higher education and the future of wisconsin

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Higher Education and the Future of Wisconsin Presented to the Board of Regents of the University of Wisconsin System Milwaukee, Wisconsin June 7, 2007 National Center for Higher Education National Center for Higher Education Management Systems Management Systems 3035 Center Green Drive, Suite 150 Boulder, Colorado 80301-2251

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National Center for Higher Education Management Systems 3035 Center Green Drive, Suite 150 Boulder, Colorado 80301-2251. Higher Education and the Future of Wisconsin. Presented to the Board of Regents of the University of Wisconsin System Milwaukee, Wisconsin June 7, 2007. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

Higher Education and the Future of Wisconsin

Presented to the

Board of Regents of the

University of Wisconsin SystemMilwaukee, Wisconsin

June 7, 2007

National Center for Higher Education Management SystemsNational Center for Higher Education Management Systems3035 Center Green Drive, Suite 150 Boulder, Colorado 80301-2251

Page 2: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

2

The Management Cycle

Strategic Management —The allocation of resources to programmed activities calculated to achieve a set of goals.

Assessment

Planning

Resource Allocation

Page 3: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

3

The Management Cycle in a Public Institution

State

Planning

Institution

State

Institution

Resource Allocation

State

Assessment

Institution

Page 4: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

4

Strategic Planning at the State/System Level

Creating a “Public Agenda”—

Identifying Those Key Issues Facing

the State Which the System of

Higher Education Can Help Address

Page 5: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

Relationship Between Educational Attainment, Personal Income, and Economic Strength

5

AL

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE IL

IN

IA

KY

LA

MDMA

MS

NJ

NY

NDOK

OR

SC

SD

UT

VA

WAMN

NH

TN TX

WV

WI

WY

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Personal Income Per Capita, 2000

Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher

MT

HI

AK

GA

KS

ME NE

NV

NC

OH PAVT

ID

MI

MO

NM

RIFL US

Low Income, High Educational AttainmentLow Income, Low Educational Attainment

High Income, High Educational AttainmentHigh Income, Low Educational Attainment

State New Economy Index (2002)

Top Tier

Middle Tier

Low Tier

Page 6: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

Relationship Between Educational Attainment and High Tech Employment

Source: State New Economy Index, U.S. Census Bureau6

AK

AZ

AR

DE

GA

HI

IL

IN

IA KS

LA

ME

MD

MA

MT

NE

NV

NJ

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA RI

SC

SD

VT

VA

WA

US

AL

CA

CO

CT

FL

ID

KY

MI

MN

MS

MO

NH

NM

TN

TX

UT

WV

WI

WY

0

3

6

9

12

15 20 25 30 35 40

High Tech Employment, High Educational AttainmentHigh Tech Employment, Low Educational Attainment

Low Tech Employment, High Educational AttainmentLow Tech Employment, Low Educational Attainment

Percentage Employment in High Tech Occupations

Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher

Correlation = 0.76

Page 7: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

7

Relationship Between Educational Attainment and Health

Source: United Health Foundation, U.S. Census Bureau

Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher

State Health Index, United Health

Foundation

AL

AKAZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

GA

HI

ILIN

IA

KS

KY

LA

ME

MD

MA

MS

MT

NE

NV

NJ

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

ORPA

RI

SC

SD

UT

VT

VA

WA

US

FL

ID

MI

MN

MO

NH

NM

TN

TX

WV

WI

WY

-30

-15

0

15

30

10% 20% 30% 40%

Correlation = 0.69

7

Page 8: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

8

Educational Attainment of Adults Age 18-64—Total

U.S. Population vs. Prison Population (Percent)

4.5

9.6

29.3

22.6

34.0

12.3

31.6

43.1

10.1

2.9

0

10

20

30

40

50

Less than9th Grade

Grades 9-12(No Diploma)

High SchoolGraduate

(or Equivalent)

Some College,No Degree

College Graduateor Higher

Total Population Prison Population

Source: U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics 2002 data, U.S. Census Bureau 2005 data

Page 9: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

9

Incarceration Rate by State in 2005—Prisoners Under Federal and State Jurisdiction per 100,000 Residents

41

0.4

15

3.1

82

3.2

51

4.8

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Delaw

areL

ouisiana

Texas

Ala

skaM

ississippi

Oklah

oma

Ala

bam

aA

rizona

Con

necticut

Sou

th C

arolina

Geo

rgia

Misso

uriU

nited S

tates

Florid

aM

ichiga

nN

evada

Arkan

sas

Haw

aii

Idah

oC

alifornia

Ken

tucky

Virg

inia

Colora

do

Sou

th D

akotaT

enne

sseeN

orth Ca

rolin

aW

isconsin

Maryla

nd

Wyo

min

gO

hioIn

diana

Mon

tana

Ore

gon

Illinois

Pen

nsylvania

New

Me

xicoR

hode

Island

Verm

on

tK

ansa

sN

ew Y

orkN

ew Jerse

yIo

wa

We

st Virginia

Wa

shing

ton

Uta

hN

ebra

skaN

orth Da

kota

New

Ham

psh

ireM

inneso

taM

assach

usetts

Maine

Source: U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics, U.S. Census Bureau

Page 10: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

10

The Relationship Between Educational Attainment and Employment in the Arts, 2005

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 American Community Survey

Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with Bachelor’s Degrees, 2005

Em

plo

ym

ent in

Arts a

nd E

nte

rtain

men

t per 1

,00

0 E

mp

loyees

AKAZ

ARDE

GA HI

IL

IN

IA

KS

LA

MEMD

MA

MT

NE

NV

NJ

NY

NC

ND

OHOK

OR

PA

RI

SC

SD

VT

VA

WA

US

AL

CA

CO

CT

FL

ID

KY

MIMN

MS

MO

NH

NM

TN TX

UT

WV

WI

WY

4

8

12

16

20

15 20 25 30 35 40

Page 11: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

11

Strategic Decision Areas

Basic Mission

Clientele

Program/Service Mix

Comparative Advantage

Assets

Objectives

Basic Purposes of the Enterprise and Its Guiding Principles for Behavior

Target Audiences to Be Served

Program Offerings and Priorities of the Enterprise

“Differential Advantage” Sought Over Other Organizations Engaged in Similar Activities

Changes Needed in Human, Physical, Information or Intangible Assets of the Enterprise

What the Organization Must Accomplish in Order to Move from Existing to Desired State of Affairs

Page 12: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

12

Population

Page 13: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

13

Total Population, 2005

Wisconsin = 5,536,201Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

99,844 to 921,65449,671 to 99,84430,319 to 49,67117,134 to 30,3194,580 to 17,134

MarquetteGreen Lake

Dodge

JuneauFond du Lac

Calumet

Ozaukee

Sheboygan

AdamsMonroe Winnebago

LafayetteRock

Walworth

Jefferson

Kenosha

RacineMilwaukee

Waushara

OutagamieManitowoc

Buffalo

TrempealeauPepin

Waukesha

Washington

BurnettWashburn

Florence

Forest

Menominee

Shawano

Oconto

Door

Kewaunee

La Crosse

Vernon

Portage

Polk

Bayfield

Ashland

MarinetteBarron

Brown

Chippewa

Clark

Columbia

CrawfordDane

Douglas

Dunn

Eau Claire

Grant

Green

Iowa

Iron

Jackson

LangladeLincoln

Marathon

Oneida

Pierce

Price

Richland

Rusk

Sauk

Sawyer

St. Croix

Taylor

Vilas

WaupacaWood

Page 14: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

14

Population Projections—Percent Change, 2000 25

13

.5

24

.2

93

.3

0

20

40

60

80

100

Nevad

aA

rizona

Florid

aTexa

sU

tah

Idah

oN

orth

Carolin

aG

eorg

iaW

ashin

gton

Oreg

on

Virg

inia

Ala

skaC

aliforn

iaC

olorad

oN

ew

Ham

psh

ireM

aryland

Dela

ware

South

Carolin

aTen

nessee

Min

neso

taU

nited

States

Haw

aii

Arka

nsas

New

Mexico

Verm

ont

Montan

aN

ew

Jersey

Wiscon

sinM

issouri

Kentu

ckyM

aine

Okla

hom

aIn

dian

aR

hode Islan

dM

assach

use

ttsK

ansas

Connecticu

tA

laba

ma

Mississip

pi

Mich

igan

I llinois

Wyo

min

gLou

isiana

South

Dako

taN

ebra

skaPe

nnsylva

nia

New

York

Iow

aO

hio

West V

irginia

North

Dako

ta

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Page 15: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

