international relocation, the real exchange rate and effective demand
TRANSCRIPT
International relocation, the real exchange
rate and effective demand
Wataru Johdo a,*, Ken-ichi Hashimoto b
a Department of Economics, Tezukayama University, 7-1-1 Tezukayama, Nara 631-8501, Japanb Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, 2-1 Rokko-dai, Nada, Kobe 657-8501, Japan
Received 18 February 2006; received in revised form 1 May 2007; accepted 18 September 2007
Abstract
By introducing an international relocation mechanism into a two-country model, we analyze the effects
of an increase in the corporation tax in the richer country on employment and effective demand in both
countries. This taxation policy proves to produce not only enterprise relocation, but also depreciation in the
real exchange rate. The latter is also shown to dominate the former, such that rich-country employment and
effective demand are stimulated. However, the two countries respond in opposing ways regarding enterprise
relocation and real exchange rate adjustment. Consequently, employment and effective demand in the poor
country will fall.
# 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
JEL classification: E24; F23; F31; H32
Keywords: Enterprise relocation; Real exchange rate; Effective demand; Corporation tax
1. Introduction
The main purpose of this paper is to investigate whether enterprise relocation from a home to a
foreign country under synchronized stagnation worsens conditions in the former and improves
conditions in the latter. Recently, the possible existence of stagnated equilibrium was
investigated by Ono (2001). Ono (2001) shows that stagnation may occur in a closed economy
when two assumptions not found in the neoclassical literature are fulfilled: namely insatiable
liquidity preference and sluggish price adjustment. In such a model, Ono (2001) considers the
effect of fiscal and monetary policy on effective demand. Furthermore, Ono (1999, 2006) extends
the closed economy model to an open economy setting and examines the effect on the two
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Japan and the World Economy
21 (2009) 39–54
* Corresponding author. Tel.: +81 742 48 9380; fax: +81 742 46 4994.
E-mail address: [email protected] (W. Johdo).
0922-1425/$ – see front matter # 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.japwor.2007.09.001
countries’ effective demand of one country’s fiscal and monetary policy. However, Ono’s model
does not embody any form of international location behavior between the two countries.
Alternatively, in the multinational firm literature, Fukao (1997) uses a dynamic model to
derive an equilibrium where enterprise relocation does not work completely, and examines the
impact of relocation by comparing it with free-entry equilibrium. However, since the regulation
of enterprise relocations among developed countries has been substantially liberalized, we
believe it is appropriate to examine the impact of the relocation of unrestricted firms at the initial
point. In addition, because Fukao (1997) assumes a small open economy, he cannot consider the
impact of enterprise relocation on another country that faces an inflow of firms. We consider it is
then appropriate that a two-country model should be adopted to examine the impact of enterprise
relocation among economic powers, including the U.S. and Japan.1
As a point of further comparison, Johdo and Hashimoto (2005) investigate the effects on welfare
of a corporation tax in a world in which production is globalized so that firms can relocate easily
using a two-country monopolistic trade model. However, this model lacks the adjustment
mechanism between relocation and effective demand under stagnation, because the model assumes
that demand is always met with supply in the labor market. Our contribution to the literature is to
present a two-country monopolistic trade model incorporating the international relocation of firms,
and show how it can be used to shed light on the relationship between the corporation tax rate and
effective demand under stagnation. The main result is as follows. If the home country increases
the corporation tax rate that led to international relocation under stagnation, this could improve
employment and effective demand in the home country and worsen employment and effective
demand in the foreign country if the home country is rich (or the foreign country is poor). The
remainder of thepaper is structured as follows. Section 2 outlines the features of the model. Section 3
describes the steady-state equilibrium. Section 4 presents the comparative steady-state results and
explains the underlying intuition. Thefinal section summarizes the findings andconcludes thepaper.
2. The model
2.1. Definitions of various prices
We assume a two-country (home and foreign) world economy in which monopolistically
competitive producers exist continuously in the range of [0, 1], each of which produces a single
differentiated product. An individual producer must choose either the home or the foreign
country as its production location, and productive activity cannot be carried out in both locations
simultaneously. We assume that the home location consists of those producers in the interval [0,
n], and the remaining [n, 1] producers are in the foreign location, where n is endogenous. This
paper adopts a consumption index of the Dixit and Stigliz (1977) type (shown below), in which
case the consumption-based price indexes are
P ¼� Z 1
0
P1�sj d j
�1=ð1�sÞ
¼� Z n
0
P1�sj d jþ
Z 1
n
ðeP�jÞ1�s
d j
�1=ð1�sÞ
; (1)
W. Johdo, K.-i. Hashimoto / Japan and the World Economy 21 (2009) 39–5440
1 Ethier and Markusen (1996) show that 80 percent of total foreign direct investment is between developed countries. In
addition, Stevens and Lipsey (1992) and Fukao (1996) are examples of empirical research in which enterprise relocation
is represented by foreign direct investment.
