To identify t & e components we need multiple indicators of the latent variable

Page 39: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Multiple Indicator Latent Variables

• To identify t & e components we need multiple indicators of the latent variable

• With multiple indicators we can use a latent variable model to partition variance

Page 40: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Multiple Indicator Latent Variables

• To identify t & e components we need multiple indicators of the latent variable

• With multiple indicators we can use a latent variable model to partition variance

• e.g. principal components analysis transforms correlated variables into uncorrelated components

Page 41: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Multiple Indicator Latent Variables

• To identify t & e components we need multiple indicators of the latent variable

• With multiple indicators we can use a latent variable model to partition variance

• e.g. principal components analysis transforms correlated variables into uncorrelated components

• We can then use a reduced set of components to summarise the observed associations

Page 42: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

A Common Factor Model

η

λ1λ2 λ3

λ4

e1 e2 e3 e4

x1 x2 x3 x4

= Factor loadings = correlation between factor & indicatorλ

Page 43: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Benefits of Latent Variables

Page 44: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Benefits of Latent Variables• Most social concepts are complex and multi-

faceted

Page 45: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Benefits of Latent Variables• Most social concepts are complex and multi-

faceted • Using single measures will not adequately

cover the full conceptual map

Page 46: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Benefits of Latent Variables• Most social concepts are complex and multi-

faceted • Using single measures will not adequately

cover the full conceptual map• Removes/reduces random error in

measured construct

Page 47: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Benefits of Latent Variables• Most social concepts are complex and multi-

faceted • Using single measures will not adequately

cover the full conceptual map• Removes/reduces random error in

measured construct• Random error in dependent variables ->

estimates unbiased but less precise

Page 48: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Benefits of Latent Variables• Most social concepts are complex and multi-

faceted • Using single measures will not adequately

cover the full conceptual map• Removes/reduces random error in

measured construct• Random error in dependent variables ->

estimates unbiased but less precise• Random error in independent variables ->

attenuates regression coefficients toward zero

Page 49: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

RememberSEM can be thought of as

Path Analysis using

Latent Variables

Page 50: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

RememberSEM can be thought of as

Path Analysis using

Latent Variables

We now know about latent variables, what about path

analysis?

Page 51: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Path Analysis

Page 52: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Path Analysis• The diagrammatic representation of a

theoretical model using standardised notation

Page 53: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Path Analysis• The diagrammatic representation of a

theoretical model using standardised notation

• Regression equations specified between measured variables

Page 54: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Path Analysis• The diagrammatic representation of a

theoretical model using standardised notation

• Regression equations specified between measured variables

• ‘Effects’ of predictor variables on criterion/dependent variables can be:– Direct– Indirect– Total

Page 55: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Path Diagram notation

Page 56: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Path Diagram notation

Measured latent variable

Observed / manifest variable

Page 57: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Path Diagram notation

Error variance / disturbance term

Measured latent variable

Observed / manifest variable

Page 58: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Path Diagram notation

Error variance / disturbance term

Measured latent variable

Observed / manifest variable

Covariance / non-directional path

Page 59: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Path Diagram notation

Error variance / disturbance term

Measured latent variable

Observed / manifest variable

Covariance / non-directionalpath

Regression / directionalpath

Page 60: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

PD1: Single Cause

Page 61: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Two correlated causes

Page 62: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Indirect Effect

Page 63: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Indirect Effect

Page 64: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Indirect Effect

β1=direct effect of X1 on Y

Page 65: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Indirect Effect

β1=direct effect of X1 on Y

β2=direct effect of X1 on X2

Page 66: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Indirect Effect

β1=direct effect of X1 on Y

β2=direct effect of X1 on X2

β3=direct effect of X2 on Y

Page 67: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Indirect Effect

β1=direct effect of X1 on Y

β2=direct effect of X1 on X2

β3=direct effect of X2 on Y

β2*β3=indirect effect of X1 on Y

Page 68: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

Indirect Effect

β1=direct effect of X1 on Y

β2=direct effect of X1 on X2

β3=direct effect of X2 on Y

β2*β3=indirect effect of X1 on Y

β1+(β2*β3)=total effect of X1 on Y

Page 69: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

So a path diagram withlatent variables…

Page 70: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

So a path diagram withlatent variables…

Page 71: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling

So a path diagram withlatent variables…

…is a SEM

Page 72: Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling