human papillomavirus and related diseases …-iii-executive summary human papillomavirus (hpv)...

Human PapillomavirusandRelated Diseases Report

KENYAVersion posted at www.hpvcentre.net on 17 June 2019

http://www.hpvcentre.net

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©ICO/IARC Information Centre on HPV and Cancer (HPV Information Centre) 2019

All rights reserved. HPV Information Centre publications can be obtained from the HPV Informa-tion Centre Secretariat, Institut Català d’Oncologia, Avda. Gran Via de l’Hospitalet, 199-203 08908L’Hospitalet del Llobregat (Barcelona) Spain. E-mail: [email protected]. Requests for per-mission to reproduce or translate HPV Information Centre publications - whether for sale or for non-commercial distribution- should be addressed to the HPV Information Centre Secretariat, at the aboveaddress.

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Recommended citation:

Bruni L, Albero G, Serrano B, Mena M, Gómez D, Muñoz J, Bosch FX, de Sanjosé S. ICO/IARCInformation Centre on HPV and Cancer (HPV Information Centre). Human Papillomavirus and RelatedDiseases in Kenya. Summary Report 17 June 2019. [Date Accessed]

ICO/IARC HPV Information Centre

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Executive summary

Human papillomavirus (HPV) infection is now a well-established cause of cervical cancer and there isgrowing evidence of HPV being a relevant factor in other anogenital cancers (anus, vulva, vagina andpenis) as well as head and neck cancers. HPV types 16 and 18 are responsible for about 70% of all cer-vical cancer cases worldwide. HPV vaccines that prevent HPV 16 and 18 infections are now availableand have the potential to reduce the incidence of cervical and other anogenital cancers.This report provides key information for Kenya on: cervical cancer; other anogenital cancers and headand neck cancers; HPV-related statistics; factors contributing to cervical cancer; cervical cancer screen-ing practices; HPV vaccine introduction; and other relevant immunisation indicators. The report isintended to strengthen the guidance for health policy implementation of primary and secondary cervi-cal cancer prevention strategies in the country.

Table 1: Key StatisticsPopulationWomen at risk for cervical cancer (Female population aged >=15 years) 14.3 millionBurden of cervical cancer and other HPV-related cancersAnnual number of cervical cancer cases 5,250Annual number of cervical cancer deaths 3,286Crude incidence rates per 100,000 and year: Male Female

Cervical cancer - 20.5Anal cancer ‡ 0.1 0.3

Vulvar cancer ‡ - 0.4Vaginal cancer ‡ - 0.2

Penile cancer ‡ 0.1 -Oropharyngeal cancer 0.2 0.1

Burden of cervical HPV infectionPrevalence (%) of HPV 16 and/or HPV 18 among women with:

Normal cytology 9.1Low-grade cervical lesions (LSIL/CIN-1) 21.4

High-grade cervical lesions (HSIL/CIN-2/CIN-3/CIS) 45.0Cervical cancer 63.1

Other factors contributing to cervical cancerSmoking prevalence (%), women 2.2 [1.4-3.2]Total fertility rate (live births per women) 3.9Oral contraceptive use (%) among women 7.5HIV prevalence (%), adults (15-49 years) 5.9 [4.9 - 7.0]Sexual behaviourPercentage of 15-year-old who have had sexual intercourse (men/women) 19.6 / 10.7Range of median age at first sexual intercourse (men/women) 16.7-17.6 /

16.7-18.2Cervical screening practices and recommendationsCervical cancer screening cov-erage, % (age and screening in-terval, reference)

3.5% (All women aged 25-64 screened every 3y, WHS 2003 Kenya)

Screening ages (years) 25-49Screening interval (years) orfrequency of screens

5 years

HPV vaccineHPV vaccine introduction

HPV vaccination programme AnnouncedDate of HPV vaccination routine immunization programme start -

‡Please see the specific sections for more information.


CONTENTS - iv -

Contents

Executive summary iii

1 Introduction 2

2 Demographic and socioeconomic factors 4

3 Burden of HPV related cancers 63.1 Cervical cancer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6

3.1.1 Cervical cancer incidence in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63.1.2 Cervical cancer incidence by histology in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113.1.3 Cervical cancer incidence in Kenya across Eastern Africa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133.1.4 Cervical cancer mortality in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153.1.5 Cervical cancer mortality in Kenya across Eastern Africa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 193.1.6 Cervical cancer incidence and mortality comparison, Premature deaths and dis-

ability in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 213.2 Anogenital cancers other than the cervix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23

3.2.1 Anal cancer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 233.2.2 Vulvar cancer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 253.2.3 Vaginal cancer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263.2.4 Penile cancer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27

3.3 Head and neck cancers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 283.3.1 Oropharyngeal cancer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28

4 HPV related statistics 314.1 HPV burden in women with normal cervical cytology, cervical precancerous lesions or

invasive cervical cancer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 314.1.1 HPV prevalence in women with normal cervical cytology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 324.1.2 HPV type distribution among women with normal cervical cytology, precancerous

cervical lesions and cervical cancer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 334.1.3 HPV type distribution among HIV+ women with normal cervical cytology . . . . . . 414.1.4 Terminology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42

4.2 HPV burden in anogenital cancers other than cervix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 434.2.1 Anal cancer and precancerous anal lesions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 434.2.2 Vulvar cancer and precancerous vulvar lesions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 454.2.3 Vaginal cancer and precancerous vaginal lesions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 474.2.4 Penile cancer and precancerous penile lesions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49

4.3 HPV burden in men . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 514.4 HPV burden in the head and neck . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53

4.4.1 Burden of oral HPV infection in healthy population . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 534.4.2 HPV burden in head and neck cancers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53

5 Factors contributing to cervical cancer 55

6 Sexual and reproductive health behaviour indicators 57

7 HPV preventive strategies 587.1 Cervical cancer screening practices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 587.2 HPV vaccination . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61

8 Protective factors for cervical cancer 61


LIST OF CONTENTS - v -

9 Indicators related to immunisation practices other than HPV vaccines 639.1 Immunisation schedule . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 639.2 Immunisation coverage estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63

10 Glossary 64


LIST OF FIGURES - vi -

List of Figures1 Kenya and Eastern Africa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Population pyramid of Kenya for 2017 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 Population trends in four selected age groups in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 HPV-related cancer incidence in Kenya (estimates for 2012) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 Comparison of cervical cancer incidence to other cancers in women of all ages in Kenya (estimates for 2018) . . 86 Comparison of age-specific cervical cancer to age-specific incidence of other cancers among women 15-44 years

of age in Kenya (estimates for 2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 Annual number of cases and age-specific incidence rates of cervical cancer in Kenya (estimates for 2018) . . . . 108 Time trends in cervical cancer incidence in Kenya (cancer registry data) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129 Age-standardised incidence rates of cervical cancer of Kenya (estimates for 2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1310 Annual number of new cases of cervical cancer by age group in Kenya (estimates for 2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1411 Comparison of cervical cancer mortality to other cancers in women of all ages in Kenya (estimates for 2018) . . 1612 Comparison of age-specific mortality rates of cervical cancer to other cancers among women 15-44 years of age

in Kenya (estimates for 2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1713 Annual number of deaths and age-specific mortality rates of cervical cancer in Kenya (estimates for 2018) . . . . 1814 Comparison of age-standardised cervical cancer mortality rates in Kenya and countries within the region (esti-

mates for 2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1915 Annual deaths number of cervical cancer by age group in Kenya (estimates for 2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2016 Comparison of age-specific cervical cancer incidence and mortality rates in Kenya (estimates for 2018) . . . . . . 2117 Comparison of annual premature deaths and disability from cervical cancer in Kenya to other cancers among

women (estimates for 2008) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2218 Time trends in anal cancer incidence in Kenya (cancer registry data) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2419 Time trends in vulvar cancer incidence in Kenya (cancer registry data) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2520 Time trends in vaginal cancer incidence in Kenya (cancer registry data) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2621 Time trends in penile cancer incidence in Kenya (cancer registry data) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2722 Comparison of incidence and mortality rates of the oropharynx by age group and sex in Kenya (estimates for

2018). Includes ICD-10 codes: C09-10 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2923 Crude age-specific HPV prevalence (%) and 95% confidence interval in women with normal cervical cytology in

Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3224 HPV prevalence among women with normal cervical cytology in Kenya, by study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3225 HPV 16 prevalence among women with normal cervical cytology in Kenya, by study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3326 HPV 16 prevalence among women with low-grade cervical lesions in Kenya, by study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3327 HPV 16 prevalence among women with high-grade cervical lesions in Kenya, by study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3428 HPV 16 prevalence among women with invasive cervical cancer in Kenya, by study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3429 Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV oncogenic types in Kenya among women with and without cervical

lesions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3530 Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV oncogenic types in Kenya among women with invasive cervical cancer

by histology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3631 Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV types in anal cancer cases in Africa and the World . . . . . . . . . . . 4432 Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV types in AIN 2/3 cases in Africa and the World . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4433 Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV types in cases of vulvar cancer in Africa and the World . . . . . . . . . 4634 Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV types in VIN 2/3 cases in Africa and the World . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4635 Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV types in cases of vaginal cancer in Africa and the World . . . . . . . . 4836 Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV types in VaIN 2/3 cases in Africa and the World . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4837 Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV types in cases of penile cancer in Africa and the World . . . . . . . . . 5038 Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV types in PeIN 2/3 cases in Africa and the World . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5039 Estimated coverage of cervical cancer screening in Kenya, by age and study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5940 Reported HPV vaccination coverage in females by birth cohort in National HPV Immunization programme in

Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61


LIST OF TABLES - 1 -

List of Tables1 Key Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . iii2 Sociodemographic indicators in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 Cervical cancer incidence in Kenya (estimates for 2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 Cervical cancer incidence in Kenya by cancer registry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 Age-standardised incidence rates of cervical cancer in Kenya by histological type and cancer registry . . . . . . . 116 Cervical cancer mortality in Kenya (estimates for 2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 157 Premature deaths and disability from cervical cancer in Kenya, Eastern Africa and the rest of the world (esti-

mates for 2008) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 218 Anal cancer incidence in Kenya by cancer registry and sex . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 239 Vulvar cancer incidence in Kenya by cancer registry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2510 Vaginal cancer incidence in Kenya by cancer registry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2611 Penile cancer incidence in Kenya by cancer registry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2712 Incidence and mortality of cancer of the oropharynx in Kenya, Eastern Africa and the rest of the world by sex

(estimates for 2018). Includes ICD-10 codes: C09-10 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2813 Incidence of oropharyngeal cancer in Kenya by cancer registry and sex . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3014 Prevalence of HPV16 and HPV18 by cytology in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3315 Type-specific HPV prevalence in women with normal cervical cytology, precancerous cervical lesions and invasive

cervical cancer in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3816 Type-specific HPV prevalence among invasive cervical cancer cases in Kenya by histology . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4017 Studies on HPV prevalence among HIV women with normal cytology in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4118 Studies on HPV prevalence among anal cancer cases in Kenya (male and female) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4319 Studies on HPV prevalence among cases of AIN2/3 in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4320 Studies on HPV prevalence among vulvar cancer cases in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4521 Studies on HPV prevalence among VIN 2/3 cases in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4522 Studies on HPV prevalence among vaginal cancer cases in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4723 Studies on HPV prevalence among VaIN 2/3 cases in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4724 Studies on HPV prevalence among penile cancer cases in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4925 Studies on HPV prevalence among PeIN 2/3 cases in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4926 Studies on HPV prevalence among men in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5127 Studies on HPV prevalence among men from special subgroups in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5228 Studies on oral HPV prevalence among healthy in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5329 Studies on HPV prevalence among cases of oral cavity cancer in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5330 Studies on HPV prevalence among cases of oropharyngeal cancer in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5431 Studies on HPV prevalence among cases of hypopharyngeal or laryngeal cancer in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5432 Factors contributing to cervical carcinogenesis (cofactors) in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5533 Percentage of 15-year-olds who have had sexual intercourse in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5734 Median age at first sex in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5735 Marriage patterns in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5736 Main characteristics of cervical cancer screening in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5837 Estimated coverage of cervical cancer screening in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5938 Estimated coverage of cervical cancer screening in Kenya , by region . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5939 National HPV Immunization programme in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6140 Prevalence of male circumcision in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6141 Prevalence of condom use in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6242 General immunization schedule in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6343 Immunization coverage estimates in Kenya . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6344 Glossary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64


1 INTRODUCTION - 2 -

1 Introduction

Figure 1: Kenya and Eastern Africa

The HPV Information Centre aims to compile and centralise updated data and statistics on human pa-pillomavirus (HPV) and related cancers. This report aims to summarise the data available to fully eval-uate the burden of disease in Kenya and to facilitate stakeholders and relevant bodies of decision mak-ers to formulate recommendations on cervical cancer prevention. Data include relevant cancer statisticestimates, epidemiological determinants of cervical cancer such as demographics, socioeconomic factors,risk factors, burden of HPV infection, screening and immunisation. The report is structured into thefollowing sections:

Section 2, Demographic and socioeconomic factors. This section summarises the socio-demo-


1 INTRODUCTION - 3 -

graphic profile of country. For analytical purposes, Kenya is classified in the geographical region ofEastern Africa (Figure 1, lighter blue), which is composed of the following countries: Burundi, Comoros,Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Madagascar, Mozambique, Mauritius, Malawi, Mayotte, Reunion,Rwanda, Somalia, South Sudan, Seychelles, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia, Zimbabwe. Throughout thereport, Kenya estimates will be complemented with corresponding regional estimates.

Section 3, Burden of HPV related cancers. This section describes the current burden of invasivecervical cancer and other HPV-related cancers in Kenya and the Eastern Africa region with estimatesof prevalence, incidence, and mortality rates.

Section 4, HPV related statistics. This section reports on prevalence of HPV and HPV type-specificdistribution in Kenya, in women with normal cytology, precancerous lesions and invasive cervical can-cer. In addition, the burden of HPV in other anogenital cancers (anus, vulva, vagina, and penis) andmen are presented.

Section 5, Factors contributing to cervical cancer. This section describes factors that can modifythe natural history of HPV and cervical carcinogenesis such as smoking, parity, oral contraceptive use,and co-infection with HIV.

Section 6, Sexual and reproductive health behaviour indicators. This section presents sexualand reproductive behaviour indicators that may be used as proxy measures of risk for HPV infectionand anogenital cancers.

Section 7, HPV preventive strategies. This section presents preventive strategies that include ba-sic characteristics and performance of cervical cancer screening status, status of HPV vaccine licensureintroduction, and recommendations in national immunisation programmes.

Section 8, Protective factors for cervical cancer. This section presents the prevalence of malecircumcision and condom use.

Section 9, Indicators related to immunisation practices other than HPV vaccines. This sectionpresents data on immunisation coverage and practices for selected vaccines. This information will berelevant for assessing the country’s capacity to introduce and implement the new vaccines. The data areperiodically updated and posted on the WHO immunisation surveillance, assessment and monitoringwebsite at http://www.who.int/immunization_monitoring/en/.


http://www.who.int/immunization_monitoring/en/

2 DEMOGRAPHIC AND SOCIOECONOMIC FACTORS - 4 -

2 Demographic and socioeconomic factors

Figure 2: Population pyramid of Kenya for 2017

Under 55−9

10−1415−1920−2425−2930−3435−3940−4445−4950−5455−5960−6465−6970−7475−79

80+

3,696,960 3,636,6683,392,695 3,351,277

3,003,394 2,973,2542,535,150 2,517,323

2,170,223 2,167,1402,032,620 2,040,634

1,833,495 1,841,0431,479,038 1,462,950

1,118,371 1,065,914815,265 777,162

610,598 634,524488,818 552,924394,590 458,073283,336 328,143169,002 198,810100,487 124,763

91,443 120,841

Males Females

Data accessed on 27 Mar 2017.Please refer to original source for methods of estimation.Year of estimate: 2017;Data sources:United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, DVD Edition. Available at: https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Download/Standard/Population/. [Accessed on March 21, 2017].

Figure 3: Population trends in four selected age groups in KenyaProjections

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1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

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2050

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2080

2090

2100

0123456789

1011

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ber

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omen

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)

Girls 10−14 yrs

Women 15−24 yrs

Female population trends in KenyaNumber of women by year and age group

Projections

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

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0

20

40

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)

Women 25−64 yrs

All Women

Data accessed on 27 Mar 2017.Please refer to original source for methods of estimation.Year of estimate: 2017;Data sources:United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, DVD Edition. Available at: https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Download/Standard/Population/. [Accessed on March 21, 2017].


https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Download/Standard/Population/.




