hy18 result presentation...31 december 2016 31 december 2017 190 290 425 193 100 bank debt wholesale...
TRANSCRIPT
G E N E S I S E N E R G Y L I M I T E D
HY18 Result Presentation
14 February 2018
Marc England – CHIEF EXECUTIVE
Chris Jewell – CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
AGENDA
Key Highlights
Operational and Strategic Update
Financial Performance
Outlook
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 2
1. Key Highlights
HY18 key highlights— positive start to FY18 as our diverse portfolio, acquisitions and strategy deliver results
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 4
• EBITDAF up 28% to $200m, 15% excluding acquisitions• NPAT down 24% to $28 million, due to fair value movements• Underlying earnings up 14% to $43 million• Free cash flow up 37% to $129 million• Operating cash flow up 57% to $199 million• Operating costs1 up 16%, down 1% on an underlying basis
excluding growth expenditure and carbon costs
• Strong wholesale performance with generation volumes up 25%, GWAP up 80%
• Steady performance for customer segment (EBITDAF impacted by higher costs)
• Kupe gas production at 94% of maximum capacity supporting generation requirements
• TRIFR of 1.37 remains at sector leading levels
• New brand launched with promoter score up 2 ppts• > 100,000 EOL customers, up 5%• Organic LPG growth up 27%. LPG integration on track including
bringing forward third party distributor exit• B2B sales teams drive volumes up 17%• Thermal assets providing an important role in ensuring New
Zealand security of supply
• Dividend declared of 8.3cps, up 1%• Dividend Reinvestment Plan introduced to support growth with
NZ government commitment to retain 51% ownership• 12 month total shareholder return 7% ahead of NZX50
Strong financial performance Delivering business outcomes
Continuing progress on strategy Converting to shareholder returns
1. Operating costs refers to “other operating expenses and employee benefits”, including carbon costs for trading purposes. Refer to Operating costs on slide 9 for further information.
2. Financial Performance
— strong financial performance in variable market conditions
156
37 37
149
95
23
82
200
2843
173
129
27
83
EBITDAF NPAT Underlying Earnings Operating Costs Free Cash Flow Capital Expenditure Interim Dividend
$ MILLIONS
HY17 HY18
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
+ 28% -24% + 14% + 16% + 17%+ 37% + 1%
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 6
HY18 financial highlights
HY18 vs HY17 EBITDAF
$ MILLIONS
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 7
— 28% EBITDAF growth driven by strong underlying performance and FY17 acquisitions
HY18 EBITDAF waterfall
156
200
44
7
25
19
27
5
2
HY17 EBITDAF Generationmargin
Kupeacquisition
Kupevolumes and
fuel prices
LPGacquisition
Pricingimprovements
Lines costs Reducedretail
demand
Investmentin growth
opex
Other HY18 EBITDAF
Favourable Unfavourable
EBITDAF down $6 million (9%) to $57 million
Electricity sales 3,008 GWh up 3% Gas sales 4.0PJ down 7%LPG sales 18.3 kilo tonnes up 610%Transfer price impact $(2.5) million
EBITDAF up $24 million (29%) to $106 million
Generation 3,870 GWh up 25%GWAP $96/MWh up 80%Average fuel cost $36/MWh up 17%Transfer price impact $2.5 million
EBITDAF up $24 million (75%) to $56 million
Gas sales 6.1PJ up 61%Oil sales 241kbbl up 64%LPG sales 22.7kt up 96%
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 8
— Strong H1 for Wholesale and Kupe with Customer prioritising growth investment
Segment performance
Kupe- Impact of 15% additional stake and strong production levels to support thermal plant
Wholesale- Strong performance as Genesis’ diverse portfolio responds to market conditions
Customer- LPG distribution business acquisition benefit offset by investment in growth
138 137
HY14 HY15 HY16 HY17 HY18
$ MILLIONS
Underlying operating expenses Carbon costs
Investment in growth LPG acquisition
176
149144142
173
OPERATING EXPENSES1 OPERATING EXPENSE BRIDGE
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 9
Operating expenses— underlying expenses down 1%, before acquisitions, investment in growth and carbon
$7 million of additional investment to support growth in line with market guidance, carbon for trading purposes up in line with increase in carbon costs
