insight: how to do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/stuart-mccoy-insigh… · •...
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Insight: How to Do it…a taster from the Campaign Analysis, Testing & Targeting course
Stuart McCoy, Data Strategy Consultant, DM Insight
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Insight SiG Training Courses
• Campaign Analysis, Testing & Targeting
• Pinpointing Pledgers: Making the Most of your Legacy Data
• Insight in Fundraising Essentials
• Communicating Insight AKA Truth Well Told
• Communicating Impact
• Introduction to R
• MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)
• DIY Online Market Research
• Introduction to Visual Basic for Applications within Excel
• Introduction to Statistics in Fundraising
• Advanced Questionnaire Analysis
• Introduction to Modelling
• Chaid
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Campaign Analysis, Testing & Targeting
• How to set up reliable marketing tests
• Confidence levels
• Eliminating bias from your tests
• Opportunity cost of testing
• Sample size
• Welcome testing
• Prompt tests
• Key fundraising KPIs (dangers of using average gift and ROI)
• Best practice campaign reporting
• Supporter profiling
• Who is your 10 year donor?
• Data enhancements
• Supporter targeting
• Drivers of supporter engagement
• Fuzzy propensity models
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Testing
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Setting up Reliable Marketing Tests
• The Test and the Control groups
• Significance test of response rates
• Confidence
• T-Test of average gifts
• Longer-term supporter behaviour
• Net return of rolling out (cost/benefit analysis)
• Sunk cost fallacy
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Why Test?
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Significance Testing
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Opportunity Cost of Testing
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It’s Not Just About Response Rates
There are 4 essential components of a well executed marketing test:
1) Significance test of response rates
2) T-Test of average gifts
3) Longer-term supporter behaviour
4) Comparative net return of rolling out (cost/benefit analysis)
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Supporter Journeys
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Multi-Channel Welcome Testing
What combinations of early retention engagement comms result in a significant uplift in retention at various milestones?
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Multi-Channel Welcome Testing
• Compare each test stream vs. the ‘do-nothing’ Control group
• Calculate the z-scores (significance test/confidence level) to understand the impact of each early retention strategy:
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Engagement
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Measuring Engagement
People not products! Audience centered strategy
If you don’t know who you’re talking to you’re not really communicating
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Targeting
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Campaign Optimisation
Segmented supporter engagement strategy vs. isolated, short-term campaigns
• Within each profitable mailing segment there are likely to be sub-cohorts of supporters who are consistently not breaking even
• Within each unprofitable mailing segment there are likely to be sub-cohorts of supporters who do break even
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Campaign Optimisation• Data mining to identify the sub-cohorts by which you tighten your targeting:
Significantly improved results:
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Segmentation
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Segmentation
• To enable charities to realise more value from its marketing and fundraising and to recruit more supporters with maximum lifetime value
• Supporter retention becoming the key challenge
• More fickle supporters
• Baby Boomers and Gen X demand more interaction
• ‘Self Actualisation’ market place – charities are behind the curve
• Date of last will to death is shortening
• New opt-in rules
• Channel fatigue
• Growth in digital painfully slow
• Innovation and better segmentation will be key to survival
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Segmentation
Vital to go beyond behaviour alone (transactions/interactions)
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