15

Population Projections, College-Age Residents (Age 18-24)—

Percent Change from 2000 to 2025

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

74.167.3

48.441.8 38.9 36.2

35.9 32.631.6 26.4

26.4 23.222.3 19.9

19.0 15.214.1 10.0

9.89.69.5 6.9

6.46.1 3.9

3.53.42.6 1.2

0.60.1

-3.7

-4.6-4.8-5.0-5.6-6.1-6.6-6.9-7.0 -9.4

-9.7-10.7 -15.6

-16.3-16.7-16.7 -22.6

-22.9-22.8

-4.1

-25

0

25

50

75

Ne

vad

aA

rizon

aF

lorida

No

rth Ca

rolin

aT

exa

sG

eo

rgiaA

laskaV

irginia

Maryla

nd

Co

lorad

oH

aw

aii

Uta

hW

ash

ing

tonC

alifo

rniaT

enn

essee

Ore

gon

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Idah

oM

inn

esotaS

outh

Ca

rolinaN

ew

Jersey

Ne

w H

am

psh

ireM

assach

use

ttsA

rkansa

sC

on

necticu

tM

issou

riD

elaw

are

Oklah

om

aK

entu

ckyIn

diana

Illinois

Nebraska

New

York

Kansas

LouisianaM

ichiganA

labama

Wisconsin

Rhode Island

Ohio

Pennsylvania

Verm

ontN

ew M

exicoM

ississippiS

outh DakotaIow

aM

aineM

ontanaN

orth Dakota

Wyom

ingW

est Virginia

Page 16: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

16

Percent Change in Total Population, 2005-2025

Wisconsin = 12.8%Source: Wisconsin Department of Administration, Population and Household Projections 2000-30

16.1% to 39.3%12.5% to 16.1%9.4% to 12.5%5.7% to 9.4%

-2.3% to 5.7%MarquetteGreen Lake

Dodge

JuneauFond du Lac

Calumet

Ozaukee

Sheboygan

AdamsMonroe Winnebago

LafayetteRock

Walworth

Jefferson

Kenosha

RacineMilwaukee

Waushara

OutagamieManitowoc

Buffalo

TrempealeauPepin

Waukesha

Washington

BurnettWashburn

Florence

Forest

Menominee

Shawano

Oconto

Door

Kewaunee

La Crosse

Vernon

Portage

Polk

Bayfield

Ashland

MarinetteBarron

Brown

Chippewa

Clark

Columbia

CrawfordDane

Douglas

Dunn

Eau Claire

Grant

Green

Iowa

Iron

Jackson

LangladeLincoln

Marathon

Oneida

Pierce

Price

Richland

Rusk

Sauk

Sawyer

St. Croix

Taylor

Vilas

WaupacaWood

Page 17: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

17

Projected Change in Wisconsin Population by

Age and Race/Ethnicity, 2000-20

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

-106,304

-56,139

-161,566

189,220

282,442

39,126

11,764

24,224

38,281

23,980

14,765

4,870

20,325

24,726

13,362

32,242 9,257

21,772

22,864

12,469

-200,000

-100,000

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

0-17 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+

White African American Hispanic Other

Page 18: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

18

Total Minority Population, 2005

Wisconsin = 777,003Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

6,037 to 384,2192,460 to 6,0371,403 to 2,460

586 to 1,40383 to 586

MarquetteGreen Lake

Dodge

JuneauFond du Lac

Calumet

Ozaukee

Sheboygan

AdamsMonroe Winnebago

LafayetteRock

Walworth

Jefferson

Kenosha

RacineMilwaukee

Waushara

OutagamieManitowoc

Buffalo

TrempealeauPepin

Waukesha

Washington

BurnettWashburn

Florence

Forest

Menominee

Shawano

Oconto

Door

Kewaunee

La Crosse

Vernon

Portage

Polk

Bayfield

Ashland

MarinetteBarron

Brown

Chippewa

Clark

Columbia

CrawfordDane

Douglas

Dunn

Eau Claire

Grant

Green

Iowa

Iron

Jackson

LangladeLincoln

Marathon

Oneida

Pierce

Price

Richland

Rusk

Sauk

Sawyer

St. Croix

Taylor

Vilas

WaupacaWood

Page 19: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

19

Counties Where 80% of Minority Population

Reside, 2005

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

1.5% to 100%0.0% to 1.5%

MarquetteGreen Lake

Dodge

JuneauFond du Lac

Calumet

Ozaukee

Sheboygan

AdamsMonroe Winnebago

LafayetteRock

Walworth

Jefferson

Kenosha

RacineMilwaukee

Waushara

OutagamieManitowoc

Buffalo

TrempealeauPepin

Waukesha

Washington

BurnettWashburn

Florence

Forest

Menominee

Shawano

Oconto

Door

Kewaunee

La Crosse

Vernon

Portage

Polk

Bayfield

Ashland

MarinetteBarron

Brown

Chippewa

Clark

Columbia

CrawfordDane

Douglas

Dunn

Eau Claire

Grant

Green

Iowa

Iron

Jackson

LangladeLincoln

Marathon

Oneida

Pierce

Price

Richland

Rusk

Sauk

Sawyer

St. Croix

Taylor

Vilas

WaupacaWood

Page 20: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

20

Economy and the Workforce

Page 21: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

21

Percent of Total Gross State Product by Industry

and Comparison to U.S.

1.8

0.1

4.1

24.5

4.9

5.8

6.5

17.9

23.5

10.9

1.5 0.1

4.4

22.5

4.9

5.5

6.6

18.6

25.1

10.7

1.0

1.3

4.6

12.8

5.0

5.9

6.8

20.8

29.9

11.9

0

10

20

30

Agriculture,Forestry,Fishing

Mining Construction Manufacturing Transp. &Utilities

WholesaleTrade 

Retail Trade Finance,Insurance,

Real Estate

Services Government

Wisconsin 1997Wisconsin 2004

U.S. 2004

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Page 22: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

22

Employment in High-Technology Establishments as

Share of Total Employment by State, 2004

3.7

2.4

9.7

0

2

4

6

8

10

Washingto

nC

olorado

Massachusetts

Virg

iniaK

ansas

Ca

liforniaM

arylandC

onnecticut

Ne

w H

ampshire

Ne

w Jerse

yU

tahN

ew

Mexico

IdahoA

rizona

Verm

ontT

exasO

regon

Minneso

taG

eorgiaA

labama

De

laware

Michigan

Pen

nsylvaniaR

hode Island

No

rth Carolina

Ne

braska

Missouri

IllinoisN

ew

York

Florida

Indiana

Alaska

Ohio

No

rth Dakota

Maine

Wiscon

sinO

klahoma

Iowa

Arkansas

Sou

th Dako

taW

est Virginia

Tenn

esseeS

outh C

arolinaK

entucky

Ha

waii

Monta

naN

evada

Louisiana

Mississippi

Wyom

ing

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, CFED

Page 23: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

23

Projected Percent Change in Occupations Requiring Some Postsecondary Training, 2002-2012

19

.6

11

.0

21

.4

46

.3

0

10

20

30

40

50

Nevada

Utah

Colorado

IdahoV

irginiaA

rizonaF

loridaG

eorgiaN

ew H

ampshire

New

Mexico

North C

arolinaT

exasC

aliforniaM

arylandK

entuckyM

ontanaM

ississippiA

rkansasU

nited States

Tennessee

Haw

aiiM

innesotaW

ashingtonW

isconsinS

outh Dakota

Verm

ontO

klahoma

Rhode Island

Delaw

areA

labama

New

JerseyM

issouriW

yoming

Iowa

South C

arolinaM

aineIndianaO

hioO

regonN

ebraskaLouisianaM

ichiganIllinoisA

laskaN

ew Y

orkC

onnecticutN

orth Dakota

Pennsylvania

Kansas

West V

irginia

Note: Some college, Associate, Bachelor’s and higher.

