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Project No 036877-2 MICRODIS INTEGRATED HEALTH, SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF EXTREME EVENTS: EVIDENCE, METHODS AND TOOLS Integrated Project Sub-Priority 6.3: Sustainable development, Global Change and Ecosystems PERIODIC ACTIVITY REPORT FOR THE FIRST TWELVE MONTHS Period covered: from February 1 st , 2007 to January 31 st , 2008 Date of Preparation: March 14, 2008 Start date of project: February 1 st , 2007 Duration: 3 years Project coordinator name: Prof. Debarati Guha-Sapir Revision: [draft 2] September 24, 2008 Project coordinator organisation name: Université catholique de Louvain, Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters

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Page 1: INTEGRATED HEALTH, SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF … Revised PAR for fir… · project no 036877-2 microdis integrated health, social and economic impacts of extreme events: evidence,

 

Project No 036877-2

MICRODIS INTEGRATED HEALTH, SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF EXTREME

EVENTS: EVIDENCE, METHODS AND TOOLS

Integrated Project Sub-Priority 6.3: Sustainable development, Global Change and Ecosystems

PERIODIC ACTIVITY REPORT

FOR THE FIRST TWELVE MONTHS

Period covered: from February 1st, 2007 to January 31st, 2008 Date of Preparation: March 14, 2008

Start date of project: February 1st, 2007 Duration: 3 years

Project coordinator name: Prof. Debarati Guha-Sapir Revision: [draft 2] September 24, 2008

Project coordinator organisation name: Université catholique de Louvain, Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Table of Contents ........................................................................................................................................................... 2

LIST OF FIGURES .......................................................................................................................................................... 3

Legend ................................................................................................................................................................... 5

Periodic Activity Report ................................................................................................................................................ 6

Executive Summary ................................................................................................................................................... 6

Section 1 – Project objectives and major achievements in the reporting period ...................................................... 12

1.1 Overview of the general objectives of MICRODIS ............................................................................... 12

1.2 Objectives of the current reporting period and work performed ............................................................ 17

1.3 Project timeframe for key-activities ....................................................................................................... 20

Section 2 – Workpackage progress of the period .................................................................................................... 21

Workpackage 1 – Conceptual models .............................................................................................................. 21

WP1.1 - Development of conceptual model – health impacts.......................................................................... 21

WP1.2 - Development of conceptual model – social impacts .......................................................................... 25

WP1.3 - Development of conceptual model – economic impacts .................................................................... 30

WP1.4 - Development of conceptual model – integrated impacts ................................................................... 35

Workpackage 2 – Assessment methods and field protocols ........................................................................... 38

WP2.1 - Development of assessment protocol – health impacts ...................................................................... 38

WP2.2 - Development of assessment protocol – social impacts ...................................................................... 41

WP2.3 - Development of assessment protocol – economic impacts ................................................................ 44

WP2.5 - Site selection, sampling and survey methodology ............................................................................. 46

Workpackage 5 – Dataset management .......................................................................................................... 50

WP5.2 - Global disaster data for policy purposes ............................................................................................ 50

Workpackage 6 – Promotion, training and dissemination ............................................................................ 53

WP6.1 - Intra and extra consortium training and workshops ........................................................................... 53

WP6.2 - User needs, civil society awareness and policy promotion ................................................................ 56

Workpackage 7 – Project management ........................................................................................................... 60

WP7 - Project management .............................................................................................................................. 60

Section 3 – Consortium management ...................................................................................................................... 65

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3.1. Consortium management tasks and achievements ....................................................................................... 65

3.2. Contractor comments regarding consortium ................................................................................................ 66

3.3. MICRODIS timetable and status .................................................................................................................. 70

3.4. Co-ordination activities report ...................................................................................................................... 71

Section 4 - MICRODIS plan for using and disseminating the knowledge .............................................................. 74

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1 – List of MICRODIS Partners ......................................................................................................................... 6

Figure 2 - Global Frequency of Natural Disasters 1900-2006 Source: EM-DAT ...................................................... 10

Figure 3 – List of MICRODIS Partners ....................................................................................................................... 12

Figure 4 - Global Frequency of Natural Disasters 1900-2006 Source: EM-DAT ...................................................... 14

Figure 5 - Project timeframe for key-activities – first 12 months ................................................................................ 20

Figure 6 - WP1.1 Progress ........................................................................................................................................... 22

Figure 7 - WP1.1 Deliverables ..................................................................................................................................... 24

Figure 8 - WP1.1 Milestones ....................................................................................................................................... 25

Figure 9 - WP1.1 Deviations ........................................................................................................................................ 25

Figure 10 - WP1.2 Progress ......................................................................................................................................... 27

Figure 11 - WP1.2 Deliverables ................................................................................................................................... 29

Figure 12 - WP1.2 Milestones ..................................................................................................................................... 30

Figure 13 - WP1.2 Deviations ...................................................................................................................................... 30

Figure 14 - WP1.3 Progress ......................................................................................................................................... 31

Figure 15 - WP1.3 Deliverables ................................................................................................................................... 34

Figure 16 - WP1.3 Milestones ..................................................................................................................................... 34

Figure 17 - WP1.3 Deviations ...................................................................................................................................... 34

Figure 18 - WP1.4 Progress ......................................................................................................................................... 36

Figure 19 - WP1.4 Deliverables ................................................................................................................................... 38

Figure 20 - WP1.4 Milestones ..................................................................................................................................... 38

Figure 21 - WP1.4 Deviations ...................................................................................................................................... 38

Figure 22 - WP2.1 Progress ......................................................................................................................................... 39

Figure 23 - WP2.1 Deliverables ................................................................................................................................... 40

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Figure 24 - WP2.1 Milestones ..................................................................................................................................... 40

Figure 25 - WP2.1 Deviations ...................................................................................................................................... 41

Figure 26 - WP2.2 Progress ......................................................................................................................................... 42

Figure 27 - WP2.2 Deliverables ................................................................................................................................... 43

Figure 28 - WP2.2 Milestones ..................................................................................................................................... 43

Figure 29 - WP2.2 Deviations ...................................................................................................................................... 44

Figure 30 - WP2.3 Progress ......................................................................................................................................... 45

Figure 31 - WP2.3 Deliverables ................................................................................................................................... 46

Figure 32 - WP2.3 Milestones ..................................................................................................................................... 46

Figure 33 - WP2.3 Deviations ...................................................................................................................................... 46

Figure 34 - WP2.5 Progress ......................................................................................................................................... 48

Figure 35 - WP2.5 Deliverables ................................................................................................................................... 49

Figure 36 - WP2.5 Milestones ..................................................................................................................................... 49

Figure 37 - WP2.5 Deviations ...................................................................................................................................... 50

Figure 38 - WP5.2 Progress ......................................................................................................................................... 51

Figure 39 - WP5.2 Deliverables ................................................................................................................................... 52

Figure 40 - WP5.2 Milestones ..................................................................................................................................... 52

Figure 41 - WP5.2 Deviations ...................................................................................................................................... 52

Figure 42 - WP6.1 Progress ......................................................................................................................................... 53

Figure 43 - WP6.1 Deliverables ................................................................................................................................... 55

Figure 44 - WP6.1 Milestones ..................................................................................................................................... 56

Figure 45 - WP6.1 Deviations ...................................................................................................................................... 56

Figure 46 - WP6.2 Progress ......................................................................................................................................... 57

Figure 47 - WP6.2 Deliverables ................................................................................................................................... 59

Figure 48 - WP6.2 Milestones ..................................................................................................................................... 59

Figure 49 - WP6.2 Deviations ...................................................................................................................................... 60

Figure 50 - WP7 Progress ............................................................................................................................................ 61

Figure 51 - WP7 Deliverables ...................................................................................................................................... 63

Figure 52 - WP7 Milestones ........................................................................................................................................ 64

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Figure 53 - WP7 Deviations ......................................................................................................................................... 64

Figure 54 - Consortium changes summary table .......................................................................................................... 67

Figure 55 - MICRODIS timetable ................................................................................................................................ 70

Figure 56 - Dissemination of knowledge overview ..................................................................................................... 74

Figure 57 - List of conferences: past and planned ........................................................................................................ 77

Figure 58 - List of Courses - past and planned ............................................................................................................. 80

Figure 61 – DELIVERABLES ANNEX LIST ............................................................................................................ 82

Figure 62 – WORKING ANNEX LIST ....................................................................................................................... 83

LEGEND APHES Assessing Public Health in Emergency Situations Summer Course CRED Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (based at UCL) EM-DAT Emergency Events Database (operated by CRED) EU European Union EWG Economic Working Group HWG Health Working Group IWG Integration Working Group SWG Social Working Group UNDP United Nations Development Programme UNESCO United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization UNFCCC United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change WP Workpackage

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PERIODIC ACTIVITY REPORT

 

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

www.microdis.be Recent events such as the Pakistan earthquake, Hurricane Katrina, the Indian Ocean tsunami and the European heat waves of 2003 reveal the vulnerability of societies to extreme events. The goal of the MICRODIS project is to strengthen prevention, mitigation and preparedness strategies in order to reduce the health, social and economic impacts of extreme events on communities. This integrated project involves partners from Asia and Europe, including research and grassroots institutions. The outputs will include an evidence-base on impacts, field methodologies and tools for data compilation, impact models, and integrated vulnerability assessments. It will also strengthen standardized data collection of extreme events and their impacts at local, regional and global levels. The broad objectives of the MICRODIS project are:

→ To strengthen the scientific and empirical foundation on the relationship between extreme events and their health, social and economic impacts

→ To develop and integrate knowledge, concepts, methods, tools and databases towards a common global approach

→ To improve human resources and coping capacity in Asia and Europe through training and knowledge sharing

To achieve these objectives and aims, the MICRODIS project involves an international consortium of sixteen committed and reputable expert partners from across Europe and Asia (Figure 1). Figure 1 – List of MICRODIS Partners

# Partner Code Country 1 Université catholique de Louvain UCL Belgium 3 University of Greenwich UoG United Kingdom 4 Northumbria University UoN United Kingdom 5 Tyoeterveyslaitos Finnish Institute of Occupational Health FIOH Finland 6 Jadavpur University JU India 7 University of Delhi UoD India 8 Hanoi School of Public Health HSPH Vietnam 9 University of Indonesia UoI Indonesia 10 Xavier University XU Philippines 12 United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs ISDR USA 15 EVAPLAN - University of Heidelberg EVAP Germany 16 Sweco Groner SWECO Norway 17 Voluntary Health Association of India VHAI India 18 Citizens' Disaster Response Center CDRC Philippines 19 HealthnetTPO HNI Netherlands 20 University of Paris Sorbonne – Ferurbat UPS France

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Members of the Health Working Group at the thematic workshop in Hanoi, Vietnam

Members of the Social Working Group during the kick off meeting in Brussels, Belgium

In addition, MICRODIS committees and advisory groups include key global and regional policy setting and dissemination bodies who have engaged themselves in writing to support this project. The project entails specific aims linked to its activities:

1. To develop the scientific understanding of social, economic and health impacts of disasters in developed and developing societies through theoretical and conceptual models

2. To evaluate existing methods and tools for assessing impact of extreme events, leading to an integrated impact methodology

3. To establish a sound evidence-base of field data on disaster impacts; 4. To develop tested and robust methods for an integrated analysis of the health, social and economic impacts

of extreme events on human populations 5. To make field survey dataset available to researchers worldwide through the creation of an online

searchable database 6. To increase the coverage, accuracy and resolution of global disaster data 7. To build a research network on extreme events and their effects on societies for the use of European and

international policymakers for sustainable decision-making 8. To train and facilitate the mobility of young researchers in Europe and Asia interested in pursuing advanced

studies in Europe in cutting edge theoretical and applied multidisciplinary methods of impact analyses 9. To manage and support a pan-European/Asian multi-disciplinary team of scattered researchers to form a

coherent project on a fundamental area of research and policy Progress in the first twelve months The first twelve months of the MICRODIS project encapsulated many fundamental objectives that were vital to address in order to ensure a successful transition into the second reporting period. There were no major deviations from the planned work, and minor disruptions which occurred were dealt with quickly without significant effects to the progress of the work. Minor consortium changes that were made in the first year (see consortium management) were requested and approved by the entire consortium. The earliest achievement of the project was obtaining the consortium agreement and planning/holding the

MICRODIS kickoff meeting. The kickoff meeting was held in Brussels, Belgium. All consortium partner institutions were present for two days of productive planning and discussions. In the context of this meeting each thematic working group held its own workshop session and produced a report based on this. A consortium meeting was held where workpackages were explained. The kickoff meeting was a great chance for partners to meet face-to-face and spend some quality time with their thematic group members in order to initiate dialogue about their responsibilities and plans for the coming year. Many project details were discussed and explained in great lengths for clarification purposes. The MICRODIS flyer was also distributed. Discussions about the project website, flyer translation and PowerPoint presentation also occurred.

Partners collaborated to translate the project flyer into five different languages, which were all made available on the project website. The EU Scientific Officer Tuomo Karjalainen and Dr F. Kinard, Chargée de Mission EU for the Université catholique de Louvain, explained some financial rules applicable to the project and accepted questions from the consortium on this topic. During the kickoff meeting each thematic group agreed on available dates for their additional thematic workshop session. Some groups were quicker than others to organize these meetings, due to the availability of group members and venues. The Integration Working Group held their first of three workshop sessions of this reporting period on June 19-20, 2007 in Paris, France. Partners who attended were UPS, UoG, HNI and UCL. Shortly following this, the Health Working Group had their thematic workshop session on August 30 - September 1, 2007 in Hanoi, Vietnam. The partners (HSPH, UoI, UCL, EVAP and FIOH) discussed the conceptual model and came up with a draft version and developed a series of variables that they were interested in contributing to the surveys to assess the health impacts of natural disasters. The Social Working Group was not far behind, holding their workshop session in Newcastle, UK on

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Integration Workshop Session in Potsdam, Germany

The “SHE Model” developed in Potsdam (right)

Same survey in each of 16 locations:

1. Common data needed by all Thematic Groups

3. Sharing of information by three survey teams, checking on linkages between Social, Health and Economic aspects

S

2. Survey for needs of Social Group

H

2. Survey for needs of Health Group

E

2. Survey for needs of Economics

Group

4. Analysis of data by each Thematic Group

5. Analysis of data by Integration Group

Members of the Economic Working Group at the thematic workshop in Kolkata, India

September 3-7, 2007. This meeting coincided with the “Dealing with Disasters” conference, which the partners also attended (UoD, XU, CDRC, and UoN). A meeting report was produced along with preliminary plans for the literature review. The Economic Working Group was the final group to hold their thematic workshop session. This group met in Kolkata, India on November 1-4, 2007 (JU, UPS and SWECO). The draft literature review was presented and added to by other reviews, and many insightful presentations were given relevant to the economic impacts of natural disasters. Members of the Integration Working Group (UoG, UPS and HNI) were present at all thematic workshop sessions.

The Integration Working Group, the leaders of each thematic working group and the Asian Coordinator met in Potsdam, Germany on October 4-7, 2007 while attending the “SHIFT – 07: Shift in Thinking Perspectives of Vulnerability and Hazard Assessment” conference hosted by Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK). An integrated model for the surveys was developed called the “SHE Model” (below) and also a site selection matrix was presented by the Social Working Group leader. The meeting was so productive that the attendees decided that a similar meeting would take place at the end of November in London between the Integration Working Group and the leaders of each thematic group. This integration workshop session took place on November 27-28, 2007 on the campus

of the University of Greenwich. At this meeting, three methodologies were suggested for consideration in the surveys as well as extensive discussions about the integrated format of surveys and conceptual models. All materials that have been produced were disseminated to all partners by email and were available on the project website (www.microdis-eu.be).

An overall project objective to strengthen the scientific and empirical foundation on the relationship between extreme events and their health, social and economic impacts is addressed at the end of the reporting period with an extensively detailed literature review drafted or produced by each thematic group. The Economic Working Group was very quick-moving on their literature review of economic impacts related to extreme events, including a desk study on application of the impact pathway approach to valuation in different economic settings and a review of economic valuation of non-market goods. Contributing to this objective was also the annotated bibliography and review of the prevalence of, and risk-factors for mortality, injuries, trauma and disease following extreme events by the Health Working Group. This is an extensive document which is constantly being updated. The Social Working Group produced an in-depth literature review which also continues to grow, including a focus on the analyses of psycho-social impacts, gender issues and community vulnerability and resilience. Each thematic group has chosen to keep the literature review as an evolving document. Informed by these literature reviews and relevant discussions between consortium members, conceptual models were drafted for each the social, health and economic thematic working groups. These conceptual models continue to be revised and reworked in efforts to aid the Integration Working Group in developing a combined integrated conceptual model. The Integration Working Group has developed a presentation and integration strategy matrix which was suggested to partners. Each model and literature review were developed through months of detailed and extensive research of existing literature and via thorough discussions and inputs from the group members during thematic working group meetings, the kickoff meeting and other modes of communication.

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Many different training and workshop opportunities were seized by MICRODIS partners during the first reporting period. Representatives from each institution were involved in giving presentations at international conferences and offering lectures at various universities throughout partner countries (such as the “Forum on Climate Change and Natural Disasters: It’s Implication to Health and Development” in Mindanao, Philippines; the “Second UNFCCC sessional period and COP-13” in Bali, Indonesia; “National Conference on Medical Anthropology and Health Sciences” in Mysore, India; and the “ARMONIA final colloquium” in Milan, Italy). An intensive summer course for Assessing Public Health in Emergency Situations (APHES) was given in July 2007, with members of six consortium partners attending and receiving ECTS (European Credit Transfer and Accumulation System) accreditation for their successful completion of the course. The course is designed to familiarize professionals with epidemiological techniques to determine impacts of disasters and conflicts. This APHES course will run again in July 2008, with scholarship opportunities available through the training and workshop workpackage budgets of each partner. The website was launched and the PowerPoint presentation and flyers were created and distributed to all partners. Also there have been many discussions about potential sites for the empirical work in the following year. Each partner will present 3-4 potential survey site locations at the Annual Meeting, including a presentation on contextual information, disaster profile, recommendations and application to the objectives/aims of the MICRODIS project. The Annual Meeting co-organized by UoD and UCL will take place in Delhi, India on February 17-19, 2008. Extensive planning, agenda creation, dignitary invitations, logistics and countless details have been coordinated between the host and project coordinators to ensure a successful event. As well, VHAI has volunteered to organize the Official MICRODIS Launch which will occur on February 21st, 2008. This launch will include, among the MICRODIS partners, many different EU Representatives, politicians, academics, NGOs and respected dignitaries from all over the world. Both events will undoubtedly ensure a fantastic start to the second year of the MICRODIS project; this as a direct result of the first year’s achievements from each consortium partner as well as all the hard work done by all meeting /event coordinating partners. Intentions for Impact The need for systematic disaster information has been identified in several studies on the health impact of natural disasters. Two expert consultations in 2005 on disasters, health and the environment convened by DG Research (Directorate ‘Environment’) concluded that information remained a major barrier to better prevention and preparedness. Critical information, such as mortality and morbidity risk-exposures, long-term social impacts, direct, indirect, secondary economic damages and integrated vulnerability analyses, is lacking. Furthermore, there is little conformity between countries and within countries on definitions of standard terms such as affected, injured, disasters types, administrative levels, place names, and hierarchy of occurrence (floods followed by landslides, mass displacement followed by epidemics). Standard protocols and common database structures would greatly strengthen data capture and exchange between and within countries. This issue was approached by the EM-DAT Research Network in this reporting period (WP5). The strategic impact of this project is directly related to the increasing frequency of extreme events and the severity of their impacts, as demonstrated in Figure 2 (below). In addition, the number of people affected by such disasters continues to increase overall, leading to high vulnerability amongst populations and an undeniable impact on the economies, societies and livelihoods of communities throughout Europe and Asia. With its unique interdisciplinary focus, this project has the potential to establish Europe’s position as a global reference for prevention and mitigation of extreme events, not only for the region but also for the entire global community. Secondly, the MICRODIS project’s potential for strategic impact is also underscored by new openings in several key global fora, which reflects a changing dynamic within the international community. For example, the International Council for Science’s (www.icsu.org/index.php) recent report for the ICSU Scoping Group (www.icsu.org/Gestion/img/ICSU_DOC_DOWNLOAD/865_DD_FILE_Hazards_Report_Final.pdf) has highlighted integrated research as a leading research priority. Others, such as the UN/ISDR in the Hyogo Framework of January 2005, have reinforced the global recognition of the necessity for outputs in this domain. In fact these are just two of several significant openings over the last year, which draw attention to the window of opportunity that exists for MICRODIS today to make a far-reaching and sustained impact.

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Thirdly, MICRODIS aims to contribute significantly to the societal objectives of sustainable development, social and territorial cohesion and improved quality of life both in Europe and Asia, through development of a unique evidence-base of extreme event impacts in the three selected thematic areas and in the integrated vulnerability approach. Indeed, empirical datasets and rigorous theoretical frameworks for micro-level disaster analysis are urgently needed. By bringing together the strengths of different academic disciplines whilst also merging analytical, conceptual and policy perspectives, the inherent synergies of the MICRODIS project will play a crucial role in the successful development of its deliverables.

By collating original household-level data using a standard protocol, the MICRODIS consortium will produce an integrated and coherent body of international survey data. In addition, MICRODIS will enhance and improve current repositories of global data on extreme events via its broad participation in the pre-existing EM-DAT system. Finally, the MICRODIS project places special emphasis on guaranteeing the European and international policy take up of its outputs by linking them from the start to long-term institutional mechanisms for sustainable development and decreased vulnerability. Innovation-related activities The MICRODIS project will lead to various scientific and policy advances related to the prevention and mitigation of extreme events. Innovation in these areas will be achieved in the following ways:

A new level of European-Asian cooperation A multidisciplinary yet uniquely integrated research approach Incorporating previously neglected social sectors A robust evidence base and methodology A harmonized model and tool for measuring extreme event impact A unique dissemination approach to facilitate policy take-up and the identification of user needs Development of MICRODIS Central Data Hub for field survey data

The nucleus of this process will be started up by generating 14 – 16 systematic comparable integrated survey datasets that will have health, social and economic impact data. The MICRODIS project embodies innovative research in the pursuit of integrated knowledge and new tools for extreme event assessment and evaluation. The synergies inherent in MICRODIS’ European-Asian consortium will bring exciting new research and policy developments, as well as urgently needed empirical datasets and methodologies for micro-level disaster analysis toward evidence-based preparedness, mitigation and prevention strategies. By drawing on the strengths and specialties of the health, social

Figure 2 - Global Frequency of Natural Disasters 1900-2006 Source: EM-DAT

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and economic sciences, and integrating them within a coherent framework, the MICRODIS consortium will bring considerable innovative added-value on the levels of scientific advancement, socioeconomic development and resilience, policy improvements and international cooperation.