P� ¼� Z 1
0
P�1�sj d j
�1=ð1�sÞ
¼� Z n
0
�P j
e
�1�s
d jþZ 1
n
P�1�sj d j
�1=ð1�sÞ
; (2)
where P and P* are the price indexes of the home and foreign countries respectively and e is the
nominal exchange rate.2 There is a one-to-one correspondence between firms and varieties of
models after the Dixit–Stiglitz–Krugman types, so s is the elasticity of substitution between any
two varieties, and Pj is the price of product j. Here we assume that there are no impediments to
trade, so that ‘‘the law of one price’’ holds for each good. Since the price of the same good is
equalized across countries by the law of one price, purchasing power parity (P = eP*) must be
consistent with (1) and (2). Assuming symmetry between firms, (1) and (2) reduce to
P ¼ ½nP1�sh þ ð1� nÞðeP�f Þ
1�s�1=ð1�sÞ; (3)
P� ¼�
n
�Ph
e
�1�s
þ ð1� nÞP�1�sf
�1=ð1�sÞ
; (4)
where Ph is the price of the home good and P�f is the price of the foreign good. Adopting the above
definitions yields the real exchange rate of v� eP�f =Ph. In addition, the real prices of the two
goods are respectively
ph ¼Ph
P; pf ¼
eP�fP; p�h ¼
Ph=eP�
; p�f ¼P�fP�; (5)
which, from (3), (4), (5) and v� eP�f =Ph, yield
ph ¼ p�h ¼ v�1½nvs�1 þ ð1� nÞ�1=ðs�1Þ; (6)
p�f ¼ pf ¼ ½nvs�1 þ ð1� nÞ�1=ðs�1Þ: (7)
Considering (6) and (7), the real exchange rate reduces to v� p�f = ph. The nominal rate of return
from holding the equities of the home-located (respectively foreign-located) firm is defined as R
(respectively R*). If the two equities are perfect substitutes, these assets must yield equal rates of
return; i.e., R ¼ R� þ e=e, where e=e is the spot rate of exchange. Furthermore, differentiating
P = eP* with respect to time yields purchasing power parity in terms of inflation rates as
P=P ¼ P�=P� þ e=e, where P=P and P
�=P� are the spot rates of inflation. Moreover, defining the
real rates of return to home and foreign equities, respectively, as r (�R� P=P) and r*
(�R� � P�=P�) yields r = r*, where
r ¼ ph
qþ q
q; r� ¼ p�f
q�þ q�
q�; (8)
W. Johdo, K.-i. Hashimoto / Japan and the World Economy 21 (2009) 39–54 41
2 Foreign-country variables are indicated by an asterisk.
In expression (8), q (respectively q*) is the real price of equities and ph (respectively p�f )
represents the real flow of dividends from holding the equities of the home-located (respectively
foreign-located) firm, respectively.
2.2. Households
The size of the world population is normalized to unity. We assume that the shares of
households in the home and foreign locations are s and s* (�1 � s), respectively. In addition,
each household is endowed with one unit of (inelastically supplied) labor. The households in
each country consume a group of differentiated goods and obtain utility vðmÞ by holding real
money balances m (i.e., money-in-the-utility-function model). The consumption index c,
which is defined below, is assumed to be symmetric both within and across countries. A home
country’s household allocates total assets a between real money balances m, equities of home-
located firms bh, equities of foreign-located firms bf. Hence, the intertemporal maximization
problem is
max U ¼Z 1
0
½uðcÞ þ vðmÞ�expð�rtÞ dt; (9)
u0ðcÞ> 0; u00ðcÞ< 0; v0ðmÞ> 0; v00ðmÞ< 0; v0ð1Þ ¼ b> 0 (10)
s:t: a ¼ mþ bh þ bf ; (11)
a ¼ raþ wxs � c� Rm; (12)
xs ¼ min
�1;
n‘h
s
�: (13)
In Eq. (9), r is the subjective discount rate, and is identical in both countries. In Eq. (10),
v0ð1Þ ¼ b> 0 implies that there is no saturation point in the individual’s liquidity preference
even if real money balances m keeps increasing.3 Eq. (11) represents the stock constraint, and
Eq. (12) is the flow budget equation, where w (�W/P) denotes the real wage rate and xs is
realized labor supply. Eq. (13) implies that realized labor supply is determined on the short
side as either the potential labor supply or as the actual labor demand n‘h/s by the home-
located firms, where ‘h is labor input of each home-located firm, and hence n‘h/s is the per
capita actual labor demand.
W. Johdo, K.-i. Hashimoto / Japan and the World Economy 21 (2009) 39–5442
3 Ono et al. (2004) attempt to provide a justification for the existence of an insatiable liquidity preference by testing for
it empirically in Japan using two data sets, prefectural and individual. In their study, they use two different econometric
methods—parametric and nonparametric. They show that insatiable liquidity preference is significantly positive at
standard levels of significance.
