Infrastructure Infrastructure ResearchResearch

Snapshot of the Nation, Focus on the

West

Presented byNorma McOmberOctober 24, 2001

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission

Reasons for ResearchPreparation for Infrastructure

Conferences

Provide Excerpts and Sketches

Tell the Western Infrastructure Story

Figure 2Western Generation Mix Options

(% of Installed MW Capacity)

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

Nuclear/Other

Geothermal

Wind

Coal

Gas

Hydro

Source: Western Governors’ Association, Conceptual Plans for Electricity Transmission

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SP15

PD

CI

IPP DC

Existing SystemTotal Capacity in MW as of 1/1/00

Total MWs = 158,889On Existing Transmission System

BritishColumbia

Alberta

WA Mid-Columbia

E. WA/W. MT

Oregon

MT Colstrip

Snake

ID SEID

JB

Utah

N.NV

WY

Colorado

CHB

SouthernCalifornia

NorthernCalifornia

CentralCA

Mexico

NavGlen Four

Corners

NM

CoalHydroGasWindOther

PaloVerde AZ

Market-place

S.NV

Source: Western Governors’ Association, Conceptual Plans for Electricity Transmission vi

COI

NP15

SP15

PDC

I

IPP DC

1999 & 2010 Peak LoadsAnnual Peak Loads in MW

on Existing Transmission System

Snake

NavGlen

FourCorners

PaloVerde

Market-place

Colstrip

CHB

Snake

JB

Utah

N.NV

CentralCA

BritishColumbia

Alberta

WA

Mid-C

E. WA/W. MT

Oregon

MT

ID

SEID WY

Colorado

Mexico

NorthernCalifornia

SouthernCalifornia

ArizonaNM

S.NV

Source: Western Governors’ Association, Conceptual Plans for Electricity Transmission

NP15

SP15

PDC

I

IPP DC

PaloVerde

Market-place

Alberta

NorthernCalifornia

SouthernCalifornia

FourCorners

WA

NavGlen

Colorado

Colstrip

E. UT/W. CO

SEID

Oregon

JB

E. WA/W. MT

Snake

N.NV

MT

Arizona

BritishColumbia

CentralCA

ID

MX

Mid-Columbia

NM

Utah

S.NV

WY

1999 Exportson Existing Transmission System

Net Exports

Net Imports

COI

Source: Western Governors’ Association, Conceptual Plans for Electricity Transmission

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Av

era

ge

MW

Pacific Northwest Pacific Southwest

Electricity Imports into California

Source: James L. Sweeney, California Electricity: From Opportunity, through Risk, Challenge & Crisis, Towards Blight

Present Status of Plants: Applications Since 1980

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000

Application Year

Tota

l M

W c

ap

ac

ity

Cancelled/ On Hold

Under Review

Construction To Begin Soon

Under Construction

Operational

Source: James L. Sweeney, California Electricity: From Opportunity, through Risk, Challeng & Crisis, Towards Blight

Source: California Energy Commission

http://www.energy.ca.gov/electricity/1999-2001_monthly_off_line.html, cited by James L. Sweeney, California Electricity: From Opportunity, through Risk, Challeng & Crisis, Towards Blight

Statewide Average Daily Forced or Scheduled Megawatts Off Line

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

MW

Reductions In CA Electricity Use,2001 vs 2000

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

PeakMWhr

Source: California Energy Commission cited by James L. Sweeney, California Electricity: From Opportunity, through Risk, Challeng & Crisis, Towards Blight

New Electric Generating Plants Under Construction

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Ju

n-0

1

Au

g-0

1

Oct

-01

Dec

-01

Fe

b-0

2

Ap

r-0

2

Ju

n-0

2

Au

g-0

2

Oct

-02

Dec

-02

Fe

b-0

3

Ap

r-0

3

Ju

n-0

3

Au

g-0

3

Oct

-03

Dec

-03

Fe

b-0

4

Ap

r-0

4

Ju

n-0

4

Au

g-0

4

Oct

-04

Dec

-04

MW New Capacity

PeakersUnits Over 300 MW

Sunrise Power Sutter Power Los Medanos

Huntington Beach Modernization

Delta Energy

La Paloma

Moss Landing

Elk Hills

Pastoria

High Desert Otay Mesa

Contra Costa Repower Mountainview

Three Mountain Power

Blythe Energy Midway-Sunset

Source: James L. Sweeney, California Electricity: From Opportunity, through Risk, Challeng & Crisis, Towards Blight

Snapshot’s National Findings

Research Findings: Electricity

FTC: Additional Benefits

Regional Approaches

Price Responsive Demand

Research Findings: Price-Responsive

DemandUtility offerings

Award

Potential Benefits

Research Findings: Gas

More Cooperation in Reviews

Supply in Washington State

Research Findings: Hydro

Centralized decision

making could help

Research Findings: Oil Pipelines

•Coordinate Reviews

•Land-Use Practices

Research Findings: Oil/Gas, Coal/Rail

Oil and Gas Recovery

Coal/Rail Relationship