integrated project presentation slides
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Final Presentation for our fall 2010 Integrated Brand Management team project on Barbasol Shaving CreamTRANSCRIPT
Barbasol Acquisition Final PresentationFor: Diversified Products Corp.Prepared by: Rook Consulting Cohort C – Team 2December 15, 2010
Team Members:Hythem AbdelwahabTejas AtawaneEszter HamoriKevin HarderMolly PlimptonCarl Uttaro
•Why Shaving Cream?
•Why Barbasol and who is Perio Inc.?
• Estimated Current Value = $52.7M
• Under DPC Management = $78.1M
Introduction
• Company Profile
• Industry Overview
• Current Valuation
• Recommendation #1
• Recommendation #2
• Acquisition Summary
Agenda
Company Profile
Company Profile - History
1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
1919:Barbasol Invented
2001: Bought by:
1962: Bought by:
1949:Created Aerosol Shaving Cans
1923:Babe Ruth endorses Barbosal
2007: Launch Barbasol Ultra
2010: Barbasol Ultra Pulled
$26.7M, 89%
Other Products $3.2M, 11%
Perio Inc. Revenue by Brand:
Company Profile - Products
Men’s Shaving Product Portfolio:
Barbasol Soothing Aloe:#1 Retail SKU of any men’s
shaving cream
Company Profile: Strengths and Weaknesses
Systems• Lean manufacturing• Hiring software
Staff• Many new employees
Strategy• Maintaining position in
foam economy segment• Not thinking big
Shared Values• Conservative, family
oriented culture
Strengths Weaknesses
Summary of Company Performance
WeakPerformance,
Bad Team
HighPerformance,Strong Team
HighPerformance,
Bad Team
WeakPerformance,Strong Team
Industry Overview
Men’s Shaving Cream Industry Overview
Source: Mintel DataSource: Nielsen Data adjusted for Wal-Mart
Shaving Cream MarketHistorical & Projected Market Growth
Shaving Cream MarketLTM Retail Sales by Product Category
Total Retail Sales = $ 338M
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015$100M
$200M
$300M
$400M
$500M
Actual ProjectedYears
Reta
il Sa
les
Foam = 54% of unitsGel = 41% of units
Breakdown of Foam & Gel Market Segments
37%
51%
Other 12%
Source: Nielsen Data Adjusted for Wlmart
FoamTotal retail sales $99M
GelTotal Retail Sales $221M
32%
43%
Other25%
Price Analysis of the Foam and Gel Segments
Average Retail Price
Premium $8.23
Mid-price $2.63
Economy $0.97
Average Retail Price
Super Premium $4.65
Premium $3.75
Mid-price $2.87
Economy $2.03
Economy
Mid-price
Premium
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
51.45%
48.52%
0.03%
Mkt. Share (Equiv. Unit )
Pric
e Se
gmen
t
Foam Unit Market Share by Price Point Gel Unit Market Share by Price Point
Economy
Mid-price
Premium
Super Premium
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
1.9%
75.9%
13.8%
8.4%
Mkt. Share (Equiv. Unit )
Price
Segm
ent
Brand Perceptions
Source: Rook Consulting Shaving Cream Survey 2010
Barbasol:• Second highest Net Promoter Score• Good value for price • Brand stand for values
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
$0.60
Perceived Value (NPS)
Reta
il Pr
ice
per U
nit
Gel
Foamy
Current Valuation
Income Statement Projections
Perio Company Projected Revenues($ millions)
Valuation of Perio Company
Projected Unlevered Free Cash Flows($ millions)
NPV of Future Cash Flows = $52.7 million
18.9% CAGRAssumptions:
• Beta: 0.79
• Post-tax WACC = 5.7%
• DPC willing to pay a premium
• Leverage DPC’s resources
• Future access to capital
• Channel synergies
• Negotiating Power
• Favorable market timing for Perio
Why Perio Would be Interested in Sale
Recommendation #1 – Adjust Pricing
Re-pricing Barbasol Foam
96.7%
All Others3.3%
• Barbasol dominates economy foam
• No major substitute product in economy segment
• 86% Net Promoter Score
• $0.76 (51%) gap in retail price per can between Barbasol and next major competitor
FoamUnits Sold – Economy Price Point
Price Elasticity
Channel-Weighted Average MSP: $0.9247.8% Contribution Margin Ratio
• The price elasticity suggests a price increase of 15 cents on retail price
• Expected 1% lower sales volume
Barbasol Foam – Before Price Adjustment
Channel-Weighted Average MSP: $0.9750.2% Contribution Margin Ratio
Barbasol Foam – After Price Adjustment
5%INCREASE IN CONTRIBUTION MARGIN
150,000 250,000 350,000 450,000 550,000$0.00
$0.05
$0.10
$0.15
$0.20
$0.25f(x) = − 0.091559222756658 ln(x) + 1.34273510120911
Gillette Foamy Logarithmic (Gillette Foamy)
Equivalent Unit Sold
Pric
e pe
r Uni
t
Scenario Analysis of Foam Price Raise
Monte Carlo Variables:• Range of Sales unit growth rate: -0.13% to 13.35%• Range of WACC: 3.74% to 7.45%
Median NPV = $1.9MAvg. NPV = $2.3M
Std. Dev = $3.5MMargin of Error = $ 0.07M
Results:• Average NPV of Price Increase = $2.3 million• 24.51% probability of loss
Recommendation #2 – Launch Gel
Why is Gel an attractive product option?