Before turning to the dynamic problem, we consider the composition of a given level of
nominal expenditure, E, in each instant to maximize the consumption index c. The consumption
index, aggregating across the differentiated varieties, is given by
c ¼�Z 1
0
cðs�1Þ=sj d j
�s=ðs�1Þ
; s> 1: (14)
We take a particular point in time and define E at that point of time as
E ¼R 1
0P jc j d j ¼
R n0
P jc j d jþR 1
n ðeP�jÞc j d j. Subject to this, the individual determines cj to
maximize (14). Then we obtain the following demand functions
ch ¼EP�s
h
P1�s; h2 ½0; n�; cf ¼
EðeP�f Þ�s
P1�s; f 2 ðn; 1�; (15)
where ch (respectively cf) denotes the demand function for a good produced in the home
(respectively foreign) country. Similarly, we obtain the following demand functions for a foreign
household
c�h ¼E�ðPh=eÞ�s
P�1�s; h2 ½0; n�; c�f ¼
E�P��sf
P�1�s; f 2 ðn; 1�; (16)
where E� ¼R 1
0P�jc
�j d j ¼
R n0ðP j=eÞc�j d jþ
R 1
n P�jc�j d j. From (1), (14), (15) and P = eP*, we
obtain c = e, where e � E/P.
We now turn to the dynamic optimization problem. Since each household
maximizes (9) subject to c = e, (11), (12) and (13), the Hamiltonian is given
by H ¼ ½uðeÞ þ vðmÞ� exp ð�rtÞ þ l½raþ wxs � e� Rm�. The first-order optimality
conditions for this problem are u0(e) exp(�rt) = l, v0ðmÞ exp ð�rtÞ ¼ Rl and �l ¼ rl,
and the transversality condition is limt!1 la = 0. From the above conditions, we
derive
rþ me
�e
e
�þ P
P¼ R ¼ v0ðmÞ
u0ðeÞ ; (17)
where me � �u00(e)e/u0(e) is the elasticity of marginal utility. Similarly, from the first-order
conditions for a foreign household, we derive
rþ me�
�e�
e�
�þ P
�
P�¼ R� ¼ v0ðm�Þ
u0ðe�Þ : (18)
Following the terminology in Ono (2001), we refer to (17) and (18) as ‘‘Keynes’s rule’’.
2.3. Firms
We require all monopolistically competitive firms throughout the world to have identical
technologies, and we assume that the number of firms is fixed, which allows for
strictly positive profits. These firms use constant returns to scale technology to produce
W. Johdo, K.-i. Hashimoto / Japan and the World Economy 21 (2009) 39–54 43
the differentiated consumption products, according to yj = ‘j, where yj is the production of
home-located firm j and ‘j represents labor input. Summing the private demand functions
and equating the resulting equation to the output of good j produced in the home country
yields
y j ¼ sc j þ s�c�j : (19)
In expression (19), scj (respectively s�c�j) is aggregate home (respectively foreign) consumption
demand for product j. Since home-located firm j hires labor domestically, home-located firm j
faces the following profit-maximization problem:
maxp j
p jy j � w‘ j; (20)
s:t: y j ¼ sc j þ s�c�j ¼ p�sj ðseþ s�e�Þ; (21)
where (21) is derived by substituting e � E/P into (15) and e* � E*/P* into (16), taking account
of (5). Given W, P and (se + s*e*), the price markup is chosen according to
p j ¼�
s
s � 1
�w: (22)
Since w (�W/P) is given, (22) yields pj = ph, j 2 [0, n]. These relationships imply that each firm
supplies the same quantity of goods: yj = yh, j 2 [0, n]. Similarly, the price markups of foreign-
located firms are identical, so that yields p�j ¼ p�f , j 2 (n, 1] and y�j ¼ y�f ; j2 ðn; 1�. Substituting
(21) and (22) into (20) yields the real profit flows of the home-and foreign-located firms,
respectively as
ph ¼�
1
s
�p1�s
h ðseþ s�e�Þ; p�f ¼�
1
s
�p�1�s
f ðseþ s�e�Þ: (23)
2.4. Market adjustment
The money markets and the equities market are assumed to be always in equilibrium:
Money market : sm ¼ M
P; s�m� ¼ M
�
P�; (24)
International equities market : sbþ s�b� ¼ nqþ ð1� nÞq�: (25)
In expression (24), M (respectively M�) represents total money supply in the home
(respectively foreign) country. In expression (25), nq (respectively (1 � n)q*) represents
the total real value of home-located (respectively foreign-located) firms. From (21), goods
markets are represented by
W. Johdo, K.-i. Hashimoto / Japan and the World Economy 21 (2009) 39–5444
y j ¼ p�sj ðseþ s�e�Þ; j2 ½0; n�; y�j ¼ p��s
j ðseþ s�e�Þ; j2 ðn; 1�: (26)
Here, we assume sluggish nominal wage rate adjustment in the labor market, and we
formulate the nominal wage rate adjustment process for each country as follows:4
W
W¼ aðx� 1Þ; W
�
W¼ a�ðx� � 1Þ4; (27)
