how the population of texas is dynamically...

@TexasDemography

How the population of Texas is dynamically changing

Leadership WomenMarch 4, 2018

Fort Worth, Texas

Growing States, 2010‐2017

2010 CensusPopulation 2017 Population

NumericChange

2010-2017

PercentChange

2010-2017

United States 308,745,538 325,719,178 16,973,640 5.5%

Texas 25,145,561 28,304,596 3,159,035 12.6%

California 37,253,956 39,536,653 2,282,697 6.1%

Florida 18,801,310 20,984,400 2,183,090 11.6%

Georgia 9,687,653 10,429,379 741,726 7.7%

North Carolina 9,535,483 10,273,419 737,936 7.7%

Washington 6,724,540 7,405,743 681,203 10.1%

Arizona 6,392,017 7,016,270 624,253 9.8%

Colorado 5,029,196 5,607,154 577,958 11.5%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count, 2017 Population Estimates.

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

GlasscockShelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

FreestoneWinkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

LaSalle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

UptonHamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

Madison

McCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort Bend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman Ochiltree

Comal

Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2016

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

86%

113 - 10,000

10,001 - 50,000

50,001 - 100,000

100,001 - 500,000

500,001 - 4,589,928

Pecos

Brewster

Webb

Hudspeth

PresidioTerrell

CulbersonReeves

Val Verde

Crockett

Hill

Duval

Harris

Frio

Bell

Kerr

Kenedy

Starr

Polk

Clay

Edwards

Irion

Hall

Ellis

Jeff Davis

Sutton

Uvalde

Bee

Hale

Dallam

Leon

Bexar

Gaines

Hidalgo

Upton

Hartley

King

Erath

Jack

Kinney

Kent

Zavala

Brazoria

Tyler

GrayOldham

Dimmit

CassLynn HuntWise

La Salle

Rusk

Kimble

Lamb

Medina

Floyd

Terry

Coke

Llano

Liberty

Ector

Andrews

Milam

Travis Lee

Knox

Mills

Smith

Falls

Ward

Collin

Jones

Nolan

Potter

Burnet

Cottle

Nueces

Taylor

Zapata

Real

Coryell

Bowie

Motley

Young

Lamar

Martin

Garza

DallasFisher

Moore

Baylor

Kleberg

Archer

Scurry

Cameron

Cooke

Mason

Parker

Castro

Navarro

Brooks

Hardin

Deaf Smith

Lavaca

Donley

Hays

Goliad

Denton

El Paso

Fannin

Tarrant

Crane

Carson

Crosby

Borden

Schleicher

Gillespie

Shelby

Foard

Wood

Menard

Panola

Walker

Winkler

Harrison

Eastland

Loving

Bandera

Wichita

Hood

Matagorda

Brown

Reagan Houston

Maverick

Jasper

Coleman

Tom Green

Bailey

DeWittAtascosa

Bosque

Wharton

Concho

Runnels

Fayette

Haskell

Calhoun

Newton

Live Oak

Randall

Sterling

Jefferson

Briscoe

McMullen

Parmer

Jim Hogg

Mitchell

Wilson

Victoria

Trinity

Roberts

Howard

Bastrop

Grayson

San Saba

Midland

Hockley Dickens

Swisher

Gonzales

Anderson

Dawson

Willacy

Grimes

Wheeler

Cherokee

Colorado

Lubbock

Karnes

Red River

Refugio

Austin

Hemphill

Williamson

Jackson

Blanco

Ochiltree

McCulloch

Sherman

Wilbarger

Hansford

Callahan

McLennan

Yoakum

Angelina

Hopkins

Lipscomb

StephensPalo Pinto

Stonewall

Hamilton

MontagueCochran

Jim Wells

Limestone

Kaufman

Fort Bend

Titus

Comal

Armstrong

Kendall

FreestoneComancheGlasscock

Johnson

Galveston

Henderson

Montgomery

Brazos

Van Zandt

Chambers

Robertson

Waller

Sabine

Upshur

Hutchinson

Shackelford

Childress

Burleson

Nacogdoches

Lampasas

Collingsworth

Hardeman

Throckmorton

Guadalupe

Caldwell

Aransas

Marion

San Patricio

Madison

San Jacinto

Delta

Washington Orange

Rains

Gregg

Morris

San Augustine

Franklin

Somervell

Rockwall

Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2016

4Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

96 counties lost population over the 6 year period.