Favourable Unfavourable
Operating cost efficiencies in core business, underlying expenses down 1%
2. Carbon costs represent the cost of carbon used for trading purposes, offset by revenue recognised in other revenue.
149
1736
714
3
HY17operatingexpenses
LPGacquisition
Investment ingrowth opex
Carboncosts
Othermovements
HY18operatingexpenses
$ MILLIONS
2
2
1. Operating costs refers to “other operating expenses and employee benefits”.
3. Investment in business sales teams and rebranding.
3
83 92114
95
129
HY14 HY15 HY16 HY17 HY18
$ MILLIONS
OPERATING CASH FLOW
165136
163127
199
HY14 HY15 HY16 HY17 HY18
$ MILLIONS
FREE CASH FLOW1
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 10
Cash flow— operating cash flow up 57% and free cash flow up 37% in line with EBITDAF growth
Significantly up reflecting higher EBITDAF, reduction in coal inventory and carbon
trading units, reduced tax pre-payments and use of pre-paid gas
Improved free cash flow reflects operating performance improvement
1. Free cash flow represents EBITDAF less tax, interest and stay in business capital expenditure.
5844 40 39
22
24
8
5
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 YTD
Stay in Business Tekapo Canal Growth
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE1
$ MILLIONS
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 11
Capital expenditure— disciplined approach as capital reallocated to support growth segments
Reallocation of capital to growth areas with a higher ROCE
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE1
Continued discipline on spend
1. Capital expenditure excludes M&A activities.
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 YTD
Wholesale Customer Kupe Technology & Digital
$ MILLIONS
82
44 4047
27
2
2. Key projects include LPG distribution investment, the Energy Project and Technology and Digital development.
NET DEBT AND NET DEBT/EBITDAF
966905
831
1,2101,158
2.9
2.52.6
3.3
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 HY18 FY18 Fct
Net debt Net debt/EBITDAF
2.9
SOURCES OF FUNDING
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 12
Capital structure— net debt has reduced by $52m with improving debt metrics
Average tenor at HY18 up 3.1 years, interest costs down 20 basis points to 5.8%, improving net debt
to EBITDAF
Reduced reliance on bank debt, S&P rating reaffirmed at BBB+, 15 January 2018
310
240200
193
100
31 DECEMBER 2016 31 DECEMBER 2017
190
290
425
193
100
Bank debt Wholesale domestic bonds
Capital bonds USPP Retail bonds
3.1anticipated30 Jun18 range
DIVIDEND & PAYOUT HISTORY
64
80 82 82 83
77%
87%
72%
87%
64%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
0
50
HY14 HY15 HY16 HY17 HY18
Dividends % of Free Cash Flow
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 13
Dividends— continued growth in dividends with a 8.6% gross yield1 and outperformance of TSR relative to peers
Interim dividend of 8.3cpu declared (up 1.2%), with 80% imputation, representing a 8.6% gross yield1
