india :roads sector report_august 2013

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India has the second largest road network in the world, spanning a total of 4.7 million kilometres. Roads in India bear about 85 per cent of the country's passenger traffic and 60 per cent of freight traffic. The value of total roads and bridges infrastructure is expected to touch US$ 19.2 billion by 2017. The key factors responsible for driving demand in the sector have been the rise in two-wheeler and four-wheeler vehicles and increasing freight traffic. Rising per-capita incomes and a growing middle class coupled with easier access to finance and a wider price range of vehicles have boosted car sales. During 2007-14, the sales of passenger and commercial vehicles are expected to increase at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15 and 13.5 per cent to touch 3.5 and 0.85 million respectively. Infrastructure spending by the government is expected to touch US$ 1 trillion in the next Five-Year Plan (FY13-17). To promote the sector, the government has allowed 100 per cent foreign direct investment (FDI) under the automatic route. Development of national highways through Public-Private Partnership (PPP) is expected to remain the key focus area for the government. During the next five years, investments through PPP are expected to be over USD41 billion for national highways and around USD10 billion for state highways.

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Page 1: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013
Page 2: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013
Page 3: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Second largest road

network

• India has the second largest road network in the world, spanning a total of 4.7 million

kilometres. This is used to transport over 60 per cent of all goods in the country and 85 per

cent of total passenger traffic

Rising investments in

road sector • The Planning Commission of India aims to spend nearly 20 per cent of the total

investment of USD1 trillion during the 12th Five Year Plan (2012–17) to develop roads

Growing private sector

involvement • The private sector is emerging as a key player in the development of road infrastructure in

India

Rapid growth in national

highways • National highways are expected to reach 85,000 kilometres by the end of the 12th Five

Year Plan from 71,772 kilometres currently

Source: Planning Commission, Aranca Research

Page 4: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

• The engineering sector is delicensed; 100 per cent FDI is allowed in the sector

• Due to policy support, there was cumulative FDI of USD14.0 billion into the sector over April 2000 – February 2012, making up 8.6 per cent of total FDI into the country in that period

Growing demand

Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Planning Commission, Business Monitor International, Aranca Research

Notes: NHAI - National Highways Authority of India, MoRTH - Ministry of Road Transport and Highways

Robust demand

• Greater connectivity between different cities, towns and villages has led to increased road traffic over the years

• Growth in automobiles and freight movement commands a better road network in India

Attractive opportunities

• Roads and bridge infrastructure industry to be worth USD21 billion by FY17

• Approximately 9,500 kilometres of projects are expected to be awarded by NHAI during 2012–13

Policy support

• Road infrastructure is a key government priority; the sector has received strong budgetary support over the years

• Financial institutions have received government approval to raise money through tax-free bonds

Increasing investments

• USD1 trillion worth of expenditure on infrastructure is estimated over FY13–17

• Government of India aims to develop a total of 66,117 kilometres of roads

• Growing participation of private sector through Public-Private Partnership (PPP)

2009

Roads &

bridges

infrastructure

value:

USD6.9

billion

FY17E

Roads &

bridges

infrastructure

value:

USD19.2

billion

Advantage

India

Page 5: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Source: Ministry of Road, Transport and Highways

(MoRTH) – Annual Report 2012-13, Aranca Research

Roads

(Total length: 4.7 million Kms)

State Highways National Highways District and Rural

Roads

Total Length: 155,716

kilometres

Share: 3.3 per cent of

the total roads in India

Total Length: 79,116

kilometres

Share: 1.7 per cent of

the total roads in India

Total Length: 44,55,010

kilometres

Share: 95.0 per cent of

the total roads in India

Page 6: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

India has the second largest road network in the world (4.7 million kilometres)

Roads bear about 85 per cent of the country’s passenger traffic and 60 per cent of freight traffic

Length of national

highways (kilometres)

Passenger vehicle sales

(Million)

NHDP toll collection

(USD million)

Highway projects

awarded (kilometres) by

NHAI

Share of infrastructure in

total bank funding (%) 2.3

677

64.5

0.71

58,112

14.4

6,491

435*

3.1

71,772

FY03

FY12

Source: National Highway Authority of India (NHAI), National Highway Builders Foundation, ICRA Ltd, Reserve Bank of India (RBI)

