inbics fmcg report
TRANSCRIPT
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FMCG Sector Report
Indi
www.inbics.
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Table of Contents
Market Overview ......3
Demand Dynamics ..5
FDI Opportunities ......8
Market Outlook ......11
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Market Overview
Total Market Size
The Indian FMCG sector is the fourth largest sector in the economy with a total market size ofUS$18 billion as of 2007.
By 2015, the sector is predicted to scale up to US$33.4 billion.
The sector generates 5% of total factory employment in the country and is creating employmentfor three million people, especially in small towns and rural India1.
Indias FMCG Market Size (In USD Billion)
Sources: Naukri Hub, IBEF, Chennai Online
Key Segments
The FMCG sector consists of four product categories, each with its own hosts of products that have
relatively quick turnover and low costs:
Household Care
Personal Care
Food & Beverage
Product Categories Products
Household Care Personal Care Foods & Beverages
Fabric wash (laundry soaps andsynthetic detergents); Household
cleaners(dish/utensilcleaners, floor cleaners, toiletcleaners, air fresheners,insecticides and mosquitorepellents, metal polish andfurniture polish)
Oral care, hair care, skin care,personal wash (soaps); cosmetics
and toiletries; deodorants;perfumes; feminine hygiene;paper products.
Health beverages; soft drinks;staples/cereals; Beverages bakery
products (biscuits, bread, cakes);snack food; chocolates; icecream; tea; coffee; soft drinks;processed fruits, vegetables;dairyproducts; bottled water; brandedflour; branded
1Naukrihub Web Site: http://www.naukrihub.com/india/fmcg/overview/
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rice; branded sugar; juices etc.Source: CII
Household Care
The fabric wash market and household cleaner market are well in excess of US$1.2billion.
Traditionally, the fabric wash market has driven the majority of Indias total household care sales. Major players in this segment includeHindustan Lever, Nirma and Reckitt & Colman.
Household Care Product Segments Contributions
76%
24% FabricWash(>US$1B)
HouseholdCleaners(>US$239M)
Source: IBEF
Personal Care
Traditionally, personal wash and hair care products, the basics personal hygiene, dominated the
personal care segment with excess of USD$1.8 million. Demand for skin and cosmetic care products, compared to other personal care product categories,
has been relatively low.
Major players in this segment includeHindustan Lever; Godrej Soaps, Colgate-Palmolive,Marico, Dabur and Procter & Gamble.
Personal Care Products Market Sizes (In USD Million)
Source: IBEF
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Food & Beverage2
The size of the food processing industry exceeds US$65.6 billion.
The size of the semi-processed/ready-to-eat food segment is over $1.1 billion.
Of the food processing industry,
o Bread and biscuits sales exceeds US$1.7 billion;
o Health beverage sales exceeds US$ 230 million;
o Ice cream exceeds US$188 million
o Chocolates sales exceeds US$73 million
In the hot beverage market, tea rather than coffee dominates. Coffee is consumed largely in the
southern states.
The soft drink (carbonated beverages and juices) market is in excess of US$1 billion,predominantly urban (>70%), and its consumption is highly seasonal.
Major players in this segment include Hindustan Lever, Nestle, Cadbury and Dabur
Major Players in Each Product Category
ProductCategories MajorPlayersHouseholdCare Hindustan Lever, Nirma and Reckitt & ColmanPersonalCare Hindustan Lever, Godrej Soaps, Colgate-
Palmolive, Marico, Dabur and Procter & Gamble.
Food&Beverages Hindustan Lever, Nestle, Cadbury and DaburSource: CII, IBEF, Naukri Hub
Demand Dynamics
The general factors driving the growth of the FMCG sector are increase in disposable income, rural areas,and companies aggressive promotion of product awareness.
Rise in Disposable Income
With increasing disposable income and subsequent rise in quality of living and hygiene concerns,the average Indians spending on grocery and personal care products will likely increase.
Currently, the average Indian spends about 48%, also the majority, of his total income ongroceries (~40%) and personal care products (~8%)3.
Rise in Disposable Income (In USD Thousands)
2 IBEFs Fast Moving Consumer Goods Report3KSA Technopak Consumer Outlook 2004
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Sources: Euro Monitor, Goldman Sachs BRICS Report
Higher Penetration of the Rural Population
Many companies are deepening their penetration in the rural areas as:o The FMCG sector in the urban areas is becoming quite saturated (though it will continue
to dominate in the next 8 10 years4) while the penetration in the rural areas are onlyabout 1%5.
o The rural areas have and will continue to make up more than 50% (153 million) of
Indias total households and accounting for more than its current 66% contribution tototal FMCG consumption6.
o Rural India has a large consuming class with 41 per cent of India's middle-class and 58per cent of thetotal disposable income7.
o Currently, nearly 34% of the offtake of FMCG companies come form rural areas.Companies like HUL, ITC and Colgate have already established good distributionnetworks in these regions. Other companies would start catering to these regions in nearfuture8.
o Between 2005 and 2010, the FMCG sector in the rural and semi-urban areas willexperience some 50% growth, at a CAGR of 10% and increase its market size to nearlyUS$ 23 billion from the 2005 level of US$11.4 billion.
