how to choose? - global food forums · 2018-08-25 · since 1995 daniel best, president, best...
TRANSCRIPT
Since 1995
Daniel Best, President, BEST VANTAGE Inc. Presentation for
Global Food Forums Proteins Seminar April 8, 2014
Sooo many proteins, so little time How to choose?
Sooo many proteins…how to choose?
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What Do These Foods Have In Common?
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Answer
They all contain the optimum combination
of nutrients whereby to nurture new life. What is your narrative?
What Do These Foods Have In Common?
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Sooo many proteins…how to choose?
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2012 Food & Health Survey Consumer Attitudes Toward Food Safety, Nutrition & Health Survey conducted by the International Food Information Council (IFIC)
How Consumers View Proteins In Foods
48% of those surveyed said that they try to consume products
with more protein.
84% of those surveyed agreed “strongly” or “somewhat
strongly” that it is easy to incorporate protein into their diets.
Top-Line Results
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Sooo many proteins…how to choose?
EXIT How Consumers View Proteins In Foods
2012 Food & Health Survey Consumer Attitudes Toward Food Safety, Nutrition & Health Survey conducted by the International Food Information Council (IFIC)
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Sooo many proteins…how to choose?
Animal-based
Plant-based
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2012 Food & Health Survey Consumer Attitudes Toward Food Safety, Nutrition & Health Survey conducted by the International Food Information Council (IFIC)
How Consumers View Proteins In Foods
20%
32%
44%
55%
40%
38%
36%
33%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Helps with weight loss
Helps people feel full
Part of a balanced diet
Helps build muscle
To what extent do you agree with the following statements about proteins?
Agree Strongly Agree Somewhat
80%
88%
70%
60%
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Building A Narrative
The Rationale
“WHY?”
Health /Wellness
Nutrition
Sports /Fitness
Functionality
Allergenicity /Safety
Belief Systems
Other…..
• Functional
• Affordable
• Available
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Building A Narrative
WHAT IS YOUR NARRATIVE?
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Sooo many proteins…how to choose?
Presentation Agenda
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Background narratives
The globalization of protein demand
Price and supply volatility
Animal and plant proteins
Nutrition and health
New sources of proteins
Projections and recommendations
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The Globalization of Protein Demand Premise 1: global protein demand is growing faster than supply
TWO EXAMPLES
Source: Food & Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
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The Globalization of Protein Demand Premise 2: increasing protein demand is a global phenomenon
WHERE ARE EXPORTS GOING?
Source: Food & Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
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The Globalization of Protein Demand Premise 3: global demands equate to price and supply volatility
$-
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
$4.50
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Raw Material Price Trends ($/lb) Dried Whole Egg
Nonfat Dry Milk
WPC 50
Sources: FAOSTAT, University of Wisconsin Dept. of Agricultural Economic; USDA-ERS
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Protein Demand And Price Volatility Premise 4: ingredient price volatility places food and beverage
products at risk
Sources: FAOSTAT, University of Wisconsin Dept. of Agricultural Economic; USDA-ERS
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Average Price and Volatility (2001 – 2013):
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Protein Demand and Price Volatility Consumer product trends can have big impacts on price volatility
$4.73 $4.84
$8.79
$-
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
$8.00
$9.00
$10.00
2012 2013 2014
$U
S p
er-
lb
U.S. Egg Albumen Prices Average values (Jan-Mar)
Source: U.S Dept. of Agriculture Agriculture Research Service
McDonald’s
Egg White Delight
McMuffin.
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Animal Proteins Status Summary
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American consumer demand for all proteins is increasing.
Global demand for animal proteins is increasing.
Animal protein availability is subject to many risk factors
such as, for example:
• The global economy
• Climate conditions
• New product trends
• Government policy
Volatility in animal protein pricing and availability is a
serious risk factor that affects consumer product viability.
These factors help fuel growing interest in plant proteins.
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Protein Terminology
Flour
Partial Fractionation
Concentrate
Isolate
Milled grain
Up-to 40%
40-90%
90%-plus
Ingredient Descriptor Protein Content
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Proteins And Their Byproducts
Most proteins are byproducts of complex fractionation operations
Cheese
Canola
Cottonseed
Peanut
Soy
Sunflower
Milk Whey
Butter Skim Milk, Nonfat Dry Milk
Oil Meal
Pulses
Rice
Oats
Flour Syrup
Protein
Concentrates
Starch
Protein
Fiber
Fiber
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Proteins And Their Byproducts
Most animal and plant proteins are the products of
fractionation processes that generate byproducts.
The dispositions of these protein byproducts are critical
determinants in the economics of protein production.
The degree of market demand for specific byproducts of
protein processing will directly impact the availability of
said proteins.
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Protein Quality
Protein manufacturing processes
vary greatly between a) specific
proteins and b) manufacturers.
The physical and chemical treatments
to which proteins are subjected during
processing can greatly affect their
functional and nutritional properties.