Notes: FY - Indian Financial Year (April-March), NHDP - National Highway Development Project, Aranca Research; Note: * - Data for FY11

Page 7: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Roads/ bridges infrastructure value in India

(USD billion)

The value of total roads and bridges infrastructure in India is

expected to grow at a CAGR of 17.4 per cent over FY12-17

to reach USD19 billion

Currently, the Government of India aims to develop a total

of 66,117 kilometres of roads under various programmes

such as NHDP, SARDP-NE and LWE

Of the total roads, 20,945 kilometres have been developed,

while a major share of the remaining is estimated to be

completed by the end of the 12th Five Year Plan

Source: Business Monitor International (BMI), Aranca Research

Note: CAGR - Compounded Annual Growth Rate, FY - Indian

Financial Year (April - March), F - Stands for forecast,

NHDP - National Highway Development Project, SARDP-NE:

Special Accelerated Road Development Programme for the North

Eastern Region and LWE - Left Wing Extremism Programme

6.9 6.8 8.3 8.6 8.6

11.0

13.4

16.1

19.2

FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12F FY13F FY14F FY15F FY16F FY17F

CAGR: 13.6%

Page 8: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Lane composition of national highways (FY13) National highways account for 1.7 per cent of the total road

network in India

Under the 12th Five Year Plan (FY13–17), the government

plans to develop 20 kilometres of national highways per

day, which implies a total development of 7,300 kilometres

per year

Double-lane highways constitute the largest share of

highways in India (40,658 kilometres)

Double-lane highways are followed by single-lane (19,330

kilometres) and multi-lane (19,128 kilometres) highways

National highways are expected to reach 85,000 kilometres

by the end of the 12th Five Year Plan from 71,772 kilometres

currently

Source: MoRTH, Aranca Research

24.4%

51.4%

24.2% Single lane

Double lane

Four/ Six/ EightLane

Page 9: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

The National Highway Authority of India (NHAI) is a government agency responsible for construction, maintenance and

development of highways

The Government of India has formulated a seven-phase programme known as ‘National Highway Development Project

(NHDP)’, vested with NHAI, for the development of national highways in the country

Porbandar

Mumbai

Kanyakumari

Chennai

Kolkata

Silchar

Delhi

Srinagar

North South –

East West

Corridor

Golden Quadrilateral

NHAI

Golden Quadrilateral (GQ): It is the highway network that connects four major

metropolises

North South & East West Corridor (NS – EW NHDP Phase I and II): It connects the

country’s extreme ends

NHDP Phase III to VII: Construction and improvement of roads in the remaining

urban and suburban regions

Source: NHAI, Aranca Research

Page 10: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

NHDP Phase Project description Total length

(Kms) Cost Development Model

Phase I

Development of Golden Quadrilateral, North

South & East West (NS-EW) corridor, port

connectivity and other national highway 7,522 USD7.0 billion

EPC (Engineering-

Procurement and

Construction)

Phase II Development of North South & East West

(NS-EW) corridor and other national highway 6,647 USD7.2 billion EPC

Phase III Development of Four lane national highways 12,109 USD18.5 billion PPP (Build-Operate-

Transfer)

Phase IV Upgradation of single lane to two-lane 20,000 - PPP

Source: NHAI, Aranca Research

Page 11: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

NHDP Phase Project description Total length

(Kms) Cost Development Model

Phase V Upgradation of four-lane highways to

six-lane and port connectivity 6,500 USD9.3 billion PPP

Phase VI Development of Expressway 1,000 USD3.8 billion PPP-(Design-Build-

Finance-Operate)

Phase VII Development of ring roads, bypasses and

flyovers 700 USD4.2 billion

PPP (Build-Operate-

Transfer)

Source: NHAI, Aranca Research

Page 12: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

The Special Accelerated Road Development Programme for the North Eastern region (SARDP-NE) is aimed at developing

road connectivity between remote areas in the North Eastern region with state capitals and district headquarters

SARDP-NE is vested with the development of double-/four-lane national highways of about 4798 kilometres and double-

laning/improving about 5343 kilometres of state roads

Implementation of the road development programme will facilitate connectivity of 88 district headquarters in North Eastern

states to the nearest national highways

The project will be undertaken in three phases:

Phase Project description Total length

(Kms)

Date of

Completion

A Improvement of national highways 2,041

March 2015 Improvement of state roads 2,058

B

Development of double-lane of national highways 1,285

Not Disclosed

Double-laning and improvement of state roads 2,438

Arunachal Pradesh package

of roads and highways Development of roads 2,319 March 2017

Source: NHAI, MoRTH, PPPinIndia, Aranca Research

Page 13: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Total length (Kms) Total cost (USD billion)

Approved 5,477 USD1.6

Awarded 5,049 USD1.5

Completed (By December 2012) 1,960 USD0.5

The government has approved a Road Requirement Plan (RRP) for the development of 1126 kilometres of national highways

and 4351 kilometres of state roads in Left Wing Extremism (LWE) affected districts

The project has been implemented in the states of Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh,

Maharashtra, Odisha and Uttar Pradesh for a total value of USD1.6 billion

The project will be vested with the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways (MoRTH) and is scheduled to be completed by

FY15

Source: NHAI, MoRTH, PPPinIndia, Aranca Research

Page 14: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

During 2011, India had 758 PPP projects across various sectors, of which 405 are dedicated towards roads and highways

The BOT model’s share in total highway projects has increased sharply over the years; it rose to 31 per cent in FY10 from

10 per cent in FY05

Total PPP projects in India (2011) Composition of total highway projects awarded

53%

47%

Roads

Others

8% 13% 15% 19% 22% 23%

9% 12% 12% 20% 20%

27%

4% 7% 9% 9% 17%

53%

FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10

BOT SPV Public Funded

Source: MoRTH, Aranca Research

Page 15: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Awards won by BOT private players Road construction projects awarded to BOT companies

went up at a CAGR of 62 per cent over FY05-12 to about

6,067 kilometres

In FY12, highway projects awarded to private companies

rose to 6,067 kilometres

209 369 464 470

877

2,677

6,144 6,067

FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

CAGR: 61.8%

Source: NHAI, Aranca Research

Page 16: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Source: Aranca Research

Notes: NH – National Highway

Until 2005, the road construction market was dominated by public sector companies

However, the emergence of private players over the last decade has made the road construction market fragmented and

competitive; the players bidding for projects also vary by size

Major private sector players

Major projects: Mumbai–Pune BOT Project, Pune–Nashik BOT

Project, Bharuch–Surat BOT Project, Thane–Bhiwandi by-pass

Four-Lane Project

Major projects: North Karnataka Expressway, West Gujarat

Expressway, Noida Toll Bridge

Major projects: NH6 Dhankuni to Kharagpur, Sambalpur Baragarh,

NH4 Belgaum Dharwad

Major projects: Bandra–Worli Sea Link, Badarpur Elevated

Highway Project

Major projects: Tuni–Ankapalli Highway, Tambaram–Tindivanam

Highway, Ambala–Chandigarh Highway

Page 17: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca Research

Notes: FDI - Foreign Direct Investment

Increasing private

sector participation

• Government policy to increase private sector participation has proved to be a boon to the

infrastructure industry with a large number of private players entering the business through

the Public Private Partnership (PPP) model

• The type of PPP models used in road projects are Build Operate Transfer (BOT ) toll and

BOT annuity

Partnerships between

Indian and foreign firms

• With the Government of India permitting 100 per cent FDI in the road sector, most foreign

companies have formed partnerships with Indian players to participate in the sector’s

growth story

India’s renewed focus

on infrastructure

• Infrastructure is the key to supporting double-digit GDP growth in India during the medium-

to long-term

• The government has hence made infrastructure development a key policy issue and plans

to spend USD1.0 trillion during FY13-17 on the sector

Success of India’s Five

Year plans

• Through Five-Year Plans, India has increased the length of national highways from 21,378

kilometres during the late 1940s to 71,772 kilometres by the end of the 11th Five-Year Plan

(FY08-12)

• The total length of national highways is expected to touch 85,000 kilometres by the end of

12th Five Year Plan

Page 18: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Source: Aranca Research