2 DEMOGRAPHIC AND SOCIOECONOMIC FACTORS - 5 -

Table 2: Sociodemographic indicators in KenyaIndicator Male Female TotalPopulation in thousands1,± 24,215.5 24,251.4 48,466.9

Population growth rate (%)1,∓ - - 2.7

Median age of the population (in years)1,∗ - - 18.9

Population living in urban areas (%)2,∗ - - 25.6

Crude birth rate (births per 1,000)1,∓ - - 35.4

Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000)1,∓ - - 8.7

Life expectancy at birth (in years)3,a,b,∗ 61.1 65.8 63.4

Adult mortality rate (probability of dying between 15 and 60 years old per1,000)4,∗

290 206 249

Maternal mortality ratio (per 100,000 live births)3,c,∗ - - 510

Under age five mortality rate (per 1,000 live births)3,d,∗ - - 49.4

Density of physicians (per 1,000 population)5,e,? - - 0.199

Gross national income per capita (PPP current international $)6, f ,∗ - - 3070

Adult literacy rate (%) (aged 15 and older)7,g,∗ 81.1 75 78

Youth literacy rate (%) (aged 15-24 years)7,g,∗ 85.2 86.6 85.9

Net primary school enrollment ratio7,g,◦ 83.2 86.6 84.9

Net secondary school enrollment ratio7,g,◦ 57.4 55.6 56.5Data accessed on 27 Mar 2017.Please refer to original source for methods of estimation.aWorld Population Prospects, the 2015 revision (WPP2015). New York (NY): United Nations DESA, Population Division.bWHO annual life tables for 1985–2015 based on the WPP2015, on the data held in the WHO Mortality Database and on HIV mortality estimates prepared by UNAIDS. WHO MemberStates with a population of less than 90 000 in 2015 were not included in the analysis.cWHO, UNICEF, UNFPA, World Bank Group and the United Nations Population Division. Trends in maternal mortality: 1990 to 2015. Estimates by WHO, UNICEF, UNFPA,World Bank Group and the United Nations Population Division. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2015 (http://www.who.int/reproductivehealth/publications/monitoring/maternal-mortality-2015/en/, accessed 25 March 2016). WHO Member States with a population of less than 100 000 in 2015 were not included in the analysis.dLevels & Trends in Child Mortality. Report 2015. Estimates Developed by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation. New York (NY), Geneva and Washington (DC):United Nations Children’s Fund, World Health Organization, World Bank and United Nations; 2015 (http://www.unicef.org/publications/files/Child_Mortality_Report_2015_Web_9_Sept_15.pdf, accessed 26 March 2016).eNumber of medical doctors (physicians), including generalist and specialist medical practitioners, per 1 000 population.f GNI per capita based on purchasing power parity (PPP). PPP GNI is gross national income (GNI) converted to international dollars using purchasing power parity rates. An internationaldollar has the same purchasing power over GNI as a U.S. dollar has in the United States. GNI is the sum of value added by all resident producers plus any product taxes (less subsidies)not included in the valuation of output plus net receipts of primary income (compensation of employees and property income) from abroad. Data are in current international dollars basedon the 2011 ICP round.gUIS EstimationYear of estimate: ±2017; ∓2010-2015; ∗2015; ?2013; ◦2012;Data sources:1United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, DVD Edition. Available at: https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Download/Standard/Population/. [Accessed on March 21, 2017].2United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2014). World Urbanization Prospects: The 2014 Revision, CD-ROM Edition. Available at: https://esa.un.org/unpd/wup/CD-ROM/. [Accessed on March 21, 2017].3World Health Statistics 2016. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2016. Available at: http://who.int/entity/gho/publications/world_health_statistics/2016/en/index.html. [Accessed on March 21, 2017].4World Health Organization. Global Health Observatory data repository. Available at: http://apps.who.int/gho/data/view.main.1360?lang=en. [Accessed on March 21, 2017].5The 2016 update, Global Health Workforce Statistics, World Health Organization, Geneva (http://www.who.int/hrh/statistics/hwfstats/). [Accessed on March 21, 2017].6World Bank, World Development Indicators Database. Washington, DC. International Comparison Program database. Available at: http://databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.aspx?source=world-development-indicators#. [Accessed on March 21, 2017].7UNESCO Institute for Statistics Data Centre [online database]. Montreal, UNESCO Institute for Statistics. Available at: http://stats.uis.unesco.org [Accessed on March 21, 2017].


http://www.who.int/reproductivehealth/publications/monitoring/maternal-mortality-2015/en/,

http://www.who.int/reproductivehealth/publications/monitoring/maternal-mortality-2015/en/,

http://www.unicef.org/publications/files/Child_Mortality_Report_2015_Web_9_Sept_15.pdf,

http://www.unicef.org/publications/files/Child_Mortality_Report_2015_Web_9_Sept_15.pdf,



https://esa.un.org/unpd/wup/CD-ROM/.

https://esa.un.org/unpd/wup/CD-ROM/.

http://who.int/entity/gho/publications/world_health_statistics/2016/en/index.html.

http://who.int/entity/gho/publications/world_health_statistics/2016/en/index.html.

http://apps.who.int/gho/data/view.main.1360?lang=en.

http://www.who.int/hrh/statistics/hwfstats/).

http://databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.aspx?source=world-development-indicators#.

http://databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.aspx?source=world-development-indicators#.

http://stats.uis.unesco.org

3 BURDEN OF HPV RELATED CANCERS - 6 -

3 Burden of HPV related cancers

HPV is the cause of almost all cervical cancer cases and is responsible for an important fraction of otheranogenital and head and neck cancer. Here, we present the most recent estimations on the burden ofHPV-associated cancer.

Figure 4: HPV-related cancer incidence in Kenya (estimates for 2012)

0 10 20 30 40 50

Head and neck (b)

Other anogenital (a)

Cervix uteri

0.2

1.9

40.0

Age−standardised incidence rate per 100,0000 womenWorld Standard

Data accessed on 08 May 2017.aOther anogenital cancer cases (vulvar, vaginal, anal, and penile).bHead and neck cancer cases (oropharynx, oral cavity and larynx).ASR: Age-standardized rate, rates per 100,000 per year.Please refer to original source for methods.GLOBOCAN quality index for availability of incidence data: Regional data (rates).GLOBOCAN quality index of methods for calculating incidence: Methods to estimate the sex- and age-specific incidence rates of cancer for a specific country: Estimated as the weightedaverage of the local ratesData sources:de Martel C, Plummer M, Vignat J, Franceschi S. Worldwide burden of cancer attributable to HPV by site, country and HPV type. Int J Cancer. 2017

3.1 Cervical cancer

Cancer of the cervix uteri is the 3rd most common cancer among women worldwide, with an estimated569,847 new cases and 311,365 deaths in 2018 (GLOBOCAN). The majority of cases are squamous cellcarcinoma followed by adenocarcinomas. (Vaccine 2006, Vol. 24, Suppl 3; Vaccine 2008, Vol. 26, Suppl10; Vaccine 2012, Vol. 30, Suppl 5; IARC Monographs 2007, Vol. 90)

This section describes the current burden of invasive cervical cancer in Kenya and in comparison togeographic region, including estimates of the annual number of new cases, deaths, incidence, and mor-tality rates.

3.1.1 Cervical cancer incidence in Kenya

About 5,250 new cervical cancer cases are diagnosed annually inKenya (estimates for 2018).

Cervical cancer ranks* as the 2nd leading cause of female cancer inKenya.

Cervical cancer is the 1th most common female cancer in women aged15 to 44 years in Kenya.

KEY STATS.



* Ranking of cervical cancer incidence to other cancers among all women according to highest incidence rates (ranking 1st) excluding non-melanoma skin cancer and considering separated

colon, rectum and anus. Ranking is based on crude incidence rates (actual number of cervical cancer cases). Ranking using age-standardized rate (ASR) may differ.

Table 3: Cervical cancer incidence in Kenya (estimates for 2018)

Indicator Kenya Eastern Africa World

Annual number of new cancer cases 5,250 52,633 569,847

Crude incidence ratea 20.5 24.1 15.1

Age-standardized incidence ratea 33.8 40.1 13.1

Cumulative risk (%) at 75 years oldb 4 4 1Data accessed on 05 Oct 2018.For more detailed methods of estimation please refer to http://gco.iarc.fr/today/data-sources-methodsaRates per 100,000 women per year.bCumulative risk (incidence) is the probability or risk of individuals getting from the disease during ages 0-74 years. For cancer, it is expressed as the % of new born children who would beexpected to develop from a particular cancer before the age of 75 if they had the rates of cancer observed in the period in the absence of competing causes.Data sources:Ferlay J, Ervik M, Lam F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Soerjomataram I, Bray F (2018). Global Cancer Observatory: Cancer Today. Lyon, France: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: https://gco.iarc.fr/today, accessed [05 October 2018].

Table 4: Cervical cancer incidence in Kenya by cancer registryCancer registry1 Period N casesa Crude rateb ASRb

Nairobi 2008-2012 1,055 13.8 40.2Data accessed on 05 Oct 2018.ASR: Age-standardized rate, Standardized rates have been estimated using the direct method and the World population as the reference;Please refer to original source (available at http://ci5.iarc.fr/CI5-XI/Default.aspx)aAccumulated number of cases during the period in the population covered by the corresponding registry.bRates per 100,000 women per year.Data sources:1Bray F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Zanetti R and Ferlay J, editors (2017). Cancer Incidence in Five Continents, Vol. XI (electronic version). Lyon: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: http://ci5.iarc.fr, accessed [05 October 2018].


http://gco.iarc.fr/today/data-sources-methods

https://gco.iarc.fr/today,

http://ci5.iarc.fr/CI5-XI/Default.aspx)

http://ci5.iarc.fr,


Figure 5: Comparison of cervical cancer incidence to other cancers in women of all ages in Kenya(estimates for 2018)

0 10 20 30 40

MesotheliomaOropharynx

HypopharynxAnus

VaginaSalivary glands

LarynxVulva

Hodgkin lymphomaBladder

Melanoma of skinKidney

GallbladderLung

Multiple myelomaBrain, nervous system

NasopharynxPancreas

ThyroidRectum

Lip, oral cavityLiver

Corpus uteriColon

Kaposi sarcomaLeukaemia

Non−Hodgkin lymphomaOvary

StomachOesophagusCervix uteri

Breast

0.00.10.20.20.30.30.50.50.70.91.01.01.01.11.21.31.41.61.61.71.92.32.42.72.83.23.53.84.3

7.820.5

23.4

Annual crude incidence rate per 100,000Kenya: Female (All ages)

Data accessed on 07 Oct 2018.Non-melanoma skin cancer is not included.Rates per 100,000 women per year.Data sources:Ferlay J, Ervik M, Lam F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Soerjomataram I, Bray F (2018). Global Cancer Observatory: Cancer Today. Lyon, France: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: https://gco.iarc.fr/today, accessed [05 October 2018].




Figure 6: Comparison of age-specific cervical cancer to age-specific incidence of other cancers amongwomen 15-44 years of age in Kenya (estimates for 2018)

0 5 10 15 20

MesotheliomaLarynx

OropharynxAnus

HypopharynxMelanoma of skin

LungBladderKidneyVagina

GallbladderSalivary glands

VulvaPancreas

RectumMultiple myeloma

Lip, oral cavityCorpus uteri

Brain, nervous systemStomach

LiverHodgkin lymphoma

ColonThyroid

NasopharynxOesophagus

OvaryLeukaemia

Non−Hodgkin lymphomaKaposi sarcoma

BreastCervix uteri

0.00.00.10.10.10.10.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.30.40.40.50.50.50.60.70.7

1.01.2

1.51.5

2.32.4

3.34.4

14.214.9

Annual crude incidence rate per 100,000Kenya: Female (15−44 years)

Data accessed on 07 Oct 2018.Non-melanoma skin cancer is not included.Rates per 100,000 women per year.Data sources:Ferlay J, Ervik M, Lam F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Soerjomataram I, Bray F (2018). Global Cancer Observatory: Cancer Today. Lyon, France: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: https://gco.iarc.fr/today, accessed [05 October 2018].




Figure 7: Annual number of cases and age-specific incidence rates of cervical cancer in Kenya (estimatesfor 2018)

Ann

ual n

umbe

r of

new

cas

es o

f cer

vica

l can

cer

● ●●

●

●

●

●

●

●

● ●●

●

0

25

50

75

100

125

Age

−spe

cifi

c ra

tes

ofce

rvic

al c

ance

r

15−1

9

20−2

4

25−2

9

30−3

4

35−3

9

40−4

4

45−4

9

50−5

4

55−5

9

60−6

4

65−6

9

70−7

4

75+

15−39 40−64 65+

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

8691094*

3287

40−44 yrs: 705 cases





Age group (years)

*15-19 yrs: 16 cases. 20-24 yrs: 18 cases. 25-29 yrs: 128 cases. 30-34 yrs: 368 cases. 35-39 yrs: 564 cases.Data accessed on 05 Oct 2018.Rates per 100,000 women per year.Data sources:Ferlay J, Ervik M, Lam F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Soerjomataram I, Bray F (2018). Global Cancer Observatory: Cancer Today. Lyon, France: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: https://gco.iarc.fr/today, accessed [05 October 2018].




3.1.2 Cervical cancer incidence by histology in Kenya

Table 5: Age-standardised incidence rates of cervical cancer in Kenya by histological type and cancerregistry

CarcinomaCancer registry Period Squamous Adeno Other Unspec.

Nairobi 2008-2012 25.1 2.6 0.3 3.1Data accessed on 05 Oct 2018.Adeno: adenocarcinoma; Other: Other carcinoma; Squamous: Squamous cell carcinoma; Unspec: Unspecified carcinoma;Rates per 100,000 women per year.Standarized rates have been estimated using the direct method and the World population as the references.Data sources:1Bray F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Zanetti R and Ferlay J, editors (2017). Cancer Incidence in Five Continents, Vol. XI (electronic version). Lyon: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: http://ci5.iarc.fr, accessed [05 October 2018].


http://ci5.iarc.fr,


Figure 8: Time trends in cervical cancer incidence in Kenya (cancer registry data)

Cervix uteri

No data available

Ann

ual c

rude

inci

denc

e ra

te

(per

100

,000

)

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Cervix uteri: Squamous cell carcinoma

No data available

Ann

ual c

rude

inci

denc

e ra

te

(per

100

,000

)

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Cervix uteri: Adenocarcinoma

No data available

Ann

ual c

rude

inci

denc

e ra

te

(per

100

,000

)

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

All ages (2)

15−44 yrs (2)

45−74 yrs (2)

All ages (2)

15−44 yrs (2)

45−74 yrs (2)

All ages (2)

15−44 yrs (2)

45−74 yrs (2)

Data accessed on 27 Apr 2015.aEstimated annual percentage change based on the trend variable from the net drift for the most recent two 5-year periods.Data sources:1Vaccarella S, Lortet-Tieulent J, Plummer M, Franceschi S, Bray F. Worldwide trends in cervical cancer incidence: Impact of screening against changes in disease risk factors. eur J Cancer2013;49:3262-73.2Ferlay J, Bray F, Steliarova-Foucher E and Forman D. Cancer Incidence in Five Continents, CI5plus: IARC CancerBase No. 9 [Internet]. Lyon, France: International Agency for Researchon Cancer; 2014. Available from: http://ci5.iarc.fr


http://ci5.iarc.fr


3.1.3 Cervical cancer incidence in Kenya across Eastern Africa

Figure 9: Age-standardised incidence rates of cervical cancer of Kenya (estimates for 2018)

0 20 40 60 80

Seychelles *Reunion

MauritiusDjiboutiEritrea

EthiopiaSomalia

South SudanRwanda

KenyaMozambique

ComorosMadagascar

UgandaBurundi

TanzaniaZimbabwe

ZambiaMalawi

10.512.413.313.8

18.924

26.931.9

33.842.8

50.951.6

54.857.4

59.162.3

66.472.9

Cervical cancer: Age−standardised incidence rate per 100,000 womenWorld Standard. Female (All ages)

* No rates are available.Data accessed on 05 Oct 2018.Rates per 100,000 women per year.Data sources:Ferlay J, Ervik M, Lam F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Soerjomataram I, Bray F (2018). Global Cancer Observatory: Cancer Today. Lyon, France: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: https://gco.iarc.fr/today, accessed [05 October 2018].




Figure 10: Annual number of new cases of cervical cancer by age group in Kenya (estimates for2018)

Kenya

15−19 20−24 25−29 30−34 35−39 40−44 45−49 50−54 55−59 60−64 65−69 70−74 >=750

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

* 18

724

128

2290

368

3970

564

5366

705

6300

731

6543

690

6388

627

5983

534

5230

393

4038

235

2768

241

2904

Age group (years)

Ann

ual n

umbe

r of

new

cas

es o

f cer

vica

l can

cer

Eastern Africa

*16 cases for Kenya and 109 cases for Eastern Africa in the 15-19 age group.Data accessed on 05 Oct 2018.Data sources:Ferlay J, Ervik M, Lam F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Soerjomataram I, Bray F (2018). Global Cancer Observatory: Cancer Today. Lyon, France: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: https://gco.iarc.fr/today, accessed [05 October 2018].




3.1.4 Cervical cancer mortality in Kenya

About 3,286 cervical cancer deaths occur annually in Kenya (esti-mates for 2018).

Cervical cancer ranks* as the 1st leading cause of female cancer deathsin Kenya.

Cervical cancer is the 1st leading cause of cancer deaths in womenaged 15 to 44 years in Kenya.

KEY STATS.

* Ranking of cervical cancer incidence to other cancers among all women according to highest incidence rates (ranking 1st) excluding non-melanoma skin cancer and considering separated

colon, rectum and anus. Ranking is based on crude incidence rates (actual number of cervical cancer cases). Ranking using age-standardized rate (ASR) may differ.