-2,010 - 0

1 - 1,000

1,001 - 20,000

20,001 - 100,000

100,001 - 497,469

Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2016


Pecos

Brewster

Webb

Hudspeth

PresidioTerrell

CulbersonReeves

Val Verde

Crockett

Hill

Duval

Harris

Frio

Bell

Kerr

Kenedy

Starr

Polk

Clay

Edwards

Irion

Hall

Ellis

Jeff Davis

Sutton

Uvalde

Bee

Hale

Dallam

Leon

Bexar

Gaines

Hidalgo

Upton

Hartley

King

Erath

Jack

Kinney

Kent

Zavala

Brazoria

Tyler

GrayOldham

Dimmit

CassLynn HuntWise

La Salle

Rusk

Kimble

Lamb

Medina

Floyd

Terry

Coke

Llano

Liberty

Ector

Andrews

Milam

Travis Lee

Knox

Mills

Smith

Falls

Ward

Collin

Jones

Nolan

Potter

Burnet

Cottle

Nueces

Taylor

Zapata

Real

Coryell

Bowie

Motley

Young

Lamar

Martin

Garza

DallasFisher

Moore

Baylor

Kleberg

Archer

Scurry

Cameron

Cooke

Mason

Parker

Castro

Navarro

Brooks

Hardin

Deaf Smith

Lavaca

Donley

Hays

Goliad

Denton

El Paso

Fannin

Tarrant

Crane

Carson

Crosby

Borden

Schleicher

Gillespie

Shelby

Foard

Wood

Menard

Panola

Walker

Winkler

Harrison

Eastland

Loving

Bandera

Wichita

Hood

Matagorda

Brown

Reagan Houston

Maverick

Jasper

Coleman

Tom Green

Bailey

DeWittAtascosa

Bosque

Wharton

Concho

Runnels

Fayette

Haskell

Calhoun

Newton

Live Oak

Randall

Sterling

Jefferson

Briscoe

McMullen

Parmer

Jim Hogg

Mitchell

Wilson

Victoria

Trinity

Roberts

Howard

Bastrop

Grayson

San Saba

Midland

Hockley Dickens

Swisher

Gonzales

Anderson

Dawson

Willacy

Grimes

Wheeler

Cherokee

Colorado

Lubbock

Karnes

Red River

Refugio

Austin

Hemphill

Williamson

Jackson

Blanco

Ochiltree

McCulloch

Sherman

Wilbarger

Hansford

Callahan

McLennan

Yoakum

Angelina

Hopkins

Lipscomb

StephensPalo Pinto

Stonewall

Hamilton

MontagueCochran

Jim Wells

Limestone

Kaufman

Fort Bend

Titus

Comal

Armstrong

Kendall

FreestoneComancheGlasscock

Johnson

Galveston

Henderson

Montgomery

Brazos

Van Zandt

Chambers

Robertson

Waller

Sabine

Upshur

Hutchinson

Shackelford

Childress

Burleson

Nacogdoches

Lampasas

Collingsworth

Hardeman

Throckmorton

Guadalupe

Caldwell

Aransas

Marion

San Patricio

Madison

San Jacinto

Delta

Washington Orange

Rains

Gregg

Morris

San Augustine

Franklin

Somervell

Rockwall

-4.8% - 0%

0.1% - 2.5%

2.6% - 5%

5.1% - 10%

10.1% - 18.1%

CountyU.S. Rank Population Change

Population Change

Percent of Change from

Natural Increase

Percent Changefrom Domestic

Migration

Percent Change from

International Migration

Harris 2 56,587 79.9% ‐27.9% 48.1%Tarrant 5 35,462 44.4% 37.7% 17.9%Bexar 7 33,198 44.6% 39.3% 16.1%Dallas 9 29,209 79.9% ‐20.9% 41.0%Denton 11 27,689 23.9% 67.1% 9.0%

