hong kong tingyi - kim eng

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SEE APPENDIX I FOR IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AND ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS Hong Kong Company Update 18 April 2012 Tingyi New plans in the horizon Time to fight back. Tingyi’s reverse roadshow in Hangzhou revealed that the new battlefield against UPC has now extended to milk tea from pickled mustard beef/braised pork noodles and sweet iced pear juices, following UPC’s marked success. Our channel checks pointed to shrinking market shares of UPC after Tingyi’s counter attack. Its pear juice has overtaken UPC’s despite being six month late to the game. Bottling loss to narrow. To our surprise, its new Pepsi bottling unit will operate as a separate entity. Its turnaround is expected to be achieved via better pricing and A&P sharing terms with Pepsi, raw materials procurement sharing and capitalization on its existing production plants which should lower its transportation cost burden. All these are expected to save up to US$100m. Tingyi targets breakeven in FY13. Many new plans in mind. Tingyi believe consumers are getting more mature and complicated and the sustainability of its growth would hinge on its product variety. It is expanding the scope of its bakery unit to instant food by setting up a 45%-owned JV with Calbee. New products will be launched by late 2012. Meanwhile, it is moving into the processed meat area with a Japanese partner. Its new product is expected to be launched in 2013. Also it is open to M&A opportunities. Long run outlook. Tingyi’s chairman, Mr Wei, is targeting net margins of 8-10%, 10-12%, and 6-8% for its instant noodles, instant food, and beverages divisions, respectively. Regarding industry sales growth prospect, Mr. Wei projects 15-20%/1.5X GDP growth/1.5-2.0X GDP growth CAGR until 2015. However, beverage demand is likely to remain weak in 2012, before returning to normal the following year. Keep our forecast intact. Our site visit’s key findings largely supported our previous belief, while the loss at its Pepsi unit appeared to be much less than expected. Without taking into consideration the new developments mentioned above, we keep our forecasts intact. Upgrade to HOLD with TP unchanged at HK$20.01. Tingyi Summary Earnings Table FYE Dec (US$m) 2011A 2012F 2013F 2014F Revenue 7,867 9,250 10,701 12,429 EBITDA 994 1,115 1,350 1,587 Recurring Net Profit 380 473 571 724 Recurring Basic EPS (cents) 6.80 8.41 10.12 12.76 EPS growth (%) (6.8) 24.37 20.84 26.74 DPS (cents) 3.75 4.21 5.06 6.38 PER 40.54 32.76 27.24 21.60 EV/EBITDA (x) 16.17 14.23 11.50 9.44 Div Yield (%) 1.36 1.53 1.84 2.31 P/BV(x) 7.34 6.67 5.83 4.98 Net Gearing (%) 31.42 19.37 4.19 N/A ROE (%) 21.40 21.39 22.90 24.91 ROA (%) 7.84 7.71 8.34 9.31 Consensus Net Profit (HK$m) - 530 668 792 Source: Company data, Kim Eng Securities Hold (from Sell) Share price: HK$21.50 Target price: HK$20.01 Jacqueline KO, CFA Jacqueline [email protected] (852) 2268 0633 Stock Information Description: Tingyi manufactures and sells instant noodles, ready-to-drink (RTD) tea, juices and bakery products in China. Ticker: 322 HK Shares Issued (m): 5,590.3 Market Cap (US$m): 15,412.1 3-mth Avg Daily Turnover (US$m): 22.8 HSI: 20,562 Free Float (%): 66.31 Major Shareholders: % Wei Ing Chou 33.69 Key Indicators ROE annualised (%) 21.39 Net cash (HK$m): N/A NTA/shr (HK$): 3.22 Interest cover (x): 10.02 Historical Chart Performance: 52-week High/Low HK$26.0/HK$17.84 1-mth 3-mth 6-mth 1-yr YTD Absolute (%) (10.8) (9.9) (0.2) 7.0 8.9 Relative (%) (7.2) (14.6) (9.2) 21.3 (20.4) 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 Apr 11 Jun 11 Aug 11 Oct 11 Dec 11 Feb 12 Apr 12 PRICE PRICE REL. TO HANG SENG INDEX Source: Bloomberg

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Page 1: Hong Kong Tingyi - Kim Eng

SEE APPENDIX I FOR IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AND ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS

Hong KongCompany Update 18 April 2012

Tingyi New plans in the horizon Time to fight back. Tingyi’s reverse roadshow in Hangzhou revealed that the new battlefield against UPC has now extended to milk tea from pickled mustard beef/braised pork noodles and sweet iced pear juices, following UPC’s marked success. Our channel checks pointed to shrinking market shares of UPC after Tingyi’s counter attack. Its pear juice has overtaken UPC’s despite being six month late to the game.