Table 6: Cervical cancer mortality in Kenya (estimates for 2018)

Indicator Kenya Eastern Africa World

Annual number of deaths 3,286 37,017 311,365

Crude mortality ratea 12.8 16.9 8.2

Age-standardized mortality ratea 22.8 30.0 6.9

Cumulative risk (%) at 75 years oldb 2.6 3.4 0.8Data accessed on 05 Oct 2018.For more detailed methods of estimation please refer to http://gco.iarc.fr/today/data-sources-methodsaRates per 100,000 women per year.bCumulative risk (mortality) is the probability or risk of individuals dying from the disease during ages 0-74 years. For cancer, it is expressed as the % of new born children who would beexpected to die from a particular cancer before the age of 75 if they had the rates of cancer observed in the period in the absence of competing causes.Data sources:Ferlay J, Ervik M, Lam F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Soerjomataram I, Bray F (2018). Global Cancer Observatory: Cancer Today. Lyon, France: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: https://gco.iarc.fr/today, accessed [05 October 2018].





Figure 11: Comparison of cervical cancer mortality to other cancers in women of all ages in Kenya(estimates for 2018)

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

MesotheliomaOropharynx

VaginaVulvaAnus

HypopharynxSalivary glands

Hodgkin lymphomaLarynxThyroidKidney

Melanoma of skinBladder

GallbladderNasopharynx


LungBrain, nervous system

Corpus uteriKaposi sarcomaLip, oral cavity

PancreasColon

Non−Hodgkin lymphomaLiver

LeukaemiaOvary

StomachOesophagus

BreastCervix uteri

0.00.10.10.10.20.20.20.30.30.30.60.60.60.70.90.91.01.11.11.31.51.51.51.81.92.32.5

3.04.2

7.710.0

12.8

Annual crude mortality rate per 100,000Kenya: Female (All ages)

Data accessed on 07 Oct 2018.Non-melanoma skin cancer is not included.aRates per 100,000 women per year.Data sources:Ferlay J, Ervik M, Lam F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Soerjomataram I, Bray F (2018). Global Cancer Observatory: Cancer Today. Lyon, France: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: https://gco.iarc.fr/today, accessed [05 October 2018].




Figure 12: Comparison of age-specific mortality rates of cervical cancer to other cancers among women15-44 years of age in Kenya (estimates for 2018)

0 5 10

MesotheliomaLarynxThyroid

VulvaVagina

AnusBladder

Corpus uteriGallbladder

LungMelanoma of skin

OropharynxSalivary glands

HypopharynxLip, oral cavity


PancreasHodgkin lymphoma

KidneyStomach

Brain, nervous systemLiverColon

NasopharynxOvary

OesophagusNon−Hodgkin lymphoma

LeukaemiaKaposi sarcoma

BreastCervix uteri

0.00.00.00.00.00.00.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.20.20.20.20.30.40.40.50.60.60.6

0.91.0

1.91.9

2.35.0

6.6

Annual crude mortality rate per 100,000Kenya: Female (15−44 years)

Data accessed on 07 Oct 2018.Non-melanoma skin cancer is not included.aRates per 100,000 women per year.Data sources:Ferlay J, Ervik M, Lam F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Soerjomataram I, Bray F (2018). Global Cancer Observatory: Cancer Today. Lyon, France: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: https://gco.iarc.fr/today, accessed [05 October 2018].




Figure 13: Annual number of deaths and age-specific mortality rates of cervical cancer in Kenya (esti-mates for 2018)

Ann

ual n

umbe

r of

dea

ths

of c

ervi

cal c

ance

r

● ● ●●

●

●

●

●

●

●

●●

●

0

25

50

75

100

Age

−spe

cifi

c ra

tes

ofce

rvic

al c

ance

r

15−1

9

20−2

4

25−2

9

30−3

4

35−3

9

40−4

4

45−4

9

50−5

4

55−5

9

60−6

4

65−6

9

70−7

4

75+

15−39 40−64 65+

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

768

434*

2084






Age group (years)

* 15-19 yrs: 2 cases. 20-24 yrs: 20 cases. 25-29 yrs: 40 cases. 30-34 yrs: 129 cases. 35-39 yrs: 243 cases.Data accessed on 05 Oct 2018.Rates per 100,000 women per year.Data sources:Ferlay J, Ervik M, Lam F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Soerjomataram I, Bray F (2018). Global Cancer Observatory: Cancer Today. Lyon, France: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: https://gco.iarc.fr/today, accessed [05 October 2018].




3.1.5 Cervical cancer mortality in Kenya across Eastern Africa

Figure 14: Comparison of age-standardised cervical cancer mortality rates in Kenya and countrieswithin the region (estimates for 2018)

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Seychelles *Reunion

MauritiusDjiboutiEritrea

EthiopiaSomalia

KenyaSouth Sudan

RwandaMozambiqueMadagascar

ComorosUganda

TanzaniaZambia

ZimbabweBurundiMalawi

45.4

10.611.9

15.321.9

22.822.9

24.135.7

37.439.840.5

42.744.5

4650.3

54.5

Cervical cancer: Age−standardised mortality rate per 100,000 womenWorld Standard. Female (All ages)

* No rates are available.Data accessed on 05 Oct 2018.Rates per 100,000 women per year.Data sources:Ferlay J, Ervik M, Lam F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Soerjomataram I, Bray F (2018). Global Cancer Observatory: Cancer Today. Lyon, France: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: https://gco.iarc.fr/today, accessed [05 October 2018].




Figure 15: Annual deaths number of cervical cancer by age group in Kenya (estimates for 2018)

Kenya

15−19 20−24 25−29 30−34 35−39 40−44 45−49 50−54 55−59 60−64 65−69 70−74 >=750

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

**

40

775

129

1731

243

2817

358

3790

419

4421

449

4797

447

4821

411

4490

326

3667

210

2649

232

2864

Age group (years)

Ann

ual n

umbe

r of

new

cas

es o

f cer

vica

l can

cer

Eastern Africa

*2 cases for Kenya and 9 cases for Eastern Africa in the 15-19 age group. 20 cases for Kenya and 186 cases for Eastern Africa in the 20-24 age group.Data accessed on 05 Oct 2018.Data sources:Ferlay J, Ervik M, Lam F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Soerjomataram I, Bray F (2018). Global Cancer Observatory: Cancer Today. Lyon, France: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: https://gco.iarc.fr/today, accessed [05 October 2018].




3.1.6 Cervical cancer incidence and mortality comparison, Premature deaths and disabilityin Kenya

Figure 16: Comparison of age-specific cervical cancer incidence and mortality rates in Kenya (estimatesfor 2018)

15−1

9

20−2

4

25−2

9

30−3

4

35−3

9

40−4

4

45−4

9

50−5

4

55−5

9

60−6

4

65−6

9

70−7

4

>=75

Age group (years)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Age

−spe

cifi

c ra

tes

of c

ervi

cal c

ance

r

IncidenceMortality

Data accessed on 05 Oct 2018.Rates per 100,000 women per year.Data sources:Ferlay J, Ervik M, Lam F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Soerjomataram I, Bray F (2018). Global Cancer Observatory: Cancer Today. Lyon, France: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: https://gco.iarc.fr/today, accessed [05 October 2018].

Table 7: Premature deaths and disability from cervical cancer in Kenya, Eastern Africa and the rest ofthe world (estimates for 2008)

Kenya Eastern Africa WorldIndicator Number ASR (W) Number ASR (W) Number ASR (W)Estimated disability-adjusted lifeyears (DALYs)

51,768 470 677,131 721 8,738,004 293

Years of life lost (YLLs) 48,251 445 634,208 684 7,788,282 264

Years lived with disability (YLDs) 3,516 25 42,922 38 949,722 28Data accessed on 04 Nov 2013.Data sources:Soerjomataram I, Lortet-Tieulent J, Parkin DM, Ferlay J, Mathers C, Forman D, Bray F. Global burden of cancer in 2008: a systematic analysis of disability-adjusted life-years in 12 worldregions. Lancet. 2012 Nov 24;380(9856):1840-50.




Figure 17: Comparison of annual premature deaths and disability from cervical cancer in Kenya toother cancers among women (estimates for 2008)

Other pharynx ca.Laryngeal ca.

Bladder ca.Multiple myeloma

GallbladderCorpus uteri ca.

Nasopharyngeal ca.Melanoma of skin

Ca. of the lip and oral cavityLung ca.

Thyroid ca.Pancreatic ca.

Kidney ca.Hodgkin lymphoma

Colorectal ca.Stomach ca.

Liver ca.Ca. of the brain and CNS

Ovarian ca.Kaposi sarcoma

Non−Hodgkin lymphomaLeukaemia

Oesophageal ca.Cervix uteri ca.

Breast ca.

0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000

508627

2,8753,0953,1783,2193,2213,5213,7923,9164,200

6,8977,050

8,30910,894

12,23915,133

16,06818,035

20,52323,250

24,19425,102

51,76852,479

YLLsYLDs

Estimated disability−adjusted life years (DALYs).

Data accessed on 04 Nov 2013.CNS: Central Nervous System; YLDs: years lived with disability; YLLs: Years of life lost;Data sources:Soerjomataram I, Lortet-Tieulent J, Parkin DM, Ferlay J, Mathers C, Forman D, Bray F. Global burden of cancer in 2008: a systematic analysis of disability-adjusted life-years in 12 worldregions. Lancet. 2012 Nov 24;380(9856):1840-50.



3.2 Anogenital cancers other than the cervix

Data on HPV role in anogenital cancers other than cervix are limited, but there is an increasing bodyof evidence strongly linking HPV DNA with cancers of anus, vulva, vagina, and penis. Although thesecancers are much less frequent compared to cervical cancer, their association with HPV make thempotentially preventable and subject to similar preventative strategies as those for cervical cancer. (Vac-cine 2006, Vol. 24, Suppl 3; Vaccine 2008, Vol. 26, Suppl 10; Vaccine 2012, Vol. 30, Suppl 5; IARCMonographs 2007, Vol. 90).

3.2.1 Anal cancer

Anal cancer is rare in the general population with an average worldwide incidence of 1 per 100,000,but is reported to be increasing in more developed regions. Globally, there are an estimated 27,000 newcases every year (de Martel C et al. Lancet Oncol 2012;13(6):607-15). Women have higher incidences ofanal cancer than men. Incidence is particularly high among populations of men who have sex with men(MSM), women with history of cervical or vulvar cancer, and immunosuppressed populations, includingthose who are HIV-infected and patients with a history of organ transplantation. These cancers arepredominantly squamous cell carcinoma, adenocarcinomas, or basaloid and cloacogenic carcinomas.

Table 8: Anal cancer incidence in Kenya by cancer registry and sexMALE FEMALE

Cancer registry1 Period N casesa Crude rateb ASRb N casesa Crude ratec ASRc

Nairobi 2008-2012 9 0.1 0.5 24 0.3 1.0Data accessed on 05 Oct 2018.ASR: Age-standardized rate, Standardized rates have been estimated using the direct method and the World population as the reference;Please refer to original source (available at http://ci5.iarc.fr/CI5-XI/Default.aspx)aAccumulated number of cases during the period in the population covered by the corresponding registry.bRates per 100,000 men per year.cRates per 100,000 women per year.Data sources:1Bray F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Zanetti R and Ferlay J, editors (2017). Cancer Incidence in Five Continents, Vol. XI (electronic version). Lyon: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: http://ci5.iarc.fr, accessed [05 October 2018].



http://ci5.iarc.fr,


Figure 18: Time trends in anal cancer incidence in Kenya (cancer registry data)

Anal cancer in men

No data available

Ann

ual c

rude

inci

denc

e ra

te

(per

100

,000

)

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Anal cancer in women

No data available

Ann

ual c

rude

inci

denc

e ra

te

(per

100

,000

)

Year1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

All ages

15−44 yrs

45−74 yrs

All ages

15−44 yrs

45−74 yrs

Data accessed on 27 Apr 2015.Data sources:Ferlay J, Bray F, Steliarova-Foucher E and Forman D. Cancer Incidence in Five Continents, CI5plus: IARC CancerBase No. 9 [Internet]. Lyon, France: International Agency for Researchon Cancer; 2014. Available from: http://ci5.iarc.fr


http://ci5.iarc.fr


3.2.2 Vulvar cancer

Cancer of the vulva is rare among women worldwide, with an estimated 27,000 new cases in 2008, rep-resenting 4% of all gynaecologic cancers (de Martel C et al. Lancet Oncol 2012;13(6):607-15). Worldwide,about 60% of all vulvar cancer cases occur in more developed countries. Vulvar cancer has two distincthistological patterns with two different risk factor profiles: (1) basaloid/warty types (2) keratinisingtypes. Basaloid/warty lesions are more common in young women, are very often associated with HPVDNA detection (75-100%), and have a similar risk factor profile as cervical cancer. Keratinising vulvarcarcinomas represent the majority of the vulvar lesions (>60%), they occur more often in older womenand are more rarely associated with HPV (IARC Monograph Vol 100B).

Table 9: Vulvar cancer incidence in Kenya by cancer registryCancer registry1 Period N casesa Crude rateb ASRb

Nairobi 2008-2012 31 0.4 1.4Data accessed on 05 Oct 2018.ASR: Age-standardized rate, Standardized rates have been estimated using the direct method and the World population as the reference;Please refer to original source (available at http://ci5.iarc.fr/CI5-XI/Default.aspx)aAccumulated number of cases during the period in the population covered by the corresponding registry.bRates per 100,000 women per year.Data sources:1Bray F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Zanetti R and Ferlay J, editors (2017). Cancer Incidence in Five Continents, Vol. XI (electronic version). Lyon: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: http://ci5.iarc.fr, accessed [05 October 2018].

Figure 19: Time trends in vulvar cancer incidence in Kenya (cancer registry data)

No data available

Ann

ual c

rude

inci

denc

e ra

te

(per

100

,000

)

Year1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

All ages

15−44 yrs

45−74 yrs




http://ci5.iarc.fr,

http://ci5.iarc.fr


3.2.3 Vaginal cancer

Cancer of the vagina is a rare cancer, with an estimated 13,000 new cases in 2008, representing 2% ofall gynaecologic cancers (de Martel C et al. Lancet Oncol 2012;13(6):607-15). Similar to cervical cancer,the majority of vaginal cancer cases (68%) occur in less developed countries. Most vaginal cancers aresquamous cell carcinoma (90%) generally attributable to HPV, followed by clear cell adenocarcinomasand melanoma. Vaginal cancers are primarily reported in developed countries. Metastatic cervicalcancer can be misclassified as cancer of the vagina. Invasive vaginal cancer is diagnosed primarily inold women (≥ 65 years) and the diagnosis is rare in women under 45 years whereas the peak incidenceof carcinoma in situ is observed between ages 55 and 70 (Vaccine 2008, Vol. 26, Suppl 10).

Table 10: Vaginal cancer incidence in Kenya by cancer registryCancer registry1 Period N casesa Crude rateb ASRb

Nairobi 2008-2012 17 0.2 0.7Data accessed on 05 Oct 2018.ASR: Age-standardized rate, Standardized rates have been estimated using the direct method and the World population as the reference;Please refer to original source (available at http://ci5.iarc.fr/CI5-XI/Default.aspx)aAccumulated number of cases during the period in the population covered by the corresponding registry.bRates per 100,000 women per year.Data sources:1Bray F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Zanetti R and Ferlay J, editors (2017). Cancer Incidence in Five Continents, Vol. XI (electronic version). Lyon: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: http://ci5.iarc.fr, accessed [05 October 2018].

Figure 20: Time trends in vaginal cancer incidence in Kenya (cancer registry data)

No data available

Ann

ual c

rude

inci

denc

e ra

te

(per

100

,000

)

Year1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

All ages

15−44 yrs

45−74 yrs




http://ci5.iarc.fr,

http://ci5.iarc.fr


3.2.4 Penile cancer

The annual burden of penile cancer has been estimated to be 22,000 cases worldwide with incidencerates strongly correlating with those of cervical cancer (de Martel C et al. Lancet Oncol 2012;13(6):607-15). Penile cancer is rare and most commonly affects men aged 50-70 years. Incidence rates are higherin less developed countries than in more developed countries, accounting for up to 10% of male cancersin some parts of Africa, South America and Asia. Precursor cancerous penile lesions (PeIN) are rare.

Cancers of the penis are primarily of squamous cell carcinomas (SCC) (95%) and the most commonpenile SCC histologic sub-types are keratinising (49%), mixed warty-basaloid (17%), verrucous (8%)warty (6%), and basaloid (4%). HPV is most commonly detected in basaloid and warty tumours but isless common in keratinising and verrucous tumours. Approximately 60-100% of PeIN lesions are HPVDNA positive.

Table 11: Penile cancer incidence in Kenya by cancer registryCancer registry Period N casesa Crude rateb ASRb

Nairobi 2008-2012 10 0.1 0.3Data accessed on 05 Oct 2018.ASR: Age-standardized rate, Standardized rates have been estimated using the direct method and the World population as the reference;Please refer to original source (available at http://ci5.iarc.fr/CI5-XI/Default.aspx)aAccumulated number of cases during the period in the population covered by the corresponding registry.bRates per 100,000 men per year.Data sources:1Bray F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Zanetti R and Ferlay J, editors (2017). Cancer Incidence in Five Continents, Vol. XI (electronic version). Lyon: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: http://ci5.iarc.fr, accessed [05 October 2018].

Figure 21: Time trends in penile cancer incidence in Kenya (cancer registry data)

No data available

Ann

ual c

rude

inci

denc

e ra

te

(per

100

,000

)

Year1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Penis

15−44

45−74




http://ci5.iarc.fr,

http://ci5.iarc.fr


3.3 Head and neck cancers

The majority of head and neck cancers are associated with high tobacco and alcohol consumption. How-ever, increasing trends in the incidence at specific sites suggest that other aetiological factors are in-volved, and infection by certain high-risk types of HPV (i.e. HPV16) have been reported to be associatedwith head and neck cancers, in particular with oropharyngeal cancer. Current evidence suggests thatHPV16 is associated with tonsil cancer (including Waldeyer ring cancer), base of tongue cancer andother oropharyngeal cancer sites. Associations with other head and neck cancer sites such as oral can-cer are neither strong nor consistent when compared to molecular-epidemiological data on HPV andoropharyngeal cancer. Association with laryngeal cancer is still unclear (IARC Monograph Vol 100B).