Fort Bend 13 27,388 24.8% 59.4% 15.8%Collin 14 26,506 25.8% 58.7% 15.5%Travis 17 24,505 44.2% 33.3% 22.5%

Williamson 22 20,659 20.3% 74.1% 5.6%Montgomery 24 19,769 18.5% 73.5% 8.0%Hidalgo* 54 10,529 113.5% ‐33.4% 19.9%

Hidalgo County had negative net migration (‐13.5% of total population growth).Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

Top Counties for Numeric Growth in Texas, 2015-2016

Top Counties for Percent Growth* in Texas, 2015-2016

County U.S. Rank

2015‐2016Percent

Population Change

Percent Change from Domestic Migration

Percent Change from InternationalMigration

Kendall 2 5.2% 95.9% 4.0%Hays 3 5.1% 82.2% 1.8%Comal 6 4.4% 88.5% 2.0%

Williamson 14 4.1% 74.1% 5.6%Fort Bend 18 3.8% 59.4% 15.8%

Montgomery 24 3.7% 73.5% 8.0%Rockwall 25 3.6% 82.2% 2.5%Denton 28 3.6% 67.1% 9.0%Kaufman 36 3.4% 81.3% 2.2%Bastrop 42 3.1% 83.5% 0.7%Ellis 50 3.1% 78.1% 2.6%

*Among Counties with 10,000 or more population in 2016Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

Estimates of percent components of population change, Texas, 2015‐2017

43.0% 47.1% 52.5%

22.1%24.9%

27.7%

34.9%28.0%

19.8%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

2015 2016 2017

Net DomesticMigration

Net InternationalMigration

Natural Increase

8Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage population estimates

Population change, Texas, Florida, and California, 2011‐2017

9

402,77

6

433,90

3

400,95

2 475,15

7

500,44

4

449,98

2

399,73

4

250,90

8

243,95

8

243,60

0 312,82

0 370,82

0

388,02

2

327,81

1

344,96

4

346,35

2

328,37

7

353,89

5

331,16

6

264,03

2

240,17

7

‐

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Texas Florida California


Natural increase, Texas, Florida, California, 2011‐2017

10

213,65

1

208,96

4

205,79

5

213,54

1

214,38

0

212,02

1

209,69

0

38,710

40,265

31,345

37,268

30,762

25,592

22,019

271,33

6

257,87

0

251,86

0

254,91

2

246,77

3

217,86

6

213,93

9

‐

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017



International net‐migration, Texas, Florida, California, 2011‐2017


70,535

76,954

82,449

95,661

110,15

5

111,98

3

110,41

7

105,21

8

110,75

6

112,23

2 128,94

1

141,02

4

145,32

7

144,16

5

130,36

5

132,14

1

131,82

5 148,28

8

167,97

6

168,35

1

164,86

7

‐

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017


Domestic net‐migration, Texas, Florida, California, 2011‐2017

12

117,61

5

145,51

3

110,61

4

163,16

0

174,20

0

125,80

0

79,163

105,69

6

91,745

99,228

144,01

7

196,56

0

216,95

6

160,85

4

(54,62

6)

(40,75

6)

(53,07

6)

(46,33

0)

(80,85

9)

(122

,123

)

(138

,195

)

(200,000)

(150,000)

(100,000)

(50,000)

‐

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017



13

Annual Shares of Recent Non‐Citizen Immigrants to Texas by World Area of Birth, 2005‐2015