Rural Vs. Urban Households Growth
4 Red Orbit news:http://www.redorbit.com/news/business/1359302/indias_fmcg_brands_ready_to_move_into_the_fast_lane/index.html
5 The Hindu Business Line: http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2005/07/19/stories/2005071903080400.htm
6Equitymaster.com:http://www.equitymaster.com/researchit/sectorinfo/consprds/
7 IBEFs Fast Moving Consumer Goods Report8 Equity Master: http://www.equitymaster.com/detail.asp?date=1/9/2008&story=2
+107%
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Rural
(In Millions)
Urban
(In Millions)
2001-02 135 53
2009-10 153 69
Sources: Statistical Outline of India (2001-02), NCAER
Aggressive Promotion of Product Awareness
In a volume driven and competitively intense environment, FMCG players are aggressively
promoting their brands to gain product awareness, customer base, and their shares of the
customers wallets.
Promotions include innovative BTL and ATL advertisements that sometimes have education and
social responsibility slants and even extend to highly organized distribution networks in rural
areas.
In 2007 alone, some FMCG companies scaled up their promotion spending to as much as 50%
and even 120%.
Company 2007 Promotion Spending Increase
ITC Foods Increased by 120%
Godrej Consumer Products Increased by 30%, with subsequent increase of11%- 12% of sales each year
GCMFL (Gujarat Co-operative Milk Marketing Federation Ltd Increased by 20%Parle Argo Increased budget by 50%
Source: The Financial Express
Product Promotion Strategies in Rural Areas
Combination of Media &
PersonalizedMarketing
Social Initiatives
Companies relies less on outdoor advertising and
more on radio or TV and one-to-one contact
ro rammes in rural areas.
Hindustan Unilever's whitening brand Fair &Lovely marketing program provides rural womenmicro credit and basics of entrepreneurships and
informs villagers about the company's productthrough contests, paper chart presentations, liveproduct demonstrations and usage basics.
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Source: Red Orbit News
FDI Opportunities
As their incomes and standards of living improve, Indian customers for FMCGs are shifting
towards higher lifestyle categories like skin care, hair care, deodorants, convenience foods, health
foods etc.
In fact, skin care, hair care, deodorants, convenience foods, and health foods are expected to
experience notably higher growth than others in the near term, spurring various types of MNC
investments to improve their lifestyle products businesses.
For personal care lifestyle products, consumers are becoming increasingly willing to pay
premium prices for them. This trend has compelled some companies to raise prices and even
create products aimed at the premium segment.
In fact, deodorants, hair dyes and shampoos alone helped the FMCG industry to grow by
16% in 2007-08 (April-February), and 15% in the same period in 2006-079.
Skin Care Business Investments
9 The Financial Express: http://www.financialexpress.com/news/Deodorants-shampoos-help-FMCG-sector-to-achieve-16-growth-study/296369/
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Company Investment
Lever In 2005, Lever introduces high-end pricedPerfect Radiance and Lakme Matteffect productsto capture premium market share
P&G In 2007, P&G launched four new skin careproducts, including one for anti-ageing and
promoted them through online and printmediums. Its Olay Total Effects productsalone contributed 10%-US$2 billion to Indiastotal personal care market of US$20 billion.
Marico As early as 2002, Marico opened Kaya skin carecenters offering range of skin care treatments.
Sources: Sify, The Times of India
Between 2007-2008, the skin care and cosmetics market will grow18% 10.
In 2007, Indias anti-ageing products market doubled from 2004 and scaled up to US$ 14.2
million. It is expected to continue to grow at a faster pace in coming years.11
Hair Product Business Investments
Company Investment
Godrej Consumer (GCPL) In 2007, GCPL, the second biggest soap makerextended its #1 soap brand into shampoos for themass market
Hindustan Unilever (HUL) In 2007, HUL extended its Dove soap brand intoa range of hair care products for the premium-endmarket
Wirpo In 2006, Wipro exploited its traditional popularproduct, shikakai soaps to extend into the
shampoo market. It re-launched the WiproShikakai soap as one than can nourish hair withthe newly added herbal extracts, almond oil andhair softeners.
Sources: Rediff News, Hindu Business Line
Between 2007 20008, anti-dandruff shampoo will grow 22% and hair dye 30%12
Deodorant Business Investments
Company Investment
Menezes Cosmetics India Pvt Ltd (MCPL) In early 2008, MCPL launched Insignia, amens deodorant product available in five
10 The Financial Express: http://www.financialexpress.com/news/Deodorants-shampoos-help-FMCG-sector-to-achieve-16-growth-study/296369/11 The Times of India:http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/Business/PG_to_enter_Indian_skin_care_market/articleshow/2255492.cms12 The Financial Express: http://www.financialexpress.com/news/Deodorants-shampoos-help-FMCG-sector-to-achieve-16-growth-study/296369/
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fragrances. Will also extend product portfolio forwomen in near future.