3.3.1 Oropharyngeal cancer

Table 12: Incidence and mortality of cancer of the oropharynx in Kenya, Eastern Africa and the rest ofthe world by sex (estimates for 2018). Includes ICD-10 codes: C09-10

MALE FEMALEIndicator Kenya Eastern

AfricaWorld Kenya Eastern

AfricaWorld

INCIDENCEAnnual number of new cancer cases 60 435 74,472 34 340 18,415

Crude incidence ratea 0.2 0.2 1.9 0.1 0.2 0.5

Age-standardized incidence ratea 0.6 0.4 1.8 0.2 0.3 0.4

Cumulative risk (%) at 75 years oldb 0.1 0 0.2 0 0 0

MORTALITYAnnual number of deaths 53 355 42,116 24 260 8,889

Crude mortality ratea 0.2 0.2 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.2

Age-standardized mortality ratea 0.5 0.3 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.2

Cumulative risk (%) at 75 years oldc 0.1 0 0.1 0 0 0

Data accessed on 05 Oct 2018.For more detailed methods of estimation please refer to http://gco.iarc.fr/today/data-sources-methodsaMale: Rates per 100,000 men per year. Female: Rates per 100,000 women per year.bCumulative risk (incidence) is the probability or risk of individuals getting from the disease during ages 0-74 years. For cancer, it is expressed as the % of new born children who would beexpected to develop from a particular cancer before the age of 75 if they had the rates of cancer observed in the period in the absence of competing causes.cCumulative risk (mortality) is the probability or risk of individuals dying from the disease during ages 0-74 years. For cancer, it is expressed as the % of new born children who would beexpected to die from a particular cancer before the age of 75 if they had the rates of cancer observed in the period in the absence of competing causes.Data sources:Ferlay J, Ervik M, Lam F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Soerjomataram I, Bray F (2018). Global Cancer Observatory: Cancer Today. Lyon, France: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: https://gco.iarc.fr/today, accessed [05 October 2018].





Figure 22: Comparison of incidence and mortality rates of the oropharynx by age group and sex inKenya (estimates for 2018). Includes ICD-10 codes: C09-10

MALE

0−14

15−39

40−44

45−49

50−54

55−59

60−64

65−69

70−74

>=75

Age

−spe

cifi

c ra

tes

ofor

opha

ryng

eal c

ance

r

0

1

2

3

4

5

Incidence

FEMALE

0−14

15−39

40−44

45−49

50−54

55−59

60−64

65−69

70−74

>=75

Age groups (years)

0

Mortality

Data accessed on 05 Oct 2018.Male: Rates per 100,000 men per year. Female: Rates per 100,000 women per year.Data sources:Ferlay J, Ervik M, Lam F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Soerjomataram I, Bray F (2018). Global Cancer Observatory: Cancer Today. Lyon, France: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: https://gco.iarc.fr/today, accessed [05 October 2018].




Table 13: Incidence of oropharyngeal cancer in Kenya by cancer registry and sexMALE FEMALE

Cancer registry1,α Periodα N casesa Crude rateb ASRα N casesa Crude rateb ASRb

Tongue (ICD-10 code: C01-02)Nairobi 2008-2012 73 0.9 2.7 39 0.5 1.9

Tonsillar cancer (ICD-10 code: C09)Nairobi 2008-2012 3 0.0 0.1 1 0.0 0.0

Cancer of the oropharynx (excludes tonsil) (ICD-10 code: C10)Nairobi 2008-2012 10 0.1 0.6 6 0.1 0.4

Data accessed on 15 Oct 2018.ASR: Age-standardised rate. Standardised rates have been estimated using the direct method and the World population as the reference.aAccumulated number of cases during the period in the population covered by the corresponding registry.bMale: Rates per 100,000 men per year. Female: Rates per 100,000 women per year.αPlease refer to original source (available at http://ci5.iarc.fr/CI5-XI/Default.aspx)Data sources:1Bray F, Colombet M, Mery L, Piñeros M, Znaor A, Zanetti R and Ferlay J, editors (2017). Cancer Incidence in Five Continents, Vol. XI (electronic version). Lyon: International Agency forResearch on Cancer. Available from: http://ci5.iarc.fr, accessed [05 October 2018].



http://ci5.iarc.fr,

4 HPV RELATED STATISTICS - 31 -

4 HPV related statistics

HPV infection is commonly found in the anogenital tract of men and women with and without clinicallesions. The aetiological role of HPV infection among women with cervical cancer is well-established,and there is growing evidence of its central role in other anogenital sites. HPV is also responsible forother diseases such as recurrent juvenile respiratory papillomatosis and genital warts, both mainlycaused by HPV types 6 and 11 (Lacey CJ, Vaccine 2006; 24(S3):35). For this section, the methodologiesused to compile the information on HPV burden are derived from systematic reviews and meta-analysesof the literature. Due to the limitations of HPV DNA detection methods and study designs used, thesedata should be interpreted with caution and used only as a guide to assess the burden of HPV infectionwithin the population. (Vaccine 2006, Vol. 24, Suppl 3; Vaccine 2008, Vol. 26, Suppl 10; Vaccine2012,Vol. 30, Suppl 5; IARC Monographs 2007, Vol. 90).

4.1 HPV burden in women with normal cervical cytology, cervical precancerouslesions or invasive cervical cancer

The statistics shown in this section focus on HPV infection in the cervix uteri. HPV cervical infection re-sults in cervical morphological lesions ranging from normalcy (cytologically normal women) to differentstages of precancerous lesions (CIN-1, CIN-2, CIN-3/CIS) and invasive cervical cancer. HPV infectionis measured by HPV DNA detection in cervical cells (fresh tissue, paraffin embedded or exfoliated cells).

The prevalence of HPV increases with lesion severity. HPV causes virtually 100% of cervical cancercases, and an underestimation of HPV prevalence in cervical cancer is most likely due to the limitationsof study methodologies. Worldwide, HPV16 and 18 (the two vaccine-preventable types) contribute toover 70% of all cervical cancer cases, between 41% and 67% of high-grade cervical lesions and 16-32%of low-grade cervical lesions. After HPV16/18, the six most common HPV types are the same in allworld regions, namely 31, 33, 35, 45, 52 and 58; these account for an additional 20% of cervical cancersworldwide (Clifford G, Vaccine 2006;24(S3):26).

Methods: Prevalence and type distribution of human papillomavirus in cervical carcinoma,low-grade cervical lesions, high-grade cervical lesions and normal cytology: systematic re-view and meta-analysis

A systematic review of the literature was conducted regarding the worldwide HPV-prevalence and typedistribution for cervical carcinoma, low-grade cervical lesions, high-grade cervical lesions and normalcytology from 1990 to ’data as of ’ indicated in each section. The search terms for the review were ’HPV’AND cerv* using Pubmed. There were no limits in publication language. References cited in selectedarticles were also investigated. Inclusion criteria were: HPV DNA detection by means of PCR or HC2,a minimum of 20 cases for cervical carcinoma, 20 cases for low-grade cervical lesions, 20 cases for high-grade cervical lesions and 100 cases for normal cytology and a detailed description of HPV DNA detec-tion and genotyping techniques used. The number of cases tested and HPV positive extracted for eachstudy were pooled to estimate the prevalence of HPV DNA and the HPV type distribution globally andby geographical region. Binomial 95% confidence intervals were calculated for each HPV prevalence.For more details refer to the methods document.



4.1.1 HPV prevalence in women with normal cervical cytology

Figure 23: Crude age-specific HPV prevalence (%) and 95% confidence interval in women with normalcervical cytology in Kenya

0

20

40

60

25−34 35−44 45−54 55−64Age group (years)

HP

V p

reva

lenc

e (%

)

Data updated on 11 Jun 2019 (data as of 30 Jun 2015).Data sources:Based on systematic reviews and meta-analysis performed by ICO. The ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2014. Reference publications: 1) Bruni L, J Infect Dis2010; 202: 1789. 2) De Sanjosé S, Lancet Infect Dis 2007; 7: 453De Vuyst H, Sex Transm Dis 2003; 30: 137

Figure 24: HPV prevalence among women with normal cervical cytology in Kenya, by study

Study

Temmerman 1999 (Nairobi)a

De Vuyst 2010 (Mombasa)

De Vuyst 2003 (Nairobi)

Yamada 2008 (Nairobi)a

Maranga 2013 (Nairobi)

Age

19−54

>=15

25−55

16−61

21−50

N

513

454

369

333

101

% (95% CI)

17.0 (14.0−20.4)

40.3 (35.9−44.9)

38.8 (33.9−43.8)

16.8 (13.2−21.2)

41.6 (32.5−51.3)

10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Data updated on 11 Jun 2019 (data as of 30 Jun 2015).95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval; N: number of women tested;The samples for HPV testing come from cervical specimens (fresh/fixed biopsies or exfoliated cells).aWomen from the general population, including some with cytological cervical abnormalitiesData sources:Based on systematic reviews and meta-analysis performed by ICO. The ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2014. Reference publications: 1) Bruni L, J Infect Dis2010; 202: 1789. 2) De Sanjosé S, Lancet Infect Dis 2007; 7: 453De Vuyst H, Cancer Causes Control 2010; 21: 2309 | De Vuyst H, Sex Transm Dis 2003; 30: 137 | Maranga IO, Open Virol J 2013; 7: 19 | Temmerman M, Int J Gynaecol Obstet 1999; 65:171 | Yamada R, J Med Virol 2008; 80: 847



4.1.2 HPV type distribution among women with normal cervical cytology, precancerous cer-vical lesions and cervical cancer

Table 14: Prevalence of HPV16 and HPV18 by cytology in Kenya

HPV 16/18 Prevalence

No. tested % (95% CI)

Normal cytology1,2 823 9.1 (7.3-11.3)

Low-grade lesions3,4 42 21.4 (11.7-35.9)

High-grade lesions5,4 20 45.0 (25.8-65.8)

Cervical cancer6,7 233 63.1 (56.7-69.0)

Data updated on 11 Jun 2019 (data as of 30 Jun 2015 / 30 Jun 2015).95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval; High-grade lesions: CIN-2, CIN-3, CIS or HSIL; Low-grade lesions: LSIL or CIN-1;The samples for HPV testing come from cervical specimens (fresh / fixed biopsies or exfoliated cells)Data sources:1Based on systematic reviews and meta-analysis performed by ICO. The ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2014. Reference publications: 1) Bruni L, J Infect Dis2010; 202: 1789. 2) De Sanjosé S, Lancet Infect Dis 2007; 7: 4532De Vuyst H, Cancer Causes Control 2010; 21: 2309 | De Vuyst H, Sex Transm Dis 2003; 30: 1373Based on meta-analysis performed by IARC’s Infections and Cancer Epidemiology Group up to November 2011, the ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2015.Reference publications: 1) Guan P, Int J Cancer 2012;131:2349 2) Clifford GM, Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2005;14:11574Contributing studies: De Vuyst H, Cancer Causes Control 2010; 21: 2309 | De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer 2012; 131: 949 | De Vuyst H, Sex Transm Dis 2003; 30: 1375Based on meta-analysis performed by IARC’s Infections and Cancer Epidemiology Group up to November 2011, the ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2015.Reference publications: 1) Guan P, Int J Cancer 2012;131:2349 2) Smith JS, Int J Cancer 2007;121:621 3) Clifford GM, Br J Cancer 2003;89:101.6Based on meta-analysis performed by IARC’s Infections and Cancer Epidemiology Group up to November 2011, the ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2014.Reference publications: 1) Guan P, Int J Cancer 2012;131:2349 2) Li N, Int J Cancer 2011;128:927 3) Smith JS, Int J Cancer 2007;121:621 4) Clifford GM, Br J Cancer 2003;88:63 5) CliffordGM, Br J Cancer 2003;89:101.7Contributing studies: De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer 2008; 122: 244 | De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer 2012; 131: 949

Figure 25: HPV 16 prevalence among women with normal cervical cytology in Kenya, by study

Study

De Vuyst 2010

De Vuyst 2003

N

454

369

% (95% CI)

7.5 (5.4−10.3)

3.5 (2.1−5.9)

0% 10% 20%

Data updated on 11 Jun 2019 (data as of 30 Jun 2015).95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval; N: number of women tested;The samples for HPV testing come from cervical specimens (fresh/fixed biopsies or exfoliated cells).Data sources:Based on systematic reviews and meta-analysis performed by ICO. The ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2014. Reference publications: 1) Bruni L, J Infect Dis2010; 202: 1789. 2) De Sanjosé S, Lancet Infect Dis 2007; 7: 453De Vuyst H, Cancer Causes Control 2010; 21: 2309 | De Vuyst H, Sex Transm Dis 2003; 30: 137

Figure 26: HPV 16 prevalence among women with low-grade cervical lesions in Kenya, by study

Study

De Vuyst 2003

De Vuyst 2010

N

30

12

% (95% CI)

13.3 (5.3−29.7)

8.3 (1.5−35.4)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Data updated on 11 Jun 2019 (data as of 30 Jun 2015).95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval; Low-grade lesions: LSIL or CIN-1; N: number of women tested;The samples for HPV testing come from cervical specimens (fresh/fixed biopsies or exfoliated cells).Data sources:Based on meta-analysis performed by IARC’s Infections and Cancer Epidemiology Group up to November 2011, the ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2015.Reference publications: 1) Guan P, Int J Cancer 2012;131:2349 2) Clifford GM, Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2005;14:1157De Vuyst H, Cancer Causes Control 2010; 21: 2309 | De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer 2012; 131: 949 | De Vuyst H, Sex Transm Dis 2003; 30: 137



Figure 27: HPV 16 prevalence among women with high-grade cervical lesions in Kenya, by study

Study

De Vuyst 2003

N

20

% (95% CI)

45.0 (25.8−65.8)

20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Data updated on 11 Jun 2019 (data as of 30 Jun 2015).95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval; High-grade lesions: CIN-2, CIN-3, CIS or HSIL; N: number of women tested;The samples for HPV testing come from cervical specimens (fresh/fixed biopsies or exfoliated cells).Data sources:Based on meta-analysis performed by IARC’s Infections and Cancer Epidemiology Group up to November 2011, the ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2015.Reference publications: 1) Guan P, Int J Cancer 2012;131:2349 2) Smith JS, Int J Cancer 2007;121:621 3) Clifford GM, Br J Cancer 2003;89:101.De Vuyst H, Cancer Causes Control 2010; 21: 2309 | De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer 2012; 131: 949 | De Vuyst H, Sex Transm Dis 2003; 30: 137

Figure 28: HPV 16 prevalence among women with invasive cervical cancer in Kenya, by study

Study

De Vuyst 2008

De Vuyst 2012

N

153

80

% (95% CI)

43.8 (36.2−51.7)

56.3 (45.3−66.6)

30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Data updated on 11 Jun 2019 (data as of 30 Jun 2015).95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval; N: number of women tested;The samples for HPV testing come from cervical specimens (fresh/fixed biopsies or exfoliated cells).Data sources:Based on meta-analysis performed by IARC’s Infections and Cancer Epidemiology Group up to November 2011, the ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2014.Reference publications: 1) Guan P, Int J Cancer 2012;131:2349 2) Li N, Int J Cancer 2011;128:927 3) Smith JS, Int J Cancer 2007;121:621 4) Clifford GM, Br J Cancer 2003;88:63 5) CliffordGM, Br J Cancer 2003;89:101.De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer 2008; 122: 244 | De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer 2012; 131: 949



Figure 29: Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV oncogenic types in Kenya among womenwith and without cervical lesions

Nor

mal

cyt

olog

y(a,

b)

Low

−gra

de le

sion

s(c,

d)

Hig

h−gr

ade

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ons(

e, d

)C

ervi

cal C

ance

r(f,

g)

45513133661853521658

HP

V−t

ype

1.72.42.42.73.03.4

4.95.15.76.7

66317039535218581635

HP

V−t

ype

2.42.4

4.84.8

9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5

11.916.7

10th*565868314552663516

HP

V−t

ype

5.010.010.010.010.0

15.015.0

20.045.0

0 10 20 30 40 50

58396831335235184516

HP

V−t

ype

2.12.12.62.62.6

4.75.2

15.015.9

48.1

Prevalence (%)

*No data available. No more types than shown were tested or were positive.Data updated on 11 Jun 2019 (data as of 30 Jun 2015 / 30 Jun 2015).High-grade lesions: CIN-2, CIN-3, CIS or HSIL; Low-grade lesions: LSIL or CIN-1;The samples for HPV testing come from cervical specimens (fresh / fixed biopsies or exfoliated cells).Data sources:aBased on systematic reviews and meta-analysis performed by ICO. The ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2014. Reference publications: 1) Bruni L, J Infect Dis2010; 202: 1789. 2) De Sanjosé S, Lancet Infect Dis 2007; 7: 453bDe Vuyst H, Cancer Causes Control 2010; 21: 2309 | De Vuyst H, Sex Transm Dis 2003; 30: 137cBased on meta-analysis performed by IARC’s Infections and Cancer Epidemiology Group up to November 2011, the ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2015.Reference publications: 1) Guan P, Int J Cancer 2012;131:2349 2) Clifford GM, Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2005;14:1157dContributing studies: De Vuyst H, Cancer Causes Control 2010; 21: 2309 | De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer 2012; 131: 949 | De Vuyst H, Sex Transm Dis 2003; 30: 137eBased on meta-analysis performed by IARC’s Infections and Cancer Epidemiology Group up to November 2011, the ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2015.Reference publications: 1) Guan P, Int J Cancer 2012;131:2349 2) Smith JS, Int J Cancer 2007;121:621 3) Clifford GM, Br J Cancer 2003;89:101.