44.1%

50.6%

69.4%

35.8%

33.0%

17.3%

7.1%

7.3%

7.8%

13.1%

9.1%

5.5%

2015

2010

2005

Latin America Asia Europe Africa and OtherSource: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS

15

~5.8% of Texas’ population

Texas White (non‐Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2014

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

Popu

latio

n

Age

White (non‐Hispanic)

Hispanic

16Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000Under 1 year

5 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

30 years

35 years

40 years

45 years

50 years

55 years

60 years

65 years

70 years

75 years

80 years

85 + years

Male White, Non‐Hispanic Female White, Non‐Hispanic

17

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2014

Source: Texas Demographic Center, 2014 Population Estimates

250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000Under 1 year

5 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

30 years

35 years

40 years

45 years

50 years

55 years

60 years

65 years

70 years

75 years

80 years

85 + years

Male Hispanic Female, Hispanic

18



250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000Under 1 year

5 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

30 years

35 years

40 years

45 years

50 years

55 years

60 years

65 years

70 years

75 years

80 years

85 + years

Male White, Non‐Hispanic Male Hispanic Male Black, Non Hispanic Male Other, Non Hispanic

Female White, Non‐Hispanic Female, Hispanic Female Black, Non Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic

19



Percentage of Population with Drive Times Longer than 25 Minutes, Texas Census Tracts, 1990 and 2010*

19901990 2010*2010*

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1990 decennial census and *American Community Survey, 2008-2012 5 Year Sample.

Mean Commute Time (minutes) of workers, Census Tracts, Metroplex Area, Texas, 2009‐2013

21Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5 Year Sample 2009-2013.

4.8 - 15

15.1 - 20

20.1 - 25

25.1 - 30

30.1 - 70

Dallas

Hunt

Johnson

Somervell

Parker

Grayson

Ellis

Montague

Tarrant

Kaufman

Navarro

Wise

Henderson

Hill

Collin

Fannin

Bosque

Cooke

Denton

Hood

Rockwall

Persons per Square Mile

0 – 10

11 – 50

51 – 500

501 – 4,000

4,001 – 56,000

1970 1980 1990

Density by Census Tract, MetroplexArea, 1970‐2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial censuses. Geolytics, Neighborhood Change Database Tract Data from 1970-2010

Ellis

Hun

Wise Collin

Dallas

Denton

TarrantParker

Kaufman

JohnsonHood

H

Rockwall

Fannin

NavarroSomervell

Grayson

Hill

CookeMontague

Ellis

Collin

Dallas

Wise Denton

Tarrant

Hunt

Kaufman

Johnson

Parker

Hood

Rockwall

Henderson

Navarro

Fannin

Somervell

Van Zandt

Grayson

Hill

CookeMontague

Ellis

Collin

Dallas

Wise Denton

Tarrant

Hunt

Kaufman

Johnson

Parker

Hood

Rockwall

Henderson

Navarro

Fannin

Somervell

Van Zandt

Grayson

Hill

CookeMontague

Ellis

Collin

Dallas

Wise Denton

Tarrant

Hunt

Kaufman

Johnson

Parker

Hood

Rockwall

Henderson

Navarro

Fannin

Somervell

Van Zandt

Grayson

Hill

CookeMontague2000

Ellis

Collin

Dallas

Wise Denton

Tarrant

Hunt

Kaufman

Johnson

Parker

Hood

Rockwall

Henderson

Navarro

Fannin

Somervell

Van Zandt

Grayson

Hill

CookeMontague 2010

Percent of Housing Units Built Before 1960, Census Tracts, Metroplex Area, Texas, 2012-2016

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2012-2016 5-Year Sample 23

Ellis

WiseCollin

Dallas

Denton

TarrantParker

Johnson

Cooke

Navarro

Grayson

Hood

Kaufman

Montague

Fannin

Somervell

Rockwall

Hunt

Henderson

0% - 10%

10.1% - 25%

25.1% - 50%

50.1% - 75%

75.1% - 100%

Percent of Housing Units Built Between 1960 and 1979, Census Tracts, Metroplex Area, Texas, 2012-2016