Same-source proteins from different
suppliers are not necessarily
interchangeable.
Physical and
Chemical Treatments
• Air classification
• Protein fractionation
• Heat treatment
• Extrusion
• Solvent extraction
• Water extraction
• Acidity manipulation
• Salt precipitation
• Spray drying
• Agglomeration
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Nutritional Benefits
• Nutrition
• Weight management
• Satiety
• Carbohydrate displacement
Nutraceutical Benefits
• Blood pressure control
• Cancer prevention
• Cholesterol reduction
• Immune enhancement
• Psychological and behavioral
• Tissue repair
Nutritional and Nutraceutical Values of Proteins
Allergenicity*
• Milk
• Eggs
• Fish
• Crustacean shellfish
• Tree nuts
• Peanuts
• Wheat
• Soybeans
* Allergens that require warning labels,
as per 2004 FALCPA.
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EXIT Gluten-Free And Other Allergenicity Concerns
BEST VANTAGE Inc. estimated the
gluten- and allergen-averse market size
at $10 - 15 billion in 2013, with a
potential to reach $70 billion by 2020.
If you include:
Retail market scanning data
Walmart (about 15% of all retail food
and foodservice sales)
Trader Joe’s
Restaurant /food service
Store brands
PLU (coded-entry sales)
Multilevel marketers
Internet Sales
Other
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What I saw at Natural Products Expo – West
2014
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How Much Protein Do People Need?
Protein requirements are complicated because the amount we need
changes with age.
Infants require about 10 grams a day.
Teenage boys need up to 52 grams a day.
Teenage girls need 46 grams a day.
Adult men need about 56 grams a day.
Adult women need about 46 grams a day.
One important exception is pregnant or lactating women. The
recommended intake for them rises to 71 grams of protein a day.
Another way to look at protein requirements is as a percentage of
calories. The Institute of Medicine recommends we get at least 10%
and no more than 35% of calories from protein.
Most people get enough protein, but some might do well to add a few
additional sources.
Data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey
showed that 7.7% of adolescent females and about 8% of older adult
women weren't getting the minimum recommended amount of protein.
As a proportion of total calories, the median intake of protein in
children was 13.4%, below the ideal range. Men aged 51 to 70
consumed 16% of their calories in protein, also a little below the
recommended amount.
Infants: 10g /day
Teenage Males 52g /day
Teenage Females 46g /day
Adult Males 56g /day
Adult Females 46g /day
Pregnant or Lactating Females 71g /day
• 7.7% of females consume less-than minimum requirement
• 8.0% of older adult women consume less-than minimum requirement
• Median intake of children is 13.4% below minimum.
Source: National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey
Recommended
Dietary Allowance
(RDA) Daily Reference
Value (DRV)
50g /day
The average American
diet well exceeds this
level of protein intake.
However, some athletes
may consume two-to-
three times this amount
when in training.
Sooo many proteins…how to choose?
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Nutritional Quality of Proteins
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Measures of Protein Value
Egg albumin = 1.00
Milk casein = 1.00
Whey (dairy) = 1.00
Beef = 0.92
Soy = 0.91
Split peas = 0.64
Wheat flour = 0.43
Wheat gluten = 0.25
Sources: Schaafsma, G. N. “The protein digestibility-corrected amino acid score”, J. Nutr 130(7): 2000, 1865S-7S
Hoffman, J. R. and M. J. Favro, “Protein – which is best?”, J. Sports Science and Medicine, 3: 2004, 118-130
T. Jeradechachai, Northern Crops Institute
A measure of protein value that includes both a protein’s digestibility
and its contribution of essential amino acids.
[mg-limiting a.a test protein / mg-limiting a.a. in reference protein] x %digestibility.
Protein Digestibility Corrected Amino Acid Score (PDCAAS)
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Improving Protein Value
Source: N. Jeradechachai, Northern Crops Institute, Pulse Canada, Roquette
Comparative PDCAAS values for pea proteins
Eggs 1.00
Protein Digestibility Corrected Amino Acid Score (PDCAAS)
Pea Protein (75%) + Wheat Gluten (25%) 0.87
Pea Protein Isolate 0.82
Pea (yellow, split) 0.64
Wheat Gluten 0.25
Sooo many proteins…how to choose?
