international environmental transfers
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International Environmental Transfers. The Case for International Environmental Transfers. Income effect Environmental protection as a normal good Rich countries have more income to devote to environmental protection Lobbying Rich countries bear the externalities, but don’t share profits - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
International Environmental Transfers
The Case for International Environmental Transfers
• Income effect – Environmental protection as a normal good– Rich countries have more income to devote to
environmental protection
• Lobbying– Rich countries bear the externalities, but don’t
share profits – Protection is underprovided because
environmental interests are diffuse and producer interests are concentrated
• Interest group organization– NGOs are denser, older, wealthier in the North
If concern is so much greater in developed countries, why are
there so few transfers?
Coase theorem revisited
• Without transaction costs, bribery is efficient; property rights don’t matter
• With transaction costs: – search – bargaining – enforcement
suboptimal level of bribes
Aid agency•Commit Don’t commit
••LDC LDC
Aid agency•Commit Don’t commit
••LDC LDC
Comply ComplyDon’t comply Don’t comply
Aid agency•Commit Don’t commit
••LDC LDC
Comply ComplyDon’t comply Don’t comply
• •AA AA
Disburse ~Disburse D ~D
C-P-T T+P-
C
C-P P-C
-P-T P+T
-P -P
C -C
0 0
North
South
Aid agency•Commit Don’t commit
••LDC LDC
Comply ComplyDon’t comply Don’t comply
• •AA AA
Disburse ~Disburse D ~D
C-P-T T+P-
C
C-P P-C
-P-T P+T
-P -P
C -C
0 0
North
South
Problem 1: Noncredible recipient commitment
Aid agency•Commit Don’t commit
••LDC LDC
Comply ComplyDon’t comply Don’t comply
• •AA AA
Disburse ~Disburse D ~D
C-P-T T+P-
C
C-P P-C
-P-T P+T
-P -P
C -C
0 0
North
South
Problem 1: Noncredible recipient commitment
Aid agency•Commit Don’t commit
••LDC LDC
Comply ComplyDon’t comply Don’t comply
• •AA AA
Disburse ~Disburse D ~D
C-P-T T+P-
C
C-P P-C
-P-T P+T
-P -P
C -C
0 0
North
South
Problem 1: Noncredible recipient commitment
Aid agency•Commit Don’t commit
••LDC LDC
Comply ComplyDon’t comply Don’t comply
• •AA AA
Disburse ~Disburse D ~D
C-P-T T+P-
C
C-P P-C
-P-T P+T
-P -P
C -C
0 0
North
South
Problem 1: Noncredible recipient commitment
Aid agency•Commit Don’t commit
••LDC LDC
Comply ComplyDon’t comply Don’t comply
• •AA AA
Disburse ~Disburse D ~D
C-P-T T+P-
C
C-P P-C
-P-T P+T
-P -P
C -C
0 0
North
South
Problem 2: Noncredible donor commitment
Aid agency•Commit Don’t commit
••LDC LDC
Comply ComplyDon’t comply Don’t comply
• •AA AA
Disburse ~Disburse D ~D
C-P-T T+P-
C
C-P P-C
-P-T P+T
-P -P
C -C
0 0
North
South
Problem 2: Noncredible donor commitment
Aid agency•Commit Don’t commit
••LDC LDC
Comply ComplyDon’t comply Don’t comply
• •AA AA
Disburse ~Disburse D ~D
C-P-T T+P-
C
C-P P-C
-P-T P+T
-P -P
C -C
0 0
North
South
Problem 2: Noncredible donor commitment
Aid agency•Commit Don’t commit
••LDC LDC
Comply ComplyDon’t comply Don’t comply
• •AA AA
Disburse ~Disburse D ~D
C-P-T T+P-
C
C-P P-C
-P-T P+T
-P -P
C -C
0 0
North
South
Problem 2: Noncredible donor commitment
Aid agency•Commit Don’t commit
••LDC LDC
Comply ComplyDon’t comply Don’t comply
• •AA AA
Disburse ~Disburse D ~D
C-P-T T+P-
C
C-P P-C
-P-T P+T
-P -P
C -C
0 0
North
South
Problem 3: Noncredible conditionality
Aid agency•Commit Don’t commit
••LDC LDC
Comply ComplyDon’t comply Don’t comply
• •AA AA
Disburse ~Disburse D ~D
C-P-T T+P-
C
C-P P-C
-P-T P+T
-P -P
C -C
0 0
North
South
Problem 3: Noncredible conditionality
Aid agency•Commit Don’t commit
••LDC LDC
Comply ComplyDon’t comply Don’t comply
• •AA AA
Disburse ~Disburse D ~D
C-P-T T+P-
C
C-P P-C
-P-T P+T
-P -P
C -C
0 0
North
South
Problem 3: Noncredible conditionality
Aid agency•Commit Don’t commit
••LDC LDC
Comply ComplyDon’t comply Don’t comply
• •AA AA
Disburse ~Disburse D ~D
C-P-T T+P-
C
C-P P-C