Source: ACINet, Career InfoNet

Page 24: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

24

Wisconsin Projected Occupation Growth, Top 25 Occupations 2004-2014

Source: Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development, Office of Economic Advisors

3,440

3,590

3,650

3,660

3,890

4,030

4,050

4,140

4,210

4,340

4,560

5,190

6,040

6,690

6,920

6,980

7,060

8,200

8,360

8,780

9,510

11,110

16,010

3,470

3,300

0 6,000 12,000 18,000

Truck Drivers, Light or Delivery ServicesChild Care Workers

Maids & Housekeeping CleanersComputer Software Engineers, Applications

Executive Secretaries & Administrative AssistantsTeam Assemblers

Elementary School Teachers, exc. Special EducationGeneral & Operations Managers

Accountants & AuditorsTeacher Assistants

Sales Reps., Wholesale & Manufacturing, exc. Technical/Scientific ProductsReceptionists & Information Clerks

Business Operations Specialists, All OtherCarpenters

Nursing Aides, Orderlies, & AttendantsWaiters & Waitresses

Truck Drivers, Heavy & Tractor-TrailerHome Health Aides

Personal & Home Care AidesCombined Food Prep./Serving Workers, incl. Fast Food

Customer Service RepresentativesJanitors & Cleaners, exc. Maids & Housekeeping Cleaners

Retail SalespersonsRegistered Nurses

Landscaping & Groundskeeping Workers

Page 25: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

25

Wisconsin Projected Occupation Growth, Top 25 Occupations Typically Requiring Postsecondary Education 2004-2014

Source: Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development, Office of Economic Advisors

1,250

1,2701,310

1,350

1,4201,610

1,640

1,6601,830

1,890

1,9302,020

2,4702,520

2,660

2,8303,650

4,030

4,0504,140

4,210

5,1906,690

1,250

1,230

0 2,500 5,000 7,500

Middle School Teachers, exc. Special and Voc. Ed.Human Res., Training, & Labor Rel. Specs., All

Child, Family, & School Social WorkersMedical Transcriptionists

Radiologic Technologists & TechniciansClergy

Emergency Medical Technicians & ParamedicsLicensed Practical & Licensed Vocational Nurses

Computer Support SpecialistsDental Hygienists

Automotive Service Technicians & MechanicsNetwork & Computer Systems Administrators

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, & CosmetologistsNetwork Systems & Data Communications Analysts

Teachers & Instructors, All OtherPreschool Teachers, exc. Special Education

Secondary Teachers, exc. Special & Vocational Ed.Computer Systems Analysts

Computer Software Engineers, ApplicationsElementary Teachers, exc. Special Education

General & Operations ManagersAccountants & Auditors

Teacher AssistantsBusiness Operations Specialists, All Other

Nursing Aides, Orderlies, & AttendantsRegistered Nurses 16,010

Page 26: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

26

Projections of Working-Age Population (Age 18-64)—Percent Change from 2000 to 2025

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

76.468.9

49.338.938.9

36.8 31.229.828.7 25.3

24.6 21.419.618.617.617.217.116.515.814.414.0 11.0 9.6 7.2

7.06.65.7 4.44.44.34.2 3.1

3.03.02.82.62.62.32.2 0.3

0.3-1.4-1.8-2.0-2.3-3.3-3.7-4.2

-10.9-9.7

3.1

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

Ne

vad

aA

rizon

aF

lorida

Te

xas

Uta

hId

aho

No

rth Ca

rolin

aG

eo

rgiaW

ash

ing

tonO

reg

onC

alifo

rniaV

irginia

Ne

w H

am

psh

ireM

arylan

dM

inn

esotaA

laskaC

olora

do

Un

ited

Sta

tes

De

lawa

reT

enn

essee

So

uth C

arolina

Arkan

sas

Ne

w Je

rseyW

isconsin

Misso

uri

Ha

wa

iiV

erm

on

tK

entu

ckyR

ho

de Islan

dIn

diana

Mon

tana

Michig

anO

klaho

ma

Mississipp

iN

ew

Me

xicoM

assach

use

ttsK

ansa

sM

aine

Illinois

Co

nne

cticut

Alab

am

aL

ouisia

naP

ennsylvaniaS

outh Dakota

Nebraska

New

York

Ohio

Iowa

Wyom

ingW

est Virginia

North D

akota

Page 27: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

27

Percent of Civilian Population Participating in the Workforce, 2004

71.8

66.0

54.7

74.6

0

25

50

75

Minneso

taN

ebra

skaS

outh D

akota

Co

loradoN

orth D

akotaW

isconsin

Kan

sasW

yoming

Alaska

Ne

w H

ampshire

Utah

Verm

ontIow

aM

arylandM

issouriIdahoW

ashington

Massachusetts

Georgia

Virg

iniaT

exasIndian

aN

evada

Ohio

Monta

naR

hode Island

Co

nnecticutD

elaw

areIllinoisO

regon

Maine

Michigan

Un

ited States

No

rth Carolina

Ne

w Jerse

yC

alifornia

Arizo

naS

outh C

arolinaH

aw

aiiP

ennsylvania

Oklahom

aN

ew

Mexico

Tenn

esseeN

ew

York

Alabam

aA

rkansasF

loridaK

entucky

Mississippi

Louisiana

West V

irginia

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Page 28: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

28

Percent of Civilians Age 25-64 Not in the Workforce

By Education Attainment, 2005

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, PUMS (based on 2000 Census)

U.S. Wisconsin

Less than High School 43.2 31.3

High School 27.0 20.5

Some College 20.7 17.2

Associate Degree 17.3 12.6

Bachelor’s Degree 15.4 14.2

Graduate/Prof. Degree 12.4 12.8

Page 29: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

29

Percent of Civilian Population Participating in the

Workforce, 2004

Wisconsin = 70.8%Source: State of Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development

75% to 80%70% to 75%65% to 70%60% to 65%53% to 60%

MarquetteGreen Lake

Dodge

JuneauFond du Lac

Calumet

Ozaukee

Sheboygan

AdamsMonroe Winnebago

LafayetteRock

Walworth

Jefferson

Kenosha

RacineMilwaukee

Waushara

OutagamieManitowoc

Buffalo

TrempealeauPepin

Waukesha

Washington

BurnettWashburn

Florence

Forest

Menominee

Shawano

Oconto

Door

Kewaunee

La Crosse

Vernon

Portage

Polk

Bayfield

Ashland

MarinetteBarron

Brown

Chippewa

Clark

Columbia

CrawfordDane

Douglas

Dunn

Eau Claire

Grant

Green

Iowa

Iron

Jackson

LangladeLincoln

Marathon

Oneida

Pierce

Price

Richland

Rusk

Sauk

Sawyer

St. Croix

Taylor

Vilas

WaupacaWood

Page 30: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

30

Educational Attainment and Rank Among States—

Wisconsin, 2005

29th

26th

9th

13th

7th

01020304050

Age 25-64 withGraduate/Prof. Degree

Age 25-64 withBachelor's or Higher

Age 25-64 withAssociate Degree

Age 25-64 withHigh School Diploma

Age 18-24 withHigh School Diploma 84.4%

8.7%

91.8%

10.1%

27.3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 American Community Survey (ACS)

Page 31: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

31

Percent of Adults with an Associate Degree or Higher by Age Group—

Wisconsin, the U.S. and Leading OECD Countries, 2004

Source: Education at a Glance 2005, OECD

53.3

51.6 49.1

42.3

40.7

40.4

39.2

39.0

41.4

47.0 45.1

33.5

35.7 32.3 28.9

34.1

39.4

38.8

41.4

32.7

16.4

32.9

25.2 21.5

29.4

40.7

35.2

34.5

19.2

9.7

27.3

20.0 15.7

23.2

36.2

35.2

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Japan Korea Sweden Belgium Ireland Norway U.S. Wisconsin