Bottling loss to narrow. To our surprise, its new Pepsi bottling unit will operate as a separate entity. Its turnaround is expected to be achieved via better pricing and A&P sharing terms with Pepsi, raw materials procurement sharing and capitalization on its existing production plants which should lower its transportation cost burden. All these are expected to save up to US$100m. Tingyi targets breakeven in FY13.

Many new plans in mind. Tingyi believe consumers are getting more mature and complicated and the sustainability of its growth would hinge on its product variety. It is expanding the scope of its bakery unit to instant food by setting up a 45%-owned JV with Calbee. New products will be launched by late 2012. Meanwhile, it is moving into the processed meat area with a Japanese partner. Its new product is expected to be launched in 2013. Also it is open to M&A opportunities.

Long run outlook. Tingyi’s chairman, Mr Wei, is targeting net margins of 8-10%, 10-12%, and 6-8% for its instant noodles, instant food, and beverages divisions, respectively. Regarding industry sales growth prospect, Mr. Wei projects 15-20%/1.5X GDP growth/1.5-2.0X GDP growth CAGR until 2015. However, beverage demand is likely to remain weak in 2012, before returning to normal the following year.

Keep our forecast intact. Our site visit’s key findings largely supported our previous belief, while the loss at its Pepsi unit appeared to be much less than expected. Without taking into consideration the new developments mentioned above, we keep our forecasts intact. Upgrade to HOLD with TP unchanged at HK$20.01.

Tingyi – Summary Earnings Table FYE Dec (US$m) 2011A 2012F 2013F 2014FRevenue 7,867 9,250 10,701 12,429EBITDA 994 1,115 1,350 1,587Recurring Net Profit 380 473 571 724Recurring Basic EPS (cents) 6.80 8.41 10.12 12.76EPS growth (%) (6.8) 24.37 20.84 26.74 DPS (cents) 3.75 4.21 5.06 6.38

PER 40.54 32.76 27.24 21.60EV/EBITDA (x) 16.17 14.23 11.50 9.44Div Yield (%) 1.36 1.53 1.84 2.31P/BV(x) 7.34 6.67 5.83 4.98

Net Gearing (%) 31.42 19.37 4.19 N/AROE (%) 21.40 21.39 22.90 24.91ROA (%) 7.84 7.71 8.34 9.31Consensus Net Profit (HK$m) - 530 668 792Source: Company data, Kim Eng Securities

Hold (from Sell)

Share price: HK$21.50 Target price: HK$20.01

Jacqueline KO, CFA Jacqueline [email protected] (852) 2268 0633

Stock Information

Description: Tingyi manufactures and sells instant noodles, ready-to-drink (RTD) tea, juices and bakery products in China. Ticker: 322 HK Shares Issued (m): 5,590.3 Market Cap (US$m): 15,412.1 3-mth Avg Daily Turnover (US$m): 22.8 HSI: 20,562 Free Float (%): 66.31 Major Shareholders: % Wei Ing Chou 33.69 Key Indicators

ROE – annualised (%) 21.39 Net cash (HK$m): N/A NTA/shr (HK$): 3.22 Interest cover (x): 10.02 Historical Chart

Performance: 52-week High/Low HK$26.0/HK$17.84 1-mth 3-mth 6-mth 1-yr YTD Absolute (%) (10.8) (9.9) (0.2) 7.0 8.9 Relative (%) (7.2) (14.6) (9.2) 21.3 (20.4)

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

Apr 11 Jun 11 Aug 11 Oct 11 Dec 11 Feb 12 Apr 12

PRICE PRICE REL. TO HANG SENG INDEX

Source: Bloomberg

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Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding Corporation

Key meeting/ plant visit takeaways

Reverse roadshow background. Tingyi hosted a plant and sales channel visit in Hangzhou on 15-16 April 2012. We visited both the CenturyMart and Xiaoshan wholesale market. Chairman Wei Ing-Chou also gave a detailed talk regarding the industry outlook and the company’s future strategy. We met with several of its division heads as well as its new bottling unit head who has around 10 years of working experience at Pepsi.