24

Ellis

WiseCollin

Dallas

Denton

TarrantParker

Johnson

Cooke

Navarro

Grayson

Hood

Kaufman

Montague

Fannin

Somervell

Rockwall

Hunt

Henderson

0% - 10%

10.1% - 25%

25.1% - 50%

50.1% - 75%

75.1% - 100%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2012-2016 5-Year Sample

Percent of Housing Units Built Between 1980 and 1999, Census Tracts, Metroplex Area, Texas, 2012-2016

25

Ellis

WiseCollin

Dallas

Denton

TarrantParker

Johnson

Cooke

Navarro

Grayson

Hood

Kaufman

Montague

Fannin

Somervell

Rockwall

Hunt

Henderson

0% - 10%

10.1% - 25%

25.1% - 50%

50.1% - 75%

75.1% - 100%


Percent of Housing Units Built Between 2000 and later, Census Tracts, Metroplex Area, Texas, 2012-2016

26

0% - 10%

10.1% - 25%

25.1% - 50%

50.1% - 75%

75.1% - 100%

Ellis

WiseCollin

Dallas

Denton

TarrantParker

Johnson

Cooke

Navarro

Grayson

Hood

Kaufman

Montague

Fannin

Somervell

Rockwall

Hunt

Henderson


Percent of labor force working in management, business, science, and arts occupations, Census Tracts, Metroplex area, Texas, 2012‐2016

27

g0% - 15%

15.1% - 30%

30.1% - 45%

45.1% - 60%

60.1% - 84.6%


Ellis

WiseCollin

Dallas

Denton

TarrantParker

Johnson

Cooke

Navarro

Grayson

Hood

Kaufman

Montague

Fannin

Somervell

Rockwall

Hunt

Henderson

Percent of owner occupied housing units valued at $500k and more, Census Tracts, Metroplex area, Texas, 2012‐2016

28

0% - 2%

2.1% - 10%

10.1% - 30%

30.1% - 60%

60.1% - 100%


Ellis

WiseCollin

Dallas

Denton

TarrantParker

Johnson

Cooke

Navarro

Grayson

Hood

Kaufman

Montague

Fannin

Somervell

Rockwall

Hunt

Henderson

Percent of the population (25 and older) with less than high school degree, Census Tracts, Metroplex Area, Texas,

2012‐2016


0% - 10%

10.1% - 20%

20.1% - 30%

30.1% - 50%

50.1% - 76.9%

Ellis

WiseCollin

Dallas

Denton

TarrantParker

Johnson

Cooke

Navarro

Grayson

Hood

Kaufman

Montague

Fannin

Somervell

Rockwall

Hunt

Henderson

Percent of that is Hispanic, Census Tracts, Metroplex Area, Texas, 2012‐2016

30Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2012-2016 5-Year Sample

Ellis

WiseCollin

Dallas

Denton

TarrantParker

Johnson

Cooke

Navarro

Grayson

Hood

Kaufman

Montague

Fannin

Somervell

Rockwall

Hunt

Henderson

0% - 20%

20.1% - 40%

40.1% - 60%

60.1% - 80%

80.1% - 100%

Percent of the population (5 and older) who speak a language other than English at home and English “less than very well,” Census Tracts,

Metroplex Area, Texas, 2012‐2016

31

0% - 10%

10.1% - 15%

15.1% - 30%

30.1% - 40%

40.1% - 80.3%


Ellis

WiseCollin

Dallas

Denton

TarrantParker

Johnson

Cooke

Navarro

Grayson

Hood

Kaufman

Montague

Fannin

Somervell

Rockwall

Hunt

Henderson

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

Millions

Zero Net Migration

Half 2000 ‐2010

2000 ‐2010

2010 ‐2015

Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010‐2050

32Source: Texas State Data Center 2016 Population Projections

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

Millions

Zero Net Migration

Half 2000 ‐2010

2000 ‐2010

2010 ‐2015

Estimates

Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010‐2020

33Source: Texas State Data Center 2016 Population Projections

Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2010‐2050

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

35,000,000

NH‐WhiteNH‐BlackHispanicNH‐Other

34Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections , 2000‐2010 Migration Scenario

