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TRANSCRIPT
August 2017
How can investors capture big trends reshaping the world?
Meet the Managers
FOR PROESSIONAL
INVESTORS ONLY
Capital Group is represented in Australia by its member Capital Group Investment Management Limited (ACN 164 174 501)
Not for use with the public.
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc.
Managing investors’ assets since 1931
1
1. As at 30 June 2017. Source: Capital Group.2. As at 31 December 2016. Source: Capital Group.
US$1.5tn
Assets under
management1
86Years of
investing
7,500+
Employees
worldwide2
Capital Group is focused on delivering superior, consistent results for long-term
investors using high-conviction portfolios, rigorous research and individual
accountability
2
Brace for change
Big trends reshaping the world
3
Changing global trade
patterns
Idea-driven
companies
The new emerging
market consumer
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc.
Is globalisation dead?
4
Flows of goods, services and finance, 1980–2014
3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 68 9 10 9 10
1210 11
13
17
2124
30
22
18
2629 28 28
30
2624 23
21
22
24
22
23
24
2427
2932
2932
37
32
3235
41 46
49
53
37
31
41 41
38 37 39
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
19
80
19
81
19
82
19
83
19
84
19
85
19
86
19
87
19
88
19
89
19
90
19
91
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19
93
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95
19
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97
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20
00
20
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20
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20
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06
20
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20
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20
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20
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20
13
20
14
US$ trillion, nominal % of global GDP
Sources: UNCTAD; IMF Balance of Payments; World Bank; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc.
Global integration goes digital
5
Sources: TeleGeography; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
Total used cross-border bandwidth, in thousands of gigabits per second
Global flow of data and communication
3.1 4.4 7.2 12.5 20.3 30.9 46.8 67.5 97.9 140.8
1.6 2.33.9
6.39.8
15.3
22.7
33.3
48.8
70.5
0
50
100
150
200
250
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Intraregional Interregional
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc.
Social technologies adopted at record speed
6
Online platforms – virtual countries?
Platform active users or country populations (million)
US
322
846
China
1,376
1,790
This information has been provided solely for informational purposes and is not an offer, or solicitation of an offer, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument listed herein.WeChat and Facebook monthly active users as at September 2016. Sources: World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, United Nations; Tencent, Facebook
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc.
Africa leapfrogs landlines, and takes a shortcut to the bank
Technology is a game changer for business
7
This information has been provided solely for informational purposes and is not an offer, or solicitation of an offer, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument listed herein.Sources: 2014 State of the Industry: Mobile Financial Services for the Unbanked, March 2015, Groupe Speciale Mobile Association (GSMA); “Banks Vie for a Piece of Africa’s Mobile Banking Market,” August 15, 2014, The Wall Street Journal; Safaricom Limited FY15 Presentation. The GSMA Mobile Money report is available at http://www.gsma.com/mobilefordevelopment/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/SOTIR_2014. The data for mobile financial accounts per 100,000 adults are as of June 2013. The total M-Pesa transactional value of US$45 billion is for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2015.
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc.
Young people are earning more and influencing purchasing patterns
Emerging market consumer: Same, but different
Source: Euromonitor International 2016
Gross income of 25- to 29-year old vs. national average (2015)
19.7
16.5
16.3
14.8
12.8
12.3
9.8
9.2
8.8
0.1
5.6
-3.0
-3.6
-11.5
(% Lower) (% Higher)
The Philippines
China
Malaysia
Indonesia
India
Mexico
Thailand
Brazil
Argentina
Russia
Germany
South Korea
United Kingdom
US
10
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc. 9
Future-proof your portfolio by seeking global champions
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc.
Creative, experienced and networked
Rise and dominance of global companies
10
The rise of multinationals:
• Play a vital role in the global economy
• Account for 80% of trade, 75% of private sector
research and development and 40% of productivity
growth globally
• Possess the power of deep global distribution
networks
• Innovative management, with experience and
maturity to operate in multiple markets
• Diverse sources of revenue, by identifying
opportunities in the fastest growing markets
• Resilience, through solid balance sheets that can
better withstand market downturns
Sources: Dobbs, Richards; Koller, Tim; Ramaswamy, Sree; Woetsel, Jonathan; Manyika, James; Krishnan, Rohit; Andreula, Nicolo. “Playing To Win: The New Global Competition for Corporate Profits.” McKinsey & Company. September 2015
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc.