2017 TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Genesis Peer Index NZX50
29.2%
25.1%
22.0%
TSR has exceeded market by 7.2% and peer index by 4.1% in past 12 months
2017 closing share price: $2.52
1. Gross yield based on closing share price as at 29 December 2017.
3. Operational and strategic update
60
70
80
90
100
110
Jan
-17
Feb
-17
Mar
-17
Ap
r-1
7
May
-17
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
Au
g-1
7
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
No
v-1
7
De
c-1
7
‘00
0’s
Electricity Gas LPG
LPG SALES VOLUMESNPS AND PROMOTER SCORE
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 15
Customer segment highlights— growth in LPG, B2B and EOL, with NPS improving
Significant organic growth, new distribution platform in placeRefreshed brand showing early signs of improved NPS
B2B segment momentum growing with 11% volume increase
EOL, 2nd largest tier 2 retailer, > 100,000 customers, up 4% from June 2017
EOL CONNECTIONS
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
NPS - Genesis 3 Month Rolling
Promoter - Genesis 3 Month Rolling
TOTAL B2B VOLUME BILLED
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Jan
-17
Feb
-17
Mar
-17
Ap
r-1
7
May
-17
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
Au
g-1
7
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
No
v-1
7
Dec
-17
PJ GE-Rolling 12M (KT) EOL-Rolling 12M (KT) ICP count
2,3532,619
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Dec-16 Dec-17
GW
h
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 16
Brand refresh— new Genesis brand launched focused on leading the way to a new energy future
5% Improvement in brand ‘Top 2 Consideration’, a lead indicator for sales
conversions
68% of New Zealanders believe the brand relaunch makes
Genesis seem more innovative than other
energy providers1
78% of New Zealander’s
believe that the brand relaunch says something
new about Genesis1
2% Improvement in promoter score whilst NPS trending
positive
1. Based on a representative sample of 524 energy decision makers.
2 Customer websites launched
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
segment 1 segment 2 segment 3 segment 4 segment 5
Low High
Spend per month
Segment share of total market Genesis share of segment
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 17
Residential— Continued progress on optimising residential segment for value
GE RESIDENTIAL VALUE MIX1
Genesis continues to target high value customers7% improvement in customer mix in past 12 months
towards higher value customers
GE SEGMENT VALUE MIX1
1. Source: Commissioned research & Genesis analysis.
Low High
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Jan
-17
Feb
-17
Mar
-17
Ap
r-1
7
May
-17
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
Au
g-1
7
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
No
v-1
7
Dec
-17
Negative Low Medium Low Medium High High
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 18
Energy IQ— a significant step forward in achieving our Energy Management vision
Electricity Forecast Home Comparison Energy Mix
Successful launch of Energy IQ developed with customers and now available to 75% of residential customers
• Agile environment delivering energy management solutions at pace
• Three new features delivered, including Electricity Forecast, an exclusive Genesis Energy innovation
• Services developed with customers, first in the Local Energy Project, followed by a dedicated Beta release section in My Account
• Customer feedback positive, with service ratings at 3.9 out of 5, service enhancements underway
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 19
Energy Online— 2nd largest tier 2 retailer with >100,000 connections
TIER 2 RETAILERS1
Significant growth in past 12 months, total customers up 5%, gas up 28%, LPG up 176%
EOL GROWTH
106,506100,492
72,57763,411
27,229 23,37220,156 18,882
44,289
No
vaEn
ergy
Ener
gyO
nlin
e
Pu
lse
Po
wer
sho
p
Glo
-Bu
g
Flic
k
Bo
sco
Ele
ctri
cK
iwi
Oth
ers
Electricity Connections Gas Connections LPG Customers
75,000
80,000
85,000
90,000
95,000
100,000
105,000
Jan
-17
Feb
-17
Mar
-17
Ap
r-1
7
May
-17
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
Au
g-1
7
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
No
v-1
7
Dec
-17
Electricity Gas LPG
1. Source: Electricity Authority, as at January 2018.
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 20
LPG— significant organic growth with integration of new distribution business complete
INTEGRATION UPDATE
ORGANIC GROWTH COMPOSITION
Activity Status
Staff • 100% migrated
Systems • Billing and distribution migrated
Customers • 29,000 migrated, remaining receiving Genesis branded bills • Churn in line with forecast• Self-service ordering of bottles up from 60% to 80%
Call Centre • Fully established, 160,000 calls handled p.a. down to 120,000
Brand • 23 depots, 68 vehicles, customer collateral completed• c.100,000 cylinders well advanced
LPG DISTRIBUTION EXPANSION
• Expanding new distribution capability to match existing customer base by investing in new depots and delivery contractors
• Targeted regions contain approx. 20,000+ customers
Jan
-17
Feb
-17
Mar
-17
Ap
r-1
7
May
-17
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
Au
g-1
7
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
No
v-1
7
Dec
-17
Cu
sto
mer
Nu
mb
ers
Duel LPG only
Existing depots
New delivery locations
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 21
Bad debt— 10% improvement in bad debt expected in FY18
6% reduction in DSO2 for Genesis Brand
17 Days
December 2016
16 Days
December 2017
91%
Drastic drop in medically dependent debt compared to December 2016 due to improved internal processes across both brands
69%
Genesis Energy Online
0.30%
0.32%
0.34%
0.36%
0.38%
0.40%
0.42%
0.44%
JAN
-17
FEB
-17
MA
R-1
7
AP
R-1
7
MA
Y-17
JUN
-17
JUL-
17
AU
G-1
7
SEP
-17
OC
T-1
7
NO
V-1
7
DEC
-17
BAD DEBT % TO REVENUE (ROLLING 12 MONTHS) 1
2. Day sales outstanding refers to how many days of sales are owing on average.1. Bad debt expense refers to the net amount of uncollectible debt written off.
