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StartupSniffer Transform gutdriven to datadriven investment Wei Zhang Insight Data Science Fellow 2013 Monday, July 8, 13

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Page 1: InsightProject

StartupSnifferTransform  gut-­‐driven  to  data-­‐driven  investment  

Wei  ZhangInsight  Data  Science  Fellow

2013

Monday, July 8, 13

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My  journey  from  Indiana  to  California

Monday, July 8, 13

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FantasDc  Startup  Community

Monday, July 8, 13

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Problem:  which  startup  to  invest?

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Gut-­‐driven  Venture  Capital  Investment

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www.startupsniffer.com�

Make  quanDtaDve  investment  possible

Monday, July 8, 13

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PredicDng  Startup  Outcome  (IPO/AcquisiDon)

•  Data:  crunchbase.com

•  Feature  Engineering:  Curated  13  features  for  each  company  about  company  profile,  founder  profile  and  VC  profile•  Build  Random  Forest  binary  classificaDon  model  on  historical  data  to  predict  outcome•  Build  Random  Forest  regression  model  to  esDmate  exit  

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Startup  Leaderboard

Ranking

API APIAPI

Tracking  >1,000  early  stage  startupsData  is  updated  every  day

Monday, July 8, 13

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Monday, July 8, 13

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I  am  Wei  Zhang

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Computer  Science  PhD,  University  of  Notre  Dame    

What  I  do  for  fun:

My  research:      -­‐Data  Mining      -­‐BioinformaDcs  

Monday, July 8, 13

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Average  accuracy:  75%Average  precision:  80%Average  recall:  75%

ValidaDon:  5-­‐fold  cross  validaDon  

Monday, July 8, 13

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Feature  importance

Monday, July 8, 13