Poverty Rate for the Population 25 Years and Over for Whom Poverty Status Is Determined by Educational Attainment Level, Texas, 2012‐ and

2018

20.9%

11.5%

7.4%

4.1%

30.0%

17.0%

11.1%

4.7%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

Less than high schoolgraduate

High school graduate(includes equivalency)

Some college or associate'sdegree

Bachelor's degree or higher

Males Females


Labor force participation by sex, Tarrant County and Texas, 2012‐2016

36

TexasTarrant County

Male:In labor force: 71.7% 76.2%Employed or in Armed Forces 67.3% 71.7%Unemployed 4.4% 4.5%Not in labor force 28.3% 23.8%

Female:In labor force: 57.8% 61.2%Employed or in Armed Forces 53.9% 57.4%

Unemployed 3.8% 3.8%

Not in labor force 42.2% 38.8%


Married Never Married

Male:

In labor force: 77.8% 66.5%

Employed or in Armed Forces 75.3% 59.2%



Female:

In labor force: 57.0% 64.0%

Employed or in Armed Forces 54.4% 57.6%



37

Labor force participation (16 years and older) by marital status and sex, Texas, 2012‐2016


Percent female for occupations, Texas, 2012‐2016

2.4%3.6%

12.3%13.8%16.4%

23.0%23.3%23.6%

43.4%45.0%45.5%

49.8%54.9%

65.8%70.8%72.7%

79.8%86.1%

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%

Construction and extraction occupations Installation, maintenance, and repair occupations

Transportation occupations Farming, fishing, and forestry occupations

Material moving occupations Computer, engineering, and science occupations:

Protective service occupations: Production occupations

Management, business, and financial occupations: Building and grounds cleaning and maintenance…Civilian employed population 16 years and over

Sales and related occupations Food preparation and serving related occupations

Education, legal, community service, arts, and media… Office and administrative support occupations

Healthcare practitioner and technical occupations: Personal care and service occupations

Healthcare support occupations


Percent distribution of employed persons by industry, Texas, 2005 and 2017

1.7%

5.8%

9.2%

20.3%

2.3%

4.5%

1.8%

5.0%

0.6%

6.2%

1.4%

10.7%

1.0%

8.2%

3.6%

17.5%

2.0%

5.8% 7.1%

19.8%

1.6%

4.4%

1.8%

6.0%

1.0%

6.6%

1.7%

12.0%

1.1%

9.6%

3.6%

15.9%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

2005 2017

39Source: Texas Workforce Commission, Tracer, Employment Estimates. http://www.tracer2.com/cgi/dataanalysis/AreaSelection.asp?tableName=Ces

Percent of Civilian Labor Force by Occupation, Texas, 2008, 2014 and 2014‐2008 Difference

9.3%

4.4% 4.4%

7.7%

3.9%

12.3%

9.9%

4.7%5.3%

6.8%

3.5%

12.0%

0.5% 0.3%0.9%

‐0.9% ‐0.4% ‐0.3%‐2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

2008 2014 Difference 2014‐2008

40Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1‐Year Sample, 2008, 2010, 2014`

Educational Attainment, Persons Aged 25 Years and Older, Texas, 2011 and 2015

2011 2015

Percent high school graduate or higher 81.1% 82.4% *

Percent bachelor's degree or higher 26.4% 28.4% *

41U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 1-Year Samples, 2011 and 2015* Years significantly different p<.05

Percent Distribution of Educational Attainment of Persons Aged 25 Years and Older, Texas, 2008, 2011, and 2015