Age 25-34 Age 35-44 Age 45-54 Age 55-64

Page 32: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

32

Percent of Population Age 25-64 with an Associate Degree

or Higher, 2005

37

.4

25

.0

37

.4

48

.7

0

10

20

30

40

50

Massa

chuse

ttsC

onne

cticutC

olorad

oN

ew Jerse

yM

inneso

taN

ew H

amp

shire

Verm

on

tM

arylan

dN

ew Y

orkV

irgin

iaN

orth Da

kota

Wa

shing

ton

Rho

de Isla

ndH

awa

iiN

ebra

skaIllin

oisC

alifornia

Uta

hK

ansa

sS

outh

Dakota

Iow

aU

nited Sta

tesW

isconsin

Ore

gon

Maine

Delaw

areP

ennsylva

niaF

lorida

Mon

tana

Ala

skaN

orth Ca

rolin

aM

ichigan

Geo

rgia

Arizon

aW

yom

ing

Idah

oO

hioN

ew M

exico

Sou

th C

arolina

Misso

uriT

exasO

klahom

aIn

diana

Ala

bam

aT

enne

sseeM

ississippi

Nevada

Ken

tucky

Lou

isianaA

rkansa

sW

est V

irginia

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS

Page 33: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

33

Percent of Population Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree

or Higher, 2005

27

.3

29

.2

18

.7

40

.3

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Massachusetts

Co

nnecticutN

ew

Jersey

Co

loradoM

arylandV

irginia

Verm

ontN

ew

Ham

pshireN

ew

York

Minneso

taR

hode Island

IllinoisW

ashington

Ca

liforniaK

ansas

Ha

waii

Ne

braska

De

laware

No

rth Dakota

Un

ited States

Oreg

onG

eorgiaU

tahP

ennsylvania

Alaska

Monta

naW

isconsin

Sou

th Dako

taM

aineN

orth C

arolinaM

ichiganF

loridaIow

aA

rizona

Missouri

Texas

Ne

w M

exicoO

hioW

yoming

IdahoS

outh C

arolinaO

klahoma

Tenn

esseeA

labama

Indiana

Louisiana

Ne

vadaK

entucky

Arkansas

Mississippi

West V

irginia

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS

Page 34: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

34

Percent of Population Age 25-64 with at Least a Bachelor’s

Degree, 2000

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census

23.3% to 43.5%19.2% to 23.3%16.7% to 19.2%14.2% to 16.7%10.1% to 14.2%

MarquetteGreen Lake

Dodge

JuneauFond du Lac

Calumet

Ozaukee

Sheboygan

AdamsMonroe Winnebago

LafayetteRock

Walworth

Jefferson

Kenosha

RacineMilwaukee

Waushara

OutagamieManitowoc

Buffalo

TrempealeauPepin

Waukesha

Washington

BurnettWashburn

Florence

Forest

Menominee

Shawano

Oconto

Door

Kewaunee

La Crosse

Vernon

Portage

Polk

Bayfield

Ashland

MarinetteBarron

Brown

Chippewa

Clark

Columbia

CrawfordDane

Douglas

Dunn

Eau Claire

Grant

Green

Iowa

Iron

Jackson

LangladeLincoln

Marathon

Oneida

Pierce

Price

Richland

Rusk

Sauk

Sawyer

St. Croix

Taylor

Vilas

WaupacaWood

Dane = 43.5

Wisconsin = 24.9

Menominee = 10.1

Page 35: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

35

Educational Attainment of Young Workforce (Age 25-34) in

Wisconsin—Indexed to Most Educated Country, 2005

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS; OECD

Females

Males

White

Females

Males

African-American

Females

Males

Hispanic/Latino

Females

Males

Native American/AK Native

Females

Males

Asian/Pacific Islander

Bachelor's Degree or Higher

All College Degrees (Associate or Higher)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Norway

U.S. Index = 81%

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Canada

U.S. Index = 72%

Page 36: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

36

Per Capita Personal Income as a Percent of

U.S. Average—Wisconsin, 1960-2000

Source: U.S. Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey (1960, 1970, 1980, 1990, and 2000)

97.3

99.8

92.7

99.2

95.6

80

90

100

110

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

U.S. Average

Page 37: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

37

Wisconsin Median Earnings Age 25-64 by Degree Level,

2005

28,333

35,672

40,768

45,965

61,151

77,458

45,864

21,199

29,557

35,162

38,729

49,635

61,151

36,691

25,480

30,576

34,652

38,729

45,864

57,075

36,691

$0

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

Less thanHigh School

High School Some College,No Degree

AssociateDegree

Bachelor'sDegree

Graduate/Prof.Degree

All Levels

Top State

United States

Wisconsin

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS PUMS File

Page 38: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

38

Difference in Median Earnings Between a High School Diploma

and an Associate Degree—Population Age 18-64, 2005

7,134

10,192

3,058

14,269

$0

$3,000

$6,000

$9,000

$12,000

$15,000

Alaska

Ca

liforniaN

ew

Jersey

Maryland

Texas

Arizo

naM

ichiganV

irginia

IdahoD

elaw

areG

eorgiaM

issouriU

nited S

tatesN

ew

Mexico

Sou

th Carolina

Co

nnecticutA

labama

Co

loradoF

loridaK

entucky

Oreg

onT

ennessee

Washingto

nIllinoisH

aw

aiiM

assachusettsN

evada

Wyom

ingLouisian

aU

tahM

aineIndian

aM

innesota

No

rth Carolina

Ohio

Oklahom

aP

ennsylvania

Verm

ontW

isconsin

Ne

w H

ampshire

Rh

ode IslandN

ew

York

Arkansas

Kan

sasM

ississippiN

orth D

akotaS

outh D

akota

West V

irginiaN

ebra

skaIow

aM

ontana

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS PUMS File

Page 39: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

39

Difference in Median Earnings Between a High School Diploma

and a Bachelor’s Degree—Population Age 18-64, 2005

15

,28

8

20

,38

4

10

,19

2

25

,48

0

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

Ca

liforniaA

laskaV

irginia

Co

nnecticutN

ew

Jersey

Georgia

Maryland

Michigan

Texas

Washingto

nN

ew

York

Arizo

naU

nited S

tatesIllinoisA

labama

Arkansas

Co

loradoM

assachusettsM

innesota

Oreg

onN

ew

Mexico

Ne

w H

ampshire

IdahoIndian

aM

issouriN

evada

Ohio

Pen

nsylvaniaR

hode Island

De

laware

Florida

Ha

waii

No

rth Carolina

Sou

th Carolina

Tenn

esseeU

tahK

ansas

Ken

tuckyN

ebra

skaO

klahoma

Wiscon

sinM

aineM

ississippiLouisian

aW

est Virginia

Verm

ontW

yoming

Iowa

Monta

naN

orth D

akotaS

outh D

akota

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS PUMS File

Page 40: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

40

The Education Pipeline

Page 41: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

41

Key Transition Points in the Education Pipeline

■ Complete High School

■ Enter College

■ Finish College

■ Enter the Workplace

Page 42: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

42

Student Pipeline, 2004

91.3

57.3

42.0

27.3

69.7

38.8

26.9

18.4

78.0

45.6

33.5

23.7

42.3

29.7 28.8

0

20

40

60

80

100

Graduate fromHigh School

Directly EnterCollege

Enroll inSecond Year

GraduateWithin 150% ofProgram Time

Age 25-44 withBachelor's Degree

Best Performing StateUnited StatesWisconsin

Source: NCES Common Core Data, IPEDS Residency and Migration Survey, IPEDS Enrollment Survey, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey

Of 100 9th Graders, How Many…

Page 43: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

43

Percent of Racial/Ethnic Groups at Each Stage of the

Education Pipeline, 2004—Wisconsin

83

.0

88

.0

85

.9

84

.8

7.4 5

.1

4.4

5.0 3.7

4.7 3.0

2.7

2.8

2.31.1

1.1

1.1

1.1

0.8

2.5

2.9

3.0

2.6

2.3

85

.5

0

15

30

45

60

75

90

18-Year-Olds High School Graduates First-Time Freshman All Other Undergraduates Completers

White Non-Hispanic Black Non-Hispanic Hispanic Native American Asian

Source: U.S. Census Bureau; WICHE High School Graduates; NCES College Participation and Completion

Page 44: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

44

High School Graduation Rates—Public High School Graduates as a Percent of 9th Graders Four Years Earlier, 2004

78

.0

69

.7

50

.7

91

.3

0

20

40

60

80

100

New

JerseyU

tahN

orth Dakota

Iowa

Nebraska

Minnesota

Verm

ontS

outh Dakota

IdahoM

ontanaP

ennsylvaniaW

isconsinM

aineM

issouriK

ansasO

hioC

onnecticutN

ew H

ampshire

IllinoisA

rkansasW

yoming

Massachusetts

Oklahom

aM

arylandC

oloradoV

irginiaW

est Virginia

Oregon

Rhode Island

California

Washington

IndianaU

nited States

Michigan

LouisianaT

exasD

elaware

Haw

aiiK

entuckyA

rizonaN

orth Carolina

Tennessee

Alaska

New

York

New

Mexico

Alabam

aM

ississippiF

loridaG

eorgiaS

outh Carolina

Nevada

Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity (rev. 071106)