EXIT Functional Properties Of Proteins
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Dairy Proteins
• WMP
• NFDM
• SMP
• WPC
• WPI
• MPI
• Caseinate
• Nutraceuticals
Nutrition
Binding, adhesion
Gelation, coagulation
Emulsification
Humectancy
Thickening, mouthfeel
Aeration, foaming
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Functional Components Of Pulse Ingredients
Plus… Superior amino
acid profile Vitamins Minerals Low-Glycemic Index Non-GMO
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Pulse Protein Properties
Aeration, foaming
Binding, adhesion
Emulsification
Humectancy
Crispiness, strength
Thickening, mouthfeel
Pea Protein
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0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Appearance Flavor Texture Overall
acceptability
Egg PPI TGase
a a a ab
b
b b
a a
a a
b
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Appearance Flavor Texture Overall
acceptability
Egg PPI TGase
a a a ab
b
b b
a a
a a
b
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Appearance Flavor Texture Overall
acceptability
Egg PPI TGase
a a a ab
b
b b
a a
a a
b
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Appearance Flavor Texture Overall
acceptability
Egg PPI TGase
a a a ab
b
b b
a a
a a
b
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
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Appearance Flavor Texture Overall
acceptability
Egg PPI TGase
a a a ab
b
b b
a a
a a
b
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Appearance Flavor Texture Overall
acceptability
Egg PPI TGase
Source: “Sensory Qualities of Cakes and Cookies Made with Pea Proteins as an Egg Replacer.”, 2012: Mary
Niehaus, Clifford Hall III and Hieu Hoang; School of Food Systems, North Dakota State University, Fargo, ND
Useful tip:
foam stability can be strengthened
using xanthan or pea starch!
How To Use Pulse Proteins As Egg and Dairy Alternatives And Extenders
Sensory Properties of White Cake (9 = “high”)
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The Functionality Of Pulse Ingredients
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A Quick Summary: Where Do We Stand?
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Narratives drive protein demand.
Global and domestic protein demands are increasing
Health, wellness and safety concerns fuel many of food
product narratives.
Protein price and supply volatilities are high and likely
to remain high.
Plant proteins will increase in importance.
Plant proteins are still “early stage”
EXIT Protein Industry Risk Factors
The protein ingredients manufacturing industry
Proposed: The current advantages enjoyed by the dairy and egg
protein industries exist in large part because the science and
development of plant protein ingredients are still early-stage.
• Soy • Egg albumin
• Casein
• Dairy whey
• Pea (field)
• Mycoprotein
• Canola
• Potato (?)
• Peanut • Cottonseed
• Oat
• Algae
• Wheat gluten
• Corn
• Rice
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Large-Cap Mid-Cap Small-Cap Start-Up
• Gelatin
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Structural issues affecting the global protein supply
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• Large raw material
and production
capacities.
• Well-developed
byproduct outlets
• Broad and developed
ingredient selections.
• Breadth and depth of
applications know-
how.
• Large raw material
capacity.
• Well-developed
byproduct outlets.
• Moderate breadth
and depth of
applications know-
how.
Large-Cap Mid-Cap Small-Cap Start-Up
• Well-developed raw
material access.
• Limited finished
ingredient production
capacity.
• Limited breadth and
depth of applications
know-how.
• Limited raw material
access.
• Limited finished
ingredient production
capacity.
• Rudimentary
applications know-how.
Protein Risk Factors
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Typical risk factors affecting the global protein supply
Sooo many proteins…how to choose?
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• Large and rising
global demand.
• Demand fluctuations.
• Climate variability.
• Political /economic.
• Large and rising
global demand.
• Protein production
capacity.
• Consumer branding
issues (e.g., GMOs).
Large-Cap Mid-Cap Small-Cap Start-Up
• Large raw material
resources.
• Limited byproduct
demand and
utilization venues.
• Limited ingredient
differentiation.
• Silo’d production
capacity.
• Production and
supply chain
interruptions.
• Intellectual Property
(?)
• Limited raw material
resources.
• Limited finished
ingredient production
capacity.
• Rudimentary
applications know-how.
• Access to capital.
Protein Risk Factors
EXIT Consumer-Driven Demand Variables
The affect of narratives on protein supply
• Soy • Egg albumin
• Casein
• Dairy whey
• Pea (field)
• Mycoprotein
• Canola
• Potato
• Peanut • Cottonseed
• Oat
• Algae
• Wheat gluten
• Corn
• Rice
Sooo many proteins…how to choose?
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Large-Cap Mid-Cap Small-Cap Start-Up
• Soy
• Corn
• Cottonseed • Wheat gluten
• Egg albumin
• Casein
• Dairy whey
• Peanut
• Gelatin • Gelatin
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Projections • Global protein demand will increase for the foreseeable
future, driven by consumer trends and government policy.
• Global protein production capacity will increase, but supplies
will continue to be stressed.
• All protein sources represent high-risk, highly volatile
ingredient categories for different reasons: some will be more
volatile than others.
• Domestic and global protein consumption trends will increase
demands for plant proteins.
• Plant proteins will increasingly substitute for many animal
protein applications.
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Recommendations
Factor protein availability and volatility into R&D strategies.
When possible, use protein blends to hedge against supply and
pricing disruptions.
Identify and secure interchangeable protein sources from
multiple suppliers.
Deepen the knowledge base for specific proteins sources.
Don’t think of “proteins”, think of composite ingredient systems
(isolates versus concentrates and flours).
Develop, but don’t get trapped by narratives.
QUESTIONS?
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Sooo many proteins…how to choose?
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