-P-T P+T
-P -P
C -C
0 0
North
South
Problem 3: Noncredible conditionality
Conclusions
• Transaction costs can prevent donors from offering aid in the first place
• The credibility problem need not be on the recipient’s side
• The three types of credibility problems are observationally equivalent
Case Study: bargaining problems and the GEF
• Politics of GEF (Global Environment Facility - 1990 -)– 1990-1993, $1 bil; 1993, $2 bil
• North-South conflict
North
• Global problems, additionality, incremental cost
• “Green” conditionality (“integration”)
•World Bank control
South
•Obtain new funds but avoid new conditionality
•Sustainable development
•UN control
Compromise: unclear objectives, implementation shared by WB, UNDP, UNEP
UNCED (UN Conference on Environment and Development)
• June/92; summit → high stakes
Bargaining problems and GEF
Turf battle + Poor implementation, project selection
Deadlock over organizational mission
Keohane & Levy framework
• Concern → conditionality (concern generally asymmetric)• Contractual environment: limited lending agency discretion
in bargaining; commitment to punishing; monitoring• Capacity → involuntary defection
– WB: most failures due to lack of institutional capacity– On-going funding for recipient governments– Competition from sectoral lobbies in donor countries →
misdirection of funds– NGOs as solution
• Coordination: bilateral, IFIs, NGOs, regional development
banks can reinforce or undermine (Indonesia)
Criticisms
• A laundry list, not a theory• Testing?• Generating intermediate-range
hypotheses• Research design
– More hypotheses than cases– Selection bias
• Still, a useful starting point
Environmental Politics in Europe:
Coordination, bargaining and transfers
Expectations• Expectations: good results in Europe
– High concern– Contractual environment: transparent, institution
dense, multiple linkages
– High capacity
• But volume finds poor results. Why?– Case selection: looking for cases involving financial
transfers (most cases in Europe don’t)
• Success in “coordination” cases in Europe:– LRTAP, Baltic and North Seas pollution,
Mediterranean– Leaders shame laggards
Chloride pollution in the Rhine
• Perfect case for Coasian bargaining– Small “n”; transparency; narrow issue; very accurate
measurement ; winners and losers clear
• Puzzle of the formal outcome: – Netherlands, Germany, Switzerland pay France; – only Netherlands benefits; – Germany, Switzerland are the polluters
• Coase: MdPA lowest marginal cost of reduction
Chloride pollution in the Rhine• But transaction costs (bargaining) interfered
– Incentives to misrepresent– Distributional bargaining
Delay
• Private adaptation → reduced concern
• Decline of mining → reduced problem
Nuclear safety in Eastern Europe
• Remember Chernobyl? • RBMK, VVER-440, VVER-1000• Asymmetric concern → conflict over solution
– Income effect – Austerity programs and the IMF– foreign currency crunch
• Puzzle: West’s weak bargaining position:– Short-term fix → reduced incentives for closure
– Lack of coordination– Capture by Western industry
Other environmental assistance to Eastern Europe
• Expectation: substantial aid because– Trans-boundary effects, lower marginal cost of
abatement in EE– Potential expansion of EU– Institution-rich environment: EU, EBRD, WB, G-24
• Outcome: little aid, less conditionality. Why?
• Principal-agent problems, organizational mission, inertia, other agendas:– World Bank:
• Energy projects• Macroeconomics
– EBRD: • private sector projects• partnership in investment → constrained by
supply of interested investors• need for speed
Other environmental assistance to Eastern Europe
• Lack of coordination in bilateral programs• Why?
Endogenous aid:
Interest groupsDemand for aid
Environmental exports
Other environmental assistance to Eastern Europe
• Examples: nuclear industry, contractors, consultants• Dilemma: if aid programs don’t serve a domestic
constituency, aid amounts will be lower