Page 45: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

4545

Page 46: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

46

Public High School Graduates, 2002-2003

Wisconsin = 67,057Source: University of Wisconsin System Administration

1,366 to 8,957715 to 1,366438 to 715226 to 43859 to 226

MarquetteGreen Lake

Dodge

JuneauFond du Lac

Calumet

Ozaukee

Sheboygan

AdamsMonroe Winnebago

LafayetteRock

Walworth

Jefferson

Kenosha

RacineMilwaukee

Waushara

OutagamieManitowoc

Buffalo

TrempealeauPepin

Waukesha

Washington

BurnettWashburn

Florence

Forest

Menominee

Shawano

Oconto

Door

Kewaunee

La Crosse

Vernon

Portage

Polk

Bayfield

Ashland

MarinetteBarron

Brown

Chippewa

Clark

Columbia

CrawfordDane

Douglas

Dunn

Eau Claire

Grant

Green

Iowa

Iron

Jackson

LangladeLincoln

Marathon

Oneida

Pierce

Price

Richland

Rusk

Sauk

Sawyer

St. Croix

Taylor

Vilas

WaupacaWood

Page 47: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

47

Projections of High School Graduates to 2018

By Race/Ethnicity—Wisconsin

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

200

0-01

200

1-02

200

2-03

200

3-04

200

4-05

200

5-06

200

6-07

200

7-08

200

8-09

200

9-10

201

0-11

201

1-12

201

2-13

201

3-14

201

4-15

201

5-16

201

6-17

201

7-18

White (52,835 to 46,155) Hispanic (1,557 to 6,643)Black, Non-Hispanic (2,835 to 3,156) Asian/Pacific Islander (1,567 to 2,286)American Indian/Alaskan Native (547 to 637)

Source: WICHE Projections of High School Graduates

Page 48: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

48

College-Going Rates—First-Time Freshmen Directly Out of

High School as a Percent of Recent High School Graduates, 2004

58.5 55.5

68.8

42.6

0

25

50

75

South D

akotaN

ew Y

orkN

orth Dakota

South C

arolinaM

innesotaN

orth Carolina

Georgia

Massachusetts

New

JerseyIndianaIow

aN

ew M

exicoK

ansasC

onnecticutA

labama

Mississippi

Nebraska

Pennsylvania

Wyom

ingM

ichiganM

arylandW

isconsinM

ontanaC

oloradoV

irginiaK

entuckyA

rkansasR

hode IslandU

nited States

New

Ham

pshireIllinoisN

evadaLouisianaD

elaware

Florida

West V

irginiaO

klahoma

Ohio

Missouri

Texas

Haw

aiiM

aineA

rizonaT

ennesseeIdahoO

regonA

laskaC

aliforniaV

ermont

Washington

Utah

Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity (2004 data update 02-06-07)

Page 49: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

49

Percent of First-Time Freshmen Who Attend College

Within Their Reported State of Residence, Fall 2004

83.3

84.1

42.4

93.4

0

20

40

60

80

100

Mississippi

Utah

Texas

Ca

liforniaLouisian

aN

orth C

arolinaM

ichiganO

klahoma

Florida

Alabam

aA

rizona

Sou

th Carolina

Ken

tuckyA

rkansasIow

aIndian

aG

eorgiaK

ansas

West V

irginiaO

hioP

ennsylvania

Missouri

Un

ited States

Tenn

esseeC

olorado

Ne

vadaW

isconsin

Ne

w Y

orkN

ebra

skaO

regon

Ne

w M

exicoV

irginia

Minneso

taIllinoisW

ashington

IdahoS

outh D

akota

Monta

naN

orth D

akotaM

assachusettsD

elaw

areW

yoming

Maryland

Ha

waii

Rh

ode IslandM

aineN

ew

Jersey

Co

nnecticutA

laskaN

ew

Ham

pshireV

ermont

Source: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2004 Enrollments; ef2004c Final Release Data File

Page 50: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

50

Out-of-State Institutions Attended by Wisconsin First-Time Degree/Certificate Seeking Undergraduate Students, Fall 2004

University of Minnesota-Twin Cities MN Public 4-Year 1,333Winona State University MN Public 4-Year 485University of Minnesota-Duluth MN Public 4-Year 243Northern Michigan University MI Public 4-Year 230Michigan Technological University MI Public 4-Year 184Century Community and Technical College MN Public 2-Year 156Saint Cloud State University MN Public 4-Year 148Minnesota State College-Southeast Technical-Winona MN Public 2-Year 143Minnesota State University-Mankato MN Public 4-Year 110Lake Superior College MN Public 2-Year 106University of St Thomas MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 95Martin Luther College MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 92Brown College MN Private For-Profit 4-Year 90University of Iowa IA Public 4-Year 84Luther College IA Private Non-Profit 4-Year 80Saint Olaf College MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 74Wyo Tech WY Private For-Profit 2-Year 74Arizona State University at the Tempe Campus AZ Public 4-Year 73Loyola University Chicago IL Private Non-Profit 4-Year 67Northwestern University IL Private Non-Profit 4-Year 64Purdue University-Main Campus IN Public 4-Year 64Iowa State University IA Public 4-Year 59Bethel University MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 59Saint Louis University-Main Campus MO Private Non-Profit 4-Year 56Dakota County Technical College MN Public 2-Year 54

No. of StudentsInstitution State Sector

(continued)

Page 51: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

51

Out-of-State Institutions Attended by Wisconsin First-Time Degree/Certificate Seeking Undergraduate Students, Fall 2004 (continued)

Columbia College Chicago IL Private Non-Profit 4-Year 53Northwestern College MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 52University of Phoenix-Online Campus AZ Private For-Profit 4-Year 50Valparaiso University IN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 49Depaul University IL Private Non-Profit 4-Year 48American Intercontinental University GA Private For-Profit 4-Year 46Gogebic Community College MI Public 2-Year 45University of Notre Dame IN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 43Rochester Community and Technical College MN Public 2-Year 42University of Colorado at Boulder CO Public 4-Year 41Indiana University-Bloomington IN Public 4-Year 40North Central University MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 40Kaplan University IA Private For-Profit 4-Year 40Northeast Iowa Community College-Calmar IA Public 2-Year 37Minneapolis Business College MN Private For-Profit 2-Year 37University of North Dakota-Main Campus ND Public 4-Year 37The Illinois Institute of Art IL Private For-Profit 4-Year 36University of Dubuque IA Private Non-Profit 4-Year 35Macalester College MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 35Saint Paul College - A Community and Technical Col MN Public 2-Year 35Trinity International University IL Private Non-Profit 4-Year 33Drake University IA Private Non-Profit 4-Year 33Vermilion Community College MN Public 2-Year 33Hamline University MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 31Minnesota State University-Moorhead MN Public 4-Year 31

Source: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2004 Enrollments; ef2004c Final Release Data File

No. of StudentsInstitution State Sector

Page 52: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

52

First-Time Freshmen Net Imports by Institution Type for

Wisconsin, Fall 2004

Source: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2002 Enrollments, Residency and Migration File

Proprietary

Private Non-Profit Other

Private Non-Profit 2-Year

Private Non-Profit 4-Year

Private Non-Profit Research

Public Other

Public 2-Year

Public 4-Year

Public Research

-757

-52

-103

-186

120

-89

-655

849

-440

-1,000 -750 -500 -250 0 250 500 750 1,000

Page 53: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

53

New Entering College Students as a Percent of Public High School Graduates, 2006

Note: High school graduates are 2002-03.

Wisconsin = 34.4%Source: University of Wisconsin System Administration

36.9% to 55.8%32.7% to 36.9%29.8% to 32.7%25.7% to 29.8%10.8% to 25.7%

MarquetteGreen Lake

Dodge

JuneauFond du Lac

Calumet

Ozaukee

Sheboygan

AdamsMonroe Winnebago

LafayetteRock

Walworth

Jefferson

Kenosha

RacineMilwaukee

Waushara

OutagamieManitowoc

Buffalo

TrempealeauPepin

Waukesha

Washington

BurnettWashburn

Florence

Forest

Menominee

Shawano

Oconto

Door

Kewaunee

La Crosse

Vernon

Portage

Polk

Bayfield

Ashland

MarinetteBarron

Brown

Chippewa

Clark

Columbia

CrawfordDane

Douglas

Dunn

Eau Claire

Grant

Green

Iowa

Iron

Jackson

LangladeLincoln

Marathon

Oneida

Pierce

Price

Richland

Rusk

Sauk

Sawyer

St. Croix

Taylor

Vilas

WaupacaWood

Page 54: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

54

Two-Year New Entering Students as a Percent of

Public High School Graduates, 2004

9.1% to 35.5%5.6% to 9.1%2.5% to 5.6%0.8% to 2.5%0.0% to 0.8%

Note: High school graduates are 2002-03.