Top 10 largest companies in the MSCI ACWI by market cap
Idea companies emerge as top dogs
11
Source: RIMES. *Value of A and C shares, both of which are held in MSCI ACWIThis information has been provided solely for informational purposes and is not an offer, or solicitation of an offer, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument listed herein.
1996 2006 2016
General Electric Exxon Mobil Apple
Coca-Cola General Electric Alphabet*
Exxon Mobil Citigroup Microsoft
Toyota Microsoft Exxon Mobil
Intel Bank of America Johnson & Johnson
Microsoft BP General Electric
Merck HSBC Holdings Facebook
Royal Dutch Petroleum Procter & Gamble Amazon
Philip Morris Johnson & Johnson Wells Fargo
Bank Tokyo-Mitsubishi Toyota AT&T
Not in the Top 10 in 1996 or 2006
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc.
Amazon Web Services: One of the fastest-growing technology businesses
Is Amazon just an e-commerce giant?
12
This information has been provided solely for informational purposes and is not an offer, or solicitation of an offer, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument listed herein. Data as at February 2017. Sources: Deutsche Bank estimates, public company filings
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0 5 10 15 20
Years
Revenue (US$ billion)
Oracle2000
Alphabet2006
Facebook2014
Apple1995
Microsoft1997
Amazon Web Services
2016
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc.
The power of distribution networks
13
• An effective barrier against competition
• Hallmark of longest surviving global companies
(Coca-Cola)
• Control of distribution networks
− Pharmaceutical companies and brewing giants
• Strengthening grip through mergers
• Drug companies focused on certain
diseases/doctor networks
This information has been provided solely for informational purposes and is not an offer, or solicitation of an offer, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument listed herein.
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc.
Global companies adapt to greater EM influence
14
• Multinationals setting up Asian R&D centres to be closer to consumers (Unilever)
• Products created in EMs can be successful in DMs (Sun Pharmaceuticals)
• Developing both global and local brands (Nestlé)
United States
Europe
China
India
This information has been provided solely for informational purposes and is not an offer, or solicitation of an offer, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument listed herein. Data as at February 2017. Sources: Deutsche Bank estimates, public company filings
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc.
Innovation: Blurring boundaries
15
All pictures are intellectual property of their respective owners. Reference to any third party product or service does not constitute or imply endorsement or recommendation thereof by The Capital Group. This information has been provided solely for informational purposes and is not an offer, or solicitation of an offer, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument listed herein.
China
India
General Electric
Lullaby Warmer for newborn babies
Unilever
Bouillon jelly for stock
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc.
Emerging market companies: Next big global players
16
1. Africa, Eastern Europe and Central Asia, Latin America, Middle East, South Asia, and Southeast Asia.2. China, Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan.Source: McKinsey Global Institute Company Scope database of companies with revenues ≥US$1 billion a year, October 2013.
The Fortune Global 500 by location, number of companies
2 1 12 54120
21 22 12
31
109
477 477 476415
271
0
100
200
300
400
500
1980 1990 2000 2010 2025 projected
Developed
regions
Emerging markets1,
excluding China
Greater China2
5% 5% 5% 17% 46%Emerging markets1
total share
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc. 17
Introducing Capital GroupNew Perspective Fund (AU)
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc.
Objective: Long-term growth of capital
18
Experienced and collaborative global team
High-conviction portfolio driven
by bottom-up research
Investment professionals who
have navigated a range of market
cycles
Powerful opportunity set
Established and
early-stage multinational
companies well positioned to
benefit from global secular
trends
High-conviction, repeatable approach
Over 40 years of pursuing global growth
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc.
Buy global champions of today and tomorrow
19
Global trends are best accessed by investing in multinationals which can offer key advantages
A powerful opportunity set
Growth
Early-stage
multinationals
• Market-leading
companies in home
region
• Overseas trade
rapidly expanding
• Potential to be a
leading
multinational
Resilience
Established
multinationals
• Well-established
global companies
• Able to evolve to
achieve growth
• Benefits from
global trade
ExamplesIn the portfolio
British American TobaccoJPMorgan ChaseNestle
ExamplesIn the portfolio
Amazon.comCMEASML
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc. 20
More than a global multinational strategy
Analysis from 31 May 2000 to 31 March 2017
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
May 00 May 02 May 04 May 06 May 08 May 10 May 12 May 14 May 16
Total returns indexed to 100 in US$
New Perspective¹
7.1%
FTSE Multinationals²
4.7%
MSCI ACWI³
3.6%
Annualised returns
Past results are not a guarantee of future results. Analysis from 31 May 2000 (earliest available data) to 31 March 2017.Invested capital is at risk; the strategy aims to achieve a positive return over the long term although there is no guarantee this will be achieved over that or any time period.1.The results shown are for the Capital Group New Perspective Composite. The composite is asset-weighted based on initial weights and monthly returns. Gross of management fees. Source: Capital Group2. FTSE Multinationals Index (Total Return). This index comprises companies that derive more than 30% of their revenue from outside their domestic region. Source: FTSE 3. MSCI ACWI (with net dividends reinvested) from 30 September 2011; previously MSCI World (with net dividends reinvested). Source: MSCI
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc.
