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Subject Slide Title Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values Non-Qualified Plans Panel FOR ADVISOR/BROKER USE ONLY. Not for use with Plan Participants.

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Page 1: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title

Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values Non-Qualified Plans Panel

FOR ADVISOR/BROKER USE ONLY. Not for use with Plan Participants.

Page 2: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title Speaker Bios Jim Van Epps ,Chief Operating Officer, First Principles Capital Management, LLC As one of the founders of FPCM, Mr. Van Epps has over 31 years in the institutional insurance market and is recognized as a leading expert in the corporate and bank-owned life insurance arena. In 2005 he integrated the operations of Van Epps & Associates into FPCM. Mr. Van Epps oversees FPCM's Atlanta operations as well as manages the technological resources and administration of FPCM including accounting, financial reporting and audit controls. He also the Managing Director of FPCM's insurance advisory services. Ron Laeyendecker Senior Vice President, Executive Benefits Markets, Great-West Financial. Mr. Laeyendecker has been with Great-West Life for twenty six years. For twenty four of those years, he has been involved with life insurance and annuity business management, pricing and product development. In 1993, Ron created a dedicated unit focused on the executive benefits markets. Primary responsibilities currently include sales and distribution growth, as well as management of the Executive Benefits Markets line of business, representing over $12 billion of policy owner liabilities. Ron graduated from the University of Wisconsin in 1986, and joined Great-West Life as an Actuarial Assistant. In 1991, Ron became a fellow in the Society of Actuaries (FSA). He is also a member of the American Academy of Actuaries (MAAA), and a member of the Association for Advanced Life Underwriting. In 1996, he became a registered principal. Ron also became a Chartered Life Underwriter (CLU) in 1999. Geoffrey Frakdin In his role as Chief Financial Officer for Specialized Benefit Resources (SBR) and Vice President in MetLife’s CFO Americas Organization, Geoffrey is responsible for the underwriting, product design, pricing and in-force management of SBR’s product portfolio. He is also responsible for SBR’s risk management practices. Specialized Benefit Resources (SBR), a unit of MetLife’s Corporate Benefit Funding department, provides companies with solutions for efficiently financing their nonqualified benefit plan liabilities that include specially-designed corporate owned, bank owned and trust owned (COLI/BOLI/TOLI) life insurance products. Geoffrey joined MetLife after graduating from Rutgers University with a BA in Economics and Statistics. He has been with MetLife for 16 years in various actuarial positions. Geoffrey began his career at MetLife in 1996 as an actuarial assistant in group insurance, and has also worked in individual business supporting pricing of whole life and universal life products. Geoffrey joined SBR in 2000 to manage and price SBR insurance products. Since joining SBR, Geoffrey and his team have focused on delivering innovative products to financial intermediaries and corporations. Peter Gilman, Chief Executive Officer, Carbry Capital. Peter Gilman graduated from Iowa State with a degree in Finance. After working at Clark/Bardes, Inc. in Dallas, Texas for several years, he moved back to Iowa and began working at AEGON / Life Investors as the National Director of Advanced Sales for the Individual Division. Shortly thereafter he founded Extraordinary Markets, an AEGON company. Peter became the President and Chief Executive Officer, and ultimately oversaw a team of approximately 300 people that worked to develop and grow of AEGON’s fully integrated global business insurance solutions platform. Peter now consults various industry stakeholders in their efforts to build a presence in, as well as a better understanding of, the Executive Benefits and Bank Owned Life Insurance marketplace. Carbry Capital is also involved with designing innovative solutions that help provide the life insurance industry with ways to add shareholder value, through improvements in capital and operational efficiency.

2

These Presentation pages have been prepared by the authors, contain their own views and do not necessarily reflect, nor should they be construed as, the views of Great-West Financial, MetLife or any of its employees or affiliates. The contents of this presentation represent general industry information and do not contain information specific to the carriers.

Page 3: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title Moderator Overview

• Moody’s - Life insurers more vulnerable to low interest rates than they think. Dec. 19, 2012 – The low interest rate environment has had a relatively negligible effect

on life insurers so far, according Moody’s. That, however, will change if rates continue to hover near historic lows through 2015 as has been indicated by the Federal Reserve

• WSJ - Is your Life Insurance Policy at Risk Nov 16, 2012 – In the next few years, millions of savers are in for a surprise that could

cost them tens of thousands of dollars now—or hundreds of thousands later.

– The reason: Universal-life insurance policies bought years ago when interest rates were high will face cancellation if policyholders don't pay more.

Page 4: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title Interest Rate History

4

Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future results.

1 U.S. Treasury securities are guaranteed as to the timely payment of principal and interest if held to maturity. Investment options are neither issued nor guaranteed by the U.S. Government. A bond fund's yield, share price and total return change daily and are based on changes in interest rates, market conditions, economic and political news, and the quality and maturity of its investments. In general, bond prices fall when interest rates rise and vice versa.

1

Page 5: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title Interest Rate History

5

Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future results.

1 U.S. Treasury securities are guaranteed as to the timely payment of principal and interest if held to maturity. Investment options are neither issued nor guaranteed by the U.S. Government. 2 A bond fund's yield, share price and total return change daily and are based on changes in interest rates, market conditions, economic and political news, and the quality and maturity of its investments. In general, bond prices fall when interest rates rise and vice versa.

1

2

Page 6: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title What if Yields Rise?