where a and a* are the parameters that represent the speed of nominal wage-rate adjustment, and
the employment rate of each country in (27) can be defined as
x ¼ n‘h
s; x� ¼ ð1� nÞ ‘
�f
s�: (28)
Expression (27) and (28) imply that the instant rate of nominal wage rates W (respectively W*) are
positively related to the excess labor demand (n‘h � s) (respectively (1 � n)‘�f � s�).5
3. Steady state with stagnation
We now present the conditions required in the steady state for both the home and
foreign countries to be in stagnation. The steady state with stagnation is six-fold (vss, nss, xss, x*ss,
ess, e*ss) in which r ¼ 0; r� ¼ 0; R ¼ 0; R� ¼ 0; v ¼ 0; q ¼ 0; q� ¼ 0; e ¼ 0; e� ¼ 0; n ¼
0; P=P< 0; P�=P�< 0; m> 0; m�> 0; v0ðmÞ ¼ b and n0ðm�Þ ¼ b� hold. The above definition
means not only that the real and nominal rates of interest, the real exchange rate, and the real price
of equities are fixed, but also that e, e* and n remain constant. In addition, the steady state with
stagnation requires that involuntary unemployment exists, consequently causing nominal wages,
nominal prices, and the price level to continue to decline, and hence real balances to continue to
increase. This is because that P=P ¼ Ph=Ph ¼ W=W ¼ aðx� 1Þ holds in the steady state from
(5), (6), (22) and (27).6 Since the money supply in each country is constant, from (24), the
dynamics of m and m* are represented by
m
m¼ � P
P;
m�
m�¼ � P
�
P�: (29)
Here, we assume that initial stockholdings per capita of the two countries, i.e., b0 (�bh0 + bf0)
and b�0 �ðb�h0 þ b�f0Þ; are
b0 ¼u½nqþ ð1� nÞq��
s; b�0 ¼
ð1� uÞ½nqþ ð1� nÞq��s�
; (30)
W. Johdo, K.-i. Hashimoto / Japan and the World Economy 21 (2009) 39–54 45
4 Johdo (2002) and Matsuzaki (2003) also use this type of sluggish adjustment mechanism.5 Naturally, when full employment holds, i.e., n‘j = s, (27) yields W=W ¼ 0, 8a.6 Appendix A presents the parametric conditions required for unemployment to exist in the steady state.
where u and (1 � u) denote the share of the total value of world equities, held by home and
foreign agents, respectively.7 Then, from (8), (11), (12), (22), (29), and (30), the employment
levels of the two countries are as follows8
x ¼ e� u½nph þ ð1� nÞp�f �=s
phðs � 1Þ=s ; (31)
x� ¼ e� � ð1� uÞ½nph þ ð1� nÞp�f �=s�
p�f ðs � 1Þ=s : (32)
Since v and n are constant, from (6) and (7), P and P* change parallel to Ph and P�f , which results
in, from (22), (27) and (28):
P
P¼ Ph
Ph
¼ W
W¼ aðx� 1Þ; P
�
P�¼ P
�f
P�f¼ W
�
W�¼ a�ðx� � 1Þ: (33)
Moreover, since e and e* remain constant, from (17) and (18), we obtain
rð¼ r�Þ ¼ r: (34)
Now, and for the purposes of simplicity, we assume that firms do not face any relocation costs
so that it does not take any time to relocate in another country. If any firm is indifferent between
home and foreign location, then returns from the two locations must be equalized. Arbitrage
behavior regarding location then ensures the following location-equilibrium condition:
ph ¼ p�f : (35)
From (23), (35) and v� p�f = ph, the steady-state value of v is
vss ¼ 1: (36)
We explain (36) intuitively as follows. The profits of the enterprises of both countries are equal
from (35). In addition, since the preferences of the two countries are symmetrical, the real prices
of the home country’s product and the foreign country’s product are equal. Thus, the real
exchange rate, which is the price ratio, is vss = 1. Here, for simplicity, we specify the utility
function for consumption as u(e) = ln e. Then (17) and (18) reduce to
bess ¼ rþ aðxss � 1Þ; b�e�ss ¼ rþ a�ðx�ss � 1Þ: (37)
Eq. (37) shows that an increase in xss (respectively x*ss) raises ess (respectively e*ss), i.e.,
dess/dxss > 0 and de*ss/dx*ss > 0. This is because an increase in xss (x*ss) reduces the deflation
W. Johdo, K.-i. Hashimoto / Japan and the World Economy 21 (2009) 39–5446
7 The values of b0 and b�0 turn out to be consistent with (25).8 In this paper, the steady state with stagnation requires that unemployment exists in both countries, hence nominal
wages and nominal prices continue to decline. Therefore x < 1 and x* < 1 must hold in the steady state. On the other
hand, the full-employment steady state requires that x = x* = 1.
