internet presentation q1_2010
TRANSCRIPT
20 April 2010
0
The SKF Group
First-quarter results 2010
Tom Johnstone, President and CEO
20 April 2010
2Key points, Q1 report
• Strong operating profit and marginSEK 1,702 m versus SEK 768 m previous year11.8% versus 5.2% previous year
• Production levels increased during the quarterSignificantly higher year over year.
• Sales in local currency:Industrial Division: -12.1%Service Division: +8.2%Automotive Division: +26.2% Negative price/mix influenced by higher automotive sales versus industrial market.
• Improving demand outlook for Q2Significantly higher compared to Q2 2009Slightly higher sequentially compared to Q1 2010
• Manufacturing levelSignificantly higher year over yearHigher compared to average Q1 2010
20 April 2010
3Highlights 2010
• Inauguration of two new factories in India:- The Haridwar factory will manufacture deep groove ball bearings and primarily
serve the two-wheeler market and the vehicle service market in India. Totalinvestment: around SEK 250 million.
- The Ahmedabad factory will manufacture medium to large size bearings ofvarious types to serve customer segments such as wind energy and heavy industries. Total investment: around SEK 450 million.
• A programme was concluded in March for adjusting the manufacturing capacity in Gothenburg, Sweden. The total cost of these activities is around SEK 90 million and the benefit of these actions will be around SEK 50 million per year.
• The ninth SKF Solution Factory was inaugurated in Houston, USA
Photos
20 April 2010
4Sales volume
-35-30-25
-20-15-10-5
05
10% change y-o-y
2008 2009 2010
20 April 2010
5Sales in local currencies (excl. structural changes)
-30-25-20
-15-10-50
51015
% change y-o-y
2008 2009 2010
20 April 2010
6Growth in local currency(Organic growth + acquisition/divestments)
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
2008 2009 YTD March2010
Organic growth
% y-o-y
Acquisitions/Divestments
Long-term target level: 6-8% per annum
7.1%-19.0%
5.0%
20 April 2010
7Growth development by geographyLocal currency Q1 2010 vs Q1 2009
Europe-6%
Asia/Pacific +34%
Latin America +21%
Middle East & Africa +11%
North America +1%
20 April 2010
8Components in net sales
20092008 2010Percent y-o-y Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
-24.9 -14.1
0.4
0.3
-13.4
-1.4
-14.8
1.2
3.7
-20.0
6.6
-13.4
-30.8
1.1
5.6
-24.1
12.2
-11.9
-26.9
1.4
7.1
-18.4
13.6
-4.8
-13.0
2.4
8.5
-2.1
10.3
8.2
2.7
0.5
6.4
9.6
-0.9
8.7
6.2
1.3
4.0
11.5
-4.1
7.4
4.9
1.0
3.8
9.7
-1.2
8.5
Q1
5.3
0.0
-0.3
5.0
-7.7
-2.7
Volume
Structure
Price / Mix
Sales in local currency
Currency
Net sales
20 April 2010
9Operating profit
0200400600800
1 0001 2001 4001 6001 8002 0002 200SEKm
2008 2009 2010
Restructuring and one-time items
20 April 2010
10Operating margin
% Long-term target level: 12%
2008 2009
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2010
Restructuring and one-time items
20 April 2010
11Operating margin
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2008 2009 YTD March2010
%
12.2
Long-term target level: 12%
5.7
12.7*
8.0*
Restructuring and one-time items
* Excluding restructuring and one-time items
11.8
12.4*
20 April 2010
12Operating margin per division
-12-10
-8-6-4-202468
1012141618
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
IndustrialService
Automotive
%
2008
Excluding one-off items(eg. restructuring, impairments, capital gains)
2009 2010
20 April 2010
13First quarter 2010
SEKm 2010 2009
Net sales 14,446 14,849
Operating margin excl. restructuring, % 12.4% 6.4%
Cash flow after investments before financial items
32 523
Operating margin, % 11.8% 5.2%
Operating profit 1,702 768
Profit before taxes 1,504 531
Net profit 1,070 394
Basic earnings per share, SEK 2.27 0.86
20 April 2010
14Inventories as % of annual sales
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25% Long-term target level: 18%
2008 2009 2010
20 April 2010
15Cash flow, after investments before financial items
-1 000
-500
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500SEKm
Cash out fromacquisitions* (SEKm):
2008 1,2842009 241
20092008 2010
* including non-controlling interests.
