income distribution in the european union silvia avram, horacio levy, alari paulus, holly sutherland...
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Income Distribution in the European Union
Silvia Avram, Horacio Levy, Alari Paulus, Holly Sutherland
Bucharest, 10th November 2012
Redistributive effect of the tax benefit systems in the EU Overall Various policy instruments
Are some instruments more effective at redistributing?
Relationship between TB/ instrument size & redistributive effect
Question
Previous work on income distribution: Macro level indicators (Brady, 1995;
Castles and Mitchell, 1992; Esping-Andersen, 1990; Korpi 1989; Korpi 1998)
Model families (Wagstaff and van Doorslaer, 2001)
Luxembourg Income Study ( Atkinson et al., 1995; OECD, 2011)
EU-SILC (Fuest et al, 2010)
Motivation (I)
Our approach micro-simulation Micro level analysis Focus on the distribution of incomes in the entire
population capturing “full” distributions not just description of “types”
Own classification of tax-benefit instruments Benefit transfers-more detailed level Decomposition of the elements of the income tax Measurement of benefits & taxes Recent policy years Able to compare all 27 MS
Motivation (II)
EUROMOD-tax-benefit micro-simulation model
Includes all 27 MS of the EU Comparability Input data: EU-SILC (2008) + national SILC /variables Simulated policies:
SICs Income tax Means-tested benefits Non contributory, non means-tested benefits
Uprating (time period discrepancy)
Data & methods (EUROMOD)
HDI=Market Inc. +Transfers – SIC - Tax Household level Equivalised (modified OECD scale) Income components:
Original market income Public pensions SICs Direct income tax : schedule, allowances & credits Means-tested benefits Non means-tested, contributory benefits Non means-tested, non contributory benefits (residual)
Data & methods (Incomes)
Results (V)Changes to inequality indices due to exclusion of tax schedules (gross tax before allowances), 2010
Means-tested benefits: Redistributive everywhere Stronger effect when component larger (UK, FR,
NL) No relationship with size of the TB
Contributory benefits Small redistributive effect Strongest effect- SE, BE, DK, NL (large TB)
Non-contributory, not means-tested benefits Small redistributive effect Exception: HU
Results (VII)
Tax allowances Flat taxation progressive Progressive taxation regressive
Tax credits Slightly redistributive Very small impact (S-Gini)
Worker contributions Generally redistributive but much less than
public pensions / tax schedules May also increase inequality if low caps on
contributions
Results (VIII)
Overall-T-B significant reduction of inequality Most effective redistributive instruments:
Public pensions Tax schedules
Redistributive power share in HDI Simpler, lower > more complex, higher
taxation Fiscal benefits (TA & TC) low impact on
inequality CEE no distinctive TB system
Summary & conclusions (I)
Caveats:Measurement error in the input dataError in the simulations First round impact (i.e. no behavioural
effects)Static decomposition
Redistribution across the life-cycle & across individuals
No accounting of interactions between elements of the TB system in the decomposition
Summary & conclusions (II)