integrated rural electrification

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Integrated Rural Electrification Leonardo Energy Webinar 8 May 2015 Allison Archambault

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Integrated Rural ElectrificationLeonardo Energy Webinar

8 May 2015

Allison Archambault

2EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

Objectives

• Discuss evolving models(supply ≠ demand)

• Market segmentation: bull's-eye or stair step

• Become and efficiency activist

• Identify accompanying opportunities

3EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

EarthSparkInternationalWe build clean energy access in Haiti.

R+DIncubationSocial enterprises

ENÈJI PWÒP: CLEAN ENERGY RETAIL

4EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

5EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

EKO PWÒP:

“SMART GRID” FROM SCRATCH

SPARKMETER: LOW COST, HIGH FUNCTIONALITY SMART METERS

6EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

POWERING AGRICULTURE

MICROGRID

EXPANSION

• 54 430 customers

• Diesel hybrid solar-diesel

MILL ELECTRIFICATION

• Tap microgridelectricity to improve quality and reduce costs

BREADFRUITPROCESSING

• Extend shelf life from 3 days to 18 months

7EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

SUPPLY IS < HALF OF THE EQUATION

8EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

MILL ELECTRIFICATION

9EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

BREADFRUIT PROCESSING

10EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

THE PROBLEM

NO ELECTRICITY=LOW PRODUCTIVITY

11EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

THE GOAL

AFFORDABLE, RELIABLE ELECTRICITY=UNLOCKED POTENTIAL

CHILDREN CAN STUDY

BUSINESSES STAY OPEN

ENABLES REFRIGERATION

BETTER HEALTH OUTCOMES

VALUE-ADD TO AGRICULTURE

12EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

VIRTUOUS CYCLE

Agricultural businesses strengthen

the grid.

The grid unlocks

agricultural value.

13EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

14EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

Central grid

ENERGY ACCESS MARKET SEGMENTATION BY LOCATION AND CONSUMPTION

Grid extension + infill

Microgrids + captive

[Battery charging

+ nanogrids]

Stand-alone systems

(small and large)

15EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

MARKET SEGMENTATION WITH MULTI-TIER MATRIX MEASURING ACCESS TO HOUSEHOLD ELECTRICITY

Source: ESMAP “A New Multi-Tier Approach to Measuring Energy Access”

THE “PERFECT” IS THE ENEMY OF THE GOOD

Is central grid electricity an option for rural electrification in Haiti?

16EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

200 MW

11 MW

16 MW

8 MW 4 MW

5 MW

LOCATION AND CAPACITY OF CENTRAL GRIDS IN HAITI

17EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

18

STATE OF EDH OPERATIONS IN

HAITI• 25% capacity factor from EDH assets

• ~$0.35/kWh tariff

• Very high losses, low cost recovery:• “EDH only brings in revenue for barely 20% of the electricity it put

out. The other 80% is covered by state subsidy…” (1/22/2013) [1]

• Official EDH numbers are more generous: ~50% losses; ~18%

technical/32% non-technical (November, 2006) [2]

• Varying reliability in most central grids, from 6

hrs/day to 20-24 hrs/day

EARTHSPARKINTERNATIONAL

WORLD BANKOFF-GRID ELECTRICITY5/6/2015

18EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

THE “BEST” SOLUTION

Are microgrids best for rural electrification?

• It depends

• Much can go wrong

• Multi-disciplinary planning and community partnership are key

• Technical note: HOMER

• Avoid ‘dump and run development’

• What is the long-term plan?

19EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

PRIORITIZE ENERGY SERVICES NOT KWH

20EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

MULTI-DISCIPLINARY MARKET STUDY

21EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

MICROGRID COST STRUCTURE

• Household distribution is highly dense, so

marginal connection cost is small – very low

per-customer costs

• Partial recovery of per-customer fixed cost

through a fixed connection fee

• Not all revenue collected is through pay-as-

you-go.• Larger customers make up ~30% of load • Extremely reliable demand• Some pay for electricity on monthly, post-pay basis. • Some pay via PPA – long-term “bankable” contract for energy

22EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

BENEFITS OF PRE-PAY AND PAY-AS-YOU-GO

• No cost to collect payments

• Perceived as more fair to customers who are

not always present

UNLOCKING THE BUSINESS MODEL• Many components to success.

• Technology is essential – low-cost smart

metering system

23EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

24EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

EFFICIENCY

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

25EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

EFFICIENCY:

#wastelessdomore

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

26EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

ACCOMPANIMENTValue Chain Synergies

27EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

ACCOMPANIMENTValue Chain Synergies

Fuel switching

(transit + cooking)

VIRTUOUS CYCLE

Productive businesses strengthen

the grid.

The grid unlocks

productive use value.

28EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

29EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

ACCOMPANIMENT• Value Chain Synergies

• Fuel switching

(transit + cooking)

• Agriculture +

Conservation

• Feminist Electrification

30EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

Conclusions• Business models are evolving

(supply ≠ demand, smart meters, storage, finance)

• Market segmentation is both bull's-eye and stair step

• Everyone needs to be an efficiency activist

• Accompanying opportunities can augment the bottom line and enhangesocial benefits

THANK YOUEarthSpark International

Allison [email protected]

ENERGY POVERTY IS EXPENSIVE

75% of households without electricity access in Haiti

Households spend • $10/mo. on kerosene & candles• $4/mo. on cell phone charging

32EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

33

STATE OF IPP OPERATIONS IN HAITI• Despite high PPA rates, EDH is an unreliable off-taker:

• E-Power, backed by IFC, is newest IPP in Haiti. 30 MW HFO plant began operations on January 13th, 2011. [1]

• “Delivery of energy interrupted for nearly 3 months because of lack of financial resources to buy fuel needed to operate the [E-Power] plant, due to government debt over 12 million representing 3 months in arrears.” (5/10/2013) [2]

• “…Electricity d’Haiti (EDH) can devote only 20% ($1 million) of its monthly revenues to pay the suppliers. In addition, the public treasury provides a monthly subsidy of $5 million, bringing the envelope to $6 million. However, the invoice of the 3 providers is $12 million dollars monthly…due to the arrears, the E-power company decided on June 19, 2013 to turn off its engines connected to the network of Electricity d’Haiti.” (6/27/2013) [3]

• High cost of IPP generation: $0.15 - $0.16/kWh for

HFO; $0.22 - $0.26/kWh for LFO plants

EARTHSPARKINTERNATIONAL

WORLD BANKOFF-GRID ELECTRICITY5/6/2015

33EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N

CHALLENGES FOR PAY-AS-

YOU-GO MICROGRIDSChallenge Counterpoint

Heavily subsidized central grid tariffs are less expensive

While subsidized, central grid tariffs in Haitiare a relatively high $0.35/kWh

Un-electrified households do not spend sufficient sums on energy services

Households spend an average of $14/household/mo.

Cost structure: cash flow mismatch between customer payments and debt service on fixed costs

Let’s talk about this in more detail…

34EARTHSPARKI N T E R N A T I O N A L

INTEGRATED RURAL ELECTRIFICATIONE N E R G Y S U P P L Y I S L E S S T H A N H A L F O F T H E E Q U A T I O N