Source: University of Wisconsin System Administration

MarquetteGreen Lake

Dodge

JuneauFond du Lac

Calumet

Ozaukee

Sheboygan

AdamsMonroe Winnebago

LafayetteRock

Walworth

Jefferson

Kenosha

RacineMilwaukee

Waushara

OutagamieManitowoc

Buffalo

TrempealeauPepin

Waukesha

Washington

BurnettWashburn

Florence

Forest

Menominee

Shawano

Oconto

Door

Kewaunee

La Crosse

Vernon

Portage

Polk

Bayfield

Ashland

MarinetteBarron

Brown

Chippewa

Clark

Columbia

CrawfordDane

Douglas

Dunn

Eau Claire

Grant

Green

Iowa

Iron

Jackson

LangladeLincoln

Marathon

Oneida

Pierce

Price

Richland

Rusk

Sauk

Sawyer

St. Croix

Taylor

Vilas

WaupacaWood

Richland = 35.5

Wisconsin = 5.2

Kenosha = 0.15

Page 55: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

55

Four-Year New Entering Students as a Percent of

Public High School Graduates, 2004

32.2% to 44.1%26.5% to 32.2%24.1% to 26.5%21.2% to 24.1%10.8% to 21.2%

MarquetteGreen Lake

Dodge

JuneauFond du Lac

Calumet

Ozaukee

Sheboygan

AdamsMonroe Winnebago

LafayetteRock

Walworth

Jefferson

Kenosha

RacineMilwaukee

Waushara

OutagamieManitowoc

Buffalo

TrempealeauPepin

Waukesha

Washington

BurnettWashburn

Florence

Forest

Menominee

Shawano

Oconto

Door

Kewaunee

La Crosse

Vernon

Portage

Polk

Bayfield

Ashland

MarinetteBarron

Brown

Chippewa

Clark

Columbia

CrawfordDane

Douglas

Dunn

Eau Claire

Grant

Green

Iowa

Iron

Jackson

LangladeLincoln

Marathon

Oneida

Pierce

Price

Richland

Rusk

Sauk

Sawyer

St. Croix

Taylor

Vilas

WaupacaWood

Vilas = 44.1

Wisconsin = 29.2

Iron = 10.8

Note: High school graduates are 2002-03.

Source: University of Wisconsin System Administration

Page 56: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

56

Associate Degrees Awarded per 100 High School Graduates Three Years Earlier, 2004

17.5

23.4

12.6

47.7

0

10

20

30

40

50

Florida

Wyom

ingW

ashingtonR

hode IslandN

ew Y

orkIow

aM

ississippiU

tahH

awaii

Arizona

North C

arolinaC

aliforniaS

outh Dakota

Oregon

Kansas

Colorado

Minnesota

New

Ham

pshireU

nited States

North D

akotaIllinoisS

outh Carolina

Oklahom

aN

ew M

exicoK

entuckyIndianaA

labama

Michigan

Nevada

Missouri

Nebraska

IdahoV

irginiaP

ennsylvaniaO

hioM

assachusettsG

eorgiaT

ennesseeW

est Virginia

Wisconsin

Texas

Arkansas

Verm

ontN

ew Jersey

Montana

Maryland

Maine

Delaw

areA

laskaC

onnecticutLouisiana

Source: NCES-IPEDS Completions Survey, WICHE

Page 57: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

57

Bachelor’s Degrees Awarded per 100 High School Graduates Six Years Earlier, 2004

50

.6

51

.8

21

.2

97

.4

0

25

50

75

100

Rhode Island

Massachusetts

Delaw

areC

oloradoN

ew Y

orkA

rizonaN

ew H

ampshire

North C

arolinaU

tahV

ermont

Florida

Pennsylvania

Missouri

North D

akotaIndianaO

regonIow

aK

ansasG

eorgiaN

ebraskaM

ichiganV

irginiaT

ennesseeU

nited States

Connecticut

Wisconsin

Maryland

Montana

Alabam

aO

klahoma

South D

akotaW

ashingtonM

innesotaO

hioLouisianaS

outh Carolina

IllinoisC

aliforniaH

awaii

Maine

West V

irginiaK

entuckyM

ississippiT

exasN

evadaN

ew M

exicoN

ew Jersey

Arkansas

IdahoW

yoming

Alaska

Source: NCES-IPEDS Completions Survey, WICHE

Page 58: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

58

Three-Year Graduation Rates at Two-Year Colleges, 2005 (Percent)

34.6

63.1

13.3

29.3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

South D

akotaA

laskaW

yoming

Arizona

California

Utah

Pennsylvania

Colorado

Florida

Nevada

Nebraska

Montana

Kansas

Wisconsin

Washington

Maine

North D

akotaM

innesotaM

issouriIow

aW

est Virginia

New

Ham

pshireT

ennesseeLouisianaU

nited States

IdahoO

hioG

eorgiaO

klahoma

IndianaV

ermont

Oregon

IllinoisN

ew Y

orkK

entuckyV

irginiaA

rkansasA

labama

Haw

aiiN

ew M

exicoN

orth Carolina

Mississippi

Massachusetts

Texas

Rhode Island

Maryland

Connecticut

Michigan

South C

arolinaN

ew Jersey

Delaw

are

Source: NCES, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey

Page 59: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

59

Six-Year Graduation Rates at Four-Year Colleges, 2005 (Percent)

58.5 55.8

20.3

67.7

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Massachusetts

Delaw

areM

arylandR

hode IslandP

ennsylvaniaIow

aW

ashingtonN

ew H

ampshire

Connecticut

California

Virginia

Verm

ontN

ew Jersey

IllinoisW

isconsinN

orth Carolina

Minnesota

Wyom

ingM

aineS

outh Carolina

New

York

United S

tatesO

regonM

ichiganN

ebraskaA

rizonaIndianaO

hioM

issouriF

loridaC

oloradoK

ansasT

exasM

ississippiT

ennesseeN

orth Dakota

Alabam

aG

eorgiaS

outh Dakota

Utah

Kentucky

IdahoO

klahoma

West V

irginiaA

rkansasM

ontanaLouisianaH

awaii

New

Mexico

Nevada

Alaska

Source: NCES, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey

Page 60: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

60

Science and Engineering Degrees as a Share of Higher Education Degrees Conferred by State, 2004-05

29.3 26

.3

37.8

20.4

0

10

20

30

40

Sou

th Dako

taN

orth D

akotaM

aineM

arylandN

ebra

skaT

exasW

est Virginia

Louisiana

Alaska

Ken

tuckyW

isconsin

Virg

iniaM

ontana

Co

loradoIndian

aP

ennsylvania

Ne

w M

exicoN

orth C

arolinaT

ennessee

Ohio

Mississippi

Wyom

ingIdahoO

klahoma

Michigan

Arkansas

Alabam

aU

nited S

tatesS

outh C

arolinaM

innesota

IllinoisK

ansas

Georgia

Iowa

De

laware

Massachusetts

Utah

Ne

w Jerse

yO

regon

Missouri

Ca

liforniaN

ew

Ham

pshireA

rizona

Co

nnecticutW

ashington

Ha

waii

Florida

Ne

vadaN

ew

York

Verm

ontR

hode Island

Note: Science and Engineering include Agricultural Sciences, Biological and Biomedical Sciences, Physical Sciences, Science Tech, Health Sciences, Computer Science, Mathematics and Statistics, Engineering, and Engineering Tech.Degrees include Associate, Bachelor’s, Masters and Doctorate Degrees.