Gel vs. Foam Usage by Age
18-24 25-340%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
13%
23%
50%
31%
always use foam always use gelAge Groups
% o
f Res
pons
es p
er A
ge G
roup
s
Note: Data for responses other than gel or foam preferences (such as cream, oil or water) are not shown on chart.
Source: Rook Consulting Shaving Cream Survey 2010
• Gel products:• 66% retail sales dollars• 41% units sold
• Gel preferred among 18-34 year olds
• Low competition at the economy price point
• Opportunity for Barbasol to target new consumers
n = 69
Mis-alignment with core strategy and values
“Barbasol is a value brand”– New Barbasol VP of Product Management
Gel Pricing & Channel Distribution
$1.43MSP
39%Store
Margin
$2.35Retail Price
$1.39MSP
25% Wal-Mart
Margin
$1.85Retail Price
$1.74MSP
20%WS Margin
39% Retail Margin
$3.56Retail Price
Supermarket & Chain Drug
Wal-Mart DistributorsChannel-Weighted Average Retail Prices:
Gillette Series: $2.73Edge: $2.62Barbasol Gel: $2.09
Average Mass-Retail Margins:
Gillette Series: 47%Edge: 33%Barbasol Gel: 39%
INDUSTRY BARBASOL GEL
Introducing Barbasol Gel
Images Copyright José Luis García Eguiguren
• 7-oz packaging
• Two SKUs – “Original” and “Soothing Aloe”
Alternative Colors:
Advertising Strategy
• Most effective method of advertising for Barbasol is ESPN.com because of its strong 18-34 year old male demographics• Online advertising is more cost-effective than TV commercials• ESPN.com is the #1 site for male sports fans
Market Share Projections
Latent Market ProjectionsTargets who will buy (less market sizing & ESPN) 5.08 millionProjected Unit Sales 1.49 millionProjected Contribution Margin $1.58 million
Market Projections from ESPN.com AdvertisingTargets who will buy (less market sizing) 112.8 thousandProjected Unit Sales 248.2 thousandProjected Contribution Margin $225.9 thousand
Production of Barbasol Gel
• Inventory of gel “bladder” and 7-ounce cans• Additional step of injecting gas to the formula
during line production• Variable COGS per unit increase 15%
Necessary Costs & Logistics
Overall Benefits
• Very few differences with ingredients• Both products are easily and commonly made
in the same factories• New factory is still only at 50% capacity
Valve
Dip Tube
Shaving Cream Ingredients
Gas
Pressure
Product Contributions
Original Barbasol50.2% Contribution
Margin Ratio
Channel-Weighted Average MSP: $0.97
$0.48 Variable Costs/Unit
$0.49 Barbasol Contribution
Barbasol Gel62.3% Contribution
Margin Ratio
Channel-Weighted Average MSP: $1.46
$0.55 Variable Costs/Unit
$0.91 Barbasol Contribution
• As we enter the gel segment, we anticipate potential competitor responses:– Heavy counter-advertising to Barbasol Gel’s target age group,
building on brand name– Increase spending on promotions:
• Couponing• Bundling: razor package deals
– Lower prices
Competitor Responses
Valuation of Gel Option
NPV of Future Cash Flows from Gel option = $21.5 million
Gel Product Free Cash Flows($ millions)
Assumptions:• Beta: 0.79• Post-tax WACC = 5.7%• PV of Perpetuity: $18.2 M
Scenario Analysis of Gel Launch
Results:• Expected company revenues of $2.5M in year 1• Year 1 sales variation ranged from 0 to $4.8M• Sales growth rate varied based on average for gel industry: 7.15%• Post-tax WACC of 5.7% was varied from 3.84% to 7.58%
Median NPV = $21.1MAvg. NPV = $21.5M
Std. Dev = $7.6MMargin of Error = $ 0.15M
Acquisition Summary
Valuation of Company With Gel and Price
Current Valuation$52.7M
Price Increase
New Gel Product$21.5M
$78.1M valuation
• Recent industry acquisitions value shaving companies at an average of 2.2x forward revenues
• Rook Consulting suggests that DPC offer between $45M and $68.8M• ROI estimates based off of future selling price of full $78.1M Rook
Consulting valuation
Range of Offers
ROI: 73.5%
Initial Offer$45M
Current Valuation$52.7M
Maximum Offer$68.8M
ROI: 13.5%
Future Valuation$78.1M
Effect of Acquisition and New Product Launch
Consumers• Leverage “Classic American brand”• Targeted ad campaigns• Economy segment consumers
Employees