20.4% 18.9% 17.6%

25.4% 25.5% 25.3%

28.8% 29.1% 28.7%

17.1% 17.7% 18.7%

8.3% 8.7% 9.7%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2008 2011 2015

Percen

t

Year

Graduate orProfessional Degree

Bachelor Degree

Some College orAssociate Degree

High School orEquivelent

Less than High School

42.9%

57.1%

45.8%

54.2%

42Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1‐Year Samples, 2008‐2015

11.8% 12.2%6.7%

36.5% 33.6%

29.6%

14.2% 23.9%

27.6%27.5%

36.3%

15.9%

32.2%

22.7%24.0%

22.4%

57.7%

37.2%

13.2% 15.0%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Black Asian Non‐HispanicWhite

Hispanic All Other

Bachelor, Graduate,Professional Degree

Some College or AssociateDegree

High School or Equivelant

Less than High School

35.9%

69.4%

43

Educational Attainment of Persons Age 25 Years and Older by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, 2015

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1‐Year Sample, 2015

Educational attainment of women aged 25 years and older, Texas and Tarrant County, 2016

Texas Tarrant County

White alone, not Hispanic or LatinoHigh school graduate or higher 93.4% 94.6%Bachelor's degree or higher 36.6% 38.4%

Black aloneHigh school graduate or higher 90.1% 91.4%Bachelor's degree or higher 25.2% 24.0%

Asian aloneHigh school graduate or higher 85.4% 80.8%Bachelor's degree or higher 53.4% 38.5%

Hispanic or Latino OriginHigh school graduate or higher 66.3% 62.4%Bachelor's degree or higher 15.3% 14.4%

44Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates

Trends in Educational Attainment of Persons in the Labor Force (25‐64 Years of Age) in Texas by Race/Ethnicity –

High School Graduates and Above

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample, 2001‐2011

Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25‐64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, 2030 Using Constant Rates,

Texas

46

15.0%

23.8%

31.3%

20.1%

9.8%

18.1%

24.0%

29.9%

18.7%

9.3%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

Less than High School High School orEquivalent

Some College /Associate Degree

Bachelor's Degree Graduate orProfessional Degree

Percen

t of the

Civilian

Lab

or Force

Educational Attainment

2011 ACS

2030 Constant 2011 %

These should be going DOWN These should be going UP

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS.Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25‐64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, and 2030 Using Trended

Rates, Texas

47

15.0%

23.8%

31.3%

20.1%

9.8%11.4%

20.4%

34.3%

22.1%

11.8%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

Less than High School High School orEquivalent

Some College /Associate Degree

Bachelor's Degree Graduate orProfessional Degree

Percen

t of the

Civilian

Lab

or Force

Educational Attainment

2011 ACS

2030 Trended (2001‐2011 Trend)

These should be going DOWN These should be going UP

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS.Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

Teen (ages 15‐19 years) birth rates, the U.S. and select states, 2015

Area Rank Birth Rate Per 1,000 Women

United States 23.3Arkansas 1 38.0Mississippi 2 34.8Oklahoma 3 34.8New Mexico 4 34.6Texas 5 34.6Louisiana 6 34.1Kentucky 7 32.4West Virginia 8 31.9Tennessee 9 30.5Alabama 10 30.1Alaska 11 29.3Wyoming 12 29.2Nevada 13 27.6South Dakota 14 26.4Arizona 15 26.3

48Source: National Center for Health Statistics at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Adult Obesity

49Source: http://stateofobesity.org/files/stateofobesity2015.pdf

Projected Increase in Obesity in Texas by Ethnicity, 2006 to 2040

50Source: Office of the State Demographer projections, using 2000-2004 migration scenario population projections

Contact

State DemographerOffice: (210) 458‐6530Email: [email protected]: demographics.texas.gov

Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.

@TexasDemography

51

how the population of texas is dynamically...

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