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Growth in the new normal HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief Executive May 2010 www.hsbc.com

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Page 1: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

Growth in the new normal

HSBC Holdings plcMichael Geoghegan, Group Chief ExecutiveMay 2010

www.hsbc.com

Page 2: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

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Forward-looking statements

This presentation and subsequent discussion may contain certain forward-looking statements with respect to the financial condition, results of operations and business of the Group. These forward-looking statements represent the Group’s expectations or beliefs concerning future events and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainty that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Additional detailed information concerning important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially is available in our Annual Report. Past performance cannot be relied on as a guide to future performance.

Page 3: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

3

Contents

Shaping the businessThe old normal

The new normal

Strategic focus

Financial targets

Positioning for growthServing connectivity between markets and geographies

Building on strong regional presence for growth in local businesses

Page 4: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

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36 36 36 36 37 41 47 52

0255075

100

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

Advanced Emerging

0

250

500

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

World trade Global GDP

The old normalMacro global trends continue to underpin Group vision as the world's leading international emerging markets bank

World GDP forecast, based on PPP, % of total1

Emerging markets growing faster than rich countries

Over time world trade growing faster than GDP

Longevity increasing virtually everywhere

Notes:(1) International Monetary Fund(2) International Monetary Fund and World Trade Organisation(3) United Nations

People aged 60 and over, as a proportion (%) of total population3

World trade and GDP at current prices (Index, 1990 = 100)2

18 2229 33

7 9 1420

010203040

1990 2010 2030 2050Developed markets Emerging Markets

Page 5: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

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The new normalThe crisis has created more focus on the right approach to banking

Strengthening through capital generation

Strong AD ratio HSBC Group structureBased on a principle of subsidiarity

Indu

stry

issu

eH

SBC

pos

ition

Capital Liquidity Resolution

Tier 1 ratio (%)

77.3%

31 Dec 2009Locally capitalised

and funded

Globally managed

Note:(1) Pro forma to include rights issue

8.5 9.7

9.811.1

1.41.3

31 Dec 08 Pro forma¹ 31 Mar 10Core tier 1 Non-core tier 1

Page 6: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

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Strategic focus

Build on our heritage Positioning for growth Operational transformation

Financial strength and brand

Leading international network

Leading presence in faster growing markets

International management culture

Responding to global trends

Serving global connectivity

Building our regional and local presence

OneHSBC

People engagement

Page 7: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

7

Financial targetsROE at lower end of the range

Key performance indicators

Notes:(1) On an underlying basis: underlying results eliminate the effects of foreign currency translation differences, acquisitions and disposals of businesses and changes in fair value of own debt due to credit spread(2) This excludes the changes in FV of own debt due to credit spread

Return on totalshareholders’ equity2

Target 2009

9.2%15 – 19%over medium term

Cost efficiency ratio1

Target 2009

48 – 52% 47.5%

Revenues

Costs

Tier 1 ratios (Basel II)

Target 2009

7.5 – 10.0% 10.8%

Risk Weighted Assets

Capital

Page 8: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

Positioning for growthServing connectivity between markets and geographies

Page 9: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

9

Bharti AirteUS$10bnMiddle East, AfricaAcquisition Finance Adviser / Arranger

3.11.1

5.4

3.0

1.4

2.6

3.0

2.3

Global Banking and MarketsStrengthening its position in emerging markets-led and financing-focused business

4,545

712

931

2,319

467

1,507PBT, 2009 by geography, underlying, US$m

Total operating income1, 2009 by product, US$bn

Volkswagen€4bnGermanyRights issueJoint Lead and Bookrunner

• Best Global Debt House• Best Debt House in Asia• Best Debt House in Hong Kong• Best Debt House in Latin America• Best Debt House in Mexico• Best Debt House in the Middle East• Best Debt House in Nordic/Baltic Region• Best Debt House in Portugal

• Best Debt House in Turkey• Best Global Bank• Best at Risk Management in Asia• Best Project Finance House in Asia• Best Bank in Hong Kong• Best Investment Bank in Saudi Arabia• Best Global Transaction Banking House• Best Cash Management House in the Middle East

Awards for Excellence 2009 EMEA Project Finance Awards 2009

• Best Middle East Project Finance Advisory • Best Middle East Water/Power Deal – Shuweihat

S2 IWPP • Best Middle East Oil And Gas Deal – Dolphin

Energy • Best Middle East Project Finance Deal – SEC

Rabigh IPP

Transactions

Diversified by geography and product

Success demonstrated by:

Awards

Note: (1) Management view of total operating income

CreditRatesForeign ExchangeSecurities servicesFinancing and ECMPayments and cash managementBalance sheet managementOther

Hong KongRest of Asia-PacificMiddle EastLatin AmericaEuropeNorth America

Page 10: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

10

9.112.7

8.3

11.47.4

13.55.8

7.6

1.9

1.4

1.0

0.8

0

10

20

30

40

50

2008 2013

Glo

bal

HNW

Is W

ealth

(US$

tr)

North America Europe Asia-PacificLatin America Middle East Africa

90

52

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2008 2009

73.0%

Private Banking and Asset ManagementInternational business refocused towards growth markets

7.0%

6.5%

CAGR

Total emerging markets – assets under management, US$bn2HNWI wealth – growth by region1

Notes:(1) Cap Gemini Merrill Lynch World Wealth Report 2009(2) Funds under management, which are invested in emerging market countries

12.8%

Fastest wealth creation in emerging markets

Page 11: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

11

Increased revenues from international customers2

Rev

enue

mul

tiplie

r –do

mes

tic =

100

0

100

200

300

Business Bankingmass

Business Bankingupper

Corporate

Domestic International

Up to 3x

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

Mar 09 Jun 09 Sep 09 Dec 09 Jan 09 Feb 09 Mar 10

World selection AUM, US$m

$3.8bn

38% of businesses have international needs3

51%25%

91%59% 59%

87%

49%75%

41% 41%9% 13%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

UK US UAE Mexico Brazil HKInternational Pure domestic

% o

f bus

ines

ses

with

in

tern

atio

nal n

eeds

38%

Connectivity driving growth in retail businesses

Notes:(1) ‘Affluent & Premier’ customer population based on 2008 Datamonitor figures and HSBC estimates for the mass affluent (US$100k – US$2m) segment(2) Source: Internal MI(3) Businesses with turnover of more than US$5m; Source: Dun & Bradstreet (July 2009)

Personal Financial Services Commercial Banking

Premier customer growth and ‘affluent’ market share1

Millions %

0

1

2

3

4

2007 2008 20090%

1%

2%

3%

Premier customers Market share

Page 12: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

Positioning for growthBuilding on strong regional presence for growth in local businesses

Page 13: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

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9%

27%

05

1015202530

1999 2009Asia Pacific ex Japan

6%

20%

0

5

10

15

20

1999 2009Asia Pacific ex Japan

Asia – growing opportunity in financial markets

Scope for growth: emerging markets vs. mature markets1

Scope for growth in financial markets

Notes:(1) Source: IMF, Bankscope, Goldman Sachs Global ECS Research, Global Sachs Research estimates(2) Source: Bloomberg, HSBC Global Research

Debt issuance 1999 vs. 20092

%

Asia’s share of debt and equity issuance more than tripled in the last decade

Equity issuance 1999 vs. 20092

%

9x11x14x20x

62x81x

130x

1x10x

Indonesia India China Malaysia Korea Singapore HongKong

Australia Japan

Pote

ntia

l ass

et g

row

th b

ased

on

2050

fore

cast

s

Faster growing markets Developed markets

Page 14: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

14

Hong Kong, 1865

Taiwan, 1884

Japan, 1866

South Korea, 1897

Australia, 1964

New Zealand, 1987

India, 1867Philippines, 1875

Brunei, 1947

Indonesia, 1884

Bangladesh, 1996

Mainland China, 1865

Mauritius, 1894

Sri Lanka, 1892Vietnam, 1870

Malaysia, 1884

Singapore, 1877

Thailand, 1870

Macau, 1972

Maldives, 2002

Asia – leading position at heart of fastest growing region

Maintain and protect leadership position in Hong KongStrong focus on being the international bank of choice to service local and international financial service needsA network presence in selected marketsSpecial focus on China and India

Jilin

Branches 22Sub-branches 77Economic growth zones

Jilin

Branches 22Sub-branches 77Economic growth zones

Page 15: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

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Middle East – the leading international bank in the region

Source: IMF DOT Matrix, Nov 2009

Note: Bar charts represent largest trading partners by total continent contribution. Trade includes oil products

17.3%261.4161.9MENA-Europe20.3%16.19.2MENA-LatAM21.8%69.938.7MENA-N. America28.7%212.099.5MENA-AsiaCAGR 20082005Trade flows in MENA, US$bn