Coordinator Contact Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED) Université catholique de Louvain 30.94 Clos Chapelle-aux-Champs 1200 Brussels, Belgium Tel: +32.2.764.33.27 Fax: +32.2.764.34.41 Email: [email protected]

URL: http://www.cred.be CRED

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SECTION 1 – PROJECT OBJECTIVES AND MAJOR ACHIEVEMENTS IN THE REPORTING PERIOD

1.1 OVERVIEW OF THE GENERAL OBJECTIVES OF MICRODIS The goal of this project is to strengthen preparedness, mitigation and prevention strategies in order to reduce the health, social and economic impacts of extreme events on communities. The broad objectives of the MICRODIS project are:

→ To strengthen the scientific and empirical foundation on the relationship between extreme events and their health, social and economic impacts

→ To develop and integrate knowledge, concepts, methods, tools and databases towards a common global approach

→ To improve human resources and coping capacity in Asia and Europe through training and knowledge sharing

To achieve these objectives and aims, the MICRODIS project involves an international consortium of sixteen committed and reputable expert partners from across Europe and Asia (Figure 3). We are pleased to offer a detailed list of staff working on the MICRODIS project (Working Annex 1). Figure 3 – List of MICRODIS Partners

# Partner Code Country 1 Université catholique de Louvain UCL Belgium 3 University of Greenwich UoG United Kingdom 4 Northumbria University UoN United Kingdom 5 Tyoeterveyslaitos Finnish Institute of Occupational Health FIOH Finland 6 Jadavpur University JU India 7 University of Delhi UoD India 8 Hanoi School of Public Health HSPH Vietnam 9 University of Indonesia UoI Indonesia 10 Xavier University XU Philippines 12 United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs ISDR USA 15 University of Heidelberg – EVAPLAN EVAP Germany 16 Sweco Groner SWECO Norway 17 Voluntary Health Association of India VHAI India 18 Citizens' Disaster Response Center CDRC Philippines 19 HealthnetTPO HNI Netherlands 20 University of Paris Sorbonne – Ferurbat UPS France

In addition, MICRODIS committees and advisory groups include key global and regional policy setting and dissemination bodies who have engaged themselves in writing to support this project. The project entails specific aims linked to its activities:

1. To develop the scientific understanding of social, economic and health impacts of disasters in developed and developing societies through theoretical and conceptual models

2. To evaluate existing methods and tools for assessing impact of extreme events, leading to an integrated impact methodology

3. To establish a sound evidence-base of field data on disaster impacts 4. To develop tested and robust methods for an integrated analysis of the health, social and economic

impacts of extreme events on human populations 5. To make field survey dataset available to researchers worldwide through the creation of an online

searchable database

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6. To increase the coverage, accuracy and resolution of global disaster data 7. To build a research network on extreme events and their effects on societies for the use of European

and international policymakers for sustainable decision-making 8. To train and facilitate the mobility of young researchers in Europe and Asia interested in pursuing

advanced studies in Europe in cutting edge theoretical and applied multidisciplinary methods of impact analyses

9. To manage and support a pan-European/Asian multi-disciplinary team of scattered researchers to form a coherent project on a fundamental area of research and policy

Relation to the state-of-the-art Disaster impacts are on the rise with grave consequences for the survival, dignity and livelihoods of individuals and communities, particularly of the poor in developed and less developed countries, and for development gains. Disaster risk is increasingly of global concern and actions in one region can have impacts on risks in another. This, compounded by increasing vulnerabilities related to changing demographic, technological and socio-economic conditions, unplanned urbanisation, development within high-risk zones, under-development, environmental degradation, climate variability, climate change, geological hazards, competition for scarce resources, and the impact of epidemics such as HIV/AIDS, points to a future when disasters could increasingly threaten the world’s economy, its populations and the sustainable development of developing countries. In the past two decades, more than 200 million people have been affected, on average, every year by natural disasters. Disaster risk arises when hazards occur in a context of physical, social, economic and environmental vulnerabilities, and the modern understanding of disaster impacts takes this vulnerability into account. Events of hydrometeorological origin constitute the large majority of disasters. Despite the growing understanding and acceptance of the importance of disaster risk reduction and increased disaster response capacities, disasters - and in particular the management and reduction of risk - continue to pose a global challenge. There is now international acknowledgement that efforts to reduce disaster risks must be systematically integrated into policies, plans and programmes for sustainable development and poverty reduction, and supported through bilateral, regional and international cooperation. Sustainable development, poverty reduction, good governance and disaster risk reduction are mutually supportive objectives. In order to meet the challenges ahead, accelerated efforts must be made to build the necessary capacities at all levels to manage and reduce risks. Such an approach today is embodied in internationally agreed development goals, including those contained in the Millennium Declaration and has been recognised in the past few years in a number of key multilateral frameworks and declarations. Another key framework agreement is the Johannesburg Plan of Implementation of the World Summit on Sustainable Development (2002) which requests “An integrated, multi-hazard, inclusive approach to address vulnerability, risk, assessment and disaster management, including prevention, mitigation, preparedness, response and recovery, is an essential element of a safer world in the 21st century”. Finally, the Hyogo Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction was adopted in Kobe (2005) and establishes disaster risk reduction as central to sustainable development. The motivation to invest in disaster risk reduction is also a poverty reduction concern. It is about improving standards of safety and living conditions, with an eye on protection from hazards, to increase the resilience of communities. A safer society that can better withstand disasters may be argued as a case of ethics, social justice and equity. It is also motivated by economic gains. Socio-economic development is seriously challenged when scarce funds are diverted from long-term development objectives to short-term emergency relief and reconstruction needs. Environmentally unsound practices, global environmental changes, population growth, urbanization, social injustice, poverty, conflicts, and short-term economic visions are producing vulnerable societies. The impact of development on health, social, economic and environmental vulnerabilities should be fully addressed if disaster risk reduction is to yield its expected benefits. This takes on particular urgency in the face of long-term risks brought about by climate change, and which goes beyond environmental degradation or the mismanagement of natural resources. The MICRODIS project locates itself within this above framework. Its scope encompasses disasters caused by hazards of natural origin and related environmental and technological hazards and risks. It thus reflects a holistic and multi-hazard approach of the disaster impacts further aimed at enhancing disaster risk management and vulnerability

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Figure 4 - Global Frequency of Natural Disasters 1900-2006 Source: EM-DAT

reduction and to the relationships between them that can have significant impacts on social, economic and health systems. Intentions for Impact The need for systematic disaster information has been identified in several studies on the health impact of natural disasters. Two expert consultations in 2005 on disasters, health and the environment convened by DG Research (Directorate ‘Environment’) concluded that information remained a major barrier to better prevention and preparedness. Critical information, such as mortality and morbidity risk-exposures, long-term social impacts, direct, indirect, secondary economic damages and integrated vulnerability analyses, is lacking. Furthermore, there is little conformity between countries and within countries on definitions of standard terms such as affected, injured, disasters types, administrative levels, place names, and hierarchy of occurrence (floods followed by landslides, mass displacement followed by epidemics). Standard protocols and common database structures would greatly strengthen data capture and exchange between and within countries.

The strategic impact of this project is directly related to the increasing frequency of extreme events and the severity of their impacts, as demonstrated in Figure 4 (above). In addition, the number of people affected by such disasters continues to increase overall, leading to high vulnerability amongst populations and an undeniable impact on the economies, societies and livelihoods of communities throughout Europe and Asia. With its unique interdisciplinary focus, this project has the potential to establish Europe’s position as a global reference for prevention and mitigation of extreme events, not only for the region but also for the entire global community. Secondly, MICRODIS’ potential for strategic impact is also underscored by new openings in several key global fora, which reflect a changing dynamic within the international community. For example, the International Council for Science’s (www.icsu.org/index.php) recent report for the ICSU Scoping Group (www.icsu.org/Gestion/img/ICSU_DOC_DOWNLOAD/865_DD_FILE_Hazards_Report_Final.pdf) has highlighted integrated research as a leading research priority. Others, such as the UN/ISDR in the Hyogo Framework of January 2005, have reinforced the global recognition of the necessity for outputs in this domain. In fact these are just two of several significant openings over the last year, which draw attention to the window of opportunity that exists for MICRODIS today to make a far-reaching and sustained impact. Thirdly, MICRODIS aims to contribute significantly to the societal objectives of sustainable development, social and territorial cohesion and improved quality of life both in Europe and Asia, through development of a unique evidence-base of extreme event impacts in the three selected thematic areas and in the integrated vulnerability approach. Indeed, empirical datasets and rigorous theoretical frameworks for micro-level disaster analysis are urgently needed.

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By bringing together the strengths of different academic disciplines whilst also merging analytical, conceptual and policy perspectives, the inherent synergies of the MICRODIS project will play a crucial role in the successful development of its deliverables. By collating original household-level data using a standard protocol, the MICRODIS consortium will produce an integrated and coherent body of international survey data. In addition, MICRODIS will enhance and improve current repositories of global data on extreme events via its broad participation in the pre-existing EM-DAT system. Finally, the MICRODIS project places special emphasis on guaranteeing the European and international policy take up of its outputs by linking them from the start to long-term institutional mechanisms for sustainable development and decreased vulnerability. Innovation-related activities The MICRODIS project will lead to various scientific and policy advances related to the prevention and mitigation of extreme events. Innovation in these areas will be achieved in the following ways:

A new level of European-Asian cooperation A multidisciplinary yet uniquely integrated research approach Incorporating previously neglected social sectors A robust evidence base and methodology A harmonized model and tool for measuring extreme event impact A unique dissemination approach to facilitate policy take-up and the identification of user needs. Development of MICRODIS Central Data Hub for field survey data

As the most disaster-affected region in the world, Asia is a crucial regional reference and strategic partner for the EU. A multidisciplinary yet uniquely integrated research approach: The project combines the disciplinary rigour of specialist areas of health, social sciences and economics, with innovative horizontal (cross-disciplinary) and vertical (grass-roots to global perspectives) integration approaches. This is significant because health, social and economic impacts of extreme events have, for the most part, been studied in isolation despite their inherent interconnection. Incorporating previously neglected social sectors: Related to the interdisciplinary nature of the project is the specific focus that MICRODIS will place on the social impacts of extreme events. In comparison with health and economic factors, which have been the subject of disaster studies in the past, data on the social consequences of disasters (for example, the impact and implications of gender, ethnicity and psychosocial issues) are lacking. A robust evidence base and methodology: MICRODIS aims to produce the first systematic evidence base to inform policy making in the domain of disaster prevention, mitigation and recovery. The development of standardized and integrated assessment methods and databases on extreme events will inform sustainable development strategies and strengthen both regional and international coping mechanisms. A harmonized model and tool for measuring extreme event impact: By bringing together the research findings of the different sectors, MICRODIS partners will work within a coherent framework to develop a harmonized model for integrated damage assessments. A unique dissemination approach to facilitate policy take-up and the identification of user-needs: A particular strength of the project design is its strategic approach aimed at facilitating policy take-up. Policy take-up is assured by involving major policy institutions and organizations in MICRODIS planning and procedures from the outset. At the same time, the identification of user needs lies at the heart of the MICRODIS approach, which in turn guarantees the political relevance of project deliverables. The nucleus of this process will be started up by generating 14 – 16 systematic comparable integrated survey datasets that will have health, social and economic impact data. The MICRODIS project embodies innovative research in the pursuit of integrated knowledge and new tools for extreme event assessment and evaluation. The synergies inherent in MICRODIS’ European-Asian consortium will bring exciting new research and policy developments, as well as

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urgently needed empirical datasets and methodologies for micro-level disaster analysis toward evidence-based preparedness, mitigation and prevention strategies. By drawing on the strengths and specialties of the health, social and economic sciences, and integrating them within a coherent framework, the MICRODIS consortium will bring considerable innovative added-value on the levels of scientific advancement, socioeconomic development and resilience, policy improvements and international cooperation. European added-value MICRODIS’ integrated approach will serve to address issues of substantial current strategic importance for the EU in terms of enhancing knowledge and understanding and strengthening the ability to mitigate the impact of extreme events on the health, social and economic facets of the region and its inhabitants. The central aspect of this project from the point of view of European added-value is the great variance of the characteristics of extreme events between European countries. Not only do economic, social and health contexts differ and provide contrasting scenarios, these differences are essential for the development of generic tools of wide applicability. Research skills on extreme events from the perspective of social sciences are limited and it would have been impossible to undertake this project without a broad participation. It will be hard to argue that any one country with a very specific hazard profile and socioeconomic conditions can generate from its only experiences a robust, model or tools for general application. Furthermore, integrated models and methods require inputs from experts in techniques and tools as well as inputs from field-level organizations. Bringing all of these together in a field with a limited number of specialists is a strong case for a pan-European project. Finally, making significant progress that can contribute to multi-country planning and policy will require a large and sustained effort in order to generate significant and useful new knowledge. The synergies to be built within the MICRODIS consortium will play a crucial role in the successful development of urgently needed empirical datasets and rigorous methods for micro-level disaster analysis, by bringing together the strengths of medical and social sciences, as well as merging both conceptual and empirical perspectives. The project demonstrates a considerable European added-value at four distinct levels: scientific, policy, social and international. At the scientific level, the project draws together leading European and INCO target country researchers across different disciplines and different areas of knowledge and expertise. This will ensure that project participants will create synergies for advancing European research in extreme event analysis beyond what each partner could achieve independently. Furthermore, the project’s main goals are at the forefront of scientific understanding of extreme events and as such will significantly enhance European visibility and establish long-lasting intra-European and international scientific collaborations. At the policy level, the results generated by the project will inform EU policy on vulnerabilities to, and impacts from, natural disasters. Given the crucial role played by the EU in disaster prevention, mitigation and preparedness, the project will significantly influence the design and implementation of extreme events related policies in Europe and outside Europe. At the social level, the proposal uses significant European-based resources to build influential partnerships and cooperation with research and policy organizations in countries that have recently joined the EU, countries bordering the EU, as well as key INCO target countries. The objective is to build important research and policy capacity, as well as increase mobility and the integration of scientists and policy-makers across Europe and internationally. At the international level, the project represents an important step in the establishment of worldwide long-term collaborations across a significant number of countries in Europe and Asia. Close collaborations, including for dissemination purposes, with the World Bank and the International Strategy for Disaster Reduction of the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs will also advance significantly the international dimension, exposure and visibility of European research and policy.

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Members of the Social Working Group during the kick off meeting in Brussels, Belgium

1.2 OBJECTIVES OF THE CURRENT REPORTING PERIOD AND WORK PERFORMED

The following is a summary of the main objectives of the first twelve months:

Obtaining consortium agreement Planning and attending the kickoff meeting Organizing and holding thematic workshop sessions Holding thematic workshop sessions for each health, social, economic and integration working groups Reporting from the first technical thematic workshop sessions for all working groups Producing draft literature reviews or desk studies for thematic groups Drafting a conceptual model for each thematic group Exploring integration strategies for conceptual models and survey methodology Organizing the annual meeting and official launch for February 2008 Attending training and workshop opportunities Creating the promotional material for the MICRODIS project (project website, flyers (in multiple

languages), PowerPoint presentation, etc.) Database management Project management liaison with advisory committees, EU Scientific Officer and other bodies Produce the annual scientific and technical report for the first twelve months of the project Narrowing down methodology and potential site selection for empirical work Creating networks and partnerships with other relevant organizations Attending conferences and scientific events to promote the MICRODIS project Begin to prepare for the site selection process, prepare contextual presentations for consortium Developing research questions and variables specific to each thematic area and cross-cutting areas Site selection and contextual information preparation on recommended sites

Progress in the first twelve months The first twelve months of the MICRODIS project encapsulated many fundamental objectives that were vital to address in order to ensure a successful transition into the second reporting period. There were no major deviations from the planned work, and minor disruptions which occurred were dealt with quickly without significant effects to the progress of the work. Minor consortium changes that were made in the first year (see consortium management) were requested and approved by the entire consortium.

The earliest achievement of the project was obtaining the consortium agreement and planning/holding the MICRODIS kickoff meeting. The kickoff meeting was held in Brussels, Belgium. All consortium partner institutions were present for two days of productive planning and discussions. In the context of this meeting each thematic working group held its own workshop session and produced a report based on this. A consortium meeting was held where workpackages were explained. The kickoff meeting was a great chance for partners to meet face-to-face and spend some quality time with their thematic group members in order to initiate dialogue about their responsibilities and plans for the coming year. Many project details were discussed and explained in great lengths for clarification purposes. The MICRODIS flyer was

also distributed. Discussions about the project website, flyer translation and PowerPoint presentation also occurred. Partners collaborated to translate the project flyer into five different languages, which were all made available on the project website. The EU Scientific Officer Tuomo Karjalainen and Dr F. Kinard, Chargée de Mission EU for the Université catholique de Louvain, explained some financial rules applicable to the project and accepted questions from the consortium on this topic. During the kickoff meeting each thematic group agreed on available dates for their additional thematic workshop session. Some groups were quicker than others to organize these meetings, due to the availability of group members

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Members of the Health Working Group during the thematic workshop in Hanoi, Vietnam

Members of the Economic Working Group during the thematic workshop in Kolkata, India

and venues. The Integration Working Group held their first of three workshop sessions of this reporting period on June 19-20, 2007 in Paris, France. Partners who attended were UPS, UoG, HNI and UCL as the coordinating partner. Shortly following this, the Health Working Group had their thematic workshop session on August 30 - September 1, 2007 in Hanoi, Vietnam. The partners (HSPH, UoI, UCL, EVAP and FIOH) discussed the conceptual model and came up with a draft version and developed a series of variables that they were interested in contributing to the surveys to assess the health impacts of natural disasters. The Social Working Group was not far behind, holding their workshop

session in Newcastle, UK on September 3-7, 2007. This meeting coincided with the “Dealing with Disasters” conference, which the partners also attended (UoD, XU, CDRC, and UoN). A meeting report was produced along with preliminary plans for the literature review. The Economic Working Group was the final group to hold their thematic workshop session. This group met in Kolkata, India on November 1-4, 2007 (JU, UPS and SWECO). The draft literature review was presented and added to by other reviews, and many insightful presentations were given relevant to the economic impacts of natural disasters. Members of the Integration Working Group (UoG, UPS and HNI) were present at all thematic workshop sessions.

The Integration Working Group, the leaders of each thematic working group and the Asian Coordinator met in Potsdam, Germany on October 4-7, 2007 while attending the “SHIFT – 07: Shift in Thinking Perspectives of Vulnerability and Hazard Assessment” conference hosted by Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK). An integrated model for the surveys was developed called the “SHE Model” (below) and also a site selection matrix was presented by the Social Working Group leader. The meeting was so productive that the attendees decided that a similar meeting would take place at the end of November in London between the Integration Working Group and the leaders of each thematic group. This integration workshop session took place on November 27-28, 2007 on the campus of the University of Greenwich. At this meeting, three methodologies were suggested for consideration in the surveys as well as extensive discussions about the integrated format of surveys and conceptual models. All materials that have been produced were disseminated to all partners by email and were available on the project website (www.microdis-eu.be). An overall project objective to strengthen the scientific and empirical foundation on the relationship between extreme events and their health, social and economic impacts is addressed at the end of the reporting period with an extensively detailed literature review drafted or produced by each thematic group. The Economic Working Group was very quick-moving on their literature review of economic impacts related to extreme events, including a desk study on application of the impact pathway approach to valuation in different economic settings and a review of economic valuation of non-market goods. Contributing to this objective was also the annotated bibliography and review of the prevalence of, and risk-factors for mortality, injuries, trauma and disease following extreme events by the Health Working Group. This is an extensive document which is constantly being updated. The Social Working Group produced an in-depth literature review which also continues to grow, including a focus on the analyses of psycho-social impacts, gender issues and community vulnerability and resilience. Each thematic group has chosen to keep the literature review as an evolving document. Informed by these literature reviews and relevant discussions between consortium members, conceptual models were drafted for each the social, health and economic thematic working groups. These conceptual models continue to be revised and reworked in efforts to aid the Integration Working Group in developing a combined integrated conceptual model. The Integration Working Group has developed a presentation and integration strategy matrix which was suggested to partners. Each model and literature review were developed through months of detailed and extensive research of existing literature and via thorough discussions and inputs from the group members during thematic working group meetings, the kickoff meeting and other modes of communication. Many different training and workshop opportunities were seized by MICRODIS partners during the first reporting period. Representatives from each institution were involved in giving presentations at international conferences and offering lectures at various universities throughout partner countries (such as the “Forum on Climate Change and Natural Disasters: It’s Implication to Health and Development” in Mindanao, Philippines; the “Second UNFCCC sessional period and COP-13” in Bali, Indonesia; “National Conference on Medical Anthropology and Health

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Integration Workshop Session in Potsdam, Germany

The “SHE Model” developed in Potsdam (right)

Same survey in each of 16 locations:

1. Common data needed by all Thematic Groups

3. Sharing of information by three survey teams, checking on linkages between Social, Health and Economic aspects

S 2. Survey for

needs of Social Group

H 2. Survey for

needs of Health Group

E 2. Survey for

needs of Economics Group

4. Analysis of data by each Thematic Group

5. Analysis of data by Integration Group

Sciences” in Mysore, India; and the “ARMONIA final colloquium” in Milan, Italy). A summer course for Assessing Public Health in Emergency Situations (APHES) was given in July 2007, with members of six consortium partners attending and receiving ECTS (European Credit Transfer and Accumulation System) accreditation for their successful completion of the course. The course is designed to familiarize professionals with epidemiological techniques to determine impacts of disasters and conflicts. This APHES course will run again in July 2008, with scholarship opportunities available through the training and workshop workpackage budgets of each partner.

The website was launched and the PowerPoint presentation and flyers were created and distributed to all partners. Also there have been many discussions about potential sites for the empirical work in the following year. Each partner will present 3-4 potential survey site locations at the Annual Meeting, including a presentation on contextual information, disaster profile, recommendations and application to the objectives/aims of the MICRODIS project. The Annual Meeting co-organized by UoD and UCL will take place in Delhi, India on February 17-19, 2008. Extensive planning, agenda creation, dignitary invitations, logistics and countless details have been coordinated between the host and project coordinators to ensure a successful event. As well, VHAI has volunteered to organize the Official MICRODIS Launch which will occur on February 21st, 2008. This launch will include, among the MICRODIS partners, many different EU Representatives, politicians, academics, NGOs and respected dignitaries from all over the world. Both events will undoubtedly ensure a fantastic start to the second year of the MICRODIS project; this as a direct result of the first year’s achievements from each consortium partner as well as all the hard work done by all meeting /event coordinating partners.

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1.3 PROJECT TIMEFRAME FOR KEY-ACTIVITIES

Figure 5 - Project timeframe for key-activities – first 12 months

F M A M J J A S O N D J

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Workpackage 1 – Conceptual models WP1.1: Development of conceptual model – health impacts D1.1.1 - Thematic workshop session conclusions on the health impacts of natural disasters D1.1.2 - Annotated bibliography and review on prevalence and risk-factors for mortality, injuries, trauma and diseases following extreme events

WP1.2: Development of conceptual model – social impacts D1.2.1 - Thematic workshop session conclusions on the social impacts of natural disasters D1.2.2 - Analyses of psycho-social impacts, gender issues and community vulnerability and resilience WP1.3: Development of conceptual model – economic impacts D1.3.1 - Thematic workshop session conclusions on the economic impacts of natural disasters D1.3.3 - Desk study on application of the impact pathway approach to valuation in different economic settings D1.3.4 - Review of economic valuation of non-market goods WP 1.4 Development of conceptual model – integrated impacts Work Package 2 - Assessment methods and field protocol WP 2.1: Development of assessment protocol – health impacts WP2.2: Development of assessment protocol – social impacts WP2.3: Development of assessment protocol – economic impacts WP2.5: Site selection, sampling and survey methodology Workpackage 5 – Dataset Management WP 5.2 – Improved global disaster data for policy purposes D5.2.1 - Creation of the EM-DAT Research Network D5.2.2 - Enhanced EM-DAT website user interface and maps added Workpackage 6 – Promotion, training and dissemination WP6.1 – Intra and Extra Consortium Training and Workshops WP6.2 – User needs, civil society awareness, policy promotion D6.2.1 - Creation of a project website D6.2.2 - Standard PowerPoint MICRODIS presentation package D6.2.3 - MICRODIS information flyer (in different languages) Workpackage 7 – Project management WP7 - Project Management D7.1 - Consortium agreement

D7.2 - Kickoff meeting D7.3 - Two steering committee/consortium meeting, six thematic and two integrated workshop sessions* D7.4 - Thematic and integrated workshop session*

*These deliverables are repeated in the second reporting period with a deadline of Month 14

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SECTION 2 – WORKPACKAGE PROGRESS OF THE PERIOD

WORKPACKAGE 1 – CONCEPTUAL MODELS

WP1.1 - DEVELOPMENT OF CONCEPTUAL MODEL – HEALTH IMPACTS Leader: University of Heidelberg - EVAPLAN Workpackage objectives and starting point of work at beginning of reporting period Start date or starting event: Month 3 Objectives:

Preparation and implementation of first health thematic workshop session (Committee members will form an integral part of the work method)

Literature review of existing health-related studies of extreme events Establish thematic contact group of persons exterior to the Consortium but involved in health impacts of

extreme events Analyses of health impacts of disasters (e.g., mortality, morbidity, disability, health systems, households,

health economics) Description of Work

Conceptual models will be developed by the health team by first examining all the different ways in which health status of individuals and community is affected. The comparative expertise of Asian countries in managing infectious disease impacts and those of the Europeans in emergency medical plans and hospital catastrophe planning will be drawn together here. Four levels will be distinguished in the preparation of the conceptual model on the health impact of extreme events:

A. Communicable diseases may pose a threat for humans after disasters. The consortium will identify transmission routes and the pre-disposing factors in communities that allow outbreaks

B. Injuries and trauma: These impacts are one of the main components of extreme event effects in both developing and developed economies. Injury patterns after acute events will be modelled using experiences, published evidence and interviews of relief agencies. Hospital data will also be analysed to substantiate the conclusions

C. Mortality can be the most traumatic impact if natural disasters and will be factored into the conceptual model as a public health impact indicator. Demographic patterns in mortality are an essential component of impact measurement as they point of vulnerability factors in times of disaster. Measuring mortality as a direct consequence of the event requires research and will be included in this package

D. Hospital and health infrastructure impact: These components are crucial in Europe where the population is heavily dependent on managed care. In Asia, the health infrastructure is often lacking under normal circumstances and can become completely inoperative after large-scale disasters. The conceptual model will identify components of the health infrastructure particularly vulnerable to different types of extreme events

In the reviews of these levels of impact categories, review papers will be prepared using published, grey and interview materials. Thematic contact group of specialists in US and elsewhere in Asia and African countries will be established. Consultations with these experts outside the Consortium as well as from the scientific committee members will form an integral part of the work method.