Policy support

Greater government focus on

infrastructure

Standardised processes for

bidding and tolling; clear policy framework

Tax sops, FDI, FII encouragement

Rise in two-wheeler and four-wheeler

vehicles

Increasing investments

NHAI implementing one of the largest

road projects

Rising private sector participation

Strong projected demand making returns attractive

Inviting Resulting in

Increasing freight traffic

Strong trade and tourist flows

between states

Growing demand

Page 19: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Higher individual discretionary spending has led to increasing spending on cars, motorbikes and scooters

Growing domestic trade flows have led to rising commercial vehicles and freight movement

Road’s traffic share of the total traffic in India has grown from 13.8 per cent to 65 per cent in freight traffic and from 15.4

per cent to 90 per cent in passenger traffic from 1951 to 2011

Higher road traffic

Rising incomes leading to

increasing number of vehicle owners

Growing movement of goods within the

country due to economic integration

Better quality roads makes road travel cheaper and safer

Increasing roadways leading to greater accessibility between different

cities/towns/villages

Growth in small and medium enterprises

in India

Source: MoRTH, World Bank, Aranca Research

Page 20: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Trends in passenger vehicle sales (in million)

Total auto sales across categories are estimated to rise 6-8 per cent in FY14

Sales of passenger vehicles are expected to increase at a CAGR of 15.0 per cent to 3.5 million during FY07-14

Sales of commercial vehicles are expected to rise at a CAGR of 13.5 per cent to 8,52,000 during FY07-14

Rising per-capita income and growing middle class coupled with easier access to finance and a wider price range of

vehicles have led boosted car sales

Trends in commercial vehicle sales (in ’000)

Source: SIAM, Aranca Research

1.3 1.6

1.8

2.4

3.0 3.1 3.2

3.5

FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14

CAGR: 15.0%

351

468 494 533

676

800 783

852

FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14

CAGR: 13.5%

Page 21: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Length of National Highway added in the various

Five-Year Plans (kilometres)

Road addition in the 3rd Five Year Plan was only 179

kilometres this increased to 10,228 kilometres in the 11th

Plan

The 12th Five Year Plan (FY13-17) is estimated to carry the

momentum forward with projects to the tune of 36,500

kilometres

- 1,514 179

4,819

158

2,867

1,902 609

23,814

9,008 10,228

36,500

1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th*

Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca Research

Note: * - Estimated

Page 22: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Share of infrastructure in total bank funding Infrastructure is a priority of the government’s economic

policy; funding for the sector from both private and public

sectors is set to increase sharply in the near term

Infrastructure’s total share in bank funding rose from 2.3 per

cent in 2002 to about 14.4 per cent in 2012

2.3%

3.5%

4.2%

6.9%

7.5%

7.3%

8.5% 9.5%

11.5%

14.0% 14.4%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012*

Source: RBI, ICRA Limited, Aranca Research

Note: 2012* - March 2012

Page 23: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Combined fiscal deficit of the centre and state

governments (% of GDP)

The government has been eager to involve private sector

funding for infrastructure projects and thereby reduce

strains on the budget

The PPP model has emerged as the favoured one for

private sector participation in roads projects

Notes: PPP - Public Private Partnership, NHDP - National Highway

Development Project, BOT - Build Operate Transfer

9.9% 9.6%

8.5%

7.2%

6.5%

5.4%

4.1%

8.5%

9.5%

7.3%

8.2%

7.1%

FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E

Source: RBI, Morgan Stanley, Aranca Research

E - Estimate

Page 24: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

% of BOT share in different phases of NHDP Phase I and Phase II of NHDP were mostly developed by

public funds with the BOT share at 14.8 per cent and 28.6

per cent respectively

Public Private Partnership (PPP) model will be the favoured

way of executing the remaining NHDP phases

14.8%

29.6%

95.9%

83.1%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

Phase I

Phase II

Phase III

Phase IV

Phase V

Phase VI

Phase VII

Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca Research

Note: NHDP - National Highway Development Phase,

BOT - Build Operate Transfer

Page 25: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Source: Aranca Research,

Notes: FDI - Foreign Direct Investment, FII - Foreign Institutional Investors

Infrastructure is a key

government priority

• Infrastructure investment is a major focus area for the government

• The Government targeted USD500 billion worth of spending on infrastructure in the 11th