138 145 120 109172
265
14129
38
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17
Tota
l Em
issi
on
s (k
t C
O2
) Genesis Emissions Swaption Emisssions Demand
53.4
96.2
GWAP $MWh
GWAP/TWAP
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 22
Generation & Wholesale segment highlights— diverse portfolio creating value in volatile market conditions
Portfolio responding well in volatile market conditions Continuing to find ways to optimise portfolio
OUTAGE MANAGEMENT EMISSIONS SUMMARY
Improved outage planning increasing generation days
14851625
2173
1697
ThermalGeneration
GWh
RenewableGeneration
GWh
+ 80.2%+ 4.5%+ 46.3%
Partly driven by swaption demand
HY17 HY18
1.171.01
1.50
1.01 0.99 1.06 1.02 1.03
1.55
1.03
1.421.04
0.98
1.071.01
1.10
Rankines Unit 5 Unit 6 Tokaanu Rangipo Waikare-moana
Tekapo Portfolio
Historic 2017
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
HY14 HY15 HY16 HY17 HY18
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
Forc
ed O
uta
ge F
acto
r
(FO
F) %
Equ
ipm
ent
Ava
ilab
ility
Fa
cto
r (E
AF)
%
HY FOF HY EAF
GENERATION & GWAP1
1. GWAP is the Generation Weighted Average Price (or the price received for generation).
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
July August September October November December
Wee
kly
GW
h &
Ave
rage
Sp
ot
Pri
ce (
$/M
Wh Rankines Rankine Swaptions Spot Price GNE Gross Margin*
Unit 5 and Tekapo outages limit gross margin, high Kupe production, Rankines on, and
hydro generation sustained
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 23
Wholesale market performance— consistent results in a volatile market
GENERATION & WHOLESALE PERFORMANCE HY18
Swaption demand limits long volume at high price period
Deferred hydro generation realised, low swaption demand and profitable
hedges sold in July
Gross margin maintained in low demand period by buying hedges
rather than running Rankines.
* Gross margin is represented by shape only
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 24
Rankine units supporting market during dry months— 90% of Rankine output in 2017 was bought by other retailers & spot customers
-
50
100
150
200
250
Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17
GWh
Genesis customers Other retailers/spot customers Swaptions
RANKINE OUTPUT
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
0
50
100
150
200
250
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47
$/MWhMW
Trading Period
Rankine MW Rangipo MW NI Price• GWAP/TWAP1 ratio lift is driven by plant availability, water values, flexible fuel, spot trading and hedging tactics
• 7% improvement in ratio in past year -c4% due to favourable market conditions, but c3% due to decisions driven by strategic priorities
• Portfolio with no wind or geothermal gives us price responsive plant with control over dispatch of generation
• Each portfolio GWAP/TWAP per cent improvement is worth c$2 million in gross margin improvement per year
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 25
Strategic priorities help lift GWAP/TWAP ratios— active trading decisions have driven $5-7 million of extra value in 2017
SECTOR GWAP/TWAP RATIO
PRICE RESPONSIVENESS VS BASE-LOAD PLANT
1.03
1.10
1.06
1.03
0.98
GenesisHistorical
Genesis2017
Mercury2017
Contact2017
Meridian2017
1. GWAP is the Generation Weighted Average Price (or the price received for generation), and TWAP is the Time Weighted Average Price of a particular period.