Market Value of Assets • Market Value of securities

decreases creating unrealized losses

• Losses realized with surrender or 1035 exchange

• (referred to as disintermediation risk)

6

Portfolio Yields • Cash Flow from coupons and

principal repayments reinvested at higher yields

• Pre-payments slow • Result: Portfolio yields rise slowly

Credited Rates • Credited rates rise as portfolio yields rise • Rise in credited rates will lag rise in current investment yields

Page 7: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title What if Yields Spike Up?

Market Value of Assets • Market Value of securities

decreases dramatically – Creates substantial unrealized

losses • Heightened losses for carrier

under surrender or 1035 exchange

7

Portfolio Yields • Cash Flow from coupons and

principal repayments reinvested at higher yields

• Pre-payments stop • Result: Portfolio yields rise slowly

Credited Rates • Credited rates rise as portfolio yields rise • Carriers may be forced to artificially support higher credited

rates to reduce probability of surrender or 1035 exchange • Potential for spiraling carrier losses

Page 8: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title What if Yields Remain Low or Fall?

Market Value of Assets • Market Value of securities

increases • Creates unrealized gains

8

Portfolio Yields • Cash Flow from coupons and

principal repayments reinvested at lower yields

• Pre-payments accelerate • Result: Portfolio yields fall

Credited Rates • Credited rates fall as portfolio yields fall • Impact of guaranteed floors

• Higher floors become more valuable to clients • Floors create margin compression for carriers

Page 9: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title General Account Assets

• Portfolio Management Approach • Diversity • Quality • Liquidity • Total Return • Asset/Liability Management

60% 15%

15% 5% 5%

Bonds

Mortgage Loans

Structured Finance

Corporate Equity & Real Estate

Cash & Short-term Investments

Page 10: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title Spread Compression

0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Spread

Crediting Rate

Page 11: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title Managing Risk Going Forward

• Lapse Risk

• Guarantees

Page 12: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title Crediting Rates – New Money vs. Portfolio Rates

New Money Portfolio

Initial Crediting Rate • Market Rate • More responsive to rate

environment

• Portfolio Rate • Less responsive to rate

environment

Renewal Rates

• Blend of assets that have been reinvested and remaining initial assets

• Not impacted by new business/premiums

• Portfolio Rate • Impacted by new

business/premiums

Page 13: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title Crediting Rates – New Money vs. Portfolio Rates

Portfolio Rates in Current Environment (Market Rates < Portfolio Rates) • Initial Crediting Rate > market rate • New premiums dilute portfolio rate

Portfolio Rates if rates rise • Rates only increase if market rate > portfolio rate • Otherwise, rising rates just slow rate of decrease of portfolio rate • New premiums depress portfolio rate until market rate > portfolio rate

Page 14: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title

Affects any Product With a Guarantee • Products such as life insurance, annuities, GICs,

structured settlements, stable value products (such as those used in the COLI / BOLI market), etc..

• Guarantees can be in the form of no-lapse policies,

interest rate floors, book value protection, etc.. • Can be found in any policy form such as general

account, hybrid and separate account.

Impact on Other Carrier Products

Page 15: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title

Why is This Now an Issue • Financial metrics such as ROE that are significantly

impacted by capital and operational efficiency. • Capital means both “regulatory” and “economic”.

• Capital requirements can be significant for asset intensive products with legacy guarantees.

• Effect of economic capital is magnified for reasons that are similar in concept to the discussion on margin compression we just had.

Impact on Other Carrier Products

Page 16: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title Economic Capital - Spread Compression

0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Spread

Guaranteed Rate

New Guaranteed

Rate

Crediting Rate

Page 17: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title

• The combination of low rates, reduced margins and

increased economic capital requirement can combine to create a very difficult ROE story come quarter end.

Net Result

Page 18: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title

• Reduce the level of policy guarantees. • No-lapse guarantees as well as interest rate floors

• Restrict the inflow of premium

• Override ALM processes

• Reach for duration • Reach for yield

• Divest capital intensive, as well as difficult to hedge,

product lines • Fixed and variable annuities

Impact on Carrier Product Decisions

Page 19: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title

• Simplify product design • To many moving parts makes it difficult to price and manage

• Focus on protection products.

• Mortality intensive products are more capital friendly

• Encourage the use of variable separate account products for asset intensive transactions • Such as accumulation products like COLI/BOLI and annuities

Impact on Carrier Product Design

Page 20: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title • Increased use of technology to improve operational

efficiency. • More rules based infrastructure and more reliance upon the

field to perform the labor aspect of the transaction.

Impact on Carrier Operations

Page 21: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title

• How does the policy express the fund’s total return results?

• Through the crediting rate formula.

• Expect to see modifications in the crediting rate formula used in BOLI products in order to improve the the ability of the product to more efficiently express the fund’s total return results.

• The BOLI product thought process can also be applied in other insurance products in rather innovative ways.

What Next in BOLI Product Development?

Page 22: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title Consultant Role in this Rate Environment

• Manage expectations – Be proactive on carrier and industry information – Ratings news, earnings releases

• Review policy terms – Guarantees or lack of guarantees

• Project performance (will policies lapse) – Current rates – Lower rates – Rising rates

• Review options – First do no harm

Page 23: Impact of Historic Low Interest Rates on Clients Insurance Values52f8829f00ae5ac56909-9f77ed43e9d3f70efb3e6f0f80e9fd27.r59.cf1… · 2013-04-19 · Subject Slide TitleInterest Rate

Subject Slide Title

QUESTION & ANSWER