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Existing data based studies and data sources will be compiled for the construction of the conceptual model, from sources such as the WHO disaster reporting system, FAO and WFP reports, hospital and emergency department records. These will be summarized in a structured form and fed to the workpackage members in support of the development of the conceptual model. Papers from these data and review process will be prepared for publication either as MICRODIS Technical Series or journal publication (See WP 6.2). Joint authorship, preferably by inter-country, will be encouraged for publications. This workpackage will be coordinated by EVAP. EVAP will research the prevalence of, and risk factors for, mortality following extreme events, with a focus on European countries. FIOH will carry out research on industrial development in disaster prone areas. HSPH will research the impact extreme events on infectious diseases, with a focus on Vietnam. UoI will analyze the impact of extreme events in terms of injury and trauma and infectious diseases in Indonesia, looking among others at the tsunami and the recent Java earthquake. UCL will contribute to the literature review with a review focused on Floods and Health Impacts. UCL and EVAP will work together to reformat and organize the literature review. VHAI will review the results of the research conducted by these other partners and provide feedback in terms of the applicability of the results to small communities. They will consolidate the various reports into the annotated bibliography. Progress towards objectives Figure 6 - WP1.1 Progress Objective Progress Contractors

Involved Preparation and implementation of first health thematic workshop session.

The first health thematic workshop session took place in Hanoi, Vietnam from Aug 30th to Sept 1st, 2007 and was hosted by HSPH (Deliverables Annex 1 – D1.1.1). Members of HSPH, EVAP, UoG, UoI who were already in Hanoi on September 29th collectively finalized the preparation of this meeting. [Unfortunately VHAI could not participate in this workshop because of last-minute impossibility to travel (problem with visa)]. The two and a half day workshop allowed for the presentation of the partners, progress reports, and discussion on both methods and site selection. Research questions (included in the meeting report) have been elaborated to greater detail since this meeting, and are approaching their finalization stage.

EVAP, UCL, UoI, FIOH, HSPH

Literature review of existing health-related studies of extreme events

The HWG has completed D1.1.2 – Annotated bibliography and review on the prevalence of, and risk-factors for, mortality, injuries, trauma, mental health and diseases following extreme events (Deliverables Annex 2 - D1.1.2). It is important to note that this literature review is an ongoing document with EVAP responsible for providing the base document. This document is not considered to be ‘closed’ as relevant information will be added when found. Four aspects of this document will continue to be developed:

a document summarizing the main findings and identifying the knowledge gaps

a summary table giving an overview of the most relevant papers on the subject

EVAP, UCL, UoI, FIOH, HSPH, VHAI

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a database of relevant papers a repository (electronic and/or paper) of the relevant papers kept

by EVAP which is accessible upon request Each partner has contributed according to their area of expertise and geographical location. EVAP coordinated the research. It was also decided to include the literature review on industrial development in disaster prone areas in this review. This literature review satisfies D1.1.3 – report on industrial development in disaster prone areas, which is not due until Month 15 (included in Deliverables Annex 2 – D1.1.2). FIOH has worked hard and completed this literature review months prior to its deadline. The report is titled 'Natural disaster and industrial contamination - Chemicals in floods'. The literature reviews and combined expertise of the HWG has led to the creation of a draft conceptual model in the first twelve months of the project (Working Annex 2 – D1.1.4). This draft conceptual model will continue to be revised by the HWG members and will be discussed at the Annual Meeting in Delhi, India on February 17-19, 2008. The preliminary model is due in Month 15 to satisfy the final deliverable in this workpackage (D1.1.4 – Preliminary conceptual model of health components that describe extreme event impacts).

Establish thematic contact group of persons exterior to the Consortium but involved in health impacts of extreme events

External groups and persons are being identified for possible collaboration, notably for the field work.

EVAP organized a half-day workshop inviting scientist from the University of Heidelberg and the South Asian Institute for brainstorming and identify possible collaboration

UoG organized a 90 minute meeting during the Shift 07 conference in Potsdam with Partners of the EU project “SCENARIO” to identify area of possible collaboration, regarding field work in particular.

Neeti Solution, a small company based in Pune, India, specializing in developing software and training programs for disaster management, has been contacted and invited to the project’s Annual Meeting to take place in Delhi in Month 13 to further explore area of collaboration with the project.

Research Centre of Applied Geography UoI, is potential partner to support in geographical and epidemiologic mapping and spatial analysis

Health Crisis Centre of Ministry of Health and National Coordination Board for Control Disaster are potential partner to develop early warning system and conduct health impact surveillance (Indonesia)

FIOH partner visited Bantala Leather Complex in Kolkata, India on November 5-6 2007. This area represents a frequent flood area in Bengal Delta area where a number of tanneries have been situated for centuries

UCL participated in the UNFCCC health and climate workshop in Cairo (18.06.2007 – 20.06.2007) on mitigation and adaptation to climate change

UoI gave a presentation of the annex study on leptospirosis and dengue fever related to the 2007 Jakarta floods in a side event co-organized by UCL at the COP13 for the UNFCCC Conference on December 11, 2007 in Bali, Indonesia (with WHO, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, etc.)

EVAP, UCL, UoI, FIOH, UoG, HSPH, VHAI

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UCL has established an external network in acute climate events and health

Analyses of health impacts of disasters (e.g., mortality, morbidity, disability, health systems, households, health economics)

The literature review leads to the analyses if the health impact of disaster. In particular, each partner was asked to procure local information and baseline data so that disaster impact can be identified against the baseline. In addition the first annexed flood study took place in Jakarta in June 2007, with 3 working papers on-going:

Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever incidence and climate variability in Jakarta over the last 10 years, working paper

Clinical and demographic characteristics of leptospirosis during the 2007 floods in Jakarta, working paper

An environmental analysis of leptospirosis during the 2007 floods in Jakarta, working paper

Further field studies will be develop during the second year of the project.

EVAP, UCL, FIOH, HSPH, UoI, VHAI

Deliverables Figure 7 - WP1.1 Deliverables Deliverable No

Deliverable Name Work-package No

Date Due

Actual/ Forecast delivery date

Estimated indicative person-months*

Used indicative person-months*

Lead Contractor

D1.1.1 Thematic workshop session conclusions on the health impacts of natural disasters

WP1.1 Month 6 Month 7 6 6 EVAP

D1.1.2 Annotated bibliography and review on the prevalence of, and risk-factors for, mortality, injuries, trauma, mental health and diseases following extreme events

WP1.1 Month 12 Month 12 12 10 EVAP

D1.1.3** Report on industrial development in disaster prone areas

WP1.1 Month 15 Month 15 8 5 as of Month 12

FIOH

D1.1.4** Preliminary conceptual model of health components that describe extreme event impact

WP1.1 Month 15 Month 15 23 18 as of Month 12

EVAP

* if available **Please note that D1.1.3 and D1.1.4 are not due during this reporting period

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Milestones Figure 8 - WP1.1 Milestones Milestone No

Milestone Name Workpackage No

Date Due Actual/Forecast delivery date

Lead Contractor

M1.1.1 Workshop session on health impacts

WP1.1 Month 2 Month 7 EVAP

M1.1.2 Identification of content of annotated bibliography and report

WP1.1 Month 9 Month 12 EVAP

M1.1.3 Identification of components of conceptual model on the health impacts of extreme events

WP1.1 Month 12 Month 12 EVAP

Deviations Figure 9 - WP1.1 Deviations Deviations from work programme

Corrective Actions Taken

Corrective Actions Suggested

Nature and Reason for the Problem

Contractors Involved

D1.1.1 was delayed from Month 6 to Month 7

The HWG meeting was delayed and set to commence in Month 7

The meeting should be delayed for Month 7 to allow all partners to attend

The collective schedules for each partner better fit a meeting in Month 7

EVAP, UCL, FIOH, HSPH, UoI, VHAI

M1.1.1 was delayed from Month 2 to Month 7

The HWG workshop session was held in Month 7

The meeting had to be delayed until Month 7 to allow all partners to attend

To accommodate most partners schedule the meeting could not be held before Month 7

EVAP, UCL, FIOH, HSPH, UoI, VHAI

M1.1.2 was delayed from Month 9 to Month 12

The identification of content of annotated bibliography and report will be prepared for Month 12

Each partner reports in a standardized table. Each partner from the HWG will report to EVAP any additional work.

The elaboration of an unbiased literature search strategy took longer than expected. Coordination between partners had to be defined.

EVAP, UCL, FIOH, HSPH, UoI, VHAI

WP1.2 - DEVELOPMENT OF CONCEPTUAL MODEL – SOCIAL IMPACTS Leader: Northumbria University Workpackage objectives and starting point of work at beginning of reporting period Start date or starting event: Month 3 Objectives:

Preparation and implementation of first social thematic workshop session Literature review of scientific studies on social impacts and on the nature and type of social data

available (e.g., gender, age, ethnicity) Inventory and analyses of social intervention tools and experiences after extreme events; Establishment of thematic contact group of persons exterior to the consortium but involved in social

impacts of extreme events

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Description of work

Developing a conceptual model of social impact of extreme events is admittedly the most difficult of all the three themes. Social impact is a vast area, the margins of which are hard to define. As a basic definition of the two most important concepts underlying social impact are vulnerability and resilience. It may be useful to note that for our purposes and in the context of this project, 'vulnerability relates to the attributes a person has, while resilience relates to the behaviour they engage in'. With that in view, this task will examine a wide variety of social factors that relate to impacts of extreme events in developed and developing settings. The above issues are by no means exclusive and in the process of thematic group consultations and literature reviews. Other issues will be identified as key and will be explored in the context of this workpackage, such as:

Social capital Gender, age, ethnic and income groups Coping mechanisms Psycho-social impacts Adaptive strategies Memory of past disasters Good governance and local leadership Ethical and rights based approaches to policies Accountability Well-developed disaster and preparedness plans Physical and non-physical capital Social safety nets, including community networks

This task will work towards improving our understanding of the social construction of disasters and include an examination of collective behaviour and organizational analysis. It will explore the gender sensitivity of prevention, mitigation and response mechanisms, along with issues related to ethics, psycho-social, demographic and cultural constructs. The group will examine existing experiences in building organizational capacity of the vulnerable sectors through, for example, the formation of grassroots disaster response organizations such as the one that has been included in the Consortium (Citizens' Disaster Response Center of the Philippines). Concepts of building social awareness through education, and building partnership between the vulnerable and less vulnerable sectors will be included. UoN will be the coordinator for this task and will also research the social impacts of extreme events in terms of ethnic and income groups, age and gender. Furthermore, they will also research social safety nets, adaptive strategies and other factors that increase a community's resilience and coping capacity. UoN will consolidate the report from this work task. UoD will conduct research on community-based disaster preparedness strategies and on understanding the economic and social fabric of disaster-affected populations in India. Issues such as governance, leadership and accountability will be studied, as well as efficient disaster preparedness and management plans. XU will research ethical and rights-based approaches to disaster policies as they relate to relief, recovery and rehabilitation. CDRC and VHAI will examine the importance of building organizational capacity of the vulnerable sectors through, for example, the formation of grassroots disaster organizations. The role of these organizations in terms of response, mitigation and prevention will be explored. HNI will research the short and longer term impacts of extreme events on mental health.

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Progress towards objectives Figure 10 - WP1.2 Progress Objective Progress Contractors

Involved Preparation and implementation of first social thematic workshop session

The first social thematic workshop session took place in Newcastle upon Tyne, UK on September 3-7, 2007 and was hosted by UoN (Deliverables Annex 3 - D1.2.1). The meeting also included attendance at a two-day international conference – “Dealing with Disasters” – which was held at Northumbria University. As part of the preparation for this and for continued communication between the SWG partners, internet based tools were set up by XU and UoN and used by all for the exchange and storage of documentation.

UoN, UoD, CDRC, XU

Literature review of scientific studies on social impacts and on the nature and type of social data available (e.g., gender, age, ethnicity)

The literature review being completed by UoN is a comprehensive review which goes beyond gender, age, ethnicity to encompass all those variables of interest which have been identified as part of the conceptual framework. The SWG members have contributed relevant materials to this consolidated review (Deliverables Annex 4 - D1.2.2). Other partners have contributed materials for the literature review, which continues to be an evolving document. These works are available on request, as they have not been added or converted into the format of the annotated bibliography as of yet due to later submissions or their relevance to other workpackages. For example, UoD has contributed several papers and other documents which demonstrate its contribution to the general literature review (referenced in WP2.2). VHAI has been coordinating its contribution to the literature review with the members of its Advisory Committee. The members are all State-based, they have started the process of collecting and collating secondary data, information, relevant documents, etc. in Delhi, Andamans and in Orissa as well as in Chennai. HNI has produced a paper titled “The Impact of Natural Disasters on Mental Health” which will be used by the SWG and HWG. This paper outlines research on the short and longer term impacts of extreme events on mental health. HNI has also compiled a literature review matrix based on the research done, specifically for mental health impacts. These have either been or will be included in the SWG literature review where appropriate.

UoN, UoD, VHAI, CDRC, XU, HNI

Inventory and analyses of social intervention tools and experiences after extreme events

Over a hundred items have so far been reviewed (guidelines, training materials, assessment manuals). This is an ongoing activity which will continue for the life of the project but a firm base of materials on social intervention tools and experiences after extreme events has already been collected. Review of local and national studies/experiences on ethical and rights based approaches to disaster policies as they relate to relief, recovery, and rehabilitation after extreme events including conflict situations was done by XU.

UoN, XU

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The literature reviews and combined expertise of the SWG has led to the creation of a draft conceptual model in the first 12 months of the project (Working Annex 3 – D1.2.4). This draft conceptual model will continue to be revised by the SWG members and will be discussed at the Annual Meeting in Delhi, India on February 17-19, 2008. The preliminary model is due in Month 15 to satisfy the final deliverable in this workpackage (D1.2.4 – Preliminary conceptual model of social components that describe extreme event impact).

Establishment of thematic contact group of persons exterior to the Consortium but involved in social impacts of extreme events

The SWG has identified a number of bodies with whom to make contacts and partnerships to promote the work of MICRODIS, including:

Globally

Interact with the national committees working for the Hyogo Framework (contribute to the ISDR Global Framework meetings)

In Europe: UK Environment Agency UK DEFRA National Platforms for Disaster Risk Reduction UNU-EHS

In Asia: India: National Flood Commission, AIDMI, UNDP, Ministry of

Home Affairs (2nd Asian Ministerial Conference - MF), etc Philippines: NDCC, PHIVOLCS, UNDP

Through the conduct of the first forum on Climate Change and Disaster, the XU team was able to establish linkage with the following contact groups/persons:

Central Mindanao University Department of Education Department of Environment and Natural Resources - Mines and

Geosciences Bureau (MGB) Department of Health – Regional Epidemiologic Surveillance

Unit (RESU) LGU of Bukidnon Province LGU of Cagayan de Oro City LGU of Misamis Oriental Province Mindanao State University – Iligan Institute of Technology National Disaster Coordinating Council – Region 10 Philippine Air Force - Tactical Operations Group 10 Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services

Administration (PAGASA) Philippine National Police – Regional Disaster Action Group SPELEO Philippines - Mindanao Xavier University Engineering Disaster Action Group

In addition, the team at XU have instigated a forum which engages with a wide range of institutions in the Philippines including: Office of Civil Defence, Department of Social Welfare & Development, Department of Education, Department of Health, Philippine National Police, PhiVolcs, PAG-ASA., Philippine National Red Cross, Bureau of Mines and Geosciences, Philippine Chamber of Commerce & Industry, Nestle Philippines, STEAG, Del Monte Philippines, Philippine Air Force,

UoN, UoD, VHAI, CDRC, XU

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Association of Barangay Chairmen, Mayors’ Office, Media, Governor’s Office, Liceo del Cagayan University, Capitol University, Cagayan de Oro College, Bukidnon State College, Mindanao Polytechnic State College, MSU-Iligan Institute of Technology (also mentioned in WP6.1). The SWG meeting also included attendance at a two-day international conference – Dealing with Disasters – which was held at Northumbria University, where contacts and discussions ensued with fellow international participants. Besides the identification of related personnel/bodies exterior to the consortium, VHAI has established a working relation with some of them.

Mr. Mukhopadhyay is a member of the Advisory Committee of National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) set up by the Government of India. For more effective implementation of the recommendations of the MICRODIS project, its involvement will be of great value. VHAI can ensure substantial and effective participation of the Authority.

Contact with Disaster Management Units in the States of India

which have long record of being confronted with series of natural disasters, including: the local authorities of Andamans or in Orissa, Orissa Disaster Mitigation Authority.

Deliverables Figure 11 - WP1.2 Deliverables Deliverable No

Deliverable Name Work-package No

Date Due

Actual/ Forecast delivery date

Estimated indicative person-months*

Used indicative person-months*

Lead Contractor

D1.2.1 Technical thematic workshop session conclusions on the social impacts of natural disasters

WP1.2 Month 6 Month 8 6 6 UoN

D1.2.2 Analyses of psycho-social impacts, gender issues and community vulnerability and resilience

WP1.2 Month 9 Month 12 13 13 UoN

D1.2.3** Preliminary conceptual model of social components that describe extreme event impact

WP1.2 Month 15 Month 15 23 FIOH

* if available **Please note that D1.2.3 is not due in this reporting period.

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Milestones Figure 12 - WP1.2 Milestones Milestone No

Milestone Name Work-package No

Date Due

Actual/Forecast delivery date

Lead Contractor

M1.2.1 Workshop session on social impacts WP1.2 Month 2 Month 2 UoN M1.2.2 Selection of issues for analyses of

social impacts and relevant legislation and policies

WP1.2 Month 6 Month 6 UoN

M1.2.3 Identification of components of conceptual model on the social impacts of extreme events

WP1.2 Month 12 Month 12 UoN

Deviations Figure 13 - WP1.2 Deviations Deviations from work programme

Corrective Actions Taken

Corrective Actions Suggested

Nature and Reason for the Problem Contractors Involved

D1.2.1– expected deliverable date Month 6

Use made of international conference at UoN.

Delay the meeting to combine it with the international conference

UoN’s original deliverable date for this was Month 6 but it was decided to make use of an international conference (Dealing with Disasters) that UoN was organizing to combine with the thematic workshop. Thus it was held in the week of 3 – 7 September 2007 (Month 8) and was attended by UoN, UoD, XU, and CDRC and with the apologies of VHAI and HNI.

UoN, UoD, XU, CDRC

D1.2.2 – expected deliverable date delayed from Month 9 to Month 12

Extra effort put into work on this task when new researcher in post. Month 12 is the new deliverable date.

Wait until staff is appointed

UoN’s original deliverable date for this was Month 9. However, because of delays in appointing staff it was decided that is was more logical to roll this into the work on the consolidated literature review and also work on the conceptual model. Thus, Month 12 is the new deliverable date.

UoN

WP1.3 - DEVELOPMENT OF CONCEPTUAL MODEL – ECONOMIC IMPACTS Leader: Sweco Groner Workpackage objectives and starting point of work at beginning of reporting period Start date or starting event: Month 3 Objectives:

Preparation and implementation of first economic thematic workshop session Identification of elements for a conceptual model on the economic impacts of extreme events Analyses of the insurance markets in EU and Asia Analyses of economic intervention policies and tools (e.g., of development banks)

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Description of work

One obvious way disasters affects an economy is related to loss of lives, injuries and reduced health status, summarized as value of statistical life (VSL) – mortality, and valuation of morbidity. These costs include production loss, medical costs, material costs, administrative and welfare loss. For road planning in Norway, the welfare loss due to one fatality constitutes 67 % of the total cost. This welfare loss is probably also the most significant part of the total costs of a disaster. However, welfare loss due to injuries and fatalities, valued in the context of road accidents will most likely be estimated in a different way in the context of various forms of disasters where elements like the choice of exposure to the risk is completely different. Hence, different estimates should be used for disasters and natural catastrophic events. Another element of welfare loss in relation to disasters is when populations loose their homes and all belongings. Compensation might cover in best-case material aspects, but welfare losses might be much greater. Using and further developing state-of the-art methodology to value the welfare losses for different disaster scenarios will give an important contribution to strengthening the scientific and empirical foundation on the relationship between extreme events and their health, social and economic impacts. Generally speaking, impacts of disasters on economies are broken down into direct, indirect and secondary damages. Each of these three types will be analyzed to develop the conceptual model of economic impacts of extreme events. These damages have will be addressed across the Social Sectors (population affected, housing, health, and education), the infrastructure (drinking water and sewage, communications and transportation and energy) and economic sectors (agriculture and livestock, industry and trade) Also relevant to this project is the research that is needed to understand risk-coping mechanisms used by individual households in rural or urban communities. There is need of microeconomic evidence on the methods used by households to cope with risk in developing countries. An approach will be to examine how specific risk coping mechanisms (such as transfer receipts, borrowing, asset sales, or savings accumulation or decumulation) respond to shocks. SWECO will be the co-coordinator of this task and consolidate results. SWECO will conduct research on the application of the impact pathway approach to valuation in different economic settings and on the valuation of non-market goods. JU will research the economic impacts of extreme events on rural and urban populations in India, looking for example at issues related to migration, agriculture, livestock, communications, transportation, industries and trade. The UoI will analyze extreme event impacts in Indonesia on education, health systems and the infrastructure. UPS and JU will analyze the economic impacts of extreme events on development, the environment and on natural resources. UoI will support the other partners where necessary. Progress towards objectives Figure 14 - WP1.3 Progress Objective Progress Contractors

Involved Preparation and implementation of first economic thematic workshop session

In Month 10 the first economic workshop session was held in Kolkata, India on November 2-4, 2008 and was hosted by JU (Deliverables Annex 5 - D1.3.1). The preparation of this meeting started in July with the visit of the research assistant of JU at SWECO and UCL (supervised by UPS). In addition to partners (UPS and SWECO) other local key persons and experts in the field of disasters economics from India and Asia took part in this thematic workshop session.