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 26
Kupe segment highlights— record production volumes due to acquired 15% and generation demand
BRENT CRUDE OIL PRICE USD/BBl
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
12 mths to Dec16 12 mths to Dec17
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 YTD FY18LP
G (
kt/T
J)
Oil
(bb
l/TJ
)
Oil Yield LPG Yield
OIL & LPG YIELDS
GAS PRODUCTION (PJ) & PLANT UTILISATION (%)
3.5 3.5 3.43.8
6.1
HY14 HY15 HY16 HY17 HY18
GAS SALES VOLUME (PJ)
Gas production for Kupe plant up 8.2% on H1 FY17
Genesis oil sales up 64% to 241 kbbls on H1 FY17, LPG sales up 96% to 22.7 kt
Genesis gas sales up 61% on H1 FY17
Oil spot price up 20% in 12 months to December 2017, average hedge price up 3% to USD59/bbl
23.0 24.3 24.0 24.3
13.2
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
-
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 YTD FY18
Environmental and social responsibility — making a tangible difference for our people, our community and our shared natural resources
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 27
Gender mix
%male
%female
of senior management including Directors are female
%
Minding the Gap - gender pay gap has dropped from
Commitment to being an inclusive and diverse employer
.%
.%
provided with real time updates of their school’s solar electricity generation
,
More than
through Genesis’ partnership with curtain banks in Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch
NZ families assisted in HY18
participated in Graeme Dingle Foundation Kiwi-can programmes in the calendar year ending December
students at 12 schools
supported in Whanganui, the Coromandel peninsula, Marlborough and Canterbury through an agreement with Green Growth Forests Ltd that serves to diversify Genesis’ carbon offset investments, whilst supporting the regeneration of native forest in New Zealand
hectares of forest
Whio Bootcamp game was played
meaning more people are learning about whio and why they are an indicator of healthy water
times
Genesis people Identify with more than
,
ethnicities
,
,
Iwi relationships in placealongside several hapu/runanga relationships within the rohe of the Company’s generation assets and offices, all of which are highly valued by Genesis.
to
children at92 School-gen schools
A coal free electricity future— Genesis believes in a coal free future
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 28
At Genesis we are taking steps to ensure New Zealand can move to an even more renewable future – we believe in a coal-free future for electricity generation in New Zealand.
4. Outlook
• To provide capital support for Genesis’ growth strategy, and provide a cost effective way for shareholders to reinvest in Genesis’ growth strategy
• A discount of 2.5% will apply to the price, this may be amended for future dividends
• Shareholders have the option of full, partial or no participation. If a shareholder elects to participate they will remain in the plan at the same participation level until they elect to terminate or amend their participation rate
• The New Zealand government has committed to participate to the extent required to retain its 51% holding
• Genesis has the right to terminate or suspend the plan at any time
• Details of the plan will be sent to shareholders in early March
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 30
Dividend reinvestment plan— to be introduced for the HY18 dividend to support growth
DRP Details
Discount 2.5%
Dividend amount 8.3 cpu
Price The volume weighted average sale price over a period of five Business Days starting on the “Ex Date”, less
the discount
Key Dates
Ex dividend date 5 April 2018
Final date to elect to participate 6 April 2018