Five-Year Plan (FY08-12); the amount is set to double to USD1 trillion in the 12th Five

Year Plan (FY13-17)

Support from the Union

Budget

• The FII investment limit in infrastructure corporate bonds was raised from USD5 billion to

USD25 billion in the Union Budget

• An increase in road development fund was also announced

• The Indian government plans to establish a Road Regulator Authority in FY14 to address

financial issues, construction risk and contract management in the road sector

Rural development

• The Prime Minister’s Gram Sadak Yojana (PMGSY) is a scheme for development of rural

roads in India

• The Construction of Rural Roads Project (CRRP) is another initiative focused on rural

development

Taxes and other sops

• Companies enjoy 100 per cent tax exemption in road projects for five years and 30 per

cent relief for the next five years

• The companies are also granted a capital of up to 40 per cent of the total project cost to

enhance viability

Page 26: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Issue of tax-free

infrastructure bonds

• Infrastructure finance companies, such as India Infrastructure Finance Corporation

(IIFCL), National Highways Authority of India (NHAI), Housing and Urban Development

Corp (HUDCO), Power Finance Corporation (PFC) and India Railway Finance Corporation

(IRFC), have been allowed to issue tax-free bonds for a total value of USD9.2 billion for

FY14

• Institutions were allowed to raise tax-free bonds of about USD5.5 billion in FY12 and up to

USD4.6 billion in FY13

Encouragement of

Infrastructure Debt

Funds (IDFs)

• The Government of India has set up the India Infrastructure Finance Company (IIFCL) to

provide long-term funding for infrastructure projects

• Interest payments on borrowings for infrastructure are now subject to a lower withholding

tax of 5 per cent vis-à-vis 20 per cent earlier

• IDF income is exempt from income tax

Central Road Fund

(CRF)

• The Central Road Fund (CRF) assists the state government and union territories in the

development of state roads

• For FY13, USD3.6 billion was allocated for the development of roads

Page 27: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Project Length

(kilometre)

Cost (USD

million) Company

Four Laning of Coimbatore-Mettupalayam 67 123 Transstroy - OJSC Consortium

Four Laning of Walayar -Vadakkancherry section 54 142 KNR Constructions Ltd

Walajapet-Poonamalee 93 268 ESSEL Infra Projects Ltd

2-Laning with paved shoulder of Raebareli to Jaunpur 166 118 PNC Infratech Ltd

Six- Laning of Anandapuram-Visakapatnam-Anakapalli 58 174 Transstroy (India) Ltd - OJSC Corporation

Six-Laning of Gundugolanu Rajamundry 120 336 IVRCL Assests & Holding Limited

Vijayawada-Gundugolanu Section 103.6 351 Gammon Infrastructure Proj

Six Laning of Kishangarh – Udaipur Ahmedabad 556 1,122 GMR Infrastructure Ltd

Etawah -Chakeri (Kanpur) 160 328 Oriental Structural Engineers Ltd

Agra-Etawah Bypass 125 251 Ramky Infrastructure Ltd

Four Laning of Kiratpur-Ner Chowk Section 84 400 IL & FS Transportation Networks Ltd

Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca Research

Notes: BOT - Build Operate Transfer, UB - Union Budget

Page 28: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

Outlay for roads under respective Union Budgets

(USD billion)

Roadways has been a key focus area of budget allocations

over the years

For FY14, the Planning Commission has provided an outlay

of USD6.9 billion for the road sector

The budget outlay for road transport and highways

increased at a robust CAGR of 19.4 per cent between FY09

and FY14

In FY14, the government plans to improve about 8,270

kilometers of the National Highways along with

construction/rehabilitation of 100 bridges and four bypasses

for an estimated cost of USD4.3 billion

2.8

3.5

3.2

5.6 6.4

6.9

FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14

Source: Respective Union Budgets, Aranca Research

Note: CAGR - Cumulative Annual Growth Rate

CAGR: 19.8%

Page 29: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Toll revenue: IRB Infrastructure Limited

(USD million)