rate (or increases the inflation rate) according to (33), which raises the time preference rate and
hence consumption increases. In addition, we assume that population size, the wage-adjustment
speed and the minimum level of the marginal utility of money are the same in both countries; i.e.,
s = s*, a = a*, b = b*. From (31), (32), (36), and (37), we obtain the following steady-state
employment rates:
xss ¼ ðb=aÞfðr� aÞ½ðb� aÞððs � 1Þ=sÞ � 2ðau=sÞ�gðb� aÞ½bððs � 1Þ=sÞ � a� � ðr� aÞ=a ; (38)
x�ss ¼ ðb=aÞfðr� aÞ½ðb� aÞððs � 1Þ=sÞ � 2ðað1� uÞ=sÞ�gðb� aÞ½bððs � 1Þ=sÞ � a� � ðr� aÞ=a : (39)
If we substitute xss and x*ss from (38) and (39) respectively into (37), we obtain the following
steady-state consumption values:
ess ¼ ðr� aÞ½ðb� aÞððs � 1Þ=sÞ � 2ðau=sÞ�ðb� aÞ½bððs � 1Þ=sÞ � a� ; (40)
e�ss ¼ ðr� aÞ½ðb� aÞððs � 1Þ=sÞ � 2ðað1� uÞ=sÞ�ðb� aÞ½bððs � 1Þ=sÞ � a� : (41)
In addition, from (6), (7), (13), (23), (26), (31), (36) and yj = ‘j, the steady-state distribution of
enterprises between locations for enterprises is as follows9:
nss ¼ 1
2ðs � 1Þ
�s � 2u þ ½asð1� 2uÞ�½bðs � 1Þ � as�
�: (42)
Here, we find the parametric condition required for nss to be between 0 and 1 as follow (see
Appendix A).
sðb� aÞ> 2b: (43)
In addition, for a steady state with stagnation in which there are unemployment and effective
demand shortages in both countries, the employment levels given above must satisfy 0 < xss < 1
and 0 < x*ss < 1, and the steady-state consumption values given above must satisfy
up/s < ess < ef and ð1� uÞp=s�< e�ss < e�f , where p� ½nph þ ð1� nÞp�f �, and ef and e�f are
the full-employment production levels of each country compatible with xss = 1 and x*ss = 1,
respectively. In what follows, we assume that (43) and the conditions required for 0 < xss < 1 and
0 < x*ss < 1, up/s < ess < ef and ð1� uÞp=s�< e�ss < e�f are valid, so that a steady state with
stagnation exists in this economy.10
W. Johdo, K.-i. Hashimoto / Japan and the World Economy 21 (2009) 39–54 47
9 When u = 1/2 holds, (42) reduces to nss = 1/2.10 See Appendix A for the condition required for 0 < xss < 1 and 0 < x*ss < 1, up/s < ess < ef and ð1�
uÞp=s�< e�ss < e�f to hold together in the steady state.
4. International relocation, employment and consumption
In this section, we investigate the impact on the effective demand of both countries of an
increase in one country’s corporation tax rate that causes the relocation of some firms to the other
country.11 Suppose that the home government imposes a corporation tax rate on the profits of
home-located firms. Then the location equilibrium condition (35) is rewritten as ð1� tÞph ¼ p�f ,
where t is the corporation tax rate. In addition, we assume that all tax revenue is shared equally by
home-located households in a lump sum. Then, in a steady state with stagnation, the model is
reduced to the following four equations:
vss ¼ ð1� tÞ1=ð1�sÞ; (44)
nss ¼ ð1� tÞfu � s½ess=ðess þ e�ssÞ�gf1� t � s½1� t½ess=ðess þ e�ssÞ��g ; (45)
bess ¼ rþ a½nssvsssðnssvsss�1 þ 1� nssÞ�s=ðs�1Þðess þ e�ssÞ � 1�; (46)
be�ss ¼ rþ a�½ð1� nssÞðnssvsss�1 þ 1� nssÞ�s=ðs�1Þðess þ e�ssÞ � 1�; (47)
where Eq. (44) is the location equilibrium condition, Eq. (45) is the current account equilibrium
of the home country and Eqs. (46) and (47) are the steady-state conditions of consumption
behavior in the home and foreign countries, respectively. From (44), we easily obtain @vss/
@t � 0. The mechanism can be explained intuitively as follows: an increase in t leads to
ð1� tÞph <p�f . On the other hand, an increase in v increases ph and decreases p�f , since s > 1
implies that the price elasticity for each product is greater than unity. Thus, an increase in the
corporation tax rate leads to an increase in v required for after-tax profits to be equalized
worldwide. Totally differentiating (44)–(47) with respect to t gives:
1 0 0 0
0 h2 h3 h4
h6 h7 h8 h9
h10 h11 h12 h13
2664
3775
dvss
dnss
dess
de�ss
2664
3775 ¼
h1
h5
0
0
2664
3775dt;
where
h1�1
ð1� sÞð1� tÞs=ðs�1Þ ;
h2� 1� t � s
�1� t
�ess
ess þ e�ss
��;
W. Johdo, K.-i. Hashimoto / Japan and the World Economy 21 (2009) 39–5448
11 The validity of adopting corporation tax as an influence upon enterprise relocation is empirically supported by
Grubert and Mutti (1991) and Wheeler and Mody (1992).