Record date 6 April 2018
Payment and share issue date 20 April 2016
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 31
Market fundamentals outlook— continue to be supportive
• Electricity demand growth of 1% in 2017 with EV penetration accelerating
• Total NZ gas demand down due to industrial however retail growth continues with connections up over 15,500 in past five years
• LPG demand growth remains strong, with 6% growth in market over last 12 months
Customer
Wholesale
Kupe
• Forward electricity prices more reflective of tightening supply/demand dynamics. Year 2 price is up $4MWh (5%) on prior comparable period
• Tiwai Point Aluminum Smelter economics stable with a more positive outlook
• Forward carbon prices up to $24 per tonne in 2020
• Brent crude up 20% in 2017 with consensus outlook for 2018 in the range of US$59 to $62/bbl
• LPG supply/demand balance tightening with a possible move to net import early 2020’s
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 32
FY18 outlook— guidance refined to $350 to $360 million
• A positive start to FY18, more challenging conditions in the second half
– $12 million FY18 impact of Tekapo B outage (largely weighted to second half), some benefit to be realised in FY19
– First half had significant North Island inflows
– Kupe production contracts favour first half result
– Increase in emissions costs in line with change in ETS obligations
• FY18 EBITDAF updated guidance range of $350 to $360 million subject to hydrological conditions, any material events, one-off expenses or other unforeseeable circumstances
• FY18 capital expenditure guidance is up to $75 million including an early Tekapo B G3 upgrade, bringing forward third party LPG distributor exit with associated depot builds and Phase 2 expenditure at Kupe
Appendices
Balance Sheet HY18($m)
FY17($m)
Variance
Cash and Cash Equivalents 40.6 27.8
Other Current Assets 309.5 344.5
Non-Current Assets 3,770.3 3,847.0
Total Assets 4,120.4 4,219.3 -2.3%
Total Borrowings 1,229.1 1,259.8
Other Liabilities 978.4 977.6
Total Equity 1,912.9 1,981.9 -3.5%
Adjusted Net Debt 1,163.3 1,211.5 -4.0%
Gearing 39.1% 38.9%
EBITDAF Interest Cover 6.9x 6.6x
Net Debt/EBITDAF 3.0x 3.3x
Income Statement HY18($m)
HY17($m)
Variance
Revenue 1,214.5 965.3 +25.8%
Total Operating Expenses (1,015.0) (809.6) +25.4%
EBITDAF 199.5 155.7 +28.1%
Depreciation, Depletion & Amortisation (103.5) (73.6)
Impairment of Non-Current Assets - (0.8)
Fair Value Change (19.7) 1.9
Other Gains (Losses) 0.9 (1.6)
Earnings Before Interest & Tax 77.2 81.6 -5.4%
Interest (37.4) (28.7)
Tax (11.4) (15.5)
Net Profit After Tax 28.4 37.4 -24.0%
Earnings Per Share (cps) 2.84 3.74 -24.1%
Stay in Business Capital Expenditure 21.6 16.8 +28.6%
Free Cash Flow 129.1 94.6 +36.5%
Dividends Per Share (cps) 8.3 8.2 +1.2%
Dividends Declared as a % of FCF 64.3% 86.7%
Cash Flow Summary HY18($m)
HY17($m)
Variance($m)
Net Operating Cash Flow 198.4 126.5
Net Investing Cash Flow (30.7) (29.8)
Net Financing Cash Flow (155.4) 78.1
Net Increase (Decrease) in Cash 12.8 174.8 -92.7%
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 34
Financial statements
Income Statement HY18($m)
HY17($m)
EBITDAF 199.5 155.7
Depreciation, Depletion & Amortisation (103.5) (73.6)
Impairment of Non-Current Assets - (0.8)
Change in Fair Value of Financial Instruments
(19.7) 1.9
Other Gains (Losses) 0.9 (1.6)
Profit Before Net Finance Expense and Income Tax
77.2 81.6
Finance Revenue 0.4 0.9
Finance Expense (37.8) (29.6)
Profit Before Income Tax 39.8 52.9
Income Tax Expense (11.4) (15.5)
Net Profit After Tax 28.4 37.4
• EBITDAF is a non-GAAP item but is used as a key metric by management to monitor performance at a business segment and group level
