housing and the economy a regional perspective€¦ · housing and the economy a regional...

23
HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series – Keene, NH February 28, 2017

Upload: others

Post on 23-Jun-2020

4 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY

A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE

Regional Issue Series – Keene, NH

February 28, 2017

Page 2: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

About New Hampshire Housing

Established by the state legislature in 1981 as a

public benefit corporation

New Hampshire Housing is an independent self

sustaining authority, not a state agency

New Hampshire Housing is an instrumentality of the

state

Page 3: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

About New Hampshire Housing

Single Family Mortgage Program

Approximately 1,000 mortgages each year

Homebuyer Counseling

HomeHelpNH

Housing Choice Voucher Program

About 3,500 vouchers administered by New Hampshire Housing (of approximately 9,500 in NH)

Rental Housing Production Program

Finance the construction or rehabilitation of multi-family rental projects (200-300 units/year)

Page 4: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

About New Hampshire Housing

Research and Advocacy

Primary Housing Data Resource in New Hampshire

- Data gathering and analysis of market trends

- Annual Rent Survey

- Available at wwww.nhhfa.org

Housing Advocacy

- New Hampshire Housing actively promotes the need for an

adequate and balanced supply of housing in the state

- Support for local organizations/efforts (Technical

Assistance/mini-grants)

Page 5: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

Housing and the Economy

Page 6: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

Housing and the Economy

Page 7: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

Housing and the Economy

48,000

49,000

50,000

51,000

52,000

53,000

54,000

55,000

56,000

57,000

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Civ

ilia

n L

ab

or

Fo

rce

Month

Labor Force by Type

Total Unempolyed

Total Employed

Southwest Regional Planning Commission

Page 8: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

Housing and the Economy

Southwest Regional Planning Commission

-

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

Jan

-96

Ju

l-96

Jan

-97

Ju

l-97

Jan

-98

Ju

l-98

Jan

-99

Ju

l-99

Jan

-00

Ju

l-00

Jan

-01

Ju

l-01

Jan

-02

Ju

l-02

Jan

-03

Ju

l-03

Jan

-04

Ju

l-04

Jan

-05

Ju

l-05

Jan

-06

Ju

l-06

Jan

-07

Ju

l-07

Jan

-08

Ju

l-08

Jan

-09

Ju

l-09

Jan

-10

Ju

l-10

Jan

-11

Ju

l-11

Jan

-12

Ju

l-12

Jan

-13

Ju

l-13

Jan

-14

Ju

l-14

Jan

-15

Ju

l-15

Jan

-16

Ju

l-16

Unemployment Rate

2.4% as of December, 2016

Page 9: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

Housing and the Economy

Cheshire County

Median Income

Owner Occupied: $70,000

Renter Occupied: $30,921

Page 10: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

Housing and the Economy

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

$800

$900

$1,000

$1,100

$1,200

Re

nt

Median Gross Rental Cost

All Units 2-Bedroom Units

2016: All Units=$1,007 2-Bedroom=$1,040

Southwest Regional Planning Commission

Page 11: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

Housing and the Economy

4.1%

3.9%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

Vacancy Rate of Rental Housing Units

All Units 2-Bedroom Units

Southwest Regional Planning Commission

Page 12: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

Housing and the Economy

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

Median Home Purchase Price

All Homes Existing Homes New Homes

Existing home sales: $175,266

Cheshire County

Page 13: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

Cheshire County

Page 14: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

Cheshire County

Page 15: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

Millennials and our Aging Population

Page 16: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

16Fry, Richard. 2016. “For First Time in Modern Era, Living With Parents Edges Out Other Living Arrangements for 18- to 34-Year-Olds.” Washington,

D.C.: Pew Research Center, May.

Page 17: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

Median Age Belies Our Relative Youth

2015 Median Age

1. Maine 44.5

2. NH 42.8

2. Vermont 42.8

4. W. Virginia 42.1

5. Florida 41.9

50. Utah 30.7

American Community Survey

By this measure, NH is closer to

the middle of the pack

Page 18: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

Expected Increase in Older Population

Population by Age Group

178,166

144,472

179,178

225,961

178,243

96,762

56,745

24,761

160,495 160,633 159,044

201,565

184,617

102,676

35,808

177,249

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

15 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 to 74 75 to 84 85 & older

History 2010 Base Year

2025New Hampshire

First Time Home Buyers EldersFamilies

Source: NH Center for Public Policy Studies, 2014; “Housing Needs and Preferences in New Hampshire.”

Page 19: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

Housing Needs and Preferences

NH Center for Public Policy Studies 2014 reports:

“Housing Needs and Preferences in New Hampshire”

Slower population growth; aging population

Mismatch of housing stock and needs and desires of

changing population-young and old

Older adults want to “age in place” or “age in

community”

Page 20: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

What Does It Mean?

What are the housing implications of these

demographic changes?

We need to house an aging population

We need to attract and retain a younger workforce

Housing options/Transportation/Broadband access

Do these different populations want the same (or

similar) things?

Page 21: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

Better Living in Less Space?

https://makespace.com/blog/posts/carmel-place-nyc-micro-apartment-building-kips-bay/

Page 22: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

What are the Policy Implications?

State

Workforce Housing Law

Accessory Dwelling Unit Law

Affordable Housing Fund

Regional

Housing Needs Analysis

Public / Private Collaboration

Local

Master Plan

Zoning / Land Use Regulations

Page 23: HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE€¦ · HOUSING AND THE ECONOMY A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE Regional Issue Series –Keene, NH February 28, 2017. About New Hampshire Housing

Questions?

Ben [email protected]

George [email protected]