JU, SWECO,UPS

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Identification of elements for a conceptual model on the economic impacts of extreme events

At the first economic thematic workshop session in Month 3, a preliminary conceptual model was presented, discussed and moderated. Since then the partners have continued to develop and detail the conceptual model. A draft paper “Economic Assessment of Extreme Events using the Impact Pathway Approach – a Conceptual Model” is developed by SWECO, and adopted and further commented on by the other partners (Deliverables Annex 6 – D1.3.3). Revision of conceptual model will continue after Month 12. The plan is that this work will be published in a chapter of a book with the preliminary title “Damage costs of natural diasters and the benefits of preventing them - A review of valuation methods”. The summary of this book chapter is as follows: Natural disasters like flooding, wind storms and earthquakes will influence the economy in several ways, some of which are:

• Impacts on loss of lives, injuries and reduced health status (i.e. mortality and morbidity)

• Impacts on private goods, like infrastructure, houses, buildings, agricultural production, industrial production, energy production etc

• Impacts on the environment like biodiversity, ecosystems, landscape, water quality and quantity

• Impacts on built cultural heritage While impacts on private goods can be valued using a market prices, non-market valuation methods are needed for economic assessment of welfare loss due to health impacts and impacts on public goods like ecosystems and built cultural heritage. One obvious way disasters affects the economy/our welfare is related to loss of lives (i.e. mortality), and injuries and reduced health status (i.e morbidity). These costs include loss of production, medical expenditures, hospital costs and welfare loss to those that are directly and indirectly affected. The economic value of a statistical life (VSL), or better: the value of a prevented fatality (VPF), can depend on whether the exposure to the fatality risk is voluntary or not (whether you have decided to live on a floodplain or not, despite warnings), whether you have some control of the risk or not (e.g. whether you get advance and reliable warning of floods and take your belongings and move to higher ground before the flood hits and/or whether you can contributed to implement flood prevention measures, the degree of pain and suffering prior to death, the age at which you die (and thus the lost number of life years), and the ability to pay- i.e. the income level (and cost of living, as disposable income determines ability to pay). Another element of welfare loss in relation to disasters is when people loose their homes and all their belongings. Compensation might cover the material losses, but welfare losses might be much greater. Using, and further developing, state-of the-art methodology to value the welfare losses for different disaster scenarios will be an important contribution to strengthening the scientific and empirical foundation on the relationship between extreme events and their health, social and economic impacts. We describe a general approach to estimating damage costs from disasters - the Impact Pathway Approach (IPA), and review the methods for performimg primary economic valuation studies of the impacts (i.e.

SWECO, UPS, JU

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stated and revealed preference methods) and the challenges we face when applying theses techniques in developing countries. Then we present the methods that can be used when we lack the time and money to do new primary valuation studies and have to rely on transfering economic estimates of impacts from previous studies to assess impacts in the policy case we are looking at (i.e. benefit transfer). We illustrate the use of the different primary valuation methods and benefit transfer techniqiues by presenting examples and case study applications of the methods to value impacts from flooding, which is also the most frequently occuring type of natural diaster. Draft papers on review of valuation studies have been prepared, and some presented at the Kolkata meeting in November 2007. A shortened version of many of these will be included in the chapter of the above mentioned book, which will include examples of valuation studies. It may be that the review of valuation studies will be in the form of an annex of existing studies in addition to the book chapter (since the space in a book chapter is limited).

Analyses of the insurance markets in EU and Asia

A draft report has been prepared focusing on the analysis of insurance markets in EU and Asia (Working Annex 4 - D1.3.2a). Preliminary results were presented at the EWG thematic workshop in Kolkata, India. Other papers and presentations were given for the EWG which will contribute to the review on economic impacts of extreme events [D1.3.2 – literature review of economic impacts related to extreme events (e.g., households, welfare, migration, health)]. The EWG literature review also includes a review focused on Migration (Working Annex 4 - D1.3.2b) and on case studies on flood and critical assessment of valuation methods, impacts assessment and the use of Geographical Information System (GIS) and Remote Sensing application on the study of extreme events. The first two are given as examples in the Working Annex but all are available by request. Deliverable 1.3.4 – review of economic valuation of non-market goods, has also been satisfied in a paper “Methods for Valuation of Impact of Disasters – A Critical Appraisal” produced by JU (Deliverables Annex 7 – D1.3.4).

UPS, JU (UoI)

Analyses of economic intervention policies and tools (e.g., of development banks)

This task has been postponed due to reduced person months on this WP (please see Figure 17 – WP1.3 Deviations).

UPS, JU, (UoI)

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Deliverables Figure 15 - WP1.3 Deliverables Deliverable No

Deliverable Name Work-package No

Date Due

Actual/ Forecast delivery date

Estimated indicative person-months*

Used indicative person-months*

Lead Contractor

D1.3.1 Technical thematic workshop session conclusions on the economic impacts of natural disasters

WP1.3 Month 6 Month 3 and 10

5 Not available

SWECO

D1.3.2** Literature review of economic impacts related to extreme events (e.g., households, welfare, migration, health)

WP1.3 Month 15

Month 15 17 UPS

D1.3.3 Desk study on application of the impact pathway approach to valuation in different economic settings

WP1.3 Month 12

Month 12 and 20

8 Not available

SWECO

D1.3.4 Review of economic valuation of non-market goods

WP1.3 Month 10

Month 12 and 20

8 Not available

SWECO

* if available **Please note that D1.2.3 is not due in this reporting period. Milestones Figure 16 - WP1.3 Milestones Milestone No

Milestone Name Workpackage No

Date Due

Actual/Forecast delivery date

Lead Contractor

M1.3.1 Workshop session on economic impacts

WP1.3 Month 2 Month 2 and 10 SWECO

M1.3.2 Identification of strategy for literature review and desk study

WP1.3 Month 6 Month 5 SWECO

M1.3.3 Identification of components of conceptual model on the economic impacts of extreme events

WP1.3 Month 9 Month 12 and 20 SWECO

Deviations Figure 17 - WP1.3 Deviations Deviations from work programme

Corrective Actions Taken

Corrective Actions Suggested

Nature and Reason for the Problem

Contractors Involved

M1.3.3 Identification of components of conceptual model on the economic impacts of extreme events. Final publication delayed from Month 9 to Month 20.

Draft report is finished. Final identification will be finished and published in book chapter- to be launched summer/early fall 2008.

Work with the schedule for the book publication

Work with draft identification according to plan. However, in order to widen the publicity of results, the results will be published in a book and we have to follow the time schedule for this book for final publication.

SWECO, UPS, JU

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D1.3.3 Desk study on application of the impact pathway approach to valuation. Delivery date delayed from Month 12 to Month 20.

Draft report is finished. Final version will be published in book chapter- to be launched summer/early fall 2008.

Work with the schedule for the book publication

Same nature/reason M1.3.3. SWECO, UPS, JU

D1.3.4 Review of economic valuation of non-market goods. Delivery date of final publication delayed from Month 10 to Month 20.

Draft report is finished. Final version will be published in book chapter- to be launched summer/early fall 2008.

Work with the schedule for the book publication

Same nature/reason M1.3.3. SWECO, UPS, JU

WP1.4 - DEVELOPMENT OF CONCEPTUAL MODEL – INTEGRATED IMPACTS Leader: University of Greenwich Workpackage objectives and starting point of work at beginning of reporting period Start date or starting event: Month 7 Objectives:

Consolidate results of each thematic group products Regular consultations with each thematic group coordinator throughout their preparations for

clarifications, performance adequacy, orientation of research to ensure all groups are heading in the same direction and that all thematic outputs will be integrated effectively

Preparation and implementation of the integrated impact thematic workshop session Integrate thematic models into an interdisciplinary model of extreme event impacts

Description of work

The integration of the conceptual models will first examine broader questions such as: What are the mechanisms that allow scientific research to discover facts about extreme events? What translates those facts into knowledge that is useable by other scientists and by decision makers? It will address challenges to the better understanding of the characteristics of "extreme" and "event". Extreme implies greater than "normal" magnitude; event implies rarer than "normal" frequency. Direct observation and experience is therefore difficult. Because extreme events often reflect the interaction of complex systems, standard disciplinary, reductionist and experimental approaches to knowledge acquisition may have limited utility. A background paper will be prepared for circulation to all thematic groups pulling together relevant elements of extreme events integration research including those undertaken by climate change and geo-physical earth sciences specialists. This is why the conceptual work package is a critical and major component that underpins the scientific validity of this whole process. Four integrating mechanisms will be reviewed that are particularly important: modeling, predictions, integrative observation, and experimental (our multi-site evidence database). They permit disparate scientific disciplines to work together; and they are the heart of a continual feedback process that can link science to decision making, and decision-making to vulnerability reduction. The consortium has three institutions specialized in vulnerability, hazard mapping and community level resilience. These experts will prepare a technical report on vulnerability, resilience and coping capacity for circulation to the thematic groups helping with the contextualization of their work.

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For the integrated model, exploratory models will be examined in which all components of the system being studied are not established independently or are not known to be correct—as is most often the case for extreme events and for complex systems in general. Exploratory models allow for computational experiments that investigate the consequences of various assumptions, hypotheses, and uncertainties associated with the creation of and inputs to the model. These experiments can shed light on the existence of unexpected properties associated with the interaction of basic assumptions and processes (e.g., complexity or surprises); they can facilitate hypothesis generation; they can help characterize limiting, worst-case, or special scenarios. Early on this process of integrating the three thematic group products, a workshop will be held in which the thematic papers and results will be discussed in an inter-disciplinary context. Views and work will be exchanged across thematic groups to establish interfaces and complementarities. A report bringing together the thematic area in one conceptual framework will be prepared from the original documentation provided by each group. UoG will be the coordinator for this task. They will also conduct research towards a better understanding of what creates disaster vulnerability, analyzing the thematic models to build the integrated model. HNI will do a comparative analysis of the mental health and psychosocial impacts of extreme events as identified in the thematic models identifying overlaps, gaps and building an integrated model. Progress towards objectives Figure 18 - WP1.4 Progress Objective Progress Contractors

Involved Consolidate results of each thematic group products

Since the inception meeting, UoG has been in contact with all thematic groups, and at least one member of the IWG has attended each thematic group meeting (HWG in Hanoi, SWG in Newcastle, and EWG in Kolkata). The work for this objective has focused on UoG providing a clear analytical framework that begins to integrate the data needs of the thematic groups with the needs of the final integration of results for the project goals. For this purpose, a simple matrix approach was developed that results in twelve cells that can be used as the framework for the integrated analysis of disaster impacts (Working Annex 5). The cells represent the interfaces between the three themes: health, social and economic impacts, and ensure that the impact of one theme on each of the others is captured for integrated analysis. This will contribute to preparation of D1.4.1- workshop session report on integration of thematic conceptual models can be better organized. The IWG has convened three meetings in Paris, Potsdam and London. In Paris, the overall needs of integrating the three themes were assessed, and an initial model for integration developed. The Potsdam meeting was also attended by the leaders of the three thematic groups, plus the co-ordinator of the Asian partners. This meeting further developed the integration model, after receiving the needs for surveys from the HWG and SWG meetings. The London meeting received reports from the EWG meeting and further developed the approach that can be used in the field surveys so that these fulfil the needs of each thematic group while facilitating the task of integrating the results. Meeting reports have been completed for all three meetings and are

UoG, EVAP, HNI, UoD, UPS UoN, SWECO, UCL

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available on the MICRODIS website. Framework and conceptual papers have been sent for discussion to all partners as a result of the preparation and outcome of the meetings. These papers are available on the MICRODIS website. HNI has done a comparative analysis of the impacts of natural disasters on mental health as identified in the thematic models (referred to in WP1.2).

Regular consultations with each thematic group co-ordinator throughout their preparations for clarifications, performance adequacy, orientation of research to ensure all groups are heading in the same direction and that all thematic outputs will be integrated effectively

This objective has been a continuing process through email discussion, and through the meetings mentioned above. Concept papers have been exchanged and circulated to all partners, along with the minutes of the above meetings. As a product of the meeting (in London), UoG will provide a step-by-step guideline framework with other authors that will be circulated to all partners. This represents the recommended analytical framework that will be discussed at the Annual Meeting in Delhi, and sets out some proposals for the site selection criteria for the local surveys, together with suggestions for the way the surveys should be carried out. More specifically, this will detail the three methodologies selected for the field work to be conducted in the future of the project (Participatory Rapid Appraisal and associated tools, Institutional data collection and Household surveys). Other authors from each discipline were asked to contribute to this document, which is in its draft form before revision meetings in Delhi and post-Delhi.

UPS, UoG, UoN, SWECO, EVAP, HNI, UCL

Preparation and implementation of the integrated impact thematic workshop session

Three preparatory meetings have been held in relation to the needs of this objective (Paris, Potsdam, and London). The next stage will follow from the Annual Meeting in Delhi at which the planning for the workshop can be made.

UoG and representatives of thematic groups

Integrate thematic models into an interdisciplinary model of extreme event impacts

Documents related to the integration tasks have been prepared and circulated to all partners, and feedback received both in the above meetings and by email from several partners. There is general agreement on the approach to the surveys (involving fulfilling the data requirements for each thematic group, while ensuring that there is adequate scope for integration of the results and analysis). This will be used to prepare the interdisciplinary model for extreme event impacts. VHAI has produced a paper “Indian Experiences on Integration in Disaster Management – Towards Disaster Preparedness and Response” which takes a critical look at disaster mitigation and management in the development process from the individual to the national level with an integrated focus (Working Annex 6).

ALL

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Deliverables Figure 19 - WP1.4 Deliverables Deliverable No

Deliverable Name Work-package No

Date Due

Actual/ Forecast delivery date

Estimated indicative person-months*

Used indicative person-months*

Lead Contractor

D1.4.1** Workshop session report on integration of thematic conceptual models

WP1.4 Month 16 Month 16 12 (8 used at month 12)

UoG

** Please note that no deliverables were due during the first 12 months for WP1.4 Milestones Figure 20 - WP1.4 Milestones Milestone No

Milestone Name Workpackage No

Date Due Actual/Forecast delivery date

Lead Contractor

M1.4.1 Circulation of conclusions from thematic workgroups

WP1.4 Month 7 Month 10 UoG

M1.4.2 Implementation of workshop session on integrated impacts

WP1.4 Month 12 Month 10 UoG

M1.4.3 Identification of components from thematic models for integrated model

WP1.4 Month 12 Month 10 UoG

Deviations Figure 21 - WP1.4 Deviations Deviations from work programme

Corrective Actions Taken

Corrective Actions Suggested

Nature and Reason for the Problem Contractors Involved

M1.4.1 delivery date delayed from Month 7 to Month 10

Each thematic workshop session report and conclusions were distributed by email and posted on the project website shortly after each meeting took place

Meeting conclusions distributed (email and website) as soon as possible after each meeting report was produced.

Each thematic workshop session took place after Month 7 so it was not possible to distribute the conclusions by Month 7. The SWG and HWG meetings conclusions were distributed in Month 8 and the EWG meeting in Month 10.

UoG and ALL

WORKPACKAGE 2 – ASSESSMENT METHODS AND FIELD PROTOCOLS

WP2.1 - DEVELOPMENT OF ASSESSMENT PROTOCOL – HEALTH IMPACTS Leader: University of Indonesia Workpackage objectives and starting point of work at beginning of reporting period

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Start date or starting event: Month 7 Objectives:

Identify contextual information required for health impact analyses Review existing health assessment protocols Determine measurement methods and guidelines for collection and interpretation Develop survey instruments, including internal validity checks

Description of work

The first step in this work package will be to establish what contextual information on extreme events and health is necessary before assessing impacts. This will include a review of existing methods and studies that have assessed infectious or chronic diseases, mental health or other impacts of extreme events. Existing health assessment protocols for measuring impacts of extreme events will be critically analysed and discussed with the authors of these methods. For example, WHO/CDC/CRED Guidelines for rapid health assessments after floods, cyclones or chemical explosions will be revisited with WHO drawing on their experiences in the field. Several authors of the CDC/USAID protocol are currently in the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control and will be consulted. Very recently, Dr. de Jong (HealthNet) has developed and tested assessment methodologies for mental health impacts for the World Bank. The experiences from this will be used as a basis for the development of the consolidated health assessment protocol. UoI will be the coordinator for this task. They will review with input from EVAP, HSPH and UCL health impact assessment methodologies and the use of clinic or hospital data to assess injuries, trauma and disease linked to extreme events. HSPH will explore links between extreme events and infectious disease outbreaks. They will use this research to propose methods to evaluate these links and propose new approaches to surveillance. Progress towards objectives Figure 22 - WP2.1 Progress Objective Progress Contractors

Involved Identify contextual information required for health impact analyses

Identification of contextual information required for health impact analyses has been done through reviewing relevant textbooks and literatures covering several important aspects such as: mortality, morbidity including mental health, injury and handicap, basic needs, water, food, shelter, access to health care system, income & livelihood, demographic characteristics, awareness and KAP (knowledge, attitude, practices) in self-protection, community strength and social protection, commitment and governance.

UoI, UCL, HSPH, EVAP, HNI

Review existing health assessment protocols

UoI continues to collect and review textbooks, documents and articles (published and un-published) related to methods and tools of health impact assessment, and the use of clinic or hospital data to assess injuries, trauma and disease linked to extreme events. A report has been written including a preliminary summary matrix of the collected articles has been constructed and a mental health questionnaire example (Working Annex 7 – D2.1.1). Each partner was asked to collect and send to UoI the relevant local and specific documents and articles (published or unpublished). Each partner

UoI, UCL, HSPH, EVAP, HNI

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will continue collecting, sending and reviewing the documents and articles until all partners collectively feel that the archive is sufficient. This will also be discussed at the annual meeting in Delhi when all partners from the HWG are able to assemble and discuss assessment protocols.

Determine measurement methods and guidelines for collection and interpretation

This objective has commenced but has not been completed as of yet. It is planned that after a sufficient number of documents and articles are collected and reviewed. Research questions which have been developed continue to be revised along with potential questionnaire questions, all within the framework of the conceptual model discussed at the first thematic group workshop session in Hanoi, Vietnam. HWG partners will summarize the variation and common methods of assessment and general approaches and guideline of data collection/measurement, and the variety of data collection instruments/tools, together with available statistical techniques and results interpretations. Using this summary, HWG partners will develop several alternatives methodologies and tools for health impact assessment and develop a generic questionnaire for the heath working group.

UoI, UCL, HSPH, EVAP, HNI

Develop survey instruments, including internal validity checks

This objective has commenced but has not been completed as of yet. Some exercises have been done to develop rapid public health assessment questionnaires. It is planned that after developing several alternative methodologies and tools for health impact assessment, selection (from several alternatives) and development of generic form of survey/assessment methodologies and instruments, including internal validity checks system, will be conducted.

UoI, UCL, HSPH, EVAP, HNI

Deliverables Figure 23 - WP2.1 Deliverables Deliverable No

Deliverable Name

Work-package No

Date Due

Actual/ Forecast delivery date

Estimated indicative person-months*

Used indicative person-months*

Lead Contractor

D2.1.1** Field protocol for health impact assessment

WP2.1 Month 15 Month 15 49 UoI

**Please note that no deliverables are due during this reporting period for WP2.1. Milestones Figure 24 - WP2.1 Milestones Milestone No

Milestone Name Workpackage No

Date Due Actual/Forecast delivery date

Lead Contractor

M2.1.1 Identification of health assessment methodologies to be analysed

WP2.1 Month 7 Month 12 UoI

M2.1.2 Selection of assessment methodologies and tools

WP2.1 Month 12 Month 13 UoI

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Deviations Figure 25 - WP2.1 Deviations Deviations from work programme

Corrective Actions Taken

Corrective Actions Suggested

Nature and Reason for the Problem

Contractors Involved

Milestones 2.1.1 and 2.1.2 will be each delayed to Month 12 and 13 respectively

The objectives of each milestone will be delivered on Month 12 and 13

We will intensify the communication and coordination among contractors/partners

Lack of communication, coordination and motivation among partners could be main potential problems

UoI, UCL, HSPH, EVAP, HNI

WP2.2 - DEVELOPMENT OF ASSESSMENT PROTOCOL – SOCIAL IMPACTS Leader: University of Delhi Workpackage objectives and starting point of work at beginning of reporting period Start date or starting event: Month 7 Objectives:

Identify contextual information required for social impact analyses Review existing social assessment protocols Identify variables and indicators for social impact measurement Review coding, error check and other social data validation issues

Description of work

Social impact assessments will study, from a more practical applied stand point, the issues that were pulled together from the social impact conceptual model developed in the previous work package. The questionnaire will focus on specific individual-level or household issues relating to social vulnerabilities, such as:

Location vulnerability Gender, age and ethnicity Other vulnerable groups and individuals High density occupation of households Lack of mobility Low perceptions of risk Vulnerable occupations Corruption Lack of education Poverty Poor management and leadership Lack of disaster planning and preparedness Buildings at risk Unsafe infrastructure Unsafe critical facilities Rapid urbanization

The selected issues will then be transformed into measures and indicators for social impact assessment protocols. Finally, social indicators will be reformulated into questionnaires with coding guidelines, validation check and data entry instructions. Should focus group discussions be required for some indicators or measurements, methods for these along with description of required group profile for each indicator or indicator group will be set out.

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UoD will be the coordinator for this task. They will research community survey-based methods to assess impacts on the social components identified in the social thematic model. Furthermore, they will asses the strengths and weaknesses of these methods at the community level in collaboration with CDRC. UoN will conduct research in collaboration with XU on the background information that is necessary to put into context social data gathered in the field and how it can be integrated into social impact indicators. They will also analyze methods to assess impacts on gender, ethnic, and socioeconomic groups, both in developed and developing nations. Progress towards objectives Figure 26 - WP2.2 Progress Objective Progress Contractors

Involved Identify contextual information required for social impact analyses

A study has been done to identify contextual information using different secondary sources needed for analysis of social impact of disasters. The detailed annotated literature review is also complete and new inputs will continuously be considered and incorporating in future. The following papers have been produced by UoD:

“Flood: Trends and Social Impacts in Indian context” by Joshi P.C., Khattri P., Singh M.M., Fordham M. and Guha-Sapir D

“Emerging issues in violence against women in post disaster context” by Minakshi, Joshi P.C., Khattri P., Guha-Sapir D.

“Social Impact of Natural Disasters” by P. C. Joshi, Prashant Khattri and M. M. Singh

The first listed paper above was presented at International Conference “SHIFT – 07: Shift in Thinking Perspectives of Vulnerability and Hazard Assessment” on October 4-6, 2007 in Potsdam, Germany. The latter two papers were presented at National Conference on Medical Anthropology and Health Sciences on November 28-30, 2007 in Mysore, India along with a presentation titled “Anthropology in Disasters”. Data was also collected on past memories to adjust with disasters through interviews and biographies. A paper produced on this topic was presented at the National Conference on Medical Anthropology and Health Sciences on November 28-30, 2007 in Mysore, India (all papers available by request).

CDRC, XU, UoN, UoD

Review existing social assessment protocols

Thirteen assessment protocols were procured from different sources. Exploratory field work was done in a flood affected site (Dhakhangla, Badaun District of Uttar Pradesh, India) to asses the social impact variables (Working Annex 8 – D2.2.1a). Three protocols were researched and tested in a real field research situation: Measuring social capital – Integrated Questionnaire, World Bank; Indicator Design for Flood Vulnerability Assessment, Germany and Tentative Protocol as Social Impact Assessment Tool, UoD: MICRODIS Team. A review of the procured protocols is in process. The following papers were produced regarding assessment protocols:

CDRC, XU, UoN, UoD

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Development of research design to conduct field work for social assessment protocols (Working Annex 8 – D2.2.1b)

Tentative Protocol as Social Impact Assessment Tool (Working Annex 8 – D2.2.1c)

One essay competition “Bhad Se Hone Wale Prabhab, Pareshniyan Aur Bachab Ke Tarike” (Influences, Problems and Preventive Measures taken during Flood) among twelve standard students and one drawing competition on “Flood” among eight standard students to check their awareness on floods and its impacts has occurred.

