I riktning mot en hållbar välfärd- Innovation & Agenda 2030

18 januari 2018, Vinnova

Johan HasselCEO of the think tank Global Challenge

Member of the Swedish Government Delegation on the 2030 Agenda

J Rockström, Science, 2017

OECD MEGATRENDS – SOCIAL SUSTAINABILITY- INTEGRATED ANALYSIS HIGHLIGHTING SYNERGIES

THE WATER, ENERGY, FOOD AND CLIMATE NEXUS: TIME

FOR JOINED-UP THINKING

WEALTH,HEALTH, AND KNOWLEDGE:

THE GREAT GLOBAL DIVIDE?

GROWING,MIGRATING, AND

AGEING: THE 21ST CENTURY

HUMAN POPULATION

21st century expects10 billion mark by mid-century

Over 80 of age will account for 10 percent by 2050

90 percent urban growth in Africa and Asia

Severe water stress and food security

Energy consumption will rise

Climate change impact on water and food security

Prosperity gap between rich and poor will shrink

Inequalities will grow, as will poverty rates

Education and skills will be key to improve life chances

Non-communicable diseases expected to increase

GLOBAL UTMANING AS A LEADING THINK TANK FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

WHO: Health in the SDG era

Source: GEOMAR/ ICSU (forthcoming)

Planetary boundaries, societal needs and the economy as a tool

Nordics best positioned to fulfil the SDG

SDG Index & Dashboards. A Global Report. Bertelsmann Stiftung, UN SDSN

Swedens starting position

SDG Index & Dashboards. A Global Report. Bertelsmann Stiftung, UN SDSN

Nuläges analys

• #1 Avskaffa fattigdom• Ökande inkomstskillnadder• Utanförskap utrikesfödda• Inkomstskillnader mln män o kvinnor

• #2 Hunger, livsmedel o nutrition• Livsmedelskonsumtion negativ klimatpåverkan• Ohälsosamma matvanor• Jordbrukets klimataspekter

• #3 Hälsa• Psykisk ohälsa• Livsstila• Global hälsa och SRHR (bistånd)

• #4 Utbildning• Brist på likvärdiga skolor• Kunskapsskillnad mln pojkar o flickor• Global finansieringsgap för utbildn

Nuläges analys

• #5 Jämställdhet• Mäns våld mot kvinnor #MeeToo• Skillnader I lön o chefspositioner• Migration o anhöriginvandring

• #6 Vatten• Skydda ekosystem o vattenstatus• Föreningar• Klimatpåverkan på vattennivåer

• #7 Energi• Från fossilbaserat till förnyelsebart 2045• Transporter• Globalt olja, kol o gas 80%

• #8 Hällbar tillväxt o goda arbetsvillkor• Inkluderande tillväxt, välfärdsmått• Otrygga anställningsförhållanden på förändra arbetsmarknad• Global migration skapar global tvångsarbete

Nuläges analys

• #9 Infrastruktur, industri o innovation• Digitalisering• Cirkulär o biobaserad ekonomi• Global industriutsläpp

• #10 Ojämlikhet• Bostads- och arbetsmarknadssegregation• Ökande inkomst, hälso skillnader• Global fattigdom #MDG

• #11 Hållbara Städer• Bostadsbrist• Långsiktighet i stadsplanering• Resilience

• #12 Konsumtion o produktion• Konsumererar 4,2 planeter• Produktionsutsläpp• CSR o leverantörskedjan I andra länder

Nulägesanalys

• #13 Klimatförändringar• Växthusgaser pga svensk konsumtion• Klimatpåverkan på ekosystem• Klimatförändrings påverkan på konflikter och migration

• #14 Hav• Uppvärmning av hav• Plast• Fiskeri

• #15 Land, jordbruk o skog• Bioekonomi• Biologisk mångfald• Jordbruksmark

• #16 Institutioner• Korruption• Otrygghet• Samhällsstruktur

• #17 Partnerskap

Bridging health, social conditions to climate change

• #1 Poverty + Gender Equality + Climate change• #2 Nutrition + Obesity, ill-health + Agriculture• #3 Health + SRHR + Political illiberal trends• #4 Education + Knowledge + Financing gap • #5 Gender equality + Feminist Foreign Policy + Economic and Social Progress• #6 Water and Sanitation + Gender Equality + Agriculture• #7 Energy + Pollution + Diseases + Food + Health Care Institutions • #8 Lack of rights and Decent Work Decent Life + Unsustainable industry• #9 Social mobility + Transport systems• #10 Inequality + Affording a sustainable lifestyle• #11 Urbanization + Cities 80% of Energy and BNI• #12 Consumption affordability + Production (labour) conditions• #13 Climate Change =) Life Conditions• #14 Ghetto + Cities + Oceans• #15 Ecosystem + Planetary boundaries + Societal boundaries• #16 Health Institutions + Government Institutions + Climate Governance • #17 Local Civil Society + Advocacy + Accountability + Climate Action

Centrala utmaningar

• Demografi och välfärdens utformning

• Migration och integration

• Ojämlikhet (utanförskap)

• Förändrat arbetsliv – kompetensutveckling för digitalisering

• Cirkulär ekonomi och dess betydelse för utveckling av affärsmodeller, näringslivet

• Social innovation och dess betydelse för utveckling av välfärd, offentlig verksamhet

• Drivkrafter för innovation & mål för hållbar utveckling

Avgörande

• Forskning och innovation• Tvärvetenskaplig ansats• Tvärsektoriell samverkan• Systemansats

• Strategiskt nationellt innovations struktur• Behovsstyrd innovation

• =) Vinnova central roll i att styra top-down och att stimulera bottom-up

• Förstärkt internationell konkurrenskraft & sammanhållna samhällen

The task is to:

• provide the government with a proposal of a national action plan / roadmap for Sweden´s implementation

• anchor the SDGs through an inclusive dialog with state agencies, regions, municipalities, the labour market, business, civil society and the research community

• Support information sharing and knowledge exchange between these actors and relevant international actors

The 2030-Agenda Committee

Working through mapping and dialogue

• Where is Sweden standing today in its performance

• How do the goals translate into the Swedish context

• Where is the gaps and conflicts of interests

• How to transform conflicts of interests to synergies

• Provide a roadmap for Swedish implementation

What have we found so far

• Sweden needs a national strategy for sustainable development

• International trends affect: center vs periphery

• Importance of multilevel governance and a cross-sectorial approach

• Data, statistics and research is key for evidence based policy

• The regional and local level have in many ways come further than the national level

• Parts of the business community is in the front and is driving development through innovation and technology

• Civil society is key for public awareness, social innovation and political accountability

• Children and youth – girls and young women – stands in the center of sustainability

Success factors in implementation

• A vision and narrative is needed to be able to mobilize and create ownership

• Two dimensions• vertical: leadership and governance• horizontal: expert knowledge and participation

• Innovation, entrepreneurship and systemic thinking decisive for change

• Data and statistics will be crucial for implementation, evaluation and accountability

Towards a Sustainable Welfare

1. Equal and gender-equal societies2. Sustainable cities3. A circular economy4. Sustainable business models5. Healthy and sustainable food6. Increased knowledge and innovation

Proposals on governance.

Key factor for creating better conditions for longterm and integrated actions• Parliamentary committee • Enhance government organizational capacity • Economic governance for implementation• State agencies responsibility • Regional and local implementation• Communication and public awareness

Thank you

JOHAN HASSEL

johan.hassel@globalutmaning.se

Facebook.com/JohanHassel ● Twitter.com/JohanHassel

Facebook.com/GlobalUtmaning ● Twitter.com/GlobalUt

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