• Genesis Energy believes that reporting EBITDAF assists stakeholders and investors in understanding the Company’s operational performance
• In HY18 EBITDAF was up 28% on HY17
• HY17 Net Profit After Tax is down 24%, materially affected by change in fair value of financial instruments
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 35
Reconciliation of EBITDAF to NPAT
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 36
Underlying earnings
Underlying Earnings HY18($m)
HY17($m)
Net Profit After Tax 28.4 37.4
Business acquisition costs - 0.8
Change in fair value of financial instruments
19.7 (1.9)
Impairment of non-current assets - 0.8
Underlying Net Profit Before Tax 48.1 37.1
Tax expense on adjustments (5.5) 0.3
Underlying Earnings 42.6 37.4
• Underlying Earnings is a non-GAAP item but is used as a key metric by management to assess underlying performance by adjusting for items outside managements control or items that relate to strategic rather than operational actions
• Genesis Energy believes that reporting underlying earnings assists stakeholders and investors in understanding the Company’s operational performance
• In HY18 underlying earnings were up 14% on HY17
Debt Information HY18($m)
FY17($m)
Variance ($m)
Total Debt $ 1,229.1 1,259.8
Cash and Cash Equivalents $ 40.6 27.8
Headline Net Debt $ 1,188.5 1,232.0 -3.5%
USPP FX and FV Adjustments $ 25.2 20.5
Adjusted Net Debt1 $ 1,163.3 1,211.5 -4.0%
Headline Gearing 39.1% 38.9% +0.2ppts
Adjusted Gearing 38.6% 38.5% +0.1ppts
Covenant Gearing 32.3% 32.3% Flat
Net Debt/EBITDAF2 3.0x 3.3x
Interest Cover 6.9x 6.6x
Average Interest Rate 5.8% 6.0%
Average Debt Tenure 11.0 yrs 11.4 yrs
1. Net debt has been adjusted for foreign currency translation and fair value movements related to USD denominated borrowings which have been fully hedged with cross currency swaps
2. EBITDAF is based on the midpoint of the guidance range provided for FY18
GENESIS ENERGY DEBT PROFILE
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 37
Debt information
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
FY2018
FY2019
FY2020
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
FY2026
FY2027
FY2042
FY2047
$m
Retailable Bonds Wholesale Domestic Drawn Bank
Undrawn Bank Capital Bonds USPP
Customer Key Information HY18 HY17 Variance
EBITDAF ($ millions) 57.2 62.7 (8.8%)
Netback $80.80 $82.14 (1.6%)
Electricity Only Customers 342,500 NA
Gas Only Customers 18,111 NA
LPG Only Customers 32,991 NA
Customers with > 1 Fuel 109,734 NA
Total Customers 503,336 NA
Total Electricity and Gas ICP’s 607,279 621,917 (2.4%)
Volume Weighted Average Electricity Selling Price – Resi ($/MWh)
248.52 247.66 +0.3%
Volume Weighted Average Electricity Selling Price – SME ($/MWh)
216.03 213.55 +1.2%
Volume Weighted Average Electricity Selling Price – C&I ($/MWh)
120.45 117.12 +2.8%
Volume Weighted Average Gas Selling Price ($/GJ)
25.59 25.43 +0.6%
Customer Electricity Sales (GWh) 3,008 2,916 +3.3%
Customer Gas Sales (PJ) 4.0 4.3 (7.1%)
Customer LPG Sales (tonnes) 18,251 2,570 +610.2%
Wholesale Key Information HY18 HY17 Variance
EBITDAF ($ millions) 106.4 82.8 +28.5%
Renewable Generation (GWh) 1,697 1,625 +4.5%
Thermal Generation (GWh) 2,173 1,485 +46.3%
Total Generation (GWh) 3,870 3,110 +24.5%
GWAP ($/MWh) 96.16 53.36 +80.2%
LWAP/GWAP Ratio 103% 100% +3 ppts
Weighted Average Fuel Cost ($/MWh) 35.72 30.04 +16.8%
Coal/Gas Mix (Rankines only) 63/27 30/70
Kupe Key Information HY18 HY17 Variance
EBITDAF ($m) 55.7 31.9 +74.6%
Gas Sales (PJ) 6.1 3.8 +60.5%
Oil Production (kbbl) 277.8 195.8 +41.9%
Oil Sales (kbbl) 241.0 146.8 +64.2%
LPG Sales (PJ) 22.7 11.5 +96.3%
Average Brent Crude Oil (USD/bbl) 57 48 +19.1%
Average Hedged Price (USD/bbl) 59 57 +3.3%
HY18 RESULT PRESENTATION 38
Operational highlights