Identify variables and indicators for social impact measurement

Different variables, both dependent and independent, for social impact measurement have been identified in a paper titled “Social Impact of Extreme Events” (available on request). Indicators for social impact measurement are mentioned under the variable heads. This paper was presented at the EU 6th Framework International Meeting in Month 3 in Brussels, Belgium.

CDRC, XU, UoN, UoD

Review coding, error check and other social data validation issues

This task will start soon after the protocol for social impact assessment is finalized and the survey sites are identified.

CDRC, XU, UoN, UoD

Deliverables Figure 27 - WP2.2 Deliverables Deliverable No

Deliverable Name

Workpackage No

Date Due Actual Forecast delivery date

Estimated indicative person-months*

Used indicative person-months*

Lead Contractor

D2.2.1** Field protocol for social impact assessment

WP2.2 Month 15 Month 15 36 UoD

** Please note that no deliverables were due during the first 12 months for WP2.2 Milestones Figure 28 - WP2.2 Milestones Milestone No

Milestone Name Workpackage No

Date Due Actual/Forecast delivery date

Lead Contractor

M2.2.1 Identification of social assessment methodologies to be analysed

WP2.2 Month 7 Month 11 UoD

M2.2.2 Selection of assessment methodologies and tools

WP2.2 Month 12 Month 12 UoD

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Deviations Figure 29 - WP2.2 Deviations Deviations from work programme

Corrective Actions Taken Corrective Actions Suggested

Nature and Reason for the Problem

Contractors Involved

M2.2.1 delayed from Month 7 to Month 10

The delay was unavoidable as funds were received late. Project work was started immediately after funding was received.

Timely allocation of funds and a delayed start of the project work.

The delay was caused due to delay in receiving funds until the end of Month 6.

UoD

WP2.3 - DEVELOPMENT OF ASSESSMENT PROTOCOL – ECONOMIC IMPACTS Leader: Jadavpur University Workpackage objectives and starting point of work at beginning of reporting period Start date or starting event: Month 7 Objectives:

Review existing economic assessment protocols Identify contextual information required for economic impact analyses Identify the methodological approach of the economic assessment protocol Review coding, error check and other economic data validation issues

Description of work

The partners of the economic thematic group will analyse the different approaches that may be used for designing the protocol. Consultations with the main economic partners, both academic and policy have produced a two-pronged approach. The first will be using the “impact-pathway approach” - a bottom-up-assessment, developed by the ExternE (www.externe.info) in which environmental benefits and costs are estimated by following the pathway from source to impacts, before being expressed in monetary benefits and costs. The use of such a detailed bottom-up methodology - in contrast to earlier top-down approaches - is necessary; as external costs are highly site-dependent and as marginal (and not average) costs have to be calculated. The Impact-Pathway approach was originally developed for electricity production, and one main challenge is to identify the steps for an impact-pathway approach leading to monetised assessments of extreme nature events. A key aspect will be to adapt this approach to a new context for assessing economical and social effects from catastrophic events. Effort will be put into developing a new dose-response relationship for monetisation of external effects from nature disasters. The second approach would give explicit consideration of natural hazard-related risks in assessing the implications of variability in key parameters for viability for all disaster mitigation measures in hazard-prone areas. Sensitivity analysis is the primary methodology for examining uncertainty. It involves identifying key parameters that are uncertain and examining the impact that a change in each would have on the project’s net present value. Probability based approaches offer a more

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Progress towards objectives Figure 30 - WP2.3 Progress Objective Progress Contractors

Involved Review existing economic assessment protocols

Developed an assessment protocol. It includes discussion on survey methodologies:

i) Propensity to Score method ii) Participatory approach

It develops Vulnerability Index to identify sites for conducting survey. This index has been applied to select sites affected by floods and cyclones in India. Several sites have been identified. Two states of Eastern India were suggested: West Bengal and Orissa. Both the states are flood as well as cyclone prone. Using this index the selection of the districts of these two states has also been made. The selections of blocks, villages are also discussed in the assessment protocol. For selection of household proportionate to population size (PPS) method is suggested. Development of assessment protocol was presented (Working Annex 9 – D2.3.1a). Assessment protocol also dealt with preparation of questionnaire and the questions to be addressed. A Draft Questionnaire has also been prepared for field surveys (Working Annex 9 – D2.3.1b) All these works have been presented at the EWG Workshop Session.

JU, SWECO, UoI, UPS

Identify contextual information required for economic impact analyses

JU has completed the survey of literature on the impacts of the Extreme Events on Migration, Agriculture, Industry, Infrastructure, Consumption and Growth, Trade, Social Sectors and so on (referenced in WP 1.3, contributing to D1.3.2) with help from other partners. Two other studies have been done: one to identify contextual information using GIS and Remote Sensing required for impact analysis and another to review the literature involving risk and insurance. These will be included in the literature review for the EWG (WP1.3). All these works (except the Impacts Assessment Review) have been presented by JU at the EWG Workshop Session, held at JU in Kolkata, India on 2-4 November, 2007.

JU, SWECO, UoI, UPS

Identify the methodological approach of the economic assessment protocol

A critical appraisal of different valuation methods has been made to assess the impacts of disaster (referred to in WP1.3, found in Deliverables Annex 7 – D1.3.4). The work has been presented at the EWG Workshop Session in Kolkata, India.

JU, SWECO, UoI, UPS

Review coding, error check and other economic data validation issues

The works mentioned above have been revised incorporating the valuable comments made by the participants of the EWG Workshop Session in Kolkata, India. This objective will be addressed more in the following reporting period.

JU, SWECO, UoI, UPS

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Deliverables Figure 31 - WP2.3 Deliverables Deliverable No

Deliverable Name

Work-package No

Date Due Actual/ Forecast delivery date

Estimated indicative person-months*

Used indicative person-months*

Lead Contractor

D2.3.1** Field protocol for economic impact assessment

WP2.3 Month 15 Month 15 37 JU

* if available * Please note that no deliverables were due during the first 12 months for WP2.3 Milestones Figure 32 - WP2.3 Milestones Milestone No

Milestone Name Workpackage No

Date Due Actual/Forecast delivery date

Lead Contractor

M2.3.1 Identification of economic assessment methodologies to be analysed

WP2.3 Month 7 Month 7 and 11 JU

M2.3.2 Selection of assessment methodologies and tools

WP2.3 Month 12 Month 12 JU

Deviations Figure 33 - WP2.3 Deviations Deviations from work programme

Corrective Actions Taken

Corrective Actions Suggested

Nature and Reason for the Problem

Contractors Involved

Parts of Milestone 2.3.1 delayed from Month 7 to Month 11

The project work at JU started after receiving the delayed funding in Month 5. The work was completed before Month 11.

Complete work by Month 11

JU received the funding at the beginning of Month 5, so the project work started after receiving the delayed funding.

JU

WP2.5 - SITE SELECTION, SAMPLING AND SURVEY METHODOLOGY Leader: Citizens' Disaster Response Center Workpackage objectives and starting point of work at beginning of reporting period Start date or starting event: Month 3 Objectives:

Identify user-needs through consultation with the European Union and other relevant policy institutions Determine the priority disasters and their impact potential in a region using EM-DAT data Determine survey sites, sampling design and cluster selection Redefine tasks, timings, field arrangements, clearances approvals, recruitment Establish data entry procedures and standardisation guidelines

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Description of work

A principal component to the MICRODIS project will be the compilation of impact data from field surveys using the standardised assessment protocol. To ensure the early integration of the consortium partners in decision-making, as well as ensure that user-needs are met, the selection of the assessment sites will be carried out at the very start of the project by the entire consortium in collaboration with policy institutions in an integrated consultative process. This will allow the selection of sites that may become a priority after the date of submission of this proposal, such as the recent earthquake in Java, Indonesia or a disaster that would occur over the coming months. A set of 14–16 sites will be selected for the household-level surveys. These sites will include some in the European region. Sites will also be chosen in Asia in the partner countries, all of which are at high risk of extreme events. While the final criteria and methodology of selection will be done in consultation with all partners, some of the factors that will be kept in mind are:

Frequency or severity of disasters in a region or country. A spread between slow onset and rapid onset disasters will be maintained

Favourable policy and public sector climate for disaster preparedness and prevention Added value at the European level (cross border phenomena or recent inter-country disasters or

declared interest in development policies of more than one member states in disasters and development in an Asian country)

Active programming by UNDP, World Bank or Asian Development Bank in disasters and development which could benefit from such studies. New accession states to the EU are some that would fall in this category

These are some, though not the only criteria by which the sites will be selected. Some methods for surveying households in this project have been identified as a result of consultations in the preparation of this proposal. The goal of the selection of households is to assure, to the greatest extent possible, that the selected households will be representative of all households in the study area. The sample communities will be selected using a technique called "proportionate to population size" or PPS sampling. Using the PPS method, the likelihood of a community being selected is proportional to its population size, i.e., larger cities are more likely to be selected than small villages. The PPS method of selecting communities is used for EPI surveys and has thus been field tested positively on many occasions. For health impact, some sites may choose clinic-based surveys. First, clinic-based surveys should be used only if the coverage is high. If the "patient load" (i.e., number of active patients) is known for each clinic, then clinics could be selected using a PPS method similar to the one described in the selection of communities. Thus, for example, surveys in Jakarta for could use this method. If the patient load for each clinic is not known, then clinics can be selected using simple random sampling or systematic selection. This task will be coordinated by CDRC and UCL. UCL will prepare an analysis of historical disaster impacts on the consortium partner countries and other countries where disaster occur frequently and have large impacts. This analysis will help guide discussions on the regions and disaster types that will be chosen for the field surveys. UCL will also consult relevant decision-makers and the EU focal point for their input into the choice of survey sites. CDRC will analyze the types of contextual information that can help better understand data gathered in the field using the integrated assessment methodology. The UoD, UoN and UoI will develop the survey's design and relevant sampling approach. Each partner will review and redefine tasks, timings, operational plan, field arrangements, and clearances approvals for the field surveys they are responsible for. All the partners in this task will contribute to the discussions.

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Progress towards objectives Figure 34 - WP2.5 Progress Objective Progress Contractors

Involved Identify user-needs through consultation with the European Union and other relevant policy institutions

The EU Scientific Officer for the MICRODIS project, Mr. Tomas Turecki, has been working together with UCL to clarify budget and reporting issues. Meetings between Dr. Guha-Sapir and Mr. Turecki have occurred in Brussels, Belgium to discuss various project tasks. Email and telephone communications between the coordination team and Mr. Turecki have also helped to facilitate common understandings about project reporting and guidelines. Dialogues have started with several different relevant decision-makers and the EU focal point for their input into the choice of survey sites and project issues in general in an informal manner. More formal discussions will take place after partners in the consortium define their criteria for selection and develop a concrete list of potential and suggested sites. The former EU Scientific Officer for the project, Mr. Tuomo Karjalainen, attended the full MICRODIS kickoff meeting in Brussels, Belgium on April 18-19, 2007. Mr. Karjalainen participated in discussions and met each of the partner representatives who attended this meeting. Prof. Guha-Sapir has met with EU Delegation Representative to India, Mr. Andrew Sors, during a mission to Delhi in October, 2007. The MICRODIS project was discussed, including issues about the Annual Meeting and the role of the EU Delegation at this meeting.

UCL

Determine the priority disasters and their impact potential in a region using EM-DAT data

Developed a matrix, based on EM-DAT data and upon consultation with the SWG, that covered event types (floods, storms, earthquakes), timescales (short, middle, long) and locations.

UoG, EVAP, HNI, UPS, UoN, UoD, CDRC, XU

Determine survey sites, sampling design and cluster selection

A list of possible survey sites brainstormed during the SWG workshop session was proposed during the integrated meeting in Potsdam, Germany. These minutes were circulated, the discussion on site selection was tentatively set aside and the Potsdam attendees instead agreed to discuss methods as these were seen to be more important than sites at the current stage in the project. The matrix mentioned above was accepted as a standard tool for the groups at that point in Potsdam. Further discussions at the London integrated meeting in Month 10 resulted in the suggestion that draft guidelines for field work based on the methodologies decided upon should be prepared (HNI, UoG, UPS and UCL). These draft guidelines were circulated for revision by integration group members and those who contributed to the document. This draft document will be available for the consortium for the Annual Meeting in Delhi and will be discussed in greater detail in the second reporting period. In Month 12, each partner was given a template and directions by UCL, and was asked work together with the partners in their country to prepare short presentations for the Delhi meeting regarding 3-4 potential sites in their country (this applied to Asian partners, whereas European partners

ALL

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were asked to propose sites in 2-3 relevant countries the region). These presentations include inputs based on local knowledge and experience. They will outline each survey site’s general contextual information, recent disaster events, application to the objectives of the MICRODIS project, as well as the positive and negative aspects of choosing each site. A summary table of each site will also be made based on these presentations to aid thematic groups when choosing which sites are most relevant and interesting to their research focus during the Annual Meeting in Delhi, India. This will contribute to D2.5.2 – Contextual reports on survey sites, to be done by CDRC by Month 14.

Redefine tasks, timings, field arrangements, clearances approvals, recruitment

Short-term tasks for the working group leaders, integration group and coordination team were specified and distributed at the meeting in Potsdam, Germany and also at the meeting in London, UK. These tasks and reminders were continuously disseminated by the coordination team through email to all relevant partners. These issues will be discussed in much greater detail, specifically with regard to the planned field work for the project, at the Annual Meeting and into the second reporting period when survey sites are decided upon.

ALL

Establish data entry procedures and standardisation guidelines

These issues will be discussed at the Annual Meeting and during the second and third reporting periods when survey sites are decided upon and data collection issues are more relevant. This will also be addressed in the next reporting period concerning the training workshop for survey coordinators and those who will participate in the empirical work.

ALL

Deliverables Figure 35 - WP2.5 Deliverables Deliverable No

Deliverable Name Work-package No

Date Due

Actual/ Forecast delivery date

Estimated indicative person-months*

Used indicative person-months*

Lead Contractor

D2.5.1** Site specific survey design and sampling frame

WP2.5 Month 18 Month 18 32 UCL

D2.5.2** Contextual reports on survey sites

WP2.5 Month 14 Month 14 54 CDRC

** Please note that no deliverables were due during the first 12 months for WP2.5 Milestones Figure 36 - WP2.5 Milestones Milestone No Milestone Name Workpackage

No Date Due Actual/Forecast

delivery date Lead Contractor

M2.5.1 Selection of survey sites completed

WP2.5 Month 11 Month 13 CDRC

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Deviations Figure 37 - WP2.5 Deviations Deviations from work programme

Corrective Actions Taken

Corrective Actions Suggested

Nature and Reason for the Problem

Contractors Involved

Milestone 2.5.1 delayed from Month 11 to Month 13

Guidelines have been prepared with criteria for selection and each partner will suggest 2-3 sites from this criteria. These sites will be distributed prior to the Annual Meeting. The sites will then be discussed and finalized.

Potential site list by the end of Month 12 and then site selection by Month 13 as a result of contributions during the Annual Meeting.

The consortium felt it was more appropriate to select the survey sites after a collaborated approach. The first opportunity to discuss and finalize these sites will be at the Annual Meeting in Delhi in Month 13.

CDRC

WORKPACKAGE 5 – DATASET MANAGEMENT

WP5.2 - GLOBAL DISASTER DATA FOR POLICY PURPOSES Leader: Université catholique de Louvain Workpackage objectives and starting point of work at beginning of reporting period Start date or starting event: Month 3 Objectives:

Create the EM-DAT Research Network Improve access and user interface of global data Strengthen quality, accuracy and completeness of disaster impact data in Europe

Description of work

In the beginning of 2006, CRED implemented a new interface for users to download raw data from the EM-DAT website. This new interface requires users to provide information on themselves, their institution and the reason for downloading the disaster data. Research-related users of the EM-DAT database will be contacted and asked to join the EM-DAT Research Network. This will allow the CRED team to evaluate user research needs and to identify ways to improve the available data and its web interface through a better understanding of existing data gaps and weaknesses for research purposes. From these user-needs assessments, the EM-DAT user interface and associated website will be updated to improve operability, clarity, explicitness and general user-friendliness. MICRODIS partners will prepare a series of thematic maps presenting EM-DAT occurrence and impact data. These maps will cover the MICRODIS partner countries and will include, when relevant and available, additional local sources of data and information. Consultations of EU countries will be organized to discuss common data definitions, methods and data exchange. This consultation should form the basis for the creation of a European disaster data task force. UCL will look to strengthen the quality, accuracy and completeness of disaster data in Europe. Changes relative to these tasks will be implemented into the EM-DAT database by UCL.

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The conceptual enhancements to the website and its user interface will be carried out collaboratively between the two partner institutions and implemented by UCL. The creation of the EM-DAT Research Network will be carried out by UCL, with all members of the consortium identifying potential members. UCL will also draw up a list of potential members from existing users of the EM-DAT database. UPS and UCL will contact the researchers and process the necessary information for the creation of the network. Progress towards objectives Figure 38 - WP5.2 Progress Objective Progress Contractors

Involved Create the EM-DAT Research Network

The core members of the EM-DAT Research Network are: ADRC, Relief-Web/OCHA, ISDR, ProVentium Consortium, OFDA and UNDP. Technical Advisory Group meetings (TAG) are held once a year, forming the EM-DAT Research Network. The TAG meeting was organized in Geneva on June 8, 2007 (Deliverables Annex 8 – D5.2.1). The objective of the TAG meetings was to discuss and share with the Research Network members different aspects related to EM-DAT initiative and development. The EM-DAT team, in order to keep track and improve it knowledge of the EM-DAT users, implemented a new user registration procedure on the EM-DAT website.

UCL

Improve access and user interface of global data

The EM-DAT web-site has been entirely redesigned and is available at the new address: www.emdat.be. The search engine was improved with more added search options (i.e. pre-defined time periods for the profiles, new sort possibilities, etc.) and a new methodology to thread multi-years events into the database in order the users have access to more accurate information. A new user registration procedure was implemented for the raw data request in order to have a better control on the use of EM-DAT data. Preparation of an EM-DAT user’s survey took place in the first reporting period and will continue to be finalized in the second period.

Global maps will be produced by Month 17 and some preliminary work has been done with two pilot countries. Maps have been made to show the overall frequency of windstorms and floods by province in Vietnam and the general frequency of both windstorms and floods combined by province (Deliverables Annex 9 – D5.2.2a). This has been informed by data from the EM-DAT database between 1997 and 2007. Preliminary maps for the Philippines have also been developed on a provincial basis for both floods and windstorms).

UCL

Strengthen quality, accuracy and completeness of disaster impact data in Europe

UCL has worked together with MünichRe and have agreed on the establishment of a “New Classification for disaster perils”. A series of meetings has been organized with European partners (MünichRe, SwissRe) and international institutions (ADRC and UNDP), bringing together different databases holders in order to:

UCL

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Create and agree on a common hierarchy and terminology for all

global and regional databases on natural disasters Establish common and agreed definition of sub-events

These two documents have contributed to the general enhancement of EM-DAT website user interface (Deliverables Annex 9 – D5.2.2b). Disaster Data in Europe: Through its network and partnerships, the EM-DAT team expect to improve the data collection and quality in Europe – a specific European network will be established in order to facilitate this activity.

Deliverables Figure 39 - WP5.2 Deliverables Deliverable No

Deliverable Name Work-package No

Date Due

Actual/ Forecast delivery date

Estimated indicative person-months*

Used indicative person-months*

Lead Contractor

D5.2.1 EM-DAT Research Network

WP5.2 Month 12

Month 12 6 6 UCL

D5.2.2 Enhanced EM-DAT website user interface and maps added

WP5.2 Month 12

Month 17 6 6 UCL

Milestones Figure 40 - WP5.2 Milestones Milestone No

Milestone Name Workpackage No

Date Due Actual/Forecast delivery date

Lead Contractor

M5.2.1 Identification of European disaster data task force members

WP5.2 Month 8 Month 8 UCL

M5.2.2 Definition of thematic focus of maps

WP5.2 Month 9 Month 14 UCL

Deviations Figure 41 - WP5.2 Deviations Deviations from work programme

Corrective Actions Taken

Corrective Actions Suggested

Nature and Reason for the Problem

Contractors Involved

D5.2.2 will be delayed until Month 17

Concentration on this activity for the second reporting period, including assigning this task to the relevant specialist at UCL

Thematic maps should be defined first, then the maps can be made and posted on the EM-DAT website as soon as technical and time constraint issues are resolved

Due to time constraints and other technical issues, the thematic maps will be delayed, although preliminary maps have been in preparation

UCL

M5.2.2 will be delayed from Month 9 to Month 14

Work with the appropriate staff to define thematic maps and make a plan of action for map creation

Define thematic maps with relevant specialists

Due to time constraints and other technical issues, the definition of the thematic maps will be delayed

UCL

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WORKPACKAGE 6 – PROMOTION, TRAINING AND DISSEMINATION

WP6.1 - INTRA AND EXTRA CONSORTIUM TRAINING AND WORKSHOPS Leader: Université Paris Sorbonne - Ferurbat Workpackage objectives and starting point of work at beginning of reporting period Start date or starting event: Month 3 Objectives:

Implementation of in-project training programmes Development of strategy for disaster-related courses in undergraduate and postgraduate university

teaching programmes of MICRODIS partners Extra-consortium training on survey methodology

Description of work

UPS will be the coordinator of this workpackage, in which all the partners will be involved. In this task, there will be invited lecturers at a faculty level organized under invitation from one consortium member to another. These lectures will be open to the faculty and the student body as decided by the host institution. In addition, special lectures and seminars around the theme of this IP will be organized, taking advantage of scientific missions and consortium meetings. Researcher, including PhD students, from the consortium institutions will be sent for additional training in cross specialization topics to encourage multidisciplinary competences. Three annual scholarships are foreseen for this purpose and will be allocated through a public call for applicants according to the available space. The selection will take place through an electronic consultation of the Steering Committee based on the applicants' qualifications and relevance to the IP. Workshops will be organized in the context of the annual consortium meetings, with three thematic and one integrated sessions being organized during these. The first workshop sessions will occur during the kickoff meeting, and will organized again during the first annual review meeting. All partners will organize in the first year of the project a seminar in their respective institutions to inform colleagues, researchers and students about the MICRODIS project, its objectives, methodology and expected outputs. In the second 18-month period of the project, workshops will be organized on the thematic and integrated assessment protocols, data entry and analysis procedures and on identifying disaster-related vulnerabilities and addressing these. Most of the activities of this task will take place in the second phase of the project when the protocol and other tools have been developed. Progress towards objectives Figure 42 - WP6.1 Progress Objective Progress Contractors

Involved Implementation of in-project training programmes

In the context of training programs, UPS gave the following presentations:

Brussels, April 2007, “How to help understanding and managing disasters” (Prof. Patrick Pigeon)

UCL, UoD, UoI, JU, CDRC, EVAP, XU,

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Kolkata, October 2007, “Disaster understanding and managing: the challenges of integration” (Prof. Patrick Pigeon)

These presentations aimed to help the integration process, along with the contributed bibliography. They were also presented during the kickoff meeting as well as the EWG workshop session. UCL has co-organized the summer course on Assessing Public Health in Emergency Situations (APHES) with the Harvard Humanitarian Initiative during July 16-27, 2007 in Brussels, Belgium. This two-week intensive course is designed to familiarize professionals with epidemiological techniques to determine impacts of natural disasters and conflicts. This course satisfies D6.1.1 – one specialized training programme attended by students from at least 6 consortium member teams (Working Annex 10 – D6.1.1a) and D6.1.2 – annual scholarships for Consortium partner students to attend disaster related training. Both of these important deliverables have already been completed even though they are not due until Month 18, with UCL taking the leadership role. The course is given by a renowned international faculty, including Prof. Debarati Guha-Sapir (UCL) and Dr. Valerie Louis (EVAP). The lectures serve to introduce participants to the methods and tools of epidemiology in the context of humanitarian emergencies. Topics included: malnutrition, infectious diseases, mortality, morbidity, natural disasters, conflict and disasters, population displacement, reproductive health and gender-based violence, mass-casualties, climate change and health, EPI info data analysing software application, development and disaster issues and mental health. UCL has begun preparations for the APHES summer course for July 2008, including developing a publicity and dissemination action plan, holding various meetings, selecting potential professors and researching scholarship opportunities for participants (Working Annex 10 – D6.1.1b). A call for applicant scholarships has been prepared by UPS for MICRODIS partner participants in Month 12, with an evaluation and selection process taking place after this due date in order to satisfy M6.1.1 and M6.1.2 (Working Annex 11 – D6.1.2).