IRB Infrastructure is one of India’s leading BOT operators

with a built-length of around 8,000 lane kilometres

So far, the company has undertaken BOT projects

(completed/under execution) worth USD3.5 billion

The company has 19 BOT projects currently, of which three

are complete, nine operational, and seven under

construction

As on 31 December 2012, IRB Infrastructure’s order

backlog stood at about USD1.7 billion

Source: Company Annual Report, Aranca Research

Notes: CAGR - Compounded Annual Growth Rate,

BOT - Build Operate Transfer

77

96

176

201

256

FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

CAGR: 35.0%

Page 30: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Won three road

projects worth

USD411 million

Won first ultra-mega

NHAI road project

worth USD750 million

Acquired MVR

Infrastructure &

Tollways Pvt Ltd 2010

2011

2012

2013

Signed contract with

NHAI for four-laning

of NH-17 from Goa/

Karnataka to

Kundapur

Source: Company Annual Report, Aranca Research

Page 31: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Revenue trends: IL&FS Transportation

Networks Limited (USD million)

ITNL has the largest BOT road asset portfolio (in terms of

lane kilometres) in India, with presence in 16 states

The company has 11,859 lane kilometres under its road

asset portfolio; this comprises 28 projects

ITNL has 24 PPP projects currently, of which 11 are

complete and 13 under construction

Source: Company Annual Report, Aranca Research

Notes: CAGR - Compounded Annual Growth Rate,

BOT - Build Operate Transfer, Km - Kilometers

255

502

843

1,168

FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

CAGR: 66.1%

Page 32: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Was awarded

order for 1,086 lane

kilometres for a

total value of

USD1.5 billion

Was awarded order

for 1,129 lane

kilometres for a total

value of USD1.5

billion

Four-laning of Beawer-

Gomti Road Project

2010

2011

2012

2013

Won USD312 million

contract for six-laning

Barwa-Adda-

Panagarh sector of

National Highway 2

Source: Company Annual Report, Aranca Research

Page 33: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Revenue trends: Noida Toll Bridge

(USD million)

Infrastructure Leasing and Financial Services Ltd (IL&FS)

promoted National Toll Bridge Company Limited (NTBCL)

as a special purpose vehicle (SPV) for the development of

the 22-km Delhi-Noida Direct (DND) flyway on a Build Own

Operate Transfer (BOOT) basis

Incorporated in Uttar Pradesh, India in 1996, NTBCL is a

publicly listed company and operates only in India

Source: Company Annual Report, Aranca Research

SALIENT FEATURES

Eight-lane dual carriageway connecting Noida and Delhi

One major and three minor bridges over Yamuna river

Eight-lane approach road on embankment

31-lane, 200m-wide, fully computerised toll plaza

Extensive tree planting and landscaping

Noise barriers and river training works

10.4

16.6 17.2

17.9 18.9

19.9

FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

CAGR: 13.9%

Page 34: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Projects to be awarded (in kilometres)

National Highway Authority of India (NHAI) aims to award 2500 kilometres of projects in FY14 vis-à-vis 787 kilometres

during the last fiscal

Currently, around 23,120 kilometres of NHDP projects are in the pipeline, with the highest share for NHDP IV (16,632

kilometres)

Projects to be awarded (in kilometres) by NHDP phases

Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca Research

Note: NHDP stands for National Highways Development Project

6,491

787

2,500

3,899

FY12 FY13E FY14E FY15E

420

1,840

16,682

2,519

1,000 659

NS - EWPh. I & II

NHDP III NHDP IV NHDP V NHDP VI NHDP VII

Page 35: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

PPP opportunity over the next five years Development of national highways through Public-Private

Partnership (PPP) is expected to remain the key focus area

for the government

During the next five years, investments through PPP are

expected to be over USD41 billion for national highways

and around USD10 billion for state highways

Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca Research

USD 41.2 billion

USD 9.9 billion

National Highways State Highways

Page 36: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Projected growth of vehicles In India, roads remain the most important means of

transport; it accounts for 85 per cent of passenger traffic and

65 per cent of freight traffic

Passenger cars are expected to grow at a CAGR of 15 per

cent to 677 millions in FY15 and LCV to grow at a CAGR of

21 per cent over FY10-15 to 3 million in FY15

Source: SIAM Report, Aranca Research

Notes: PC - Passenger Cars, LCV - Light Commercial

Vehicles, SIAM - Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers

0

150

300

450

600

750

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

FY10 FY11E FY12E FY13E FY14E FY15E

LCV units in 000s (right axis) PC units millions (left axis)

