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INTERNARTIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE EAC PARTNER STATES

4-7 Nov 2013

Closing Remarks

by

Joseph K MukiibiChair Kilimo Trust

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THE FARMER OF THE PASTEVIDENCE FROM PRESENTATIONS AND DISCUSSIONS SHOWED THAT:

1. FARMING WAS A WAY OF LIFE. FARMING WAS BY FATE AND NOT BY CHOICE

2. THE FARMER: Had little or no formal education Was mall scale Was almost wholly un-mechanised Had multitude of enterprises Used Little or no inputs Had limited access to technology Produced largely for own consumption Was not competitive in local, regional and global markets

WORKKED VERY HARD BUT REMAINS POOR!

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THE FARMER OF THE PAST

Roza Nakate

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FARMER OF THE FUTURE: 2063

FARMING WILL BE BY CHOICE AND A BUSINESS

• Good education• Economies of scale• Production enterprise specialisation• High level of mechanisation• High levels of access to all inputs including credit• Will produce almost entirely for the market• Will has access to local and regional markets• WILL WORK HARD. WILL BECOME WEALTHY.

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PROFILE OF THE FARMER OF THE FUTURE

Mr Bruno Matovu

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PROSPECTS?

One school of thought:

NO! It is impossible! Why? THE MINDSET.1. Their way of life will be disrupted and it may cause a

political and social crisis2. It will cause environmental disaster! Fertilisers, GMO’s!

Machines. Forests and wetlands will disappear3. Oh my God; what will NGO’s do without peasants?! 4. Smallholders are producing organic foods for the rich in

Europe (yet they themselves remain poor!)5. Africans can’t change!

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PROSPECTS?

Other school of thought:YES. It is possible. Why? 1. We want to transform a system from low productivity

into a system of higher productivity - not human beings 2. The youth (the future) want change. Chantals!3. Our Governments say so in all their development

documents4. Transformation is already under way5. The task of governments is to manage this

transformation in a way that minimises social risks

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TRANSFORMATION IS ALREADY HAPPENNING!

Table 1: Monetary and Non-Monetary Agriculture GDP in UgandaSource: MFPED (2013) Sub-sector Monetary Non-Monetary

2007-2008 2010-2011

2007-2008

2010-2011

Agriculture -Total

60.6% 60.5% 39.4% 39.5%

Food crops 47.6% 47.6% 52.4% 52.4%

Livestock 80.2% 80.1% 19.8% 19.9%

Forestry 39.7% 45.1% 60.3% 54.9%

Fisheries 97.6% 97.1% 2.4% 2.9%

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TRANSFORMATION CAN BE SCALE AND GENDER NEUTRAL

Small scale already commercialTea sub-sector: Kenya, Rwanda, UgandaSugar subsector: Mumias, Kakira, Kinyara Rice sub-sector: Mwea, Olweny, Doho.Dairy sub-sector: W. Uganda, C. Kenya, RwandaPoultry, vegetables, flowers etc.Common Features: Specialisation (single enterprise)An off takerCentral Processing facility

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THIS SUCCESSFUL MODEL CAN BE INTENSIFIED OR ROLLED OUT

CENTRAL FACILITY

Farmers Group A

Farmers Group B

Farmers Group C

Farmers Group D

Farmers Group E

Farmers Group F

Farmers Group G

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ROLL OUT MODEL TO OTHER POTENTIAL VALUE CHAINS

Cereals – Maize, Sorghum, MilletsRoot crops – Cassava, Sweet potatoesBananasOther FruitsBeefOthers

IT CAN BE DONE!

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THE FARMER OF THE FUTURE

Will require:A policy shift to Agriculture-led Economic

Development – Kilimo Kwanza Greater investment in agriculture and rural

development to create jobs in rural areas Infrastructure and Institutions that promote

a competitive Ag sector and inclusive economic growth

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JOURNEY TO 2063

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WHEN WE ARRIVE WE WILL CELEBRATE!

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ASANTENI SANA.SEE YOU IN 2063!