A strategy for different seasons
21
Peaks and troughsMSCI ACWI1 Capital Group New Perspective Composite relative returns (p.a.)2 +/- %
Past results are not a guarantee of future results. Data as at 30 June 2017. As Capital Group New Perspective Fund (AU) launched on 20 November 2015, a meaningful track record has yet to be established, so the investment results shown here are for the Capital Group New Perspective Composite (defined as a single group of discretionary portfolios that collectively represent a particular investment strategy or objective). This is intended to illustrate our experience and capability in managing this strategy over the long term. Our Capital Group New Perspective Fund (AU) has been a member of this composite since beginning of December 2015.1. MSCI ACWI (with net dividends reinvested) in US$ from 30 September 2011; previously MSCI World (with net dividends reinvested). Source: MSCI 2. Relative returns calculated geometrically for the Capital Group New Perspective Composite, in US$ terms and before fees and expenses, compared with MSCI ACWI (net dividends reinvested) from 30 September 2011; previously MSCI World (with net dividends reinvested). Sources: Capital Group, MSCI
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2013Mar
+3.2%
+6.2%
+8.7%
+2.3%
+4.8%
Downmarket
Up Down UpUp market
Mar2000
Feb2009
Sep2002
Oct 2007
Jun 2017
The strategy has a track record of protecting on the downside in rolling three-year down markets
Rolling monthly three-year returns from inception to 30 June 2017
Market return1
Number
of periods
How often the composite
outpacedthe market2
>0% ‘Up market’ 416 87%
<0% ‘Down market’ 80 100%
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc.
The value of a long-term perspective
22
Capital Group New Perspective strategy
The value of A$10,000 invested at launch
Past results are not a guarantee of future results. Data as at 30 June 2017. 1. Results prior to the launch of Capital Group New Perspective Fund (AU) on 20 November 2015 are derived from the American Funds New Perspective Fund after fees in A$ from 31 March 1973. The strategy is advised by the same portfolio management team managing to the same investment objectives. The after fees returns are based on the total management cost of 0.95% p.a. that is currently applicable to the fund. Source: Capital Group.2. MSCI ACWI (net dividends reinvested) from 30 September 2011; previously MSCI World (net dividends reinvested). Source: MSCIThis information supplements or enhances required or recommended disclosure and presentation provisions of the GIPS® standards, which if not included herein, are available upon request. GIPS is a trademark owned by CFA Institute.
New Perspective1
A$2,717,818
MSCI ACWI2
A$663,371
The value of A$10,000 invested at launch
Annualised growth in % terms since launch
A$2,717,818
A$663,371
Capital GroupNew Perspective
Strategy¹
MSCI ACWI ex Australia²
4 x more wealth in A$ terms
13.5
9.9
Capital GroupNew Perspective Strategy¹
MSCI ACWI ex Australia²
3.6% higher than the market return
May-17
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
Mar-73 Mar-78 Mar-83 Mar-88 Mar-93 Mar-98 Mar-03 Mar-08 Mar-13
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc.
A flexible approach to global equity investing
23
Capital Group New Perspective Fund (AU)
A bottom-up
approach to
capturing long-
term themes
Buys global
companies of
today and
tomorrow
A quality strategy
that delivers
superior results1
Provides
resilience in
failing markets
A powerful global equity strategy with a ‘new geography’ approach that has delivered consistently attractive
results for over 40 years
Past results are not a guarantee of future results. Data as at 31 May 2017. As Capital Group New Perspective Fund (AU) launched on 20 November 2015, a meaningful track record has yet to be established, so the investment results shown here are for the Capital Group New Perspective Composite (defined as a single group of discretionary portfolios that collectively represent a particular investment strategy or objective). This is intended to illustrate our experience and capability in managing this strategy over the long term. Our Capital Group New Perspective Fund (AU) has been a member of this composite since beginning of December 2015.1. Since its launch, the Capital Group New Perspective strategy has returned 13.6 p.a. versus 10.0 p.a. for MSCI ACWI. Results for the Capital Group New Perspective Composite are asset-weighted and based on initial weights and monthly returns in A$ terms (inception: 31 March 1973). The after fees returns are based on the total management cost of 0.95% p.a. that is currently applicable to the fund. Source: Capital Group, MSCI2. The New Perspective strategy has protected on the downside 100% of the time on a rolling three-year basis since inception. Relative returns calculated geometrically for the Capital Group New Perspective Composite, in A$ terms. The after fees returns are based on the total management cost of 0.95% p.a. that is currently applicable to the fund. Source: Capital Group, MSCIThis information supplements or enhances required or recommended disclosure and presentation provisions of the GIPS® standards, which if not included herein, are available upon request. GIPS is a trademark owned by CFA Institute.