h3�se�ssðnsst þ 1� tÞðess þ e�ssÞ2
;
h4� �sessðnsst þ 1� tÞðess þ e�ssÞ2
;
h5� nss � u þ sð1� nssÞ�
ess
ess þ e�ss
�;
h6� � ansssvsss�1ðnssvsss�1 þ 1� nssÞ�s=ðs�1Þðess þ e�ssÞ
� ½1� nssvsss�1ðnssvsss�1 þ 1� nssÞ�1�;
h7� � avsssðnssvsss�1 þ 1� nssÞ�s=ðs�1Þðess þ e�ssÞ
� ½1� nssðs=ðs � 1ÞÞðvsss�1 � 1Þðnssvsss�1 þ 1� nssÞ�1�;
h8� b� anssvsssðnssvsss�1 þ 1� nssÞ�s=ðs�1Þ;
h9� � anssvsssðnssvsss�1 þ 1� nssÞ�s=ðs�1Þ;
h10�asnssð1� nssÞvsss�2ðnssvsss�1 þ 1� nssÞð1�2sÞ=ðs�1Þðess þ e�ssÞ;
h11� � aðnssvsss�1 þ 1� nssÞ�s=ðs�1Þðess þ e�ssÞ
� ½1þ ð1� nssÞðs=ðs � 1ÞÞðvsss�1 � 1Þðnssvsss�1 þ 1� nssÞ�1�;
h12� � að1� nssÞðnssvsss�1 þ 1� nssÞ�s=ðs�1Þ;
h13� b� að1� nssÞðnssvsss�1 þ 1� nssÞ�s=ðs�1Þ:
The impact of an increase in the corporate tax rate on vss, nss, ess and e*ss evaluated at t = 0 is
then:
dvss
dt
����t¼0
¼ 1
s � 1> 0; (48)
dnss
dt
����t¼0
¼ D�1ðb� aÞnss
�abð1� uÞ þ 2�1ðb� aÞ½bþ s½sðb� aÞ � 2b��
bðs � 1Þ � as
�< 0; (49)
dess
dt
����t¼0
¼ 2�1asðb� aÞð2u � 1Þnssðess þ e�ssÞ½ðbðs � 1Þ � as�2
; (50)
de�ss
dt
����t¼0
¼ �2�1asðb� aÞð2u � 1Þnssðess þ e�ssÞ½ðbðs � 1Þ � as�2
; (51)
W. Johdo, K.-i. Hashimoto / Japan and the World Economy 21 (2009) 39–54 49
where D = � (b � a)as[(b/a)((s � 1)/s) � 1] < 0 is the determinant of the matrix, nss equals
(42) and ess and e*ss equal (40) and (41), respectively. Expression (48) shows that an increase in
the corporation tax in the home country produces depreciation in the real exchange rate. Since
b > a from (43), expression (49) shows that an increase in the home country’s corporation tax
rate stimulates enterprise relocation from the home country to the foreign country. In expressions
(50) and (51), since b(s � 1) > as from (43), we find the effects of corporation tax on each
country’s consumption depend on the sizes of u:
dess
dt
����t¼0
> ð< Þ 0; de�ss
dt
����t¼0
< ð> Þ 0; when u> ð< Þ 1
2: (52)
Furthermore, Eq. (37) shows that dess/dxss > 0 and de*ss/dx*ss > 0 in the steady state with
stagnation. Therefore, from (37) and (52), the impact of an increase in the corporate tax rate of the
home country on the steady-state employment rates are as follows:
dxss
dt
����t¼0
> ð< Þ 0; dx�ss
dt
����t¼0
< ð> Þ 0; when u> ð< Þ 1
2: (53)
From (52) and (53), the effects of t on xss, x*ss, ess and e*ss can be stated as follows.
Proposition 1. In the steady state with stagnation, when u > (respectively<) 1/2, an increase in
the corporation tax rate of the home country raises (respectively lowers) both employment and
effective demand of the home country. Conversely, the tax increase lowers (respectively raises)
both employment and effective demand in the foreign country.
