insider advantage poll of florida 8/6/15

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GOP Presidential Primary Poll 8/5/15 Sponsor(s) FOX 13 Tampa Bay, FOX35 Orlando, Florida Times-Union Target Population Likely Florida Republican presidential primary voters Sampling Method Landline: Registered Florida voters were selected randomly and surveyed on the evening of August 3 rd , 2015 on their landline telephone using an interactive voice response system. Mobile: Registered Florida voters unable to be reached by landline were surveyed using their mobile device on August 3 rd , 2015. Weighting Only respondents determined likely to vote in the 2016 Republican presidential primary were included in the survey. The poll was weighted for age, race, and gender according to 2012 presidential primary voter statistics. Total Number of Respondents 547 (weighted) Margin of Error ±4.1% (95% confidence)

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A recent Opinion Savvy/InsiderAdvantage poll (IVR + cell phones) (Aug. 3, 527 LVs, +/- 4.1%) conducted for local news outlets shows real estate mogul Donald Trump on top of the GOP presidential field in Florida with 27%, followed closely by former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R) with 26%. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson (R) both took 8%, compared to 7% for Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) and 6% for Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R). No other candidate cleared 4%.

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GOP Presidential Primary Poll8/5/15 Sponsor(s)FOX 13 Tampa Bay, FOX35 Orlando, Florida Times-UnionTarget PopulationLikely Florida Republican presidential primary voters Sampling MethodLandline: Registered Florida voters were selected randomly and surveyed on the evening of August 3rd, 2015 on their landline telephone using an interactive voice response system. Mobile: Registered Florida voters unable to be reached by landline were surveyed using their mobile device on August 3rd, 2015. WeightingOnly respondents determined likely to vote in the 2016 Republican presidential primary were included in the survey. The poll was weighted for age, race, and gender according to 2012 presidential primary voter statistics. Total Number of Respondents547 (weighted) Margin of Error4.1% (95% confidence) sd ** GOP Presidential Primary Poll8/5/15 1. If the 2016 Florida Republican presidential primary to determine the Republican nominee for president were held today and your choices were: Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote? GOP Presidential Primary Poll8/5/15 1. (continued)

AgeRaceGenderMode Total18-2930-4445-6465+White African American Hispanic / LatinoOtherMaleFemaleLandlineMobile %%%%%%%%%%%%% Primary Bush26.2%19.4%11.9%27.8%29.5%26.2%21.0%27.9%20.2%22.9%29.4%28.5%14.1% Carson8.3%0.0%12.2%6.8%9.5%9.0%12.9%0.0%2.6%6.8%9.7%9.1%3.9% Christie1.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.9%1.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%1.4%1.5%0.0% Cruz8.2%4.2%14.8%8.7%6.2%7.3%20.7%15.9%11.9%7.7%8.6%8.9%4.4% Fiorina1.8%7.7%0.0%1.5%1.9%2.0%0.0%0.0%5.1%1.7%1.9%1.9%1.2% Graham0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0% Huckabee4.2%3.9%0.0%7.5%2.3%4.0%0.0%7.1%0.0%4.4%3.9%4.7%1.2% Jindal2.4%0.0%2.8%2.0%2.9%1.8%0.0%9.3%0.0%2.6%2.2%2.9%0.0% Kasich3.1%0.0%2.8%1.4%5.1%3.3%0.0%1.7%0.0%3.7%2.5%3.6%0.0% Pataki.3%0.0%0.0%.7%0.0%.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%.6%.3%0.0% Paul1.8%8.5%2.8%2.0%.7%2.0%0.0%0.0%3.7%3.2%.6%1.4%4.4% Perry.7%0.0%0.0%.8%1.0%.7%7.3%0.0%0.0%1.1%.4%.9%0.0% Rubio6.5%7.7%6.3%8.9%4.2%6.7%0.0%5.4%6.4%6.2%6.8%6.4%6.9% Santorum0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0% Trump26.6%44.6%40.3%26.1%21.1%25.9%27.0%32.6%38.3%30.4%23.0%20.4%60.1% Walker5.8%3.9%0.0%5.0%8.5%6.3%11.1%0.0%2.6%5.6%6.1%6.7%1.2% Someone else1.3%0.0%2.8%0.0%2.3%1.4%0.0%0.0%2.8%1.8%.9%1.2%2.1% Undecided1.5%0.0%3.5%.7%1.9%1.6%0.0%0.0%6.4%.9%2.1%1.7%.4% GOP Presidential Primary Poll8/5/15 2. Age

RaceGenderMode TotalWhite African American Hispanic / LatinoOtherMaleFemaleLandlineMobile %%%%%%%%% Age 18-295.0%4.3%5.4%12.4%3.7%8.4%1.7%1.5%24.0% 30-4412.0%10.5%9.2%26.3%32.9%15.3%8.8%7.3%37.1% 45-6440.0%39.0%56.9%49.0%41.8%38.8%41.2%40.2%39.0% 65+43.0%46.2%28.6%12.3%21.5%37.6%48.3%51.0%0.0% GOP Presidential Primary Poll8/5/15 3. Race

AgeGenderMode Total18-2930-4445-6465+MaleFemaleLandlineMobile %%%%%%%%% Race White90.0%78.3%78.9%87.7%96.5%91.9%88.1%92.7%75.3% African American1.0%1.1%.8%1.4%.7%.9%1.1%1.2%0.0% Hispanic / Latino8.0%19.9%17.6%9.8%2.3%6.0%9.9%5.2%23.0% Other1.0%.8%2.8%1.1%.5%1.2%.9%.9%1.6% GOP Presidential Primary Poll8/5/15 4. Gender

AgeRaceMode Total18-2930-4445-6465+White African American Hispanic / LatinoOtherLandlineMobile %%%%%%%%%%% Gender Male49.0%82.3%62.5%47.5%42.8%50.1%44.9%36.6%56.2%44.3%74.3% Female51.0%17.7%37.5%52.5%57.2%49.9%55.1%63.4%43.8%55.7%25.7% GOP Presidential Primary Poll8/5/15 5. Political Affiliation

AgeRaceGenderMode Total18-2930-4445-6465+White African American Hispanic / LatinoOtherMaleFemaleLandlineMobile %%%%%%%%%%%%% Political AffiliationRepublican83.3%86.3%52.7%81.5%93.1%85.2%35.3%71.1%55.7%80.4%86.1%88.8%53.4% Democrat3.5%4.9%12.4%3.1%1.2%2.7%19.9%7.8%18.9%3.8%3.1%2.3%9.8% Independent13.3%8.8%34.9%15.4%5.7%12.1%44.8%21.1%25.4%15.8%10.8%8.9%36.8% GOP Presidential Primary Poll8/5/15 6. Collection Mode

AgeRaceGender Total18-2930-4445-6465+White African American Hispanic / LatinoOtherMaleFemale %%%%%%%%%%% Mode Landline84.4%24.6%51.6%84.8%100.0%86.9%100.0%55.0%74.6%76.3%92.1% Mobile15.6%75.4%48.4%15.2%0.0%13.1%0.0%45.0%25.4%23.7%7.9%