Figure 1: In-store promotion activities at CenturyMart hypermarket

Source: Kim Eng Securities

Figure 2: Snapshot at Xiaoshan wholesale market

Source: Kim Eng Securities

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Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding Corporation

About Hangzhou market. Hangzhou is ranked among top five in per capita GDP in 2011 with an average per capita disposable income at Rmb34,065 against the national average of Rmb19,118. Hence, both the per capita consumption of instant noodles and beverages were above industry’s while higher-priced items accounted for 60-70% of the overall market. Hangzhou’s market is more sensitive to economic changes which explained its underperformance last year. Tingyi owns around 70,000-80,000 point-of-sales(POS) for each of its noodles and beverages divisions through both its key accounts(KA) and around 140 first-tier distributors. Sales splits between KA and traditional distributors are roughly 10-15% and 85-90% respectively.

Instant noodles industry overview. The industry sales rose 9% yoy to Rmb50b in 2011 while per capita consumption reached 31 packs compared to US/Japan’s over 60. The sales structure is shifting more towards mid to high-end with container/bowl noodles’ contribution on the rise. Consumer preference is getting more complicated leading to the rising popularity for regional flavors though the braised beef noodles remain as the mainstream nationwide. UPC has identified and opened the market for pickled and mustard flavor and it is expected to stay hot in the near future. UPC has also launched braised pork noodles in 3Q11.

Figure 3: Market shares-instant noodles (%) By value Tingyi UPC Hualong White elephant2011 55.4 13.5 9.0 6.22010 53.1 9.5 11.1 7.0 By volume 2011 36.7 12.8 12.1 9.42010 39.6 9.0 13.5 10.3Source: Nielsen, Kim Eng Securities

Figure 4: Industry growth (%, yoy) - Instant noodles (2011) By value By value By volumeInstant noodles 15.2 (1.9) -bowl 24.8 -packet 10.8 -snack (7.6) Source: Nielsen, Kim Eng Securities

Beverages industry overview. The industry sales growth slowed in 2011 with notable changes in demand for different sub-categories. Bottled water, milk tea/coffee and functional drinks stood out with 12%/40%/38% yoy growth respectively in sales despite overall market weakness. The fancy over “One more bottle” campaign adopted in previous two years has faded, partly attributed to the weak growth in Ready-to-drink (RTD) drinks segment. Red, green, jasmine and honey tea would continue to be the major flavors. On a separate note, traditional Chinese type of drinks such as sour plum juice, sweet iced pear juice and herbal tea are taking some shares from typical juice products.

Figure 5: Market shares-RTD tea (%) By value Tingyi UPC Wahaha Coca-Cola Jinmailang2011 55.4 19.6 11.7 3.3 2.52010 54.7 19.8 12.3 5.1 2.0 By volume 2011 56.7 20.0 11.1 3.1 2.52010 55.4 20.1 12.0 4.9 2.0Source: Nielsen, Kim Eng Securities

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Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding Corporation

Figure 6: Market shares-Juice (%) By value Coca Cola Tingyi UPC Huiyuan Wahaha2011 28.6 15.2 11.5 7.6 4.72010 27.5 14.0 11.1 10.0 6.2 By volume 2011 28.8 17.5 14.3 8.2 5.02010 27.4 16.7 13.8 11.0 5.9Source: Nielsen, Kim Eng Securities

Figure 7: Market shares-milk tea (%) By value UPC Wahaha Kirin Suntory2011 60.2 31.2 6.9 1.42010 47.7 34.0 14.7 3.3 By volume 2011 60.0 31.4 7.1 1.32010 45.5 35.0 15.8 3.3Source: Nielsen, Kim Eng Securities