Proposition 1 is intuitively explained as follows. First, from (28) we find that the effect of
an increase in the corporation tax rate on employment in the home country is decomposed into
a negative effect from the decrease in production due to enterprise relocation (i.e., dnss/
dtjt = 0 < 0) and a positive effect of the increase in production due to the depreciation of the
real exchange rate (i.e., dyss/dvssjt = 0 = d‘ss/dvssjt = 0 > 0). Therefore, the net effect on
employment in the home country, xss = nss‘ss/s, is ambiguous. However, if the home country is
rich (respectively poor) in the sense that its agents hold a more (respectively less) than
proportionate share of world equities, the positive effect of an increase in production due to the
depreciation of the real exchange rate exceeds (respectively is exceeded by) the negative effect
of a decrease in production due to the enterprise relocation. Hence, employment in the home
country is stimulated (respectively falls). Then from Keynes’s rule (37), an increase in
employment in the home country leads to an increase (respectively decrease) in the rate of time
preference through an increase (respectively decrease) in the inflation rate. Consequently,
consumption or effective demand (or aggregate consumption) in the home country rises
(respectively falls). By way of contrast, in a foreign country that is poor (respectively rich), the
negative effect of a decrease in production due to the appreciation of the real exchange rate
exceeds (respectively is exceeded by) the positive effect of an increase in production due to
enterprise inflow; hence, employment in the foreign country falls (respectively increases).12
Then the decrease (respectively increase) in employment due to the increase in the home
W. Johdo, K.-i. Hashimoto / Japan and the World Economy 21 (2009) 39–5450
12 When the home country is rich, the foreign country must be poor in the sense that its agents hold a less than
proportionate share of world equities.
country’s profit tax rate leads to a decline (respectively rise) in the rate of time preference
through a decline (respectively rise) in the inflation rate. As a result, consumption or effective
demand in the foreign country falls (respectively increases).
5. Conclusion
This paper employed a two-country monopolistic trade model to examine the impact on
employment and effective demand of a rise in one country’s corporation tax rate leading to
international relocation. In such a model, both the real exchange rate and enterprise relocation
offer the key to understanding the impact of the corporation tax policy. It was found that
the effects of the rise in the corporation tax rate on the effective demand of the home country can
be decomposed into the negative effect of a decrease in aggregate consumption due to enterprise
relocation, and the positive effect of an increase in aggregate consumption due to the
depreciation of the real exchange rate. The former effect is intuitively explained as follows. The
relocation due to the rise in the corporation tax rate reduces production in the home country and
then reduces employment. This lowers the inflation rate, thereby decreasing consumption
through a decline in the rate of time preference. On the other hand, the latter effect is intuitively
explained as follows. The depreciation of the real exchange rate, which is brought about by
arbitrage behavior over the location of enterprises, increases world demand for the home
country’s good, which stimulates production and labor demand, thereby increasing
consumption through a rise in the inflation rate. Therefore, the latter effect must exceed the
former if the relocation-promoting tax policy is to be effective in stimulating effective demand.
However, if the home country is rich (respectively poor), the increase in consumption due to the
depreciation of the real exchange rate exceeds (respectively is exceeded by) the decrease in
consumption due to enterprise relocation. The opposite happens in the foreign country.
Therefore, in this paper, we show that if the home country increased the corporation tax rate that
led to international relocation under stagnation, this would improve effective demand in the
home country and worsen effective demand in the foreign country if the home country is rich (or
the foreign country is poor).
From the above results, whether the increase in the home country’s corporation tax rate
improves its economy depends on whether the country is rich in the sense that its agents hold a
more than proportionate share of world equities. We suggest that the U.S. is the poor country and
Japan the rich country. This is because, at least for the past few decades, the balance of the current
account deficit between the two economies was in the U.S., while the balance of the current
account surplus was in Japan.
Acknowledgments
We are very grateful to Yoshiyasu Ono for his considerable help. We have also benefited from
comments and suggestions by Shin-ichi Fukuda, Ichiro Gombi, Shinsuke Ikeda and two
anonymous referees. Any remaining errors are due to us alone.
Appendix A. The conditions for the steady state with stagnation
First, we find the condition required for nss to be between 0 and 1. To ensure that nss is between
0 and 1, the following inequality must satisfy from (42):
W. Johdo, K.-i. Hashimoto / Japan and the World Economy 21 (2009) 39–54 51
0< nss ¼ 1
2ðs � 1Þ
�s � 2u þ ½asð1� 2uÞ�
bðs � 1Þ � as
�< 1: (A1)
For (A1) to be valid, the following conditions must hold:
�b
a
��s � 1
s
�> 1; sðb� aÞ> 2bu and sðb� aÞ> 2bð1� uÞ: (A2)
Then the following are the sufficient condition for (A2) to be valid:
sðb� aÞ> 2b: (A3)
Thus, nss is between 0 and 1 if (A3) is valid. Next, we find the condition required for
unemployment to exist in the steady state with stagnation, i.e., 0 < xss < 1 and 0 < x*ss < 1.