(Continued on next page)



( Figure 29 – continued from previous page)f Based on meta-analysis performed by IARC’s Infections and Cancer Epidemiology Group up to November 2011, the ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2014.Reference publications: 1) Guan P, Int J Cancer 2012;131:2349 2) Li N, Int J Cancer 2011;128:927 3) Smith JS, Int J Cancer 2007;121:621 4) Clifford GM, Br J Cancer 2003;88:63 5) CliffordGM, Br J Cancer 2003;89:101.gContributing studies: De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer 2008; 122: 244 | De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer 2012; 131: 949

Figure 30: Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV oncogenic types in Kenya among womenwith invasive cervical cancer by histology

Cer

vica

l Can

cer

Squa

mou

s ce

ll ca

rcin

oma

Ade

noca

rcin

oma

Une

spec

ifie

d

58396831335235184516

HP

V−t

ype

2.12.12.62.62.6

4.75.2

15.015.9

48.1

39583331685235184516

HP

V−t

ype

2.12.12.62.62.6

4.75.2

15.015.9

48.1

10th*9th*8th*7th*6th*5th*4th*3rd*2nd*1st*

HP

V−t

ype

No data available

0 10 20 30 40 50

10th*9th*8th*7th*6th*5th*4th*3rd*2nd*1st*

HP

V−t

ype

No data available

Data updated on 19 May 2017 (data as of 30 Jun 2015).The samples for HPV testing come from cervical specimens (fresh / fixed biopsies or exfoliated cells). The ranking of the ten most frequent HPV types may present less than ten types beauseonly a limited number of types were tested or were HPV-positive.Data sources:




( Figure 30 – continued from previous page)Based on meta-analysis performed by IARC’s Infections and Cancer Epidemiology Group up to November 2011, the ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2014.Reference publications: 1) Guan P, Int J Cancer 2012;131:2349 2) Li N, Int J Cancer 2011;128:927 3) Smith JS, Int J Cancer 2007;121:621 4) Clifford GM, Br J Cancer 2003;88:63 5) CliffordGM, Br J Cancer 2003;89:101.Contributing studies: De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer 2008; 122: 244 | De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer 2012; 131: 949



Table 15: Type-specific HPV prevalence in women with normal cervical cytology, precancerous cervicallesions and invasive cervical cancer in Kenya

Normal cytology1,2 Low-grade lesions3,4 High-grade lesions5,4 Cervical cancer6,7

HPV Type No. HPV Prev No. HPV Prev No. HPV Prev No. HPV Prevtested % (95% CI) tested % (95% CI) tested % (95% CI) tested % (95% CI)

ONCOGENIC HPV TYPESHigh-risk HPV types16 823 5.7 (4.3-7.5) 42 11.9 (5.2-25.0) 20 45.0 (25.8-65.8) 233 48.1 (41.7-54.5)18 823 3.4 (2.4-4.9) 42 9.5 (3.8-22.1) 20 0.0 (0.0-16.1) 233 15.0 (11.0-20.2)31 823 2.4 (1.6-3.7) 42 2.4 (0.4-12.3) 20 10.0 (2.8-30.1) 233 2.6 (1.2-5.5)33 823 2.7 (1.8-4.0) 42 0.0 (0.0-8.4) 20 0.0 (0.0-16.1) 233 2.6 (1.2-5.5)35 823 1.5 (0.8-2.5) 42 16.7 (8.3-30.6) 20 20.0 (8.1-41.6) 233 5.2 (3.0-8.8)39 823 1.1 (0.6-2.1) 42 4.8 (1.3-15.8) 20 0.0 (0.0-16.1) 233 2.1 (0.9-4.9)45 823 1.7 (1.0-2.8) 42 2.4 (0.4-12.3) 20 10.0 (2.8-30.1) 233 15.9 (11.7-21.1)51 823 2.4 (1.6-3.7) 42 2.4 (0.4-12.3) 20 0.0 (0.0-16.1) 233 1.3 (0.4-3.7)52 823 5.1 (3.8-6.8) 42 9.5 (3.8-22.1) 20 15.0 (5.2-36.0) 233 4.7 (2.7-8.3)56 823 1.6 (0.9-2.7) 42 2.4 (0.4-12.3) 20 5.0 (0.9-23.6) 233 0.0 (0.0-1.6)58 823 6.7 (5.2-8.6) 42 9.5 (3.8-22.1) 20 10.0 (2.8-30.1) 233 2.1 (0.9-4.9)59 823 0.9 (0.4-1.7) 42 0.0 (0.0-8.4) 20 0.0 (0.0-16.1) 233 0.4 (0.1-2.4)

Probable/possible carcinogen26 454 0.0 (0.0-0.8) 12 0.0 (0.0-24.2) - - 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6)30 - - - - - - 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6)34 369 0.0 (0.0-1.0) 42 0.0 (0.0-8.4) 20 0.0 (0.0-16.1) 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6)53 823 4.9 (3.6-6.6) 42 9.5 (3.8-22.1) 20 0.0 (0.0-16.1) 233 1.3 (0.4-3.7)66 823 3.0 (2.1-4.4) 42 2.4 (0.4-12.3) 20 15.0 (5.2-36.0) 233 0.4 (0.1-2.4)67 454 0.0 (0.0-0.8) - - - - 80 1.3 (0.2-6.7)68 823 1.6 (0.9-2.7) 42 2.4 (0.4-12.3) 20 10.0 (2.8-30.1) 233 2.6 (1.2-5.5)69 454 0.0 (0.0-0.8) 12 0.0 (0.0-24.2) - - 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6)70 823 1.1 (0.6-2.1) 42 4.8 (1.3-15.8) 20 0.0 (0.0-16.1) 233 0.0 (0.0-1.6)73 454 1.3 (0.6-2.9) 12 0.0 (0.0-24.2) - - 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6)82 454 0.4 (0.1-1.6) 12 0.0 (0.0-24.2) - - 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6)85 - - - - - - - -97 - - - - - - - -

NON-ONCOGENIC HPV TYPES6 823 2.8 (1.9-4.2) 42 4.8 (1.3-15.8) 20 0.0 (0.0-16.1) 233 0.0 (0.0-1.6)

11 823 1.9 (1.2-3.1) 42 2.4 (0.4-12.3) 20 0.0 (0.0-16.1) 233 0.9 (0.2-3.1)32 - - - - - - 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6)40 823 0.1 (0.0-0.7) - - - - 233 0.9 (0.2-3.1)42 823 0.6 (0.3-1.4) - - - - 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6)43 823 0.0 (0.0-0.5) - - - - 233 0.0 (0.0-1.6)44 823 1.1 (0.6-2.1) - - - - 233 0.4 (0.1-2.4)54 823 1.1 (0.6-2.1) - - - - 233 0.9 (0.2-3.1)55 - - - - - - - -57 454 0.0 (0.0-0.8) - - - - 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6)61 454 3.5 (2.2-5.6) - - - - 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6)62 454 2.0 (1.0-3.7) - - - - - -64 - - - - - - - -71 454 0.0 (0.0-0.8) - - - - 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6)72 454 0.2 (0.0-1.2) - - - - 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6)74 823 1.1 (0.6-2.1) - - - - 153 0.7 (0.1-3.6)81 454 2.6 (1.5-4.6) - - - - 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6)83 454 2.0 (1.0-3.7) - - - - 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6)84 454 1.8 (0.9-3.4) - - - - 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6)86 - - - - - - - -87 - - - - - - - -89 454 0.0 (0.0-0.8) - - - - - -90 - - - - - - - -91 - - - - - - - -

Data updated on 11 Jun 2019 (data as of 30 Jun 2015 / 30 Jun 2015).95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval; High-grade lesions: CIN-2, CIN-3, CIS or HSIL; Low-grade lesions: LSIL or CIN-1;The samples for HPV testing come from cervical specimens (fresh / fixed biopsies or exfoliated cells).Data sources:1Based on systematic reviews and meta-analysis performed by ICO. The ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2014. Reference publications: 1) Bruni L, J Infect Dis2010; 202: 1789. 2) De Sanjosé S, Lancet Infect Dis 2007; 7: 4532De Vuyst H, Cancer Causes Control 2010; 21: 2309 | De Vuyst H, Sex Transm Dis 2003; 30: 1373Based on meta-analysis performed by IARC’s Infections and Cancer Epidemiology Group up to November 2011, the ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2015.Reference publications: 1) Guan P, Int J Cancer 2012;131:2349 2) Clifford GM, Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2005;14:11574Contributing studies: De Vuyst H, Cancer Causes Control 2010; 21: 2309 | De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer 2012; 131: 949 | De Vuyst H, Sex Transm Dis 2003; 30: 1375Based on meta-analysis performed by IARC’s Infections and Cancer Epidemiology Group up to November 2011, the ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2015.Reference publications: 1) Guan P, Int J Cancer 2012;131:2349 2) Smith JS, Int J Cancer 2007;121:621 3) Clifford GM, Br J Cancer 2003;89:101.




( Table 15 – continued from previous page)6Based on meta-analysis performed by IARC’s Infections and Cancer Epidemiology Group up to November 2011, the ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2014.Reference publications: 1) Guan P, Int J Cancer 2012;131:2349 2) Li N, Int J Cancer 2011;128:927 3) Smith JS, Int J Cancer 2007;121:621 4) Clifford GM, Br J Cancer 2003;88:63 5) CliffordGM, Br J Cancer 2003;89:101.7Contributing studies: De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer 2008; 122: 244 | De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer 2012; 131: 949



Table 16: Type-specific HPV prevalence among invasive cervical cancer cases in Kenya by histology

Any Histology Squamous cell carcinoma Adenocarcinoma UnespecifiedHPV Type No. HPV Prev No. HPV Prev No. HPV Prev No. HPV Prev

tested % (95% CI) tested % (95% CI) tested % (95% CI) tested % (95% CI)ONCOGENIC HPV TYPES

High-risk HPV types16 233 48.1 (41.7-54.5) 233 48.1 (41.7-54.5) - - - -18 233 15.0 (11.0-20.2) 233 15.0 (11.0-20.2) - - - -31 233 2.6 (1.2-5.5) 233 2.6 (1.2-5.5) - - - -33 233 2.6 (1.2-5.5) 233 2.6 (1.2-5.5) - - - -35 233 5.2 (3.0-8.8) 233 5.2 (3.0-8.8) - - - -39 233 2.1 (0.9-4.9) 233 2.1 (0.9-4.9) - - - -45 233 15.9 (11.7-21.1) 233 15.9 (11.7-21.1) - - - -51 233 1.3 (0.4-3.7) 233 1.3 (0.4-3.7) - - - -52 233 4.7 (2.7-8.3) 233 4.7 (2.7-8.3) - - - -56 233 0.0 (0.0-1.6) 233 0.0 (0.0-1.6) - - - -58 233 2.1 (0.9-4.9) 233 2.1 (0.9-4.9) - - - -59 233 0.4 (0.1-2.4) 233 0.4 (0.1-2.4) - - - -

Probable/possible carcinogen26 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) - - - - - -30 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) - - - -34 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) - - - -53 233 1.3 (0.4-3.7) - - - - - -66 233 0.4 (0.1-2.4) 233 0.4 (0.1-2.4) - - - -67 80 1.3 (0.2-6.7) 80 1.3 (0.2-6.7) - - - -68 233 2.6 (1.2-5.5) 233 2.6 (1.2-5.5) - - - -69 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) - - - - - -70 233 0.0 (0.0-1.6) - - - - - -73 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) - - - - - -82 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) - - - -85 - - - - - - - -97 - - - - - - - -

NON-ONCOGENIC HPV TYPES6 233 0.0 (0.0-1.6) - - - - - -

11 233 0.9 (0.2-3.1) - - - - - -27 - - - - - - - -32 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) - - - - - -40 233 0.9 (0.2-3.1) - - - - - -42 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) - - - -43 233 0.0 (0.0-1.6) - - - - - -44 233 0.4 (0.1-2.4) 233 0.4 (0.1-2.4) - - - -54 233 0.9 (0.2-3.1) - - - - - -55 - - - - - - - -57 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) - - - - - -60 - - - - - - - -61 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) - - - - - -62 - - - - - - - -64 - - - - - - - -71 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) - - - - - -72 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) - - - - - -74 153 0.7 (0.1-3.6) - - - - - -76 - - - - - - - -81 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) - - - - - -83 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) - - - - - -84 80 0.0 (0.0-4.6) - - - - - -86 - - - - - - - -87 - - - - - - - -89 - - - - - - - -90 - - - - - - - -91 - - - - - - - -

No Data Available - - - - - - - - - - - -

Data updated on 19 May 2017 (data as of 30 Jun 2015).95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval;The samples for HPV testing come from cervical specimens (fresh / fixed biopsies or exfoliated cells).Data sources:Based on meta-analysis performed by IARC’s Infections and Cancer Epidemiology Group up to November 2011, the ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2014.Reference publications: 1) Guan P, Int J Cancer 2012;131:2349 2) Li N, Int J Cancer 2011;128:927 3) Smith JS, Int J Cancer 2007;121:621 4) Clifford GM, Br J Cancer 2003;88:63 5) CliffordGM, Br J Cancer 2003;89:101.Contributing studies: De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer 2008; 122: 244 | De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer 2012; 131: 949



4.1.3 HPV type distribution among HIV+ women with normal cervical cytology

Table 17: Studies on HPV prevalence among HIV women with normal cytology in KenyaHPV detection Prevalence of 5 most

method and targeted HPV prevalence frequent HPVsStudy HPV types No. Tested % (95% CI) HPV type (%)

No Data Available - - - - -

Data updated on 31 Jul 2013 (data as of 31 Dec 2011). Only for European countries.95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval;Data sources:Systematic review and meta-analysis were performed by the ICO HPV Information Centre up to December 2011. Selected studies had to include at least 20 HIV positive women who hadboth normal cervical cytology and HPV test results (PCR or HC2).



4.1.4 Terminology

Cytologically normal womenNo abnormal cells are observed on the surface of their cervix upon cytology.

Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia (CIN) / Squamous Intraepithelial Lesions (SIL)SIL and CIN are two commonly used terms to describe precancerous lesions or the abnormalgrowth of squamous cells observed in the cervix. SIL is an abnormal result derived from cervicalcytological screening or Pap smear testing. CIN is a histological diagnosis made upon analysis ofcervical tissue obtained by biopsy or surgical excision. The condition is graded as CIN 1, 2 or 3,according to the thickness of the abnormal epithelium (1/3, 2/3 or the entire thickness).

Low-grade cervical lesions (LSIL/CIN-1)Low-grade cervical lesions are defined by early changes in size, shape, and number of ab-normal cells formed on the surface of the cervix and may be referred to as mild dysplasia,LSIL, or CIN-1.

High-grade cervical lesions (HSIL/ CIN-2 / CIN-3 / CIS)High-grade cervical lesions are defined by a large number of precancerous cells on the sur-face of the cervix that are distinctly different from normal cells. They have the potentialto become cancerous cells and invade deeper tissues of the cervix. These lesions may bereferred to as moderate or severe dysplasia, HSIL, CIN-2, CIN-3 or cervical carcinoma insitu (CIS).

Carcinoma in situ (CIS)Preinvasive malignancy limited to the epithelium without invasion of the basement membrane.CIN 3 encompasses the squamous carcinoma in situ.

Invasive cervical cancer (ICC) / Cervical cancerIf the high-grade precancerous cells invade the basement membrane is called ICC. ICC stagesrange from stage I (cancer is in the cervix or uterus only) to stage IV (the cancer has spread todistant organs, such as the liver).

Invasive squamous cell carcinomaInvasive carcinoma composed of cells resembling those of squamous epithelium.

AdenocarcinomaInvasive tumour with glandular and squamous elements intermingled.



4.2 HPV burden in anogenital cancers other than cervix

Methods: Prevalence and type distribution of human papillomavirus in carcinoma of thevulva, vagina, anus and penis: systematic review and meta-analysis

A systematic review of the literature was conducted on the worldwide HPV-prevalence and type dis-tribution for anogenital carcinomas other than cervix from January 1986 to ’data as of ’ indicated ineach section. The search terms for the review were ’HPV’ AND (anus OR anal) OR (penile) OR vagin*OR vulv* using Pubmed. There were no limits in publication language. References cited in selectedarticles were also investigated. Inclusion criteria were: HPV DNA detection by means of PCR, a mini-mum of 10 cases by lesion and a detailed description of HPV DNA detection and genotyping techniquesused. The number of cases tested and HPV positive cases were extracted for each study to estimatethe prevalence of HPV DNA and the HPV type distribution. Binomial 95% confidence intervals werecalculated for each HPV prevalence.