Figure 8: Market shares-coffee (%) By volume UPC wahaha Kirin Suntory2011 60.0 31.4 7.1 1.32010 45.5 35.0 15.8 3.3Source: Nielsen, Kim Eng Securities

Figure 9: Industry growth (%,yoy) - beverages (2011) Value Volume 2011 2010 2011 2010Beverages 10.9 10.8 4.7 8.6 - Carbonated drinks 6.6 2.6 (1.6) 2.0 - Bottled water 12.3 9.3 6.5 6.8 - Juice 11.2 12.4 7.0 12.2 - RTD tea (no milk) 0.2 16.7 0.0 17.1 - RTD tea 6.1 16.9 3.9 17.3 - Functional drinks 38.1 23.7 33.3 20.6Source: Nielsen, Kim Eng Securities

Review on strategies in 2011. Tingyi phased out its low-end Fumando series and adjusted up the retail price of its packet/bowl noodles’ ASP from a unit price of Rmb2/3.5 to Rmb2.5/3.8 during the year. On the beverages front, management admitted its inadequacy on evaluating the end market demand, which led to overstocking in its channel last year. However the issue was solved by promotional discounts in an inventory clear-off in 4Q11. Tingyi is striving to avoid similar problem in future by limiting the role of its distributors to logistics and prevent excessive inventory buildup at the wholesalers’ level. Meanwhile, management also shares our view that it had been slow in reacting to consumer taste changes on the new product development front and will strive to improve in the future.

Response under new environment. Tingyi followed suit by launching pickled and mustard beef noodles and another new braised beef noodles. Meanwhile, it has upgraded its flagship products braised beef noodles after CNY to maintain its market dominance. More in-store promotions such as free eating activities in hypermarkets/supermarkets were being adopted for boosting the new products’ recognition while the TV advertisement was more focused on the nationwide flavor. In response to the slowdown in beverage sales, Tingyi will slow down the pace of its capacity expansion. Management expects beverage demand to return to normal in 2013 onwards, industry sales is expected to grow at 11-12% in 2012. Also, it has refined its instant food unit by separating the sales functions from its existing operation for better flexibility.

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Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding Corporation

New products in the pipeline. Tingyi is about to launch its two brand new milk tea products nationwide in May 2012 with richer protein content against UPC’s. Blind tests based on several thousand customers suggested higher preference for its products against UPC’s given its smoother texture and stronger milk fragrance, according to management. Meanwhile, Tingyi announced forming a JV with Calbee and is expected to launch potato chips-related products by end FY12. Milk tea is expected to carry a gross margin of 40-42% while that for potato chips’ is around 50-55%. We believe Tingyi’s action is likely to create big competitive pressure to UPC as distributors are more willing to carry Tingyi’s considering its more complete product portfolio. Our chats with several local wholesalers confirmed our view. However, the PRC potato chips industry is highly concentrated with the top three firms accounting for 60-70% of the market; hence, Tingyi’s road ahead may still be challenging. Yet, Calbee target its JV to reach a sales of JPY 50b and EBIT margin at 10% by FY3/2018.

Figure 10: Tingyi’s new milk tea products

Source: Kim Eng Securities

Plan with its bottling business. Tingyi will keep the bottling unit as a separate entity and has guaranteed no lay-offs to its over 20,000 ex-pepsi staff over the next two years. Therefore, we believe its wage burden will remain high. Nonetheless, management believes better cost savings on other aspects will mitigate the high wage pressure and it is eyeing for P&L breakeven in 2013. For example, by installing new production lines at Tingyi’s existing factories, it can shorten the delivery distance. While the sales teams will remain separate, Tingyi believe it can share refrigerators at retail end-points with Pepsi. To note, it has 400k refrigerators while Pepsi has 200k nationwide.