HSPH, UPS

Development of strategy for disaster-related courses in undergraduate and postgraduate university teaching programmes of MICRODIS partners

This objective will be developed further in the second and third reporting period. For example, in the second reporting period there will be a review report of existing disaster-related university courses. There will also be closer work with the partners of academic institutions in the development of strategy for disaster-related courses in undergraduate and postgraduate university teaching programmes of their institutions. This includes using MICRODIS findings and work in classes, discussing various approaches to teaching disaster-related courses and the sharing of information about these courses so that other consortium members can participate and take advantage of cross-cultural disaster-related learning. This exchange is an important part of the MICRODIS project, as the sharing of information and strategy for students and populations between Asian and European institutions is a main goal of the project.

ALL

Extra-consortium training on survey

The APHES course mentioned above also serves those in the undergraduate and postgraduate university levels. A university certificate

UCL, UoD, UoI, JU,

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methodology

and 10 ECTS (European Credit Transfer and Accumulation System) is awarded to students who successfully complete the course and evaluation from the Université catholique de Louvain in Brussels, Belgium. In July 2007 there were three professors from the MICRODIS project (UCL, EVAP) as well as nine MICRODIS partner representatives (UoD, UoI, JU, CDRC, EVAP, XU, HSPH) who were successful participants in the APHES course, achieving university certification and 10 ECTS (Working Annex 10 – D6.1.1a). As the same deliverables (D6.1.1 and D6.1.2) are repeated in the second reporting period, the APHES course will again be organized for July 2008. The course will provide the same objective of familiarize professionals with epidemiological techniques to determine impacts of disasters and conflicts, AND introducing participants to the methods and tools of epidemiology in the context of humanitarian emergencies. Additional training has taken place in the context of the MICRODIS aims and objectives. The following presentations were given by UPS (Prof. Patrick Pigeon) in 2007:

Milano, February: “Risk prevention plans in France, positive and critical aspects”

La Paz, August: “Why has vulnerability become a critical issue in risk management” AND “How to live with ‘natural’ risks”

Potsdam, October: “Recent risk managing outcomes in the upper French Rhône river basin”

These communications helped to share experiences and methods related with integration issues during colloquiums and workshops managed by other international programmes leaders (ARMONIA, IRD “Jeune équipe andine”, colloquium “Shift in Thinking”, Potsdam). On 06 November 2007, XU organized a forum on “Natural Disaster and climate change: Its implication to Health and Development”. The theme of the forum was “Understanding the Dynamics of Climate Change and Natural Disasters: Realities, Experiences and Resources.” The forum was attended by members of the Academe, Local Government Units, members of the law enforcement agency (Philippine National Police and the Philippine Air force), and various Non-governmental Organizations. It was also covered by a local TV Station shown both on primetime. The speakers of the forum were: Dr. Sharon Linog (XU-MICRODIS Project Coordinator), Fr. Jose Ramon T. Villarin, SJ, Ph.D. (XU President and recognized expert on Climate Studies), Ana Cañeda (Office of Civil Defense), and Engr. Juanito Manzano, MSc (Chief Geologist, Department of Environment and Natural Resources).

CDRC, EVAP, XU, HSPH, UPS

Deliverables Figure 43 - WP6.1 Deliverables Deliverable No

Deliverable Name Work-package No

Date Due

Actual/ Forecast delivery date

Estimated indicative person-months*

Used indicative person-months*

Lead Contractor

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D6.1.1** One specialized training programme attended by students from at least 6 consortium member Teams

WP6.1 Month 18 Month 6 37 UPS

D6.1.2** Annual scholarships for Consortium partner students to attend disaster-related training

WP6.1 Month 18 Month 6 64 UPS

*if available ** Please note that no deliverables were due during the first 12 months for WP6.1 Milestones Figure 44 - WP6.1 Milestones Milestone No

Milestone Name Workpackage No

Date Due Actual/Forecast delivery date

Lead Contractor

M6.1.1 Identification of trainees WP6.1 Month 12 Month 14 UPS M6.1.2 Preparing the call for

applicants for scholarships WP6.1 Month 12 Month 12 UPS

M6.1.3** Confirming lecture slots in existing programmes

WP6.1 Month 16 Month 16 UPS

** Please note that M6.1.3 is not due in this reporting period Deviations Figure 45 - WP6.1 Deviations Deviations from work programme

Corrective Actions Taken

Corrective Actions Suggested

Nature and Reason for the Problem

Contractors Involved

Delay in M6.1.1 – identification of trainees – from Month 12 to Month 14

Adaptations in the work program were not necessary, as the delay will not affect the work/training to follow. This lesson will be taken for the next year when determining the due dates for these repeated milestones.

The following year will show a more realistic timeline for the identification of trainees in relation to the call for scholarships.

The call for applications for scholarships was originally scheduled in the same month as identification for trainees. This was found to be unrealistic due to an underestimation in time needed to complete the total application process for scholarships. Since this application process must be completed before identifying the trainees, M6.1.1 will be delayed until Month 14.

UPS, UCL

WP6.2 - USER NEEDS, CIVIL SOCIETY AWARENESS AND POLICY PROMOTION Leader: Citizens’ Disaster Response Center Workpackage objectives and starting point of work at beginning of reporting period Start date or starting event: Month 2

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Objectives:

User identification and relevant promotion strategies Identification and study of policy needs and packaging for decision making Training and awareness for community and civil society groups Lecture series

Description of work

The first component of this task will be to identify user-needs. This task aims at raising social and disaster preparedness awareness through public information, advocacy campaigns, research and education. Community and public awareness and response to extreme events is a much neglected area of research despite being a key component in reducing impact. This task will research developing and communicating strategies to facilitate realistic individual risk assessment and protective strategies, to prevent negative consequences (e.g., panic, stigma, blaming, and requests for unnecessary/inappropriate services) and promote adaptive and responsible behaviour to minimize risk and injury. The final products will be to bring disaster vulnerability and preparedness to broadest possible audience in accurate and easily understood languages and popular forms. This task will be coordinated by CDRC. CDRC and UoN will be in charge of the conceptual design of the project's website, PowerPoint presentation and flyer. CDRC will then be in charge of creating (programming, printing, etc.) these. VHAI and CDRC, both being community-based grassroots organizations, will promote awareness of the risks linked to natural disasters and the importance of integrated, action-oriented research. The various outputs of the project, especially those in the second 18-month phase, will be shared with the communities with which both partners work. The UoN will be in charge of identifying potential users of the project's policy-oriented outputs and of promoting the project with the international research, humanitarian and policy community. The dissemination of materials on the project (e.g., website URL, flyer) to local and national persons or institutions of interest will be the responsibility of all partners to the project. The partners mentioned in this workpackage will have the role of disseminating these same materials to international governmental and non-governmental organizations, the press and researchers. ISDR will participate in disseminating the products of the projects through their national and regional channels as well as through the Global Platform on Risk Reduction. They will guide the research through their roles in the steering committee to ensure the products applicability and relevance. ISDR will also sit on the Dissemination Committee that will oversee the take-up of the project methods by national counterparts in Europe, Asia and elsewhere. Progress towards objectives Figure 46 - WP6.2 Progress Objective Progress Contractors

Involved User identification and relevant promotion strategies

CDRC has made a tentative list of community and public awareness and response strategies. A great deal of these have been in operation among consortium partners, e.g. modular educational activities, disaster-related advocacy campaigns and policy influence, researches, media mileage /coverage, forum, conferences, collaboration with government and non-government initiatives, among others.

CDRC, UCL, UoD, UoI, XU, HSPH

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ISDR has taken a lead role in the preparation of an academic volume on the Economic Impact of Natural Disasters as well as implemented an International Press Conference on Natural Disaster which occurred in 2007. For purposes of standardization among consortium members, three relevant promotional strategies were identified and agreed upon during the kickoff meeting in Month 3. These three strategies are: website, PowerPoint presentation and a project flyer (translated into different languages). It was further agreed that users were to be identified by each individual consortium partner in their respective countries. The MICRODIS website can be accessed at: www.microdis-eu.be. A new prototype will be developed in the next reporting period as technical problems have imposed limitations on the current capacities. The MICRODIS website was brainstormed and developed after the kickoff meeting, and was made available to all consortium partners starting in Month 9. XU developed a prototype for the website and populated it with the basic material about the project (flyer, information about the project, creation of a secure forum for all participants, etc). The forum section of the website was where documents were shared amongst members of the consortium. In Month 10, XU transferred responsibility of the website to UCL. The UCL website manager began to post reports and relevant information as well as loading all media files to the media manager. The contact person was also established for the website at UCL. The standard MICRODIS PowerPoint package presentation was created, passed around for partners’ comments and suggestions via e-mail, and then made available to all partners in Month 10 (Deliverables Annex 10 – D6.2.2). This was used as a promotional tool to publicize the MICRODIS project at many international and national meetings/conferences. The MICRODIS flyer was developed prior to the kickoff meeting and was immediately made available to all partners (Deliverables Annex 11 – D6.2.3). The dissemination and printing of additional copies, where necessary, became the individual partner’s responsibilities. These flyers were available at every meeting in which a coordination member was present, among others. Translations of this flyer were provided by UoD (Hindi), UoI (Bahasa), HSPH (Vietnamese) and XU (Filipino). This was done to extend and help communicate awareness about the project to citizens of partner countries. All of these versions of the flyer are available on the project website.

Identification and study of policy needs and packaging for decision making

As previously mentioned ISDR has taken a lead role in the preparation of an academic volume on the Economic Impact of Natural Disasters as well as implemented an International Press Conference on Natural Disaster which occurred in 2007. This publication and press conference target various decision-makers at all levels as well as the academic and humanitarian community. This objective will continue to be addressed in the next reporting period.

Training and awareness for community and civil society groups

Following is an example of training and awareness activities in India: VHAI, well known for its health and development activities in different parts of the country through its wide state network has been into emergency relief operation. Since more than two decades, after the disasters like Orissa super cyclone, Gujarat earthquake, Jammu and Kashmir earthquake, Tsunami, etc.,

ALL

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VHAI is managing the disaster relief activities in three states, Tamil Nadu, Orissa and Andamans. In all the three states with their own variations, VHAI has set up its project offices. These state units look into the various dimensions of disaster – from relief, rehabilitation to preparedness. All the three projects have been regularly holding meetings and training programmes with the various stakeholders. Details will be shared during the Annual meeting in Delhi. Involved partners will discuss this objective in much further detail at and after the annual meeting in Delhi in February 2008. This objective will be more in focus during the second reporting period in the project when the empirical work ensues and there is more direct involvement with communities and individuals at the local level.

Lecture series

Various lectures have taken place in different universities and conference events throughout the first year of the project. Some examples of these are mentioned in WP6.1. It is expected that these lectures will continue to materialize in those countries which have not yet hosted lecturers from the MICRODIS project.

ALL

Deliverables Figure 47 - WP6.2 Deliverables Deliverable No

Deliverable Name Work-package No

Date Due

Actual/ Forecast delivery date

Estimated indicative person-months*

Used indicative person-months*

Lead Contractor

D6.2.1 Creation of project website

WP6.2 Month 2 Month 9 2 2 CDRC

D6.2.2 Standard Power- Point MICRODIS presentation package

WP6.2 Month 6 Month 10 1 1 CDRC

D6.2.3 MICRODIS information flyer

WP6.2 Month 2 Month 3 1 1 CDRC

*if available Milestones Figure 48 - WP6.2 Milestones Milestone No

Milestone Name Workpackage No

Date Due

Actual/Forecast delivery date

Lead Contractor

M6.2.1 Design of project website and identification of content

WP6.2 Month 1 Month 9 CDRC

M6.2.2 Steering committee approval of content for flyer and MICRODIS presentation package

WP6.2 Month 2 Months 3 and 10 CDRC

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Deviations Figure 49 - WP6.2 Deviations Deviations from work programme

Corrective Actions Taken

Corrective Actions Suggested

Nature and Reason for the Problem

Contractors Involved

D6.2.1 Delay in the website creation from Month 2 to Month 9

Collaboration with the SWG and support from UCL in the management

Transfer of operation of the website

Technical problems at CDRC, delays at XU

CDRC, XU, UCL

D6.2.2 Delay in the creation of the PPT for the project from Month 6 to Month 10

Support from UCL on the design and inputs from partners were sought

UCL complete the presentation

Technical problems at CDRC

UCL

D6.2.3 Delay in the creation of the project flyer from Month 2 to Month 3

The flyer was designed, printed and distributed to partners on Month 3

Complete the flyer for distribution at the kickoff meeting

The project was more officially started on Month 3 because of some logistical delays

UCL

M6.2.1 Delayed from Month 1 to Month 9

Collaboration with SWG

Reassignment of task from CDRC to XU as discussed during SWG meeting

Technical problems at CDRC

CDRC, XU and other partners in the SWG

M6.2.2 Delayed from Month 2 to Month 3 and 10

The flyer was made readily available during kickoff (Month 3); UCL took over PPT and flyer tasks

UCL take over preparing the PPT and flyers for distribution at the kickoff meeting

Flyer - delay in project start up; PPT- technical problems at CDRC

UCL and all partners

WORKPACKAGE 7 – PROJECT MANAGEMENT

WP7 - PROJECT MANAGEMENT Leader: Université catholique de Louvain Workpackage objectives and starting point of work at beginning of reporting period Start date or starting event: Month 1 Objectives:

Preparation of consortium agreement, scientific and financial reporting requirements Organisation of meetings and workshops Overall coordination and monitoring of project activities, timelines, budgets Liaison with advisory committees, EU Scientific Officer and other bodies

Description of work

All start-up administrative and financial tasks, including agreements with the commission and with all the consortium partners will be carried out in the initial start-up phase. The UCL will organize the kick-off, annual review and steering committee meetings and will prepare the reports of these. UCL will also be responsible for the organization of the three thematic and one integrated workshops sessions in the context of the annual consortium meetings.

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The management team will follow and support all partners in the accomplishment of their tasks and in managing their financial reporting. The management team will play a critical role in strengthening inter-consortium linkages according to the respective competences of the members. The management team is responsible for preparing and submitting the annual financial and scientific reports to the European Commission. For this purpose, they will work closely with each partner bilaterally to ensure that individual reports and audits are prepared satisfactorily and include all necessary information. The management team has the advantage of being located in Brussels and will keep close contact with the European Commission services to ensure that clarifications or additional information are provided promptly. Progress towards project objectives Figure 50 - WP7 Progress Objective Progress Contractors

Involved Preparation of consortium agreement, scientific and financial reporting requirements

The consortium agreement has been prepared and signed by each partner. All original Form A’s have been sent to the European Commission during Month 3. This document is in the possession of the Commission and thus not included as an annex, however it is important to note that this satisfies D7.1 – consortium agreement. Scientific and financial reporting requirements have been ensured through the following activities:

Mission reports and meeting reports FP6 reporting requirements have been disseminated to each

partner Specific workpackage templates have been created for each

partner with detailed instructions and reminders Prototypes of the workpackage reports were given a deadline of

mid December, which began the dialogue between the coordination team and the workpackage leaders to ensure the quality and thoroughness of the annual report

Financial templates and detailed instructions have been given to the partners repeatedly when updates or corrections were necessary. Constant communication between the coordination team and the partners has been taking place in order to satisfy the requirements of the annual report to the greatest detail and accuracy.

Communications and examples of these above tasks are available on request from the coordinator. In May, UCL representative and the EDEN management team held a 2-day meeting in Montpellier, France to share their experiences in managing a 6th Framework Programme Project. UCL representatives have attending of a one-day seminar on software tools for technical and financial reporting for EU projects held in Louvain-le-Neuve, Belgium in November 2007. As mentioned above, UCL has prepared this Periodic Report for the first twelve months, with the contributions by each workpackage leader and the appropriate partners for Section 2 and 3.

UCL ALL

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Organization of meetings and workshops

UCL organized the MICRODIS kickoff meeting in Month 3, which facilitated meetings for each the social, health, economic and integration thematic working groups (Deliverables Annex 12 – D7.2). Each group was given time to meet and discuss various issues, including an up-coming meeting to be held to discuss the conceptual model, literature review and other issues related to the project (Deliverables Annex 13 – D7.3). These second workshop sessions meetings were held at various times throughout the first year of the project in accordance to availability of the partners. UCL either helped in the organization, participation and/or communication for the following MICRODIS project meetings in 2007:

IWG Meeting – June 19 - 20 in Paris, France HWG Meeting – August 29 - September 4 in Hanoi, Vietnam SWG Meeting – September 3 - 7 in Newcastle, UK IWG Meeting with thematic working group leaders October 6 - 7 in

Potsdam, Germany EWG Meeting – November 1 - 4 in Kolkata, India IWG and the thematic group leaders meeting - November 27 - 28 in

London (Greenwich), UK. Organised and facilitated the APHES summer course in July 2007

and made it available for MICRODIS participants to attend Began preparations for the APHES summer course for July 2008,

including developing a publicity and dissemination action plan, holding various meetings, selecting potential professors, and researching scholarship opportunities for participants.

These meetings and the reference to all annexed documents can be found in accordance to the appropriate workpackages. A thematic and integrated workshop session was held in the context of the kickoff meeting in Brussels, Belgium during Month 3, where all participants discussed issues of integration approaches relevant to the MICRODIS project, with the IWG members as session chairs. An integrated consortium meeting sessions, where each of the workpackage tasks, was considered to be adequate instead of a steering committee meeting due the early stage of the project and time limitations. A steering committee meeting will take place in Delhi for the Annual Meeting. An additional integrated workshop session was organized in London, UK in November 27-28 (as mentioned in WP1.4), which included members of the IWG, coordination team and the thematic group leaders (Deliverables Annex 14 – D7.4). This was hosted by UoG, with the report being produced by UCL. In addition to this, UCL helped the preparation and organization of special side event in COP13, Bali, for the IPCC Conference on December 11, 2007. UoI participated in the presentation of the Jakarta Flood Study during this side event and MICRODIS promotional material was distributed. The MICRODIS scientific poster was used at this event to promote the project and will be present in Delhi for consortium approval.

UCL and ALL

Overall coordination and monitoring of project activities, timelines, budgets

Coordination for tasks and management has been monitored by UCL since the beginning of the project, with communication and support to all partners. UCL and its coordination team have worked to increase communication and dissemination of materials to each partner through emails, telephone conference calls, and posting information on the project

UCL

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website to increase the inter-consortium linkages according to the respective competences of the members. There have been regular checks on deliverables and milestones between UCL and each partner relative to deadlines in the proposal document. Timelines have been monitored and updated each month since the start of the project, and continue to be a main focus for UCL. Templates for management and financial reporting have been distributed to each partner for official reporting purposes. For this process UCL has worked closely and consistently with each partner, especially workpackage leaders, to ensure the quality and clarity of all reports and audits. This communication has been over email, phone and meetings in the Brussels office (i.e. UPS in January 2008 and UoI in July 2007). Face-to-face meetings will also be held between the administrative officer for the MICRODIS project coordinating team and each individual partner at the Annual Meeting in Delhi. There will also be a presentation on all the expected deliverables for the next eighteen months with detailed explanations for the implementation plans of each workpackage.

Liaison with advisory committees, EU Scientific Officer and other bodies

The advisory committee has been contacted on several occasions, specifically regarding the annual meeting in Delhi February 18-19, 2008. Unfortunately the availability of those on the committee will not allow for their attendance at this event. The committee has been asked for comments and feedback on many different issues in the project, and their feedback has been corresponded through emails and telephone calls. Those members who are closer to the coordination team have been contacted in person and over the phone for advice regarding EU and FP6 projects and their relevant experience with other issues of project management. This correspondence will continue throughout the project. The EU Scientific Officer for the MICRODIS project, Mr. Tomas Turecki, has been working together with UCL to clarify several issues about budget and reporting in the project. Meetings between Dr. Guha-Sapir and Mr. Turecki have occurred in Brussels, Belgium to discuss project issues. As well, email and telephone communications between Mr. Turecki and the Administrative Assistant for the project have been numerous. Coordination of experts’ participation in the thematic working group meetings and the annual meeting has also occurred. Communication between the EU Delegation to India, Dr. Andrew Sors, and the project coordinator has occurred. This communication also included an introduction to Dr. Rob Donkers of the EU Delegation to India, who will attend part of the Annual Meeting in Delhi (Feb. 2008).