4.2.1 Anal cancer and precancerous anal lesions

Anal cancer is similar to cervical cancer with respect to overall HPV DNA positivity, with approximately88% of cases associated with HPV infection worldwide (de Martel C et al. Lancet Oncol 2012;13(6):607-15). HPV16 is the most common type detected, representing 73% of all HPV-positive tumours. HPV18is the second most common type detected and is found in approximately 5% of cases. HPV DNA is alsodetected in the majority of precancerous anal lesions (AIN) (91.5% in AIN1 and 93.9% in AIN2/3) (DeVuyst H et al. Int J Cancer 2009; 124: 1626-36). In this section, the burden of HPV among cases of analcancers and precancerous anal lesions in Kenya are presented.

Table 18: Studies on HPV prevalence among anal cancer cases in Kenya (male and female)HPV detection Prevalence of 5 most



Data updated on 11 Jun 2019 (data as of 30 Jun 2015).95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval;Data sources:Based on systematic reviews (up to 2008) performed by ICO for the IARC Monograph on the Evaluation of Carcinogenic Risks to Humans volume 100B and IARC’s Infections and CancerEpidemiology Group. The ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2015. Reference publications: 1) Bouvard V, Lancet Oncol 2009;10:321 2) De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer2009;124:1626

Table 19: Studies on HPV prevalence among cases of AIN2/3 in KenyaHPV detection Prevalence of 5 most



Data updated on 11 Jun 2019 (data as of 30 Jun 2015).95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval; AIN 2/3: Anal intraepithelial neoplasia of grade 2/3;Data sources:Based on systematic reviews (up to 2008) performed by ICO for the IARC Monograph on the Evaluation of Carcinogenic Risks to Humans volume 100B and IARC’s Infections and CancerEpidemiology Group. The ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2015. Reference publications: 1) Bouvard V, Lancet Oncol 2009;10:321 2) De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer2009;124:1626



Figure 31: Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV types in anal cancer cases in Africa and the World

Africa (a)

10th*

9th*

8th*

51

45

35

31

6

18

16

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

4.8

4.8

4.8

4.8

9.5

9.5

28.6

Type−specific HPV prevalence (%) of anal cancer cases

World (b)

52

39

11

58

35

31

6

33

18

16

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

1.2

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.6

2.0

2.4

3.0

4.2

71.4

*No data available. No more types than shown were tested or were positive.Data updated on 09 Feb 2017 (data as of 30 Jun 2014).aIncludes cases from Mali, Nigeria and Senegal.bIncludes cases from Europe (Bosnia-Herzegovina, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Poland, Portugal, Slovenia, Spain and United Kingdom); America (Chile, Colombia, Ecuador,Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Paraguay and United States); Africa (Mali, Nigeria and Senegal); Asia (Bangladesh,India and South Korea)Data sources:Data from Alemany L, Int J Cancer 2015; 136: 98. This study has gathered the largest international series of anal cancer cases and precancerous lesions worldwide using a standard protocolwith a highly sensitive HPV DNA detection assay.

Figure 32: Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV types in AIN 2/3 cases in Africa and the World

Africa

10th*

9th*

8th*

7th*

6th*

5th*

4th*

3rd*

2nd*

1st*

No data available

Type−specific HPV prevalence (%) of AIN 2/3 cases

World (a)

45

44

35

74

51

31

18

11

6

16

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

2.3

2.3

2.3

4.7

4.7

4.7

4.7

7.0

9.3

72.1

*No data available. No more types than shown were tested or were positive.Data updated on 09 Feb 2017 (data as of 30 Jun 2014).AIN 2/3: Anal intraepithelial neoplasia of grade 2/3;aIncludes cases from Europe (Bosnia-Herzegovina, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Poland, Portugal, Slovenia, Spain and United Kingdom); America (Chile, Colombia, Ecuador,Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Paraguay)Data sources:Data from Alemany L, Int J Cancer 2015; 136: 98. This study has gathered the largest international series of anal cancer cases and precancerous lesions worldwide using a standard protocolwith a highly sensitive HPV DNA detection assay.



4.2.2 Vulvar cancer and precancerous vulvar lesions

HPV attribution for vulvar cancer is 43% worldwide (de Martel C et al. Lancet Oncol 2012;13(6):607-15). Vulvar cancer has two distinct histological patterns with two different risk factor profiles: (1) basa-loid/warty types (2) keratinising types. Basaloid/warty lesions are more common in young women, arefrequently found adjacent to VIN, are very often associated with HPV DNA detection (86%), and havea similar risk factor profile as cervical cancer. Keratinising vulvar carcinomas represent the majorityof the vulvar lesions (>60%). These lesions develop from non HPV-related chronic vulvar dermatoses,especially lichen sclerosus and/or squamous hyperplasia, their immediate cancer precursor lesion is dif-ferentiated VIN, they occur more often in older women, and are rarely associated with HPV (6%) or withany of the other risk factors typical of cervical cancer. HPV prevalence is frequently detected amongcases of high-grade VIN (VIN2/3) (85.3%). HPV 16 is the most common type detected followed by HPV33 (De Vuyst H et al. Int J Cancer 2009; 124: 1626-36).In this section, the HPV burden among cases ofvulvar cancer cases and precancerous vulvar lesions in Kenya are presented.

Table 20: Studies on HPV prevalence among vulvar cancer cases in KenyaHPV detection Prevalence of 5 most




Table 21: Studies on HPV prevalence among VIN 2/3 cases in KenyaHPV detection Prevalence of 5 most



Data updated on 11 Jun 2019 (data as of 30 Jun 2015).95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval; VIN 2/3: Vulvar intraepithelial neoplasia of grade 2/3;Data sources:Based on systematic reviews (up to 2008) performed by ICO for the IARC Monograph on the Evaluation of Carcinogenic Risks to Humans volume 100B and IARC’s Infections and CancerEpidemiology Group. The ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2015. Reference publications: 1) Bouvard V, Lancet Oncol 2009;10:321 2) De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer2009;124:1626



Figure 33: Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV types in cases of vulvar cancer in Africa and theWorld

Africa (a)

10th*

9th*

8th*

7th*

6th*

5th*

52

45

18

16

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

4.2

4.2

4.2

58.3

Type−specific HPV prevalence (%) of vulvar cancer cases

World (b)

56

51

52

44

31

6

45

18

33

16

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

0.4

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.9

1.5

1.8

19.4

*No data available. No more types than shown were tested or were positive.Data updated on 09 Feb 2017 (data as of 30 Jun 2014).aIncludes cases from Mali, Mozambique, Nigeria, and Senegal.bIncludes cases from America (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Paraguay, Uruguay, United States of America and Venezuela); Africa (Mali,Mozambique, Nigeria, and Senegal); Oceania (Australia and New Zealand); Europe (Austria, Belarus, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Poland, Portugal,Spain and United Kingdom); and in Asia (Bangladesh, India, Israel, South Korea, Kuwait, Lebanon, Philippines, Taiwan and Turkey)Data sources:Data from de Sanjosé S, Eur J Cancer 2013; 49: 3450. This study has gathered the largest international series of vulva cancer cases and precancerous lesions worldwide using a standardprotocol with a highly sensitive HPV DNA detection assay.

Figure 34: Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV types in VIN 2/3 cases in Africa and the World

Africa

10th*

9th*

8th*

7th*

6th*

5th*

4th*

3rd*

2nd*

1st*

No data available

Type−specific HPV prevalence (%) of VIN 2/3 cases

World (a)

66

74

56

51

52

31

18

6

33

16

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

0.7

0.9

0.9

1.2

1.4

1.9

2.4

2.4

10.2

67.1

*No data available. No more types than shown were tested or were positive.Data updated on 09 Feb 2017 (data as of 30 Jun 2014).aIncludes cases from America (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Paraguay, Uruguay and Venezuela); Oceania (Australia and New Zealand);Europe (Austria, Belarus, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Poland, Portugal, Spain and United Kingdom); and in Asia (Bangladesh, India, Israel, SouthKorea, Kuwait, Lebanon, Philippines, Taiwan and Turkey)Data sources:Data from de Sanjosé S, Eur J Cancer 2013; 49: 3450. This study has gathered the largest international series of vulva cancer cases and precancerous lesions worldwide using a standardprotocol with a highly sensitive HPV DNA detection assay.



4.2.3 Vaginal cancer and precancerous vaginal lesions

Vaginal and cervical cancers share similar risk factors and it is generally accepted that both carcinomasshare the same aetiology of HPV infection although there is limited evidence available. Women withvaginal cancer are more likely to have a history of other ano-genital cancers, particularly of the cervix,and these two carcinomas are frequently diagnosed simultaneously. HPV DNA is detected among 70%of invasive vaginal carcinomas and 91% of high-grade vaginal neoplasias (VaIN2/3). HPV16 is themost common type in high-grade vaginal neoplasias and it is detected in at least 70% of HPV-positivecarcinomas (de Martel C et al. Lancet Oncol 2012;13(6):607-15; De Vuyst H et al. Int J Cancer 2009;124:1626-36). In this section, the HPV burden among cases of vaginal cancer cases and precancerousvaginal lesions in Kenya are presented.

Table 22: Studies on HPV prevalence among vaginal cancer cases in KenyaHPV detection Prevalence of 5 most




Table 23: Studies on HPV prevalence among VaIN 2/3 cases in KenyaHPV detection Prevalence of 5 most



Data updated on 11 Jun 2019 (data as of 30 Jun 2015).95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval; VAIN 2/3: Vaginal intraepithelial neoplasia of grade 2/3;Based on systematic reviews (up to 2008) performed by ICO for the IARC Monograph on the Evaluation of Carcinogenic Risks to Humans volume 100B and IARC’s Infections and CancerEpidemiology Group. The ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2015. Reference publications: 1) Bouvard V, Lancet Oncol 2009;10:321 2) De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer2009;124:1626Data sources:Based on systematic reviews (up to 2008) performed by ICO for the IARC Monograph on the Evaluation of Carcinogenic Risks to Humans volume 100B and IARC’s Infections and CancerEpidemiology Group. The ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2015. Reference publications: 1) Bouvard V, Lancet Oncol 2009;10:321 2) De Vuyst H, Int J Cancer2009;124:1626



Figure 35: Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV types in cases of vaginal cancer in Africa and theWorld

Africa (a)

10th*

9th*

8th*

7th*

39

33

31

18

45

16

0 10 20 30 40 50

5.3

5.3

5.3

5.3

10.5

31.6

Type−specific HPV prevalence (%) of vaginal cancer cases

World (b)

39

73

51

52

58

45

33

18

31

16

0 10 20 30 40 50

1.5

1.7

1.7

2.2

2.7

2.7

3.7

3.7

3.9

43.6

*No data available. No more types than shown were tested or were positive.Data updated on 09 Feb 2017 (data as of 30 Jun 2014).aIncludes cases from Mozambique, Nigeria.bIncludes cases from Europe (Austria, Belarus, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Greece, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom); America (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador,Guatemala, Mexico, Paraguay, Uruguay, United states of America and Venezuela); Africa (Mozambique, Nigeria); Asia (Bangladesh, India, Israel, South Korea, Kuwait, Philippines, Taiwanand Turkey); and Oceania (Australia)Data sources:Data from Alemany L, Eur J Cancer 2014; 50: 2846. This study has gathered the largest international series of vaginal cancer cases and precancerous lesions worldwide using a standardprotocol with a highly sensitive HPV DNA detection assay.

Figure 36: Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV types in VaIN 2/3 cases in Africa and the World

Africa

10th*

9th*

8th*

7th*

6th*

5th*

4th*

3rd*

2nd*

1st*

No data available

Type−specific HPV prevalence (%) of VaIN 2/3 cases

World (a)

35

6

51

56

59

33

73

52

18

16

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

1.6

1.6

2.1

2.6

3.7

4.2

4.8

5.3

5.3

56.1

*No data available. No more types than shown were tested or were positive.Data updated on 09 Feb 2017 (data as of 30 Jun 2014).VAIN 2/3: Vaginal intraepithelial neoplasia of grade 2/3;aIncludes cases from Europe (Austria, Belarus, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Greece, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom); America (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador,Guatemala, Mexico, Paraguay, Uruguay, United states of America and Venezuela); Asia (Bangladesh, India, Israel, South Korea, Kuwait, Philippines, Taiwan and Turkey); and Oceania(Australia)Data sources:Data from Alemany L, Eur J Cancer 2014; 50: 2846. This study has gathered the largest international series of vaginal cancer cases and precancerous lesions worldwide using a standardprotocol with a highly sensitive HPV DNA detection assay.



4.2.4 Penile cancer and precancerous penile lesions

HPV DNA is detectable in approximately 50% of all penile cancers (de Martel C et al. Lancet Oncol2012;13(6):607-15). Among HPV-related penile tumours, HPV16 is the most common type detected,followed by HPV18 and HPV types 6/11 (Miralles C et al. J Clin Pathol 2009;62:870-8). Over 95% ofinvasive penile cancers are SCC and the most common penile SCC histologic sub-types are keratinising(49%), mixed warty-basaloid (17%), verrucous (8%), warty (6%), and basaloid (4%). HPV is commonlydetected in basaloid and warty tumours but is less common in keratinising and verrucous tumours. Inthis section, the HPV burden among cases of penile cancer cases and precancerous penile lesions inKenya are presented.

Table 24: Studies on HPV prevalence among penile cancer cases in KenyaHPV detection Prevalence of 5 most



Data updated on 11 Jun 2019 (data as of 30 Jun 2015).95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval;Data sources:The ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2015. Reference publications (up to 2008): 1) Bouvard V, Lancet Oncol 2009;10:321 2) Miralles-Guri C,J Clin Pathol2009;62:870

Table 25: Studies on HPV prevalence among PeIN 2/3 cases in KenyaHPV detection Prevalence of 5 most

method and targeted HPV prevalence frequent HPVsStudy Method No. Tested % (95% CI) HPV type (%)


Data updated on 11 Jun 2019 (data as of 30 Jun 2015).95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval; PeIN 2/3: Penile intraepithelial neoplasia of grade 2/3;Data sources:The ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until June 2014. Reference publication (up to 2008): Bouvard V, Lancet Oncol 2009;10:321



Figure 37: Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV types in cases of penile cancer in Africa and theWorld

Africa (a)

10th*

9th*

8th*

7th*

6th*

5th*

52

33

30

16

0 10 20 30

5.3

5.3

5.3

26.3

Type−specific HPV prevalence (%) of penile cancer cases

World (b)

74

59

18

11

52

45

35

33

6

16

0 10 20 30

0.6

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.9

1.0

1.0

1.2

1.6

22.8

*No data available. No more types than shown were tested or were positive.Data updated on 09 Feb 2017 (data as of 30 Jun 2015).aIncludes cases from Mozambique, Nigeria, SenegalbIncludes cases from Australia, Bangladesh, India, South Korea, Lebanon, Philippines, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Paraguay, Venezuela and United States,Mozambique, Nigeria, Senegal, Czech Republic, France, Greece, Poland, Portugal, Spain and United Kingdom.

Data sources:Alemany L, Eur Urol 2016; 69: 953

Figure 38: Comparison of the ten most frequent HPV types in PeIN 2/3 cases in Africa and the World

Africa

10th*

9th*

8th*

7th*

6th*

5th*

4th*

3rd*

2nd*

1st*

No data available

Type−specific HPV prevalence (%) of PeIN 2/3 cases

World (a)

53

45

18

6

52

51

31

58

33

16

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

2.4

2.4

2.4

2.4

3.5

3.5

3.5

4.7

5.9

69.4

*No data available. No more types than shown were tested or were positive.Data updated on 09 Feb 2017 (data as of 30 Jun 2015).aIncludes cases from Australia, Bangladesh, India, South Korea, Lebanon, Philippines, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Paraguay, Venezuela, Mozambique,Nigeria, Senegal, Czech Republic, France, Greece, Poland, Portugal, Spain and United Kingdom.

Data sources:Alemany L, Eur Urol 2016; 69: 953



4.3 HPV burden in men

The information to date regarding anogenital HPV infection is primarily derived from cross-sectionalstudies of selected populations such as general population, university students, military recruits, andstudies that examined husbands of control women, as well as from prospective studies. Special sub-groups include mainly studies that examined STD (sexually transmitted diseases) clinic attendees,MSM (men who have sex with men), HIV positive men, and partners of women with HPV lesions, CIN(cervical intraepithelial neoplasia), cervical cancer or cervical carcinoma in situ. Globally, prevalence ofexternal genital HPV infection in men is higher than cervical HPV infection in women, but persistenceis less likely. As with genital HPV prevalence, high numbers of sexual partners increase the acquisitionof oncogenic HPV infections (Vaccine 2012, Vol. 30, Suppl 5). In this section, the HPV burden amongmen in Kenya is presented.

Methods

HPV burden in men was based on published systematic reviews and meta-analyses (Dunne EF, J InfectDis 2006; 194: 1044, Smith JS, J Adolesc Health 2011; 48: 540, Olesen TB, Sex Transm Infect 2014;90: 455, and Hebnes JB, J Sex Med 2014; 11: 2630) up to October 31, 2015. The search terms for thereview were human papillomavirus, men, polymerase chain reaction (PCR), hybrid capture (HC), andviral DNA. References cited in selected articles were also investigated. Inclusion criteria were: HPVDNA detection by means of PCR or HC (ISH if data are not available for the country), and a detaileddescription of HPV DNA detection and genotyping techniques used. The number of cases tested andHPV positive cases were extracted for each study to estimate the anogenital prevalence of HPV DNA.Binomial 95% confidence intervals were calculated for each anogenital HPV prevalence.