Figure 11: Tingyi’s internal projection for its beverages unit (%) No. of brands 2011 2015 2020Volume market share projections Bottled water 3 24 39 50Juice 4 14 17 23RTD Tea 2 50 70 78CSD 33 39 43 Volume growth % projections Bottled water 23 18Juice 16 15RTD Tea 20 16CSD 13 10Source: Company data, Kim Eng Securities

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Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding Corporation

Moving into processed meat area. Tingyi unexpectedly announced that it would move into this area in its Shanghai plant in cooperation with a Japanese partner. New products should be available to the market in 2013. No further details have been disclosed at the current stage and we have not factored into any earnings contribution. We view the move as positive with Tingyi’s clean food safety track record would likely make it a winner in this area. We believe its focus should be on the higher-margin LTMP segment.

Long-term outlook. Tingyi’s chairman, Mr Wei, is targeting net margins of 8-10%, 10-12%, and 6-8% for its instant noodles, instant food, and beverages divisions, respectively. Regarding industry sales growth prospect, Mr. Wei projects 15-20%/1.5X GDP growth/1.5-2.0X GDP growth sales CAGR until 2015. By 2020, Tingyi expects its instant food unit to reach 9% of its total sales with a targeted net margin of 10-12% and its carbonated drinks to account for 13% of its total sales with a normalised margin of 8% in the optimum case. Moreover, Tingyi aims to increase the market share of Pepsi by 1ppt each year and lift Pepsi’s market share to 46% against Coke’s 54% by 2020, based on projected sales CAGR of 12.5% and 10% over 2012-2016 and 2017-2021, respectively. Mr Wei expects per capita consumption of beverage and instant noodles to increase from the current 80 bottles/30 packs to 500/60 in the long run.

Figure 12: Sales breakdown (2011) Figure 13: Targeted sales mix (2020)

Source: Company data, Kim Eng Securities Source: Company data, Kim Eng Securities

UPC is at risk. Our findings confirmed our bearish view on UPC that its growth may not be sustainable if it only relied on several key S.K.U. Its sales and earnings are likely to be subjected to headwinds should consumer taste changes; although we admit that UPC is good at identifying niche and creative new products. Its market share increased by almost 4ppt to 14% last year, thanks to the positive reception of its new products. At the same time, as mentioned earlier, Tingyi is now following UPC’s launches and given Tingyi’s much favorable comparative cost advantages, we expect UPC’s market shares and margins to be at risk. For example, for its iced sweet pear juices, its retail price has now been lowered to slightly below Rmb2/bottle against Tingyi’s Rmb2.3, after Tingyi has taken over its no.1 position after just several months of launches.

Beverage50%

Instant noodles

45%

Bakery3%

Others2%

Beverage42%

Carbonated softdrinks

13%

Instant noodles

35%

Instant foods9%

Meat products1%

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Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding Corporation

Figure 14: Snapshots of Tingyi’s new products-another new braised beef/ pickled and mustard beef noodles

Source: Kim Eng Securities

Figure 15: UPC and Tingyi’s sweet iced pear juice

Source: Kim Eng Securities

Our view. Our site visit’s key findings largely supported our previous belief, while the loss at its Pepsi unit appeared to be much less than expected. While we acknowledge Tingyi’s endeavour to sustain its long-term business growth with numerous new initiatives, we still foresee the risk of cannibalisation: new products that undermine the sales performance of existing products and the potential competition among sales teams. Execution risks associated with its new structure is also worth ongoing scrutiny. Overall, we have not taken into consideration the new development mentioned above. We maintain our forecasts intact given limited earnings impact. Upgrade to HOLD with TP unchanged. We expect the upcoming 1Q12 results to be disappointing considering the high base for its beverages unit.

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Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding Corporation

Figure 16: Previous ownership structure of TAB (Tingyi-Asahi Beverages)

Source: Company data, Kim Eng Securities

Figure 17: New ownership structure of TAB (Tingyi-Asahi Beverages)

Source: Company data, Kim Eng Securities

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Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding Corporation