Wipro, Unza In 2007, Wipro acquired Singapore-based UnzaHoldings Ltd, Southeast Asias largest personalcare products maker for US$246 million. Dealallows Wipro to tap into Unzas successful
portfolio of deodorants to supply to India.P&G, Gillette In 2005, P&G acquired Gillette to mark greater
presence in Indias shaving gels and aftershavesmarkets aside from other personal care productsbusinesses.
MTV In 2003, MTV entered the FMCG businessoffering a range of unisex eau de parfums, eau detoilettes, after shaves and deodorants.
Sources: Hindu Business Line, Digital Inspiration
According to industry estimates, the organized deodorant market, which is replacing the
traditional talcum powders market (especially in the major metropolitan areas), is growing at 15%
annually13.
Convenience and Health Foods Business Investments
Company Investment
Nestle In 2008, Nestle plans to capitalize on the healthand convenience food consumption trend byexpanding its brand portfolio through newlaunches in dairy products (probiotic and low fatdahi, milkshake and fruit yoghurt), preparedfoods (Maggi Healthy Soups, Rice Noodles) andbeverages (Nescafe Mild and an expanding chainof vending machines).
Kellogg In 2008, Kellogg position its Special K cereal asa health management alternative for urbanwomen
ITC ITC Foods, who entered into the health foodcategory in early 2007 with Sunfeast Sachin FitKit range, today earns more than 50% of itsrevenue from health-related products.
Pepsi, Coca Cola From 2008, Pepsi and Coca Cola will grow focuson non-carbonated drinks. Pepsi is consideringlaunching milk-based drinks. Coca Cola willintroduce energy and sports drinks this summer.
Dabur In 2007, Dubur offered the 'Real Activ' juicesportfolio with the introduction of first packagedvegetable juice. In 2008, Dabur will low-fruitconcentrate drinks and low calorie baked goods.
Sources: The Hindu Business Line, IBEF, MoneyControl.com, The Economic Times
Some retail chains are allocating 2%- 5% of their retail spaces for organic products14.
13 Rediff News: http://in.rediff.com/money/2006/dec/15products.htm
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Some of Indias organic retailers include the Khadi Gramudyog, Navdanya, Greenway,Namdharis, Natures Basket, Organic India, Satvic, Sresta,IITC Organic and Fab India15.
Market Outlook
14 India Reports: http://chilli.blogs.com/indiareports/company_profiles/index.html15 India Reports: http://chilli.blogs.com/indiareports/company_profiles/index.html
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With the income rise and consequent living standards improvements, more Indian consumers will shift
their needs from basic to premium. Beyond basic food and sanitary needs, they will desire more what
they consider luxuary life style products - some of which extend into FMCGs personal care and health
& wellness product categories. Particularly skin care, hair care, deodorants, convenience foods, and
health foods are expected to experience notably high growth in the near term.
With more players entering the FMCG sector, particularly the skin care, hair care, deodorants,
convenience foods, and health foods markets,
Indian consumers have more choices than ever.
Some are even willing to pay premium prices for their higher aspirations
Margin are becoming thinner for FMCG players as they battle higher raw material costs and
invest more in marketing, slick packaging and distribution networks to gain volume and
retain/gain market shares
Consumers FMCG Players
More choices available
Purchasing power increases,
especially in rural areas
Demand shift from basic
products to more premium
lifestyle products
Willing to pay premium prices
Increase growth via price hike
Keep pulse on new customer
insights and product developments
to cater to changing needs
Focus on growth engines: health
and personal care product
categories
Penetrate rural areas
Invest into creative promotions,
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What does the context on the FMCG environment mean for FMCG players? Their strategies will likely
take the form of all or some of the outlined below:
Increase growth via price hike
o Define a niche and strong positioning, and capitalize on the customer segments willing to
pay premium prices for certain personal care and health& wellness products
Keep pulse on new customer insights and product developments to cater to changing needs
o Stay tuned to shifting consumer demands and forces shaping them, especially those in the
rural areas
o Invest into product innovations, whether it be in the products ingredients or packaging
that address changing consumer demands
Focus on growth engines: health and personal care product categories
o Product developments will likely be focused on the health and personal care product
categories, particularly deodorants, skin care, hair products, and health & convenience
foods for both men and women.
o Brand some products as premium as they can be key value growth drivers.
o Target the premium products to the urban consumers first as they are far ahead of the
rural consumers in terms of products awareness and demands.
Penetrate rural areas
o
Develop and widen distribution network especially in the rural areas as they promisehuge potential (while being aware of the inadequate infrastructures in some areas)
Invest into creative promotions, reaching especially rural areas segments
o Aggressively educate about and promote the use of FMCG products, especially in the
rural areas.
o Rely on localized distribution networks, personalized marketing and social initiatives as
traditional media channels may not be accessible to the rural consumers.
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