Table 26: Studies on HPV prevalence among men in KenyaAnatomic sites HPV detection Age HPV prevalence

Study samples method Population (years) No % (95% CI)Ng’ayo 2008 Glans, corona

sulcus, shaft ofthe penis, scrotumand the perianalregion

PCR-PGMY09/MY11and HMB01

Men working in thefishing industry

18-63 250 57.6 (51.2-63.8)

Smith 2010 Shaft, glans,coronal sulcus,and inner andexternal foreskintissue

PCR-GP5+/6+ Men screened toparticipate in an RCTof male circumcision

17-28 2705 51.1 (49.2-53.0)

Data updated on 11 Jun 2019 (data as of 31 Oct 2015).95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval;PCR: Polymerase Chain Reaction;Data sources:Based on published systematic reviews, the ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until October 2015. Reference publications: 1) Dunne EF, J Infect Dis 2006; 194: 1044 2) SmithJS, J Adolesc Health 2011; 48: 540 3) Olesen TB, Sex Transm Infect 2014; 90: 455 4) Hebnes JB, J Sex Med 2014; 11: 2630.Ng’ayo MO, Sex Transm Infect 2008; 84: 62 | Smith JS, Int J Cancer 2010; 126: 572



Table 27: Studies on HPV prevalence among men from special subgroups in KenyaAnatomic sites HPV detection Age HPV prevalence

Study samples method Population (years) No % (95% CI)No Data Avail-able

- - - - - - -

Data updated on 11 Jun 2019 (data as of 31 Oct 2015).95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval;Data sources:Based on published systematic reviews, the ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until October 2015. Reference publications: 1) Dunne EF, J Infect Dis 2006; 194: 1044 2) SmithJS, J Adolesc Health 2011; 48: 540 3) Olesen TB, Sex Transm Infect 2014; 90: 455 4) Hebnes JB, J Sex Med 2014; 11: 2630.



4.4 HPV burden in the head and neck

The last evaluation of the International Agency for Research in Cancer (IARC) on the carcinogenicity ofHPV in humans concluded that (a) there is enough evidence for the carcinogenicity of HPV type 16 inthe oral cavity, oropharynx (including tonsil cancer, base of tongue cancer and other oropharyngeal can-cer sites), and (b) limited evidence for laryngeal cancer (IARC Monograph Vol 100B). There is increasingevidence that HPV-related oropharyngeal cancers constitute an epidemiological, molecular and clinicaldistinct form as compared to non HPV-related ones. Some studies indicate that the most likely expla-nation for the origin of this distinct form of head and neck cancers associated with HPV is a sexuallyacquired oral HPV infection that is not cleared, persists and evolves into a neoplastic lesion. The mostrecent figures estimate that 25.6% of all oropharyngeal cancers are attributable to HPV infection withHPV16 being the most frequent type (de Martel C. Lancet Oncol. 2012;13(6):607). In this section, theHPV burden in the head and neck in Kenya is presented..

4.4.1 Burden of oral HPV infection in healthy population

Table 28: Studies on oral HPV prevalence among healthy in KenyaMethod HPV detection Prev. of 5 most

specimen method frequentcollection and and targeted Age No. HPV prevalence HPVs

Study anatomic site HPV types Population (years) Tested % (95% CI) HPV type (%)MENNo DataAvailable

- - - - - - - -

WOMENNo DataAvailable

- - - - - - - -

BOTH OR UNSPECIFIEDNo DataAvailable

- - - - - - - -

Data as of 29 Feb 2012. Only for European countries.95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval;Data sources:Systematic review and meta-analysis was performed by ICO HPV Information Centre until July 2012. Pubmed was searched using the keywords oral and papillomavirus. Inclusion criteria:studies reporting oral HPV prevalence in healthy population in Europe; n > 50. Exclusion criteria: focused only in children or immunosuppressed population; not written in English;case-control studies; commentaries and systematic reviews and studies that did not use HPV DNA detection methods.

4.4.2 HPV burden in head and neck cancers

Table 29: Studies on HPV prevalence among cases of oral cavity cancer in KenyaHPV detection Prevalence of 5 most


MENNo Data Available - - - - -

WOMENNo Data Available - - - - -

BOTH OR UNSPECIFIEDNo Data Available - - - - -

Data as of 31 Dec 2015. Only for European countries.95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval;Data sources:Based on systematic reviews and meta-analysis performed by ICO. Reference publications: 1) Ndiaye C, Lancet Oncol 2014; 15: 1319 2) Kreimer AR, Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev2005; 14: 467



Table 30: Studies on HPV prevalence among cases of oropharyngeal cancer in KenyaHPV detection Prevalence of 5 most






Table 31: Studies on HPV prevalence among cases of hypopharyngeal or laryngeal cancer in KenyaHPV detection Prevalence of 5 most







5 FACTORS CONTRIBUTING TO CERVICAL CANCER - 55 -

5 Factors contributing to cervical cancer

HPV is a necessary cause of cervical cancer, but it is not a sufficient cause. Other cofactors are necessaryfor progression from cervical HPV infection to cancer. Tobacco smoking, high parity, long-term hormonalcontraceptive use, and co-infection with HIV have been identified as established cofactors. Co-infectionwith Chlamydia trachomatis and herpes simplex virus type-2, immunosuppression, and certain dietarydeficiencies are other probable cofactors. Genetic and immunological host factors and viral factors otherthan type, such as variants of type, viral load and viral integration, are likely to be important but havenot been clearly identified. (Muñoz N, Vaccine 2006; 24(S3): 1-10). In this section, the prevalence ofsmoking, parity (fertility), oral contraceptive use, and HIV in Kenya are presented.

Table 32: Factors contributing to cervical carcinogenesis (cofactors) in KenyaINDICATORa MALE FEMALE TOTALSmoking

Smoking of any tobacco adjustedprevalence (%) [95% CI]

Current1,b,c,± 25.1 [18.2-33.4] 2.2 [1.4-3.2] 13.6 [9.7-18.2]Daily1,b,d,± 18.5 [11.9-26.5] 1.2 [0.7-1.9] 9.8 [6.2-14.1]

Cigarette smoking adjustedprevalence (%) [95% CI]

Current1,b,c,± 20.0 [14.1-25.6] 0.6 [0.3-0.9] 10.2 [7.1-13.1]Daily1,b,d,± 17.1 [12.4-21.6] 0.6 [0.3-0.8] 8.7 [6.3-11.1]

ParityTotal fertility rate per woman2,± - 3.9 -

Age-specific fertility rate(per 1000 women)

15-19 years2,± - 96.0 -20-24 years2,± - 206.0 -25-29 years2,± - 183.0 -30-34 years2,± - 148.0 -35-39 years2,± - 100.0 -40-44 years2,± - 38.0 -45-49 years2,± - 9.0 -

Hormonal contraceptionOral contraceptive use (%) among women15-49yrswho are married or in union3,∓

- 7.5 -

Hormonal contraception use (%) (pill, injectable orimplant), among women15-49yrs who are marriedor in union3,e,∓

- 52.8 -

HIVEstimated percent of adults aged 15-49 whoare living with HIV [low estimate - highestimate]4, f ,∓

- - 5.9 [4.9 - 7.0]

Estimated percent of young adults aged 15-24who are living with HIV [low estimate - highestimate]4, f ,∓

2.3 [1.6 - 3.2] 4.0 [3.1 - 5.1] -

HIV prevalence (%) among female sex workers inthe capital city4,g,∓

- 29.3 -

HIV prevalence (%) among men who have sex withmen in the capital city4,5,∓

18.2 - -

Estimated number of adults (15+ years) livingwith HIV [low estimate - high estimate]4,h,∓

- 830 000 [700 000 - 970 000] 1 400 000 [1 200 000 - 1 700000]

Estimated number of adults and children livingwith HIV [low estimate - high estimate]4,h,∓

- - 1 400 000 [1 200 000 - 1 700000]

Estimated number of AIDS deaths in adults andchildren [low estimate - high estimate]4,i,∓

- - 36 000 [26 000 - 47 000]

Data accessed on 22 Mar 2017.aPlease refer to original source for methods of estimation of the following indicators.bAdjusted and age-standardized prevalence estimates of tobacco use by country, for the year 2013. These rates are constructed solely for the purpose of comparing tobacco use prevalenceestimates across countries, and should not be used to estimate the number of smokers in the population.c"Current" means smoking at the time of the survey, including daily and non-daily smoking. "Tobacco smoking" means smoking any form of tobacco, including cigarettes, cigars, pipes,hookah, shisha, water-pipe, etc. and excluding smokeless tobacco.d "Daily" means smoking every day at the time of the survey. "Tobacco smoking" means smoking any form of tobacco, including cigarettes, cigars, pipes, hookah, shisha, water-pipe, etc. andexcluding smokeless tobacco.eProportion (%) of women using hormonal contraception (pill, injectable or implant), among those of reproductive age who are married or in union.f Estimates include all people with HIV infection, regardless of whether they have developed symptoms of AIDS.gData on key populations at higher risk from country progress reports typically derive from surveys in capital cities and are not representative of the entire country. In particular, surveysin capital cities are likely to overestimate national HIV prevalence and service coverage.hThe number of people with HIV infection, whether or not they have developed symptoms of AIDS, estimated to be alive at the end of a specific year.iThe estimated number of adults and children that have died due to HIV/AIDS in a specific year.Year of estimate: ±2013; ∓2015;Data sources:1WHO report on the global tobacco epidemic, 2015: The MPOWER package. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2015. Available at http://www.who.int/tobacco/global_report/2015/en/index.html



http://www.who.int/tobacco/global_report/2015/en/index.html

http://www.who.int/tobacco/global_report/2015/en/index.html

5 FACTORS CONTRIBUTING TO CERVICAL CANCER - 56 -

( Table 32 – continued from previous page)2United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Fertility Data 2015 (POP/DB/Fert/Rev2015). Available at: http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/population/publications/dataset/fertility/wfd2015.shtml. [Accessed on March 22, 2017].3United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2016). World Contraceptive Use 2016 (POP/DB/CP/Rev2016). http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/population/publications/dataset/contraception/wcu2016.shtml. Available at: [Accessed on March 22, 2017].4UNAIDS database [internet]. Available at: http://aidsinfo.unaids.org/ [Accessed on March 22, 2017]5 Integrated Biological and Behavior Survey in Nairobi - 2010


http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/population/publications/dataset/fertility/wfd2015.shtml.

http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/population/publications/dataset/fertility/wfd2015.shtml.

http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/population/publications/dataset/contraception/wcu2016.shtml.


http://aidsinfo.unaids.org/

6 SEXUAL AND REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH BEHAVIOUR INDICATORS - 57 -

6 Sexual and reproductive health behaviour indicators

Sexual intercourse is the primary route of transmission of genital HPV infection. Information aboutsexual and reproductive health behaviours is essential to the design of effective preventive strategiesagainst anogenital cancers. In this section, we describe sexual and reproductive health indicators thatmay be used as proxy measures of risk for HPV infection and anogenital cancers. Several studieshave reported that earlier sexual debut is a risk factor for HPV infection, although the reason for thisrelationship is still unclear. In this section, information on sexual and reproductive health behaviour inKenya are presented.

Table 33: Percentage of 15-year-olds who have had sexual intercourse in KenyaIndicator Male FemalePercentage of 15-year-old subjects who report sexual intercourse 19.6 10.7

Data accessed on 16 Mar 2017.Percentage of all 15- to 19-year-olds who report having had sex before the age of 15 years.Year of estimation: 2014Please refer to original source for methods of estimationData sources:ICF International, 2015. The DHS (Demographic and Health Surveys) Program STATcompiler. Funded by USAID. http://www.statcompiler.com. Accessed on March 16 2017.

Table 34: Median age at first sex in KenyaMALE FEMALE TOTALMedian age Median age Median age

Study Year/period Birth cohort N at first sex N at first sex N at first sexKenya DHS 1993 1993 - - 16.7 - 16.9 - -Kenya DHS 1998 1998 - - 16.8 - 16.7 - -Kenya DHS 2003 2003 - - 17.1 - 17.8 - -Kenya DHS 2008-09 2008 - - 17.6 - 18.2 - -Kenya DHS 2014 2014 - - 17.4 - 18 - -

Data accessed on 16 Mar 2017.N: number of subjects;Median age at first sexual intercourse for women aged 20-49; Median age at first sexual intercourse for men aged 20-49(54,59).Data sources:ICF International, 2015. The DHS (Demographic and Health Surveys) Program STATcompiler. Funded by USAID. http://www.statcompiler.com. Accessed on March 16 2017.

Table 35: Marriage patterns in KenyaIndicator Male FemaleAverage age at first marriage1 26.9 22.5Age-specific % of ever married2 15-19 years 3.12 15.3

20-24 years 20.3 58.425-29 years 58.0 79.630-34 years 82.0 88.035-39 years 90.3 90.940-44 years 93.4 92.245-49 years 95.1 93.7

Data accessed on 16 Mar 2017.Year of estimate: 2009;Please refer to original source for methods of estimation.Data sources:1The world bank: health nutrition and population statistics. Updated 16-Dec-2016. Accessed on March 16 2017. Available at http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/health-nutrition-and-population-statistics2United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Marriage Data 2015 (POP/DB/Marr/Rev2015). Available at: http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/population/theme/marriage-unions/WMD2015.shtml Accessed on April 3, 2017.


http://www.statcompiler.com.

http://www.statcompiler.com.

http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/health-nutrition-and-population-statistics

http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/health-nutrition-and-population-statistics

http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/population/theme/marriage-unions/WMD2015.shtml

http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/population/theme/marriage-unions/WMD2015.shtml

7 HPV PREVENTIVE STRATEGIES - 58 -

7 HPV preventive strategies

It is established that well-organised cervical screening programmes or widespread good quality cytologycan reduce cervical cancer incidence and mortality. The introduction of HPV vaccination could alsoeffectively reduce the burden of cervical cancer in the coming decades. This section presents indicatorson basic characteristics and performance of cervical cancer screening, status of HPV vaccine licensureand introduction in Kenya.

7.1 Cervical cancer screening practices

Screening strategies differ between countries. Some countries have population-based programmes,where in each round of screening women in the target population are individually identified and in-vited to attend screening. This type of programme can be implemented nationwide or only in specificregions of the country. In opportunistic screening, invitations depend on the individual’s decision oron encounters with health-care providers. The most frequent method for cervical cancer screening iscytology, and there are alternative methods such as HPV DNA tests and visual inspection with aceticacid (VIA). VIA is an alternative to cytology-based screening in low-resource settings (the ’see and treat’approach). HPV DNA testing is being introduced into some countries as an adjunct to cytology screen-ing (’co-testing’) or as the primary screening test to be followed by a secondary, more specific test, suchas cytology.

Table 36: Main characteristics of cervical cancer screening in Kenya

Availability of a cervical cancer screening programmeα Yes

Quality assurance structure and mandate to supervise and to monitor the screeningprocessβ

No

Active invitation to screeningγ No

Main screening test used for primary screening VIA/Cytology

Undergoing demonstration projects

Screening ages (years) 25-49

Screening interval or frequency of screenings 5 yearsData accessed on 31 Dec 2016.αPublic national cervical cancer screening program in place (Cytology/VIA/HPV testing). Countries may have clinical guidelines or protocols, and cervical cancer screening services in aprivate sector but without a public national program. Publicly mandatβSelf-reported quality assurance: Organised programmes provide for a national or regional team responsible for implementation and require providers to follow guidelines, rules, or standardoperating procedures. They also define a quality assurance structurγSelf-reported active invitation or recruitment, as organised population-based programmes, identify and personally invite each eligible person in the target population to attend a givenround of screening.Data sources:National cervical cancer prevention program: strategic plan 2012-2015. Ministry of public health and sanitation and ministry of medical services (June 2012). http://www.iedea-ea.org/joomla/attachments/article/304/National%20Cervical%20Cancer%20Prevention%20Plan%20FINALFeb%202012.pdf


http://www.iedea-ea.org/joomla/attachments/article/304/National%20Cervical%20Cancer%20Prevention%20Plan%20FINALFeb%202012.pdf

http://www.iedea-ea.org/joomla/attachments/article/304/National%20Cervical%20Cancer%20Prevention%20Plan%20FINALFeb%202012.pdf


Table 37: Estimated coverage of cervical cancer screening in KenyaReferencea Year Population Urban vs

rural orboth (all)

N Women Age range Within thelast

year(s)

Coverage(%)b

WHS 2003 Kenya1 2002-2003 General femalepopulation

All 2,222 18-69 3y 3 .2

1,691 25-64 3y 3 .5Rural 132 18-69 3y 2 .6Urban 880 18-69 3y 4

Data accessed on 31 Dec 2016.WHO Household Surveys with geographical information system (GIS) multistage cluster sampling. Screening coverage among women aged 18-69.aWHO Household Surveys with multistage cluster sampling. Screening coverage among women aged 18-69. World Health Surveys. Geneva: World Health Organization (WHO); 2003.bProportion of women in the total sample of the mentioned age range in the country or region that reported having a Pap smear during a given time period (e.g., last year, last 2, 3, 5 yearsor ever).Data sources:1World Health Organization (WHO). Kenia-World Health Survey 2003 (KEN_2003_WHS_v01_M). Available at: http://apps.who.int/healthinfo/systems/surveydata/index.php/catalog/80 Accessed by October 2015]

Figure 39: Estimated coverage of cervical cancer screening in Kenya, by age and study