INCOME STATEMENT BALANCE SHEET FYE Dec (US$m) 2011A 2012F 2013F 2014F

FYE Dec (US$m) 2011A 2012F 2013F 2014F Revenue 7,867 9,250 10,701 12,429 Fixed Assets 4,030 4,460 4,789 5,092 EBITDA 994 1,115 1,350 1,587 Other LT Assets 343 343 343 343 Depreciation & Amortisation 321 370 471 497 Cash/ST Investments 590 735 1073 1668 Operating Profit (EBIT) 672 831 974 1,194 Other Current Assets 846 915 1045 1200 Interest (Exp)/Inc (9) (83) (83) (87) Total Assets 5,809 6,453 7,250 8,303 Associates 0 0 0 0 One-offs 0 0 0 0 ST Debt 701 526 394 296 Pre-Tax Profit 663 748 891 1,107 Other Current Liabilities 1727 2103 2428 2809 Tax (163) (187) (223) (277) LT Debt 549 659 791 949 Minority Interest 80 88 97 107 Other LT Liabilities 145 178 213 255 Net Profit 420 473 571 724 Minority Interest 587 667 755 852 Recurring Net Profit 380 473 571 724 Shareholders' Equity 2,100 2,320 2,669 3,142 Total Liabilities-Capital 5,809 6,453 7,250 8,303 Revenue Growth % 17.74 17.59 15.68 16.15 EBITDA Growth (%) 20.58 12.20 21.08 17.57 Share Capital (m, mil of shares) 5,589 5,617 5,645 5,673 EBIT Growth (%) (9.55) 23.55 17.23 22.66 Gross Debt/(Cash) 1,250 1,185 1,185 1,245 Net Profit Growth (%) (12.01) 12.65 20.84 26.74 Net Debt/(Cash) 660 449 112 (423) Recurring Net Profit Growth (%) (6.80) 24.37 20.84 26.74 Working Capital (992) (978) (704) (236) Tax Rate % 24.63 25.00 25.00 25.00

CASH FLOW RATES & RATIOS

FYE Dec (US$m) 2011A 2012F 2013F 2014F FYE Dec 2011A 2012F 2013F 2014F Profit before taxation 663 748 891 1,107

EBITDA Margin % 12.63 12.05 12.61 12.77 Depreciation 318 370 471 497 Op. Profit Margin % 8.55 8.98 9.10 9.61 Net interest receipts/(payments) 9 83 40 40 Net Profit Margin % 5.33 5.11 5.34 5.82 Working capital change (157) 385 198 229 ROE % 21.40 21.39 22.90 24.91 Cash tax paid (114) (131) (156) (194) ROA % 7.84 7.71 8.34 9.31 Others (incl'd exceptional items) 79 1 141 183 Net Margin Ex. El % 5.33 5.11 5.34 5.82 Cash flow from operations 797 1,456 1,585 1,863 Dividend Cover (x) 3.21 3.52 3.41 3.30 Capex (1,000) (800) (800) (800) Interest Cover (x) 71.74 10.02 11.74 13.71 Disposal/(purchase) 0 0 0 0 Asset Turnover (x) 0.74 0.70 0.68 0.67 Others (41) 32 39 46 Asset/Debt (x) 4.65 5.45 6.12 6.67 Cash flow from investing (1,041) (768) (761) (754) Debtors Turn (days) 6.56 7.17 7.66 7.64 Debt raised/(repaid) 616 (65) 0 60 Creditors Turn (days) 65.00 60.42 63.64 63.64 Equity raised/(repaid) 0 0 0 0 Inventory Turn (days) 19.66 18.95 19.63 19.73 Dividends (paid) (293) (264) (291) (340) Net Gearing % 31.42 19.37 4.19 N/A Interest payments 0 0 0 0 Debt/ EBITDA (x) 1.26 1.06 0.88 0.78 Others 0 0 0 0 Debt/ Market Cap (x) 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 Cash flow from financing 323 (329) (290) (280)

Change in cash (44) 145 338 595 PER SHARE DATA

FYE Dec (US$) 2011A 2012A 2013F 2014F

EPS(US cents) 7.51 8.41 10.12 12.76 CFPS 0.14 0.26 0.28 0.33 BVPS 0.38 0.41 0.47 0.55 SPS 1.41 1.65 1.90 2.19 EBITDA/share 0.18 0.20 0.24 0.28 DPS(US cents) 3.75 4.21 5.06 6.38 Adjusted EPS(US cents) 6.80 8.41 10.12 12.76

Source: Company data, Kim Eng Securities

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Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding Corporation

