STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF INDIAN EDUCATION VERSUS FOREIGN EDUCATION

RAGHVENDRA KUMAR(131206)

VASANTA TANDRA(131222)

A.AVINASH(131248)

SOMYA CHHADHA(131234)

MANIKEERTH(131236)

AGENDA

Executive Summary

Scope of this project

Analysis done Children Out of School, Primary Expenditure per student (% of GDP Per Capita) School enrollment rate Literacy Rate regression analysis Dropout mining

SCOPE OF THE PROJECT

The project has been made using secondary data sources from the Internet.

The following data for 2009, 2010 and 2011 has been collected

Children out of school, primary, (Male and female) Expenditure per student (Primary, Secondary and Tertiary

education) School enrollment Dropout rate from 1991 to 2011 Literacy rate and Gap in literacy from 1981 to 2011

Following analysis has been done Comparison of dropout rates for India, USA and Canada Forecasting of dropout rate for 2014 using the available data Regression Analysis on Literacy rate

CHILDREN OUT OF SCHOOL, PRIMARY

Primary-school-age children who are not enrolled in either primary or secondary schools.

Male

Female

EXPENDITURE PER STUDENT (% OF GDP PER CAPITA)

PRIMARY: Primary is the total public expenditure per student in primary education as a percentage of GDP per capita.

SECONDARY: Secondary is the total public expenditure per student in secondary education as a percentage of GDP per capita.

TERTIARY: Tertiary is the total public expenditure per student in tertiary education as a percentage of GDP per capita.Note: Public expenditure (current and capital) includes government spending on educational institutions (both public and private), education administration as well as subsidies for private entities (students/households and other privates entities).

SCHOOL ENROLLMENT (% NET)

It is the ratio of children of the official secondary school age who are enrolled in secondary school to the population of the official secondary school age.

LITERACY RATELiteracy is the ability to read and write one's own name and further for knowledge and interest, write coherently, and think critically about the written word.

Literacy Rate = No. of Literate persons x 100

Total population

Literacy Rate in India Gap in Literacy Rate (Between Gender)

LITERACY RATE – REGRESSION ANALYSIS

Population and Literacy rate in India have been directly proportional. India’s literacy rate has been growing along with population which is a good signSFM_TERM_PAPER\current work\literacy rate.xlsx

Regression StatisticsMultiple R 0.996455489R Square 0.992923542Adjusted R Square 0.989385312Standard Error 1.384242765Observations 4

ANOVAdf SS MS F Significance F

Regression 1 537.7177439 537.7177439 280.6272518 0.003544511Residual 2 3.832256066 1.916128033Total 3 541.55

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%Intercept 8.571012583 3.068520077 2.793207269 0.107834012 -4.631763703 21.77378887 -4.631763703 21.77378887population 6.44798E-08 3.8491E-09 16.75193278 0.003544511 4.79185E-08 8.10411E-08 4.79185E-08 8.10411E-08

DROPOUT FORECASTING

year count (x) primary (y) x-x' y-y' sq(x-x') (x-x')(y-y')1990-00 1 40.3 -5.5 9.2575 30.25 -50.916252000-01 2 40.7 -4.5 9.6575 20.25 -43.458752001-02 3 39 -3.5 7.9575 12.25 -27.851252002-03 4 34.89 -2.5 3.8475 6.25 -9.618752003-04 5 31.47 -1.5 0.4275 2.25 -0.641252004-05 6 29 -0.5 -2.0425 0.25 1.021252005-06 7 25.67 0.5 -5.3725 0.25 -2.686252006-07 8 25.6 1.5 -5.4425 2.25 -8.163752007-08 9 25.09 2.5 -5.9525 6.25 -14.881252008-09 10 24.93 3.5 -6.1125 12.25 -21.393752009-10 11 28.86 4.5 -2.1825 20.25 -9.821252010-11 12 27 5.5 -4.0425 30.25 -22.23375

mean 6.5 31.0425 sum 143 -210.645

Years Dropout rate2011 - 12 21.467727272012 - 13 19.994685312013 - 14 18.52164336

Forecasting

Dropout rate Forecasting

Drop out means leaving a school or college for practical reasons, necessities, or disillusionment with the system

FINDINGS

Education system needs reforms as Out of School percentage is very high in India.

Dropout rate expected to come down from 27% in 2011 to 18.5% by end of 2014.

India’s literacy rate has been growing along with population which is a good sign

India’s total public expenditure per student in primary education is substantially less, while it is exorbitantly high for tertiary education

Literacy gap between genders has shown a downward trend.

CONCLUSION

Amidst global economic turbulence, India’s sustenance and growth can be catalyzed by increased investment in education sector.

While literacy rate has increased to 74%, India should target improving the graduate rate which is still at 5%.

India has made “rapid advances” in cutting down the numbers of school drop outs from 41% in 1990 to projected 18. 5% in 2014.

Thank You