Source: NCES, IPEDS 2005 Completions File; c2005_a Final Release Data File

Page 61: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

61

Net Migration by Degree Level and Age Group—Wisconsin

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% PUMS Files

22- to 29-Year-Olds 30- to 64-Year-Olds

2,054

-225

-13,263

486

3,740

4,824

6,492

-15,000 -10,000 -5,000 0 5,000 10,000

30,963

527

4,306

518

6,911

9,283

9,418

0 8,000 16,000 24,000 32,000

Less than High School

High School

Some College

Associate

Bachelor’s

Graduate/Professional

Total

Page 62: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

62

Wisconsin Occupations with High Net Imports and Exports,

1995-2000—Residents Age 22-29 with College Degrees

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% PUMS Files

-1,620

-1,171

-1,113

-1,048

-992

-844

-561

-548

-524

68

73

74

75

81

89

134

195

201

669

-1,144

-2,000 -1,500 -1,000 -500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Primary, Secondary, & Special Education TeachersFinancial SpecialistsComputer SpecialistsBusiness Operations SpecialistsEngineersAdvertising, Mktg., Promotions, Public Rel. & Sales Mgrs.Sales Representatives, ServicesMedia & Communication WorkersSupervisors, Sales WorkersOther Management Occupations

Material Recording, Scheduling, Dispatching/DistributingMedia & Communication EquipmentCooks & Food Preparation Workers

Other Office & Administrative SupportMaterial Moving

Other TransportationLibrarians, Curators, Archivists

Motor Vehicle OperatorsNursing, Psychiatric, Home Health Aides

Postsecondary Teachers

Page 63: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

63

Wisconsin Occupations with High Net Imports and Exports,

1995-2000—Residents Age 30-64 with College Degrees

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% PUMS Files

-663

-663

-455

-387

-251

-200

-192

-183

-170

265

300

351

357

439

498

595

776

871

1,174

-594

-1,500 -1,000 -500 0 500 1,000 1,500

Information & Record ClerksOperations Specialties ManagersTop ExecutivesComputer SpecialistsArt & DesignMathematical Science OccupationsOther Office & Administrative SupportPhysical ScientistsSales Representatives, Wholesale & ManufacturingSecretaries & Administrative Assistants

Metal Workers & Plastic WorkersOther Teachers & Instructors

Business Operations SpecialistsSupervisors, Office & Administrative Support

Other Production OccupationsPostsecondary Teachers

Retail SalesAdvertising, Mktg., Promotions, Public Rel. & Sales Mgrs.

Primary, Secondary, & Special Education TeachersOther Management Occupations

Page 64: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

64

Percent of Residents Age 25-64 with an Associate Degree

Born In-State, 2005

73

.8

52

.4

76

.8

8.8

0

20

40

60

80

Pennsylvania

Michigan

Iowa

Ohio

Wisconsin

North D

akotaM

innesotaM

assachusettsLouisianaIndianaIllinoisK

entuckyN

ew Y

orkM

ississippiA

labama

Nebraska

West V

irginiaR

hode islandM

aineM

issouriS

outh Dakota

Kansas

Utah

Connecticut

North C

arolinaS

outh Carolina

State A

verageA

rkansasT

ennesseeH

awaii

Texas

Verm

ontN

ew Jersey

Oklahom

aM

ontanaC

aliforniaN

ew M

exicoW

ashingtonG

eorgiaIdahoO

regonN

ew H

ampshire

Virginia

Maryland

Delaw

areC

oloradoW

yoming

Florida

Arizona

Alaska

Nevada

Source: 2005 ACS

Page 65: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

65

Percent of Residents Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s

Degree or Higher Born In-State, 2005

58

.3

41

.7

64

.4

8.3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

LouisianaP

ennsylvaniaM

ichiganM

ississippiO

hioIow

aN

orth Dakota

Wisconsin

West V

irginiaS

outh Dakota

Nebraska

IndianaK

entuckyN

ew Y

orkA

labama

IllinoisM

innesotaO

klahoma

Missouri

Arkansas

Massachusetts

Kansas

Utah

Rhode island

Texas

Tennessee

Montana

Haw

aiiS

tate Average

Maine

South C

arolinaC

onnecticutN

orth Carolina

New

JerseyC

aliforniaG

eorgiaW

ashingtonN

ew M

exicoIdahoO

regonW

yoming

Verm

ontM

arylandV

irginiaD

elaware

Colorado

New

Ham

pshireF

loridaA

rizonaA

laskaN

evada

Source: 2005 ACS

Page 66: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

66

Innovation Assets

Page 67: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

67

Development Report Card for the States, 2007—

Wisconsin

Source: Development Report Card for the States,Corporation for Enterprise Development (CFED)

STRENGTHS (Top 10 Rank)

Rank Measure

2 Disparity between Rural and Urban Areas

2 Voting Rate

5 Bridge Deficiency

5 Royalties and Licenses

6 Income Distribution

7 Loans to Small Businesses

8 Uninsured Low-Income Children

9 Working Poor

9 Affordable Urban Housing

43 Conversion of Cropland to Other Uses

43 Business Created Via University R&D

44 Employment Growth: Long Term

45 Employment Growth: Short Term

46 Change in Energy Costs

46 New Companies

48 Private Sector Layoffs

WEAKNESSES (Bottom 10 Rank)

Rank Measure

Employment D

Earnings and Job Quality B

Equity A

Quality of Life A

Resource Efficiency B

Competitiveness/Existing Businesses A

Entrepreneurial Energy C

Human Resources C

Financial Resources C

Infrastructure Resources A

Amenity Resources and Natural Capital C

Innovation Assets C

Performance

Business Vitality

Development

Capacity

A

B

B

Page 68: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

68

Overall State Scores on Measures of Innovation Assets, 2004

2.9

25

.5

41

.2

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

South D

akotaA

rkansasS

outh Carolina

West V

irginiaK

entuckyM

ississippiLouisianaT

ennesseeW

yoming

Alaska

Oklahom

aN

evadaM

aineF

loridaN

ebraskaM

issouriA

labama

IdahoM

ontanaIndianaIow

aG

eorgiaH

awaii

Kansas

Wisconsin

North D

akotaT

exasIllinoisA

rizonaN

ew M

exicoO

hioO

regonM

ichiganN

orth Carolina

New

JerseyM

innesotaP

ennsylvaniaV

ermont

Utah

Delaw

areW

ashingtonN

ew H

ampshire

Virginia

New

York

Colorado

Connecticut

Maryland

Rhode Island

California

Massachusetts

Source: Development Report Card for the States, CFED

Page 69: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

69

Academic Research and Development per $1,000 Gross State Product, 2004

4.6

3.7

1.7

$0

$1

$2

$3

$4

$5

$6

$7

Maryland

North D

akotaM

assachusettsM

ontanaN

ew H

ampshire

Verm

ontU

tahIow

aH

awaii

New

Mexico

Nebraska

Pennsylvania

Rhode Island

Wisconsin

Mississippi

North C

arolinaM

issouriA

laskaA

labama

Colorado

Michigan

California

Oregon

New

York

United S

tatesIndianaG

eorgiaC

onnecticutLouisianaW

ashingtonS

outh Carolina

Kansas

Arizona

IllinoisK

entuckyT

exasO

hioT

ennesseeIdahoW

est Virginia

Virginia

Oklahom

aW

yoming

Minnesota

Arkansas

Delaw

areF

loridaM

aineN

ew Jersey

South D

akotaN

evada

9.8

Source: National Science Foundation; Bureau of Economic Analysis

Page 70: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

70

Wisconsin Rank—Federal Research and Expenditures

Per Capita, 2005

24th

17th

21st

15th

15th

17th

01020304050

Engineering

Physical Science

Computer Science

Life Science

Medical Science

Total

Source: National Science Foundation; U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates

$110.50

$38.33

$66.69

$3.19

$7.82

$11.66

Page 71: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

71

Wisconsin Rank—Federal Research and Expenditures,

2005

20th

18th

17th

18th

16th

16th

15th

01020304050

Population

Engineering

Physical Science

Computer Science

Life Science

Medical Science

Total

Source: National Science Foundation; U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates

$610,819

$211,893

$368,651

$17,642

$43,209

$64,437

5,336

(Values in Thousands)