RESEARCH OFFICES REGIONAL

P K BASU Regional Head, Research & Economics (65) 6432 1821 [email protected]

WONG Chew Hann, CA Regional Head of Institutional Research (603) 2297 8686 [email protected]

THAM Mun Hon Regional Strategist (852) 2268 0630 [email protected]

ONG Seng Yeow Regional Products & Planning (852) 2268 0644 [email protected]

ECONOMICS Suhaimi ILIAS Chief Economist Singapore | Malaysia (603) 2297 8682 [email protected]

Luz LORENZO Economist Philippines | Indonesia (63) 2 849 8836 [email protected]

Chaiyachoke SUWISUTTANGKUL Economist Thailand (662) 658 6300 [email protected]

 

MALAYSIA WONG Chew Hann, CA Head of Research (603) 2297 8686 [email protected] Strategy Construction & Infrastructure Desmond CH’NG, ACA (603) 2297 8680 [email protected] Banking - Regional LIAW Thong Jung (603) 2297 8688 [email protected] Oil & Gas Automotive Shipping ONG Chee Ting (603) 2297 8678 [email protected] Plantations Mohshin AZIZ (603) 2297 8692 [email protected] Aviation Petrochem Power YIN Shao Yang, CPA (603) 2297 8916 [email protected] Gaming – Regional Media Power WONG Wei Sum, CFA (603) 2297 8679 [email protected] Property & REITs LEE Yen Ling (603) 2297 8691 [email protected] Building Materials Manufacturing Technology

LEE Cheng Hooi Head of Retail [email protected] Technicals

HONG KONG / CHINA Edward FUNG Head of Research (852) 2268 0632 [email protected] Construction Ivan CHEUNG (852) 2268 0634 [email protected] Property Industrial Ivan LI (852) 2268 0641 [email protected] Banking & Finance Jacqueline KO (852) 2268 0633 [email protected] Consumer Staples Andy POON (852) 2268 0645 [email protected] Telecom & equipment Samantha KWONG (852) 2268 0640 [email protected] Consumer Discretionaries Alex YEUNG (852) 2268 0636 [email protected] Industrial Catherine CHAN (852) 2268 0631 [email protected] Cement Anita HWANG, CFA | Jacky WONG, CFA [email protected] | [email protected] (852) 2268 0142 | (852) 2268 0107 Special Situations Quants

INDIA Jigar SHAH Head of Research (91) 22 6623 2601 [email protected] Oil & Gas Automobile Cement Anubhav GUPTA (91) 22 6623 2605 [email protected] Metal & Mining Capital goods Property Haripreet BATRA (91) 226623 2606 [email protected] Software Media Ganesh RAM (91) 226623 2607 [email protected] Telecom Contractor Darpin SHAH (91) 226623 2610 [email protected] Banking & Financial Services Gagan KWATRA (91) 226623 2612 [email protected] Small Cap

SINGAPORE Stephanie WONG Head of Research (65) 6432 1451 [email protected] Strategy Small & Mid Caps Gregory YAP (65) 6432 1450 [email protected] Technology & Manufacturing Telcos - Regional Wilson LIEW (65) 6432 1454 [email protected] Hotel & Resort Property & Construction James KOH (65) 6432 1431 [email protected] Logistics Resources Consumer Small/ Mid cap YEAK Chee Keong, CFA (65) 6433 5730 [email protected] Healthcare Offshore & Marine Alison FOK (65) 6433 5745 [email protected] Services S-chips Bernard CHIN (65) 6433 5726 [email protected] Transport Shipping Aviation

INDONESIA Katarina SETIAWAN Head of Research (62) 21 2557 1125 [email protected] Consumer Strategy Telcos Lucky ARIESANDI, CFA (62) 21 2557 1127 [email protected] Base metals Coal Oil & Gas Rahmi MARINA (62) 21 2557 1128 [email protected] Banking Multifinance Pandu ANUGRAH (62) 21 2557 1137 [email protected] Auto Heavy equipment Plantation Toll road Adi N. WICAKSONO (62) 21 2557 1130 [email protected] Generalist Anthony YUNUS (62) 21 2557 1134 [email protected] Cement Infrastructure Property Arwani PRANADJAYA (62) 21 2557 1129 [email protected] Technicals