UCL

Deliverables Figure 51 - WP7 Deliverables Deliverable No

Deliverable Name Work-package No

Date Due

Actual/ Forecast delivery date

Estimated indicative person-months*

Used indicative person-months*

Lead Contractor

D7.1 Consortium agreement

WP7 Month 1 Month 2 6 2 UCL

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D7.2 Kickoff meeting WP7 Month 2 Month 3 10 10 UCL

D7.3** 2 steering committee/ consortium meetings and 6 thematic and 2 integrated workshop sessions

WP7 Month 2 and

Month 3

5 5 UCL

Month 14 Month 13 5 5 UCL

D7.4** Thematic and integrated workshop session

WP7 Month 2 and

Month 3 5 5 UCL

Month 14 Month 13 5 5 UCL

*if available **Please note that D7.3 and D7.4 have two separate deliverable due dates (Month 2 and Month 14), only one of which is applicable to this reporting period for each. For the first reporting period, D7.3 consists of 1 steering committee/consortium meeting and 3 thematic and 1 integrated workshop sessions (Month 2); and, D7.4 consists of 1 thematic and integrated workshop session. These same 2 deliverables will be repeated for the second reporting period, with a due date of Month 14. Milestones Figure 52 - WP7 Milestones Milestone No

Milestone Name Work-package No

Date Due Actual/Forecast delivery date

Lead Contractor

M7.1 Consortium agreement signed by all partners

WP7 Month 0 Month 3 UCL

M7.2 Kickoff meeting organized WP7 Month 2 Month 3 UCL M7.3** First annual meeting and review

organized WP7 Month 14 Month 14 UCL

M7.4 Thematic and 1 integrated workshop sessions organized

WP7 Month 2 Month 3 UCL

M7.5** Thematic and 1 integrated workshop sessions organized

WP7 Month 14 Month 13 UCL

**Please note that M7.3 and M7.5 are not due during this reporting period. Deviations Figure 53 - WP7 Deviations Deviations from work programme

Corrective Actions Taken

Corrective Actions Suggested

Nature and Reason for the Problem

Contractors Involved

D7.1 Consortium agreement delayed to Month 2 (also affects M7.1)

Consortium agreement completed in Month 2

Consortium agreement completed in Month 2

Logistics in sending and receiving the documents from all partners in the time allotted

ALL

D7.2 Kickoff meeting delayed to Month 3 (also affects M7.2)

Meeting was held in Month 3

Meeting be organized for Month 3

Delay with the documentation forced a delayed kickoff meeting

ALL

D7.3 and D7.4 Steering committee, consortium and thematic meetings delayed to Month 3 (also affects M7.4)

Meetings were held in the context of the kickoff meeting during Month 3

Meetings to be held in the context of the kickoff meeting one month later than due date

As the kickoff meeting was delayed, the thematic and integrated meetings held in the context of the meeting were also delayed one month

ALL

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SECTION 3 – CONSORTIUM MANAGEMENT

3.1. CONSORTIUM MANAGEMENT TASKS AND ACHIEVEMENTS The task of consortium management for the MICRODIS project has been the responsibility of UCL at their headquarters in Brussels, Belgium. As detailed in workpackage seven (WP7), there have been many tasks and achievements in the first reporting period of the project. If problems arose, they were seen as minor and were dealt with promptly and without duress to the consortium members. No major deviations to the project deliverables and milestones occurred. As the coordinating partner, UCL has prepared the consortium agreement which was signed by all partner institutions. The logistical delays in mailing each of the documents back and forth led to a slight delay in the start-up of the project, which can account for the initial delays in some deliverables or milestones that partners have reported for the first twelve months. However, great effort and coordination have taken place in order to ensure that these delays have not greatly affected the overall objectives of the project. The MICRODIS kickoff meeting was held in Brussels, Belgium on April 18-19, 2007. The meeting was a great success as partners had an opportunity to meet each other, discuss and organize their technical thematic workshop meeting and also familiarize themselves with EU regulations required for this FP6 Project. In the context of this meeting, UCL organized three thematic group workshop sessions and an integration group workshop session in order for groups to meet each other and consolidate their start-up approach in the project. The EU Scientific Officer Tuomo Karjalainen and Dr F. Kinard, Chargée de Mission EU for the Université catholique de Louvain, explained some financial rules applicable to the project and accepted questions from the consortium on this topic. The four thematic workshop sessions in the context of the kickoff meeting facilitated the organization of each thematic working group meeting to follow in the reporting period, as well as laid the foundation for each group’s distribution of tasks and responsibilities. In this context, UCL was involved in the participation, organization or follow-up tasks for each thematic group meeting and the integration workshop. A representative from the coordination team was at all of the integration working group meetings. UCL was responsible for the report of the Potsdam and London integration working group meetings as well, which was disseminated to all partners and posted on the project website. Professor Guha-Sapir was also present at the HWG and EWG workshop sessions (Hanoi - health and Kolkata - economic). A major coordination task at the end of this reporting period was the preparation of this periodic report for the first twelve months of the project. Completing this report required cooperation from the entire consortium in detailing their every step towards fulfilling the objectives of the MICRODIS project within the time allotted for each activity. Multiple different editing and advisory exchanges took place in order to finalize the report between the coordination team, the EU Scientific Officer and each partner institution. Another main objective of project management was to liaison with advisory committees, the project’s EU Scientific Officer and other relevant organizations/institutions. UCL has made positive progress in ensuring these activities are fulfilled. Professor Guha-Sapir has met with Scientific Officer Mr. Tomas Turecki in Brussels, Belgium as well as engaged in email and telephone discussions throughout the project. The coordination team has also been in contact with the EU Delegation to India, Dr. Andrew Sors and colleague Dr. Rob Donkers. Dr. Donkers will attend the MICRODIS Annual Meeting in Delhi, India. The working relationship between UCL as the coordinating partner and the EU representatives is very healthy and productive. Members of the advisory committee have also been contacted throughout the project and were all offered invitations to the Annual Meeting in Delhi, India. As to be expected, such a large and complex project cannot escape some obstacles and challenges. Some difficulties arose in the project surrounding the project website. Due to some technical delays and expressed interest, the responsibility to start up the website and perform the initial functions was transferred to XU. This included loading some information about the project, the MICRODIS flyer in all languages, information and links to all partner institutions and creating a secure forum for MICRODIS partners to be able to upload and download documents. There were some technical problems which hindered the partners from being able to share information larger than

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500kb and some software glitches which impeded the managing team from making improvements to the permanent parts of the website. It was then decided, through emails between UCL and XU, and with full consortium request and approval, that the website be transitioned to the coordinating team at UCL in Brussels. This transition was agreed upon and went into effect in January 2008, although there remained to be technical issues between XU and UCL for this transfer (Working Annex 12). However, documents have been loaded to the secured ‘Forum’ section of the website, available to all partners, as well as distributed through email when they were received by the coordination team. The IT specialists at UCL are currently working to resolve the technical problems and a new prototype website will be functional by the Annual Meeting in Delhi, India. Suggestions on the website will also be taken into consideration along with apologies given for the delays. The second notable challenge that the coordination team faced concerned the complexity of financial recording. Some of the materials required for the project were very difficult to explain to the partners, and also hard to obtain by some partners. This was especially seen in regards to the time sheets and work done for the periodic management report for the first twelve months. This problem is being resolved by intense one-to-one dialogue between the coordination team’s administrative officer and each of the fifteen other partners. This dialogue consists of emails, telephone conversations and also face-to-face appointments between the administrative officer and partner representatives during the Annual Meeting in Delhi, India. Other additional meetings were held with partners who arranged times to visit Brussels to discuss these issues, such as UPS in January 2008 and UoI in July 2007. There is a high level of optimism and confidence that these issues will be much improved for the next reporting period when partners are more familiar with the processes and can prepare their financial reports with more experience. Lastly, as expected with the physical distance and multicultural diversity between partners, the coordination team was presented with some speed barriers at which coordination could be achieved. These types of barriers are a particular aspect to this project and are not necessarily typical to all other integration projects. This explains delays in the consortium agreement being signed and other logistically-dependent documents being distributed. Related to this, although much productive communication and discussion were achieved through email and telephone communication, there are some issues which were more appropriate for face-to-face discussion (this includes thematic workshop sessions and the later planned integration workshop meetings). The amount of face-to-face interaction will be significantly increased between country and survey groups as empirical work begins in the second reporting period. However, these challenges being noted, UCL has achieved a great deal in terms of increasing and facilitating communication between the partner institutions. This involved dissemination of materials from each working group to the rest of the consortium, constant email communication between the partner institutions and loading information to the project website. The coordination team has made an effort to send out individualized reminders and information material, especially during the preparation of meetings and the annual report. Through this dynamic communication and dissemination, UCL has taken a very active role in the monitoring of project activities with partners. Representatives from UCL are constantly available to give suggestions or answer any questions regarding project activities, timelines and budgets. Sustaining and increasing this level of communication will be the key to ensuring positive progress and avoiding the some of the same minor challenges faced in the first twelve months of the MICRODIS project.

3.2. CONTRACTOR COMMENTS REGARDING CONSORTIUM This section outlines volunteered comments from consortium partners regarding contributions, changes in responsibilities and changes to the consortium itself, if any. The contribution by the UCL will allow for a summary of all the changes that have been made during the first reporting period, where each partner’s contributions – if they have provided one – will go into further detail about their institutions involvement in these changes.

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Universite catholique de Louvain The following changes made have been at the request of consortium partners. Each alteration has been circulated amongst all consortium partners and approved. Records of these requests for changes can be made available upon request. These changes have been approved by the steering committee at the Annual Meeting in Delhi. With respect to these procedures, the following changes have been made regarding consortium responsibilities:

Figure 54 - Consortium changes summary table

CHANGES MADE JUSTIFICATION FOR CHANGE The University of Heidelberg (EVAP) is the workpackage leader for WP1.1 instead of the Universite catholique de Louvain (UCL)

UCL has other workpackage leader responsibilities and saw fit that EVAP be workpackage leader for this relevant workpackage based on their expertise

The University of Greenwich (UoG) is now the leader of WP2.4 instead of University of Heidelberg (EVAP)

As EVAP took over leadership of WP1.1 it was seen more appropriate for UoG to replace them as a workpackage leader for WP2.4, especially since UoG is specifically part of the Integration Working Group

The University of Paris Sorbonne – Ferurbat (UPS), as workpackage leader for WP6.1, is the lead partner for each deliverable in that workpackage for this reporting period.

This was a typing error in the original proposal document

Sweco Groner (SWECO) has had a budget and description of work revision (regarding person-months and not responsibilities).

There was a discrepancy between person-months and budget allotted, therefore it was justified accordingly.

As of Month 10 the Voluntary Health Association India (VHAI) has transferred to the Integration Working Group from the Health and Social working groups, but will still contribute to these groups where seen necessary

It was essential to have an Asian partner in the Integration Working Group. VHAI expressed specific interest in being transferred. This was supported by all partners when suggested in month 10.

HealthnetTPO has transferred to the Integration and Social working group from the Health working group, although their work on mental health will be used by the latter also.

Dr. Komproe, as a researcher on Mental Health, has expertise which was found to be more related to the issues addressed in the social group.

The University of Indonesia (UoI) has requested to be removed from the Economic Working Group. These economic research tasks originally allocated to UoI are not additional tasks. UoI will hire an economist in the second reporting period who will work on existing workpackages along with future worked planned for this thematic area.

UoI faced some obstacles due to the departure of the economist in their team.

University of Heidelberg will be taking over chief leadership of the MICRODIS project on February 1, 2008 from its subsidiary EVAPLAN. All personnel and responsibilities will remain exactly the same as proposed in Annex 1 and the implementation of work for the project.

Technical expertise and research has and will be coming from the University of Heidelberg so it is more logical to assume leadership under this broader institution than one of its specific subsidiary parts.

Responsibilities for the project website had originally been transferred to Xavier University (XU) from the Citizens’ Disaster Response Centre (CDRC), but will now be managed and operated by the coordination team at Universite catholic de Louvain (UCL).

Technical difficulties caused the original transfer of responsibility to XU. After the website was started up, it was found more appropriate for the coordination team to manage and operate the website. This was because the site was not operating as efficiently as possible and communication was a challenge.

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Contractor Contributions Citizens’ Disaster Response Centre “There appears to be problems on synchronizing activities during our first year. Foremost among these was the issue on integration process (specifically, how and when it should be effected) which dragged on until the last quarter of the implementing year. There is also no mechanism for partners working in a workpackage to detail the tasks and coordinate things as we progress with the activities set. Can we devise better ways at coordinating the various activities especially within periods interim of scheduled meetings? I understand this is expectedly complex given the breadth of our locations, but surely we can simplify things”. University of Heidelberg

UCL: has not longer the lead of WP1.1, as this the attributed to EVAP by common agreement at the kick-off meeting.

EVAP: by common agreement at the kick-off meeting, EVAP took the responsibility of leading WP1.1. Simultaneously its duties of leading WP2.4 were transferred to UoG. Contribution to other WP remain unchanged

VHAI: added contribution to integration group HNI: preferred to joined the social thematic group because the topic of mental health fitted better with the

context discussed in that group Other partners contributed as planned in WP 1.1

Jadavpur University “The project started officially on 1st February, 2007. Jadavpur University received the fund in early June and the project works started after receiving the fund. In spite of this delay JU team worked very hard and made a sincere effort to complete the scheduled work. The JU team including PI and Co-PI thoroughly discussed their tasks and time schedule which has helped to complete the task”. Sweco Groner “The actual person months available to WP 1.3 so far have been much fewer than in the proposal. This has meant that we have had to reduce somewhat the tasks performed – hopefully, some of them may be carried out later, however, some may have to be reduced. There are two reasons for this reduced person month effort in WP 1.3. The first, and with most implications, is that UoI is supposed to work a considerable amount of person months (pms) (9 pms in the first 18 months period). However, they were not able to take part after all, and their person months have so far not been replaced by another, new partner in the region or by letting other partners take on their person months. However, UCL, with help from SWECO are trying to identify other partners who may take on UoI’s role. On November 28th CRED sent an official letter to EU coordinator for MICRODIS where they request to make an announcement of a competitive call for an additional project partner to perform these tasks. This partner is not yet identified and included in the team, which means that UoI's expected effort has not been carried out. Further, SWECO's person months in the proposal were not correct – the person months anticipated performed were much higher than the amount of money allocated to this partner. Accordingly, SWECO has been allowed to correct the person months they are expected to work in accordance with money allocated. This means however that the person months expected worked from SWECO is more than halved. Together, these to points imply that the person months worked on WP 1.3 during the first 12 months are considerable less than anticipated in the budget proposal. We therefore have had to make harsh priorities with respect to work tasks, and we have given priority to events, milestones and deliverables which directly affect the following field assessment.”

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University of Greenwich “WP2.4 The lead contractor for this is identified in the project document (p.56) as EVAPLAN. At the kick-off meeting it was agreed that this should in fact be under UoG as the lead contractor. The start date for this Work Pack 2.4 is month 13, and so it is not included in this report.” Voluntary Health Association India “VHAI shifted from the Health and Social Working Groups to the Integration Working Group in November 2007. Considering the expertise of VHAI in the disaster management field with some major interventions in disaster affected communities namely, Latur earthquake, Gujarat earthquake, Orissa super cyclone, Indian Tsunami and Kashmir earthquake and as VHAI excels in providing integrated support to the communities. It was proposed during a small project meeting at VHAI, Delhi with Prof. Debarati, Prof. Joshi and Prof. M.M. Singh on November 8, 2007 that it could effectively contribute in the integration work group. This will facilitate integration of substantial disaster mitigation and preparatory work as well as the work on the policy front, in the project. Coordinator Prof. D. Guha-Sapir appreciated the experience of VHAI and endorsed the idea and later with the approval of other project members, VHAI was shifted to the ‘Integration work Group’.”

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3.3. MICRODIS TIMETABLE AND STATUS Figure 55 - MICRODIS timetable F M A M J J A S O N D J M A M J J A S O N D J <12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 Workpackage 1 – Conceptual models WP1.1: Development of conceptual model – health impacts D1.1.1 - Thematic workshop session conclusions on the health impacts of natural disasters D1.1.2 - Annotated bib & review on prevalence + risk-factors for mortality, injuries, trauma + diseases following D1.1.3 - report on industrial development in disaster prone areas D1.1.4 - preliminary conceptual model of health components that describe extreme event impact

WP1.2: Development of conceptual model – social impacts D1.2.1 - Thematic workshop session conclusions on the social impacts of natural disasters D1.2.2 - Analyses of psycho-social impacts, gender issues and community vulnerability and resilience D1.2.3 - preliminary conceptual model of social components that describe extreme event impact

WP1.3: Development of conceptual model – economic impacts D1.3.1 - Thematic workshop session conclusions on the economic impacts of natural disasters D1.3.2 - Literature review of economic impacts related to extreme events D1.3.3 - Desk study on application of the impact pathway approach to valuation in different economic settings D1.3.4 - Review of economic valuation of non-market goods

WP 1.4 Development of conceptual model – integrated impacts D1.4.1 - workshop report on integration of thematic conceptual models Workpackage 2 - Assessment methods and field protocol WP 2.1: Development of assessment protocol – health impacts D2.1.1 - field protocol for health impact assessment

WP2.2: Development of assessment protocol – social impacts D2.2.1 - field protocol for social impact assessment

WP2.3: Development of assessment protocol – economic impacts D2.3.1 - field protocol for economic impact assessment

WP2.4: Development of assessment protocol – integrated impacts D2.4.1 - final integrated field protocol

WP2.5: Site selection, sampling and survey methodology D2.5.1 - site specific survey design and sampling frame D2.5.2 - contextual reports on survey sites

Workpackage 3 – Empirical surveys to assess impacts WP 3.1 – Empirical surveys to assess impacts - AsiaD3.1.1 - data collection tools and designs for surveys in Asia D3.1.2 - A standardized database of country data sets in Asia D3.1.3 - Preliminary report of the data analysis for 4 surveys in Asia and Europe

WP3.2 – Empirical surveys to assess impacts - EuropeD3.2.1 - Data collection tools and designs for surveys in Europe D3.2.2 - A standardized database of country data sets in Europe

Workpackage 4 – Concepts and Calibration WP4.1 – Review conceptual model and calibrate protocol – Health Impacts D4.1.1 - finalize health impacts assessment protocols in Asia D4.1.2 - finalize health impacts assessment protocols in Europe D4.1.3 - report from the review and modification meeting in Asia D4.1.4 - report from the review and modification meeting in Europe D4.1.5 - compile relevant scientific papers and monographs - health impacts

WP4.2 - Review conceptual model and calibrate protocol – Social Impacts D4.2.1 - finalize social impacts assessment protocols in Asia D4.2.2 - finalize social impacts assessment protocols in Europe D4.2.3 - report from the review and modification meeting in Asia D4.2.4 - report from the review and modification meeting in Europe D4.2.5 - compile relevant scientific papers and monographs - social impacts

WP4.3 - Review conceptual model and calibrate protocol – Economic Impacts D4.3.1 - finalize economic impacts assessment protocols in Asia D4.3.2 - finalize economic impacts assessment protocols in Europe D4.3.3 - report from the review and modification meeting in Asia D4.3.4 - report from the review and modification meeting in Europe D4.3.5 - compile relevant scientific papers and monographs - economic impacts

WP4.4 - Review conceptual model and calibrate protocol – Integrated Impacts D4.4.1 - finalize integrated conceptual model D4.4.2 - finalize assessment protocols based on lessons learned transformed into guidelines for use in the field D4.4.3 - compile relevant scientific papers and monographs on integration

Workpackage 5 – Dataset Management WP5.1 – Develop Central Data Hub for field survey data D5.1.1 - create database model and definition of capture, query and system architecture for field datasets D5.1.2 - upload data with quality control and harmonization D5.1.3 - policy-related briefs for decision-making on extreme event impacts

WP 5.2 – Improved global disaster data for policy purposes D5.2.1 - creation of the EMDAT Research Network D5.2.2 - enhanced EMDAT website user interface and maps added

Workpackage 6 – Promotion, training and dissemination WP6.1 – Intra and Extra Consortium Training and Workshops D6.1.1 - one specialized training program attended by students from at least 6 consoritum member teams D6.1.2 - annual scholarships for consortium partner students to attend disaster related training D6.1.3 - one specialized training program attended by students from at least 6 consoritum member teams D6.1.4 - annual scholarships for consortium partner students to attend disaster related training D6.1.5 - report on a review of existing disaster related university courses D6.1.6 - training workshop for survey coordinators D6.1.7 - report on training workshop D6.1.8 - compile site-specific training workshop brief from each survey coordinator

WP6.2 – User needs, civil society awareness, policy promotion D6.2.1 - creation of a project website D6.2.2 - standard PowerPoint MICRODIS presentation package D6.2.3 - MICRODIS information flyer (in different languages) D6.2.4 - MICRODIS scientific poster D6.2.5 - field brief on training and awareness activities taken by each country team D6.2.6 - lectures in appropriate scientific events

Workpackage 7 – Project management WP7 - Project Management D7.1 - consortium agreement D7.2 - kickoff meeting D7.3 - 2 steering committee/consortium meeting, 6 thematic + 2 integrated workshop sessions D7.4 - thematic and integrated workshop session D7.5 - preparation of the second periodic report D7.6 - one meeting with EU Scietific Officer D7.7 - Consultation with advisory committee

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3.4. CO-ORDINATION ACTIVITIES REPORT Information on coordination activities in this period, communication between partners and project meetings have been detailed in the previous chapters. Potential collaboration with other projects and programmes has arisen throughout the first reporting period, leading to great optimism for cooperation in the future between the MICRODIS partners and external parties. Each partner of the MICRODIS project is very open and supportive of creating a network of partnerships which help achieve the objectives of the project and facilitate global sharing and dissemination of information. When attending conferences, meetings and extra-project events, many potential partnerships have been discussed between consortium partners and external parties. Previous suggested partnerships There are a number of other initiatives and research programmes that seek to address the issue of natural disasters and their impacts on human populations and economies. The MICRODIS project will strive to coordinate inputs, outputs and activities with these other research initiatives, including - but not limited to - the following: GEOSS (www.epa.gov/geoss) The GEOSS (Global Earth Observation System of Systems) Framework Document identifies the need of reducing loss of life and property for natural and human induced disasters and to "enable better response to and documentation of effects of disasters, such as floods, earthquakes". The MICRODIS project would contribute to the GEOSS initiative by documenting and assessing the effects of these extreme events. The two-year targets also call for "data products that will yield useful epidemiological data at the community level". Moreover, the 6 year targets include "monitoring methods and systems to detect early evidence of health-related changes and further inform epidemiological modeling studies". Again, the workpackages of MICRODIS relating to heath will provide epidemiological data and methods essential for addressing vulnerabilities in communities. ARMONIA (www.armoniaproject.net) ARMONIA (Applied multi risk mapping of natural hazards for impact assessment) is an FP6 Project whose overall aim is to provide the EU with a new harmonized methodology for producing integrated risk maps to achieve more effective spatial planning procedures in areas prone to natural disasters in Europe. MICRODIS will liaise with the partners of the ARMONIA project to share approaches to the study of natural disaster risks and impacts and to identify complementarities between the two project's outputs and how these can be mutually beneficial. EDEN (www.eden-fp6project.net) EDEN (Emerging diseases in a changing European environment) is an FP6 project that aims to identify, evaluate and catalogue European ecosystems and environmental conditions linked to global change. An increase in the prevalence of diseases following natural disasters is one of the health impact components that will be addressed in the MICRODIS project. EDEN will provide valuable input in identifying those infectious agents that can exacerbate already precarious situations in disaster-affected populations. ENSEMBLES (www.ensembles-eu.org) ENSEMBLES (ENSEMBLE-based predictions of climate changes and their impacts) is an FP6 project that develops predictions of climate change and regional impacts and scenarios. Among its different outputs, the project will provide high quality inputs of central importance to other Global Change and Ecosystems research topics, including the development of probability-based methods for the assessment of societal risk posed by floods, droughts, and storms. As mentioned earlier, the MICRODIS Project will focus on understanding the health, social and economic impacts of past and present extreme events. With this understanding and the prediction models developed by ENSEMBLES, the development of scenarios of future impacts will be possible. NEDIES (http://nedies.jrc.it) NEDIES (Natural and environmental disasters information exchange system) is a European Commission project developed in the framework of the DG Joint Research Centre Institutional Programme "Safety and Emergency Management for Man-Made and Natural Hazards" aimed to support EU policies, mainly those of the Civil Protection

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and Environmental Emergencies Unit of DG Environment, in the area of prevention, mitigation and management of natural risks and technological accidents. The NEDIES Project and its "Lessons Learned Reports" will provide background information to the MICRODIS project. Similarly, MICRODIS partners will initiate contacts with NEDIES partners to identify ways in which the project's outputs can be incorporated into their own. Of particular interest will be the collaborations for the evaluation of economic impacts of extreme events, a topic that was addressed in a NEDIES workshop. UNDP/GRIP (www.gri-p.net) The GRIP (Global Risk Identification Programme) is a ProVention Consortium programme that seeks to improve the evidence-base for disaster risk management to enable the application and prioritization of effective disaster risk reduction strategies at the national, regional and global scales. The Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (www.cred.be) is currently involved in a number of initiatives linked to the GRIP programme. One such initiative that will be complementary to the MICRODIS project is the institutionalization of disaster-loss databases at national levels in selected Asian countries. ICLR (www.iclr.org) ICLR (Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction) is a coordinated effort to reduce disaster losses and involves insurance companies and the University of Western Ontario. The objective of the Natural Disaster Health Research Network is to address issues related to mental health, injuries, preparedness, population displacement, damaged public health infrastructure and occupational health hazards that are affected by extreme events. This group has been working on methods and tools related to hazards in North America, including winter storms, tornadoes, floods and droughts. The Institute is actively promoting membership in the Natural Disaster Health Research Network, including European and other international researchers. MICRODIS health partners will join this network and identify potential collaborative activities. Recent Partnership Explorations SCENARIO (www.scenarioproject.org) The project Support on Common European Strategy for sustainable natural and induced technological hazard mitigation (SCENARIO) is a specific support action (SSA) funded by the EU. The main goals of SCENARIO are:

The development of a European roadmap on sustainable mitigation of natural and induced technological hazards and risks. A European roadmap may inspire an European strategy for reduction and mitigation of effects by natural and induced technological disasters and the building of greater resilience

The integration of fragmented research approaches, concepts and results by incorporating existing experiences on natural disaster projects and initiatives at European level, including national and international initiatives;

The assessment and reorganization of the logic value chain of natural disasters through updating knowledge and state of the art on natural disaster prevention and mitigation in the context of modified societal and environmental features.

