institute for lifecycle environmental assessment energy and land use impacts of sustainable...

19
Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment www.ilea.org Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University of Washington Roel Hammerschlag Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment

Upload: blake-patrick

Post on 25-Dec-2015

220 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessmentwww.ilea.org

Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation

Scenarios

Boyd H. Pro

University of Washington

Roel Hammerschlag

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment

Page 2: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessmentwww.ilea.org

Why Land Use?• Current power production not land use intensive:

Fossil Fuels, Nuclear, etc.

Page 3: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessmentwww.ilea.org

Future scenarios:

• Land use will be a ‘new’ environmental impact.

Page 4: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessmentwww.ilea.org

“Future Cars”• What sort of energy carriers will the cars of the

future utilize?

• Hydrogen fuel cell• Electric Battery• Bio-fuels

Page 5: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessmentwww.ilea.org

Coming up with land use….

• Any renewable resource has some form of solar radiation as its original source of energy

• This leads to a clear evaluation of the land occupied to acquire a given amount of energy

Page 6: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessmentwww.ilea.org

Solar Radiation

• Solar constant = 1367 W/m2 incident on Earth’s atmosphere

• Typical radiation levels on Earth’s surface: approximately 200 W/m2 (in the U.S.)

Page 7: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessmentwww.ilea.org

Energy conversion:• Example: 15% efficient

solar cell would generate

15%*200 = 30W/m2

• To generate 1 kW = 1000 watts:

1000/30 = 33 m2

This implies one panel of size 33 m2

Page 8: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessmentwww.ilea.org

What about wind and Biomass?

• Wind turbines don’t rely on direct solar radiation in their location.

• An arbitrary value used for power produced: 5W/m2 • A farm of larger turbines may generate 20W/m2

• Corresponding efficiencies = 2.5% - 10%

Page 9: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessmentwww.ilea.org

Biomass• Plants convert sunlight into energy via

photosynthesis.

• Typical conversion efficiencies: <1%• Some crops convert up to 4%.

Page 10: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessmentwww.ilea.org

So…..plants in fuel tanks?

• Any conversion process has various steps with associated energy losses.

• Well to wheel principle:

“Well to wheel” “sunlight to motor” + vehicle efficiency

Page 11: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessmentwww.ilea.org

4 process paths:#1: Electrolytic Hydrogen: Renewable Electric Generation H2 production Fuel cell electric vehicle

#2: Electricity: Renewable Electric Generation Battery electric vehicle

#3: Bio-Hydrogen: Biomass production Direct H2 conversion Fuel cell electric vehicle

#4: Biofuels: Biomass Production Liquefaction On-board H2 conversion Fuel cell

electric vehicle

Page 12: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessmentwww.ilea.org

Transportation demands• Current national light vehicle demands: 4 trillion vehicle kilometers traveled (VKT) per year

• 1999: gasoline-powered light vehicle fleet consumed 16.7 EJ in primary fuel.

Page 13: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessmentwww.ilea.org

Electric Vehicle Speculation:

• Modern electric vehicles: approximately 4 times as fuel efficient as gasoline vehicles.

• Therefore, 4 trillion VKT in an electric vehicle would consume ¼ of 16.7 EJ, approximately 4.2 EJ.

Page 14: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Renewable ElectricGeneration:

PV, wind

ElectricalTransmission

H2 generation:Electrolysis

H2 filling/transferto vehicle

On-board fuel-cell:electricity

generation

Renewable ElectricGeneration:

PV, wind

Battery Storage

BiomassProduction: growth

of feedstock

Feedstock harvest

Gasification toHydrogen

H2 distribution:pipeline,

compressed gastank

On-board fuel cell:electricity

generation

BiomassProduction: growth

of feedstock

Feedstock harvest

Liquefaction:gasification,

fermentation, etc.

Storage andDistribution of

biofuel

Biofuel reformer/fuel-cell

combination:electricity

generation

PV: 10%-16%Wind: 2.5%-10%

85%-90%

Approx. 100%

60%-65%

1%-3% 1%-3%

Gasification: 60%-70%Fermentation: 50%-60%

Approx. 100%

60%-70%

91%-93%

ElectricalTransmission

Path #1:ElectrolyticHydrogen

Path #2:Electricity

Path #3:Bio-Hydrogen

Path #4:Biofuels

PV: 10%-16%Wind: 2.5% -10%

91%-93%

90%

PV: 4.64%-8.70%Wind: 1.16%-5.44%

PV: 7.74%-13.39%Wind: 1.93%-8.37%

0.18%-1.37% Methanol: 0.12%-0.95%Ethanol: 0.09%-0.72%

Overall solar tomotor efficiency:

Overall solar tomotor efficiency:

Overall solar tomotor efficiency:

Overall solar tomotor efficiency:

60-65% Methanol: 40%-45%Ethanol: 45%-50%

Page 15: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessmentwww.ilea.org

ResultsLand use to fuel U.S. light vehicle fleet

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

PV tohydrogen

PV toBattery

Biohydrogen Biofuel

1000 k

m2

Page 16: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessmentwww.ilea.org

Land use to fuel U.S. light vehicle fleet

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

PV Wind Wind+biomass

Wind+PV

PV Wind Wind+biomass

Wind+PV

1000

km

2

Electrolytic hydrogen Battery electric

Page 17: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessmentwww.ilea.org

Cause of land use

Fuel Production

Fuel Production

Roads & parking

Roads & parking

FuelDelivery

FuelDelivery

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

PV to hydrogen Biohydrogen

1000

km

2

Page 18: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessmentwww.ilea.org

Conclusions…..• For large scale applications, we hope to

minimize the land occupied.

• Path #2, electricity, has the lowest associated land intensity.

• The Biomass paths have the greatest associated land use.

Page 19: Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessment  Energy and Land Use Impacts of Sustainable Transportation Scenarios Boyd H. Pro University

Institute for Lifecycle Environmental Assessmentwww.ilea.org

• Biomass = BAD? No, but for large scale application, it is

quite land use-intensive.

• Hydrogen = “the future”? Maybe, but it may not be the best solution

Main idea: land use will be the largest environmental impact