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Insight: How to Do it …a taster from the Campaign Analysis, Testing & Targeting course Stuart McCoy, Data Strategy Consultant, DM Insight

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Page 1: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Insight: How to Do it…a taster from the Campaign Analysis, Testing & Targeting course

Stuart McCoy, Data Strategy Consultant, DM Insight

Page 2: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Insight SiG Training Courses

• Campaign Analysis, Testing & Targeting

• Pinpointing Pledgers: Making the Most of your Legacy Data

• Insight in Fundraising Essentials

• Communicating Insight AKA Truth Well Told

• Communicating Impact

• Introduction to R

• MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

• DIY Online Market Research

• Introduction to Visual Basic for Applications within Excel

• Introduction to Statistics in Fundraising

• Advanced Questionnaire Analysis

• Introduction to Modelling

• Chaid

Page 3: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Campaign Analysis, Testing & Targeting

• How to set up reliable marketing tests

• Confidence levels

• Eliminating bias from your tests

• Opportunity cost of testing

• Sample size

• Welcome testing

• Prompt tests

• Key fundraising KPIs (dangers of using average gift and ROI)

• Best practice campaign reporting

• Supporter profiling

• Who is your 10 year donor?

• Data enhancements

• Supporter targeting

• Drivers of supporter engagement

• Fuzzy propensity models

Page 4: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Testing

Page 5: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Setting up Reliable Marketing Tests

• The Test and the Control groups

• Significance test of response rates

• Confidence

• T-Test of average gifts

• Longer-term supporter behaviour

• Net return of rolling out (cost/benefit analysis)

• Sunk cost fallacy

Page 6: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Why Test?

Page 7: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Significance Testing

Page 8: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Opportunity Cost of Testing

Page 9: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

It’s Not Just About Response Rates

There are 4 essential components of a well executed marketing test:

1) Significance test of response rates

2) T-Test of average gifts

3) Longer-term supporter behaviour

4) Comparative net return of rolling out (cost/benefit analysis)

Page 10: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Supporter Journeys

Page 11: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Multi-Channel Welcome Testing

What combinations of early retention engagement comms result in a significant uplift in retention at various milestones?

Page 12: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Multi-Channel Welcome Testing

• Compare each test stream vs. the ‘do-nothing’ Control group

• Calculate the z-scores (significance test/confidence level) to understand the impact of each early retention strategy:

Page 13: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Engagement

Page 14: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Measuring Engagement

People not products! Audience centered strategy

If you don’t know who you’re talking to you’re not really communicating

Page 15: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Targeting

Page 16: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Campaign Optimisation

Segmented supporter engagement strategy vs. isolated, short-term campaigns

• Within each profitable mailing segment there are likely to be sub-cohorts of supporters who are consistently not breaking even

• Within each unprofitable mailing segment there are likely to be sub-cohorts of supporters who do break even

Page 17: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Campaign Optimisation• Data mining to identify the sub-cohorts by which you tighten your targeting:

Significantly improved results:

Page 18: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Segmentation

Page 19: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Segmentation

• To enable charities to realise more value from its marketing and fundraising and to recruit more supporters with maximum lifetime value

• Supporter retention becoming the key challenge

• More fickle supporters

• Baby Boomers and Gen X demand more interaction

• ‘Self Actualisation’ market place – charities are behind the curve

• Date of last will to death is shortening

• New opt-in rules

• Channel fatigue

• Growth in digital painfully slow

• Innovation and better segmentation will be key to survival

Page 20: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)

Segmentation

Vital to go beyond behaviour alone (transactions/interactions)

Page 21: Insight: How to Do itinsightsig.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/STUART-MCCOY-INSIGH… · • Introduction to R • MS Excel for Data Analysis & Reporting (intermediate/advanced)