In order to reach these objectives, SCENARIO sets up a networking process among existing projects and activities dealing with natural disasters. The MICRODIS partners will look at existing work and areas SCENARIO is engaged in to explore potential partnerships in Europe, specifically in Italy, to aid the European surveys. CUD (Coopération Universitaire pour le Développement) (www.cud.be) CUD is a Belgian commission aimed at enhancing the cooperation between Belgian Universities and Foreign Universities from Developing Countries. Therefore, CUD promotes several projects each year to improve scientific research and knowledge and to support teaching programs. RISK ASSESSMENT AND MITIGATION OF VOLCANIC HAZARDS IN INDONESIA is one project funded by the CUD which is aimed at evaluating the risks of volcanic hazards. One of the objectives of this project is to better evaluate the vulnerability of the populations living around that volcano by studying acute and chronic health risks related to volcanic eruptions and volcanic activities.

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Plan International (www.plan-international.org) Plan is one of the oldest and largest international development agencies in the world. It was founded over 70 years ago. It works in 49 developing countries across Africa, Asia and the Americas. Plan directly supports more than 1,500,000 children and their families, and indirectly supports an estimated further 9,000,000 people who live in communities that are working with Plan. Plan is independent, with no religious, political or governmental affiliations. Plan works with children, their families, communities, organizations and local governments to implement programmes at grassroots level in health, education, water and sanitation, income generation and cross-cultural communication. Plan is not a relief organization, but it has a mandate to help the communities in which it works when disasters strike. Through an existing project link (via Maureen Fordham) there is agreement in principle to collaborate in the MICRODIS Asia survey site areas when they are chosen. Plan works closely and in long-term relationships with communities and could provide further community linkages in the study sites. Environment Agency (www.environment-agency.gov.uk) The Environment Agency is the leading public body for protecting and improving the environment in England and Wales. It has a general supervisory role regarding flooding. It is an operational body which provides and maintains defences on all major rivers which also help guard against flooding from the sea. It also compiles indicative floodplain maps and provides a flood warning service. It operates through 8 Regions (Anglian, Wales, Midlands, North East, North West, South West, Southern, Thames) of England and Wales. It has around 12,000 members of staff and a budget of almost £900 million. It was set up under the Environment Act 1995 and given certain duties and powers. It is a public body - around 60 per cent of its funding comes from Government, and most of the rest comes from various charges schemes. It is independent, but works closely with Government. The Environment Agency’s main operational role is to forecast flooding, issue flood warnings and operate its own flood defence infrastructure (for example barriers and sluices) to mitigate the impacts. The Environment Agency in the North East Region has agreed to institute a partnership agreement to support a MICRODIS PhD studentship at Northumbria University, Disaster and Development Centre to focus on UK flooding (the UK floods of 2007 in particular). UNDP (www.undp.org) UNDP is the UN's global development network, an organization advocating for change and connecting countries to knowledge, experience and resources to help people build a better life. They are on the ground in 166 countries, working with them on their own solutions to global and national development challenges. UNDP helps developing countries attract and use aid effectively. In all its activities, it states that it encourages the protection of human rights and the empowerment of women. UNDP Sri Lanka (www.undp.lk) Since it began operations in 1967, UNDP Sri Lanka has provided aid in the form of grants, expert advice and modern equipment to the country’s main sectors of economic planning and finance, trade and tourism, agriculture and rural development, health, education, as well as the legislature and the judiciary.

UNDP Practice Areas: Peace and Transitional Recovery Democratic Governance and Human Rights Poverty Reduction and the MDGs Energy, Environment and Disaster Risk Management

In relation to disaster risk management, UNDP Sri Lanka is actively assisting in the development of a legal and institutional framework on disaster risk management; promotion of efforts to decentralize DRM; streamlining of various local DRM efforts under a common platform; strengthening end-to-end early warning systems and incorporating DRM into national development planning. Through a PhD studentship at University of Northumbria, Disaster and Development Centre, a staff member of UNDP Sri Lanka is joining the MICRODIS Social Impacts Group to work on a linked study. Middlesex University, Flood Hazard Research Centre (www.fhrc.mdx.ac.uk) The Flood Hazard Research Centre (FHRC) at Middlesex University comprises a group of social and environmental scientists working to improve policy making and implementation in the fields of hazard, coastal and integrated water management. It shows the link between socio-economic aspects of human behavior and environmental change and

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points to alternative solutions to environmental problems. The Centre has been active since 1970 and therefore comprises one of the oldest Research Centers in the world concerned with water and environmental management. It has a publications list extending to over 500 items, including several substantial Manuals and research monographs. It also has a PhD and Masters level training programme. FHRC is one of the partners in the FLOODsite Project (www.floodsite.net) which covers the physical, environmental, ecological and socio-economic aspects of floods from rivers, estuaries and the sea. FLOODsite uses 7 different pilot sites spread across Europe to interactively develop tools and solutions for flood risk management. FHRC has agreed to collaborate with the Social Impacts Group to share relevant case study and methodological material.

As already mentioned, the above list of complementary research projects and initiatives is not comprehensive. Through the development of disaster-research networks within and outside the scope of this project, MICRODIS partners will identify other research programmes that could profit from the project's outputs as well those whose outputs would be complementary to the project's objectives and aims.

SECTION 4 - MICRODIS PLAN FOR USING AND DISSEMINATING THE KNOWLEDGE Section 1 - Exploitable knowledge and its use This section is not applicable to the MICRODIS project in the first twelve months. Section 2 – Dissemination of knowledge Figure 56 - Dissemination of knowledge overview

Planned/ actual Dates

Type

Type of audience Countries addressed

Size of audience

Partner responsible /involved

Feb 2008 Project Launch General public India, Indonesia, Vietnam, France, Philippines, UK, Finland, Belgium, Germany, Sweden, Netherlands

National and international

VHAI – UCL/All partners

Continuous throughout project*

Conferences See Figure 57 See Figure 57 See Figure 57 See Figure 57

Jan 2008 Survey database General Public India, Indonesia, Vietnam, France, Philippines, UK, Finland, Belgium, Germany, Sweden, Netherlands

National and international

All partners

Summer 2008 and mainly Year 3

Publications Research India, Indonesia, Vietnam, France, Philippines, UK, Finland, Belgium, Germany, Sweden, Netherlands

National and international

All partners

End of project Publications of a technical series

Research India, Indonesia, Vietnam, France, Philippines, UK, Finland, Belgium, Germany, Sweden,

National and international

All partners

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Planned/ actual Dates

Type

Type of audience Countries addressed

Size of audience

Partner responsible /involved

Netherlands Sept 2007 Project website General Public International National and

international UCL (XU)

Aug 2008 Second prototype website

General Public International International UCL

Jan 2008 Posters Research/Gen Public

India, Indonesia, Vietnam, France, Philippines, UK, Finland, Belgium, Germany, Sweden, Netherlands

National and international

UCL, All partners

Mar 2007 Flyers Research/Gen Public

India, Indonesia, Vietnam, France, Philippines, UK, Finland, Belgium, Germany, Sweden, Netherlands

National and international

UCL, All partners

Continuous throughout project

Direct e-mailing Research India, Indonesia, Vietnam, France, Philippines, UK, Finland, Belgium, Germany, Sweden, Netherlands

International All partners

Sep 2008 – Jun 2009

Local Awareness Materials

General Public India, Indonesia, Vietnam, France, Philippines, UK

Local and national

All partners

Continuous throughout project**

Courses/Lectures Research, Academic

International From small class to international audiences

All partners

Year 3 Policy Briefs Policy Makers/Research

India, Indonesia, Vietnam, France, Philippines, UK

National All partners

*For a list of past and planned conferences please see Figure 57 ** For a list of past and planned courses and lectures please see Figure 58 Please note that Figure 56 represents a draft overview including activities already carried out and those roughly planned for the future. These courses, lectures, conferences and events will be updated and available on the MICRODIS website. Alterations and additions will be made as the project progresses. More detail can be found in the following description. The MICRODIS consortium will ensure that the intermediate and final results of the project are publicly available, with easy and wide-ranging access. The dissemination and communication strategy of the MICRODIS project will therefore rely on:

1. Ensuring effective and efficient internal communication amongst all consortium partners 2. Establishing efficient communication channels with practitioners, researchers and policy-makers throughout

Europe and Asia by means of collaborations with the UNDP (United Nations Development programme), UN/ISDR, IFRC (International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Society) Asian Development Bank, ASEAN Committee on Disaster Management and the World Bank

3. Informing the wider research community of MICRODIS activities and results through participation in conferences and scientific meetings within the disciplinary areas of public health, economics and social sciences

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4. Sharing relevant and useful research outcomes with the wider policy community. In addition to those who are consortium members, this would include for example, the European and Member State Parliaments, science and technology ministries, other European Commission services and UN agencies

5. Ensuring the engagement of local representatives and civil society organizations such as environmental monitoring bodies, civil protection agencies and the Red Cross societies, in project activities and dialogue

6. Establishing communication links with the wider public, specifically through primary and secondary schools, undergraduate and graduate university lectures, community associations, as well as local print, radio and television media

The concrete activities and deliverables of this strategy will include:

A project website (www.microdis.be – start-up homepage seen on the left) A searchable survey database Peer-reviewed journal articles Policy briefings Meetings with EU officials Annual project workshops Participation in external conferences and seminars Press conferences An Asia-EU conference on Health, Social and Economic Impact of Extreme

Events The publication of a technical series at end of the project

In addition to these above mechanisms for the dissemination of the project's results, the consortium expects to feed into two key developments on the European Policy level.

A. In January 2006, proposals were tabled by the European Commission to strengthen and coordinate countries' response mechanism to natural and man-made disasters. The mechanism has already been used recently to coordinate the EU response to forest fires in Portugal, floods in Central Europe, the Asian tsunami as well as hurricane Katrina in the US. The Commission also proposed stepping up early warning systems in Europe and has launched a system connected to more than 50 existing real-time alert and news services around the globe. The new proposals come on the heels of a new directive tabled by the Commission on January 18, 2006 to prevent and limit the damage caused by floods. The new directive would require member states to map out areas at risk of flooding and adopt flood risk management plans focussed on prevention, protection and preparedness. The MICRODIS project will co-ordinate closely with the implementation of this directive and ensure the feed of its outputs into this system.

B. In addition to the direct involvement of policy setting institution in the Advisory Committees (UNESCO,

ISDR, IFRC, World Bank, UNDP, Asian Development Bank) the consortium has also identified another specific initiative with which it will establish formal communication links, the Stability Pact of South Eastern Europe (Disaster Preparedness and Prevention Initiative (DPPI).

The national authorities of South East Europe and their partners adopted the Strategy and Next Steps for the Disaster Preparedness and Prevention Initiative during the conference on the Stability Pact (SP) for South Eastern Europe (SEE) in October 2001. The project outputs contribute directly into the goals of this strategy which include:

Strengthening good neighbourly relations and stability through the exchange of information, lessons learnt and best practices in the field of disaster management;

Enhancing cooperation between DPPI partners in view of EU enlargement and the process of Euro – Atlantic integration for SEE countries;

Supporting and encouraging countries in the region to develop, adopt and/or enforce state-of-art disaster emergency legislation, environmental regulations and codes designed to prevent and mitigate disasters in line with guidelines and common practices accepted in the international community.

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The relevance of MICRODIS research to policy-makers, as well as the effective use of research outcomes by stakeholders, will be monitored and assessed through the engagement of policy makers in project workshops, the involvement of consortium partners in EU and national government level policy advisory groups, the use of project outcomes and results in guidelines for disaster-related policy development and the level of demand for additional studies and research, which will perpetuate the project objectives beyond the MICRODIS timeframe. Section 3 - Publishable results This section is not applicable because of lack of exploitable results in the MICRODIS project within the first twelve months of the project. List of Conferences and Courses for MICRODIS Consortium Member  Figure 57 - List of conferences: past and planned Conference Date

Title of Conference Type of Audience

Countries Addressed

Size of Audience (# people)

Partner responsible/involved

February 2007

Risk planning in Europe ARMONIA final conference, Milan, Italy

Researchers, policy makers

Italy, UK, Germany, Greece, Finland, Netherlands, France

Over 200 UPS

March 2007 National Seminar on Disaster Mental Health, Bhubneswar, India

University faculty, researchers

India 150 UoD

August 2007

National disaster Management Authority Advisory Committee Meeting

NDMA, Government , CSOs and disaster professionals

India 15 VHAI

August 2007

HSPH Introduction to MICRODIS Meeting

University faculty and students

Vietnam 60 HSPH

September 2007

Dealing with Disasters, Newcastle, UK

Researchers, Professionals, university faculty and staff, government departments and agencies

UK, India, Philippines, Bangladesh, Qatar

60 UoN, UoD, XU, CDRC, UoG

September 2007

The 7th IIASA-DPRI Forum on Integrated Disaster Risk Management, Stresa, Italy

Researchers, policy makers, governments

International 1000s UCL

September 2007

Rajasthan Voluntary Health Association Annual General Body Meeting, Jaipur, India

NGOs in health and development

India 120 VHAI

October 2007

SHIFT in Thinking Conference – Perspectives of Vulnerability and Hazard Assessment, Potsdam, Germany

Researchers, policy makers

Europe, Asia and USA

300 UCL, UPS, UoG, UoN, UoD, FIOH, HNI

October 2007

Seminar on “ Natural Disasters and Its Consequences”

University faculty

Philippines 15 XU

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October 2007

29th National Conference of Indian Association for Study of Population (IASP), Varanashi, India

Researchers, policy makers

India National JU

November 2007

The IPCC 4AR and EU Research, Vulnerability and Adaptation to climate change, Brussels, Belgium

Policy makers, researchers

International Over 100 UCL

November 2007

Jakarta Flood Study Seminar, Jakarta, Indonesia

Policy makers, professional, university staff, researchers

Indonesia 25 UoI

November 2007

Forum on “Natural Disaster and Climate Change: Its Implication to Health and Development”, Philippines

University faculty and staff, students, Local Government Units, National Line Agencies, NGOs

Philippines Local -90 Reg -10

XU

November 2007

Annual Sharing with VHAI grass root level initiative “KHOJ” Partners, Delhi, India

NGOs in disaster management , health and development

India 17 VHAI

November 2007

National Conference on Medical Anthropology and Health Sciences, Mysore, India

University faculty, researchers, health sector, NGOs

India 50 UoD

November 2007

GHUP, Society of Hygiene, Environmental and Public Health Sciences Annual Meeting, Germany

Researchers Germany National EVAP

December 2007

UNFCCC – International Conference on Climate Change, Bali, Indonesia

Policy makers, researchers

International 1000’s UoI, UCL, EVAP

January 2008

9th Annual Global Development Conference: Natural Disasters: Anticipating and Coping with Catastrophes, Brisbane, Australia

Researchers, policy makers

International Over 200 UCL

January 2008

Training on Quantitative Methods in Social Sciences, Ujjain, India

University faculty and researchers

India 20 UoD

February 2008

Workshop on Wualitative Research Methodology and its Application in Health Research, Delhi, India

University faculty and researchers

India Local – 28 Reg - 7

UoD

February 2008

Roundtable Discussion on Climate Change and the Humanitarian Implications of Climate Change, Geneva, Switzerland

Policy analysts and researchers directly working on the humanitarian implications of climate change

International Over 100 UCL

February 2008

Towards sustainable risk mitigation in Europe: an expert workshop, London, UK

Researchers and policy makers

UK, Italy, Finland, Germany, Greece, Switzerland, USA,

100 UPS

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France, Sri Lanka, Spain

March 2008 HSPH MICRODIS activity and process meeting

University faculty and students

Vietnam 50 HSPH

March 2008 French-Swiss INTERREG on upper Rhone river watershed management final colloquium, Chambery, France

Researchers and policy makers

Switzerland, and France

50-100 UPS

April 2008 University Paris VII and MRN colloquium: When insurance companies and geographers work together, Paris, France

Researchers and policy makers

France, Germany

100 UPS

April 2008 1st Meeting of the Senior Representatives in Charge of Organizing the Health Systems Response to Climate Change, Bonn, Germany

Researchers International 30 UCL

May 2008 Social vulnerabilities, risks and environment: understanding and assessing, Toulouse, France

Researchers France, Canada

200 UPS

May 2008 Climate Change Burden of Disease Assessment Working Group Meeting, London, UK

Researchers, professionals

International 20 UCL

June 2008 Region X Clusters’ Response Preparedness Planning Workshop

Regional X Clusters involved in the Philippine Disaster Management System

Philippines 25 XU

June 2008 13th International Conference on Infectious Diseases, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

Researchers, policy makers

International 1000’s UCL, UoI

July 2008 OCHA-CRED Information Seminar Researchers and program officers

Sri Lanka, Myanmar, Pakistan, Latin America, Europe

15 UCL

August 2008

Global Risk Forum GRF, Davos, Switzerland

Policy makers, researchers

International 1000’s UCL

August 2008

Staff Seminar, Hue, Vietnam University faculty

Vietnam 30 UoI

May 2009 Urban geopolitics and risk management

Researchers, graduate students, policy makers

France, Canada, Gabon, Cameroon, USA, Germany

Over 200 UPS

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Figure 58 - List of Courses - past and planned Institutions Involved in Lecture/Course

Host Institution Course/ Lecture Dates

Course/Lecture Title Audience level (U/G)

Size of Class

Programme for Course/ Lecture

UPS Université de Savoie, France

February 2007

Risk management and geography

U 40 Disaster Management

UPS Université de Savoie, France

February 2007

Systemic analysis and risk management

G 20 Disaster Management

UoD, Utkal University, BhubneswarIndia

March 2007

Lecture : “Social and Psychological Consequences of Conflict Situations with Special Reference to Militancy Violence in Jammu and Kashmir” given in National Seminar on Disaster Mental Health

University faculty

100 Mental Health

UCL UCL, Brussels, Belgium

March 2007

Health and Development

U 30 Medicine

UPS University de Metz, France

May 2007 Experiences from “natural” risk management in the French northern alps

G 20 Disaster Management

As lecturers: UCL, EVAP, as students: UoI, CDRC, XU, UoD, HSPH, JU

UCL, Brussels, Belgium

July 2007 Assessing Public Health in Emergency Situations

Professionals and graduate students

25 Public Health, Epidemiology

UCL Vrije Universiteit Brussels, Belgium

July 2007 Natural Disasters and Health in EU Projects

U/G 50 Health

UCL Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany

August 2007

Climate Change related to climate disasters?

U/G 100 Various

UPS Université de Lyon III, France

September 2007

How geography may contribute to manage natural risks

G 20 Disaster Management

UPS Université de Savoie, France

October 2007

Issues related with mountains management in the world

U 80 Disaster Management

UCL Tsukuba, Japan October 2007

Asian Science and Technology Seminar in Tsukuba: The Internatnioal Workshop on Information Platform for Disaster Reduction

Researchers, policy makers, U/G

100 Various

EVAP Royal Tropical Institute (KIT), Amsterdam, Netherlands

October 2007

Lecturer: Natural environment as a determinant of health

G 25 Environmental health

EVAP University of Heidelberg, Germany

October 2007

Lecturer: Urban Health: Air, water and noise pollution; Toxic

G 22 Environmental health

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chemicals and health

UoD Potsdam Institute for Climate Research, Germany

October 2007

“Floods: Trends and Social Impacts in Indian Context” presented in International Conference: SHIFT07. Shift in Thinking – Perspectives of Vulnerability And Hazard Assessment held at Postdam, Germany

Researchers 100 Disasters and Climate Change, Risk Assessment

UPS Université de Savoie, France

February 2008

Risk management and geography

U 40 Disaster Management

UCL

UCL, Brussels, Belgium

February 2008

Health and Development

U 30 Medicine

UoD, XU, UCL XU, Cagayan de Oro, Philippines

April 2008

Lecture :Ethnic Composition and Ethnic Relations in India

U 100 Social Sciences

UCL, HSPH HSPH, Hanoi, Vietnam

May 2008 Disaster: moving from myths to realities

U 120 Disaster Management

UoD Giri Institute of Development Studies, Lucknow, India

May 2008 Lecture : An Insight into Disasters

GIDS faculty and researchers

20 Disaster trends

EVAP University of Heidelberg, Germany

June 2008

Climate change and human health

G 10 Environmental health

UCL, UoI, HNI, UoD, UoN, HSPH

UCL, Brussels, Belgium

July 2008 Assessing Public Health in Emergency Situations, Brussels, Belgium

Professionals and graduate students

25 Public Health, Epidemiology

UCL Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany

August 2008

Climate Change related to climate disasters?

U/G 100 Various

Hue University, Vietnam/ UoI

Phu Xuan University, Vietnam

October 2008

Environmental and Resource Economics

U 60 Environmental and Natural Resource Economics

EVAP University of Heidelberg, Germany

October 2008

Lecturer: Urban Health: Air, water and noise pollution; Toxic chemicals and health

G 25 Environmental Health

Hue University, Vietnam/ UoI

Hanoi Water University, Vietnam

November 2008

Economics Valuation of Environmental and Natural Resources

G 40 Environmental and Natural Resource Economics

UPS Politecnico di Milano

Spring 2009

Managing complexity G ? Disaster Management

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Figure 59 – DELIVERABLES ANNEX LIST

Deliverables Annex 0 Annex Organization Deliverables Annex 1 – D1.1.1 Health Working Group Workshop Session Report Deliverables Annex 2 – D1.1.2 Health Working Group Literature Review Deliverables Annex 3 – D1.2.1 Social Working Group Workshop Session Report Deliverables Annex 4 – D1.2.2 Social Working Group Literature Review Deliverables Annex 5 – D1.3.1 Economic Working Group Workshop Session Report Deliverables Annex 6 – D1.3.3 Economic Assessment of Extreme Events Using the Impact Pathway Approach – A Conceptual Framework Deliverables Annex 7 – D1.3.4 Methods of Valuation of Impacts of Disasters – A Critical Appraisal Deliverables Annex 8 – D5.2.1 EM-DAT Research Network (TAG) Meeting Report Deliverables Annex 9 – D5.2.2 D5.2.2a – Maps of Vietnam D5.2.2b – Disaster Terminology and Hierarchy Deliverables Annex 10 – D6.2.2 MICRODIS PowerPoint presentation package Deliverables Annex 11 – D6.2.3 MICRODIS information flyer Deliverables Annex 12 – D7.2 MICRODIS Kickoff Meeting Report Deliverables Annex 13 – D7.3 Kickoff Meeting Reports for Thematic Groups Deliverables Annex 14 – D7.4 Integrated Workshop Meeting Report

 

 

 

 

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Figure 60 – WORKING ANNEX LIST Working Annex 1 – International MICRODIS Team Working Annex 2 – D1.1.4 Health Working Group Draft Conceptual Model Working Annex 3 – D1.2.4 Social Working Group Draft Conceptual Model Working Annex 4 – D1.3.2 D1.3.2a – Natural Disaster, Risk and Insurance – A Review D1.3.2b – Review of Literature on the Impacts of Extreme Events on Migration Working Annex 5 – Integration Working Group Matrix Working Annex 6 – Indian Experiences on Integration in Disaster Management Indian Experiences on Integration in Disaster Management Working Annex 7 – D2.1.1 Health Assessment Protocols Draft Report Working Annex 8 – D2.2.1 D2.2.1a – Field Report on Social Impacts D2.2.1b – Social Working Group Research Design Draft D2.2.1c – Tentative Protocol for Social Impacts Assessment Tool Working Annex 9 – D2.3.1 D2.3.1a – Development of Field Protocols for Economic Impacts D2.3.1b – Economic Working Group Draft Questionnaire Working Annex 10 – D6.1.1 D6.1.1a – Assessing Public Health in Emergency Situations (APHES) Summer Course Participant List 2007 D6.1.1b – Assessing Public Health in Emergency Situations (APHES) Summer Course Promotional Poster 2008 Working Annex 11 – D6.1.2 Call for Applicants for Scholarships for the APHES Summer Course 2008 Working Annex 12 – MICRODIS Website Transfer Agreement