• “Separation method” of merging corporate cultures• Current leadership team remains• Maintain compensation and benefits• Hire Senior marketing VP
Collaborators
• Existing channel partnerships leveraged in gel distribution• Higher margins for partners• Subsidize channel advertisements
Conclusion
• Strong brand and company• Potential for high ROI• High valuation for Perio
Win-Win Situation
• Capture more value in foam segment• Launch gel products• New strategy of diversification
Vision
1. Perio Inc. Linked Company Profile. Accessed 12th December 2010: http://www.linkedin.com/companies/perio-inc.-barbasol-brands 2. Indianapolis Motor Speedway, Indianapolis 500 official website historical box scores. Accessed 12th December 2010. 1938:
http://www.indy500.com/stats/view/boxscore/year/1938, - 1939: http://www.indy500.com/stats/view/boxscore/year/1939 3. Perio Inc. Company homepage; Accessed 12th December 2010, http://www.perio-inc.com/ourstory/history4. Barbasol breaks ground; Christ, Ginger, Ashland Times-Gazette, August 13th, 2009. http://www.times-gazette.com/news/article/4646958 5. Barbasol has grand opening for Ashland facility; Christ, Ginger, Ashland Times-Gazette, May 20th 2010. http://
www.timesgazette.com/news/article/4830421 6. Barbasol gives Syracuse the brush-off, picks Ohio for new plant, By Marie Morelli Syracuse.com - The Post-Standard, Published: Friday, August 07, 2009.
http://www.syracuse.com/news/index.ssf/2009/08/barbasol_gives_syracuse_the_br.html 7. Barbasol coming to Ohio, News Home Executive Team, Vindy.com, A service of The Vindicator Published: Tue, May 26, 2009. http://
www.vindy.com/news/2009/may/26/barbasol-coming-to-ohio 8. Mintel Reports USA “Shaving and Hair Removal products – US – May 2008”, Accessed 12th December 2010. http://
academic.mintel.com.ezproxy.bu.edu/sinatra/oxygen_academic/my_reports/display/id=482893&anchor=atom/display/id=548163 9. Mintel Reports USA “Men’s Grooming – US – September 2010”. Accessed 12th December 2010. http://
academic.mintel.com.ezproxy.bu.edu/sinatra/oxygen_academic/my_reports/display/id=296601&anchor=atom/display/id=34384510. AC Nielsen database, The Nielsen Company - United States, Accessed 12th December 2010. 11. Barbasol press release: May 25, 2010. http://perfectshave.blogspot.com/2010/05/new-barbasol-plant-opens-in-ashland 12. THE "GREAT RECESSION" AND SHIFTS IN CONSUMER BEHAVIOR, BERNSTEIN RESEARCH; 2009. 13. Mckinsey & Co., Compustat: Mckinsey Team Analysis.14. Today's Facility Manage, August 2009 issue, By Anne Vazquez http://www.todaysfacilitymanager.com/articles/manufacturing-case-study-room-to-grow.php
15. Industry profile; Personal Care Products Manufacturing, quarterly update; 8.9.2010 SIC CODES: 2844 - NAICS CODES: 325620, First Research, a D&B
company.16. Professor Aimin Yan, OB 713 Lecture notes, MBA Class 2012 - Boston University School of Management – Cohort (C).17. Tom Gallerani, Former VP of Shaving Technology Lab, Gillette Company, Personal Interview.18. Select International Announces Benchmarks, Successes with New Client Barbasol, May 17, 2010 . http://
www.free-press-release.com/news-select-international-announces-benchmarks-successes-with-new-client-barbasol-1274109461.html19. A Framework for Marketing Management 4th ed. (2009), by Philip Kotler and Kevin Keller
20. Westervin.com, A Fine Design: Old Stuff, Posted: February 19th, 2010 Author: Brian | Filed under: A Fine Design | Tags: 50's, 60's, advertisement, past, shaving, time travel, vintage | http://www.westervin.com/blog/tag/past
21. Town and Country Hobbies, Billboards; Barbasol Shaving Cream (2602-36). www.towncountryhobbies.com/Billboard_pictures/2602-36 22. Barbasol home page; Accessed 12th December 2010. www.barbasol.coms 23. Ashland Times-Gazette “Barbasol breaks ground”; Christ, Ginger, August 13th, 2009. http://www.times-gazette.com/news/article/4646958 24. Barbasol gel can designed by José Luis García Eguiguren | Jan 20, 2010 | Country: Spain©2010 | Published by Lovely Package®
http://lovelypackage.com/student-work-jose-luis-garcia-eguiguren/#more-10446
References
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