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc. 24
Key takeaways for investors
• See global trade patterns anew
• Uncover idea-driven companies
• Get ready for the new EM consumer
• Go global with your asset allocation
• Seek the multinationals of today and tomorrow
• Adopt a New Perspective on global investing
© 2017 Morningstar. All rights reserved. Morningstar Rating™ as at 31 March 2017. Morningstar Analyst Rating™ as at 17 January 2017. Morningstar Global Large-Cap Growth Equity category.
Capital Group New Perspective Fund (AU)
An active global equity strategy that stood the test of time
© 2017 Morningstar. All rights reserved. The information contained herein: (1) is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its content providers; (2) may not be copied or distributed; and (3) is not warranted to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar nor its content providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. For more detailed information about Morningstar’s Analyst Rating, including its methodology, please go to: http://corporate.morningstar.com/us/documents/MethodologyDocuments/AnalystRatingforFundsMethodology.pdf. For disclosure and detailed information about this fund, please refer to full Morningstar Global Fund Report at https://www.thecapitalgroup.com/content/dam/cgc/tenants/apac/documents/award/mgfr-cgnpf.pdf.
© 2015 The Capital Group Companies, Inc. 25
Q&A
FOR PROFESSIONAL INVESTORS USE ONLY - NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION
This communication is intended for advisors and professional investors only, and should not be relied upon by retail investors. Past results are not predictive of future results. This information is neither an offer nor a solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to provide any investment service.
The statements included here are the opinions and beliefs of the individuals identified and do not necessarily reflect the view of Capital Group or its affiliates. While Capital Group uses reasonable efforts to obtain information from sources which it believes to be reliable, Capital Group makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information.
This communication is of a general nature, it is not intended to be comprehensive or to provide investment, tax or other advice. It has been prepared for multiple distributions and does not take account of the specific investment objectives of individual recipients and it may not be appropriate in all circumstances.
This communication has been prepared by Capital International, Inc., a member of Capital Group, a company incorporated in California, United States of America. The liability of members is limited.
All Capital Group trademarks are owned by The Capital Group Companies, Inc. or an affiliated company in the US, Australia and other countries.
All other company and product names mentioned are the trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective companies.
© 2017 Capital Group. All rights reserved.
Disclaimer
FOR PROFESSIONAL INVESTORS AND INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY - NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION
This communication is strictly for the confidential use of the recipient, solely for the purpose for which it is provided, and may not be disclosed or circulated to, or relied upon by third parties. Past results are not a guarantee of future results.
This information is neither an offer nor a solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to provide any investment service. Statements attributed to an individual represent the opinions of that individual as of the date published and may not necessarily reflect the view of Capital Group or its affiliates. While Capital Group uses reasonable efforts to obtain information from sources which it believes to be reliable, Capital Group makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information. The information provided in this communication is of a general nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any of the information you should consider its appropriateness, having regard to your own objectives, financial situation and needs.
This communication has been prepared by Capital International, Inc., a member of Capital Group, a company incorporated in California, United States of America. The liability of members is limited. In Australia, this communication and Capital Group New Perspective Fund (AU) (ARSN: 608 698 746) is issued by Capital Group Investment Management Limited (ACN 164 174 501 AFSL No. 443 118),a member of Capital Group, located at Level 18, 56 Pitt Street, Sydney NSW 2000 Australia. The said fund is offered only by Product Disclosure Statement (PDS), please read the PDS which is available upon request or at www.thecapitalgroup.com.au in its entirety before making an investment decision.
All Capital Group trademarks are owned by The Capital Group Companies, Inc. or an affiliated company in the US, Australia and other countries. All other company and product names mentioned are the trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective companies. © 2017 Capital Group. All rights reserved.