20 April 2010
16Return on capital employed
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2008 2009 YTD March 2010
ROCE: Operating profit plus interest income, as a percentage of twelve months average of total assets less the average of non-interest bearing liabilities.
%Long-term target level: 24%
24.0
9.111.9
20 April 2010
17Net debt(Short-term financial assets minus loans and post-employment benefits)
-18 000
-16 000
-14 000
-12 000
-10 000
-8 000
-6 000
-4 000
-2 000
0
SEKm
AB SKF, dividend paid (SEKm):2008 Q2 2,2772009 Q2 1,5942010 Q2 proposed 1,594
Redemption (SEKm):2008 Q2 2,277
2008 2009 2010
20 April 2010
18SKF capital structure
The AB SKF Board proposes the Annual General Meeting to decide on:
• a dividend of SEK 3.50 per share
• a mandate to the Board to repurchase a maximum of 5% of the company's own shares
20 April 2010
19Volume trends(based on current assumptions)
Daily volume trends for: Q1 2010 Q2 2010
Total
6%Latin America
23%Asia Pacific
17%North America
51%Europe
Net sales2009
+++
+++
+++
++
++
Outlook Q22010 vs 2009
20 April 2010
20Sequential volume trend main segments Q2 2010(based on current assumptions)
7%
14%
7%
5%
22%
16%
12%
11%
3%
3%
Aerospace
Cars
Energy
Railway
Industrial distribution
Industrial OEM, General+Special
Vehicle Service Market
Industrial OEM, Heavy + Off-highway
Trucks
Electrical and two-wheeler
Net sales 2009
20 April 2010
21Volume trends, Divisions(based on current assumptions)
Daily volume trends for Q2 2010
Net sales2009
Industrial 34%
Service 35%
Automotive 29%
Total +++
+++
+++
+
Outlook Q22010 vs 2009
20 April 2010
22March 2010: Outlook for the second quarter 2010
Sales development compared to second quarter last yearThe demand for SKF products and services is expected to be significantly higher for the Group in total. In Europe and North America it is expected to be higher and in Asia and Latin America significantly higher. It is expected to be slightly higher for the Industrial Division and significantly higher both for the Service Division and Automotive Division.
Sales development compared to the first quarter 2010The demand is expected to be slightly higher for the SKF Group in total. In Europe and North America it is expected to be slightly higher and in Asia and Latin America higher. For both the Industrial Division and Service Division it is expected to be slightly higher and for the Automotive Division higher.
Manufacturing levelThe manufacturing level will be significantly higher year on year and higher compared to the average of the first quarter 2010.
20 April 2010
23Guidance for the second quarter 2010
• Tax level: around 30%
• Financial net for the second quarter:Around SEK -150 million
• Exchange rates on operating profit versus 2009Q2: SEK -200 millionFull year: SEK -500 million
• Additions to PPE: Around SEK 1.5 billion for 2010
Guidance is approximate and based on current assumptions and exchange rates.
20 April 2010
24Key focus areas ahead 2010
• Profit and cash flow
• Adjustment of manufacturing output to new demand levels
• Growing segments and geographies
• Strengthening the platform/segment approach
• Competence development
SKF Care and Six Sigma as guiding lights
20 April 2010
25SKF Care
Employee Care
Community CareEnvironmental Care
Business Care
BeyondZeroTM
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
SKF Care
Operating margin
20 April 2010
26SKF Group Vision
To equip the worldwith SKF knowledge
20 April 2010
27Cautionary statement
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are based on the
current expectations of the management of SKF.
Although management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-
looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such
expectations will prove to have been correct. Accordingly, results could differ
materially from those implied in the forward-looking statements as a result of,
among other factors, changes in economic, market and competitive conditions,
changes in the regulatory environment and other government actions, fluctuations
in exchange rates and other factors mentioned in SKF's latest annual report
(available on www.skf.com) under the Administration Report; “Important factors
influencing the financial results", "Financial risks" and "Sensitivity analysis”.
20 April 2010
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