Est

imat

ed c

ervi

cal c

ance

r sc

reen

ing

cove

rage

(%)(

a)

− All women screened every 3yin 2002−2003 − WHS 2003 Kenya

18−29 30−39 40−49 50−59 60−69

2.05.9 5.5

1.2 0.10

20

40

60

80

100

Age group (years)

Data accessed on 31 Dec 2016.WHO Household Surveys with geographical information system (GIS) multistage cluster sampling. Screening coverage among women aged 18-69.aProportion of women in the total sample of the mentioned age range in the country or region that reported having a Pap smear during a given time period (e.g., last year, last 2, 3, 5 yearsor ever).bWHO Household Surveys with multistage cluster sampling. Screening coverage among women aged 18-69. World Health Surveys. Geneva: World Health Organization (WHO); 2003.Data sources:ICO Information Centre on HPV and Cancer. Country-specific references identified in each country-specific report as general recommendation from relevant scientific organizations and/orpublications.1World Health Organization (WHO). Kenia-World Health Survey 2003 (KEN_2003_WHS_v01_M). Available at: http://apps.who.int/healthinfo/systems/surveydata/index.php/catalog/80 Accessed by October 2015]

Table 38: Estimated coverage of cervical cancer screening in Kenya , by regionRegion N Women Age range LYa Population Coverage

(%)bYear(s)studied

Reference

Kisumu 388 15-49 Ever Women attendingreproductive healthservices

6.0 2007 Sudenga 20131

Limuru 160 30-50 5y Women attendinghealth services

14.4 2001 Gatune 20052

Nyanza Province 424 18-49 Ever Women attendinghealth services

17.5 2012 Morema 20143

Data accessed on 31 Dec 2016.Ethnographic study in a sample of women seeking various health care services at Tigoni subdistrict hospital, Limuru. Gatune JW, Nyamongo IK. An ethnographic study of cervical canceramong women in rural Kenya: is there a folk causal model? Int J GynecolaLY: Within the last year(s).bProportion of women in the total sample of the mentioned age range in the country or region that reported having a Pap smear during a given time period (e.g., last year, last 2, 3, 5 yearsor ever).



http://apps.who.int/healthinfo/systems/surveydata/index.php/catalog/80





( Table 38 – continued from previous page)Data sources:1Sudenga SL, Rositch AF, Otieno WA, Smith JS. Knowledge, attitudes, practices, and perceived risk of cervical cancer among Kenyan women: brief report. Int J Gynecol Cancer. 2013Jun;23(5):895-9.2Gatune JW, Nyamongo IK. An ethnographic study of cervical cancer among women in rural Kenya: is there a folk causal model?. Int J Gynecol Cancer 2005 Nov;15(6):1049-59.3Morema EN, Atieli HE, Onyango RO, Omondi JH, Ouma C. Determinants of cervical screening services uptake among 18-49 year old women seeking services at the Jaramogi OgingaOdinga Teaching and Referral Hospital, Kisumu, Kenya. BMC Health Serv Res. 2014 Aug 6;14:335.


8 PROTECTIVE FACTORS FOR CERVICAL CANCER - 61 -

7.2 HPV vaccination

Table 39: National HPV Immunization programme in KenyaFemale Male

Year of introduction - -

Primary target age (years) - -

Organized catch-up age (years) - -

Opportunistic catch-up age (years) - -

Strategy - -

Schedulea,b - -

Data updated on 11 Jul 2017 (data as of 31 Dec 2016)a 2 doses: 0-6m if not otherwise stated. Since 2014, based on clinical trials results several agencies responsible for the scientific evaluation of medicines, like the European Medicines Agency,aproved a two-dose schedule for girls aged less than 15 or 14 depending on the vaccine (Cervarix or Gardasil).b 3-doses standard: administration of three doses following the standard vaccination schedule as 0-2-6 months for the quadrivalent vaccine or 0-1-6 months for the bivalent vaccine.Data sources:1 Adapted from Bruni et al 2016 Lancet Global Health (data up to October 2014).

Figure 40: Reported HPV vaccination coverage in females by birth cohort in National HPVImmunization programme in Kenya

No data available

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

HP

V v

acci

natio

n co

vera

ge (

%)

Data updated on 11 Jul 2017 (data as of 31 Oct 2014)Data sources:1 Adapted from Bruni et al 2016 Lancet Global Health (data up to October 2014).

8 Protective factors for cervical cancer

Male circumcision and the use of condoms have shown a significant protective effect against HPV trans-mission.

Table 40: Prevalence of male circumcision in Kenya

Reference Prevalence % (95% CI) Methods

2008 DHS 85.9 Data from 2008 Demographic andHealth Surveys (DHS)

( Table 40 – continued from previous page)

Reference Prevalence % (95% CI) Methods



8 PROTECTIVE FACTORS FOR CERVICAL CANCER - 62 -

Auvert 2001 90.2 (84.6-94.3) N=164: General population

Drain 2006 >80 Data from Demographic and HealthSurveys (DHS) and other publicationsto categorize the country-wide preva-lence of male circumcision as <20%, 20-80%, or >80%.

Lavreys 1999 87.3 (84.7-89.6) N=746: HIV negative truck drivers

Ng’ayo 2008 7.2 (4.3-11.1) N=250: Men who worked in the fishingindustry, the majority of the fishermenbelong to an ethnic group that does notculturally practice circumcision

WHO 2007 >80 Data from Demographic and HealthSurveys (DHS) and other publicationsto categorize the country-wide preva-lence of male circumcision as <20%, 20-80%, or >80%.

Williams 2006 84 Data from Demographic and HealthSurveys (DHS) and other publications.

Data accessed on 31 Aug 2015.95% CI: 95% Confidence Interval;Please refer to country-specific reference(s) for full methodologies.Data sources:Based on systematic reviews and meta-analysis performed by ICO. The ICO HPV Information Centre has updated data until August 2015. Reference publication: Albero G, Sex TransmDis. 2012 Feb;39(2):104-13.2008 Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) | Auvert B, AIDS 2001; 15 Suppl 4: S31 | Drain PK, BMC Infect Dis 2006; 6: 172 | Lavreys L, J Infect Dis 1999; 180: 330 | Ng’ayo MO, SexTransm Infect 2008; 84: 62 | WHO 2007: Male circumcision: Global trends and determinants of prevalence, safety and acceptability | Williams BG, PLoS Med 2006; 3: e262

Table 41: Prevalence of condom use in Kenya

Indicator Year of estimate Prevalence %a

Condom use 2015 1.3Data accessed on 21 Mar 2017.Please refer to original source for methods of estimation.aCondom use: Proportion of male partners who are using condoms with their female partners of reproductive age (15-49 years) to whom they are married or in union by country.Data sources:United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2016). World Contraceptive Use 2016 (POP/DB/CP/Rev2016). http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/population/publications/dataset/contraception/wcu2016.shtml. Available at: [Accessed on March 22, 2017].Kenya 2015 PMA Round 4




9 INDICATORS RELATED TO IMMUNISATION PRACTICES OTHER THAN HPV VACCINES - 63 -

9 Indicators related to immunisation practices other than HPV vac-cines

This section presents data on immunisation coverage and practices for selected vaccines. This infor-mation will be relevant for assessing the country’s capacity to introduce and implement the new HPVvaccines. The data are periodically updated and posted on the WHO Immunisation surveillance, assess-ment and monitoring website at http://who.int/immunization_monitoring/en/.

9.1 Immunisation schedule

Table 42: General immunization schedule in KenyaVaccine Schedule Coveragea CommentBacille Calmette-Guérin vaccine birth; entire -Diphtheria and Tetanus and Pertussis andHaemophilus influenzae and Hepatitis Bvaccine

6, 10, 14 weeks; entire -

Human Papillomavirus vaccine 9-13 years (2 doses); part Grade 4 (9-13 years) girlsInactivated polio vaccine 14 weeks; entire From May 2016Measles vaccine 9, 18 months; entire -Measles and rubella vaccine 9, 18 months; - From January 2017Oral polio vaccine 6, 10, 14 weeks; entire -Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine 6, 10, 14 weeks; entire -Rotavirus vaccine 6, 10 weeks; entire -Tetanus toxoid vaccine 1st contact preg-

nancy; +1, +6months; +1, +1year;

entire -

Vitamin A supplementation 6-11, 12-59 months; entire -Yellow fever vaccine 9 months; part -

Data accessed on 27 Jan 2017.The shedules are the country official reported figuresaEntire:introduced in the entire country. Part:partially introduced.Data sources:Annual WHO/UNICEF Joint Reporting Form (Update of 2015/July/15). Geneva, Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals (IVB), World Health Organization. Available at: http://www.who.int/immunization/monitoring_surveillance/en/

9.2 Immunisation coverage estimates

Table 43: Immunization coverage estimates in KenyaIndicator Year of estimation Coverage (%)Third dose of diphtheria toxoid, tetanus toxoid and pertussis vaccine 2015 78Third dose of hepatitis B vaccine administered to infants 2015 78Third dose of Haemophilus influenzae type B vaccine 2015 78Measles-containing vaccine 2015 75Third dose of polio vaccine 2015 71

Data accessed on 27 Jan 2017.The coverage figures (%) are the country official reported figures. Immunization coverage levels are presented as a percentage of a target population that has been vaccinated.Data sources:Annual WHO/UNICEF Joint Reporting Form and WHO Regional offices reports (Update of 2015/July/16). Geneva, Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals (IVB),World Health Organization.Available at: http://www.who.int/immunization/monitoring_surveillance/en/


http://who.int/immunization_monitoring/en/

http://www.who.int/immunization/monitoring_surveillance/en/



10 GLOSSARY - 64 -

10 Glossary

Table 44: GlossaryTerm DefinitionIncidence Incidence is the number of new cases arising in a given period in a specified

population. This information is collected routinely by cancer registries. It can beexpressed as an absolute number of cases per year or as a rate per 100,000persons per year (see Crude rate and ASR below). The rate provides anapproximation of the average risk of developing a cancer.

Mortality Mortality is the number of deaths occurring in a given period in a specifiedpopulation. It can be expressed as an absolute number of deaths per year or as arate per 100,000 persons per year.

Prevalence The prevalence of a particular cancer can be defined as the number of persons ina defined population who have been diagnosed with that type of cancer, and whoare still alive at the end of a given year, the survivors. Complete prevalencerepresents the number of persons alive at certain point in time who previouslyhad a diagnosis of the disease, regardless of how long ago the diagnosis was, or ifthe patient is still under treatment or is considered cured. Partial prevalence ,which limits the number of patients to those diagnosed during a fixed time in thepast, is a particularly useful measure of cancer burden. Prevalence of cancersbased on cases diagnosed within one, three and five are presented as they arelikely to be of relevance to the different stages of cancer therapy, namely, initialtreatment (one year), clinical follow-up (three years) and cure (five years).Patients who are still alive five years after diagnosis are usually consideredcured since the death rates of such patients are similar to those in the generalpopulation. There are exceptions, particularly breast cancer. Prevalence ispresented for the adult population only (ages 15 and over), and is available bothas numbers and as proportions per 100,000 persons.

Crude rate Data on incidence or mortality are often presented as rates. For a specifictumour and population, a crude rate is calculated simply by dividing the numberof new cancers or cancer deaths observed during a given time period by thecorresponding number of person years in the population at risk. For cancer, theresult is usually expressed as an annual rate per 100,000 persons at risk.

ASR (age-standardisedrate)

An age-standardised rate (ASR) is a summary measure of the rate that apopulation would have if it had a standard age structure. Standardization isnecessary when comparing several populations that differ with respect to agebecause age has a powerful influence on the risk of cancer. The ASR is aweighted mean of the age-specific rates; the weights are taken from populationdistribution of the standard population. The most frequently used standardpopulation is the World Standard Population. The calculated incidence ormortality rate is then called age-standardised incidence or mortality rate(world). It is also expressed per 100,000. The world standard population used inGLOBOCAN is as proposed by Segi [1] and modified by Doll and al. [2]. Theage-standardised rate is calculated using 10 age-groups. The result may beslightly different from that computed using the same data categorised using thetraditional 5 year age bands.

Cumulative risk Cumulative incidence/mortality is the probability or risk of individualsgetting/dying from the disease during a specified period. For cancer, it isexpressed as the number of new born children (out of 100, or 1000) who would beexpected to develop/die from a particular cancer before the age of 75 if they hadthe rates of cancer observed in the period in the absence of competing causes.

Cytologically normalwomen

No abnormal cells are observed on the surface of their cervix upon cytology.

(Continued)


10 GLOSSARY - 65 -

Table 44 – ContinuedTerm DefinitionCervical IntraepithelialNeoplasia (CIN) /Squamous IntraepithelialLesions (SIL)

SIL and CIN are two commonly used terms to describe precancerous lesions orthe abnormal growth of squamous cells observed in the cervix. SIL is anabnormal result derived from cervical cytological screening or Pap smear testing.CIN is a histological diagnosis made upon analysis of cervical tissue obtained bybiopsy or surgical excision. The condition is graded as CIN 1, 2 or 3, according tothe thickness of the abnormal epithelium (1/3, 2/3 or the entire thickness).

Low-grade cervical lesions(LSIL/CIN-1)

Low-grade cervical lesions are defined by early changes in size, shape, andnumber of ab-normal cells formed on the surface of the cervix and may bereferred to as mild dysplasia, LSIL, or CIN-1.

High-grade cervicallesions (HSIL / CIN-2 /CIN-3 / CIS)

High-grade cervical lesions are defined by a large number of precancerous cellson the sur-face of the cervix that are distinctly different from normal cells. Theyhave the potential to become cancerous cells and invade deeper tissues of thecervix. These lesions may be referred to as moderate or severe dysplasia, HSIL,CIN-2, CIN-3 or cervical carcinoma in situ (CIS).

Carcinoma in situ (CIS) Preinvasive malignancy limited to the epithelium without invasion of thebasement membrane. CIN 3 encompasses the squamous carcinoma in situ.

Invasive cervical cancer(ICC) / Cervical cancer

If the high-grade precancerous cells invade the basement membrane is calledICC. ICC stages range from stage I (cancer is in the cervix or uterus only) tostage IV (the cancer has spread to distant organs, such as the liver).

Invasive squamous cellcarcinoma

Invasive carcinoma composed of cells resembling those of squamous epithelium

Adenocarcinoma Invasive tumour with glandular and squamous elements intermingled.Eastern Europe References included in Belarus, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland,

Republic of Moldova, Romania, Russian Federation, Slovakia, and Ukraine.Northern Europe References included in Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Iceland, Ireland, Latvia,

Lithuania, Norway, Sweden, and United Kingdom of Great Britain and NorthernIreland.

Southern Europe References included in Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Greece, Italy,Malta, Montenegro, Portugal, Serbia, Slovenia, Spain, The former YugoslavRepublic of Macedonia.

Western Europe References included in Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Liechtenstein,Luxembourg, Netherlands, and Switzerland.

Europe PREHDICT References included in Albania, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia andHerzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia,Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Italy,Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Montenegro,Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Republic of Moldova, Romania, RussianFederation, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, The formerYugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Turkey, Ukraine, and United Kingdom of GreatBritain and Northern Ireland.


10 GLOSSARY - 66 -

Acknowledgments

This report has been developed by the Unit of Infections and Cancer, Cancer Epidemiology ResearchProgram, at the Institut Català d’Oncologia (ICO, Catalan Institute of Oncology) within the PREHDICTproject (7th Framework Programme grant HEALTH-F3-2010-242061, PREHDICT). The HPV Informa-tion Centre is being developed by the Institut Català d’Oncologia (ICO). The Centre was originallylaunched by ICO with the collaboration of WHO’s Immunisation, Vaccines and Biologicals (IVB) depart-ment and support from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.

Institut Català d’Oncologia (ICO), in alphabetic orderAlbero G, Barrionuevo-Rosas L, Bosch FX, Bruni L, de Sanjosé S, Gómez D, Mena M, Muñoz J, SerranoB.

7th Framework Programme grant PREHDICT project: health-economic modelling of PREventionstrategies for Hpv-related Diseases in European CounTries. Coordinated by Drs. Johannes Berkhofand Chris Meijer at VUMC, Vereniging Voor Christelijk Hoger Onderwijs Wetenschappelijk OnderzoekEn Patientenzorg, the Netherlands.(http://cordis.europa.eu/projects/rcn/94423_en.html)

7th Framework Programme grant HPV AHEAD project: Role of human papillomavirus infec-tion and other co-factors in the aetiology of head and neck cancer in India and Europe. Coordinated byDr. Massimo Tommasino at IARC, International Agency of Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.(http://cordis.europa.eu/project/rcn/100268_en.html)

International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC)


- 67 -

Note to the reader

Anyone who is aware of relevant published data that may not have been included in the present reportis encouraged to contact the HPV Information Centre for potential contributions.

Although efforts have been made by the HPV Information Centre to prepare and include as accuratelyas possible the data presented, mistakes may occur. Readers are requested to communicate any errorsto the HPV Information Centre, so that corrections can be made in future volumes.

Disclaimer

The information in this database is provided as a service to our users. Any digital or printed publica-tion of the information provided in the web site should be accompanied by an acknowledgment of HPVInformation Centre as the source. Systematic retrieval of data to create, directly or indirectly, a scien-tific publication, collection, database, directory or website requires a permission from HPV InformationCentre.

The responsibility for the interpretation and use of the material contained in the HPV InformationCentre lies on the user. In no event shall the HPV Information Centre be liable for any damages arisingfrom the use of the information.

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