PHILIPPINES Luz LORENZO Head of Research +63 2 849 8836 [email protected] Strategy Laura DY-LIACCO (63) 2 849 8840 [email protected] Utilities Conglomerates Telcos Lovell SARREAL (63) 2 849 8841 [email protected] Consumer Media Cement Mining Kenneth NERECINA (63) 2 849 8839 [email protected] Conglomerates Property Ports/ Logistics Katherine TAN (63) 2 849 8843 [email protected] Banks Construction

THAILAND Mayuree CHOWVIKRAN Head of Research (66) 2658 6300 ext 1440 [email protected] Strategy

Maria BRENDA SANCHEZ LAPIZ Co-Head of Research Dir (66) 2257 0250 | (66) 2658 6300 ext 1399 [email protected]

Andrew STOTZ Strategist (66) 2658 6300 ext 1399 [email protected]

Suttatip PEERASUB (66) 2658 6300 ext 1430 [email protected] Media Commerce Sutthichai KUMWORACHAI (66) 2658 6300 ext 1400 [email protected] Energy Petrochem Termporn TANTIVIVAT (66) 2658 6300 ext 1520 [email protected] Property Woraphon WIROONSRI (66) 2658 6300 ext 1560 [email protected] Banking & Finance Jaroonpan WATTANAWONG (66) 2658 6300 ext 1404 [email protected] Transportation Small cap. Suchot THIRAWANNARAT (66) 2658 6300 ext 1550 [email protected] Automotive Construction Materials Soft commodity

VIETNAM Michael KOKALARI, CFA Head of Research +84 838 38 66 47 [email protected] Strategy Nguyen Thi Ngan Tuyen +84 844 55 58 88 x 8081 [email protected] Food and Beverage Oil and Gas Ngo Bich Van +84 844 55 58 88 x 8084 [email protected] Banking Nguyen Quang Duy +84 844 55 58 88 x 8082 [email protected] Rubber Dang Thi Kim Thoa +84 844 55 58 88 x 8083 [email protected] Consumer Nguyen Trung Hoa +84 844 55 58 88 x 8088 [email protected] Steel Sugar Macro

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Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding Corporation

Definition of Ratings Kim Eng Research uses the following rating system:

BUY Total return is expected to be above 15% in the next 12 months

HOLD Total return is expected to be between -15% to +15% in the next 12 months

SELL Total return is expected to be below -15% in the next 12 months

Applicability of Ratings The respective analyst maintains a coverage universe of stocks, the list of which may be adjusted according to needs. Investment ratings are only applicable to the stocks which form part of the coverage universe. Reports on companies which are not part of the coverage do not carry investment ratings as we do not actively follow developments in these companies. Some common terms abbreviated in this report (where they appear):

Adex = Advertising Expenditure FCF = Free Cashflow PE = Price Earnings BV = Book Value FV = Fair Value PEG = PE Ratio To Growth CAGR = Compounded Annual Growth Rate FY = Financial Year PER = PE Ratio Capex = Capital Expenditure FYE = Financial Year End QoQ = Quarter-On-Quarter CY = Calendar Year MoM = Month-On-Month ROA = Return On Asset DCF = Discounted Cashflow NAV = Net Asset Value ROE = Return On Equity DPS = Dividend Per Share NTA = Net Tangible Asset ROSF = Return On Shareholders’ Funds EBIT = Earnings Before Interest And Tax P = Price WACC = Weighted Average Cost Of Capital EBITDA = EBIT, Depreciation And Amortisation P.A. = Per Annum YoY = Year-On-Year EPS = Earnings Per Share PAT = Profit After Tax YTD = Year-To-Date EV = Enterprise Value PBT = Profit Before Tax APPENDIX I: TERMS FOR PROVISION OF REPORT, DISCLOSURES AND DISCLAIMERS Disclaimer The information, tools and material presented herein are provided for informational purposes only and are not to be used or considered as an offer or a solicitation to sell or an offer or solicitation to buy or subscribe for securities, investment products or other financial instruments, nor to constitute any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities, investment products or other financial instruments. 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Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding Corporation

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