From (38), for 0 < xss < 1, the following condition must hold:
0<
�b
a
��ðr� aÞ½ðb� aÞððs � 1Þ=sÞ � 2ðau=sÞ�
ðb� aÞ½bððs � 1Þ=sÞ � a�
�� r� a
a< 1: (A4)
For (A4) to be valid, the following conditions must hold:
�b
a
��s � 1
s
�> 1; r>a; ðb� aÞðs � 1Þ> 2au; and
s
b<
ðb� aÞðs � 1Þ � 2au
½ðb=aÞðs � 1Þ=s � 1�ðb� aÞ < rsbðr� aÞ: (A5)
Similarly, from (39), for 0 <x*ss < 1, the following condition must hold:
�b
a
��s � 1
s
�> 1; r>a; ðb� aÞðs � 1Þ> 2að1� uÞ; and
s
b<ðb� aÞðs � 1Þ � 2að1� uÞ½ðb=aÞðs � 1Þ=s � 1�ðb� aÞ <
rs
bðr� aÞ : (A6)
From (A5) and (A6), we find the conditions that satisfy 0 < xss < 1 and 0 < x*ss < 1
simultaneously so that both countries have unemployment in the steady state:
�b
a
��s � 1
s
�> 1; r>a; ðb� aÞðs � 1Þ> 2a; and
s
b<
ðb� aÞðs � 1Þ � 2au
½ðb=aÞðs � 1Þ=s � 1�ðb� aÞ <rs
bðr� aÞ : (A7)
Finally, we find the condition required for the steady-state consumptions to exist
under stagnation, i.e., the existence of effective demand shortages. Under effective
demand shortages, the steady-state consumptions of each country not only must exceed the
W. Johdo, K.-i. Hashimoto / Japan and the World Economy 21 (2009) 39–5452
interest incomes from equities, but also must be below the full-employment production levels.13
Thus, the steady-state consumption values defined above must satisfy up/s < ess < ef and
ð1� uÞp=s�< e�ss < e��f , where p� ½nph þ ð1� nÞp�f �, and ef and e�f are the full-employment
production levels of each country compatible with xss = 1 and x*ss = 1, respectively. Substituting
xss = 1 and x*ss = 1 into (31) and (32), respectively, and using (6), (7), (23), (35) and (36), yields
the following full-employment production levels of each country:
ef ¼s � 1
sþ 2u
sand e�f ¼
s � 1
sþ 2ð1� uÞ
s: (A8)
In addition, from (6), (7), (23), (35) and (36), the interest incomes from equities of each country
are as follows
up
s¼ 2u
s; and ð1� uÞ p
s�¼ 2ð1� uÞ
s: (A9)
From (40), (A8) and (A9), for up/s < ess < ef, the following condition must hold:
�b
a
��s � 1
s
�> 1; r>a; ðb� aÞðs � 1Þ> 2au; and
2u
r� a<
ðb� aÞðs � 1Þ � 2au
½ðb=aÞððs � 1Þ=sÞ � 1�ðb� aÞ <s � 1þ 2u
r� a: (A10)
Similarly, from (41), (A8) and (A9), for ð1� uÞp=s�< e�ss < e�f , the following must hold:
�b
a
��s � 1
s
�> 1; r>a; ðb� aÞðs � 1Þ> 2að1� uÞ; and
2ð1� uÞr� a
<ðb� aÞðs � 1Þ � 2að1� uÞ½ðb=aÞððs � 1Þ=sÞ � 1�ðb� aÞ <
s � 1þ 2ð1� uÞr� a
: (A11)
From (A10) and (A11), we find the conditions that satisfy up/s < ess < ef and ð1�uÞp=s�< e�ss < e�f simultaneously so that both consumptions are below the full-employment
consumption levels in the steady state:
�b
a
��s � 1
s
�> 1; r>a; ðb� aÞðs � 1Þ> 2a; and
2
r� a<
ðb� aÞðs � 1Þ � 2auÞ½ðb=aÞððs � 1Þ=sÞ � 1�ðb� aÞ <
s � 1
r� a: (A12)
W. Johdo, K.-i. Hashimoto / Japan and the World Economy 21 (2009) 39–54 53
13 Interest income from equities occurs even if production in the home country is zero in this model.
Therefore, the parameters of this model must satisfy (A3), (A7) and (A12) for (nss, xss, x*ss, ess,
e*ss) to exist together in the steady state with stagnation. The conditions above reduce to the
following conditions:
sðb� aÞ> 2b; r>a; ðb� aÞðs � 1Þ> 2a;
s
b<
ðb� aÞðs � 1Þ � 2au
½ðb=aÞðs � 1Þ=s � 1�ðb� aÞ <rs
bðr� aÞ ;
and2
r� a<
ðb� aÞðs � 1Þ � 2au
½ðb=aÞððs � 1Þ=sÞ � 1�ðb� aÞ <s � 1
r� a: (A13)
Thus, the sufficient condition required for the steady state with stagnation to exist is (A13).
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