2. Scaleable Demographics

1. Capital Recycling

3. Emerging Connectivity

45% of world GAS reserves

61% of world OIL reserves

700mPopulation

Long term economic potential generatesCapital recyclingScalable demographicsEmerging connectivity

Providing opportunities for participation by global and retail businesses

Global Banking and Markets and Commercial Banking can serve the trade flows driven by FDI and infrastructure expenditure

Wealth recycling presents opportunities for Private Banking and Personal Financial Services 0

200400600800

UAE Qatar Bahrain Kuwait Saudi Oman04080120160

No. affluent individuals Onshore Liquid Wealth (US$bn)Source: Wealth Data Monitor 2009

(1) Source: CIA World Fact Book

Onshore liquid wealth No. affluent individuals

Page 16: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

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Latin America – strong network and connectivity in a fast growing region1

Mexico

Guatemala

Honduras

Costa Rica

Nicaragua El Salvador Panama Venezuela

Brazil

Colombia

Peru

Chile

Argentina

Uruguay

Paraguay

Full financial services offered Limited presence (Rep. Office)

InvestmentsMexico

2002: Grupo Financiero Bital2003: Seguros Bital, Afore Allianz – Dresdner2004: Allianz Rentas Vitalicias

Central America & Colombia2006: Banistmo

Paraguay2007: Lloyds Paraguay

Brazil1997: Bamerindus1999: Republic2000: CCF2003: Bank of America & Lloyds TSB Losango2004: Credimatone Value

Uruguay1997: Banco Roberts1999: Republic

Argentina1997: Banco Roberts2006: Banca Nazionale del Lavoro

Strategy

Drive profitable growth through:

Mass affluent

International bank of choice

Business banking

Improved efficiency through regionalisation

Product to relationship focus

Greater share of wallet

54,000 staff2 3,000 branches 18 countries

Note:(1) LatAm management also cover the Caribbean(2) As at 31st December 2009

Page 17: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

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North America – important core businesses in the US

Successfully managing the run down of assets and the cost base; opportunistic about portfolio disposals

Premium propositions: Premier and Advance to internationally minded and mass affluent

Be the leader in international commercial banking

Retail businesses

Global businesses

Provide an integrated Americas platform to support global strategy in Global Banking and Markets

Re-positioned as an internationally-led Private Bank for both offshore and onshore clients

The US remains the largest economy and is a core business to HSBC

Focus our business where we have core strengths and competences:

Legacy business Core business

125114

9673

1Q07 1Q08 1Q09 1Q10

HSBC Finance Corporation run-off loans and advances to customers, US$bn

Page 18: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

18

+2%+1%+3%

+5%

Start-Ups BusinessBanking

Commercial Corporate

672 819749 817

2008 2009Premier Advance1

Cus

tom

er V

ols

(000

s) HSB

C A

verage A

nnual Income

UK retail – focus on premium personal customers and businesses with international needs

Notes:(1) Represents existing Plus customers who are being migrated to Advance(2) Research undertaken by Continental Research for the year ended Q409

Number of premium customers ‘000s

Personal Financial Services customer age profile

International market share vs. footprint2

High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base

Relatively younger customer age profile should generate long term income growth opportunities

Increasing number of premium customers in Personal Financial Services

Market share of customers trading internationally is above footprint in all segments

+9%

+22%

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95Age In Years

HSBC Ave Annual Income (right hand Axis)

HSBC customer number (left hand Axis)

Page 19: HSBC Holdings plc Michael Geoghegan, Group Chief …...International market share vs. footprint2 High quality, young, affluent, premium personal customer base Relatively younger customer

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Interbrand – Banking Brand Value 2009, (US$m)

The leading banking brand

Move from disparate set of brands to one common brand

The HSBC brand is stronger and more valuable than it has ever been

Brand Finance and Interbrand both value the HSBC brand as the most valuable banking brand in the world

Active brand positioning –‘HSBC helps you unlock the world’s potential’

Note:(1) Source: Brand Finance Top 500 Banking Brands 2010, Interbrand Best Global Brands 2009

Brand Finance – Banking Brand Value 2010, (US$m)

0

7,500

15,000

22,500

30,000

HSBC Bank ofAmerica

Santander WellsFargo

Citi

0

3,000

6,000

9,000

12,000

HSBC Citi JP Morgan MorganStanley

UBS