increasing the sample: how can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

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Increasing the sample: How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform? 2012 National Conference on Health Statistics Monitoring Health Care Reform through Provider-based Surveys: New Initiatives from the NAMCS & NHAMCS August 8, 2012 Farida A. Bhuiya, MPH National Center for Health Statistics Ambulatory and Hospital Care Statistics Branch

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Increasing the sample: How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?. 2012 National Conference on Health Statistics Monitoring Health Care Reform through Provider-based Surveys: New Initiatives from the NAMCS & NHAMCS August 8, 2012 Farida A. Bhuiya, MPH - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

Increasing the sample: How can state-based estimates help

monitor healthcare reform?

2012 National Conference on Health StatisticsMonitoring Health Care Reform through Provider-

based Surveys: New Initiatives from the NAMCS & NHAMCS

August 8, 2012

Farida A. Bhuiya, MPHNational Center for Health Statistics

Ambulatory and Hospital Care Statistics Branch

Page 2: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

Overview• Survey goals• NHAMCS

– Background– State-based ED estimates– Data uses

• NAMCS– Background– State-based physician estimates– Data Uses

• Summary

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Page 3: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

3

Survey Goals

• Produce national statistics on ambulatory care utilization

• Provide data for health policy formulation

• Provide comparative data for medical practice management

Page 4: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

Ability to monitor changes in …

• The performance of the U.S. health care system

• Care for the rapidly aging population• Changes in health insurance coverage• The introduction of new medical

technologies• The adoption of electronic health records

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Page 5: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey

(NHAMCS)

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Page 6: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

NHAMCS History

• 1992-present• Patient visits to:

• Emergency departments (EDs) • Outpatient departments (OPDs) • Ambulatory surgery locations (ASLs)

• 600 hospitals and 246 freestanding ASCs distributed over a 16-month panel– Non-institutional general and short-stay– Non Federal, military, or Veterans Administration facilities

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Page 7: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

NHAMCS & Healthcare Reform

• Sponsor – DHHS, Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response

• Purpose – To monitor role of ED care as it relates to health care reform– Establish baseline of information about the status

of ED care– Support state activities to monitor the effects of the

expansion of Medicaid programs on ED crowding

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Page 8: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

Obtaining State Estimates• Increase sample to add 167 hospitals• Collect data from the ED of new hospitals• Focus on the 5 most populous states:

• California• Florida• Illinois• New York• Texas

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Page 9: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

Specific Measures

1. Length of visit: Median length of visit among all patients seen in ED

2. Visits per population: Number of visits per population in each state

3. Wait time: Among patients who are seen by a physician, the median wait time to

see a physician

4. Visits by payer: Number of visits by payer (private, Medicare, Medicaid, uninsured)

5. Admission: Median length of visit for patients admitted to the hospital through the ED

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Page 10: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

Examples of NHAMCS Estimates

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Page 11: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

Figure 1. Annual number of ED visits, with 95% confidence intervals: United States, 1997-2007

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1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 20070

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

94.9100.4 102.8

108.0 107.5110.2

113.9 110.2115.3 119.2 116.8

Year

Num

ber o

f vis

its

Source: CDC/NCHS, National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey

Page 12: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

Figure 2. Average time spent waiting to be seen at ED: United States, 1999-2008

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1999 2000 2001* 2002* 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 20080

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Year

Tim

e (m

inut

es)

*Data not available

SOURCE: National Center for Health Statistics, National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey, 1999-2008.

Page 13: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

Figure 3. Distribution of ambulatory visits by source of payment: United States, 2009

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Private insurance

Medicaid or CHIP

Medicare Medicare and Med-

icaid

No in-surance

Other Unknown or blank

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

52,528

39,860

23,076

4,859

21,151

6,1369,123

Source of Payment

Num

ber o

f Vis

its (t

hous

ands

)

Source: National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey, 2009

Page 14: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

Figure 4. Emergency department strategies to reduce crowding: United States, 2007

Citation: McCaig LF et al. “Estimates of Emergency Department Capacity: United States, 2007, NCHS Health E-Stat 2009, http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/hestat/ed_capacity/ED_capacity.htm

Source: National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey, 2007

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Page 15: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey

(NAMCS)

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Page 16: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

NAMCS History

• 1973-present

• Patient visits to:• Office-based physicians • Community health centers (CHCs)

• Sample• 3,000 non-federal office-based physicians• 104 community health centers (CHCs)

• With up to 3 physicians and mid-level providers within each

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Page 17: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

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NAMCS & Healthcare Reform

• Sponsor – CDC– Funding from Patient Protection and Affordable

Care Act 2010

• Purpose– Monitor the effect of expanded health coverage on

the use of appropriate preventive services – Allow states to compare visits to their physician

offices and CHCs against national estimates

Page 18: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

Obtaining State Estimates

• State-based estimates for the 34 most populous states

• Increase sample size– Physicians - ~20,000 (5-fold increase)– CHCs - ~2,000 service delivery sites

• ~6,000 providers

• Modify NAMCS sampling methodology– Stratified list sample

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Page 19: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

State-based Estimates

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Alaska Iowa Missouri Pennsylvania

Alabama Illinois Mississippi South Carolina

Arkansas Indiana North Carolina Tennessee

Arizona Kansas New Jersey Texas

California Kentucky New York Utah

Colorado Massachusetts Ohio Virginia

Connecticut Maryland Oklahoma Washington

Florida Michigan Oregon Wisconsin

Georgia Minnesota

Page 20: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

Specific Measures

• Payment status • Reason for visit• Continuity of care• Services/tests ordered or performed• Medications prescribed

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Page 21: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

Examples of NAMCS Estimates

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Page 22: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

Figure 5. Expected sources of payment at physician office visits: United States, 2009

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64.0

25.3

13.5

3.98.8

Private InsuranceMedicareMedicaid or CHIPNo insuranceOther/Unknown/Blank

Page 23: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

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Figure 6. Major reason for CHC visit by type of provider: United States, 2006-2008

Nurse midwife

Nurse practitioner

Physician assis-tant

Physician

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

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3

1

1

82

38

17

30

21

21

36

31

151

38

45

36

New problem Chronic problem Preventive care Other or unknown

Percent of visitsNOTE: Data are from the 2006-08 NAMCS. 1 Estimate does not meet standard of reliability or precision.

Page 24: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

Table 1. Selected services ordered or provided by primary care setting: United States, 2008

Services ordered or provided

Physician offices Community health centers

Outpatient departments

  Age-adjusted percentage of visitsDrug or immunization

mentioned80 83 81

Lab and other tests 50 49 52

Health education service

39 40 46

Any imaging 14 11 18

Nonmedication treatment

10 10 16

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SOURCES: CDC/NCHS, National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey and National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey.

Page 25: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

Summary

• NHAMCS estimates will allow states to monitor the effects of expansion of Medicaid programs on crowding in emergency departments

• NAMCS estimates will allow CDC and its state health department partners to monitor the effect of expanded health coverage on the use of appropriate preventive services.

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Page 26: Increasing the sample:  How can state-based estimates help monitor healthcare reform?

Contact Information

Farida A. Bhuiya, MPHNational Center for Health StatisticsAmbulatory & Hospital Care Statistics Branch3311 Toledo Road, Room 3329Hyattsville, Maryland 20782

Phone: 301-458-4801

Email: [email protected]

NAMCS & NHAMCS website: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/ahcd.htm

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