Page 37: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Summary of foreign contract awards Foreign contractors were awarded projects worth about

USD1.69 billion during 1999-2011; Malaysian and Russian*

contractors have topped the foreign contractors list

About 55 per cent of all such contracts were funded via

BOT, BOT-Annuity and BOT-SPV routes

A joint venture between SVBTG Consortium (USA) and

Stradcom Corp (Philippines) had won the largest contract

during that period (project cost of USD134 million)

Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca Research

Note: BOT - Build operate transfer,

* - Russian joint venture with Indian firm

688

339

199

137 134 101

48 41

568

429

105 149

6

107

45 51

Ma

laysia

n

Russia

*

Chin

a

Ru

ssia

n

US

A

Ta

iwan

S.

Kore

an

Indo

nesia

n

Project Cost (USD mn) Length (kms)

Page 38: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Union Budget, Aranca Research

Notes: FDI - Foreign Direct Investment, FII - Foreign Institutional Investor; EPC - Engineering, Procurement and

Construction; ECB - External Commercial Borrowings; WHT - Withholding Tax; DDT - Dividend Distribution Tax

Significant potential for

construction & EPC

companies

• About two-thirds of NHDP road

projects (ex-phase IV) are yet

to be awarded, thereby offering

a huge opportunity for private

players over the next five

years.

• For the 12th Five Year Plan, the

government targets to develop

National Highways at the rate

of 20 km per day

• India’s construction sector is

expected to grow at about 35

per cent over FY09-13

Strong focus on infrastructure

• Infrastructure spending is

expected to touch USD1 trillion

in the next Five-Year Plan

(FY13-17)

• Union Budget FY14 allows

financial institutions to raise

USD9.2 billion from tax-free

bonds

• The budget also proposed key

steps such as relaxing ECB

guidelines, removal of

cascading effect of DDT and

reductions in WHT

Major government initiatives

to boost private and foreign

investment

• Increased FII limit in

infrastructure corporate bonds

from USD5 billion to USD25

billion in FY12 is a step in the

right direction

• Cumulative FDI inflow for

FY2000–13 (February) in

construction development and

infrastructure sector (including

roads and highways) stood at

USD24.1 billion

Page 39: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Ministry of Roads Transport and Highways Transport Bhavan

1, Parliament Street

New Delhi –110001

Phone: 91-11-23719097, 23719955

E-mail: [email protected]

National Highway Authority of India G 5 and 6, Sector 10, Dwarka

New Delhi – 110 075

Phone: 91-11-25074100, 25074200

Fax: 91-11-25093507, 25093514

Indian Roads Congress Sector 6, (Near RBI Quarters), RK Puram, New Delhi – 110022

Phone: 91-11-26185303

Secretariat: 91-11-26716778, 26183669, 26185273, 26185315,

26185319

Fax: 91-11-26183669

E-mail: [email protected]

Page 40: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

BOT: Build Operate Transfer

CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

EPC: Engineering, procurement and construction

FDI: Foreign Direct Investment

FY: Indian Financial year (April to March) – So FY10 implies April 2009

to March 2010

GOI: Government of India

INR: Indian Rupee

LCV: Light Commercial Vehicles

MoRTH: Ministry of Roads Transport and Highways

NH: National Highway

NHAI: National Highway Authority of India

Page 41: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

NHDP: National Highway Development Project

USD: US Dollar – Conversion rate used: USD1= INR54.43

Page 42: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

Year INR equivalent of one US$

2004-05 44.95

2005-06 44.28

2006-07 45.28

2007-08 40.24

2008-09 45.91

2009-10 47.41

2010-11 45.57

2011-12 47.94

2012-13 54.31

Exchange Rates (Fiscal Year)

Year INR equivalent of one US$

2005 45.55

2006 44.34

2007 39.45

2008 49.21

2009 46.76

2010 45.32

2011 45.64

2012 54.69

2013 54.45

Exchange Rates (Calendar Year)

Average of the year

Page 43: India :Roads Sector Report_August 2013

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