Page 72: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

72

Number of Doctorates per 1,000 Workers—Science and Engineering, 2004

2.7

1.2

9.1

0

2

4

6

8

10

Ne

w M

exicoM

assachusettsM

arylandN

orth D

akotaD

elaw

areR

hode Island

Co

nnecticutV

ermont

Virg

iniaC

alifornia

Co

loradoW

ashington

Ha

waii

Ne

w Y

orkN

ew

Jersey

Pen

nsylvaniaO

regon

No

rth Carolina

Minneso

taM

ontana

Ne

w H

ampshire

Utah

IllinoisIdahoO

hioA

laskaM

ichiganT

ennessee

Maine

Texas

Indiana

Missouri

Iowa

Arizo

naK

ansas

Georgia

Oklahom

aW

isconsin

Alabam

aLouisian

aS

outh C

arolinaW

est Virginia

Ken

tuckyS

outh D

akota

Mississippi

Wyom

ingA

rkansasF

loridaN

evada

Ne

braska

Source: Development Report Card for the States, CFED

Page 73: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

73

Dollar Value of SBIR Grants Per Worker, 2004

6.6

0.2

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

Massachusetts

Maryland

Ne

w H

ampshire

Co

loradoV

irginia

Ne

w M

exicoH

aw

aiiC

alifornia

De

laware

Co

nnecticutR

hode Island

Washingto

nA

labama

Monta

naV

ermont

Ne

w Jerse

yM

aineO

regon

Ohio

Pen

nsylvaniaN

ew

York

West V

irginiaA

rizona

Utah

Ne

vadaT

exasW

yoming

Minneso

taM

ichiganO

klahoma

Wiscon

sinN

orth C

arolinaN

ebra

skaIdahoF

loridaN

orth D

akotaG

eorgiaA

rkansasIllinoisIndian

aK

entucky

Kan

sasM

issouriT

ennessee

Sou

th Carolina

Mississippi

Iowa

Louisiana

Sou

th Dako

taA

laska

Source: Development Report Card for the States, CFED

81.8

Page 74: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

74

Gross License Income Per Worker, 2004

Source: Development Report Card for the States, CFED

13

.4

0.0

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

Massachusetts

New

York

Arizona

Minnesota

Wisconsin

California

Utah

Washington

Michigan

Iowa

Florida

North C

arolinaG

eorgiaLouisianaM

issouriR

hode IslandP

ennsylvaniaT

ennesseeT

exasIndianaO

hioN

orth Dakota

Maryland

Virginia

Nebraska

Oregon

IllinoisK

ansasO

klahoma

Colorado

Alabam

aN

ew H

ampshire

South C

arolinaN

ew Jersey

Haw

aiiD

elaware

Arkansas

Connecticut

Kentucky

Mississippi

Maine

Verm

ontN

ew M

exicoM

ontanaIdahoN

evadaA

laskaS

outh Dakota

West V

irginiaW

yoming

46.5

Page 75: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

75

Number of Patents Issued Per $1,000 Gross State Product

Source: 2004/2005 Economic Vision 2010 Report Card, Indiana Chamber1

1.3

9.1

1.3

0

5

10

15

20

25

IdahoV

ermont

Minneso

taC

alifornia

Oreg

onN

ew

Ham

pshireM

assachusettsC

olorado

Michigan

Wiscon

sinC

onnecticut

Washingto

nN

ew

Jersey

Ohio

Utah

Arizo

naU

nited S

tatesD

elaw

areIndian

aP

ennsylvania

Rh

ode IslandT

exasIllinoisN

ew

York

Maryland

No

rth Carolina

Iowa

Ne

w M

exicoO

klahoma

Florida

Kan

sasS

outh C

arolinaG

eorgiaT

ennessee

Ne

vadaM

issouriM

ontana

Virg

iniaM

aineN

ebra

skaK

entucky

No

rth Dakota

Wyom

ingA

labama

Sou

th Dako

taW

est Virginia

Louisiana

Arkansas

Mississippi

Ha

waii

Alaska

45.8

Page 76: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

76

Venture Capital—Financing Per $1,000 Gross State Product,

2003

Source: 2004/2005 Economic Vision 2010 Report Card, Indiana Chamber

1.7

0.2 0

.0

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Massachusetts

Ca

liforniaC

olorado

Ne

w H

ampshire

Ne

w Jerse

yIdahoW

ashington

Un

ited States

Maryland

Texas

Co

nnecticutU

tahP

ennsylvania

No

rth Carolina

Virg

iniaR

hode Island

Georgia

Minneso

taO

regon

Ne

w Y

orkN

orth D

akotaIllinoisM

issouriO

klahoma

Florida

West V

irginiaN

evada

Arizo

naS

outh C

arolinaT

ennessee

Maine

Ha

waii

Michigan

Verm

ontO

hioW

isconsin

Alabam

aLouisian

aS

outh D

akota

Indiana

Ne

w M

exicoK

entucky

Iowa

Kan

sasA

rkansasM

ississippiN

ebra

skaM

ontana

De

laware

Alaska

Wyom

ing

8.3

Page 77: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

77

Number of Initial Public Offerings—Financing Per $1,000 Gross State Product, 2002

Source: 2004/2005 Economic Vision 2010 Report Card, Indiana Chamber

5.2

25

.6

0.3

65

.1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Washingto

nC

onnecticut

Ne

w Y

orkM

assachusettsM

issouriC

alifornia

Georgia

IllinoisT

exasV

irginia

Co

loradoIow

aN

ew

Jersey

Oklahom

aM

arylandU

nited S

tatesP

ennsylvania

Maine

Florida

Rh

ode IslandIndian

aO

regon

Minneso

taD

elaw

areN

ew

Mexico

Arizo

naK

ansas

Michigan

Utah

Ne

vadaN

ew

Ham

pshireK

entucky

Tenn

esseeO

hioV

ermont

No

rth Dakota

No

rth Carolina

Wiscon

sinA

laskaS

outh C

arolinaM

ississippiN

ebra

skaLouisian

aW

est Virginia

Alabam

aA

rkansasM

ontana

IdahoH

aw

aiiW

yoming

Sou

th Dako

ta

Page 78: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

78

The Fiscal Environment

Page 79: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

79

State Tax Capacity and Effort—Wisconsin Indexed to

U.S. Average

Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers (SHEEO)

0.8

0.9

1

1.1

1.2

1.3

19921993

19941995

19961997

19981999

20002001

20022003

2004

Tax Effort (Effective Tax Rate)Tax Capacity (Total Taxable Resources Per Capita)

U.S. Average

Page 80: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

80

State Tax Capacity and Effort—Wisconsin Indexed to U.S. Average

Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers (SHEEO)

AL

AK

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

GA HI

IL

IN IAKS

KY

LA

ME

MD

MA

MS

MT

NE

NV

NJ

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

RI

SC

SD

UT

VT

VA

WA

US

FL

ID

MI

MN

MO

NH

NM

TNTX

WV

WI

WY

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

1.1

1.2

1.3

1.4

1.5

1.6

1.7

0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4

Sta

te T

ax C

apacity

(Tota

l Taxable

Reso

urce

s Per C

apita

)

State Tax Effort (Effective Tax Rate)

Page 81: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

81

Projected State and Local Budget Surplus (Gap) as a

Percent of Revenues, 2013

Source: NCHEMS; Don Boyd (Rockefeller Institute of Government), 2005

-0.5 -1

.0

-1.0 -1

.6 -2.1

-2.3 -2

.8

-2.9

-3.0 -3

.3 -3.8

-3.9 -4

.2

-4.2

-4.3

-4.3

-4.4

-4.4 -4

.8

-4.8

-4.8 -5

.1

-5.2

-5.2

-5.3 -5

.6

-5.6

-5.7

-5.7

-5.7

-5.8

-5.8

-5.9 -6

.2

-6.3

-6.5

-6.7

-6.8

-6.9

-7.0

-7.0 -7

.4 -8.0

-8.2

-8.9 -9

.3

-9.3 -9

.8

-10

.5

-10

.7

-12

-9

-6

-3

0

UtahM

ontana

New Hampshire

DelawareNew Jersey

Maine

Maryland

Massachusetts

WisconsinVerm

ontO

hioNorth Dakota

ConnecticutKansas

ArkansasVirginia

NebraskaO

klahoma

MinnesotaColorado

West Virginia

KentuckyM

ichiganArizona

New YorkG

eorgiaHawaiiIllinois

PennsylvaniaAlaska

Rhode IslandU

nited States

New Mexico

CaliforniaIowa

IndianaNorth Carolina

FloridaIdaho

South CarolinaSouth Dakota

Missouri

Washington

OregonTexas

NevadaTennesseeM

ississippiLouisianaAlabam

a

Page 82: Higher Education and the  Future of Wisconsin

82

Summary Observations

■ Expansion and Diversification of State’s Economy

■ Variations in:

► Regional Access

► Access and Success of Minorities

■ Revitalizing Milwaukee

■ ???

Key Issues Facing Wisconsin

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Conditions for Developing and Pursuing a Public Agenda

■ A Process for Creating—and Building Consensus Around—the Short List of State Priorities that the State’s “System” of Higher Education Should Be Addressing

■ A Mechanism for Keeping the Focus on this Agenda Over an Extended Period of Time

■ Accountability Measures that Allow Monitoring Progress Toward Achieving Priority Goals

■ An Approach to Resource Allocation that Creates Incentives (and Removes Disincentives) for Pursuing Priority Goals

■ A Regulatory Environment Consistent with Objectives

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Given the Criteria for Success, What Might the Board of Regents Expect Over the Next Several Months?

■ Deep Involvement in Identifying Key Issues to Be Addressed and Building Coalitions Supportive of the Agenda

■ Participation in Development of an Appropriate Accountability Mechanism

■ Requests to Change the Financing and Resource Allocation Mechanisms to Better Align Them with Goals

■ A Review of State and University of Wisconsin System Policies, Regulations, and Statutes to Identify Barriers to Progress